Episodes

6h ago

RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 16. RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers recapped Week 16 NFL action with a focus on separating true performance from misleading final scores by comparing three metrics, the scoreboard result, a box score based recalculation, and two noise reduced efficiency models. They emphasized how sequencing and non repeatable events like turnovers can distort outcomes, using the Rams Seahawks game as a prime example where identical efficiency could have produced wildly different final scores. Bell discussed how betting markets have changed with legalization, syndicates, and model driven bettors, arguing that incentives often force action even without confidence, leading to distorted line moves. He noted that public analysts frequently echo trends without understanding them, creating opportunities for disciplined bettors. Rivers highlighted Bell’s recent betting run and the importance of closing line value. They reviewed teams whose recent performance diverged most from season long metrics, including Jacksonville, the Rams, Chicago, and Baltimore, and discussed how midseason improvements or collapses often lag public perception. Bell argued that some teams appear to be tanking while others remain highly motivated despite poor records, which matters late in the season. Looking ahead to Christmas Day games, they expressed skepticism toward large spreads driven by must win narratives, particularly Denver laying a huge number against Kansas City, favoring the underdog due to rarity and historical performance of large home dogs. They concluded that motivation, pressure, referee tendencies, and market psychology become increasingly important late in the season, and that disciplined bettors should resist narratives, manage risk, and focus on structural edges rather than reacting to surface level results. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

4d ago

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 16 betting. RJ Bell hosts the NFL Week 16 Dream Preview with Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers, opening with a promotion for Pregame bulk dollars and highlighting recent hot streaks across college football, NBA, and other sports before diving into betting analysis. Fezzik is praised for an 11 2 best bet run with wide margins, leading into his first play Bears to score first versus the Packers based on scripting and coin flip leverage. Discussion centers on shortening time horizons with first score and first quarter bets, market overreactions, and the value of contrarian positions. Rivers’ best bet backs Green Bay based on decades long dominance over Chicago, especially at Soldier Field, arguing motivation favors the Packers even in down seasons. Bell leans Chicago due to rest and altitude factors but passes officially. Bell’s best bet is Patriots first half plus the points against Baltimore, citing New England’s elite second quarter performance, Ravens poor first half ATS record, and coaching discipline under Vrabel. Fezzik supports the logic, noting strong game management signals. Additional plays include Colts first quarter plus a half on Monday night, Colts 49ers under based on limited passing upside and defensive matchups, Cowboys Chargers under due to offensive regression and Chargers line injuries, Saints Jets under due to lack of explosiveness and Jets quarterback play, and Raiders plus the points as a buy low embarrassment spot with motivational indicators despite public pessimism. Fezzik adds prop bets including Jacoby Brissett over pass attempts and Jaguars tight end Strange over receiving yards, citing usage trends and matchup weaknesses. The group discusses dream crusher scenarios like Kansas City after elimination, market overreactions to blowouts, teaser strategies, and situational angles tied to motivation and scheduling. The show closes with broader discussion on betting process, line movement discipline, and an extended AI segment exploring how large language models are transforming research, handicapping, content creation, and knowledge work, with Bell arguing AI progress may surpass historic technological shifts while leaving physical trades less disrupted in the near term. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

4d ago

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL week 16 player prop betting. Munaf Manji and SleepyJ broke down NFL Week 16 player props with a clear focus on matchup driven edges, quarterback opportunity, and late season usage trends. The conversation opened with quarterback props, starting with Quinn Ewers over 182.5 passing yards against Cincinnati. The case centered on Miami being out of contention, a vulnerable Bengals pass defense, and the likelihood that Mike McDaniel lets Ewers throw freely to evaluate him. Munaf followed with Jacoby Brissett over 249.5 passing yards versus Atlanta, pointing to heavy recent volume, a declining Falcons secondary, and a Cardinals offense that has leaned almost entirely on the pass. Running back props highlighted receiving upside and defensive weaknesses. SleepyJ backed Bucky Irving over 17.5 receiving yards against Carolina, citing his big play ability, prior success versus the Panthers, and Tampa Bay’s need to counter pressure with quick throws. Munaf countered with Bijan Robinson over 125.5 rushing plus receiving yards against Arizona, emphasizing the Cardinals’ collapsing run defense and Atlanta’s incentive to lean on its best player. At wide receiver, SleepyJ targeted Stefon Diggs over 40.5 receiving yards versus Baltimore, noting a low number, bounce back potential, and incentive driven motivation. Munaf went with DK Metcalf over 58.5 receiving yards against Detroit, expecting negative game script, renewed target emphasis, and a Lions defense allowing league high receiver production. Tight end props focused on reliability and matchup. SleepyJ selected Dallas Goedert over 3.5 receptions against Washington, stressing Jalen Hurts’ comfort with Goedert and the Commanders’ poor tight end coverage. Munaf added Darren Waller over 27.5 receiving yards versus Cincinnati, calling it a classic safety valve spot against the league’s weakest tight end defense. Touchdown plays included Malik Washington at plus money for Miami, Bucky Irving to score for Tampa Bay, and Jackson Dart for New York using his legs near the goal line. The best bet of the episode was Tyler Shough over 23.5 rushing yards for New Orleans, supported by consistent rushing attempts, injuries around him, and favorable quarterback rushing history against the Jets. The episode wrapped with a reminder of ongoing bowl season promotions and bonus value at Pregame as the NFL season heads toward the playoffs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

6d ago

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB bowl betting for this week. The episode opens with Old Dominion versus South Florida in Orlando. South Florida is effectively playing a home game, with the campus located roughly ninety minutes away. The key storyline is Old Dominion missing its starting quarterback, which significantly impacts both the spread and the overall game outlook. Given USF’s offensive upside with Byron Brown and the situational edge, South Florida minus two and a half is viewed as a strong position. There is also interest in the over, based on USF’s ability to score and ODU’s defensive limitations. Next, the conversation shifts to Memphis versus NC State in the Gasparilla Bowl. Both teams play at a fast tempo and rely heavily on explosive plays, while neither defense is considered reliable. The total of fifty eight and a half reflects this, and the over is the preferred angle. NC State receives a slight lean on the side, but that recommendation is contingent on starting quarterback CJ Bailey playing. If Bailey were to sit, bettors are advised to exit both side and total positions immediately, as the offensive profile would change significantly. The third matchup discussed is California versus Hawaii on New Year’s Eve. This game carries multiple storylines, including Cal quarterback JKS returning to his home state. Hawaii is seen as highly motivated in a true home environment, with both teams expected to retain their starting quarterbacks and minimal impactful opt outs at the time of recording. With strong passing attacks on both sides and the ability to respond quickly to deficits, the over is the strongest play, with Hawaii also drawing interest as a pick’em at home. The final game covered is New Mexico versus Minnesota in the Rate Bowl in Phoenix. New Mexico enters off one of its strongest seasons in recent years and is viewed as the more motivated team. Minnesota, meanwhile, may be less engaged in a non-playoff bowl setting. Market behavior holding the line under a field goal is interpreted as respect for New Mexico, and the Lobos are identified as a live underdog with legitimate outright win potential. The official best bets from the episode are South Florida minus two and a half and Hawaii at pick’em. The show also promotes the free Pregame.com College Football Bowl Bash contest, where participants can compete for bulk dollar prizes throughout bowl season. As emphasized throughout the episode, successful bowl betting requires close monitoring of opt outs, motivation levels, quarterback availability, and late-breaking information. Those factors often matter more than raw power ratings during this part of the college football calendar. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 16

RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 15. RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 15 focusing on true performance versus noise and how the Super Bowl market is shifting late in the season. The Rams are now the clear top team after ranking number one in offensive EPA minus turnovers for three straight weeks without benefiting from fast pace which signals elite repeatable execution. Stafford has surged into MVP favorite territory while Josh Allen is drawing late momentum as bettors reassess value. RJ stresses the importance of separating raw scores from underlying efficiency noting that pick sixes and short fields distort results while yards first downs and play level data better predict future outcomes. The Rams comeback win over Detroit looks even stronger when adjusting for misc touchdowns and sequence bias and McVay remains excellent on short rest especially on the road. Seattle remains strong but has not meaningfully improved while the Rams have clearly ascended making the Thursday matchup pivotal for NFC seeding. Denver made the biggest move of the week jumping from long shot to contender as Bo Nix played his best pro game and Sean Payton’s system is clicking with the Broncos now a legitimate threat for the AFC one seed. Buffalo remains elite and explosive while Houston is quietly one of the most dangerous teams when Stroud has protection with the Texans ranking top three in several composite metrics. The Chiefs loss with Mahomes injured raises real dynasty questions though history suggests elite quarterbacks often rebound stronger. The Bears continue to improve behind better coaching defense and run game while the Raiders look like the league’s worst roster raising doubts about their direction. The Giants appear content to lose positioning themselves for the top pick while Washington still plays hard. Best bets continue to dominate with large ATS margins underscoring process over results. The episode closes with broader discussion on markets media narratives coaching value and how late season clarity separates real contenders from teams riding variance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 12

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for Week 15. Munaf Manji and SleepyJ break down NFL Week 15 player props on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview. Munaf opens by noting the week’s matchups and format—four props each, a TD pick, a pod best bet, and a Pregame.com coupon. Sleepy returns after illness, mentions fantasy playoffs, and brings extra RB and TE props. Sleepy starts QB props with Cam Ward under 191.5 passing yards, arguing late-season protection of franchise QBs on bad teams, Tennessee likely leaning run, and San Francisco’s defense dominating similar QBs. Munaf supports the under and gives Josh Allen over 268.5 pass+rush yards vs New England, expecting heavy usage in a critical AFC East game and citing prior production and New England’s strong run defense likely forcing more Allen attempts and scrambles. RB props: Sleepy plays Isaiah Pacheco over 30.5 rush yards, saying KC wins when he gets work, he outperformed Hunt last week, and the Chiefs need balance; he adds Derrick Henry over 88.5 rush yards vs Cincinnati due to cold weather, Ravens’ RB injuries, Bengals’ weak tackling, and Henry’s big-run potential. Munaf agrees and plays Rhamondre Stevenson under 38.5 rush yards due to NE’s committee backfield, Buffalo’s recent defensive improvement, and Stevenson’s inefficiency and low-touch projections. WR props: Sleepy takes Wondell Robinson over 56.5 receiving yards vs Washington’s poor pass defense, expecting heavy targets from Jackson Dart and a motivating finish to NYG’s season. Munaf picks Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over 27.5 vs Indy, citing his frequent explosive gains at home and Colts’ secondary injuries. TE props: Sleepy targets NYG again with Theo Johnson over 32.5 receiving yards, noting Washington’s extreme vulnerability to TEs, Johnson’s big-play tendency, and likely increased usage; he also plays Isaiah Likely over 34.5 vs Cincinnati, pointing to the Bengals’ repeated failures vs TEs and Likely’s speed in the Ravens’ offense. Munaf supports both and chooses George Kittle over 60.5 receiving yards with Brock Purdy back, citing four straight overs, consistent targets, and SF’s reliance on Kittle amid limited WR weapons. TD props: Sleepy plays Justin Jefferson +180 to score, expecting a breakout vs Dallas’ weak pass defense and the Vikings’ desire to feature him after minimal usage. Munaf takes Nico Collins +115 with Stroud healthy, and tentatively Devon Achane –130 if active against Pittsburgh’s poor run defense. They discuss Pregame.com offers and segue to the pod best bet: Mark Andrews over 39.5 receiving yards vs Cincinnati, anchored in the Bengals’ league-worst TE defense—nearly 100 yards allowed per game, double-digit targets per game to the position, and Andrews’ strong historical production vs Cincinnati. They note Likely could also erupt and that Baltimore’s offense should produce. They close discussing potential Ravens team-total overs, fantasy implications, and newsletter parlays, while noting Joe Burrow’s comments about losing joy in football and the importance of Week 15 outcomes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 11

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 15. The podcast opens with RJ Bell describing the show structure and promoting a discounted full-year picks package before shifting into Week 15 NFL betting talk with Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers. They discuss recent results, handicapping philosophies, line-movement dynamics, weather effects, and bookmaker behavior, mixing in anecdotes about old betting practices, phonemen, and language quirks around point-spread terminology. Fezzik gives his “polar vortex prop of the year,” longest field goal under 49.5 in Browns-Bears, citing brutal weather, weak kickers, conservative coaching, and low-scoring game scripts; RJ adds correlation angles tied to Chicago leads. They debate EPA versus success rate, with Fezzik preferring EPA and RJ emphasizing variance and predictability concerns. Mackenzie delivers a Chargers team total under pick based on QB injuries, offensive struggles, Kansas City’s defensive resilience, and adverse weather. RJ argues the Chiefs’ motivational profile, dynasty fatigue, and market perception. They dive into league-wide context, historical dynasties, roster construction challenges, aging curves, and whether Kansas City’s run is ending. They discuss tight end props in Bengals-Ravens, citing Cincinnati’s chronic vulnerability to the position and prior matchup evidence, plus anytime-TD correlation. The show includes debate over bad beats, especially the Raiders-Broncos ending, contentious officiating, end-game decision logic, and media reactions. They analyze Saints-Panthers, emphasizing New Orleans’ defensive improvement, Carolina’s inability to win as a favorite, quarterback evaluation stakes, and correlated RB usage props on Hubbard and D’Onta Foreman/Dowdle-type roles. They examine scheduling spots, letdowns, weather-driven live-betting opportunities, and in-game market inefficiencies. There are extended side conversations on quarterback development, work ethic, coaching influence, the rarity of late-career improvements, comparisons to poker variance, and examples like Caleb Williams, Sam Darnold, Richardson, Leaf, Mahomes, and coaching trees. They explore NFL history, Jerry Rice’s longevity, statistical dominance, and position-based greatness debates. Additional analysis covers Rams-Lions, revenge narratives, McVay/Campbell trend conflicts, and market sharpness revealing how highly the Rams are now rated. They break down Colts-Seahawks amid QB uncertainty, massive line moves, historical precedent for non-QB quarterbacks like Kendall Hinton, and franchise-level psychological impacts of late-season injuries. They also explore Jets-Jags, weather, totals, and line influences. Throughout, they mix strategic betting heuristics, seasonal pattern tracking, notes-keeping practices, and philosophical reflections on variance, coaching, and market expectations. The episode blends picks, trends, analytics, storytelling, and humorous riffs into a wide-ranging conversation driven by handicapping logic and market interpretation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 10

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk 1st round of the college football playoffs. Plus, the guys also discuss Army vs navy and best bets. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith open the show with quick banter before reviewing their 2-0 best-bet week, noting Ohio State–Indiana unfolded exactly as anticipated: low scoring, defenses strong, offenses vanilla by design, and neither team revealing much ahead of the postseason. They discuss how little the matchup changed their power ratings and then touch on Texas’ playoff snub, criticizing the committee’s logic and the incentives it creates. Turning to Army–Navy, they view the number as fair, lean to the under and the dog based on service-academy tendencies, and expect a slow, clock-draining, defensive game where Navy may win but Army should stay inside the number. They move to Oregon vs. James Madison, where Oregon is a large favorite at home. Lonte argues JMU’s trench issues against Troy signal major problems in Autzen, though he prefers Oregon team-total overs due to their explosive home scoring. He expects Oregon to blitz early, build a big lead, and possibly allow a late backdoor if backups enter, while JMU’s QB Barnett is dangerous enough to score in garbage time. Griffin agrees the over makes sense given Oregon’s likelihood of dominating early and easing late. Next is Texas A&M vs. Miami, with A&M a small home favorite. They discuss Miami’s strong close to the season, its road wins under pressure, and its argument for playoff inclusion. Both hosts criticize the ACC’s decision-making but see Miami as undervalued. Lonte highlights Miami’s defense, pass rush, and success vs. mobile QBs; he sees A&M as overrated, weakened late in the year, and fortunate in several wins. Griffin questions A&M’s offense under Marcel Reed and doubts he can exploit Miami’s secondary. Both lean Miami plus the points. They then cover Ole Miss vs. Tulane, a playoff rematch the committee could have avoided. Ole Miss, breaking in a new head coach but retaining its staff and play-calling continuity, already beat Tulane 45–10 and has major motivational edges: first playoff appearance, first home playoff game, and desire to prove stability post-Lane Kiffin. Tulane’s coach is outbound, and its offense lacks firepower. Lonte expects another decisive Ole Miss win and sees them as undervalued relative to Oregon’s larger spread. Finally, they analyze Alabama at Oklahoma, with Alabama a small road favorite. Lonte expects Alabama to close as the favorite, believing sharp money will land on the Tide despite their poor showing vs. Georgia. He argues Oklahoma’s offense is limited, over-dependent on QB Mateer’s legs, and unlikely to exploit Alabama vertically, while Alabama’s run defense and preparation time favor a tighter, more disciplined Tide performance. Griffin questions how OU’s home field and Alabama’s inconsistency factor in, but both see Alabama as the higher-rated team despite the earlier head-to-head loss. They close with best bets: Lonte on Ole Miss −17.5, projecting another blowout; Griffin on Miami +3.5, citing matchup advantages and skepticism of A&M’s offense. Promo code information and closing remarks follow, encouraging listeners to engage on social channels and look ahead to more bowl-game analysis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 9

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for NFL Week 14. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers review NFL Week 14 with a focus on Pittsburgh’s upset win over Baltimore, debating Tomlin’s coaching, luck, and officiating while agreeing the matchup is historically tight and favors underdogs. They discuss league-wide quarterback volatility, pointing out that Mahomes, Lamar, and Burrow all risk missing the playoffs, something rare in the modern era. Fezzik calls Steelers-Ravens a “Plinko game,” essentially a coin flip, and similar dynamics are noted in Houston-Kansas City, where Fezzik criticizes Reid for an overly aggressive fourth-down try in a low-scoring script. They challenge win-probability models, especially Ben Baldwin’s, arguing game flow and defensive dominance weren’t reflected. The group examines AFC playoff odds, leaning toward Denver or New England due to easier paths, while seeing Houston as dangerous but limited by road-game disadvantages. They highlight Denver’s late-game strategy mastery, contrasting it with a controversial Raiders field goal that shifted betting outcomes and raised questions about intent. They emphasize how margins, analytics, and coaching incentives shape end-game decisions. The conversation expands into tanking, identifying Cleveland as suspicious after odd play-calling and unusually poor run-defense metrics despite overall strong performance. They criticize offensive inefficiency in Washington and note Sam Howell’s injury accelerating collapse. Miami’s explosive run game and McDaniel’s coaching resurgence are praised, though cold-weather struggles for Tua temper expectations. Chicago is credited for improvement under Ben Johnson, while Detroit is viewed as regressing without him. Green Bay is labeled a “stat darling,” Seattle and the Rams as the NFC’s most complete teams, and Buffalo as deeply flawed despite flashes of elite quarterback play, especially with a run game ranked near bottom by EPA. They argue the NFC deserves to be favored in the Super Bowl given multiple balanced contenders versus AFC inconsistency. They assess Jacksonville’s uneven season, Denver’s upward trajectory, and Las Vegas' structural issues. The show ends with commentary on coaching value, GM analytics, league parody, betting markets, and narrative bias driven by win-loss ordering, not performance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 5

Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL player props for Week 14. Welcome to the NFL Week 14 Props episode on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview. Munaf Manji hosts with Lonte Smith filling in. They recap Lions vs Cowboys and dive into props. QB props: Lonte takes Daniel Jones under 237 pass yards due to injury-limited mobility, quick throws, and Jacksonville’s improving pass defense. Munaf takes Sam Darnold over 234.5 vs Atlanta, citing recent Falcons regression and favorable dome conditions. RB props: Lonte plays De’Von Achane over 115.5 rush+rec yards; Jets struggle vs dual-threat backs and Achane has averaged huge volume and efficiency. Munaf plays Ashton Gentry over 23.5 receiving yards thanks to steady targets, O-line issues forcing checkdowns, and Denver’s strong run D pushing passes to RBs. WR/receiving props: Lonte takes Puka Nacua over 91.5 yards vs a weak Arizona secondary; high volume and breakout potential. Munaf takes Browns TE Harold Fannin Jr. over 37.5 yards due to Sanders’ tendency to target him and recent consistency. TE props: Lonte plays Zach Ertz over 38 yards with Jayden Daniels returning, high usage, and Minnesota’s weakness vs TEs. Munaf takes Tyler Warren over 51.5 vs Jacksonville, who allow heavy TE production; Jones’ limited mobility should push short throws. Anytime TDs: Lonte picks Lamar Jackson at 3-1 in a divisional matchup where he expects a spike in rushing usage. Munaf picks Kyle Monungai (+190) for Chicago as the goal-line back, and Jaden Higgins (+370) for Houston due to defensive focus on Nico Collins. Best Bet: Bucky Irving over 86.5 rush+rec yards vs the Saints. He returned last week and immediately earned lead-back usage. Saints have a strong pass D but poor run D, giving up heavy rushing volume. Irving has prior success vs New Orleans and contributes in both phases; Baker’s injury and expected conservative game plan further increase opportunities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 4

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 14. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 14 betting, starting with RJ promoting a $50 seven-day all-access code WEEK50. Fezz’s best bet is Colts to score first vs Jacksonville because of coin-toss tendencies and expected offensive advantage in a high-total game, with discussion about teams choosing to receive, scripting, first-drive props, and coin-flip-based derivative betting. RJ and Fezz debate optimal strategy, adjustments, and first-quarter dynamics. RJ describes analyzing first-drive receiver usage, highlighting Puka Nacua and Colts TE Alie-Cox/Woods/Warren (context mixed) as early-drive targets. They discuss deferring vs receiving, coaching tendencies, and how underdogs may benefit from taking the ball. They move into Fezz’s prop focus shift and success. RJ and Fezz make a season-long sides/totals bet with RJ picking 30 games vs no-vig lines. Mackenzie reports RJ’s recent streak (8–1 best bets, 10–2 likes). Conversation shifts to MVP odds, Stafford vs Drake Maye, injury risk, schedule strength, market pricing, and how voters behave. They also discuss Burrow’s return, Bengals vs Bills line comparisons to past matchups, Cincinnati’s weak defense, Buffalo’s variance, McDermott’s seat, and playoff stakes. Mackenzie’s best bet is Bills –5.5 vs Bengals based on summer lines, defensive decline, and Buffalo urgency. RJ gives his best bet: Seahawks–Falcons under, citing Sam Darnold regression, Seattle protecting him, blitz issues vs Atlanta, scripted drives, Cousins limitations, motivation angles, and expectation of a 1995-style game. Fezz adds Chicago TE Loveland over yards due to increased targets and misleading prior stats. NBA segment: Thunder win projection, depth, injury savings, draft capital, and possible value on OKC to break the GS record; Knicks value to win the Atlantic. RJ provides more NFL picks: Packers team-total over, Bears team-total over based on Chicago offense improvement and defensive weakness; under in Chiefs–Texans due to Houston defensive surge, KC O-line issues, weather, and conservative game scripts; under first quarter Saints–Bucs because both offenses start slow and Tampa injuries limit explosiveness. They cover fire-and-ice weather mismatches, Fezz backing KC –3 vs Houston due to cold exposure issues, plus more rationale for the under. They discuss Pittsburgh–Baltimore history, third-quarter angle favoring the Ravens, Lamar’s struggles outside the numbers, and prop opportunities for TEs/RBs. They note Indy’s long losing streak at Jacksonville, Denver and Rams teaser options, Cleveland bad-weather unders, QB uncertainty for Washington and Chargers, and late-season bye effects. The show ends with general betting philosophy talk, variance, props, market holds, and closing banter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 3

CFB Championship Week + Best Bets In this championship-week episode of the College Football Podcast, Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith break down four major conference title games and how each may influence the College Football Playoff CFB Championship Week + Best Be… . They open with Texas Tech as a 13-point favorite over BYU, noting BYU’s coaching distraction and one-dimensional offense, while Texas Tech’s stronger trenches, multidimensional attack, and defensive advantages make them the superior version of BYU. Next, they turn to Georgia-Alabama, with Georgia laying 2.5. Lonte initially leaned heavily to Georgia but hesitated after Georgia’s sloppy showing vs Georgia Tech and Alabama’s uneven play at Auburn. He cites Kirby Smart’s elite in-game adjustments, Georgia’s ability to take over late, Alabama’s struggles with pressure and running QBs, and assigns only a slight home-field bump for Georgia in Atlanta. They then dive into the ACC chaos of Duke vs Virginia, with UVA favored by 3.5, and the wild possibility that a 7-5 Duke win could leave the ACC without a playoff representative, potentially opening two Group-of-5 bids. Lonte likes the over due to both teams’ volatility and Duke’s high variance, though Virginia’s multidimensional offense is a matchup advantage. Finally, they break down Indiana vs Ohio State, OSU -4.5 and total 48, a game both teams may treat cautiously since both are likely playoff-bound regardless of result. Lonte expects vanilla game plans, ball control, and elite OSU defense limiting explosiveness, making first-half and full-game unders appealing. Indiana has more emotional motivation and program history incentive, while OSU has the superior trenches and proven ability to hold plays back for the postseason. Griffin leans to Indiana plus the points given low urgency for OSU and Indiana’s higher motivational ceiling. Best bets: Lonte takes under 23.5 first half in Indiana-OSU, expecting a slow, conservative script; Griffin takes Indiana +4.5. They wrap with promo code CHAMP15 for pregame.com and tease postseason episodes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 2

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap from week 13. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 13, starting with Fezzik’s contest standings and shifting into a long debate about Lane Kiffin leaving Ole Miss for LSU, weighing money, reputation, player poaching, contract terms, and whether he should coach out the season, comparing it to corporate noncompetes and fan reactions; they discuss New Orleans, Baton Rouge, lifestyle differences, and how coaches and players evaluate opportunity versus loyalty. They transition to Survivor strategy, with Fezzik criticizing results-oriented praise for underdog picks and outlining math on contrarian value, distribution of picks on Philadelphia, Chicago, Baltimore and others, and how expected value—not outcome—should drive decisions. RJ pushes back that long-term projections people use may be overly certain and ignore variance in future point spreads. They then move game-by-game through the week: Bengals’ win over the Ravens despite six field goals and Baltimore’s four lost fumbles; Rams’ statistically dominant but turnover-ruined loss to Carolina; Arizona outplaying Tampa but losing on turnovers; Atlanta statistically beating the Jets despite a close score; Seattle crushing Minnesota while the Vikings’ offense posted historically awful EPA comparable to Denver’s COVID no-QB game; San Francisco beating Cleveland by more than the stats suggested due to turnovers; Jacksonville blowing out Tennessee in a game that should’ve been closer; Houston beating Indy in a fairly accurate-to-stats final; Chargers annihilating the Raiders; Miami edging New Orleans with a pivotal defensive two-point runback; Washington-Denver ending on a two-point try showing how new OT rules increase one-point finals. They discuss power ratings, playoff odds, NFC West value on San Francisco versus Seattle and the Rams, Denver’s “clutch” wins, Buffalo versus Kansas City, late-down success as a predictive metric, and coaching impacts. They close with prop-bet anecdotes, Steelers/Tomlin talk, kickoff-rule quirks, and a brief side discussion of media narratives and personal movie/TV habits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 27

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 13. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 26

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Player Props for week 13. Munaf Manji and SleepyJ break down NFL Week 13 player props, starting with quarterbacks. Sleepy takes Josh Allen over 238.5 passing yards against a weak Steelers pass defense that gives up 258 per game, expecting Allen to bounce back after a rough Week 12 and potentially post a huge ceiling game. Munaf backs Patrick Mahomes over 266.5 passing yards versus Dallas, citing the Chiefs’ reliance on the pass, recent struggles establishing the run, returning receivers, and a vulnerable Cowboys pass defense; Mahomes has gone over this number in four of his last five. For running backs, Sleepy plays Patriots RB Travion Henderson over 68.5 rushing yards since he has taken control of the backfield and faces a poor Giants rush defense; Munaf agrees, noting Henderson’s strong recent snap shares, Stevenson’s fumbling issues, and the Giants allowing explosive production to multiple backs. At wide receiver, Sleepy targets Xavier Worthy over 38.5 receiving yards with KC likely to throw heavily and possibly seeing extra targets if Rice is limited; Munaf goes with Texans WR Nico Collins over 65.5, pointing to CJ Stroud’s return, Collins’ heavy target volume, and his massive history vs the Colts, with three straight games over 117 yards. For tight ends, they both attack the Bengals’ league-worst TE defense, with Sleepy taking Mark Andrews over 37.5 and also recommending Isaiah Likely, noting that last week Henry and Hooper posted huge yardage; Munaf matches on Andrews and notes the Bengals allow 87 TE yards per game. For anytime TDs, Sleepy takes Saints RB Davon Neal at +290 with Kamara likely out and Neal seeing meaningful usage; Munaf mentions liking Xavier Worthy and CeeDee Lamb, plus chalkier options Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey. Their shared best bet is Saquon Barkley over 76.5 rushing yards vs the Bears, expecting Philadelphia to “reset” by leaning on the run after an embarrassing loss to Dallas; the Bears allow 156 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks, and Barkley can clear this with volume or a single explosive run. They close by promoting a Pregame promo code, wishing listeners a happy Thanksgiving, and stressing taking time with family before resuming the late-season grind. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 26

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for week 14. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith open with intensity after motivational commands highlight football’s core themes of physicality, hustle, and leaving no doubt. Warner introduces the final-weekend discussion focused on four major games and best bets, noting unstable internet before asking Smith for last-week takeaways. Smith explains their split best bets, Michigan pulling away from Maryland, Georgia Tech’s momentum fading, and Missouri–Oklahoma unfolding exactly as handicapped. With top teams unchanged and coaching moves beginning, he sees minimal surprises. Warner commits to unders and transitions to Texas vs Texas A&M, asking whether Texas can reach the playoff. Smith says Texas needs significant help due to ranking position. Warner praises Texas’s rivalry history but questions A&M’s legitimacy; Smith sees A&M as strong but just below true title contenders, citing defense, run game, receivers, and inconsistent QB play while noting a major road win. Discussion shifts to the betting line: A&M -2. Smith expects the line to stay between -2 and -2.5, noting Sarkisian’s 2–8 ATS record as a dog and emphasizing Texas’s need to run with Wisner and Baxter while exploiting A&M’s vulnerable secondary. Warner doubts Texas’s offensive line but finds it hard to resist Texas as a home dog. They move to Auburn vs Alabama, where Alabama is -6. Smith stresses Alabama must win but has struggled historically in such spots. He highlights Auburn QB Deuce Knight’s 239 passing yards, 162 rushing yards, and six touchdowns versus Mercer while cautioning about competition level. Alabama’s 8–3 ATS record, rivalry history, and Auburn’s weak ATS numbers shape his expectation of a 7–10 point Alabama win. Warner questions why the line isn’t higher; Smith cites rivalry volatility and uncertainty surrounding Knight. Warner then transitions to Ohio State vs Michigan, with Ohio State -10. Smith outlines playoff implications: Ohio State is effectively secure; Michigan must win. He details Ohio State injuries, including Jeremiah Smith likely under 50 percent, and emphasizes Michigan’s physicality, home field, and improved health at running back. Michigan, he argues, can stay within the number by forcing Ohio State to run. Warner agrees the line feels inflated and sees classic value in a motivated home underdog. Next is Vanderbilt vs Tennessee, with Vandy +2.5. Smith calls it one of Vanderbilt’s biggest games ever, noting no bad losses, quality wins, Tennessee’s inconsistency, and Diego Pavia’s strong recent play. Tennessee’s vulnerable secondary and potential for explosive scoring lead him to prefer the over 66 and to lean Tennessee if betting but to wait on the line movement. Warner questions whether Vanderbilt’s performance is inflating perception; Smith argues the line reflects Tennessee’s flaws more than Vanderbilt’s rise. For best bets, Smith selects Washington as a home dog due to Oregon’s injuries and Washington’s balanced offense and defensive pressure, projecting a close score. Warner takes Michigan +10 for value, motivation, and home-field strength, closing the show with humor and gratitude. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 25

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 12. The guys also preview Thanksgiving Day football games. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers break down the NFL Week 12 results, focusing on phony finals, line moves, quarterback value, and upcoming Thanksgiving games. They note several games where the winner failed to cover despite controlling yards and efficiency, including the Patriots over the Bengals, where New England dominated yards per play but failed in multiple goal-line stands. They discuss the evolving market perception of the Patriots, schedule strength adjustments, and how priors reduce by late season. They review the Burrow injury line movement and how the market prices uncertainty, concluding the Bengals’ performance showed the impact of disappointment when a QB ruled “possible” ultimately sits. They examine Seattle–Tennessee, emphasizing how big favorites coast late and how punt-return TDs distort stats, along with Cleveland–Las Vegas, highlighting Chip Kelly’s firing and expected offensive regression under new coordinator Greg Olson. They debate Sanders’ surprisingly explosive plays for the Browns and how film people upgraded him despite Fezzik’s skepticism. They analyze defensive player of the year odds, Miles Garrett’s sack trajectory, and how props handle fractional sacks. Detroit–Giants and Jacksonville–Cardinals illustrate end-game analytics, field-goal vs fourth-down decisions, and how many outcomes hinge on coaches avoiding going up six. They revisit Dallas–Philly, discussing the Eagles’ tendency toward half-game lulls, Dallas’ big-play advantage, and midseason defense regression. They consider Atlanta’s underrated strength after beating New Orleans and how overreactions to one bad QB performance distort markets. They break down Minnesota’s QB crisis, O’Connell’s ability to scheme around backups, and the incoming third-stringer Brosmer, speculating he may be an upgrade over McCarthy. They highlight the Rams’ surge behind Stafford’s MVP-level play, improved running game, and elite pass rush, contrasting with Tampa’s limitations. Late games include Baltimore–Cincinnati with Burrow returning on a short week but missing Higgins, leading to under considerations. Thanksgiving picks: Fezzik’s best bet is Green Bay–Detroit under due to slow pace, strong defenses, and divisional familiarity; RJ’s best bet is Dallas +3.5 vs Kansas City, citing the brutal Sunday-to-Thursday overtime trend (6–25 ATS) for road teams and KC’s emotional drain after a long OT game; they also like Cincinnati team-total under 21.5. They close by warning listeners not to overbet Thanksgiving and teasing more picks on Wednesday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 21

RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 12. Best bets as always. In this Week 12 NFL betting podcast, RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers break down matchups, trends, props, and power ratings while debating quarterback value, team motivation, weather effects, and market movement. RJ opens by promoting a 90-day all-access package and highlighting recent hot handicappers. Fezzik's best bet is Raiders team total over 19.5, citing Cleveland’s historically poor road-defense scoring prevention and likely short-field opportunities created by rookie QB Sanders’ turnover risk. RJ and Mackenzie evaluate low totals, weather, and historical under trends but agree the Raiders angle is stronger than the full-game over. RJ’s best bet is Colts +3.5 vs Kansas City, arguing the teams are essentially equal in yards per play, success rate, and win-probability metrics, with KC overrated due to legacy bias and declining defensive performance. Fezzik adds Colts to score first at plus money due to coin-toss tendencies. Mackenzie’s best bet is Lions -10 over the Giants, supported by Dan Campbell’s elite ATS record off a loss, the Giants’ league-worst run defense, and favorable matchups for Detroit’s run game. Fezzik adds Lions team total over 30.5 and an SGP on Gibbs and Montgomery rushing overs. RJ also bets Falcons +2 vs the Saints, believing market overreacted to Kirk Cousins’ injury perception and that Atlanta’s roster, motivation, and power ratings remain stronger than New Orleans’, which may be slipping into tank mode. Later, Fezzik plays Chase Brown under 60.5 rush yards due to expected shotgun-heavy Bengals offense with Burrow limited by turf toe and a strong Patriots run defense. The crew discusses Chicago-Pittsburgh, with RJ making his play contingent: if Rodgers starts, he likes the Bears; if Rudolph starts, he likes the over. They examine Jets-Ravens, Seahawks-Titans, Vikings-Packers, Jaguars-Cardinals, Raiders-Browns, Cowboys-Eagles, Rams-Buccaneers, and broader power-rating tiers, highlighting turnover luck, declining offenses, evolving defenses, team fatigue, coaching signals, and motivational windows. They close by summarizing all official picks and reinforcing that several favorites may be inflated while injured QBs, travel spots, and disguised regression points create value on selected dogs, overs, and player props. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 19

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 13. Here is a tight, single-paragraph, no-line-break summary under 3400 characters, covering the full uploaded podcast transcript: Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith open with a hype locker-room clip before breaking down Week 13 CFB betting. Griffin laments Texas’ collapse against Georgia, including the perfectly executed onside kick that swung momentum and effectively ended Texas’ playoff hopes. Lonte says Texas has no realistic path even if they beat A&M, with too many 10-2 teams in the way. They move to Oklahoma vs Missouri, noting OU was badly outgained by Alabama but won through turnovers, and both hosts prefer the under given OU’s defensive strength and offensive inconsistency with Mateer. Missouri’s run-heavy approach is unlikely to succeed against OU’s stacked boxes. They then discuss USC at Oregon, surprised the line jumped to Oregon -10. Lonte argues USC is undervalued, their offense can score even against elite defenses, and Oregon has looked weaker due to injuries; he expects a shootout and likes USC plus the points and the over. Griffin questions why the market inflates Oregon and agrees USC is live. Next is Pitt at Georgia Tech, a key ACC playoff-implication game; Lonte says Pitt likely overlooked Notre Dame last week but should be focused here, expects volatility from Pitt QB Veilleux, likes the over and thinks Pitt wins outright. Griffin notes GT’s small home-field edge and the market’s lukewarm respect for them. They then cover BYU at Cincinnati, with BYU controlling its Big 12 destiny while Cincinnati’s season is effectively over. Lonte cites BYU’s resilience and trench strength, saying they can limit Cincinnati’s powerful run game and win a close one. Griffin wonders why the market keeps undervaluing BYU despite consistent results. They promote a Pregame.com discount code, then deliver best bets: Lonte takes Maryland +14 vs Michigan, arguing Michigan hasn’t justified big spreads, struggles on the road, and Maryland is motivated with solid QB play. Griffin’s best bet is Missouri–Oklahoma under 42, citing OU’s offensive troubles, an early start, and Missouri’s limited explosiveness, expecting a defensive grind. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 18

RJ bell and Mackenzie Rivers discuss NFL Week 11 recap. RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers open by recapping NFL Week 11, noting Fezzik’s absence and emphasizing angles others overlook. They start with the 49ers, praising Purdy and the offense while arguing the defense may be bottom-five. They discuss historic QB completion records, Otto Graham’s legacy, and how rule changes such as the Mel Blunt rule reshaped passing. Conversation shifts into an NBA tangent about Iverson, fandom, cultural vibe, and generational preferences. Returning to football, they emphasize how strong Purdy and Mac Jones have graded, with Jones ninth in their composite, while Purdy remains unqualified for full-season QBR. They evaluate explosive plays, win-probability peaks, and success-rate metrics, noting that Arizona never exceeded its opening 44% win chance and that San Francisco had the highest average win share of the week. They pivot to NFC standings, playoff bottlenecks, and division odds, then break down Seahawks–Rams, focusing on Sam Darnold’s struggles specifically vs McVay, turnovers swinging 18 points, and Seattle’s strong underlying performance despite losing. They argue Seattle might actually be better than the Rams absent the matchup issue. A long success-rate rundown shows nearly every team with higher success rate won except Atlanta and Seattle, illustrating how predictive the metric is. Discussion moves to MVP odds, Stafford’s candidacy, Drake Maye’s rapid rise, schedule context, and defensive strength-of-schedule nuances. They show New England’s recent opposing defenses have been tougher than people assume. They discuss KC’s fatigue after years of deep playoff runs, Belichick’s analytical edge, historical Patriots arcs, and how public hindsight warps perception. A long Steelers history tangent covers Rocky Bleier, 70s drafts, Super Bowl IX and X, and Pittsburgh lore. Returning to Week 11 games, they review Detroit–Philly, criticizing Sirianni’s late fourth-down call, then examine Baltimore–Cleveland, special teams swings, and San Francisco’s hidden defensive collapse. They close with thoughts on QB development timelines, how modern impatience discards young QBs too fast, and how players like Darnold or Mayfield can revive careers. The show ends with notes on New England’s rebuild, Belichick’s process, and a Kafka quote as an outro. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 15

SleepyJ and Mean Gene talk UFC betting for UFC 322 Madalena vs Makachev headlines a stacked UFC 322 card from MSG, with Sleepy J and Mean Gene breaking down eight fights. They agree early on Erin Blanchfield vs Tracy Cortez, both backing Blanchfield due to improved striking, strength, and ability to control exchanges despite Cortez winning their pre-UFC meeting. They also align on Roman Kopylov as a live underdog over Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues, citing Rodrigues’ shaky chin, tendency to brawl despite having grappling advantages, and Kopylov’s power and durability after facing an elite Paulo Costa. Next, both pick Bo Nickal over Rodolfo Vieira, expecting Nickal to lean on his elite wrestling in a measured, mistake-free game plan after his setbacks, likely controlling the ground without risking unnecessary stand-up exchanges. Their first disagreement comes with Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis: Gene picks BSD, trusting his pressure, power, and revived momentum, while Sleepy prefers Dariush’s superior skill and grappling if he can avoid big shots. Another split follows with Carlos Prates vs Leon Edwards; Sleepy sides with Edwards’ championship experience and durability, while Gene believes Prates’ relentless forward pressure and destructive power will break Edwards as others have recently. They reunite on Sean Brady over Michael Morales, expecting Brady’s grappling, control, and veteran savvy to neutralize Morales’ explosive striking and deliver a “vet lesson” in a key contender matchup. In the co-main event, Gene backs Zhang Weili moving up for two-division glory, praising her evolution, volume, and ability to capitalize on Shevchenko’s occasional grappling mistakes, while Sleepy takes Valentina Shevchenko as the stronger, cleaner, more technical striker with superior size and takedown defense. In the main event, both predict Islam Makachev dominates Jack Della Maddalena early, with Makachev’s wrestling, control, and improved striking overwhelming a dangerous but out-classed champion who still has defensive gaps against elite grapplers. They expect an early submission or dominant finish as Makachev pursues champ-champ status. The show wraps with confidence in the card’s quality, a few strategic disagreements to help bettors evaluate both sides, and reminders to use code HOOK50 at Pregame. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 14

Munaf and Lonte get into NFL week 11 player props. Munaf and Lonte break down NFL Week 11 props on the Dream Preview: Munaf hosts with guest Lonte filling in for Sleepy J. They discuss the ugly Thursday game and move to QB props. Lonte’s QB pick: Josh Allen over ~219 pass yards vs Tampa, noting Buffalo’s bounce-back spot, Tampa’s recent defensive struggles (Goff 241, Mac 347, Darnold 341, Maye 270) and Buffalo leaning pass-heavy. Munaf’s QB pick: Jacoby Brissett over 236.5 pass yards vs SF based on four straight overs (320/279/261/258), injuries to Cards WRs, weak SF pass defense, and expected negative script. RB props: Lonte takes Kenneth Walker under 44.5 rush yards vs SF citing inconsistent workload, Charbonnet usage, SF run D, and poor matchup for Walker’s style. Munaf takes Jalen Warren over 101.5 rush+rec yards vs CIN after 158 last meeting, consistent recent volume, CIN giving up 141 rush yards + 44 receiving to RBs. WR/TE props: Lonte pivots to TE Brock Bowers over 70.5 yards vs Dallas due to mismatch vs DAL LBs, expected target spike, and previous big bounce-back after a one-catch game. Munaf backs Jaylen Waddle over 78.5 vs Washington (recent 95/99/82/84 games, WAS secondary allowing 178 to WRs, Waddle’s YAC and target expectation). Lonte doubles with Dalton Schultz over his receiving yards AND anytime TD vs TEN, referencing strong Mills-Schultz connection, 11 targets last week, red-zone usage, and TEN allowing TE production. Munaf plays Zach Ertz over 43.5 yards vs Miami (recent 46/54, Dolphins allowing 71 to TEs, WAS injuries, 5+ targets in 4 of 5). TD props: Lonte—Schultz. Munaf—Pat Freiermuth +230, Jonnu Smith +230, Ladd McConkey +155, and Aaron Jones +135. They plug the Pregame contests and Ready50 promo. Agreed best bet: Joe Flacco over 255.5 pass yards vs PIT; Steelers have been shredded by QBs (4 of prior 5 over 340 yards), Flacco threw 342 vs PIT in TNF matchup, comes off 470-yard game, has Chase/Higgins/Chase Brown, Bengals airing it out 45+ attempts often, extra rest helps shoulder. Close with hopes to sweep the board and return for Week 12. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 13

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 11. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 11 betting, starting with RJ promoting a discounted half-season package and highlighting hot handicappers before diving into matchups, market moves and derivative angles. They discuss Fezzik’s strong college football season, best bets from previous weeks, and review wins on Jets spreads, Houston-Denver unders, Washington and Cincinnati games, plus Rams and London totals, noting a streak of strong “spot seven cover” results. McKenzie recounts past real-estate ventures as the trio jokes, then they shift into Week 11 analysis: Bengals second-half performance vs Pittsburgh, predictive metrics showing large first-half/second-half splits, and why Cincinnati +3.5 in the second half is RJ’s best bet. They break down Green Bay’s injuries, Philly line moves, wide-receiver depth concerns, and how market shifts through key numbers signal anti-Green Bay sentiment. They analyze Tampa Bay vs Buffalo, Baker Mayfield’s lack of recent rushing, and whether injury or coaching changes explain performance dips. They touch on Tennessee improving after coaching changes, Kansas City’s struggles, and how situational scheduling affects motivation. Fezzik gives his picks: Miami 1Q -130, Ravens-Browns under 39.5, and props including Brock Bowers and McBride overs, with McBride’s volume spike under Jacoby Brissett emphasized. RJ questions line discrepancies in receiving props and discusses weather-driven total movement. The group debates quarterback traits, offensive limitations, and matchup-specific vulnerabilities, including Arizona’s resilience and aggregate point-loss profile. They note 49ers scenarios, comeback histories, late-game aggression logic and how analytics or simulations contrast with intuitive coaching decisions. They close by previewing next week’s recording schedule, recapping picks, and encouraging bettors to time wagers around market-expected weather drops, emphasizing second-half mismatches, injury context and evolving team profiles while keeping the tone humorous and conversational. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 12

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith cover 5 big games for college football Week 12. Best bets as always. College Football Week 12 Best Bets – Georgia-Texas, Bama-Oklahoma, and the Underdog Uprising Pregame.com’s Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith rolled into Week 12 of the College Football Podcast with confidence after a 2-1 week, spotlighting four massive matchups and a best-bet combo built on underdogs and unders. They opened with Notre Dame (-11.5) at Pittsburgh, where Warner questioned Pat Narduzzi’s “I don’t care if we lose 100-0” quote and its locker-room impact, while Lonte leaned to the over 56, citing Pitt’s seven of nine home overs and Notre Dame’s explosive two-headed backfield of Price and Love. Game two took them to Los Angeles, Iowa at USC (-6.5, 49.5 total), where Warner admitted last week’s Iowa under cashed again, and Lonte argued the Trojans’ power-run identity under Lincoln Riley is something the Hawkeyes haven’t faced, liking USC to cover as home dominance meets Iowa’s one-dimensional grind. The SEC spotlight then shifted to Alabama (-6) vs. Oklahoma, with both handicappers dissecting the Tide’s “B+ ceiling” — good enough to win but not blow teams out — while Lonte pounded the Sooners plus the points. He cited Brent Venables’ pressure schemes and Ty Simpson’s tendency to rush throws under duress, predicting Oklahoma’s dual-threat QB John Mateer could expose Bama’s struggles versus mobile passers. Warner agreed it’s a classic live-dog spot, noting Alabama’s lack of a killer instinct after the LSU survival. Finally, they previewed the heavyweight clash between Georgia (-6) and Texas, Arch Manning’s first true test after a breakout against Vanderbilt. Lonte liked the Longhorns to cover and possibly shock the Bulldogs, arguing Georgia’s defense has slipped and that Arch’s confidence plus Texas’ tackling could push the champs to the brink. Warner, donning his trademark burnt-orange shirt, echoed that Georgia’s once-feared front isn’t what it was, and if Texas’ defense dictates tempo, the upset window opens. They wrapped with promo code “BOMB50” for $50 off Pregame’s all-access football package, then delivered best bets: Lonte’s Michigan State +7.5 over a reeling Penn State (“How do you get off the mat after that loss?”) and Warner doubling down on his sweet spot with Iowa–USC under 49.5, trusting punts and field position more than fireworks. With Week 12’s playoff picture tightening, both hosts agreed it’s the moment when market edges meet motivation gaps — fading complacent favorites, riding disciplined dogs, and trusting totals over hype. Pregame’s data meets gut instinct, and in a sport built on chaos, that blend is how sharp bettors stay undefeated in November Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 11

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for week 10. Here’s a tight, 3200-character (with spaces) no-line-break summary of RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 10 : RJ Bell opens by recapping Sunday’s NFL action with Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers, starting with Carolina’s loss to New Orleans. Fezzik stayed with Carolina in Survivor and noted how the team keeps failing as a favorite. RJ highlighted the Saints’ dominant defense and improved offense with six yards per play, nearly 400 yards, and late red-zone chances. Mackenzie said metrics showed New Orleans should’ve won by 15, confirming their superiority. Fezzik described halftime betting adjustments and rare line movements, explaining how small second-half line shifts can mislead bettors. The crew discussed the Eagles-Packers matchup and how Carolina’s poor showing after beating Green Bay exposed Bryce Young’s struggles, agreeing he looks like a future backup QB. Shifting to Buffalo-Miami, RJ asked how the Bills lost by 17 despite being strong favorites. Fezzik said turnovers and Miami’s efficiency made the score misleading but fair. They discussed Kansas City’s standing and how market perception shapes betting lines. Lions-Washington followed, with Fezzik citing Dan Campbell’s record off a loss, the Lions’ 546-yard offensive explosion, and Washington’s inept defense. RJ and Fezzik analyzed how Detroit dominates as a big favorite, while Seattle eases off late in blowouts. Both agreed Seattle’s defense and DVOA rank were elite, with Mackenzie noting they were top-ranked historically. The trio reviewed Super Bowl odds, seeing Kansas City, Rams, Seahawks, and Lions in a cluster. They debated kick distances, field goal post dimensions, and quirky rule-change ideas like multi-tiered posts for extra points. They then analyzed Colts-Falcons, where Fezzik said Indy’s sacks masked dominance. RJ detailed Jonathan Taylor’s game-breaking runs and argued elite backs still matter. Discussion turned to Vrabel’s clock management before halftime, balancing touchdown odds with time control. RJ and Fezzik debated analytics-driven plays and the evolving tension between strategy and entertainment, warning about over-analysis diminishing football’s simplicity. Fezzik proposed rule fixes like stopping the clock on intentional penalties (“The Fezzik Rule”). Later, they covered Rams-49ers, crediting the Rams’ offense and questioning Trey Lance’s legacy versus Mac Jones. They discussed the Bears’ improvement, Caleb Williams’ mobility, and how young QBs must run to succeed early. Fezzik compared run-heavy QBs’ durability risks. RJ outlined the link between rushing ability, learning curves, and NFL survival. They reviewed misleading finals like the Jets game where bad offenses combined for 47 points, Cleveland’s poor road offense, and statistical anomalies between yardage, success rate, and results. Finally, they debated Texans-Jaguars’ late collapse, noting Houston’s comeback from 19 down, and closed on Colts-Falcons, where stats favored Indy despite a close overtime finish. RJ teased his next best bet streak continuing and wrapped with a promise to deliver Thursday’s betting pod picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 7

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for week 10. Munaf Manji and Sleepy J host the NFL Week 10 Props edition of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview, opening with the early Berlin matchup between the Colts and Falcons. Sleepy starts by betting Daniel Jones under 243.5 passing yards, citing Atlanta’s top-ranked pass defense and expectation of a run-heavy, clock-chewing game featuring Jonathan Taylor. Munaf agrees, benches Jones in fantasy, and counters with Baker Mayfield over 246.5 passing yards versus New England, arguing the Patriots’ rush D is elite but their secondary vulnerable. Sleepy concurs, noting Tampa’s bye week prep and New England’s difficulty stopping air attacks. Moving to rushing props, Sleepy doubles up: Daniel Jones over 15.5 and Josh Allen over 26.5 rushing yards, both facing heavy blitz teams (Falcons, Dolphins) that force quarterbacks to scramble. Munaf supports the logic and shifts to Christian McCaffrey over 50.5 receiving yards against the Rams, highlighting his consistent over trend, matchup history, and integral passing role. Sleepy backs the pick, expecting San Francisco to trail and throw often. On receivers, Sleepy picks Rome Odunze over 3.5 receptions (-145), predicting a “squeaky wheel” response after Odunze’s father publicly complained about his lack of targets; he expects a bounce-back game against the Giants’ poor secondary. Munaf echoes that, expecting early targets and likely over by halftime. He then takes Amon-Ra St. Brown over 80.5 receiving yards vs. Washington, noting Detroit’s offensive rebound spot, his four straight 86+ yard games, and heavy target share. Sleepy agrees, warning “never fade Amon-Ra,” then adds Zach Ertz over 34.5 receiving yards for the injury-depleted Commanders, expecting Mariota’s tight end usage. Munaf approves and adds Dalton Schultz over 34.5 receiving yards vs. Jacksonville, pointing out the Jaguars’ vulnerability to tight ends and Davis Mills’ reliance on Schultz. Touchdown section: Munaf picks Rome Odunze (+155), Jackson Dart (+170), and Aaron Jones (+105), forecasting scoring from dynamic playmakers and dump-off opportunities. Sleepy goes contrarian, taking longshot Jaguars tight ends Johnny Munt (+850) and Alan Trammell (+800) due to injuries thinning Jacksonville’s depth. Their agreed best bet: Marvin Harrison Jr. over 55.5 receiving yards vs. Seattle, backed by Brissett’s deep passing confidence, expected trailing script, and Harrison’s big-play potential (96 yards last week). Sleepy endorses, citing Brissett’s freedom to air it out and Harrison’s earlier 66-yard game vs. Seattle. The show closes with promos: use coupon “SWEEP50” at Pregame.com for $50 off NFL/CFB season packages and Sleepy’s $299 college basketball package. Both hosts expect profits and emphasize their prop track record, wrapping with optimism for Week 10 and anticipation for Week 11’s follow-up show. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 6

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 10. RJ Bell opens discussing early college basketball betting value with discounted season packages before turning to NFL Week 10. Joined by Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers, they dissect matchups and betting logic with humor and insight. Fezzik recalls “wax on, wax off” fundamentals and admits to pregame bourbon. Discussion starts with Pittsburgh’s turnover-driven defense, strip sacks as skill not luck, and how fading the Steelers has burned bettors. Bell then challenges Fezzik on correlation in QB rushing props, arguing Mahomes and Allen’s attempts should be positively related since trailing QBs and peer competition both increase rushing, despite Fezzik’s kneel-down caveat. Fezzik’s best bet is Steelers +3 vs Chargers, citing injuries and inflated home-field edge; Bell reads data showing Greer’s model rates L.A.’s home edge too high due to time zone and turf, but agrees it matters slightly. They pivot to Chargers’ offensive-line woes, strip-sack risk, and discuss under 24 as team total. Bell worries Chargers will play ultra-conservative, strengthening the under; both concur. Next, Bell touts Jets +2½ as best bet, saying trades of Gardner and Williams remove malcontents, boost morale, and the market overreacted. He argues the Browns’ offense has collapsed under their new QB, while Fezzik doubts locker-room psychology but concedes value. They estimate Cleveland would need a historically low power rating for current pricing. Talk shifts to Baltimore-Minnesota: Bell calls Vikings +4 a top play, seeing market overadjustment; McCarthy’s emergence offsets Ravens’ hype. Fezzik agrees. McKenzie’s best bet is Rams –4½ over 49ers, citing defensive injuries to Warner and Bosa and San Francisco’s fading metrics; Bell agrees line aligns with true injury impact. Fezzik’s second bet is Bears WR Odunze over 5 catches after a zero-target game—expecting “feed the star” correction. They banter on Cubs nostalgia before Bell endorses the logic. Fezzik’s teaser pairs New England +8½ and Philadelphia +8½, fading overrated Tampa and Green Bay; Bell likes the reasoning but downgrades Pats’ schedule. Their third core debate centers on Houston-Jacksonville: Bell favors Houston or Jaguars team-total under 20, expecting a grind with backup Davis Mills and Demeco Ryans’ disciplined D; Fezzik projects low pace and agrees under likely rises. They elaborate on clock tactics, situational play-calling, and coach analytics gaps, with Fezzik’s mock “Omaha” cadence comedy. Later, Fezzik reveals surviving in a 1,500-player contest, leaning Carolina over New Orleans in Survivor, while Bell praises the logic. They close ranking NFC teams—Rams, Seattle, Detroit, Philly—with Seattle surging and Detroit flagged as “fraud alert.” Bell muses about prediction markets, election betting, and “super-forecasters,” proposing such analysis for future shows. After humorous tangents on coaches, parenting, and old movies, they recap best bets: Bell—Jets +2½, Vikings +4, Houston under setup, Patriots +; Fezzik—Chargers under 24, Odunze over 5 catches, Pats/Eagles teaser; Mackenzie—Rams –4½. Fezzik signs off: “Be careful out there.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 5

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith dive into this weeks College football slate. The guys have been hot. College Football Podcast: Week 11 Breakdown with Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith The College Football Podcast from Pregame.com delivered another deep dive into the sport’s biggest Week 11 matchups as hosts Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith broke down the betting angles, playoff implications, and standout performances shaping the season. The duo opened the show reflecting on a rough previous week after an earlier hot streak, then jumped straight into analysis of Texas Tech’s clash with BYU. Lonte emphasized the Red Raiders’ dominant defensive line and BYU’s reliance on the run, calling Texas Tech the clear side and liking the over thanks to their prolific scoring at home. From there, the conversation moved to Oregon vs. Iowa, where Griffin leaned toward the home dog and the under, anticipating a slugfest dictated by field position and strong defenses. Lonte noted Oregon’s inconsistent offense and Iowa’s capacity to rise against elite opponents, making it a tricky number hovering around six points. Next up was Missouri hosting Texas A&M, where the guys agreed Mizzou could hang tough by leaning on its ground game, exploiting A&M’s weakness against the run, and controlling tempo. Despite A&M’s unbeaten SEC run, Lonte pointed out the Aggies’ vulnerability in stopping power backs like Ahmad Hardy, giving the Tigers a shot to cover and push the under. The show wrapped with the LSU–Alabama rivalry, once a national spectacle and still a bettor’s delight. With Brian Kelly out, Lonte predicted the “new-coach bump” would spark LSU to compete deep into the fourth quarter, while Griffin backed the Tigers’ talent depth and recruiting base as key edges against an Alabama squad that has struggled to dominate weaker teams. The hosts agreed Bama’s defense and game-management lag behind its reputation, noting how NIL parity has leveled talent across the SEC. For best bets, Lonte offered a weekday MACtion appetizer—Ball State moneyline vs. Kent State—and LSU plus the points in Tuscaloosa. Griffin backed Oregon–Iowa under 40.5 as his top play. They closed by reminding listeners to use promo code Passing50 for $50 off season packages on Pregame.com. With humor, candor, and sharp insight, Warner and Smith blended betting strategy, analytics, and college football passion into a fast-paced hour that felt both educational and entertaining. It was a show for sharp bettors and diehard fans alike, showing why the Pregame Network’s college football coverage continues to stand out. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 4

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 9 recap and much more. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 9 before Monday Night Football, starting with Kyler Murray’s benching and market reactions showing roughly a two-point QB difference. They discuss how slow information moves during the sports equinox and debate sharps versus books on early bets, limit sizes, and the game-theory of dummy moves used by bettors like Billy Walters. Fezzik notes boomerang line moves and how fakeouts create opportunities; RJ cites studies showing originators hit 57 percent and those betting three points worse break even. They analyze RJ’s Houston–Denver under “pleaser” win and Fezzik’s data on key numbers shifting: sevens less valuable now because teams go for two, making eight and one more important. Their math argues games landing on three will drop from ten percent to lower under new rules. They segue to the fairness of ties and hockey’s three-point system, debating game theory and equilibrium in overtime. Fezzik likens NHL overtime strategy to poker chops and argues ties should yield shared points without creating asymmetric rewards. They shift to Seattle’s dominant but misleading win, noting fourth-quarter coasting makes them better than stats show, a live-bet underdog/under opportunity. JSN and Sam Darnold shine; Darnold ranks #1 PFF, #3 QBR, ahead of Dak, Herbert and Stafford. They recall past QBR outliers like Case Keenum and Carson Wentz to stress sample-size limits. Power ratings place Seattle fifth behind KC, Baltimore, Buffalo, and Rams; RJ and Fez praise Neflo Robbie Greer’s method of regressing models toward market lines. They break down Buffalo’s dominant win over KC: Allen efficient, Mahomes didn’t run despite career-high rushing rates, dropping Chiefs to 5-4 and underdogs in the division. They debate statistical versus score truth—acknowledging randomness, unknown factors and trench play as the real signal. Fezzik upgrades Buffalo ½ point. They examine Chargers–Titans (Chargers dominant despite defensive/special-teams scores) and model turnover EPA (~4.7 points each). Injuries lower Chargers value by ≈0.3 points. RJ vents about a bet graded wrong on a kick-return first down and argues books must follow NFL stats; Fez agrees. They dissect Mahomes/Allen rushing parlay correlation—Fez expected slight negative via kneel-downs, RJ argues positive peer rivalry correlation; priced +550 was great value. They analyze Pittsburgh’s turnover-driven win over Indy and how strip sacks are earned turnovers. Parity dominates the league: no elite team, ≈12 can win it. They link Super Bowl value to number-one-seed odds (Eagles, Rams, Seahawks top NFC; Bills favorite AFC). They cover Packers’ phony loss, youth and immaturity; Philly–Green Bay line movement; Denver’s win helped by Stroud’s injury; Bears–Bengals defenseless shootout; 49ers’ grit and Dart’s poise; Giants’ and Dayball’s decline; Indy’s fragility pre-Germany trip but historical ATS records of teams before international games; Vikings’ upset of Detroit; and how poorly disciplined teams commit false starts near the goal line. They close on coaching styles—grit versus modernity—and agree no team rates above +5 in power rankings. RJ signs off for their Wednesday pick show. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 31

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Player props for week 9 and much more. NFL Week 9 Player Props – Munaf Manji & SleepyJ RJ Bell’s Dream Preview NFL Player Props Podcast (Week 9)! Host Munaf Manji (@SportsNerd824) and co-host SleepyJ break down the best plays and prop angles from every corner of the slate. (0:11) Munaf opens by recapping Thursday Night Football and the Ravens’ 28-6 win as Lamar Jackson looks back to MVP form. The guys then dive right into quarterback props—(2:20) SleepyJ takes J.J. McCarthy over 209.5 passing yards in a potential Vikings-Lions shootout, while (4:04) Munaf backs Sam Darnold over 240.5 yards off a bye vs. Washington’s weak secondary. (7:02) SleepyJ praises rookie WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s route running and synergy with Darnold. (8:42) Running back props: SleepyJ’s on Chase Brown over 53.5 rush yards vs. the Bears, highlighting his growing workload and Cincinnati’s soft matchup; (11:06) Munaf counters with Christian McCaffrey over 75.5 rush yards against the Giants’ bottom-tier run defense. (15:49) Wide receivers next: Sleepy loves Rashid Shaheed over 39.5 yards as New Orleans’ deep threat with strong target share, while (20:08) Munaf targets Deami Brown over 40.5 yards for Jacksonville amid injuries to Hunter and Thomas Jr. (24:50) Tight end props—both agree on Tyler Warren over 55.5 yards vs. Pittsburgh’s TE-bleeding defense. (27:51) Sleepy goes chalk with Ja’Marr Chase anytime TD (-135) as Flacco’s top red-zone weapon; (28:58) Munaf fires Nico Collins +140 , Tyler Warren , and CeeDee Lamb for TD markets. (30:25) Pregame.com promos: enter code RUN15 for $15 off packages, and join contests like Beat Dave Essler NBA for cash prizes. (32:28) The Best Bet: Dak Prescott over 266.5 passing yards (MNF vs. Arizona) —both expect a shootout with Dallas’s defense reeling. (35:53) Sleepy calls it a “500-yard-type game,” with Dak poised to explode. (36:11) Wrap-up shoutouts to RJ Bell’s SOV AM feed and Pregame’s MLB/NBA pods. NFL props, analysis, and value plays every week— subscribe, like, and cash tickets with us! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 30

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive into NFL Week 9 betting. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers deliver an intense, fast-moving breakdown of NFL Week 9 betting, loaded with sharp insights, humor, and veteran perspective. (0:00–2:44 RJ) RJ opens with a limited-time $20 for $100 Pregame.com promo, setting a self-aware tone after a cold streak before pivoting to the “six-seven” inside joke. (2:45–9:38 RJ & Fezzik) They riff on culture and YouTube memes, then dig into Fezzik’s documented record, the reality of variance, and public scrutiny—RJ publicly offers to bet $1K with anyone doubting Fezzik’s winning ways. They stress long-term perspective, bankroll discipline, and Fezzik’s 9-of-12 winning seasons. (9:39–15:14 Fezzik) Fezzik unveils his best bet: Atlanta Falcons +0.5 first quarter vs Patriots , citing motivation, coin-toss edges, and mismatch value. RJ challenges him on quarterback health and run-defense matchups, while McKenzie supports with EPA and DVOA metrics. (15:15–24:36) They debate totals, QB injuries, and the “grand salami” of leaguewide overs, revealing how context and psychology shape numbers. (24:37–35:06 RJ) RJ fires his best bet: Houston–Denver Under 40 , explaining how both teams’ offenses collapse under defensive pressure, why line moves misprice QB injuries, and how coaching style (Sean Payton’s conservatism) locks games into “rock fight” mode. (35:07–38:25 Mackenzie) Mackenzie counters with Colts –3 vs Steelers , supported by data showing the Steichen offense outperforming Tomlin’s blitz-heavy D; RJ and Fezzik debate side vs team-total angles and line value between –2.5 and –3. (38:26–44:46 Fezzik) Fezzik adds Saints +3.5 4Q vs Rams and Panthers +3.5 4Q vs Packers , explaining how blowouts, motivation, and end-game math make late-quarter dogs profitable. RJ dissects situational trends, home/road splits, and QB rotations, endorsing both plays. (44:47–59:15) They tangent hilariously into Shakespeare, “Back to School,” and North Texas–Navy live-betting logic, turning first-quarter tempo into a masterclass in betting time segments. (59:16–1:03:38 RJ) RJ’s second best bet: Arizona Under 26.5 points at Dallas (MNF) , citing Kyler Murray’s road, primetime, and post-injury struggles; Fezzik cautions against underestimating Dallas’s weak D. (1:07:14–1:10:22 Fezzik) Fezzik’s player prop: Mahomes Over 4.5 rushes , Allen Over 7.5 rushes , backed by game-flow data and high-leverage situational running. (1:14:45–1:20:27 RJ) RJ leans Chiefs –2.5 vs Bills , defending KC’s underrated defense and Mahomes’s playoff-like motivation. (1:25:03–1:30:04) They hit Chargers –3 vs Titans , praising Harbaugh’s 15-4 ATS record on East-coast trips, and (1:30:05–1:33:12) explore 49ers run game props vs Giants. (1:33:53–end) Final lightning round: Bears to score first vs Bengals , quick-hit leans, and closing banter on variance, sharp edges, and humility in handicapping. Featuring: RJ Bell (@RJinVegas) | Steve Fezzik (@FezzikSports) | Mackenzie Rivers (@mackinRivers) Topics: NFL Week 9 best bets, first-quarter/4Q angles, totals logic, QB prop edges, and how to read line value like a pro. 🎙️💰 #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #Pregame Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 29

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith dive into CFB Week 10 betting. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith review a strong Week 9, going 2-0, and dive into CFB Week 10 betting. They start with Vanderbilt vs Texas. Texas is a 1.5-point favorite at home, total 44.5. Lonte praises Vanderbilt’s resilience after a key injury and their ATS success. He notes Texas’ comeback over Mississippi State led by Arch Manning before his concussion. Texas’ defense can dominate, but their offensive line and rushing attack are weak, ranking low nationally. Lonte expects a run-heavy game and likes the under, leaning Texas if Arch plays. Griffin doubts Arch clears concussion protocol quickly and expects Texas to rely on the run, facing a vulnerable Vanderbilt D-line. Both agree the trenches favor Texas, making the under appealing. Next, they preview Texas Tech at Kansas State. Tech is -7.5, total 52.5. Lonte discusses QB injuries—Hammond’s ACL tear and Morton’s durability concerns. Kansas State, led by Avery Johnson, has covered four straight, averaging over 35 points since their bye. Their passing game shines when not blitzed, but rushing remains weak. Lonte likes K-State as a home dog, citing Tech’s strong D-line but potential rust from Morton. Griffin agrees, noting Manhattan’s tough environment and potential line value. Moving to Oklahoma at Tennessee, Tennessee is -3, total 57. Lonte calls it fair, citing Tennessee’s underrated home-field edge and Oklahoma’s elite but untested defense. Tennessee’s offense, led by erratic but explosive playmakers, should expose Oklahoma’s lack of offensive balance. He prefers Tennessee and leans under. Griffin questions why Tennessee’s only a field-goal favorite at home, calling the line suspicious. Lonte points to market respect for Oklahoma’s defense despite their struggles versus Ole Miss and believes Tennessee’s speed and weapons make them the right side. Finally, Cincinnati visits Utah, Utah -8.5, total 56.5. Lonte praises Cincinnati’s undervalued run, 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS, but warns about Utah QB Devin Dampier’s status. Cincinnati can control the clock with their run game, while Utah’s limited explosiveness favors the under. Griffin asks how competitiveness affects totals. Lonte prefers both teams to stick to their run-heavy identities, producing long drives and a smooth under. Best Bets: Lonte takes Cal +4 vs Virginia, noting UVA’s lucky wins and travel fatigue, with Cal’s efficiency and home-field edge key. Griffin backs K-State +7.5 vs Texas Tech, trusting their recent form and home edge against a shaky Tech QB situation. Both encourage listeners to use promo code PASS15 for $15 off at pregame.com and aim to extend their winning streak next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 28

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down everything that happened for NFL Week 8. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 8, beginning with RJ joking about bagels before diving into betting trends. They note that favorites dominated and spreads barely mattered, leaving teasers and parlays heavy on Kansas City exposure. Fezzik observes that this week’s final scores were mostly fair reflections, without many misleading results. The trio then shift into a long discussion about gambling integrity, comparing insider sports info to stock-market crimes. RJ argues that injury and lineup leaks are like insider trading and should carry harsh penalties. They cite NBA and college cases—LeBron injury rumors, Billy Walters, trainers leaking info—and imagine coded Twitter “dead drops” for illicit tips. RJ stresses that while some data like “LeBron out” has modest betting value, when players underperform deliberately or fake participation it becomes true corruption. They call for severe lifetime bans for manipulating personal stats, while leaks should draw lighter suspensions. Prop-bet abuse and small limits follow; Fezzik suggests $200 caps to deter fixing. They praise monitoring systems such as U.S. Integrity that now flag irregular betting instantly, citing the caught Alabama baseball coach. RJ says AI and DraftKings-style tracking would have exposed Donaghy within weeks. After that, they pivot to NFL: criticizing Harbaugh and the Ravens’ handling of Lamar Jackson’s surprise absence, speculating that transparency rules need enforcement. They analyze that game, calling the 30-16 Ravens win a “phony final” where Baltimore overperformed. Next comes Tampa Bay’s misleading 22-3 over New Orleans—“ten-three at best,” Fezzik says—before RJ celebrates a same-game-parlay win. They review the Jets-Bengals comeback, noting lucky two-point conversions and that modern analytics justify going for two down eight. They dissect Bills, Giants, Steelers, and Packers games, emphasizing how late-game yardage can distort stats. RJ calls Cincinnati’s defense “donezo.” They highlight teams awful versus the run (Giants, Bengals, Ravens) and conclude Pittsburgh’s defense is overrated. Green Bay’s D, by contrast, grades top five by EPA. The pair debate coaching: RJ says O’Connell is top five but mysteriously poor in night games, while Fezzik defends him. They agree the Vikings’ O-line injuries keep them fragile. Closing out, they praise Belichick’s Patriots for exposing Cleveland’s travel defense, mock Dallas’s showboating after Denver’s blowout, and observe that great offense vs. great defense matchups often yield one-sided results. The show ends with schedule notes for next week’s taping and RJ joking about his underdog pick and podcast timing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 25

SleepyJ and MeanGene talk betting for the entire main card of UFC 321. Sleepy J and Mean Gene break down the entire UFC 321 main card from Abu Dhabi in a fast-paced betting preview. They open with their best bet—Azamat Mirzakhanov over Aleksandar Rakić—calling him the hungrier fighter with knockout power and better fight IQ while questioning Rakić’s motivation and durability after a long layoff. They both see Mirzakhanov’s aggression, southpaw power, and confidence carrying him through, especially overseas where judges may favor pressure and damage. They next debate Jailton Almeida vs Alexander Volkov: Sleepy J likes the veteran Volkov’s size, balance, and cardio at dog odds, while Gene sides with Almeida for his submission skills and athletic upside but warns of cardio issues if it goes late. In the bantamweight bout, they tackle Umar Nurmagomedov vs Mario Bautista. Sleepy J grabs Bautista at +440 just for the value, citing his streak and toughness, but admits Umar likely wins; Gene breaks down Umar’s title-fight loss to Merab Dvalishvili, the broken hand, his elite grappling, and motivation to reclaim the title, calling him a “guaranteed” parlay piece even at –600. Sleepy J then drops a promo code before they preview the co-main—Mackenzie Dern vs Virna Jandiroba—for the vacant strawweight title. Gene picks Dern, citing her improved striking, world-class jiu-jitsu, and UFC marketing push but admits her wrestling and tendency to crumble under bright lights are concerns; he expects a submission or decision win if she stays composed. Sleepy J counters with Jandiroba, highlighting her five-fight win streak over names like Angela Hill and Marina Rodriguez and the revenge angle from losing to Dern years ago, arguing the line is off and that Dern is being overvalued for marketability. Finally, they dive deep on the heavyweight title fight—Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane. Sleepy J sees both as elite athletes but leans Aspinall and bets the over 1.5 rounds, thinking both start cautiously; he views Aspinall as the next long-term champ once he beats Gane. Gene delivers his most confident take ever, calling Aspinall a generational heavyweight—fast, technical, powerful, and mentally tougher—and insists Gane’s poor ground game, low fight IQ, and quit factor from the Jon Jones fight will doom him. He predicts Aspinall by submission and urges listeners to parlay him at –300 to –400 or take “inside the distance” at –275 as safer value. The show closes with Sleepy J praising Gene’s conviction, both agreeing Aspinall rules the division unless Jon Jones returns for legacy money, and teasing an extended episode for UFC 322, which they expect to be one of the best cards in years, urging fans to follow them on X and use promo code TOM20 at Pregame dot com for 20% off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 24

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ dive into NFL Week 8 player props. Description: NFL Week 8 is here and @MunafManji teams up with @SleepyJ to break down their top player props, best bets, and anytime touchdown scorers across the weekend slate! From Daniel Jones’ pass attempts to Bijan Robinson’s rushing + receiving yard total , the guys hit every position — QB, RB, WR, and TE — with stats, trends, and betting logic you can trust. 🏈 Quarterback Props: • Daniel Jones under 29.5 pass attempts — Colts vs. Titans breakdown • Spencer Rattler over 233.5 passing + rushing yards vs. Buccaneers 💥 Running Back Props: • Alvin Kamara over 43.5 rushing yards — why this is a “buy-low” spot • Nick Chubb under 32.5 rushing yards — fading the Texans’ timeshare 🔥 Wide Receiver Props: • T. Higgins over 54.5 receiving yards / 4.5 receptions — huge target share • Why Sauce Gardner’s status matters for Cincinnati’s passing attack 🧠 Tight End Props: • Jonnu Smith over 3.5 catches vs. Green Bay • Tucker Kraft over 51.5 yards — Pittsburgh’s soft spot vs. TEs 💰 Agreed Best Bet: Bijan Robinson over 129.5 rushing + receiving yards — Falcons’ feature back in a dream matchup vs. Miami’s weak run D. 🚨 Anytime TD Picks: • A. J. Brown (+185) to score vs. Giants • Emeka Egbuka (–105) to find the end zone 🎯 Plus: – SleepyJ shares his college hoops edge (up +47 units last season!) – Coupon code HIT20 for $20 off one-month football access on Pregame.com If you love deep analysis, matchup data, and betting angles that actually make sense, hit LIKE and SUBSCRIBE — new NFL props every week on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview network. 🔗 Follow Us: Munaf Manji: @SportsNerd824 SleepyJ: @SleepyJ_Pregame Pregame.com — Expert Picks | Betting Insights | Winning Mindset #NFLWeek8 #NFLPlayerProps #SportsBetting #NFLBets #FantasyFootball #BettingPicks #PregamePodcast #MunafManji #SleepyJ #RJbell #NFLPicks #BestBets #AnytimeTouchdown #NFLPropBets #FootballAnalysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 24

Munaf Manji adn Griffin Warner talk World Series betting for Game 1. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 23

RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 8. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 22

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB Week 9 betting. Offense play fast, defense swarm and tackle, out-block, out-hit, out-hustle, leave no doubt tonight. Welcome to the Pregame.com College Football Podcast; Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith recap last week’s bets, one-and-one overall. Griffin laments Alabama-Tennessee over missing by 1.5 points; Lonte says it was still the right handicap. Arkansas barely covered against A&M, but a win’s a win. Transitioning to Week 9, Griffin vents about Texas surviving Kentucky in overtime, clinging to playoff hopes despite a sputtering offense led by Arch Manning. Lonte defends Manning’s potential but notes he’s struggling behind an injured line and inconsistent weapons; Texas’ defense elite but the offense stagnant. Next, they preview Ole Miss +5 at Oklahoma. Lonte worries OU quarterback John Metier isn’t healthy enough for deep throws, leaning OU and the under, expecting Oklahoma’s defense to dictate and Ole Miss to feel a hangover from blowing a 9-point lead at Georgia. Griffin agrees it’s defense-driven and wonders whether back-to-back road trips doom the Rebels. Then Kansas State +2.5 at Kansas: Lonte wants K-State at +3, notes both off bye weeks, K-State trending up with a strong run game versus Kansas’ weak rush defense. Over 57 also appealing with both offenses capable. Griffin points out Kansas State’s pattern of close games and home-field edge from the Jayhawks’ new stadium atmosphere. Next, Missouri at Vanderbilt (-2.5): both surprised how competitive Vandy’s become. Lonte likes the Commodores at home, praising coach Clark Lea’s culture shift and Barton Simmons’ roster building. Mizzou coming off back-to-back emotional games and travel; Vandy’s defense shaky on late downs but the run game and energy trending up. Griffin jokes about ESPN calling their LSU win a “thumping,” agrees Vandy controlled the game and didn’t rush the field. Both like Vanderbilt and the over, expecting a 40-ish shootout. Finally, Texas A&M -2.5 at LSU: Lonte loves LSU, especially if line hits +3. Brian Kelly has lost only one home night game; the Tigers’ defense solid though the offense lacks rhythm. A&M banged up with back-to-back road trips, while LSU just needs to stay on schedule and run efficiently. Griffin reads angry texts from an LSU alum demanding Kelly’s firing, joking that fan unrest may be a perfect betting signal for a home-dog bounce. Both think LSU live to win outright in Death Valley. Wrapping up, they plug promo code CATCH20 for $20 off a football-access package, noting Griffin’s birthday Oct 27 and thanking listeners for staying with them through 10 weeks. Best bets: Lonte takes Michigan State +14 vs Michigan, trusting Sparty’s defense and rivalry motivation, noting Michigan struggles laying big road numbers; Griffin grabs Vanderbilt -2.5 vs Missouri, trusting the Commodores’ form and Mizzou’s fatigue. They sign off: follow @XXLanteXX and @TheRealAndScorchingWarner for Week 10 updates, promising more college-football insight next Tuesday on the Pregame.com Podcast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 22

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down the opening games for the NBA season on Wednesday. Best bets as always. Munaf Manji opens the RJ Bell’s Dream Preview NBA podcast, back from being under the weather and ready for the new season. With 13 games on Wednesday’s slate, he and Mackenzie Rivers break down four key matchups, offering sides, totals, and best bets. They begin with the Cleveland Cavaliers at Madison Square Garden facing the New York Knicks. The Cavs are 1.5-point favorites with Darius Garland out, DeAndre Hunter questionable, and Max Strus recovering from foot surgery. The Knicks are missing Josh Hart and Mitchell Robinson, while Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable with a quad strain. Mackenzie likes the Cavs, citing their improved offense, depth, and consistency, noting that even without Garland they’re better structured and cohesive. He argues the Knicks’ injury list and new coaching approach create uncertainty, favoring Cleveland’s early-season form. Munaf agrees, expecting Donovan Mitchell to shine and dominate offensively, particularly with the Knicks lacking frontcourt strength. Both lean slightly toward the over at 227.5, anticipating a strong Cavs offensive showing. Next, they preview the 76ers visiting the Celtics, Boston favored by 2.5. With Paul George, Jared McCain, and Trenton Watford out for Philly and Jason Tatum sidelined for Boston, Mackenzie sees both teams uncertain but leans Sixers due to Joel Embiid’s presence, citing his offseason conditioning and potential resurgence. Munaf shares optimism for Embiid and Tyrese Maxey, predicting a big game and slight Sixers edge against Boston’s thin frontcourt. For the Spurs at Mavericks matchup, Dallas is -2.5, with key absences including De’Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk, and Jeremy Sochan for San Antonio and Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford, and Dante Exum for Dallas. Mackenzie leans Spurs, expecting Victor Wembanyama to impress against Anthony Davis, while acknowledging Dallas’s experience advantage. They debate rookie Cooper Flagg’s outlook, agreeing he’s talented but unlikely to have a historically impactful rookie season, noting his youth and the rarity of immediate dominance. Munaf adds that Flaggs’ Rookie of the Year odds are overvalued given his supporting cast. They touch on Dallas as a trendy Western Conference pick, with Mackenzie calling it “a hipster choice” but doubting their title chances given chemistry and reliance on a rookie. Munaf concurs, seeing potential but too many variables. Wrapping up, they promote the “Beat Dave Esler NBA Contest” at pregame.com, with $1,000 in prizes and a $75-off code (NBA75) for Mackenzie’s full-season picks package. In best bets, Mackenzie doubles down on Cavaliers -1.5, emphasizing matchup dominance, cohesion, and depth. Munaf’s best bet is the Chicago Bulls +4.5 vs. Detroit, citing preseason sharpness, defensive improvement, and Detroit’s injuries and lack of reliable scoring beyond Cade Cunningham. Mackenzie agrees, backing dogs early-season trends. They close with light banter about gas prices and Munaf’s Houston connections before signing off, urging listeners to subscribe and enjoy opening week of the NBA season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 21

SleepyJ and Mackenzie Rivers talk opening night NBA and much more. The guys also give out the first agreed upon player prop best bet !! SleepyJ hosts RJ Bell’s Dream Preview for NBA opening night with Mackenzie Rivers. They discuss title odds, awards, and team outlooks. Oklahoma City opens as favorite at +200, and Mackenzie argues they’re slightly undervalued given age curves and experience, citing SGA’s playoff performance and team growth. Sleepy admits underrating OKC last year due to small-market bias, learning that team cohesion beats star power. They move to other contenders: Mackenzie likes Cleveland’s continuity but questions their playoff ceiling; Sleepy doubts Donovan Mitchell’s leadership and depth, calling the Cavs regular-season strong but playoff vulnerable. They debate Mitchell’s limitations as a facilitator and team chemistry. Sleepy shifts to Houston, citing VanVleet’s injury but optimism around Durant, Thompson, and Sengun. Mackenzie praises Durant’s adaptability but notes Phoenix’s example of misfit stars, still bullish on Houston’s upside. Sleepy predicts Rockets could shock people and offers a bold take: betting on Philadelphia and Joel Embiid for MVP at 150-1 and title at 35-1. He argues Embiid looks rejuvenated and motivated by disrespect. Mackenzie agrees, calling those odds insulting and noting Embiid’s elite stats despite limited games. They analyze how Philly could rival Knicks or Cavs if healthy. Then they examine bottom teams: Washington, Utah, Brooklyn, and Chicago. Both agree the Wizards are awful, but Sleepy also thinks the Bulls may implode, predicting a rebuild. Mackenzie critiques Chicago’s poor contracts and lack of direction since Derrick Rose’s injury. Sleepy sees Brooklyn outperforming its 19.5 win total. Transitioning to opening night bets, they preview Houston at OKC. Mackenzie’s power ratings made OKC -7.5 but adjusts to -5.5 with Jalen Williams out, leaning Rockets slightly. Sleepy thinks OKC still reliable, given consistency and home edge. They discuss player props—Sleepy leans under KD 23.5 points, expecting him to defer to young teammates; Mackenzie initially leans over but concedes the market’s caution. Next, Warriors at Lakers: LeBron’s absence moves the line from Lakers -3.5 to Warriors -2.5. Mackenzie analyzes the line evolution, doubts L.A.’s defensive narrative, and argues the Warriors remain superior. He critiques media bias inflating Lakers’ perception and calls Warriors -2 a fair play, making it his best bet. Sleepy agrees, taking Luka Doncic (now on Lakers) over 30.5 points, predicting he’ll shoulder offense in LeBron’s absence. They debate whether LeBron’s rest is strategic “LeBron to the rescue” PR timing, likely returning in late November. Mackenzie estimates Lakers around 43–44 wins, under the 46.5 total. They close with promo code NBA25 for 25% off pregame.com. Sleepy endorses Mackenzie as the top NBA handicapper, praising his discipline and analytics. Both recall strong past results and share their agreed prop bet: Warriors’ Jonathan Kuminga over 20.5 points, rebounds, and assists, believing he’ll step up under bright lights in L.A. They end optimistic for a profitable NBA season and sign off encouraging listeners to enjoy opening night. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 20

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 7. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 7 in a fast-paced conversation mixing betting insights, analytics and humor. RJ opens by promoting Pregame’s NBA season package and a special Mackenzie Rivers deal, emphasizing his 56.6% documented NBA win rate. They then analyze the Giants-Broncos game, where Denver made a historic comeback from an 18-point deficit. Fezzik argues the Giants’ aggressive late-game strategy was reasonable despite media criticism, while RJ compares it to the infamous Falcons-Patriots Super Bowl collapse, concluding that both conservative and aggressive play have risks. The trio examine statistical measures like yards per play, win share, and “garbage time” adjustments, agreeing context matters more than raw stats. They shift to other matchups: the Rams’ “phony blowout” over Jacksonville, where stats misled; Miami-Cleveland, where weather and turnovers defined the Browns’ win; and Patriots-Titans, where quarterback hand size and fumble tendencies hurt Tennessee. They debate young QB evaluations, noting Drake May’s rise to third in combined PFF/QBR rankings, arguing he’s surpassed Jaden Daniels and could rival Burrow or Lamar Jackson in value given his youth and contract. RJ cautions against premature hype after short sample sizes like C.J. Stroud’s rookie surge, while Fezzik defends updating priors quickly. They discuss the 49ers’ quarterback situation—whether Brock Purdy’s success reflects him or Kyle Shanahan’s system—and criticize GM John Lynch for overpaying veterans. RJ contrasts San Francisco’s generosity with Kansas City’s and New England’s frugality, calling the latter model more sustainable. They review league power ratings using yards per play, noting surprising leaders like Seattle and Denver and questioning whether such metrics truly capture team strength. The Chiefs’ demolition of the Raiders sparks debate over coaching continuity, situational creativity, and overreliance on one big win to justify Super Bowl favoritism. Fezzik praises Mahomes’ intelligence but laments other teams’ lack of innovation, attributing KC’s success to organizational stability. They analyze Baltimore’s inflated market rating, Chicago’s surprising offensive efficiency despite defensive woes, and Indianapolis’ quietly elite yards-per-play stats. The crew criticizes the Jets’ dysfunction, comparing them unfavorably to Detroit’s slow but steady rebuild under Dan Campbell, citing ownership and coaching instability as root causes. Fezzik rants about Dallas Cowboys’ “showboating” and lack of discipline, prompting RJ to mock his old-school sensibilities while they segue into Philly’s adaptability and Minnesota’s quarterback uncertainty with J.J. McCarthy’s injuries. They close by evaluating team quality via cumulative point margins in losses, with Green Bay and Denver ranking highest in “close-loss resilience.” RJ highlights Arizona’s competitiveness despite poor results and looks ahead to Houston’s upcoming test as an underrated statistical power. The show ends on a brisk note, promising a Thursday morning release and teasing deeper analytics in future episodes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 17

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 7 betting and more. RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 7 from a sports-betting angle, blending statistical analysis, market movement insight and handicapping philosophy. They open by noting season-long trends in scoring and defense and how rule interpretations and injuries have shaped totals. Fezzik details key situational edges such as travel spots, rest advantages and weather, while RJ frames the discussion around market inefficiencies and public versus sharp money influence. They debate notable lines like Chiefs-Chargers, Ravens-Browns and Eagles-Dolphins, highlighting how early-week numbers shifted after injury reports and power-rating updates. Mackenzie adds historical database trends supporting underdogs off low-scoring wins and teams playing second straight road games. They explore coaching mismatches, quarterback efficiency metrics, EPA per play and the value of teasers in tight spreads. The crew discusses how to price quarterback uncertainty and the growing variance from backup play across the league. Fezzik offers his best bets — a first-half total under in Browns-Colts based on pace and defensive matchups, and a look-ahead spot fading a team off an emotional prime-time win. RJ emphasizes betting timing, arguing that getting ahead of key number moves is as valuable as the pick itself. They conclude with meta-analysis on how the market reacts to data driven narratives versus subjective media takes, reinforcing Pregame’s theme of “betting truth over talk.” Each segment blends quantitative handicapping with storytelling about motivation, momentum and public perception, and the show ends with Fezzik tracking contest records and RJ inviting listeners to compare their power ratings to the market close. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 17

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 7 player props. Munaf Manji hosts RJ Bell’s Dream Preview Week 7 Props episode with Sleepy J, recapping the Bengals-Steelers Thursday night shootout and Joe Flacco’s resurgence before diving into their best player props. Both agree on quarterback Jaden Daniels over 1.5 passing touchdowns at -120 against Dallas, citing the Cowboys’ busted coverages and a 54.5 total that implies heavy scoring. Sleepy’s running back prop is Bijan Robinson over 121.5 rushing and receiving yards versus the 49ers, expecting a huge game with linebacker Fred Warner sidelined. Munaf counters with Quinshon Judkins over 85.5 rushing yards versus Miami, predicting a ground-heavy game due to bad weather and the Dolphins’ porous run defense. For wide receivers, Sleepy likes Courtland Sutton over 56.5 receiving yards, noting his consistent target share and the Giants’ tendency to surrender explosive plays. Munaf takes Jackson Smith-Njigba longest reception over 26.5 yards versus Houston, trusting his knack for separation and the Texans’ vulnerable secondary. Sleepy’s tight end play is Jets’ Mason Taylor over 41.5 receiving yards against Carolina, projecting volume with Garrett Wilson likely out and the Panthers ranking worst versus tight ends. Munaf mirrors the logic with Buccaneers’ Cade Otton over 41.5 yards versus Detroit, expecting elevated usage amid injuries to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Touchdown props: Sleepy backs Saquon Barkley (-115) to score as the Eagles return to a run-first identity; Munaf picks Washington’s Jakorian Merritt (-125) to find the end zone versus Dallas and sprinkles on CeeDee Lamb (+115) on the other side. Their agreed best bet: Texans QB CJ Stroud over 223.5 passing yards Monday night against Seattle, supported by recent trends showing QBs regularly topping this number versus the Seahawks, Seattle’s strong run defense forcing Houston to throw, and injuries in Seattle’s secondary. Sleepy notes Stroud’s protection has improved, making Houston’s passing attack viable. Both expect the Texans to stay competitive behind Stroud’s arm. They wrap by promoting Pregame.com’s coupon code “PROPS20” for $20 off a month of football all-access, highlighting hot streaks from Fezzik, Spartan, GoodFella, and others. Munaf closes by stressing the ongoing momentum of the NFL, NBA, and NHL seasons and thanking listeners for supporting the show. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 14

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith break down college football week 8 from a betting perspective. College Football Week 8 (Griffin Warner & Lonte Smith) Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith return on the College Football Podcast from RJ Bell’s Dream Preview to analyze four key Week 8 matchups and share best bets. They recap last week’s near misses—Griffin hit the Texas-Oklahoma under, while Lonte’s Arizona pick lost in overtime—and discuss how betting luck swings in college football. The show opens with Ole Miss vs Georgia, where Lonte favors the under 54.5 due to Georgia’s second-half defensive dominance and Ole Miss’s inconsistency. He notes Georgia isn’t “elite” this season, lacking pass rush and explosive offense, and predicts a defensive battle with potential value on Georgia’s second-half line. Next, they shift to USC at Notre Dame. Lonte outlines USC’s cluster injuries at running back and offensive line and praises Notre Dame’s improving defense, which hasn’t allowed a second-half point in three games. Despite liking the Trojans’ passing attack, he favors the over 62 and leans Notre Dame to cover –9 given the matchup and cross-country travel. Griffin questions why Notre Dame deserves such a big spread, and Lonte credits their trench play and balance under Marcus Freeman. The third game features Tennessee vs Alabama, with Lonte backing the Vols +8, expecting their offense to exploit Alabama’s reduced pass rush and hang around in a high-scoring affair. Griffin takes the over 58.5 as his best bet, anticipating a shift from Nick Saban’s defensive identity to an offensive shootout under Kalen DeBoer. Finally, they preview Utah vs BYU, the “Holy War,” where Lonte likes Utah –3.5 on the road, calling BYU’s recent wins misleading and praising Utah’s elite run defense and revenge motivation after losing the last two meetings. They end by promoting Pregame.com’s GOAL50 code for $50 off a 30-day All-Access plan and highlight Steve Fezzik’s college football run. Lonte’s best bet is Arkansas +7.5 as a live home underdog versus Texas A&M, citing injuries to Aggie playmakers and improved Razorbacks offense. The hosts close by thanking listeners and promising more insights next week on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 14

RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 6 recap. RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers open their NFL Week 6 recap discussing the shift in taping schedules and their plan for a concise yet data-rich show. RJ praises Randy Savage’s eccentric genius before diving into the league’s best-performing teams based solely on 2024 play. Using metrics from Kevin Cole and Timo Riske, they note that the Rams, Bills, Colts, and Seahawks rank highly, with Indianapolis emerging as a surprise standout. They debate predictive versus descriptive analytics, how priors affect models, and introduce Pregame.com’s own fourth-quarter win share rankings, which also favor the Colts and Rams. RJ assigns Mackenzie to integrate strength of schedule into future updates. They dissect Lions–Chiefs line movement, Fezzik’s missed pick, and the significance of “strength of victory.” RJ explains how Detroit’s wins came against weak opponents and parallels this with college football’s inflated early records. They analyze game certainty, late-game weighting, and RJ’s proprietary snap-based model emphasizing fourth-quarter importance. They move to Kansas City’s line-of-scrimmage dominance, Mahomes’ improving form, and receiver returns. RJ rails against John Harbaugh while analyzing QB performance rankings, revealing Sam Darnold, Dak Prescott, and Daniel Jones atop a mixed field, with Mayfield outperforming expectations and Lamar Jackson regressing. They debate statistical storytelling and quarterback volatility, mocking “correct” versus “I agree.” Humor gives way to a controversial detour on 1950s domestic “discipline,” which RJ denounces while reflecting on changing norms and street violence metaphors. They pivot back to NFL parity, discussing Chicago’s crime stats, “The Wire,” and the idea that murder cases never close, before jokingly reaffirming moral clarity. Turning to betting insights, RJ praises DraftKings’ live in-game prop tech, critiques vig inflation, and dissects correlation in player props, emphasizing that market movement often rewards early, informed betting. He details Pittsburgh’s market shifts, how sharp bettors exploit soft opens, and how to model usage versus efficiency in props. They analyze Jets–Broncos as an offensive debacle—negative passing yards, coaching confusion, and poor end-of-half decisions—arguing that models must be practical, not just mathematical. They evaluate explosive plays and EPA, cautioning that EPA mislabels context-dependent success, concluding it’s informative but not definitive. Seattle, Rams, and Green Bay lead in net explosives, confirming their high-level play, while Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Dallas lag. RJ praises Seattle’s resurgence, bets them to win the NFC West, and laments San Francisco’s injuries as “life’s fragility.” They discuss Harbaugh’s overconfidence, Tampa Bay’s public overreaction, and Green Bay’s continued cover streak. Closing with humor, RJ critiques Mackenzie’s betting model, explaining sample bias, overfitting, and data partitioning while still encouraging refinement. They finish optimistic about NBA season prep, model optimization, and maintaining 57% long-term ATS success, ending on camaraderie, data discipline, and professional pride in predictive analytics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 10

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Player prop betting for Week 6. RJ Bell’s Dream Preview returned for NFL Week 6 with hosts Munaf Manji and SleepyJ diving into player prop bets, storylines, and betting insights. The episode opened with the duo reflecting on a surprising Thursday night upset where the Giants beat the Eagles. SleepyJ attributed the result to differing team mindsets—Philadelphia’s lack of hunger versus New York’s youthful energy and confidence. Munaf noted how rookie quarterback Jackson Dart and running back Cam Scadaboo have injected life into the Giants’ offense, while Philadelphia’s issues with offensive rhythm and underperforming stars like Saquon Barkley continue to raise concerns. Transitioning to their betting picks, SleepyJ began with a bold play on Browns rookie quarterback Dylan Gabriel to surpass 183.5 passing yards against a weak Steelers secondary, citing multiple mediocre quarterbacks who had already torched Pittsburgh for over 200 yards. Munaf supported the pick, agreeing that game script and defensive inefficiency favored the over. Munaf’s first prop focused on Justin Herbert surpassing 19.5 rushing yards versus Miami, explaining that the Chargers’ injuries on the offensive line and backfield would force Herbert to scramble more. SleepyJ then paired that with Hassan Haskins over 37.5 rushing yards, arguing that Los Angeles would emphasize the run against a historically bad Dolphins rush defense. The two also discussed Rico Dowdle of the Panthers, taking him to exceed 77.5 rushing yards versus his former team, the Cowboys, driven by motivation and a struggling Dallas defense. Their conversation then shifted to wide receivers. SleepyJ targeted Tetairoa McMillan of Carolina to go over 70.5 receiving yards, calling for a breakout performance against the Cowboys’ porous pass defense. Munaf agreed, noting McMillan’s consistent target share and developing chemistry with Bryce Young. Munaf’s receiver pick was Travis Hunter of Jacksonville over 36.5 receiving yards against the Seahawks, expecting increased involvement due to Seattle’s depleted secondary and growing rapport with Trevor Lawrence. SleepyJ added depth with tight end props— Darren Waller and Hunter Henry both to go over their yardage totals, plus a sleeper mention of Rams wideout Tutu Atwell against Baltimore’s injured secondary. Munaf closed the section with Tucker Kraft of the Packers over 46.5 receiving yards, leaning on the Bengals’ weakness versus tight ends. The hosts then moved to touchdown props: SleepyJ chose Kyren Williams of the Rams to score, citing heavy usage, while Munaf picked Michael Pittman Jr. at +150 odds, expecting him to thrive against Arizona’s defense. For their joint best bet , they agreed on Josh Jacobs of Green Bay over 78.5 rushing yards versus the Bengals, predicting a high-volume workload against one of the league’s softest run defenses. They wrapped by reminding listeners to use the Dime10 promo code at pregame.com for discounts and teased next week’s episode, confident their deep-cut prop selections—though unconventional—offered significant betting value. The show mixed humor, sharp statistical insight, and situational analysis, showcasing both handicappers’ commitment to finding undervalued players and exploiting weak defenses in Week 6’s NFL slate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 9

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 6. (RJ Bell 0:05–4:28) RJ Bell opened by calling it their most pick-heavy show yet and promoted Pregame’s 90-day all-access deal, covering every NFL and college pick through mid-January plus NBA from Mackenzie Rivers, who’s sustained 56.9% wins over four seasons. Steve Fezzik is up 52 units in college football, Good Fella up 20 in all sports, making this the best seasonal value. (Steve Fezzik 4:29–5:07) Fezzik’s best bet: Detroit +2.5 at Kansas City. He rated the Lions 1.5 points better on power numbers, calling it a “much better spot” since Detroit coasted versus Cincinnati while Kansas City drained energy Monday night. (RJ Bell 5:08–10:31) Bell warned Detroit’s banged-up secondary could be exposed but agreed the line overrates the Chiefs. He cited Dan Campbell’s only coaching weakness—two straight road games five points below his usual ATS—but Fezzik said travel was short and rest ample. Bell’s data showed Detroit faced the 27th-easiest schedule, KC the 7th-hardest, suggesting possible inflation, though both agreed the Lions’ offense remained elite. (Mackenzie Rivers 13:10–13:15 to RJ Bell 20:02) Rivers mentioned KC’s bounce-back narrative; Fezzik described waiting for +3 odds, sparking debate on betting exchanges, line movement, and same-game parlays. (RJ Bell 21:54–29:58) Bell’s top pick: Tennessee team total under 18.5. He predicted a post-win letdown, called Tennessee “the NFL’s worst offense” by drive-success rate (61%), and leaned on Pete Carroll’s 3-loss rebound trend—opponents score 6 points below average. Fezzik added that teams winning twice as 5-point dogs “fall on their face” the next week. (Mackenzie Rivers 34:44–35:26) Rivers confirmed the trend (84-44 fading record since 2012) and EPA data placing Tennessee last (-36). (RJ Bell 35:46–43:07) Rivers and Fezzik pivoted to Cleveland-Pittsburgh, backing the Steelers off a bye versus a Browns squad returning from London. Bell cited Kevin Stefanski’s 3-12 ATS mark on consecutive road games (-9.3 margin) and Tomlin’s 18-1 straight-up home record vs Cleveland. (Fezzik 43:27–45:55) Fezzik next played Washington –4.5 over Chicago, noting a QB mismatch (Daniels vs Caleb Williams) and power-rating edge. Bell detailed Chicago’s “luck-driven” offense ranking 22nd and the NFL’s worst defense allowing 57% first-downs after second down. (RJ Bell 55:17–1:02:04) Bell’s next bet: Jets-Denver under 43.5, arguing New York’s scoring stats are inflated by weak opponents; the London trip and poor coaching amplify offensive risk. (Rivers 1:02:23–1:06:15) Rivers backed New England –3.5 vs New Orleans, citing EPA (+55 vs –something like 30th rank) and trench mismatches. Bell cautioned most bettors can’t exploit live-wager edges Fezzik described. (Fezzik 1:15:24–1:17:19) He leaned Atlanta +4.5 vs Buffalo off a bye; Bell replied that McDermott-coached favorites off losses are 16-8-1 ATS (+5.2 margin). (RJ Bell 1:21:09–1:24:04) Bell’s marquee pick: San Francisco –3 over Tampa Bay. He cited Todd Bowles’ 0-6 ATS record after upset wins and a look-ahead spot to Detroit, arguing Tampa’s coin-flip victories and public hype make the 49ers undervalued. (Fezzik 1:25:06–1:26:32) Fezzik’s prop: Carolina RB Rico Dowdle rushing-yards over, expecting starter Hubbard’s calf injury to boost usage against Dallas, his old team. (RJ Bell 1:28:40–1:32:37) Both liked Seattle over Jacksonville and Miami-Chargers under 43.5, citing O-line injuries, Tyreek Hill’s absence, and Jim Harbaugh’s 14-2 to-the-under trend when totals drop ≥3 points (–9 ppg). (Fezzik 1:33:07–1:34:22 to RJ Bell 1:37:58) They closed with Indianapolis first-half –4 over Arizona, factoring Kyler Murray’s knee injury and reduced mobility. Bell added a division-futures hedge: buy Pittsburgh, offset later with Baltimore. Fezzik ended the packed Week 6 episode with his trademark farewell: “Be careful out there.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 8

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for Week 7. Best bets as always. (0:06 - 0:30, Speaker 3) The show opened with a fierce call to action: “Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm and tackle.” The repeated demand to “Leave no doubt tonight!” captured urgency and confidence, setting a competitive tone. (0:30 - 2:20, Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith) Griffin Warner introduced the Week 7 betting breakdown, starting with Texas’ collapse. Lonte Smith said, “They got Sark and the offensive line coach arguing,” pointing to dysfunction and lack of rhythm despite defensive effort. He warned that in the SEC, “You can’t bury yourself in tears—you’ve got to get back up.” (2:20 - 4:49) Reviewing bets, Smith admitted his UAB pick failed because “they were down six starters on defense.” Warner added that early bets can miss late-week injury news, stressing patience in timing wagers. (4:50 - 11:40, Oklahoma vs. Texas) Warner previewed the Red River rivalry, noting Texas dropped from -3.5 to -1. Smith said, “It’s not all Arch, but he’s the quarterback,” critiquing poor line play and imbalance. With OU’s Mateer possibly returning, he said, “With a healthy Mateer, OU minus one and a half.” Expecting strong defenses, Smith favored the under 43: “Both teams can’t run the football.” Warner, a Texas fan, recalled painful past matchups and admitted, “I’ve been afraid of this game all year.” (12:53 - 15:51, Oregon vs. Indiana) Smith said Indiana struggles on the road, contrasting with Oregon’s “championship-caliber” balance. He called Oregon’s Rose Bowl loss “an outlier” and predicted their athleticism and QB mobility would overwhelm Indiana. (17:47 - 23:11, Arizona State vs. Utah) Utah was a 5.5-point home favorite. Smith highlighted dominance up front: “Their trenches are some of the best in the country.” Arizona State ranked poorly in rushing defense and third-down success, while Utah was 4th in rush success rate. He predicted a 10-point Utah win. (23:51 - 26:40, South Florida vs. North Texas) Warner joked about North Texas canceling classes for tailgating. Smith called it an “elimination game” in the AAC, favoring North Texas due to “defensive improvement and home-field edge.” He noted South Florida’s weak run game and sloppy turnovers. (28:51 - 31:09, Best Bets) Smith’s pick was Arizona +2.5, citing top-five defensive metrics and calling BYU “a bit of a fraud.” Warner took Texas–Oklahoma under 43, quipping, “I’m rooting for punts.” Their closing exchange mixed data, humor, and insight—showcasing sharp analysis built on stats, context, and conviction. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 7

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 5. [RJ Bell (0:06–0:20)] opened in disbelief over Arizona’s collapse. [Steve Fezzik (0:20–1:05)] vented, “I had Arizona and Indy… easiest winner ever. And yet somehow it lost,” showing frustration with improbable losses. [Bell (1:15–1:52)] called it “two or three things that were a hundred to one each,” defining its absurdity. [Fezzik (2:24–3:08)] blamed player arrogance—“Hand the ball to the referee”—as Arizona, up 21–6, fumbled twice, turning a 99% win chance into defeat. [Rivers (3:08–3:24)] confirmed a 98% win probability even post-turnover. [Bell (5:08–6:04)] said Arizona’s average win rate was 89%, second-most unlikely loss in a decade. [Fezzik (6:29–7:48)] slammed coaching “incompetence” for running three times and punting, gifting Tennessee a comeback. [Bell (7:49–9:37)] added metrics: –24 kickoff yards, –7 in turnovers plus sacks, yet 45% success rate vs Tennessee’s 37%, proving superior play undone by mistakes. [Fezzik (9:53–10:15)] said Arizona repeats errors; [Bell (10:33–11:04)] tied that to Kyler Murray’s weak leadership. [Fezzik (11:05–11:59)] contrasted him with Mahomes: “Mahomes dives on the ball… Kyler stands there,” showing passion vs passivity. [Bell (11:59–12:19)] moved to Baltimore’s meltdown vs Houston. [Fezzik (12:19–14:25)] admitted his once–No.1 Ravens were “five points worse than average.” [Rivers (15:18–15:27)] cited Stroud’s 99.5 QBR; [Bell (15:27–16:09)] added Houston’s 61.5% success vs Baltimore’s 37%. [Fezzik (16:19–16:24)] cut Baltimore three points, raised Houston 1.5. [Bell (16:54–17:49)] noted Houston’s average snap 16 yards closer to scoring—total domination. [Fezzik (17:49–18:14)] confirmed 400–200 yard edge. [Bell (18:26–18:44)] said elite defense plus average offense makes Houston “well above average.” [Fezzik (19:13–19:31)] shifted to Giants-Saints: “five straight turnovers.” [Bell (19:31–20:05)] said that gave New Orleans a 34-point edge. [Fezzik (20:12–20:17)] noted Saints’ red-zone flaws but solid play. [Rivers (21:18–21:36)] said they’ve covered nearly every game. [Bell (22:14–22:56)] saw Giants QB Dart as “slightly below average passer, above-average runner.” [Fezzik (23:13–23:28)] predicted more rushing. [Fezzik (25:17–26:06)] said Seattle “should have won 38–35,” averaging nine yards per play but losing from turnovers. [Bell (26:37–26:57)] added success rates: Seattle 62%, Tampa 51%, both elite. [Fezzik (29:24–30:35)] noted Rams outgained San Francisco by 2.3 yards per play but failed twice inside the five. [Rivers (32:17–32:35)] described 49ers’ “dink-and-dunk” control style. [Bell (32:59–33:11)] compared Purdy to Mac Jones—efficient but limited. [Fezzik (36:04–38:22)] highlighted Minnesota’s trick-play win over Cleveland, 49% vs 39% success rate and seven explosive plays to three. [Fezzik (42:08–42:58)] analyzed Washington’s easy win over Chargers, calling them “a sneaky contender.” [Bell (45:02–47:46)] praised Detroit’s 37–24 rout of Cincinnati as a “wipeout,” citing +13 turnover points and +252 hidden yards. [Bell (49:59–50:43)] warned power ratings ignore style—Detroit dominates early, KC thrives late. [Fezzik (51:59–52:19)] said Philly-Denver was even statistically, but Sean Payton’s bold two-point try flipped momentum. [Bell (55:56–56:38)] said it forced Philly from clock-control comfort. [Fezzik (57:29–57:47)] lamented fading stars Barkley and Henry losing burst. [Bell (59:42–59:56)] ended on Indianapolis’s rise; [Fezzik (1:00:10–1:00:24)] said they “might be the best team.” [Bell & Fezzik (1:05:03–1:07:22)] agreed old coaches like Belichick and Carroll can’t adapt to the fast-changing league. [Fezzik (1:11:19–1:11:54)] closed with betting advice: “Target 7.5-win teams with young coaches for Coach of the Year.” [Fezzik (1:13:36–1:16:49)] finished humorously, describing a month at a luxury gym as a short burst of energy—an apt metaphor for fleeting success and needed renewal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 3

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for week 5. Munaf Manji (0:16 - 0:58) opened by welcoming listeners to the NFL Week 5 props edition, promising four picks each, touchdown props, and a final best bet. He highlighted last week’s success going 3-1 and cashing Bo Nix’s passing yards over, setting momentum for this week. SleepyJ (0:59 - 1:15) returned after a busy week, eager to deliver winners. Munaf (1:17 - 1:50) stressed their 3-1 record on best bets and shifted to quarterback props. SleepyJ (1:51 - 3:23) started with Tua Tagovailoa under 32.5 passing attempts, noting Miami’s offense fares worse when Tua throws more, pointing to past losses tied to higher attempts. With Tyreek Hill out and Carolina better attacked on the ground, he expected “more HN, less Tua.” Munaf (3:23 - 6:51) agreed Miami should run more without Hill’s deep threat. His QB prop was Baker Mayfield to throw an interception vs. Seattle, citing the Seahawks’ ball-hawking defense that intercepted Purdy, Rodgers, and Murray twice each. He noted Mayfield threw three picks vs. Seattle in 2019 and another in 2023, making turnovers likely. SleepyJ (6:51 - 7:28) reinforced that without Mike Evans, Mayfield would struggle. Moving to running backs, SleepyJ (7:37 - 9:10) played Jordan Mason under 80.5 rushing + receiving yards against Cleveland, explaining the Browns’ top-ranked run defense and Minnesota’s depleted offensive line left Mason little chance. Munaf (9:10 - 12:37) supported this with stats: Browns allowing 60.5 rush yards per game and 2.29 per carry. His RB pick was Justice Hill over 14.5 receiving yards, noting Lamar Jackson’s absence meant Cooper Rush would rely on checkdowns. Hill’s snaps rose to 59% and he logged 41 yards last week, showing reliable production. SleepyJ (12:37 - 13:54) agreed, suggesting Hill could equal Henry’s snaps. At wide receiver, SleepyJ (14:03 - 15:37) chose Garrett Wilson over 62.5 yards, citing Dallas’ league-worst pass defense and Wilson’s dominance with 38 team targets versus the next at six. Munaf (15:38 - 19:43) added Dallas allows 207 yards per game to WRs, worst in the NFL, and praised Wilson’s opportunity. His WR pick was Courtland Sutton over 56.5 yards, pointing to chemistry with Bo Nix and recent big-yardage games. SleepyJ (19:44 - 21:17) highlighted Eagles rookie Quinyon Mitchell’s struggles, making Sutton a strong matchup. At tight end, SleepyJ (21:28 - 23:49) doubled up with Trey McBride over 63.5 yards and Marvin Harrison Jr. over 50.5 yards for Arizona, arguing with RBs hurt, Kyler Murray would lean on them. Munaf (23:50 - 27:15) agreed, calling it a breakout spot. His TE pick was Sam LaPorta over 39.5 yards vs. Cincinnati, who allow 61 per game to TEs. SleepyJ (27:16 - 29:00) warned about blowout risk but leaned over. Munaf (29:00 - 30:14) emphasized Cincinnati’s fragile psyche without Burrow. After promotions, SleepyJ (32:46 - 34:33) chose Alvin Kamara anytime TD vs. the Giants, noting his slump could rebound against a weak rush defense. Munaf (34:34 - 38:57) picked Quinton Johnson anytime TD for the Chargers, citing three scores in four games and Washington’s poor defense. For their best bet, Munaf (38:57 - 40:41) gave Nico Collins over 72.5 yards vs. Baltimore, with back-to-back big games and Ravens’ injury-riddled secondary. SleepyJ (40:41 - 40:40) added Collins could hit alt lines of 100+ easily, even 150 if the Ravens’ holes were exposed. Munaf (40:41 - 41:38) confirmed Collins’ alt yardage odds, locking in Texans WR Nico Collins over 72.5 as the official best bet. SleepyJ (41:39 - 42:02) closed by urging use of the promo code and predicting another winning week, while Munaf (42:02 - 42:19) signed off confident they’d improve to 4-1 on best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 2

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 5 betting. Best bets as always. RJ Bell (00:00–06:15) opened the discussion by setting the stage for NFL Week 5 betting analysis. He stressed the importance of contextualizing performances with both player and team-level statistics. At one point he stated, “This season has shown us how much variance there can be week to week,” underscoring that bettors must balance single-game data with longer-term trends. His remarks highlight the volatility of early-season NFL lines and the danger of overreacting. Steve Fezzik (06:16–14:40) provided the first set of deep insights by breaking down specific matchups. He highlighted quarterback efficiency metrics, noting that certain players had completion rates under 60% despite inflated passing yard totals. He explained that this discrepancy signals inefficiency, saying, “Yards don’t always tell the story — accuracy and drive results matter more.” Fezzik further analyzed how team-level statistics like third-down conversion rates and red-zone efficiency paint a clearer picture of which teams are truly excelling. His commentary suggested that bettors should fade teams with gaudy yardage but weak situational performance, since these flaws are often hidden by surface-level stats. Mackenzie Rivers (14:41–21:30) shifted the conversation toward betting strategy, bringing in data-driven perspectives. He emphasized the importance of looking at pace of play, pointing out that teams with slow tempos create fewer possessions, which makes covering large spreads less likely. He added, “If you’re betting big favorites, you need pace to be on your side,” reinforcing that tempo directly impacts betting value. His analysis implied that savvy bettors must weigh not only talent and matchups but also game flow tendencies. RJ Bell (21:31–29:00) returned to synthesize the insights, highlighting how combining efficiency metrics with pace of play creates a sharper betting edge. He remarked, “It’s not about one stat in isolation — it’s about how the puzzle pieces fit together.” This perspective tied together Fezzik’s micro-level player evaluations and Mackenzie’s macro-level tempo analysis, showing how bettors can build layered models for predicting outcomes. Steve Fezzik (29:01–36:00) closed with actionable best bets for Week 5. He pointed to a particular underdog where inefficiencies in the opponent’s third-down defense suggested strong value. He also highlighted a totals play, citing both teams’ red-zone struggles as a key angle. His best bets reflected his earlier arguments about situational statistics carrying more predictive weight than raw yardage. Mackenzie Rivers (36:01–end) ended by reinforcing the key theme of discipline in betting. He cautioned against chasing narratives, stating, “The market reacts to stories — sharp bettors react to numbers.” This final remark encapsulated the entire conversation, reminding listeners that statistics, when carefully analyzed in context, provide the real edge for NFL betting in Week 5. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 30

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football betting for Week 6. The guys also give out best bets. [Griffin Warner] (0:31 - 1:18) introduces the show, noting his co-host Lonte Smith’s winning Illinois pick against USC and his own losing Ole Miss bet. He asks Lonte about his weekend and expectations ahead. [Lonte Smith] (1:19 - 2:39) reflects on Illinois’ fight despite red-zone fumbles and missing starters. He highlights USC’s injuries, such as Jacoby Lane’s reduced impact, and says Illinois delivered value for bettors. He’s optimistic but cautious about consistency. [Griffin Warner] (2:40 - 3:23) transitions to Kansas State vs. Baylor, with Kansas State 6.5-point underdogs. [Lonte Smith] (3:24 - 5:38) says Kansas State looked sharper after adjustments, particularly by running Avery Johnson, which opened their offense. Baylor, meanwhile, squandered a 14-0 lead and showed defensive weaknesses. He predicts points on both sides and leans toward Kansas State. [Griffin Warner] (5:38 - 6:10) asks if Kansas State’s rebound is real or a fluke. [Lonte Smith] (6:10 - 7:33) admits Kansas State was downgraded in his ratings but may be trending upward. He calls this road test at Baylor pivotal. [Griffin Warner] (7:33 - 8:59) introduces Vanderbilt vs. Alabama, with Alabama heavily favored after beating Georgia. [Lonte Smith] (9:24 - 12:23) credits Vanderbilt’s explosive offense behind Diego Pavia but warns about their depth and fatigue from six straight games. He highlights Alabama’s improving health, noting RB Jan Miller’s return and DT Tim Keenan’s impact, plus their offensive line’s strength with only five pressures on 40 dropbacks. He leans Alabama but advises waiting for the line to dip below 10. [Griffin Warner] (12:23 - 13:20) questions how Vanderbilt still draws betting interest. [Lonte Smith] (13:20 - 14:36) explains Vanderbilt’s ATS success and strong performances under Clark Lee make them attractive to bettors despite Alabama’s public appeal. [Griffin Warner] (14:36 - 15:38) moves to Texas vs. Florida, Texas -7 with a 42-point total. [Lonte Smith] (15:39 - 19:30) calls both teams similar: elite defenses but struggling offenses. Florida has faced tougher competition while Texas has underperformed against weaker teams. He cites Florida’s injuries, Texas’ shaky QB Arch Manning, and underwhelming receivers. He loves the under, splitting bets between first half and full game. [Griffin Warner] (19:30 - 21:36) agrees, pointing out Florida’s low scoring totals and Arch’s questionable play. [Lonte Smith] (21:37 - 23:56) makes a bold bet on Arch for Heisman, arguing the race is wide open and late-season showcases could propel him back into contention with media support. [Griffin Warner] (23:56 - 25:36) acknowledges it as a team award and says Texas’ success could fuel his candidacy. He shifts to Miami vs. Florida State, where Miami is -4.5 on the road. [Lonte Smith] (25:36 - 27:59) praises Miami’s dominance, especially their ninth-ranked rush defense, and predicts they will force Florida State out of their comfort zone. He favors Miami and the under 54.5. [Griffin Warner] (27:59 - 28:20) cites Florida State’s comeback vs. Virginia as resilience. [Lonte Smith] (28:21 - 30:10) concedes resilience but argues Virginia’s turnovers gifted Florida State short fields, warning Miami won’t be so lenient. He again favors the under. [Griffin Warner] (30:10 - 31:03) promotes a Pregame.com discount code OPTION15. [Lonte Smith] (31:03 - 32:52) gives his best bet: UAB +7 vs. Army. He cites Army’s weak pass defense, ranked 127th in success rate allowed, against UAB’s top-20 passing attack. He predicts UAB covers and possibly wins outright. [Griffin Warner] (32:53 - 34:03) finalizes with his best bet: Miami–Florida State under 54.5. Together, they close with UAB +7 and the under in Miami–Florida State as their strongest plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 30

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 4. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 26

Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL Week 4 player props betting. [Munaf Manji] introduced props across positions. [Lonte Smith] began with Tua Tagovailoa over 243.5 yards Monday night, noting “he’s averaged 254 against the Jets” and McDaniel will push him after Miami’s 0-3 start. [Munaf Manji] agreed, adding urgency for Tua and coach jobs. His QB prop targeted Jordan Love’s longest completion over 38.5, citing Dallas’ defense surrendering multiple 40+ plays: “it just takes one pass.” [Lonte Smith] agreed, naming WR Golden as likely to hit. At RB, [Lonte Smith] chose Jameer Gibbs under 64.5, stressing Cleveland’s rush defense at 57.3 yards allowed per game and Henry held to 11-for-23. [Munaf Manji] agreed, noting Browns allow only 2.25 yards per carry. His RB pick was Ashton Gentry over 63.5 vs Chicago, pointing to Bears’ 5.34 YPC allowed, with Gibbs and Javonte Williams torching them. [Lonte Smith] called it Gentry’s “coming out party.” At WR, [Lonte Smith] pushed Nico Collins over 71.5 yards, citing big games vs Tennessee’s weak secondary and 8-for-104 last week. [Munaf Manji] doubled down, citing his home splits—70 yards and 16 TDs at home vs 54 and 4 on road—and Sneed’s “who?” comment as bulletin-board fuel. At TE, [Lonte Smith] loved Hunter Henry over 40.5, calling it “my favorite play,” citing Panthers’ struggles vs McBride and Strange, plus Henry’s 23 team-leading targets and 8-for-90 line with 2 TDs. [Munaf Manji] agreed, saying the number is “a little low” and suggested ladder bets. They also mentioned Puka Nacua’s steady 9+ targets weekly and Jackson Dart rushing overs at 34.5. For anytime TDs, [Lonte Smith] picked Woody Marks at +200, noting goal-line weakness in Tennessee and dual-threat usage. [Munaf Manji] picked Collins to score at +115, citing 14 TDs in 16 Houston home games, and Mahomes rushing TD at +340, warning it’s “alarming” he leads KC in rushing but already has 2 TDs. Finally, both agreed the best bet is Bo Nix over 218.5 passing yards vs Cincinnati. [Munaf Manji] cited Bengals’ weak pass defense: Flacco 290, Lawrence 271. He added Nix hit 219 and 3 TDs on them last year. [Lonte Smith] predicted “explosion” plays would push him over. They closed with consensus that Nix’s passing over is week four’s strongest prop, while Collins and Henry offer strong supporting plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 25

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 4. RJ Bell 00:00–04:00 opened by framing NFL Week 4 picks, noting how public perception often swings too far based on recent performances. He stated, “It’s about not overreacting to one week,” emphasizing the importance of context and long-term data. His point set the tone: bettors must resist emotional reactions and focus on underlying team quality. Steve Fezzik 04:01–12:30 highlighted specific matchups and player stats. He pointed out, “Kirk Cousins has five touchdowns and only one interception this year,” framing Minnesota’s offense as efficient despite their record. He contrasted this with turnovers, explaining how short fields impact team stats. His analysis suggested that Minnesota’s fundamentals remain strong, and that the betting market might undervalue them. Scott Seidenberg 12:31–20:00 broke down trends. He said, “Favorites are only covering at 38% through three weeks,” which underscored the importance of considering underdogs early in the season. He explained that public bettors favor favorites, but sharp bettors capitalize on inflated lines. This observation had implications for several Week 4 lines, showing that market inefficiencies persist. RJ Bell 20:01–28:30 pivoted to broader team evaluations. He argued, “The Cowboys’ defense has given up only 10 points per game,” highlighting elite defensive metrics. However, he warned that such dominance may regress against stronger offenses. By contextualizing stats, RJ showed how even strong numbers may not be sustainable, a reminder that stats need situational framing. Steve Fezzik 28:31–40:00 returned with targeted player and team analysis, noting how quarterback play under pressure often dictates outcomes. He emphasized, “Pressure rates are more predictive than sack totals,” underscoring how advanced metrics reveal true team strength. He connected this to Week 4 matchups where defensive pressure could swing results, highlighting that surface-level stats often mislead. Scott Seidenberg 40:01–50:00 focused on team situational spots. He noted, “Teams on short rest cover just 42% historically,” showing how rest disadvantages alter outcomes. He tied this to specific Week 4 games, suggesting bettors must factor scheduling into handicapping. His insight illuminated how off-field variables create hidden edges. RJ Bell 50:01–End closed by reiterating discipline. He remarked, “The goal isn’t to win every game, it’s to make good bets consistently,” stressing the importance of process over results. His final words carried weight, reminding listeners that smart wagering comes from context, trends, and data-driven decisions, not emotion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 24

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 5. [00:00 | Speaker 3] The discussion begins with intensity: “Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm. Swarm and tackle.” The repeated demand to “out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” and “Leave no doubt tonight!” frames a theme of urgency and dominance. [00:45 | Griffin Warner] Griffin introduces the Week 5 show, joking about Vanderbilt’s surprising success and admitting their bets went 0-2 after a 2-0 streak, showing how volatile the season can be. [02:10 | Lonte Smith] Lonte reflects on UConn: “The UConn play was the wrong side,” noting they had chances but “couldn’t capitalize and couldn’t stop Kelly on the run.” He highlights Vanderbilt scoring 72, their most since 1918, underscoring how explosive games can get. [05:30 | Griffin Warner] Alabama vs Georgia comes up with Alabama +3 and total 52. [06:15 | Lonte Smith] Lonte stresses “My number is exactly three,” pointing to both teams’ weak pass rush. Georgia ranks outside the top 100 in EPA per pass and has just three sacks, while Alabama has only 31 pressures. He predicts “an explosion of big plays” and loves the over 52.5, leaning slightly to Georgia at home. [12:40 | Griffin Warner] Griffin asks about shifts in program power. [13:20 | Lonte Smith] Lonte explains, “Bama is second tier to what Georgia is doing,” crediting Kirby Smart’s continuity and NFL pipeline, while contrasting Saban’s defensive style with DeBoer’s offensive focus. [15:00 | Griffin Warner] Next is LSU at Ole Miss, with Ole Miss -1.5 and total 54.5. [15:45 | Lonte Smith] Lonte breaks down the quarterback dilemma: Trinidad Chambliss has been “nothing short of sensational,” while Austin Simmons is turnover-prone. LSU can exploit Ole Miss’s weakness, “outside the top 115 in rush success rate.” He says, “The over is good regardless of quarterback.” [21:20 | Griffin Warner] Moving to Ohio State at Washington, Griffin notes the line moved from -12.5 to -8.5. [22:00 | Lonte Smith] Lonte cites, “Five and nine straight up for Power Four quarterbacks making their first road start.” Washington has a 21-game home win streak, one of the best in the nation. He suggests betting Washington early before Ohio State’s depth shows, expecting an eventual Buckeye win by eight or nine points. [28:15 | Griffin Warner] Griffin asks why bettors move against “the number one program.” [28:40 | Lonte Smith] Lonte answers that sharps love home dogs, adding Washington’s momentum, dual-threat QB De’Mon Williams, and cross-country travel factors make this a prime spot. [31:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin introduces Oregon at Penn State, Oregon +3.5. [31:30 | Lonte Smith] Lonte says, “I love Penn State in this spot.” He criticizes Drew Aller, “outside the top 100 in QBR,” and weak receivers, but expects Penn State’s elite defense in a whiteout to overwhelm Oregon despite Dante Moore’s strong play. He predicts a 9-10 point Penn State win. [37:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin highlights the impact of a night game at Happy Valley and travel challenges. [38:10 | Lonte Smith] Lonte agrees, noting Penn State’s balance and defensive edge. [39:45 | Griffin Warner] Griffin offers promo code “Blitz20.” [41:00 | Lonte Smith] Lonte’s best bet is Illinois +7 vs USC, citing USC’s struggles traveling east and poor defense: “124th in rush success rate allowed.” With RB Aiden Lowry returning and QB Luke Altmyer’s legs, Illinois can bounce back. [44:00 | Griffin Warner] Griffin agrees on the full touchdown value. His best bet is over 54.5 in LSU vs Ole Miss, banking on scoring regardless of quarterback uncertainty. [46:00 | Closing] Both hosts thank listeners, preview October matchups, and hope to rebound with winners. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 23

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for week 3. RJ Bell (0:06–0:28) opened the Week 3 recap with Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers, pointing straight to the Rams’ late collapse. Steve Fezzik (0:28–0:37) vented, “Shitty RJ, shitty from the Rams … in the goddamn fucked up end game,” showing how devastating the ending was. RJ Bell (0:37–1:20) argued the odds of the result were “astronomical,” rejecting the idea it was routine. Steve Fezzik (1:20–2:29) explained the math: only a 0.3% chance of a blocked kick returned for a touchdown, calling it a once-in-hundreds scenario. RJ Bell (2:50–4:14) reminded listeners the Rams had a 99% chance to cover for most of the second half and 99.9% on the final snap. RJ Bell (4:57–5:56) noted only two teams lost with over 50% average win probability: the Rams at 63% and Packers at 66.2%. Mackenzie Rivers (8:53–8:57) confirmed the Rams’ average win chance was still just 59.5%, proof of how sudden the collapse was. RJ Bell (10:15–10:57) highlighted the Rams at 83% to win before the blocked kick. Steve Fezzik (31:14–31:43) still upgraded the Rams by one point, pointing to their +0.8 yards per play edge. RJ Bell (32:32–35:56) contrasted Philadelphia’s negative point differential with the Rams’ +3.8 average, moving the Rams ahead in power ratings. RJ Bell (39:23–42:52) introduced explosive play data: Rams –3, Eagles +3, Packers led at +8 while Titans and Steelers trailed at –7, showing the correlation to wins. Fezzik (42:52–43:39) then analyzed Green Bay’s loss, with RJ Bell (43:39–45:31) stressing the Packers allow 8.2 fewer points per game than average, best in the league. Turning to Pittsburgh, Fezzik (49:09–49:33) said their 21–14 win masked problems, as they were outgained by 160 yards but survived on a +4 turnover margin. RJ Bell (50:07–50:28) defended Mike Tomlin, saying he simply wins close games, backed by a 67% average win probability. Fezzik (55:44–55:56) blamed Houston’s turnovers in their loss to Jacksonville, while RJ Bell (55:56–56:10) admired the Texans’ effort despite 0–3. Fezzik (1:05:48–1:05:53) downgraded Atlanta –1.5 after a 30–0 loss to Carolina, noting Carolina had only 224 yards but capitalized on Atlanta’s failure to reach the red zone. Seattle’s 38–13 rout of New Orleans was credited to special teams, with Fezzik (1:07:04–1:07:10) saying much came from flukes. RJ Bell (1:09:29–1:09:56) flagged Dallas’ defensive weakness after a 34–17 loss to Chicago, now allowing 6.5 more points than average, while the Bears controlled the game with 81.5% win probability. Fezzik (1:10:25–1:10:52) called the Chargers’ three-point win over Denver “phony,” noting a 29–9 first down edge. Fezzik (1:16:18–1:16:25) lamented Marvin Harrison Jr.’s drop in Arizona’s narrow loss to San Francisco, though the Niners still posted +1.6 yards per play. RJ Bell (1:21:28–1:21:39) praised Washington’s backup-led win over Las Vegas with 7.5 yards per play and 82.6% win probability, while Fezzik (1:20:09–1:20:45) criticized the Raiders’ poor defense. RJ Bell (1:25:10–1:26:54) listed struggling teams: Cincinnati (–8.5), Miami (–8), Saints (–12.5), Raiders (–5.2), Jets (–7), Titans (–6.8). He also tagged over teams like Dallas (+8.9) and Chicago (+6.75) versus under teams like Green Bay (–8) and Cleveland (–7). Finally, RJ Bell (1:28:12–1:28:31) previewed Packers vs. Cowboys as the next big game, with the line moving from Green Bay –2.5 to –7 after CeeDee Lamb’s injury. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 19

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for Week 3. NFL Player Props – Week 3 [Opening Segment] (timestamps vary by section) The discussion centers on betting angles for Week 3 player props, with analysts pointing out favorable matchups and statistical trends. Direct quotes reveal a focus on efficiency and expected production. For example: “You have to look at how many times he’s being targeted in the red zone, that’s where the value comes in.” This emphasizes the importance of opportunity over pure yardage totals when evaluating props. [Quarterbacks] Attention is given to pass attempts and touchdowns. One speaker highlights: “Daniel Jones is averaging nearly 35 pass attempts per game, but the efficiency is what’s holding him back.” This implies that volume alone does not guarantee fantasy or betting success—completion rates and game scripts matter. [Running Backs] Breece Hall is scrutinized for underwhelming production despite decent yards-per-carry averages. “He’s sitting at 4.7 per carry, but without consistent usage, you can’t back the over.” This underscores the risk of betting on backs whose offensive systems don’t prioritize them. Meanwhile, Jordan Mason is framed as an emerging value: “He’s looked better than Aaron Jones on limited touches, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.” This points to his growing role in the Vikings’ backfield. [Wide Receivers & Tight Ends] The analysts debate Kyle Pitts versus Cade Otten, noting Pitts’ “11 receptions on 13 targets, 96 yards” compared with Otten’s potential boost due to Buccaneers’ injuries. The commentary suggests Pitts remains a frustrating hold while Otten could be a buy-low play. For receivers, Keenan Allen is praised for “17 targets and two touchdowns already” , reinforcing his role as Justin Herbert’s primary option. [Team-Level Context] Defenses are tied into betting strategy. The Buccaneers’ run-stopping prowess— “allowing just 105 rushing yards total through two games” —is highlighted as a reason to fade certain running backs. Conversely, the Panthers’ weak rush defense bolsters confidence in Atlanta’s ground-heavy attack led by Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 18

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for week 3. Dream Podcast – NFL Week 3 Picks Breakdown [Steve Fezzik] (0:00 - 0:04) opens abruptly, his words more like a countdown rhythm, setting a casual yet energized tone. [RJ Bell] (0:06 - 0:42) quickly frames the session with enthusiasm, declaring, “Fez was strong on this one. Acme. Just think Acme is the key word.” He underscores the rarity of what’s being offered, stressing this is one of only “four times in the year” where buyers can get unusual value. His analysis implies urgency and scarcity, pressing listeners to act. [Steve Fezzik] (0:43 - 0:48) confirms, “Normally the best deal is you buy for 10 bucks, you get $50 that’s offered like once a year.” The importance is clear: maximizing bankroll through this offer is a bettor’s edge. [RJ Bell] (0:48 - 1:57) elaborates, repeating “10 gets you 50” while comparing bulk dollars to currency that “never expires.” He emphasizes, “You can spend bulk dollars just like cash never expires,” framing them as stable and advantageous. His implication is that investing here amplifies purchasing power and locks in long-term flexibility. [Steve Fezzik] (1:57 - 2:00) briefly shifts, noting “Hey doc, sports is still going strong,” signaling momentum and reinforcing credibility. [RJ Bell] (2:00 - 2:22) redirects to performance, praising Fezzik: “In college football this season, Steve Fezzik is up 43 units plus. How do you do that in three weeks?” The statistic highlights extraordinary profitability, anchoring Fezzik’s authority. [Steve Fezzik] (2:22 - 2:23) explains simply, “High volume,” acknowledging his strategy. [RJ Bell] (2:23 - 2:36) pushes further, asking about availability of picks, emphasizing immediacy. [Steve Fezzik] (2:36 - 2:47) clarifies, “I got my Thursday, Friday college football package up. So I got plays multiple plays for Thursday and Friday,” stressing preparedness and access. [RJ Bell] (2:47 - 3:02) advises Fezzik to release weekend packages early, suggesting buyers will maximize the $10-to-$50 offer, showing a direct connection between financial deal and betting content. [Steve Fezzik] (3:04 - 3:14) adds credibility, noting, “I already won my underdog game of the year. Georgia Tech beats Clemson bonus pick… Clemson under nine and a half wins.” These stats reinforce his sharp projections and long-term leverage, demonstrating foresight on both single games and season totals. [RJ Bell] (3:14 - 4:54) amplifies Fezzik’s success: “That’s over 10 units. That’s like 14 units a week.” He frames it as “crazy,” underscoring just how rare such hot streaks are. His analysis ties the value of the bulk dollar promotion to Fezzik’s picks, arguing this is the “wise guy move.” He instructs listeners to buy through Pregame.com, directly linking purchase mechanics to betting success. [Steve Fezzik] (4:55 - 5:18) pivots to NFL observations: “There are no upsets in the NFL anymore… if you just money lined every four point favorite and higher so far, you are undefeated.” This team-level trend reveals a major shift in survivor pool dynamics, implying fewer surprises early in the season. He cautions it may be an “aberration” but still impactful for Week 3 strategy. [RJ Bell] (5:18 - 5:20) challenges why lead with an aberration, sharpening the analysis. [Steve Fezzik] (5:28 - 5:47) closes this segment by pointing to contrarian betting: “If you had done nothing but bet 0–2 teams week three in the NFL catching points 48, 27…” His stat illustrates historical strength of fading public panic on struggling teams, reinforcing his long-term contrarian philosophy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 17

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Week 4. Early Reflections (0:32 – 4:26) Griffin celebrated the “first 2-0 of the season.” Lonte added, “Great weekend for us going 2-0… all the big games delivered.” Griffin recalled missing Tennessee-Georgia moments at an Arkansas watch party, while Lonte defended his Southern Miss pick, saying they “dominated this game” over App State. Market Volatility (4:27 – 6:40) Griffin called college line swings “chaos compared to the NFL or MLB.” Lonte noted CLV matters only “55% on three-plus moves.” Utah vs. Texas Tech (6:40 – 11:07) Utah’s “60% rush success rate” and Morton’s road issues (“80 grade at home, under 60 away”) led Lonte to lean Utah/under, projecting “23-20.” Griffin agreed: Utah -3. Michigan vs. Nebraska (11:43 – 14:33) Underwood’s 114 yards, 2 TDs boost Michigan vs. Nebraska’s weak run defense (“outside top 120 EPA”). Lonte leaned Huskers as home dogs; Griffin backed that angle. Auburn vs. Oklahoma (16:09 – 19:13) Auburn’s defense “first in rush success rate allowed.” Lonte called for “23-20 or 20-17,” taking Auburn +6.5 and under. Griffin agreed, eyeing +7. Illinois vs. Indiana (20:21 – 25:02) Illinois’ veteran team and Duke road win contrasted with Indiana QB Mendoza, who “struggles against blitz and man coverage.” Lonte liked Illinois +4.5/over. Best Bets (26:03 – 31:12) Lonte: UConn -21 (UConn “top 15 in success rate” vs. Ball State’s defense “outside top 110”). Griffin: Utah -3 (trust in home edge, QB splits). Takeaway Defense, weak schedules, and market inefficiencies drove every angle. Player stats (Underwood’s rushing, UConn’s efficiency) and team metrics (Auburn’s #1 defense) shaped sharp Week 4 picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 15

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers dive back into NFL week 2. [Rj Bell] (0:06 - 0:20) opens the Monday recap by admitting he dislikes working before noon but stresses flexibility. [Steve Fezzik] (0:20 - 0:31) jokes about birthdays and health, while RJ underscores his credibility: “When you’ve got over 10 years of grinding, then if you say you’ve got something, you’ve got something.” Fezzik explains his viewing method with Red Zone plus one focus game: “That red zone is the nuts…you never miss out on a key highlight.” Yet he concedes, “You don’t get to see what’s going on in midfield,” showing how context can be lost in highlight coverage. [Steve Fezzik] (5:06 - 5:48) highlights Eagles vs Chiefs, calling it a “phony final.” Philadelphia won 20–17, but “Kansas City won the stats and lost the game.” The Chiefs outgained the Eagles by 80 yards and in yards per play. Travis Kelce dropped a would-be touchdown, intercepted for a seven-point swing. Kelce’s 4 catches for 61 yards reflected diminished speed. Mahomes missed throws but added 7 carries for 66 rushing yards, effort that risks injury. RJ notes murmurs that “Mahomes isn’t what he used to be.” [Steve Fezzik] (11:26 - 12:40) critiques the Eagles’ offense. Jalen Hurts posted 9 carries for 15 yards, largely short pushes. DeVonta Smith had 4 for 53, A.J. Brown just 5 for 27. Saquon Barkley logged 22 carries for 88 yards. RJ observes: “The Eagles win a lot of games maybe they shouldn’t.” [Steve Fezzik] (16:42 - 17:17) shifts to Giants vs Cowboys. Despite losing, “The Giants, almost two yards per play better than Dallas.” Dallas survived thanks to Brandon Aubrey’s 64-yard field goal. Survivor strategy discussion follows: reducing win probability from 71% to 60% shifts odds from 1-in-1000 to 1-in-27,000, showing contrarian picks fail mathematically. Rookie back Scatabow impressed with hustle, recovering a fumble with relentless effort. [Steve Fezzik] (35:56 - 36:41) reviews Patriots vs Dolphins. Miami had superior stats but lost 33–27 after two failed fourth downs and a turnover. Both teams scored kickoff return TDs. RJ sums it up: “Non-line of scrimmage factors really point positively towards the Patriots.” A near touchdown was overturned when the runner stepped out. [Steve Fezzik] (39:21 - 40:41) turns to Bengals vs Jaguars. After Burrow’s injury, Jake Browning kept Cincinnati alive. Jacksonville dropped critical passes and failed late. Market reaction downgraded the Bengals by about 4.5 points without Burrow, underlining his value. [Steve Fezzik] (52:58 - 54:27) explains Cardinals vs Panthers. Arizona built a 24-point lead before prevent defense allowed Carolina two late touchdowns and an onside recovery. “You can have a team that kills the other team. And then at the end, the stats look kind of even.” A defensive score and failed fourth down emphasized Arizona’s control despite misleading totals. [Steve Fezzik] (58:09 - 59:53) recounts Colts vs Broncos. Indianapolis outgained Denver by 150 yards but nearly lost after settling for a 60-yard missed field goal. A penalty saved them. RJ highlights poor coaching decisions. [Steve Fezzik] (1:05:23 - 1:06:33) describes Steelers vs Seahawks. A kickoff touched Pittsburgh’s returner, Seattle recovered for a touchdown. Despite being outgained, Pittsburgh won, continuing its pattern of overachieving metrics. [Steve Fezzik] (1:10:08 - 1:10:26) lists his top five teams: Baltimore, Buffalo, Green Bay, Kansas City, Philadelphia, with Detroit close behind. [Steve Fezzik] (1:11:03 - 1:11:28) notes Detroit crushed Chicago 52–21, averaging 8.8 yards per play. RJ calls it as dominant as the score. Caleb Williams disappointed, with Fezzik saying he’d prefer “the number ten pick” next year. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 12

NFL Week 2 Player Props: Expert Picks and Best Bet Best Bet Sleepy J (30:04 – 31:55): Declares Brees Hall over 58.5 rushing yards. “He looks like a top five running back in the league right now,” praising his burst after injury. Munaf (31:55 – 34:08): Backs it with stats: 19 carries, 107 yards, 5.6 per attempt. He notes Fields’ rushing threat reduces defensive pressure on Hall. Closing Thoughts Sleepy suggests the game total of 46.5 could go over if the Jets offense continues to shine. Munaf agrees this matchup will reveal whether New York’s Week 1 surge was real or Pittsburgh’s defense was weak. Both close by promoting Pregame.com’s newsletter and coupon code PROP20 for 20% off. Final Props Recap QBs: Kyler Murray under 216.5; Trevor Lawrence over 239.5. RBs: Travion Henderson over 54.5; James Conner over 64.5. WRs: Garrett Wilson over 59.5; CeeDee Lamb over 78.5. TEs: Juwan Johnson over 3.5; Brenton Strange over 33.5. Best Bet: Brees Hall over 58.5 rushing yards. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 11

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 2. NFL Week 2: The Picks Breakdown [RJ Bell] (0:05 - 3:09): “Alright guys, just finished up.” He immediately introduced the night’s action, noting a major play on Washington at +3.5 from South Point and +3 at even money elsewhere. His breakdown emphasized confidence in the pick, urging listeners to follow the reasoning provided throughout. He also highlighted Steve Fezzik’s hot streak, up 32 units already this season, and A.J. Hoffman’s consistent multi-year success. This was used to reinforce credibility and demonstrate sharpness in market reads. [Steve Fezzik] (3:09 - 3:19): “Pick them to win outright.” He argued the bet was justified given the game flow, explaining it would predictably settle within a narrow margin. His comment underscored the razor-thin line between winning and losing in close spreads. [RJ Bell] (3:19 - 3:49): “But, once again, if they would have went for it down on, what was it, like the 15? Yeah, could have had a tie.” He expressed frustration over a coaching decision, pointing to how single calls can swing results. The implication was that bettors often find value or heartbreak in these fine margins. [RJ Bell] (3:52 - 3:59): “But, we almost won in the first half.” He reflected on momentum swings, stressing how first-half edges can foreshadow outcomes. His excitement revealed how bettors savor small victories even when final results turn. [Steve Fezzik] (3:59 - 4:10): “Nothing is better than betting like a baseball first five and then watching your team get their teeth kicked in.” His analogy showed the gambler’s paradox—sometimes the bet is safe despite later collapses. This framed the unpredictability of sports betting as both painful and exhilarating. [RJ Bell] (4:11 - 4:39): “All right.” He explained their betting breakdown: two dimes split, with one having no vig. This transparency gave insight into bankroll strategy and why certain plays carry less risk. [Steve Fezzik] (4:39 - 4:42): “If you’re listening during the summer, you won the Cincinnati under 46.” He referenced past success, reinforcing the credibility of sharp picks on season totals. [RJ Bell] (4:42 - 4:58): “By the way, Fez, I thought you were a little, let’s just say, much about Seattle losing.” His pushback highlighted accountability in analysis. The back-and-forth emphasized how handicappers debate variance versus bad beats, reflecting broader conversations among bettors. [Steve Fezzik] (5:02 - 5:10): “Yeah, but I liked the spot.” He defended his position, showing conviction in handicapping angles beyond raw results. This reinforced how context matters more than outcome in evaluating a pick. Key Takeaways Player and Team Stats: The discussion referenced Washington’s spread value, Seattle’s underdog position, and Cincinnati’s win total under 46. These stats were central to their betting angles, showing how sharp bettors exploit lines beyond just wins and losses. Strategic Insights: The speakers revealed how bankroll management (splitting dimes, avoiding vig) and situational angles (coaching calls, first-half strength) shape betting success. Implications: Their commentary stressed that variance and razor-thin spreads define the betting landscape, where judgment, timing, and discipline matter more than hindsight complaints. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 10

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for week 3. Game Previews Georgia at Tennessee (6:05 – 12:39) Line: Georgia -3.5 (down from -7.5). Smith: “I don’t really trust Gunner Stockton… it’ll be a run heavy approach on both sides.” Stat: Georgia top 10 in rush success rate. First-time road starters are 3-10 straight up, 3-9-1 ATS. Lean: Under 49.5, with Tennessee backers getting value if they grabbed +7. Clemson at Georgia Tech (13:33 – 15:59) Line fell from -9 to -3.5. Smith: “This is a good buy low spot for Clemson.” Concern over GT QB Haynes King’s health and their 91st-ranked pass success rate. Clemson’s defense and potential WR return could tilt the matchup. Florida at LSU (17:24 – 23:12) Line: LSU -7, total 48.5. Florida’s discipline issues showed with 11 penalties for 101 yards. Smith: “Under would be the only way I would look.” LSU’s defense is improving, while QB Lagway’s success depends on teammates cleaning up mistakes. Texas A&M at Notre Dame (23:13 – 30:33) Line: Notre Dame -7, total 49.5. Smith stresses urgency: “This is a must win for Notre Dame.” Player stat: Jeremiah Love had 14 touches for 78 yards; Smith insists he must see 20+ carries. A&M ranks outside top 100 in 3rd/4th down success rate. Lean: Notre Dame under 7 and under the total. Best Bets (31:47 – 35:15) Lonte Smith: Southern Miss +2.5. “I think Southern Miss wins this game outright.” He cites App State’s struggles against weak opponents and the Marshall-to-Southern Miss coaching/player pipeline. Griffin Warner: Tennessee +3.5. “It’s great to be a Tennessee Vol.” He backs the Knoxville home-field edge against Georgia. Takeaway The discussion highlights Florida’s lack of discipline, the volatility of young QBs like Stockton, and Notre Dame’s must-win spot. The week closes with confidence in two home underdogs—Southern Miss and Tennessee—as the sharpest plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 9

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 1 recap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 9

Rod Villagomex and Munaf Manji get you ready for this weeks NFL Fantasy Football waiver wire. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 6

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 1 player props podcast. The NFL Player Props Podcast for Week 1 opens with Munaf Manji reintroducing the show and welcoming back co-host SleepyJ. After reflecting on last year’s success, they dive directly into their picks, bringing a mix of analysis, history, and betting strategy designed to help listeners find winning positions across quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end props . At the quarterback spot, SleepyJ targets Patriots rookie Drake May to eclipse 214.5 passing yards. He cites May’s solid rookie season, the addition of Stephon Diggs, and the Raiders’ poor secondary as key factors. Munaf counters with a contrarian angle, backing Cam Ward under 192.5 passing yards in his NFL debut with Denver’s elite defense looming. The contrast underscores their method of evaluating matchups through historical data and roster changes. Moving to running backs, SleepyJ highlights Jaguars back Tank Bigsby over 43.5 yards, projecting a breakout year with a favorable matchup against Carolina’s porous run defense. Munaf selects Bucky Irving of Tampa Bay to break a run over 15.5 yards, citing his explosive track record and increased role due to wide receiver injuries. Together, they emphasize opportunity, usage, and defensive weakness as central handicapping factors. On receivers, SleepyJ leans on Steelers slot man Calvin Austin over 23.5 yards, predicting Aaron Rodgers’ quick-release style will funnel targets his way. Munaf rides Jacksonville again, taking Brian Thomas Jr. over 74.5 yards, supported by his late-season surge and Carolina’s ongoing struggles. This section showcases their focus on quarterback tendencies, depth chart shifts, and defensive matchups. Tight ends follow with SleepyJ playing Giants rookie Theo Johnson over 23.5 yards, linking Russell Wilson’s historical reliance on tight ends to Johnson’s breakout potential. Munaf builds on the Browns’ passing game, touting David Njoku over 49.5 yards given Joe Flacco’s chemistry with him in 2023. Their analysis highlights veteran quarterback tendencies and undervalued lines. The best bet for Week 1 ties these threads together: Joe Flacco over 241.5 passing yards against the Bengals. Both agree that Cleveland’s passing attack matches well against Cincinnati’s suspect defense and that Flacco’s recent numbers support laddering yardage bets. They predict an up-tempo game script with plenty of volume, positioning Flacco as one of the week’s most appealing prop plays. Interspersed throughout are plugs for Pregame.com promotions, including the Kickoff25 code, free contests, and a detailed newsletter packed with picks across NFL, college football, and even UFC. The hosts remind listeners that consistency, preparation, and disciplined play are essential to finding value across the board. In closing, they stress that the podcast will remain a weekly feature, giving bettors time to digest picks before kickoff. The tone mixes entertainment with sharp handicapping, balancing statistical depth with accessible explanations. By covering rookies, veterans, and team-specific matchups, the show establishes itself as a go-to source for player prop insights heading into Week 1 . This transcript captures a structured breakdown of betting value across every key offensive position, while reinforcing themes of matchup analysis, historical precedent, and market timing. For fans and bettors alike, it offers a blend of strategy, insight, and practical plays to launch the NFL season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 4

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers give out the best picks for NFL Week 1. 0:00–8:37 RJ Bell sets the tone with energy promising high-value picks while joking with Mackenzie Rivers He unveils a season-long focus on sharp betting and stresses that the new format will reward discipline not impulse This opening builds trust for customers looking for real betting strategy 8:37–13:08 RJ introduces “Dime-o-mite” where the crew will fire one to three games per week with up to two dimes per play The rule is simple if the best number is gone they pass This principle sets the foundation for customers who want to learn why timing matters more than chasing action 12:41–17:03 Steve Fezzik explains betting limits at sharp books and how market makers like Circa differ from giant apps RJ adds that billion-dollar operators control exposure by restricting winners The exchange teaches why price discovery and patience are as important as picking sides 18:33–26:39 Fezzik argues for Atlanta +2 5 against Tampa Bay calling it pick’em on his power ratings He cites divisional dog strength and Tampa’s injury list RJ counters with Todd Bowles’ 4-1 ATS record in openers with an average +12 5 cover margin RJ’s point wins as coaching prep outweighs roster chatter 37:31–48:41 Seattle +2 5 at home vs San Francisco becomes the first green-lighted play Mackenzie highlights divisional dog history since 2012 while Fezzik confirms Circa’s even-money line as best in market Injuries to San Francisco’s skill players tilt value toward Seattle and the crew makes it official 52:24–56:58 Indianapolis +1 vs Miami sparks debate Fezzik notes both teams at 7 5 season wins and Miami’s depleted corners RJ fires back with Mike McDaniel’s early-season edge pointing out his 6-3 starts The lesson for customers is clear coaching patterns and timing can trump injury lists 1:02:22–1:09:34 Cleveland +5 to +5 5 vs Cincinnati gets stamped as the second best bet Mackenzie cites Burrow’s struggles against Cleveland and Zac Taylor’s slow starts Fezzik adds bounce-back data on teams that covered under 30% last year RJ hammers home the value of home dogs catching more than a field goal 1:11:03–1:17:23 The crew shifts to totals spotlighting quarterbacks with no preseason snaps leading to under plays RJ drills in on Bills team total under 24 to 24 5 noting McDermott’s week-one Bills underperform offensive expectations by about five points 1:17:23–1:21:49 Houston vs Rams under 44 5 gets strong lean support Fezzik points to Stafford’s limited work and Stroud’s inexperience RJ layers in Sean McVay’s dominant 6-1 ATS week-one history but agrees the scoring outlook is muted 1:27:06–1:34:27 Chicago vs Detroit turns into a coaching-tree conversation Fezzik warns Ben Johnson’s absence could matter while RJ reframes it as a wait-and-see week one marker The message is that some games should be studied not bet 1:34:27–1:36:13 The Seahawks vs 49ers total lean under arises again Mackenzie notes dueling Kubiak OCs meaning fewer surprises and fewer explosive plays 1:37:01–1:40:17 Guest Dave Essler pushes Titans team total under 16 5 against Denver citing Vance Joseph’s blitz packages and rookie QB struggles RJ likes the angle but reminds that week-one double-digit dogs often cover so isolating the team total is the sharper path Key statistics used throughout include Mike Evans’ 1 000-yard streak Atlanta’s +0 3 yards per play efficiency Tampa’s field goal luck regression McVay’s +9 2 week-one margin and Bowles’ +12 5 opener dominance These numbers support the theme that coaching and context move lines as much as talent By closing time the official card is set Seattle +2 5 vs San Francisco Cleveland +5 vs Cincinnati Bills team total under 24 24 5 with Houston–Rams under 44 5 and Titans team total under 16 5 as strong endorsed leans delivering actionable plays backed by deep analysis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 3

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk college football betting for Week 2. The Week 2 preview of the College Football Podcast on RJ Bell’s Pregame network opened with energy, emphasizing fast offense, swarming defense, and relentless hustle. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith immediately addressed Week 1 results, acknowledging that it wasn’t the strongest start but pointing to process over outcome. They stressed closing line value as a long-term indicator, comparing it to stock market performance, and noted that Week 1 was dominated by unders, with many offenses struggling to find rhythm. Quarterback uncertainty remained the headline, with Arch Manning’s rocky debut sparking debate. Warner went as far as to call him potentially the most overrated quarterback of all time, while Smith defended him by pointing out the caliber of Ohio State’s elite defense. The discussion then shifted to broader conference takeaways. The ACC impressed in Week 1, particularly Florida State’s big win, while Clemson’s struggles stood out. Cal’s freshman quarterback also earned praise for a breakout performance. The panel agreed that the top of the ACC looks strong with Florida State, Clemson, Duke, and Georgia Tech, while the bottom remains unsettled. From there, the show broke down marquee Week 2 matchups. SMU versus Baylor set the stage, with Baylor’s defensive front and ability to stop explosive plays highlighted as key factors. Despite SMU entering as a small favorite, Smith leaned Baylor’s way, questioning whether SMU had shown enough balance to justify the line. Next, the heated Iowa–Iowa State rivalry came into focus. The history of low-scoring slugfests made the under 41.5 an attractive play. Smith backed Iowa State’s improved offense under Rocco Beck but insisted the real value lay in expecting another defensive battle. Illinois against Duke was another spotlight game. Both teams leaned on defense, but Duke’s elite secondary and Manny Diaz’s blitz-heavy schemes tilted the panel’s confidence toward the Blue Devils. Warner emphasized that road favorites early in the season are often overvalued, making Duke’s home underdog status particularly appealing. The nightcap, Michigan versus Oklahoma, focused on defensive dominance. Brent Venables’ track record of confusing quarterbacks and Michigan’s conservative freshman game plan pointed to another under. Smith’s best angle was the first-half under 23.5, predicting a slow start with heavy ground games, limited big plays, and quarterbacks trying to settle in against relentless defenses. The show wrapped with best bets. Smith locked in Florida minus 17.5 against South Florida, pointing to mismatches in the trenches, Lagway’s deep-ball ability, and Florida’s familiarity with the spread concepts USF runs. Warner sided with the Iowa–Iowa State under 41.5, banking on punts, field position battles, and Kirk Ferentz’s trademark conservative approach. Overall, the podcast captured the essence of early-season handicapping: balancing small-sample overreactions with long-term process discipline. Week 1 brought surprises, quarterback drama, and defensive dominance, but Week 2 promised opportunities with sharp numbers, classic rivalries, and critical matchups that could shape conference races. Whether it was Florida’s talent edge, Duke’s defensive identity, or the under trend in rivalry games, the conversation blended data, betting insight, and storytelling, giving listeners a comprehensive game plan heading into Saturday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 2

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL season win totals. Dream Pod Bonus Recap: NFL Season Win Totals and Best Bets The Dream Pod Bonus – NFL Season Win Totals + Best Bets episode brought together RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers for a sharp, data-driven breakdown of the 2024 NFL season. They covered market biases, strength of schedule, injuries, and identified which NFL win total bets offered the best value. Here’s a streamlined recap by timestamps. The team kicked off by explaining how the public’s love for betting overs creates built-in value on unders. RJ Bell noted that bookmakers shade lines up, especially around key numbers like 11.5 or 12 wins. By playing unders across the board, bettors can often gain a small but real edge. Fezzik shared his simple rule: bet overs on teams with elite QB/coach duos and unders on teams without. RJ pressed him to define “elite” more carefully. They emphasized the importance of strength of schedule (SOS) , pointing out preseason projections often shift by about a point over a season—enough to flip a bet result. The Kansas City Chiefs opened at 11.5 wins but dipped to 11.1 in the market. The hosts leaned under, citing fatigue from deep playoff runs and questions about Travis Kelce’s age. The Denver Broncos looked like an over play at first, but RJ argued their soft schedule inflated last year’s success. For the Cleveland Browns , optimism exists with Kevin Stefanski and a strong defense, though Deshaun Watson’s inconsistency lingers as a concern. The Cincinnati Bengals , set at 10 wins, were viewed as an under due to reliance on Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase and a roster vulnerable to injuries. The Washington Commanders overperformed last season by about 1.5 wins while ranking poorly on defense, leading to a strong under recommendation. The Detroit Lions , despite winning 14 games, lost two top-tier offensive linemen. With their line at 10.5 wins, the team could still regress and hit the under. The Minnesota Vikings were considered for an over due to Kevin O’Connell’s coaching and potential improvement, even though sharp money leaned under. The Carolina Panthers were a consensus under pick, with Bryce Young’s struggles, cluster injuries, and one of the league’s weakest defenses raising red flags. The Dream Pod crew hammered home a principle you’ve lived by for decades: the best value in NFL betting often lies in playing the unders, since the market bakes in public optimism for overs. They highlighted how injury clusters and strength of schedule shifts can swing outcomes by multiple wins, creating hidden opportunity. Their best bets leaned under on the Chiefs, Bengals, Commanders, and Panthers , while showing some confidence in overs for the Vikings and Broncos . For your approach at Pregame, this aligns perfectly with your focus on consistency, discipline, and real-time data analysis . Just as you emphasize tracking live stats to catch hidden edges before the line moves, the Dream Pod underscored how numbers often reveal truths the public overlooks. Their message matches your own: stay disciplined, avoid chasing inflated lines, and remember that every NFL Sunday brings a fresh chance to find value. (0:00 – 20:00) Market Bias Toward Overs(20:00 – 40:00) AFC Totals and Strength of Schedule(40:00 – 1:10:00) AFC Teams to Back or Fade(1:20:00 – 1:40:00) NFC Win Total InsightsKey Takeaways for Bettors Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 30

Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk fantasy football and draft strategy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 29

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for Saturday. The college football weekend preview opened with an unmistakable energy: offense must play fast, defense must swarm, and every snap must be about outblocking, outtackling, and outhustling the opponent. That tone set the stage for one of the most anticipated slates of the early season, highlighted by heavyweight matchups across the country and a betting landscape ripe with intrigue. Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith launched into their breakdown by zeroing in on Texas versus Ohio State in Columbus, a rematch of the Cotton Bowl. Warner admitted his Longhorn bias, but Smith carefully dissected the matchup. He argued that Texas brings more proven quarterback play with Arch Manning stepping in, supported by C.J. Baxter’s return in the backfield and a deep defensive front led by Colin Simmons. Smith emphasized that the key is limiting Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State’s elite wideout. Texas held him to one catch in their last meeting, and repeating that feat would tilt the balance. Still, Warner voiced concern about Arch’s lack of experience under pressure, recalling his struggles against Georgia. The debate crystallized into a clash of proven depth on the Texas side versus the star power of Ohio State’s top-end talent. The conversation shifted to LSU versus Clemson, a contest marked by questions about both coaching staffs. Brian Kelly’s struggles in openers were stacked against Dabo Swinney’s recent SEC failures. Smith forecasted Clemson’s air attack overwhelming LSU’s shaky secondary, citing LSU’s ranking outside the top 95 in coverage metrics. He envisioned Clemson building an early lead and rolling behind their veteran offensive line and fearsome defensive front. From there, attention turned to Virginia Tech versus South Carolina in Atlanta. Smith strongly backed the Hokies as 7.5-point underdogs, noting their improved secondary and linebacker strength against a South Carolina team with turnover issues and significant defensive losses to the NFL draft. Warner added that upsets in college football often break wider than in the NFL, making the Hokies live dogs with upset potential. The final featured matchup was Notre Dame versus Miami, a renewal of a rivalry steeped in history. The surprise was freshman CJ Carr earning the starting quarterback role for Notre Dame. Smith highlighted Miami’s opportunity to exploit Carr’s inexperience, especially if Carson Beck’s balanced attack can lean on a strong run game to offset Notre Dame’s elite man-to-man secondary. With Reuben Bain anchoring Miami’s defense, Smith believed the Hurricanes had the pieces to control tempo and win outright despite being slight underdogs. The show wrapped with best bets. Smith targeted Florida State plus seven in the first half against Alabama, citing Ty Simpson’s inexperience and Florida State’s defensive improvement under Gus Malzahn’s offensive guidance. Warner doubled down on Virginia Tech, preferring the 7.5-point cushion but echoing Smith’s belief that the Hokies could win outright. Both leaned on a consistent theme: early-season volatility favors teams with proven depth and coaching stability over untested quarterbacks in hostile settings. In sum, the weekend preview delivered a thorough guide to Saturday and Sunday’s premier college football games. Texas versus Ohio State hinges on Arch Manning’s poise and Ohio State’s receiving dominance, LSU against Clemson pits explosive passing against a fragile secondary, Virginia Tech offers value against an overvalued SEC foe, and Miami has the tools to stun Notre Dame. For bettors and fans alike, the focus is clear: proven systems, balanced rosters, and situational awareness will dictate who cashes tickets and who leaves week one disappointed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 28

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers focus on the wiseguy QB draft for the upcoming NFL season. Best bets as always. The Dream Podcast kicked off with RJ Bell celebrating the return of football season and unveiling Pregame’s Labor Day promotion: a free $30 best bet plus entry into a no-cost college football contest with a $1,000 prize on the line. From the opening minutes, listeners were reminded this show is equal parts strategy, competition, and entertainment. By the five-minute mark, RJ dug into NFL power ratings, explaining how he stripped out misleading drives such as kneel-downs or possessions inside the two-yard line. His refined numbers surprised the panel: Philadelphia, Detroit, Baltimore, and Buffalo led the league, while Carolina and Cleveland sat at the bottom. Steve Fezzik and McKenzie Rivers debated the shock placements, noting injuries and coaching trends that shaped outcomes. Around the 15-minute timestamp, discussion turned to quarterbacks who skipped preseason snaps. McKenzie’s data showed those QBs historically underperform in Week 1, with unders cashing heavily when both starters sit. That trend fueled bets on marquee matchups like Cowboys-Eagles and Ravens-Bills. At the 20-minute mark, RJ spotlighted Dak Prescott’s sharp decline, citing rankings that placed him last among 24 qualifying passers. His reduced rushing numbers since his major injury led RJ and Fezzik to eye team total unders and passing props. The stage was set for the annual quarterback draft, run snake-style with auction bidding for position. McKenzie opened by taking Josh Allen, Fezzik countered with Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts, while RJ landed Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes. Later rounds brought bold choices like Jayden Daniels, Brock Purdy, Jordan Love, and Baker Mayfield. Side bets flew as each analyst pounced on weak spots: Geno Smith over Prescott, Purdy over Hurts, Bo Nix over Dak. By halftime of the draft, RJ had built a star-heavy lineup, Fezzik leaned on proven veterans, and McKenzie gambled on upside. Just before the hour mark, RJ teased a Monday night special dedicated to season win totals, including a collaborative Pregame entry in a Las Vegas contest. This naturally led into the industry segment, where Fezzik vented about DraftKings raising six-point teaser prices from –120 to –135 and reserving the right to void bets when “unpriced information” breaks. Both he and RJ criticized the moves as hostile to sharp bettors and warned listeners to watch how operators tilt toward casual action. At 1:18, Fezzik gave his Week 1 best bet: Atlanta +2.5 at home against Tampa Bay, citing divisional home dogs’ long-term profitability. McKenzie reinforced his unders, while RJ added context on why Week 1 remains rich for value despite heavily bet lines. The show closed with lighter banter—Vegas nostalgia, classic TV, even collecting vintage casino ashtrays—but the backbone remained the same: sharp football analysis, humor, and actionable advice. From refining drive metrics to debating quarterback ceilings, the podcast delivered insights that bettors can immediately use. The message was simple: in a season full of hype, Pregame focuses on value, discipline, and knowing where the real edges lie. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 28

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Wednesday. The latest Dream Preview baseball breakdown opened with Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner reviewing tough recent beats before diving into Thursday’s slate of Major League Baseball action. Early frustrations centered on bullpen management, where questionable decisions cost winning tickets. Griffin highlighted Bruce Bochy’s choices with the Rangers, while Munaf recapped Jeff Hoffman’s collapse for Toronto. Both acknowledged the natural ebb and flow of a long season but emphasized how frustrating late-game implosions can be when handicapping results were correct until the ninth inning. Attention then shifted to Thursday’s card. The first matchup was Boston at Baltimore. Garrett Crochet’s dominance, particularly on the road, was contrasted with Cade Povich’s struggles at Camden Yards. With Boston in the playoff chase and Baltimore fading, the Red Sox were positioned as strong run-line value. From there the crew evaluated Arizona against Milwaukee, with concerns about the Brewers’ bullpen health and Jose Quintana’s crafty veteran presence. Both leaned toward expecting runs given Milwaukee’s offensive consistency at home. Houston hosting Colorado drew skepticism about laying a steep moneyline price on the Astros when their offense has sputtered. Kyle Freeland’s road history pointed to unders, though the panel admitted Houston needed wins to stay in the AL West race. Pittsburgh at St. Louis prompted a lean toward the under, with Miles Mikolas much stronger at home and Braxton Ashcraft offering upside. The Cubs and Giants series was pegged as a pitcher’s duel between Shota Imanaga and Logan Webb, with a likely under in a low-scoring Oracle Park day game. Atlanta at Philadelphia carried the most intrigue. Cal Quantrill’s move to the Braves and Aaron Nola’s inconsistency created an opening for offense. Both analysts saw double-digit potential and pointed to recent totals easily exceeding posted numbers. The Phillies’ injury issues, especially losing Zach Wheeler, added to the uncertainty but suggested their bullpen would be heavily tested. The evening spotlight was Yankees versus White Sox. Will Warren’s inexperience and Davis Martin’s limited ceiling pointed to offense in Chicago. With both defenses prone to errors and suspect bullpens, the over nine was recommended, while the White Sox as home underdogs were noted as live if their bats clicked. The missing line revealed Mets versus Marlins, with Clay Holmes favored to control the matchup but bullpen risks keeping the over attractive. Best bets were locked in at the end. Griffin chose Yankees–White Sox over nine, citing unreliable pitching and defense. Munaf went with Boston -1.5 behind Crochet’s stellar road form against a struggling Povich. They closed with reminders about Pregame promotions, including a college football contest and Griffin’s discounted 30-day package. Overall the podcast combined raw reactions to recent heartbreakers with sharp handicapping of Thursday’s board. The hosts stressed the importance of finding value across moneylines, run lines, and totals while acknowledging baseball’s volatility. Their insight showed how bullpen management, pitcher splits, and situational motivation shape betting strategy. For bettors tracking MLB daily, this episode offered guidance across multiple matchups and reinforced why patience, discipline, and line shopping remain essential for long-term profit Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 27

Munaf Manji and Lonte Smith talk NFL season long player props and much more. The 2025 NFL season kicks off with Pregame’s Props Podcast diving into NFL player props and futures betting . Host Munaf Manji (0:05–0:59) returns after last year’s success, joined by Lonte Smith from the College Football Podcast, ready to break down the best season-long prop bets across quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. By the one-minute mark (0:59–1:18), Lonte expresses excitement for profitability and preparation as kickoff approaches. Munaf (1:18–2:34) lays out the plan: four props each across positions, reminding listeners to shop for the best numbers. Quarterbacks open the show. Lonte (2:35–4:16) takes Justin Herbert under 3,650.5 yards , pointing to Jim Harbaugh’s run-heavy approach, the addition of Najee Harris, Herbert’s injury history, and a tough AFC West. Munaf (4:16–6:21) agrees, highlighting Herbert’s inconsistency, weak defenses inflating numbers last year, and how divisional upgrades could suppress his totals. Munaf (6:24–8:59) then targets J.J. McCarthy under 3,650.5 yards . The rookie Viking, fresh off an ACL recovery, faces high expectations equal to top-12 rookie seasons all time. With Justin Jefferson’s hamstring, Addison’s suspension, and a run-first scheme with Aaron Jones, he calls the over unrealistic. Lonte (9:00–10:45) echoes that McCarthy isn’t a gunslinger and won’t consistently reach 300 yards weekly. Running backs bring debate. Lonte (11:22–12:53) bets Breece Hall over 5.5 rushing TDs , boosted by Justin Fields creating lighter boxes and red-zone chances. Munaf (12:59–15:45) takes the opposite side, fading Hall’s rushing yards under 850.5 due to offensive line issues, Fields’ dual-threat style, and negative game scripts forcing the Jets to pass. Receivers headline next. Lonte (18:41–19:32) backs Tyreek Hill over 980.5 yards , calling it a buy-low after last season’s 959 yards. Munaf (21:07–23:21) supports the case, noting Hill’s 82 career TDs and Miami’s playoff-or-bust year. Munaf (23:22–25:33) also hammers Mike Evans over 950.5 yards , citing his decade-long 1,000-yard streak, Mayfield’s trust, and a thin Bucs WR corps. Tight ends feature with Lonte’s favorite play (28:13–30:52): Tyler Warren over 575.5 yards . A first-round pick in an empty Colts WR room, Warren projects as a focal point. Munaf (31:14–35:11) agrees, pointing to his 6’6” frame and red zone upside. For his final pick, Munaf (31:14–35:11) highlights Drake London over 1,225.5 yards , citing Michael Penix Jr.’s arm and London’s 100-catch, 1,271-yard 2023. Lonte (35:12–37:08) compares London to Mike Evans and sees expanded slot usage boosting targets. They close with bonus leans: George Pickens over 875.5 yards in Dallas’ pass-first system (38:00–39:19), Bucky Irving over 1,000.5 rushing yards if he seizes RB1 (41:27–43:49), and Matthew Stafford unders given lingering back injuries (43:50–44:55). Both spotlight C.J. Stroud (44:59–49:14) as a breakout candidate with new weapons, betting angles pointing to potential MVP value at 25–30/1. This debut 2025 Props Podcast underscores why NFL season-long player prop betting is surging: sharp handicapping, injury context, scheme fits, and matchup analysis. From Herbert and McCarthy unders to Hill, Evans, Warren, and London overs, the insights offer bettors actionable edges for the new season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 27

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Omega European Masters -Discussing top 9 on odds board -1 matchup -2 t10's -2 outrights (16/1 & 18/1) -Sleeper, Best Bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 27

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith get you ready for CFB Week 1 betting. The Week 1 college football betting podcast kicked off with fiery motivation: play fast on offense, swarm and tackle on defense, and leave no doubt on the field (0:07–0:32). Host Griffin Warner welcomed listeners to the first full slate after Week 0’s appetizer, joined by analyst Lonte Smith, promising best bets, betting previews, and Pregame.com promos (0:33–1:25). Lonte recapped Week 0: Kansas State’s sloppy turnovers, Western Kentucky’s win vs. Sam Houston, Kansas covering easily, and Hawaii splitting. The team split best bets but gained valuable data points, setting the stage for a bigger Week 1 (1:26–2:26). Griffin noted their 1–1 start before discussing Farmageddon: Iowa State upset Kansas State despite being outgained, thanks to field conditions and missed chances. Lonte highlighted K-State’s run defense concerns and Iowa State QB Rocco Becht’s poise (2:26–5:12). Focus turned to Thursday and Friday action. Boise State opened -8.5 but dropped to -5.5 against South Florida. Lonte leaned over 62.5, citing Boise’s dominant offensive line and USF’s explosive scheme with QB Byrum Brown, while both defenses struggle with consistency. Griffin noted USF’s true home edge at Raymond James Stadium and the attractiveness of betting a home underdog (5:12–10:58). Next came East Carolina vs. NC State, a heated in-state rivalry. ECU returns QB Caden Howes but lost top backs and receivers along with most of its defense. NC State counters with QB C.J. Bailey and a strong WR trio. With both defenses questionable, Lonte recommended over 61.5, predicting Dave Doeren will keep scoring to make a statement (10:59–15:04). Friday’s Auburn vs. Baylor clash featured Auburn as -2.5 favorites with total 58. Lonte praised Auburn QB Jackson Arnold behind one of the best offensive lines in college football and a deep WR group, attacking Baylor’s secondary that ranked near the bottom nationally. Baylor QB Sawyer Roberson is underrated but struggles under pressure. Lonte leaned Auburn and over, expecting both offenses to produce (15:35–19:39). Georgia Tech vs. Colorado followed, with Tech -5. Lonte is high on Tech’s physicality and returning production while fading Colorado after losing Shadur Sanders and top weapons. With QB uncertainty between Salter and Juju Lewis and no running game, Colorado faces major issues. Georgia Tech’s balanced offense and experience make them a strong play, with a possible team total over. Public hype favors Deion Sanders, but sharps bet Colorado unders. Lonte called Georgia Tech an ACC dark horse (20:37–26:58). The show closed with Pregame.com promos: code “college50” saves $50 on season packages, plus Greg Shaker’s contest with $1,000 cash prizes (26:59–28:08). For best bets, Lonte picked Charlotte +6.5 vs. Appalachian State, noting coaching upgrades and a defense-first identity (28:08–29:51). Griffin chose over 61.5 in NC State vs. ECU, echoing offensive advantages and defensive weaknesses (29:51–31:10). The podcast ended optimistic, teasing Saturday’s monster slate including Texas vs. Ohio State (31:10–31:44). This streamlined Week 1 college football betting preview blends expert picks, point spread analysis, totals recommendations, and sharp betting angles. Key games include Boise State vs. South Florida, ECU vs. NC State, Auburn vs. Baylor, and Georgia Tech vs. Colorado, with actionable best bets on Charlotte +6.5 and NC State vs. ECU over 61.5. Bettors get insights into line movement, public vs. sharp action, and matchup breakdowns, making this must-read coverage for anyone chasing value in Week 1 college football odds. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 26

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Tuesday betting. The latest MLB Tuesday betting preview from RJ Bell’s Dream Preview podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji with Griffin Warner, sets the stage for a critical slate of late-August matchups as teams position themselves for the postseason. The episode dives deep into 14 games on the betting board, breaking down pitching matchups, recent team form, and value spots for bettors. Manji and Warner are riding an 83% hot streak on best bets, going 10–2 in their last 12, and their confidence and banter drive an engaging analysis that blends sharp betting insight with humor and strong statistical breakdowns. The show begins with Red Sox vs Orioles, where Lucas Giolito’s improved form and Kyle Braddish’s return from Tommy John make Boston and the over intriguing plays. The Braves vs Marlins matchup highlights Sandy Alcantara’s struggles, with Warner leaning to the home underdog Marlins and the over on 7.5 runs. In Rays vs Guardians, Shane Baz’s road splits and Cleveland’s sputtering offense create strong value on Tampa Bay plus money. The Yankees vs Nationals discussion centers on Luis Gil’s control issues and the Yankees’ defensive problems, leading both analysts toward overs rather than trusting either side. Toronto vs Minnesota showcases Chris Bassett’s dominant home record against Bailey Ober’s brutal losing streak, making the Blue Jays run line their clear best bet of the day. The Mets remain a “fade” team, with Sean Manaea’s poor record and Jesus Luzardo’s strong history against New York cementing Philadelphia as the sharper side. Brewers vs Diamondbacks is pegged as a potential shootout, with Jacob Misiorowski’s walk issues and Arizona’s power threats pointing to an over. Royals vs White Sox highlights Chicago’s lack of offense despite Martin Pérez’s decent outings, pushing Kansas City as the stronger side. Other key breakdowns include Pirates vs Cardinals (leaning over), Angels vs Rangers (under 8.5 tabbed as Warner’s best bet despite Corbin’s volatility), and Astros vs Rockies (only playable through alternate run lines given Houston’s -315 price). Padres vs Mariners positions Dylan Cease as a value underdog against a hittable Luis Castillo, while Cubs vs Giants trends under behind Matthew Boyd’s road splits and Justin Verlander’s home tendencies. The card wraps with Reds vs Dodgers, where Nick Martinez’s inconsistency and Clayton Kershaw’s diminished form suggest the over nine runs is the sharper angle. Beyond game analysis, the hosts highlight Pregame.com promotions, including a Beat Greg Shaker college football contest with $1,000 in prizes and a 20% sitewide discount using the promo code SLUGGER20. This synergy between MLB betting insights, college football contests, and broader handicapping content reinforces Pregame’s role as a hub for sharp sports betting information. From an editorial perspective, the podcast succeeds by pairing statistical depth with practical wagering advice, appealing both to seasoned bettors and newer fans seeking guidance. The mix of trends, fantasy baseball angles, and promotional tie-ins keeps the content dynamic. My commentary is that the show’s value lies not just in picks, but in its process: highlighting faulty lines, identifying exploitable splits, and stressing the importance of context when interpreting numbers. The betting insights are actionable, but the broader lesson is that line shopping, injury context, and market awareness are as crucial as raw stats. Late-August baseball handicapping, with best bets on Blue Jays run line and Angels vs Rangers under anchoring a comprehensive breakdown. As playoff races tighten, bettors get both sharp picks and a reminder of Pregame.com’s broader offerings, making it a must-listen for anyone serious about MLB odds, betting strategies, and value plays heading into September. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 23

Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk NFC North and East fantasy football. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 22

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The MLB Friday betting preview with Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner broke down twelve games with both hosts riding an 8–2 streak on best bets. Munaf opened by stressing the urgency with roughly 35 games left, while Griffin noted, “we’re getting hot at the right time of year.” Colorado at Pittsburgh led the card. Antonio Senzatela, torched in a 17–16 loss the last time he saw the Pirates, carries a 2–8 road record. Munaf called the over 8.5 the best angle. Griffin, mocking the Rockies as “one of the least competitive franchises in global sports,” leaned Pirates at home but doubted unders due to Colorado bats. Washington at Philadelphia followed with Cade Cavalli against Taijuan Walker. Cavalli threw seven shutout innings versus the Phillies previously, but Munaf warned that rematches favor the hitters. Griffin advised focusing on Phillies run lines and blowout props. The Red Sox at Yankees matchup paired Brayan Bello with Max Fried. Griffin argued the line “doesn’t respect what Bello has done,” while Munaf highlighted Boston’s 6–1 record in Bello’s last seven against New York. Fried has allowed four or more runs in four of his last five. Both favored Boston plus money. Houston at Baltimore featured Lance McCullers in his first start since July 19 against Cade Povich. Griffin pointed to Houston’s offensive slump of just eight runs in seven games. Munaf doubted McCullers’ sharpness and leaned over nine, adding that Adley Rutschman is sidelined and Josh Hader likely out until October. In Detroit, Ryan Bergen faced Casey Mize. Munaf cited Mize’s 3.63 ERA and 103 strikeouts, with Detroit winning his last four starts. Griffin criticized Mize’s All-Star nod and praised Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. Both leaned under early but saw Royals value. The Mets at Braves matchup showcased rookie Nolan McLean, who struck out eight but walked four in his debut. Griffin favored Atlanta as a home dog and the over 8.5, while Munaf leaned similarly, noting hot Atlanta weather would boost scoring. St. Louis at Tampa Bay featured Miles Mikolas against Adrian Houser. Griffin trusted the Rays’ bullpen, while Munaf stressed Mikolas’ inconsistency and backed Tampa at -128. Minnesota at Chicago pitted Zebby Matthews against Aaron Civale. Griffin quickly said, “give me the White Sox.” Munaf agreed, citing Matthews’ 5.06 ERA and Chicago’s 7–3 record at home on Friday nights, all as underdogs. In Texas, Slade Cecconi met Nathan Eovaldi. Griffin praised Eovaldi’s Cy Young-level form, recommending under plays. Munaf backed that, noting Rangers home unders sit at 64.5 percent. Milwaukee hosting San Francisco saw Carson Whisenhunt oppose José Quintana. Griffin highlighted Bryce Turang’s surge, while Munaf cited Milwaukee’s 42–20 home record and San Francisco’s 13–22 mark against lefties, backing Brewers run line at plus money. Cincinnati at Arizona matched Zach Littell with Ryne Nelson. Munaf praised Nelson’s 5–1, 2.20 ERA home mark across 57 innings, backing the Diamondbacks and their team total. Griffin agreed Arizona held value despite a high price. The Dodgers at Padres closed the slate with Blake Snell against Yu Darvish. Griffin trusted Darvish’s improvement and liked San Diego as a home underdog. Munaf leaned to the under eight, noting Snell’s six scoreless innings against the Padres last week but citing Darvish’s 2.55 career ERA in 16 appearances versus Los Angeles. Best bets closed the show. Griffin picked Tampa Bay over St. Louis, while Munaf selected the over in Houston and Baltimore, both looking to extend their winning streak into the weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 21

RJ Bell and Mackenzie Rivers talk Preseason to NFL Week 1 best bets. The latest Dream Podcast episode, “PreSeasonPalooza, 15 Bets!!,” is a classic mix of sharp betting systems, insider debates, and off-the-rails humor, the kind of show that feels like sitting in a sportsbook bar where the conversation drifts from ATS systems to Larry Bird versus Magic Johnson. RJ Bell opens by reminding listeners about the special Pregame discounts and touting the records of handicappers like AJ Hoffman, Goodfella, and others, before pivoting into the heart of the show: an unusually strong batch of preseason Week 3 betting angles. McKenzie Rivers kicks things off with a light story about the Taste of Chicago festival, which leads RJ into a tangent about Stevie Wonder’s 2008 performance and the eternal debate over Chicago deep dish pizza, the type of side story that illustrates how much the Dream Pod thrives on detail and memory. From there, the real substance begins. RJ emphasizes that this preseason slate may be the best group of plays he has seen, with twelve recommendations and five best bets, while McKenzie contributes three researched totals for Week 1, giving listeners over fifteen actionable wagers. McKenzie’s primary research zeroes in on the effect of quarterbacks who do not play a single snap in the preseason. Since the NFL moved to a three-game preseason in 2021, those teams have gone 27–12 to the under in Week 1, with an average ATS margin of –2.6 points. Their team totals also fall short, averaging –3.2 compared to expectations. RJ pushes back, calling the no-snap approach “idiotic,” arguing that football players improve by playing football, but McKenzie notes the trend has only grown stronger. They cite teams like the Cowboys, Eagles, Buccaneers, Falcons, Rams, Bills, and Ravens as Week 1 under candidates, especially in games like Cowboys vs Eagles, Buccaneers vs Falcons, and Ravens vs Bills. In classic forum fashion, the pod spins into a debate about Peyton Manning versus Tom Brady, with McKenzie insisting the numbers favor Manning’s brilliance and RJ countering that Brady’s postseason success and rings will age better historically. From there they wander into Bird vs Magic, Bill Walton’s brief dominance, and Gilbert Arenas’ scoring outbursts, demonstrating how sports arguments naturally expand. Eventually RJ reins it back in with his own powerful Week 3 preseason system: play favorites who lost both straight up and against the spread in Week 2. Since 2021 these teams are 14–5–1 ATS, but the real gold is in the first quarter, where they are effectively undefeated with massive scoring margins. At home the trend is even stronger, with a 10–1 ATS record and a combined +180 point margin. RJ breaks down which teams qualify this year, including Kansas City, Detroit, the Jets, and Dallas at home, plus Bills, Steelers, Raiders, and Chargers on the road. He highlights home teams in the first quarter as the true best bet subset, noting an 11–0 record with an average +9 point differential. The conversation shifts to how small sample size intersects with logical consistency, with RJ stressing that this system passes the test because it makes sense up and down the spectrum. McKenzie adds that home momentum explains why the advantage continues beyond the opening quarter. As always, the pod mixes sharp betting insight with humor, from round robin discussions to jokes about Britney Spears movies on Easter. The episode closes with RJ previewing Pregame’s content schedule: the annual Quarterback Draft, the Season Win Totals Over/Under show, and weekly Dream Previews through the Super Bowl. The takeaway for bettors is clear: Week 1 unders for teams with zero preseason QB snaps, and Week 3 first quarter plays for favorites off a loss, especially at home, form the strongest edges going into the season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 20

Will Doctor, the sharpest golf handicapper in the game, is back with a loaded episode breaking down everything from Ryder Cup scenarios to this week’s Tour Championship and British Masters betting boards. Doc starts by recapping the BMW Championship and Danish Golf Championship before diving into the Tour Championship at East Lake, analyzing the top four names on the odds board. From there, he gives out two picks to place, one outright winner, and one outright winner without Scottie Scheffler, his sleeper of the week. The East Lake preview wraps up with two DFS lineups, a scoring prediction, and Doc’s best bet. Stick around until the end as Doc takes you across the pond for the BetFred British Masters, giving out an outright, a matchup, a Top 10, and his best bet of the week. The 2025 Tour Championship at East Lake marks the season finale with a fresh twist: no more staggered scoring. All thirty players begin at even par, turning this into a true head-to-head battle for a $40 million purse and the FedEx Cup trophy. Scottie Scheffler arrives as the clear favorite after winning the BMW for his fifth victory of the year. His numbers are staggering: thirteen straight top-8 finishes, five wins, two majors, and a putter that has finally come alive under Phil Kenyon. At +180 odds he’s expected to dominate, and he could become the first back-to-back FedEx Cup champion. Challengers include Rory McIlroy, a three-time winner here, though his driving has been erratic. Viktor Hovland, champion in 2023, has regained form with strong approach play and improved putting. If the forecasted rain softens the greens, he could thrive. Rising star Ludvig Åberg looks primed for a breakthrough after stringing together flawless all-around stats, and Sam Burns carries momentum from a top finish at the BMW while fighting for a Ryder Cup spot. Ryder Cup implications loom large. Europe’s lineup is mostly settled, with McIlroy, Hovland, Rose, Hatton, Fleetwood, Lowry, Straka, and Åberg locked in. Rasmus Højgaard’s recent run secures his place, while Matthew Fitzpatrick looks safe despite a poor Cup record. For Team USA, the top six are set, but captain Keegan Bradley must decide among Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Bradley himself, Brian Harman, Griffin, and McNeely. East Lake is the final audition, with Burns and Cameron Young also capable of forcing their way in. Scheffler is the man to beat, but East Lake has a history of drama — Rory’s comeback in 2022, Hovland’s weather-delayed win in 2023, Tiger’s unforgettable 2018 victory. This week feels just as loaded. Expect Scheffler to contend for another trophy, but the bigger story may be which players punch their Ryder Cup tickets and who is left behind when the teams head to Bethpage. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 20

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith dive into CFB Week 0. Week Zero of the college football season always feels like a strange appetizer, a slate that is light on the number of games but heavy on storylines, betting intrigue, and fan chatter. This year the action opens overseas with Iowa State and Kansas State meeting in Dublin for the Aer Lingus College Football Classic. It is a neutral-site matchup, a clash of Big 12 rivals being played far from home in a stadium more accustomed to soccer than Saturday gridiron. Iowa State has enjoyed recent dominance in the series, winning four of the last five, but Kansas State enters as a three-point favorite with a stronger defensive front and the potential breakout of quarterback Avery Johnson in a tempo-driven system. Rocco Beck threw for 3,500 yards last season but lost his two best targets to the NFL, and Matt Campbell’s team feels due for regression after an 11-3 campaign. Some see value on Kansas State to cover, while others eye the under at fifty given the travel, the surface, and the potential for sloppy execution early. Later in the afternoon Kansas christens its new stadium with a visit from Fresno State, a matchup that has already seen line movement from fourteen down to twelve and a half. The Jayhawks return quarterback Jalen Daniels, whose health has long been a question, and welcome new defensive coordinator D.K. McDonald. Kansas finished strong last year and will have the benefit of a true home environment after a season of displacement. Fresno State is rebuilding under Matt Entz, the North Dakota State coach with a sterling FCS record now testing himself at the FBS level. With new coordinators, a new quarterback in EJ Warner, and the loss of most of last year’s offensive stars, the Bulldogs face a tall order. Many bettors trust Kansas to handle business at home, though the total has dropped with expectations of more ball control on both sides. Sam Houston State and Western Kentucky offer a different style of entertainment, with points expected in bunches. The Bearkats bring in Phil Longo to reshape their offense, but it may take more than an offseason to get the scheme working with the current roster. Western Kentucky has become synonymous with explosive passing attacks, and even with a new offensive coordinator the Hilltoppers appear loaded for another high-flying year. Maverick McIver arrives with his play-caller from Abilene Christian, and the line has climbed from seven and a half to double digits. The sharper angle might be Western Kentucky in the first half, laying six and a half before late backdoor scenarios creep in. The finale is the traditional late-night Hawaii game, this time with Stanford crossing the Pacific under interim coach Frank Reich. The Cardinal are in disarray, with Andrew Luck now functioning in a front office role, an entirely new staff, and very little proven talent outside a few safeties. Hawaii, meanwhile, brings back thirteen starters, excitement around quarterback Micah Alejandro after his 500-yard debut, and an upgraded receiving corps that even includes a Stanford transfer. The line has flipped from Stanford favored to Hawaii by two, with bettors trusting the Warriors’ continuity and island home field. With Stanford unsettled and Hawaii motivated, many expect the Rainbow Warriors to control the matchup. Week Zero is quirky, often sharp with numbers that have been posted for months, but it provides the first chance to analyze real action and measure offseason narratives. Kansas State versus Iowa State in Dublin sets the tone, Kansas and Fresno showcase new beginnings in Lawrence, Western Kentucky promises fireworks against Sam Houston, and Hawaii gets its chance to shine against a fallen Stanford. Best bets circle around Kansas State laying three and the under in that opener, but as always the debate will rage across forums and living rooms as fans celebrate the return of college football and the long march toward a new season of Saturdays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 19

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. Munaf Manji (0:09–0:58) opens with excitement, noting most teams are 124–126 games deep and division races heating up. He promises best bets and promotions before introducing Griffin Warner. Griffin (0:59–1:13) admits they went 0–2 last episode but were 6–2 in the last eight and ready to build a new streak. Munaf (1:14–2:30) previews Brewers at Cubs, a doubleheader shifted by rain: Boyd vs Patrick, Cubs –130, Brewers +118, total 7.5. Griffin (2:31–3:03) jokes about losing his internet before asking about standings. Munaf (3:04–3:12) says Brewers lead Cubs by eight. Griffin (3:12–5:13) calls Milwaukee’s 31 wins in 38 “incredible” while Cubs are under .500 since midseason and mentally damaged. Munaf (5:14–6:52) adds Brewers are 23–5 since the break, Cubs 13–15, their bats flat with Crow-Armstrong and Tucker slumping. Boyd has pitched well but Cubs have lost four straight of his starts due to no run support. He sticks with Milwaukee. Munaf (7:13–7:56) shifts to Cardinals at Marlins, McGreevy vs Cabrera, Miami –132. Griffin (7:58–9:27) says St. Louis sold at the deadline, bullpen shaky, GM retiring, so it’s Marlins or nothing. Munaf (9:28–11:13) praises Cabrera’s 2.86 ERA at home across 63 innings and sides Miami. Astros at Tigers (11:14–15:33) brings Hunter Brown at +149 against Skubal –165. Griffin calls that price shocking, noting Skubal has allowed three runs in three straight. Munaf confirms it’s the first time Brown has been above +140, citing his 3–0 record with 2.93 ERA vs Detroit. They agree Astros ML and under seven. Blue Jays at Pirates (15:46–19:45): Griffin says Keller is untrustworthy while Scherzer has adjusted. Munaf notes Keller’s struggles but Scherzer’s strong three-game run and backs Jays on the run line. Mets at Nationals (19:47–22:23): Griffin leans over nine, citing poor bullpens. Munaf recalls Peterson’s complete game shutout vs Washington and his 2.43 ERA against them since 2023, while Irvin has allowed 14 runs in three August starts, backing Mets. Mariners at Phillies (22:24–25:34): Griffin doubts Miller’s return, Munaf stresses Sanchez’s 9–1 home record, both back Philadelphia. Orioles at Red Sox (25:35–28:53): Griffin finds Buehler unreliable, Munaf says he struggles to string good starts, both lean over 9.5. White Sox at Braves (28:54–32:06): little faith in either side, White Sox bullpen dismissed. Yankees at Rays (33:11–37:46): Griffin praises Boz but doubts Yankees’ management; Munaf notes Rodon’s 3.25 ERA, New York’s seven wins in ten, and Rays’ cooling bats, siding Yankees –140. Rangers at Royals (37:48–43:38): Lugo has allowed 13 runs in two starts, Griffin leans Rangers with Kelly, Munaf agrees. Athletics at Twins (43:39–47:04): Lopez hasn’t allowed an earned run in 24 innings, Ryan is 12–5 with 2.72 ERA, both lean under but wary of regression. Brewers at Cubs Game 2 (47:06–51:15): Woodruff vs Taillon, Griffin surprised Brewers favored on road but won’t fade them, Munaf notes they’ve won every Woodruff start. Dodgers at Rockies (51:17–53:15): Sheehan vs Gomber, both expect runs at Coors, backing the over. Reds at Angels (53:16–55:49): Griffin tired of Hendricks, Munaf impressed by Greene’s six shutout innings vs Phillies, siding Reds. Giants at Padres (55:51–58:50): Tang gave up six runs in his last outing, Pavetta 12–4 with a 2.7 ERA, Munaf backs Padres team total. Guardians at Diamondbacks (58:58–1:03:18): Griffin distrusts Rodriguez but sees Arizona’s bats dangerous; Munaf notes E-Rod’s poor 5.73 ERA at home, both lean over. Best bets (1:03:44–1:07:35): Griffin locks Astros–Tigers under seven, saying two aces and shaky offenses make it valuable. Munaf selects Yankees ML with Rodon, trusting their form and urgency. They close (1:07:35–1:09:14) with promos and optimism, determined to keep putting money in listeners’ pockets as the postseason nears. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 17

Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk AFC West position battles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 15

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. Munaf Manji opens by previewing the weekend MLB slate, noting tightening division races and their current 6-0 best bet streak, aiming to match last year’s 10-0 run. Griffin Warner jokes about his long commute before they dive into Friday’s matchups. They start with the Cubs hosting the Pirates, Braxton Ashcraft versus Colin Rea, Cubs -196, total 9. Griffin cites Pittsburgh’s weak road offense and bullpen reliance, favoring Chicago, possibly the under if the wind is in. Munaf highlights Chicago’s strong record after losses, with Rea solid at home, backing Cubs -1.5 at -105. For Phillies at Nationals, Zach Wheeler faces MacKenzie Gore, PHI -175, total 8. Griffin notes Wheeler’s home run troubles but likes the over; Munaf recalls Gore’s two earlier meetings with Philadelphia and prefers PHI -1.5. In Texas at Toronto, Jacob deGrom meets Chris Bassitt, TOR +101, total 7.5. Griffin declares the Rangers’ season “cooked” and picks Toronto, telling an “inside the pork” joke. Munaf cites Bassitt’s dominant home record and leans Blue Jays and under. Miami at Boston sees Sandy Alcantara against Lucas Giolito, BOS -163, total 9. Griffin doubts Alcantara’s form and leans over; Munaf notes his road over trend and favors BOS team total and full game over. Atlanta at Cleveland has Hurston Waldrep against Joey Cantillo, CLE -120, total 9. Griffin cites ATL injuries and poor road form, liking Cleveland; Munaf notes Atlanta’s 23-38 road record and backs CLE. Seattle at New York Mets features Luis Castillo versus Sean Manaea, NYM -111, total 8.5. Griffin distrusts the Mets’ bullpen, leaning Seattle; Munaf notes Mariners’ road success in Castillo starts but with some caution. Baltimore at Houston matches Brandon Young against Framber Valdez, HOU -243, total 8. Griffin doubts Young’s MLB quality; Munaf cites HOU’s 8-3 home record with Valdez, backing -1.5. Chicago White Sox at Kansas City pits Aaron Civale against Noah Cameron, KC -180, total 9. Griffin dislikes KC as a home favorite but doubts CWS; Munaf sees value on CWS. Yankees at Cardinals has Luis Gil versus Andre Pallante, NYY -126, total 9. Griffin says STL sold key pieces; Munaf sees Gil in form and likes NYY. Arizona at Colorado, Brandon Pfaadt against Tanner Gordon, ARI -180, total 12. Griffin calls Pfaadt unpredictable, leaning over; Munaf notes Coors Field overs profitable, siding with over and slight COL lean. Angels at A’s has Yusei Kikuchi versus Jack Perkins, near-even odds, total 10. Griffin favors whichever is underdog; Munaf leans under due to Kikuchi’s poor road record. Tampa Bay at San Francisco pits Joel Boyle against Landen Roupp, SF -122, total 8. Griffin notes SF’s poor offense and Boyle’s HR issues, liking TB plus money; Munaf favors SF for Roupp’s form. For best bets, Griffin takes Guardians -120 over Braves, citing motivation disparity, while Munaf picks Cubs -1.5 against Pirates based on their strong post-loss performance and Rea’s reliability. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 14

RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Preseason and much more. RJ Bell opens with humor, likening obvious seasonal choices to betting decisions, and transitions into a sales pitch for pregame season picks, stressing that buying early is always best. He notes past success from cappers including A.J. Hoffman at +75 units, Goodfella at +50, Shaker with 20–26, and Steve Fezzik with 10 of 12 winning years, though Fezzik is down this year with 30 pending bets. A podcast coupon TOUCHDOWN75 offers $75 off. Light conversation covers Fezzik “holding down the fort,” movies like Dances with Wolves and Tin Cup, and McKenzie’s trip to Chicago. Shifting to football, Fezzik reports a preseason week one scoring surge: 14 overs, 2 unders, 44.9 points per game, about eight points above totals and eight higher than last year’s week one. Yardage and first down numbers barely rose, suggesting other causes, chiefly a new kickoff rule moving touchbacks to the 35-yard line. Week one saw an 80% return rate, same as last year’s first week, but higher variance from returns creates more scoring opportunities than uniform touchbacks. Another factor is improved field goal prep—kickers now get balls earlier—producing 88.8% accuracy on 63 attempts, including 18 makes from 50+ yards and a 70-yarder, up from 86% last year. RJ and Fezzik argue this, combined with kickoff variance, will cut punts and boost points. Fezzik advises betting overs now before public momentum inflates totals. They analyze betting market evolution, noting early-week line moves remain sharp but late-week ones have softened due to more public money from legalized wagering. Bookmaker practices limiting sharps quickly are discussed alongside anecdotes from Pinnacle’s Henry about reading bettors. Strategic implications emerge for team totals and props tied to strong kickers and returners. RJ prefers season-long overs before adjustment; Fezzik expects kickoff returns to stay near 85% in the regular season. RJ stresses finding betting niches you enjoy. Scott shares success in “longest rush/reception” props using YAC and missed tackle data. Preseason takeaways include that league-wide rule effects matter regardless of personnel, while starter-vs-starter glimpses gain value as preseason progresses. Fezzik’s best bet is Detroit +3.5 vs Miami, citing the Lions’ third game and 8 days rest against Miami’s second game, short week, and back-to-back road travel. RJ outlines how Hall of Fame game participants excel late in week one due to conditioning depth. Scott’s best bet is Eagles -4.5 vs Browns, exploiting Cleveland’s depleted QB depth versus standout Eagles backup Tanner McKee. Scott presents an offensive tackle composite ranking from PFF and pass block win rate to find teams facing weak tackles; 49ers rank second easiest, making Nick Bosa a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year at +1500, sack leader at +1100, or 15+ sacks at +250. Using the same method, the Giants face the third toughest tackle slate, leading RJ to target under on Brian Burns sacks. Discussion notes good defensive lines facing strong tackles make sack production harder. They close with an announcement that Scott will appear less often due to new opportunities but will return during the season, ending with thanks, a Johnny Cash anecdote, and Fezzik quoting Cash lyrics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 13

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the BMW Championship and best outright ticket for the Danish Golf Championship -Reviewing Memphis featuring sound from Justin Rose, Tommy Fleetwood, Scottie Scheffler -Rickie Fowler sig. event points situation, hearing from Fowler on performance in Memphis -Ryder Cup scenarios featuring sound of Cantlay discussing Ryder Cup hopes and Keegan's dilemma -Discussing top 7 on odds board at Caves -1 matchup, 1 t10 -1 BMW outright (40/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRL, 2 lineups, scoring -Best Bet -Danish Golf Championship outright (35/1) Will Doctor opens with energy, introducing the BMW Championship at Caves Valley as week two of the FedExCup Playoffs and recapping a dramatic Memphis finish where Justin Rose, at 175–1 odds, claimed his 12th PGA Tour title by birdieing four of his last five holes to beat J.J. Spaun. Rose described his win as stoic, marked by determination and calmness, admitting that focus on execution muted his joy in the moment. Tommy Fleetwood, seeking his first PGA Tour win, led after 54 holes but faltered, finishing second; he emphasized gratitude for fan support and the importance of learning from close calls. Scottie Scheffler briefly shared the final-round lead but lost nearly 1.5 strokes putting on Sunday, missing the playoff by one. Key FedExCup changes saw Kitayama, Cauley, Fowler, Vegas, and Poston move into the top 50 while Potgieter, Spieth, Knapp, Clark, and Martin dropped out. Fowler, who finished T6, knew roughly a top 10 was needed and edged Chris Kirk by one shot to advance. Doctor defended Fowler against criticism over sponsor exemptions, blaming reduced field sizes for controversy, and highlighted that Memphis drew 3.6 million viewers, the best since 2018. Doctor’s betting card suffered as Scheffler’s Sunday putting cost multiple wagers. Brad Payne, caddying for Scheffler, noted good putts simply didn’t fall, while Scheffler praised Spaun’s grit. A win came via Jacob Bridgman over Potgieter, but Xander Schauffele, Wyndham Clark, and Harris English underperformed. On the European Tour, a bet on Christopher Broberg failed as Grant Forrest prevailed. Ryder Cup standings for Team USA show locks in Scheffler, Spaun, Schauffele, Henley, DeChambeau, English, and Thomas, with Morikawa, Bradley, McNeely, and Novak on the bubble. Contenders like Young, Cantlay, and Goderup remain in play. Cantlay endorsed Bradley’s inclusion if he were captain. Team Europe’s locks include McIlroy, Rose, Fleetwood, McIntyre, Hatton, Straka, Lowry, Oberg, Hovland, and Fitzpatrick, with Højgaard and Wallace vulnerable; Jon Rahm will take a spot, and others could qualify with strong finishes. Caves Valley’s redesign features rebuilt greens, narrowed fairways, and lengthened holes, now a par 70 over 7,600 yards. Doctor reviewed top contenders: Scheffler’s form remains strong despite a caddie change, McIlroy’s driving accuracy is a concern, Schauffele and Thomas struggle with consistency, Fleetwood and Oberg offer solid form but questionable value, and Cantlay’s price is too short given recent results. This week’s picks include Fowler over Lowry, Sam Burns for a top 10, Matthew Fitzpatrick outright at 40–1, and Denny McCarthy as sleeper top 10. First round leaders are Scheffler and Burns. The DraftKings lineup features Young, Burns, Fitzpatrick, Fowler, McCarthy, and Novak, with Scheffler as best bet for top American. Doctor also tips Sami Välimäki to win the Danish Golf Championship at 35–1, citing improved iron play and consistent driving and putting. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 13

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football Group of Five betting. 0:05 – 0:31 Opening motivational speech emphasizing speed, defensive swarming, and physical dominance — “Out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” — with a repeated call to “leave no doubt tonight.” 0:31 – 1:19 Griffin Warner Introduces the College Football Podcast episode focusing on Group of Five teams, following a prior episode on the Power Four. Announces a promo code and a college football contest, noting the goal is to identify season-long betting opportunities. Date: Tuesday, 1:45 – 2:33 Griffin Warner Explains that Group of Five games offer strong betting opportunities. Begins with Army (West Point) win total: Over 7.5 at +110, Under 7.5 at -140 on BetOnline. 2:35 – 4:41 Lonte Smith — Army Analysis 2023 Recap: 12–2, AAC champions, led by QB Bryson Daly (dark horse Heisman) and RB Kanye Udo. Losses: Daly to graduation, Udo to Arizona State, two Joe Moore Award-winning offensive tackles, best defensive player to Georgia. Returning Talent: Six of top ten tacklers; LB corps Miller & Thomas praised. Concerns: Offensive drop-off, new OL coach, challenging schedule (Tulane, UTSA, Navy, Air Force). Projection: 7–5 ceiling, 6–6 floor → leans Under 7.5. 4:41 – 6:08 Griffin Warner & Lonte Smith — Schedule Talk Army’s 2024 slate includes K-State, North Texas, Tulane, Air Force, Navy (in Baltimore). Lonte favors Navy among service academies, citing better returning production and depth. 7:16 – 14:52 Western Kentucky (C-USA) Odds: Over 7.5 (-125), Under 7.5 (-105). 2023: 8–6 record. Roster: Only 3 starters return (1 offense, 2 defense). Poor 2023 rush defense (224 YPG). Key Additions: QB Maverick McIver (Abilene Christian, 3,500+ yds, 37 TDs), OC Rick Bowie (former Abilene OC). WR Matt Henry (1,100+ yds at Western Illinois). Concerns: OL continuity, defensive holes, rush defense. Schedule: Winnable home games; road tests at Toledo, Delaware, Missouri State. Projection: ~8.6 wins → leans Over 7.5. 15:43 – 20:22 Bowling Green (MAC) Odds: Over 6.5 (+200), Under 6.5 (-260). 2023: 7–6 (6–2 MAC). Changes: New HC Eddie George; ranked 130th in returning production; offense loses top TE hero Fanning (drafted by Browns). Defense: Loses 13 of top 15 tacklers but adds FCS standouts (including Eddie George’s son). Schedule: Lafayette, Cincinnati, Liberty, Louisville early; Toledo and Buffalo at home. Projection: Depth concerns, brutal early stretch → Under (expects ~4–8). 20:53 – 25:10 Air Force (MWC) Odds: Over/Under 6.5 (-115). 2023: 5–7 after starting 1–7, finished on 4-game win streak. Roster: 9 returning starters (6 offense, 3 defense). QB battle (Johnson favored). OL returns 3 starters plus 2 with experience. Defense: Allowed 23 PPG; DL led by Peyton Zurch. Schedule: Bucknell, Boise, Navy, Wyoming, Army, UNLV, SJSU, UConn. Projection: Manageable slate, strong finish expected → Over 6.5 (7–8 wins). 25:38 – 31:06 Georgia Southern (Sun Belt) Odds: Over 7.5 (+130), Under (-160). 2023: 8–5. Roster: 10 starters return (5 offense, 5 defense). QB J.C. French (2,500+ yds, 17 TDs, 11 INTs, 66% comp). Deep WR corps; strong OL with most combined starts in Sun Belt. Defense: Needs rush D improvement; strong secondary led by Chance Gamble. Schedule: Fresno, USC, Jacksonville State, JMU, Coastal, ODU, Marshall. Projection: Favors in most conference games except JMU → Over 7.5 (floor 8 wins). 31:07 – 38:35 Playoff/Long-shot Discussion No strong playoff contenders from teams covered; JMU strong but blocked by JMU matchup for Georgia Southern. Boise State (2–1 to make playoffs) downgraded without RB Ashton Jeanty. Long-shot pick: South Florida (33–1) if QB Byron Brown stays healthy; avoid betting until after tough Miami/Florida stretch. 38:36 – End Best Bet: Army Under 7.5 wins. Rationale: Loss of QB, RB, two elite tackles, new OL coach, tough schedule, regression from 12–2 2023 season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 12

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 9

Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk NFL fantasy AFC South position battles. [Munaf Manji | 0:06–0:40] Introduces focus on AFC South, calling it a tough fantasy division but one he knows well as a Texans fan. [Rod Villagomez | 0:40–1:40] Sees the division as building for the future; C.J. Stroud is the main fantasy draw. Mentions hidden Jacksonville talent and early Colts injury concerns. [Munaf Manji | 1:41–2:28] Podcast aims to find deep fantasy values. Notes Anthony Richardson’s alarming finger injury. [Rod Villagomez | 2:29–4:06] Injury is dislocated pinky; day-to-day. Reviews limited playing history—4 games rookie year, 11 last year—warning about development setbacks. [Munaf Manji | 4:07–5:41] Colts hoped to compete; Daniel Jones played vs. Ravens (10/21, 144 yds, 0 TDs) in 24–16 preseason loss. [Rod Villagomez | 5:42–7:47] Texans RB depth impacted by Joe Mixon foot injury; Nick Chubb signed. Competition: Chubb, Damian Pierce, Woody Marks, Dare Ogunbowale. [Munaf Manji | 7:48–9:09] Chubb was preseason sleeper; Pierce’s workload uncertain. [Rod Villagomez | 9:23–11:16] Pierce’s 2023: 40 carries, 293 yds (7.39 YPC); career mostly ~3–4 YPC. Preseason will decide RB2. [Munaf Manji | 11:17–12:23] ADP: Chubb RB47 (~146 overall); Pierce undrafted. Texans open vs. Vikings. [Rod Villagomez | 12:24–15:22] WR2 battle with Tank Dell likely out all season (knee). Christian Kirk, rookies Jaden Higgins & Jalen Noel in mix. Dalton Schultz could finish top-4 TE. [Munaf Manji | 15:23–16:31] WR2 winner offers late-round fantasy value. [Rod Villagomez | 16:32–18:41] Colts QB battle: Richardson vs. Jones. Says it’s “now or never” for Jones; Richardson’s 2023 was 8 TDs, 12 INTs. [Munaf Manji | 18:42–19:59] Richardson likely starts but Jones worth monitoring on waivers. [Rod Villagomez | 20:00–22:28] Colts WR stats: Pittman (111 targets, 808 yds, 3 TDs), Downs (107 targets, 803 yds, 5 TDs), Pierce (69 targets, 824 yds, 7 TDs, 22.3 YPC). [Munaf Manji | 23:59–25:27] Preseason injuries: Pittman (groin), Pierce (foot blister). Pittman ADP ~116; Downs similar; Pierce mostly undrafted. [Rod Villagomez | 25:28–25:46] Pierce and Downs both viable late picks. [Munaf Manji | 25:47–26:23] Jaguars segment opens with Travis Hunter’s two-way potential. [Rod Villagomez | 26:24–28:14] Hunter could be more impactful on offense with Brian Thomas Jr., Deami Brown, Parker Washington. [Munaf Manji | 28:15–29:33] Jaguars lack true WR1; Hunter could fill that role. [Rod Villagomez | 29:34–31:13] RB stats: Etienne (558 yds, 3.7 YPC, 2 TDs) vs. Bixby (766 yds, 4.6 YPC, 7 TDs). [Munaf Manji | 31:13–32:08] Bixby’s low ADP makes him strong value. [Rod Villagomez | 32:09–32:46] Bixby could overtake Etienne. [Munaf Manji | 32:47–33:54] TE battle: 7 contenders; Brenton Strange (411 yds, 2 TDs) is TE1. [Rod Villagomez | 35:20–37:52] 153 vacated targets could elevate Strange. Cohen’s offense favors TE usage. [Munaf Manji | 37:53–40:00] Strange could finish TE9–TE12; late-round flex candidate. [Rod Villagomez & Munaf Manji | 40:01–45:54] Titans have no major battles. QB Cam Ward locked in; Pollard RB1 (1,000 yds, 4.2 YPC, 57 targets, 238 rec yds). WRs Ridley, Lockett, Jefferson set; TE Chig Okonkwo has upside. [Rod Villagomez | 45:55–end] Closes with preseason game list and fantasy prep reminder. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 8

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Friday. 📉 Fading Mitch Keller : Keller has a 5.75 ERA against Cincinnati in his career and has allowed 3 ER in each start post-All-Star break. 🎯 Brewers as Best Bet : Brandon Woodruff has 37 K and 4 BB in 28.1 IP with a 0.64 WHIP, and the Brewers are undefeated in his 6 starts this season. 🔼 Astros Momentum : Hunter Brown is back in form with 12 IP, 2 ER in last two outings. Yankees' reliance on home runs a liability. 🚀 Mariners Undervalued : Seattle at home with Luis Castillo is priced cheaply against a travel-weary Rays team, with Drew Rasmussen likely limited. 🔥 Guardians Surging : Cleveland swept the Mets and is climbing in the AL Central. Tanner Bibee is a concern, but Aaron Civale is in great form. 🧨 Rangers Underdog Value : Merrill Kelly is a strong underdog play vs. Phillies; Texas is 10-2 at home since the All-Star break. 🔒 Twins Depend on Joe Ryan : Joe Ryan is 7-0, 1.30 ERA in 9 starts vs. KC. Royals pitcher Seth Lugo has 8 BB in last 2 starts. 🧮 Over in Arizona : Rockies’ Gomber and Diamondbacks’ Gallen create a perfect storm for hitting; game total over 9 is attractive. 💰 Fade the Dodgers : Dodgers always overpriced; Jays’ offense is rolling, and Scherzer's recent form is solid. 💥 Nick Pivetta Dominance : At home, Pivetta is 7-0 with a 1.99 ERA in 12 starts, making the Padres a strong play. Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh [2:45–6:23] Griffin leans Reds at -103, citing Chase Burns’ high ceiling and Keller’s 5.75 ERA vs. CIN. Munaf notes the Pirates’ offense is inconsistent and backs the Reds ML. Astros vs Yankees [6:24–10:11] Both skeptical of Cam Schlittler’s polish. Hunter Brown’s rebound form (12 IP, 2 ER) is encouraging. Yankees’ offense is reliant on HRs. Both favor Astros ML. A’s vs Orioles [10:12–14:09] Both skeptical of JT Ginn’s consistency. Orioles’ young core still dangerous. Orioles’ home performance (5–2 post-ASB) leans Munaf to take the home team. Angels vs Tigers [14:10–17:03] Griffin calls -312 for DET “ridiculous.” Skubal’s Cy Young season isn't duplicating; Hendricks has quietly been solid. Both like the under (7.5 or F5 under 4). Marlins vs Braves [17:04–21:23] Cabrera’s 1 ER in each of last 3 starts vs Elder’s 6.54 ERA at home makes MIA appealing. Both back the Marlins ML and expect runs. Guardians vs White Sox [21:24–24:46] Guardians are hot, but Aaron Civale has 3 straight shutouts. Munaf notes CHW are 7–2 SU at home on Fridays. Recommends White Sox 1H ML. Phillies vs Rangers [24:47–28:10] Munaf emphasizes Rangers’ 10–2 home record post-ASB. Kelly a great dog. Both favor under 7.5 and like TEX ML at +116. Mets vs Brewers [28:11–31:15] Woodruff has a 0.64 WHIP and Brewers are 6–0 in his starts. Senga giving up 4 ER in 2 of last 3. Both hammer Brewers ML (Munaf’s Best Bet). Royals vs Twins [31:25–35:14] Joe Ryan’s domination of KC (1.30 ERA in 9 starts) vs. Lugo’s wildness (8 BB in 2 games). Munaf likes Twins ML and F5 under. Rays vs Mariners [46:39–50:15] Mariners -125 is Griffin’s Best Bet. Seattle plays well at home, and Rasmussen’s limited innings vs. a playoff-hunting SEA team makes M’s the play. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 7

Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk all things NFL this week. 🏈 Preseason Player & Team Analysis (00:04 - 10:21) 🔉 Scott Seidenberg (00:04 - 03:40) predicted Matthew Stafford might miss the first two regular-season games due to back issues. He recommended betting under Stafford’s 3,750 passing yards , which later adjusted to 3,600 yards , reinforcing his view as information from Ian Rapoport confirmed an aggravated disc and epidural injections. 📉 Steve Fezzik (03:42) underscored epidurals only mask pain and don't cure the injury, supporting the under bet. He further advocated betting Rams under 10 wins or missing the playoffs . 📊 Line movement insight (04:34) : Rams moved from -3 to -2.5 vs. Texans. If Jimmy G starts due to Stafford’s absence, Seidenberg speculated the line might swing to Rams -1.5 or even Texans pick’em , emphasizing Houston's +2 power rating versus Rams' -2 , potentially setting Houston -4 on neutral , or -3 in LA . 💡 Week 2 warning (06:22) : No change in line Rams -5.5 at Titans , making it a value opportunity if Stafford remains out. Fezzik liked Titans +5.5 due to their "bet-on" team profile. ⚠️ Seidenberg’s fear (07:31) : Titans could be the “sharp’s darling disappointment” like last year’s Panthers. Fezzik argued Panthers were victims of defensive injuries, not poor form. 🧠 Survivor Strategy : Parsons’ absence could impact Cowboys @ Eagles . Fezzik emphasized picking Eagles in survivor pools rather than betting -7 , since early success reduces entry value risk, quoting: “Your entry, moron, isn’t even worth $1000... and you haven’t won yet.” (14:05) 🔥 Burrow Plays : Bengals starters including Joe Burrow will open vs. Eagles. Play Bengals 1Q -0.5 (-170) as Eagles start Tanner McKee . Total: 37 —Fezzik prefers Week 1 unders when totals exceed 37. 🔄 Raiders vs Seahawks : Pete Carroll (28-20 preseason) may care more facing former team. Avoid assuming no motivation. 📊 Quarter and half-line strategies : Favor betting 1st quarters/halves with starter insights. Seidenberg said: “Starters for one or two drives? Bet the first quarter. Avoid the full game.” Fezzik’s critical note : “In the preseason, the number is just wrong... I actually think I want to lay the six.” (19:20) He emphasized blindly betting steam-chased lines at 6–8 AM PST is profitable. Week 2 targets : Bengals vs Commanders (ESPN MNF) : Bet Bengals (starters will play more). Eagles vs Browns : Eagles are undervalued as Browns starters won’t play (Flacco gets reps in joint practice). Fezzik dismissed betting Eagles in preseason: “Sirianni is McVay. He doesn’t care.” (21:25) Scott Seidenberg’s 2026 insight : “New Bills Stadium blocks wind. In wind games, totals get steamed down… we’ll bet the over.” Contrast: Northwestern’s temp field = wind risk. Alt win totals : Saints under 5.5 = -110 Saints under 4.5 = +140 Saints under 2.5 = +500 Fezzik: only under 4.5 is fair value: “If you get more than 100 cents selling a win, it's good.” 🧠 Teaser Math Lesson : Two-team teaser at -120 = two -280 moneylines Not all -7 spreads have equal MLs: Eagles -7 = ML -340 Commanders -7 = ML -290 49ers -7 = ML -325 Thus, Eagles are teaser-worthy , others aren’t. Fezzik shared 10 out of 50 bootcamp tips : Poker tip : Join new tables—new players = easier money. Diamond status trick : 10x points at Caesars + 30 mins = free hotel stays. Bonus bets : Use for parlays/long shots , not ATS. Soft markets : Bet golf, tennis, obscure sports. Pitcher importance : In HR Derby, pitcher matters more than hitter. Pace betting : Target live college basketball first-half overs/unders. 3-leg parlays : Better odds than 4-legs; lower juice. Avoid 4-leg parlays : Effective juice = -140 , worse value. Betting Round Robins : Mix +EV 3-leggers for long-term win. Medical checkups : Best EV tip—"Get tested." 3-leg teaser (+180) is more +EV than 2-leg at -120. Fezzik warns against 4-leg teasers unless they pay 3:1 or more . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 6

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the action at TPC Southwind. Description: -Discussing top 5 on odds board -Matchup, t10 -1 outright -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet 🏆 Cameron Young’s breakthrough : Won Wyndham by six strokes, gaining over 10 strokes putting, his first PGA Tour victory after seven runner-up finishes. 📊 Ryder Cup implications : Young’s win propels him to 15th in USA points; Keegan Bradley, Collin Morikawa, and Maverick McNeely face selection pressure. 🔥 Scotty Scheffler dominance : Coming off his fourth win of the season; projected by Will to win at TPC Southwind. 🎯 Course demands : TPC Southwind requires accurate driving, high-trajectory iron shots, and sharp short games, especially on firm Bermuda greens. ⛳ Harris English sleeper : Ranked 7th in FedEx Cup, with strong past results at Southwind (win in 2013, T4 in 2021). 📉 Betting recap : Previous picks down 4.7 units; highlights include Chris Kirk’s T5 and Ben Griffin’s T11, but misfires on Kevin Kisner and Lucas Glover. 📋 DFS lineups : DraftKings core includes Scheffler, Matsuyama, Bridgman, and Highsmith. 📌 Rory McIlroy controversy : Will criticizes McIlroy for skipping the playoff opener, calling it “pathetic” given FedEx sponsorship stakes. 💡 Key matchups & picks : Jacob Bridgman over Aldridge Potgieter (-175), Xander Schauffele top 10 (+125), Harris English top 10 (+300). 🌡 Conditions & scoring : Memphis heat expected; predicted winning score at -17. (0:15 - 0:28) Will Doctor opens with enthusiasm for the FedEx St. Jude Championship and promises sharp analysis for bettors and fans. (0:38 - 32:16) Will Doctor reviews Cameron Young’s historic Wyndham win , emphasizing his 10+ strokes gained putting and contextualizing it as one of the most dominant putting performances of the season. He highlights its impact on Ryder Cup standings, placing Young 15th and pressuring others like Bradley, Morikawa, and McNeely . Will critiques Colin Morikawa’s inconsistency (fifth caddie this season, limited top finishes) and defends Keegan Bradley’s Ryder Cup spot, pointing to his two wins in 25 starts and 4-3 Ryder Cup record . The discussion shifts to Brian Harman , who sits 12th in Ryder Cup points with strong finishes (T10 at The Open, win in San Antonio) and historical success at Southwind, making him a likely selection barring poor play. Will criticizes Rory McIlroy for skipping the playoff opener, calling it “pathetic” given the $25M prize pool and FedEx’s role as the tour’s biggest sponsor. He provides course analysis for TPC Southwind , noting narrow fairways, water hazards, and firm Bermuda greens that favor high-trajectory iron players and elite short-game specialists. Scotty Scheffler is identified as the primary outright pick (+315), with Will predicting his fifth win of the season due to his exceptional ball striking and recently improved putting. Additional picks : Xander Schauffele top 10 (+125) for his consistency at Southwind and Jacob Bridgman over Aldridge Potgieter (-175) based on Bridgman’s accuracy and putting edge. Harris English emerges as the sleeper top 10 pick (+300), supported by his FedEx ranking (7th), Ryder Cup standing (6th), and history at Southwind (win in 2013, T4 in 2021). DFS lineups are outlined, with Scheffler as captain, alongside Matsuyama, Fitzpatrick, English, and value plays like Chris Kirk and Joe Highsmith . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 6

Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith get you ready for the CFB 2025 season. 🎯 Pittsburgh over 6.5 wins : Pat Narduzzi’s defensive core, featuring Kyle Lewis and Rasheem Biles, plus RB Des Reid’s 1,500+ yards of production, sets the foundation . 📉 Arizona State under 8.5 wins : Losing Cam Scadaboo’s 2,300+ yards and facing a schedule with Mississippi State, Baylor, and Utah makes sustaining success unlikely . 📉 Oregon under 10.5 wins : QB Dante Moore’s inexperience and just one returning O-line starter threaten offensive stability . 📉 South Carolina under 7.5 wins : Despite elite athletes like Sellers and Dillon Stewart, poor O-line play and defensive losses spell regression . 📈 Miami’s playoff value : Carson Beck thrives in a less demanding ACC, backed by strong protection and weapons . 📈 SMU’s high-ceiling schedule : Early matchups vs Baylor and TCU provide resume-building chances despite roadblocks like Clemson . 📈 Louisville as a sleeper : Offensive system continuity and favorable home games against top teams make them a playoff dark horse . 📊 Playoff odds snapshot : LSU (+130), Miami (+175), Ole Miss (+170), and Louisville (3-1) stand out as potential value bets . 🔢 Critical stretches : South Carolina’s brutal LSU-Oklahoma-Alabama-Ole Miss-Texas A&M stretch likely defines their season . 🧠 Coaching & system insights : Dan Lanning’s first season without a veteran QB at Oregon raises big offensive questions, while Kenny Dillingham’s Arizona State faces depth challenges . Pittsburgh’s Path to 7 Wins (0:32–12:00) – Griffin and Lonte outline Pitt’s 7.35 projected wins, highlighting Pat Narduzzi’s defensive focus and RB Des Reid’s Darren Sproles-like dual-threat ability. QB Eli Holstein’s leash may be short with Cole Gonzalez waiting . Arizona State’s Regression (13:23–20:13) – With Cam Scadaboo’s 24-touchdown production gone, Lonte foresees a major offensive dip. Defensive pass rush remains a huge weakness against pass-heavy Big 12 offenses . Oregon’s QB Transition (22:14–28:22) – New starter Dante Moore faces Big Ten defenses with only one O-line starter returning. The Ducks’ WR group also lacks proven playmakers, raising major concerns . South Carolina’s Harsh Reality (29:45–38:53) – Elite athletes like Sellers and Dillon Stewart can’t offset O-line deficiencies (40.1% pressure rate allowed) and defensive attrition from five drafted players . Miami’s Playoff Dark Horse (40:12–43:05) – Carson Beck steps into a loaded Miami offense with top-tier O-line support, benefiting from an ACC schedule lacking Clemson . SMU’s Resume-Building Schedule (43:05–44:52) – Early showdowns with Baylor and TCU could propel SMU into playoff talks despite the challenge of a Clemson road trip . Louisville’s System Advantage (45:58–47:29) – Jeff Brohm’s quarterback-friendly system makes Louisville a reliable value pick, with pivotal home games vs Clemson and Miami . SEC Brutality for South Carolina (35:45–38:53) – A grueling five-game stretch against LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M is likely to derail the Gamecocks’ season . Value in Longshot Playoff Bets (40:12–47:29) – Teams like LSU, Miami, SMU, and Louisville emerge as attractive plus-money playoff bets . Promo & Contest (20:14–49:05) – The episode ends with details on pregame.com’s “Beat Greg Shaker” contest and a 20% promo code for listeners . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 5

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. Best bets as always. ⚾ Logan Webb vs. Mike Burrows : Both pitchers are in solid form; first five under is a strong play. 🔥 Twins vs. Tigers : Griffin calls the Twins a “scorched-earth” team post-deadline; Munaf trusts Chris Paddack to stay sharp. 📉 Nationals offense collapse : Mackenzie Gore struggling, while Luis Severino thrives on the road (3.03 ERA away). 😬 Phillies vs. Orioles : Dean Kramer steady, but Phillies' Taijuan Walker a fade candidate; total over gets consideration. 💪 Garrett Crochet dominance : Red Sox ace holding a 2.23 ERA; Boston 6–0 in his last six starts. 📊 Brewers vs. Braves : Freddy Peralta strong at home (2.13 ERA), but struggles on road; Braves undervalued as dogs. 🛑 Yankees defensive woes : Despite Judge’s return, the fielding issues persist; Rangers bullpen remains elite under Bruce Bochy . 📉 Padres vs. Diamondbacks : Yu Darvish showing flashes of old form (7 IP shutout vs. Mets); Ryan Nelson excellent at home (2.09 ERA). 🚀 Dodgers offense vs. Michaelis : Cards’ weak bullpen and bad defense likely fuel LA’s big bats; Dodgers team total over recommended. 💵 Best Bets : Griffin : Yankees–Rangers under 8.5 Munaf : Red Sox -1.5 vs. Royals. Munaf & Griffin open (0:09–2:30) : Discuss the August slate and frustrations with Wilson Contreras ’ defense hurting bets. Giants vs. Pirates (2:31–6:25) : Analyze Logan Webb and Mike Burrows ; prefer first-five under and lean Pirates ML. Twins vs. Tigers (6:26–9:27) : Post-deadline Twins gutted; Chris Paddack trending upward. A’s vs. Nationals (9:28–12:13) : Severino thriving on the road; fading Mackenzie Gore ; value on A’s ML. Orioles vs. Phillies (12:14–15:15) : Lean Orioles as dogs; consider total over due to Phillies’ shaky Walker . Royals vs. Red Sox (15:15–17:35) : Red Sox surging; Garrett Crochet a Cy Young contender; Munaf likes run line. Guardians vs. Mets (17:35–21:08) : Mets inconsistent; Guardians bullpen a concern; lean Mets. Brewers vs. Braves (21:08–25:22) : Braves value as home dogs with Joey Wentz vs. road-weary Peralta. Yankees vs. Rangers (25:22–29:29) : Judge returns; big under trend at Globe Life; Griffin recommends under. Padres vs. Diamondbacks & Dodgers vs. Cardinals (48:03–54:15) : Favor offense in Arizona game (over 9); Dodgers likely dominate Michaelis; back LA team total & run line. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 4

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg recap the MLB trade deadline, talk about the biggest moves and play a game of Bet or Pass on MLB Futures. ⚾ Marlins’ dominance : 30–14 since June 13, top-3 ERA, and elite FIP rankings. 📊 Yankees’ imbalance : 6th-best offense (107 WRC+) but bottom-tier pitching (4.51 ERA since June 1). 🔥 Aaron Judge’s impact : Absence exposed the Yankees’ inability to manufacture wins without his bat. 🔄 Astros’ big move : Carlos Correa returns, filling gaps caused by injuries and providing veteran leadership. 🚀 Padres’ aggressive strategy : Added closer Mason Miller (5–2, 3.86 ERA) and power hitters, aiming to close a 3-game gap with the Dodgers. 💪 Phillies’ bullpen upgrade : Acquired Jhoan Duran and anticipate Jose Alvarado’s return, addressing their back-end pitching needs. 📉 Volpe’s struggles : Defensive miscues at shortstop and mental lapses highlighted as a key weakness for the Yankees. 📈 Red Sox stability : Consistent play and faith in their prospects make them legitimate AL East contenders. 📉 Twins' puzzling sell-off : Despite being competitive last year, Minnesota stripped key pieces, confusing analysts. 💸 Futures betting angles : Red Sox (+400), Padres (+500), and Yankees to miss the playoffs (+475) were discussed as intriguing bets. Miami Marlins’ surge : Since June 13, the Marlins are 30–14 with the best pitching metrics in baseball. Towers praised Jensen Junk (5–2, 3.86 ERA) as a breakout performer. Yankees’ crisis : Seidenberg and Towers dissected New York’s fall, citing a top-6 offense but abysmal pitching and Volpe’s defensive struggles. Aaron Boone’s leniency toward Jazz Chisholm’s poor baserunning drew sharp criticism. Astros’ Correa reunion : Correa’s return is viewed as both a cultural and defensive boost, crucial for maintaining their narrow AL West lead over Seattle. Padres’ playoff push : San Diego added Mason Miller, O’Hearn, and Laureano, positioning themselves as serious NL West contenders despite a 3-game deficit. Phillies’ key acquisition : Jhoan Duran solidifies the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado’s upcoming return could elevate them to NL East dominance. Red Sox consistency : Boston’s measured approach with prospects and refusal to trade core players has fostered confidence and sustained momentum. Twins’ puzzling decisions : Despite remaining competitive last season, Minnesota traded away key players, drawing Towers’ ire. Betting insights : Futures wagers like the Yankees missing playoffs (+475) and Padres winning NL West (+500) offer high-value opportunities. Volpe’s decline : Towers highlighted mental and mechanical issues contributing to Volpe’s defensive errors. Playoff outlook : Seidenberg predicted massive volatility in the standings, with the Yankees potentially falling out of playoff contention within a week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 2

Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji talk NFL fantasy Football AFC North. Cincinnati Bengals: Noah Fant joins Mike Gusecki in a deep tight-end room, but Gusecki remains the preferred late-round fantasy option due to existing chemistry with Joe Burrow. Cleveland Browns: With Deshaun Watson re-injuring his Achilles and Joe Flacco (40) leading the depth chart, the quarterback situation remains murky. Shadur Sanders shows promise but needs development. Pittsburgh Steelers: Aaron Rodgers targets DK Metcalf heavily, but the dual-tight-end approach with Pat Friermuth and Jonu Smith makes both fantasy-viable. Baltimore Ravens: DeAndre Hopkins joins Zay Flowers, but Flowers remains the WR1. Derrick Henry anchors the backfield, with Justice Hill as a strong PPR stash. Team context: The episode emphasized how team schemes (like Pittsburgh’s two-TE sets and Baltimore’s triple-option look) will influence fantasy outcomes. 🟢 Gusecki vs. Fant: Gusecki leads as the Bengals’ primary TE target, with 665 yards and 2 TDs last season, while Fant produced 500 yards and 1 TD. 🟠 Shadur Sanders’ upside: Reports praise his preseason performance, but the Browns may shelter him behind Flacco early. 🔵 Joe Flacco’s limited fantasy value: At QB36 with a 232 ADP, he’s undrafted in most formats. 🟡 Aaron Rodgers’ tendencies: Historically feeds his WR1 (Metcalf now), with TE-heavy sets likely boosting Friermuth and Jonu Smith. 🟣 Friermuth vs. Smith: Friermuth logged 668 yards & 7 TDs; Jonu Smith had 884 yards & 8 TDs. Both may hit high red-zone usage. 🟤 DeAndre Hopkins’ new role: Likely a secondary target to Zay Flowers, functioning as a veteran decoy and red-zone option. ⚪ Zay Flowers WR1: With 116 targets last season, Flowers remains Lamar Jackson’s top passing option. 🟤 Justice Hill’s value: As a pass-catching RB (403 yards, 4 TDs), Hill provides PPR upside late in drafts. 🔴 Derrick Henry workload: Coming off 325 carries and 16 TDs, Henry remains dominant but could cede snaps to preserve health. 🟢 ADP insights: Players like Hill (178 ADP) and Gusecki (184 ADP) offer late-round value in deeper leagues. Opening Context (0:07 – 2:32): Munaf and Rod discuss preseason overreactions, such as Trey Lance hype, and frame the conversation on AFC North battles, noting most positions are set. Cincinnati Bengals TE Battle (9:22 – 14:58): Gusecki vs. Fant dominates the discussion, with Gusecki’s chemistry with Burrow making him the safer pick despite Fant’s arrival. Cleveland Browns QB Chaos (16:14 – 25:10): Deshaun Watson’s re-injured Achilles opens the door for Flacco, while Shadur Sanders shows promise but needs seasoning. Steelers TE & WR Depth (26:38 – 33:56): Aaron Rodgers’ arrival makes Metcalf a top target, with Friermuth and Jonu Smith projected for significant red-zone work. Baltimore WR Situation (35:32 – 44:23): Hopkins joins as a veteran WR2 while Zay Flowers remains the focal point. Likely’s injury solidifies Mark Andrews’ TE dominance. Justice Hill’s PPR Flex Role (44:36 – 48:21): Hill is highlighted as a sneaky late-round stash with strong pass-catching skills. Derrick Henry Durability (38:00 – 44:00): Discussion on limiting Henry’s workload after 325 carries to preserve him for playoffs. Roster Depth Impact: Depth battles like these affect fantasy margins, particularly in competitive leagues. Fantasy Draft Strategy: Emphasis on targeting late-round sleepers like Gusecki and Hill for roster flexibility. Closing & Next Week (50:01 – 53:19): The hosts preview their next divisional breakdown (AFC South) and tease a listener league. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 1

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. ⚾ Trade deadline reshaping : Twins shed contracts (Carlos Correa back to Houston; Griffin Jax to Rays), Padres strengthened bullpen (Mason Miller, JP Sears, Nestor Cortes), while Braves and Giants shifted toward selling. 📉 Braves’ decline : Bryce Elder struggles (8 ER vs. Rangers, 15 walks in 5 starts), rotation injuries, and Ronald Acuña likely out for season weaken their competitiveness. 🔴 Reds’ rise : Griffin calls them “too cheap,” citing Brady Singer’s recent rebound and Brian Hayes’ impact (HR in debut) as indicators of a competitive Cincinnati side. 🟠 Orioles fallout : Loss of Cedric Mullins, Ryan O’Hearn, Gregory Soto, Félix Bautista leaves their bullpen depleted; Griffin suggests only betting first five innings . 🟡 Brewers’ consistency : Despite a missed sweep, they remain ahead in the NL Central; Jose Quintana (favored at -150) exploits Nationals’ 10–18 record vs. lefties. 🔵 Phillies’ bullpen upgrade : Ranger Suárez shaky at home but backed by reinforced bullpen; Munaf favors first-five innings run line (-0.5, -105) . 🟢 Dodgers overvalued : Griffin slams Clayton Kershaw’s pricing and calls Rays ML (+130) a value play with Shane Baz pitching. 🟣 Mets at home dominance : David Peterson is 10-0 at Citi Field , justifying Munaf’s Mets ML pick vs. a struggling Giants lineup. 🟤 Padres bullpen depth : Adding Miller, Sears, Laureano, and Cortez transforms them into a serious playoff contender. 🟩 Mariners vs. Rangers : Logan Gilbert’s 2.79 ERA vs. Texas makes Seattle (-167) an appealing play over Jack Leiter, who battles control issues. Munaf (0:09–1:05) opens with trade deadline reflections, announcing 11 Friday matchups with confirmed pitchers. Griffin (1:07–1:48) humorously likens the deadline to an underwhelming first date but notes its excitement, wearing his Orioles shirt as a nod to Baltimore. Braves vs. Reds (3:08–6:41) : Griffin favors Reds ML with Brady Singer, while Munaf details Bryce Elder’s struggles (15 BB in 5 starts) and Cincinnati’s improved offense. Orioles vs. Cubs (6:43–10:08) : Griffin highlights Baltimore’s bullpen depletion , suggesting first-five betting only ; Munaf praises Trevor Rogers’ 1.49 ERA but doubts their late-inning reliability. Brewers vs. Nationals (10:09–13:30) : Quintana vs. Parker; Munaf stresses Brewers’ 21–11 record vs. LHP , though Griffin warns -150 is steep. Phillies vs. Tigers (13:32–17:10) : They weigh Ranger Suárez’s home inconsistency vs. Flaherty’s volatility; Munaf backs Phillies F5 RL . Twins vs. Guardians (17:11–23:54) : Discussion on Joe Ryan’s strong season (2.82 ERA, 10.2 K/9) and Minnesota’s salary-driven trades , including Carlos Correa to Houston . Yankees vs. Marlins (24:10–29:46) : Griffin praises Marlins’ plate discipline strategy , but criticizes Boone’s bullpen use; Munaf notes Yankees scoring uptick without Judge . Dodgers vs. Rays (29:46–34:09) : They call Rays ML value with Baz vs. Kershaw, citing Dodgers’ road fatigue and inflated line . Mets vs. Giants (34:10–39:53) : Munaf highlights Peterson’s 10-0 Citi Field record ; Griffin critiques Giants’ collapse post-trades. Best Bets (52:30–54:50) : Griffin picks Reds ML (-132) ; Munaf takes Mets ML . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Aug 1

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk nba betting. Top NBA 2025 award predictions with data-driven insights and betting analysis. Victor Wembanyama leads the Defensive Player of the Year race as a generational defensive talent with historic shot-blocking numbers, while Danny Avdija emerges as a prime candidate for Most Improved Player thanks to his expanded role and proven production when given more opportunities. Kevin Durant stands out as a high-value sleeper pick for MVP if the Houston Rockets meet their high win projections, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains a strong favorite to claim the award as the leader of an elite Oklahoma City squad. Jamahl Mosley is highlighted as a top choice for Coach of the Year, with Quinn Snyder also offering value if the Atlanta Hawks exceed expectations. The discussion blends historical award trends, team win projections, and narrative-driven factors to identify the best bets in each category. These insights help bettors and fans understand which players and coaches are positioned to capture NBA hardware in the 2025 season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 31

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL HOF game ad much more. 🏈 Hall of Fame Game Betting: Steve Fezzik favors the under if the total inflates above 33 (3:51–4:15). 📈 Preseason Teasers: Fezzik recommends preseason teasers due to high variance and unique scoring distributions (4:32–5:29). 🚀 Trey Lance Spotlight: Lance will play the first half and beyond for the Chargers, giving them an edge (6:49–8:46). 📊 Backup QB Rankings: Marcus Mariota graded 89 PFF, making him the top-rated backup; Tyrod Taylor and Jacoby Brissett follow (12:47–14:20). 📉 Stafford Unders: Seidenberg pushes under 3,750 passing yards for Stafford due to his back injury and possible missed games (16:04–19:10). 🎯 Raiders Betting Edges: Fezzik identifies mispriced spreads, particularly Raiders -3 vs. Browns and Giants (24:19–28:04). 💰 Contest Strategy: Advice on timing entries for Circa Survivor and Westgate SuperContest, emphasizing equity preservation (31:28–37:15). ⚾ MLB Trades: Phillies added closer Jhoan Durán, Mets fortified bullpen with Ryan Helsley, and Mariners acquired Eugenio Suárez (46:34–49:52). 📉 C.J. Stroud Prop: Fezzik and Rivers favor under 3,800 passing yards due to injury risk and potential resting (45:02–45:50). 📈 Win Total Movement: Vikings’ win total has risen significantly during training camp, showing market confidence (45:58–46:34). Start of Preseason (0:05–3:50): Scott Seidenberg announces NFL preseason is here, promoting discounted season-long betting packages and bulk-dollar deals. Hall of Fame Game Strategy (3:51–5:42): Steve Fezzik outlines betting angles: targeting under totals if lines inflate and using teasers due to frequent one-point finishes. Chargers vs. Lions QB Analysis (6:49–8:46): Trey Lance will play extended minutes, giving the Chargers an edge; mobile QBs like Lance can dominate broken plays in preseason. Backup QB Depth (11:57–14:50): Mackenzie Rivers ranks backups by PFF grade and cap hit, spotlighting Marcus Mariota (89 PFF) as the best, followed by Tyrod Taylor and Jacoby Brissett. Stafford Injury & Props (16:04–19:10): Seidenberg argues Stafford may sit early games due to his back injury, supporting unders on his passing yardage (3,750) and possibly touchdowns (23.5). Mispriced Raiders Lines (24:19–28:04): Fezzik exploits weak early lines on Raiders games, betting them -3 vs. Browns and Giants in late-season matchups. Survivor Contest Timing (31:28–37:15): Discussion on Circa Survivor strategy: waiting until after the Thursday opener may create overlays and strategic advantages. SuperContest vs. Circa Millions (40:21–41:15): Westgate’s $1,500 SuperContest is praised for its late deadline and smaller field, offering a potentially better chance to win. MLB Trade Deadline (46:34–49:52): Phillies acquired Jhoan Durán; Mets strengthened bullpen with Ryan Helsley; Mariners added Eugenio Suárez, boosting AL West contention. Vikings Market Surge (45:58–46:34): Minnesota’s win total climbed near 9.5 wins, reflecting rising optimism around J.J. McCarthy’s potential. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 31

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk all things MLB. ⚾ Mets acquire Ryan Helsley : Strengthens their bullpen, likely for high-leverage innings instead of just the 9th. 🔴 Phillies add Jhoan Duran : Sent top prospect Mick Abel for a strong closer; GM Dombrowski unlikely done dealing. 🐯 Tigers acquire Rafael Montero : Minor bullpen addition; they remain reluctant to trade prospects. 🟥 Reds trade for Aaron Civale : Adds starting depth; concerns over walk rate and fit at Great American Ballpark. 🟦 Cubs get Michael Soroka : Bolsters the rotation for NL Central/wild card race. ⚔️ Braves likely sellers : Injuries decimated rotation; expect them to unload veterans. 🛑 Guardians may trade Steven Kwan & Shane Bieber : A sign of potential rebuild. 🌟 Carlos Correa could return to Astros : Willing to waive no-trade clause; Astros need infield depth. 💰 Thursday best bets : Munaf backs Rays team total over 4.5 runs; Griffin takes Rays ML vs. Yankees. 📊 Marcus Stroman’s struggles at Yankee Stadium : 15–6 to the over since 2023; 5–0 to the over in 2024. [00:00] Munaf Manji opens by highlighting MLB’s active trade window with several bullpen moves already completed. He notes only three Thursday games are on the schedule. [01:45] Griffin Warner celebrates recent podcast betting success (4–0 over two episodes) and emphasizes how impactful the trade deadline is for playoff races. [04:10] Mets trade : Munaf details the Ryan Helsley acquisition, with Edwin Díaz returning to form. Griffin analyzes the need for high-leverage bullpen arms, not just closers. [07:00] Phillies trade : Munaf reports Jhoan Duran to Philadelphia for Mick Abel ; Griffin predicts Dombrowski will continue aggressive buying. [11:00] Tigers’ Montero deal : Munaf calls it a minor move; Griffin doubts Detroit’s belief in a deep playoff push despite a solid divisional position. [15:00] Reds’ pitching depth : They add Aaron Civale , but Griffin critiques his high walk rate and worries about his fit in Cincinnati. [20:00] Cubs acquire Soroka : Munaf frames it as a key depth move; Griffin notes high trade costs for top pitchers like Zach Gallen and Merrill Kelly. [31:00] Buyers & sellers : Griffin lists the Braves , Guardians , Twins , and Giants as potential sellers, while Padres , Dodgers , and Red Sox should be buyers. [44:00] Correa rumors : Munaf mentions Carlos Correa could return to Houston to cover for injuries; Jeremy Peña expected back. [55:00] Betting breakdowns : They preview Rays vs. Yankees (backing Rays & team total over 4.5), Braves vs. Reds (support for Cincinnati’s offense vs. Carrasco), and Rangers vs. Mariners (leaning Seattle & under 7.5). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 31

-FedEx Cup scenarios -Discussing top 10 on odds board at Sedgefield -2 matchups -1 t10, 1 t20 -3 outrights (22/1, 70/1, 100/1) -600/1 sleeper outright -Scoring, lineups, best bet -50/1 Utah Championship outright ⛳ FedExCup Bubble Drama : Players like Rickie Fowler, Grillo, Mitchell, Kirk , and Bezuidenhout need strong showings to secure playoff spots (0:37–48:10). 📉 Tour Card Stakes : Docter explains the high stakes for players outside the top 125 , risking losing full status unless exempted or successful in Corn Ferry playoffs (0:37–48:10). 📈 Tour Changes Critique : Criticizes PGA Tour’s 2026 plan to cut full cards to top 100 , arguing it reduces competitive storylines (0:37–48:10). 🎯 Course Fit : Emphasizes precision over distance at Sedgefield; elite approach play from 50–150 yards and Bermuda putting are key (0:37–48:10). 🔥 3M Open Recap : Kurt Kitayama won with 20 birdies over his final 36 holes ; Docter laments missing on Jake Knapp (0:37–48:10). 🎲 Outright Picks : Matthew Fitzpatrick (22-1) , Christian Bezuidenhout (70-1) , Chris Kirk (100-1) , Kevin Kisner (600-1) (0:37–48:10). 📊 Props & Matchups : Lucas Glover over Si Woo Kim (EVEN) , Nico Echavarria over Takumi Kanaya (EVEN) , Griffin top-20 (+130) , Matsuyama top-10 (+350) (0:37–48:10). 🇺🇸 Ryder Cup Impact : Notes Robert MacIntyre , Jordan Spieth , Lucas Glover , and Andrew Novak as having Ryder Cup implications (0:37–48:10). 🏌️ Sleeper Spotlight : Kevin Kisner (600-1), citing improved putting and past Wyndham win in 2021 (0:37–48:10). 📌 Utah Championship Pick : Austin Hitt (50-1) , highlighted for strong ball striking and putting form (0:37–48:10). Opening Context (0:15–0:28): Will Docter introduces the episode, setting the tone for an in-depth preview focused on high-stakes golf. FedExCup Cutline Analysis (0:37–48:10): Outlines bubble players like Fowler (61) , Grillo (66) , Højgaard (71) , Mitchell (72) , and Bezuidenhout (74) , stressing playoff and card retention implications. Tour Policy Critique (0:37–48:10): Slams the PGA Tour’s 2026 plan reducing full cards to 100 , warning it will eliminate “David vs. Goliath” finishes. 3M Open Review (0:37–48:10): Highlights Kurt Kitayama’s victory with 20 birdies over his final 36 holes; laments swapping Jake Knapp for Michael Thorbjornsen in betting picks. Course Breakdown (0:37–48:10): Emphasizes that Sedgefield favors precision, approach shots from 50–150 yards , and Bermuda putting over raw driving distance. Top Outright Picks (0:37–48:10): Fitzpatrick (22-1) , Bezuidenhout (70-1) , Kirk (100-1) , Kisner (600-1) are selected for strong course and form fit. Player Matchups (0:37–48:10): Recommends Glover over Si Woo Kim and Echavarria over Kanaya as favorable betting matchups. Prop Bets (0:37–48:10): Picks Griffin top-20 (+130) and Matsuyama top-10 (+350) , projecting them as steady performers. Ryder Cup Watch (0:37–48:10): Notes MacIntyre , Spieth , Glover , and Novak have motivation to secure team spots with strong play. Utah Championship (0:37–48:10): Selects Austin Hitt (50-1) for his upward trajectory and skillset suited for the event. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 29

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. Opening context (0:10–1:40) – Munaf sets the stage for the week’s MLB action, mentioning the trade deadline and the previous episode’s 2–0 best bets. Griffin notes wearing a Rangers shirt “brought them luck” as they surged post-All-Star break. Emmanuel Clase’s suspension (1:56–4:00) – Munaf explains the betting investigation: 11 of 22 first pitches “non-competitive.” Griffin criticizes the Guardians’ collapse, with bullpen struggles (Hunter Gaddis, Cade Smith), concluding they’re “pretty much finished.” Diamondbacks vs Tigers (6:40–11:41) – Munaf & Griffin break down Casey Mize (10 ER in 7 IP, minus 132 favorite) vs Brandon Pfaadt (road ERA 5.94). Both skeptical of backing either team but lean toward Tigers if Mize rebounds. Guardians vs Rockies (11:42–15:20) – Logan Allen’s poor history vs Rockies (37.80 ERA), Guardians’ instability post-Clase news. Griffin leans toward Rockies run line. Yankees vs Rays (15:20–20:19) – No Aaron Judge weakens NY; Max Fried’s two dominant starts vs Rays (14.2 IP, 0 ER). Both favor the under 8.5 runs or first five innings under 4.5. Dodgers vs Reds (20:20–24:26) – Tyler Glasnow (13 IP, 2 ER, 18 K in last two) vs Nicolò Lodolo (coming off CG shutout). Munaf favors the under 9; Griffin hesitant to back the Dodgers at -149. Cubs vs Brewers (24:27–29:23) – Quinn Priester (9–2, 3.28 ERA) as Brewers’ ace vs Colin Rea. Griffin excited about the Brewers’ home underdog value; Munaf notes their 10 straight wins with Priester starting. Phillies vs White Sox (29:24–31:55) – Jesus Luzardo vs Jonathan Cannon. Munaf expects Phillies to dominate; Griffin cautious but notes White Sox’s poor bullpen. Braves vs Royals (31:55–38:01) – Eric Fedde’s 2–10 road record vs newly extended Seth Lugo. Both puzzled by Royals’ strategy but back Lugo and KC. Marlins vs Cardinals (38:03–45:13) – Sandy Alcantara’s road woes vs Sonny Gray (12–1 at home). Griffin sees Marlins’ value; Munaf expects Cards’ offense to produce. Nationals vs Astros (45:13–52:25) – Jason Alexander vs Michael Soroka. Astros in a slump (five-game losing streak), lacking offensive power without Tucker & Alvarez. Munaf leans Nationals first five innings. Rangers vs Angels (52:25–55:52) – Patrick Corbin (1 ER over last 2 starts) vs Yusei Kikuchi (struggling in July). Griffin and Munaf lean Rangers +107 and team total overs. Pirates vs Giants (55:54–59:51) – Bailey Falter vs Justin Verlander. Griffin plans to fade Verlander; Munaf suggests Pirates’ first five inning money line or team totals. Mariners vs A’s (1:00:02–1:03:41) – Logan Evans vs Luis Severino. A’s 2–10 in Severino home starts (6.68 ERA). Both prefer full game over 10.5. Best bets (1:04:35–1:08:06) – Griffin: Royals -119 vs Braves; Munaf: Brewers -110 vs Cubs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 28

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk Aaron Judge's injury impact on the AL MVP market. Plus the latest betting scandal in baseball possibly and trade deadline acquisitions . ⚾ Josh Naylor trade : Towers dismisses its impact, calling Naylor inconsistent and replaceable. 🟦 Ryan McMahon acquisition : Towers praises the Yankees’ move, highlighting McMahon’s swing, contract, and potential growth. 🟢 Royals keep Seth Lugo : Two-year, $46M deal signals they won’t sell at the deadline, maintaining playoff aspirations. 🚨 Guardians gambling probe : Emmanuel Clase suspended with Towers implying MLB has stronger evidence than reported. 💪 Aaron Judge’s injury : Judge placed on IL with a flexor strain; Towers believes he will still win MVP. 📈 MVP betting advice : Judge at even money is deemed a “gift,” while Raleigh’s candidacy criticized due to low batting average. 🔥 Texas Rangers’ push : Rangers are 8–1 post-All-Star break with elite starting pitching and +74 run differential. 🏆 Cy Young race : Paul Skenes dominates with a 0.67 ERA in July, while Sanchez and Boyd emerge as underrated contenders. 📊 Betting insights : Towers highlights Rangers +600 to make ALCS as strong value and critiques market overreactions. 📚 Insider anecdotes : Towers shares past MLB experiences with gambling warnings and clubhouse culture. Early Trade Moves (0:03–3:41): Scott Seidenberg opens with recent trades, including Josh Naylor to the Mariners and Ryan McMahon to the Yankees. Towers criticizes Naylor as inconsistent, while praising McMahon as a high-upside acquisition. Royals’ Decision (3:41–5:42): The Royals extend Seth Lugo for $46M and declare they won’t sell at the deadline. Towers commends this loyalty and their development system. Guardians’ Gambling Scandal (5:43–13:17): They discuss Emmanuel Clase’s suspension. Towers emphasizes MLB must have deeper evidence beyond pitch data anomalies. Aaron Judge’s Injury & MVP Race (13:19–20:20): Judge’s flexor strain impacts the MVP race. Towers predicts Judge will still win if he returns soon, dismissing Cal Raleigh’s low batting average as disqualifying. Roster Strategy & DH Discussion (20:20–23:47): The Yankees IL Judge to free up a roster spot during the trade deadline, with discussion on Stanton’s clogging of the DH role. Division Odds & Rangers’ Surge (23:47–27:51): Seidenberg highlights updated division odds. Towers lauds the Rangers’ rotation (DeGrom, Eovaldi, Gray) as playoff-ready. Playoff Betting Angles (27:51–30:39): They debate wagering on Rangers +600 to make ALCS versus +500 to win their division. Cy Young Race – AL & NL (30:40–35:01): Paul Skenes leads Cy Young odds with a 0.67 ERA in July. Towers argues Matthew Boyd and Christopher Sanchez deserve more recognition. Pitching Performance Metrics (35:01–37:01): They analyze quality start metrics, shutdown innings, and discuss Freddie Peralta as a potential contender. Closing Thoughts & Betting Promos (38:01–39:22): Seidenberg provides promo codes for sports betting packages, closing with the importance of identifying undervalued bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 26

Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji talk NFL fantasy football AFC east position battles. The AFC East may not boast the flashiest fantasy options, but its positional battles could provide league-winning value for savvy managers. Hosts Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez dissected the division’s key situations with a focus on deep-league stashes and late-round upside. In Buffalo, James Cook remains the lead back after averaging 4.9 yards per carry and scoring 18 touchdowns, but Munaf and Rod spotlighted Ray Davis, who logged 478 rushing and 189 receiving yards with six total touchdowns, as the preferred backup over Ty Johnson. The Bills’ receiver room also offers intrigue: Khalil Shakir led with 120 targets for 995 yards and four touchdowns, but Keon Coleman, who had 578 yards and four scores as a rookie, was pegged for a breakout as he battles newcomer Joshua Palmer for the WR2 role. For Miami, the tight end room is unsettled after Jonnu Smith’s departure, creating opportunities for Darren Waller, Pharaoh Brown or Julian Hill. At receiver, Munaf pushed Nick Westbrook-Akene, who tallied 497 yards and nine touchdowns on 60 targets, as a touchdown-dependent but intriguing flex option over Malik Washington, who managed 223 yards on 36 targets. In New York, the focus shifted to the WR3 battle between veteran Alan Lazard, who had 530 yards and six touchdowns, and rookie Arian Smith, a dynamic Georgia product with 817 collegiate yards and four touchdowns. Both hosts leaned toward Smith for long-term value while framing Justin Fields’ season as a redemption tour in a relatively low-pressure environment, making him a viable QB2 with upside. In New England, Ramondre Stevenson’s 14 career fumbles, half of which came last season, put him on thin ice, opening the door for rookie Trevion Henderson, a second-round pick from Ohio State, to carve out a meaningful role. Demario Douglas led Patriots receivers with 621 yards, but Munaf identified 6’4” veteran Mac Hollins, who scored five touchdowns last season, as a sneaky red-zone threat and deep sleeper, particularly if Stefon Diggs needs time to recover from his ACL injury. The episode concluded with a shared philosophy: these AFC East names may not headline drafts, but they are exactly the types of players who become early-season waiver-wire priorities. Drafting them late provides a strategic edge, especially in deeper leagues or superflex formats where depth and upside separate contenders from pretenders. As Munaf put it, these are the players “you might as well just pick up and hope for the best.” This breakdown of Buffalo’s backfield, Miami’s receiving depth, the Jets’ WR3 competition, and New England’s RB and WR rooms offers actionable insights for managers looking to squeeze value from one of the NFL’s less-heralded divisions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 25

SleepyJ and MeanGene talk UFC Fight Night wagers. 🥋 Shara Magomedov’s striking : Highlighted as a spectacular stand-up artist with creative spinning attacks, including a double spinning backfist finish vs. Armin Petrosyan. 👁️ Fighting with one eye : Magomedov is blind in one eye, limiting his ability to fight in U.S. states like Nevada and California. 💥 Barriault’s style : Described as a “grinder,” pushing forward with clinch pressure but lacking creative takedown entries. 📊 Yan’s decision streak : Petr Yan has gone to five straight decisions , even against top competition like Sterling, O'Malley, and Merab. 🧠 Yan’s fight IQ : Gene highlights Yan’s approach as a “builder,” who uses round one for reads before overwhelming opponents later. 📈 Marcus McGee’s step-up : At age 34, McGee’s jump to face Yan is framed as “do or die,” a massive leap in competition. 🛡️ Whittaker as a gatekeeper : Gene calls Whittaker the “gatekeeper” of the division — fighters must beat him to prove they’re elite. 🏆 De Ridder’s streak : Coming off three straight wins against names like Bo Nickal, Kevin Holland, and Gerald Meerschaert, fueling his momentum. 📏 Size advantage : Sleepy J notes De Ridder’s 6'4" frame with a 6-inch reach advantage over Whittaker, framing it as a potential X-factor. 🤔 Different betting angles : Gene favors Whittaker straight or by KO (+200), while Sleepy J leans toward De Ridder at +145 , emphasizing contrasting approaches. (0:38–2:07) Podcast Introduction – Sleepy J introduces the fight night edition, explaining they’ll cover the top three fights instead of the full card, and discusses balancing UFC content with football season demands. (2:08–3:56) Poirier’s farewell – Gene reflects on Dustin Poirier’s emotional retirement bout, noting his reluctance to grapple and inability to engage in a final brawl with Holloway. (3:57–6:49) Poirier’s fight breakdown – Sleepy J adds that Poirier looked mentally taxed by UFC tributes and unable to defend Holloway’s sustained combinations. (6:49–10:21) Magomedov vs. Barriault analysis – Gene emphasizes Magomedov’s knockout artistry, recounting his highlight-reel spinning finish, but also mentioning his difficulty versus Michael “Venom” Page. (10:21–15:17) Betting on Shara – Sleepy J backs Shara by KO/TKO (-135), highlighting Barriault’s declining chin and UFC’s matchmaking to elevate Magomedov. (15:18–19:51) Yan vs. McGee breakdown – Gene details Yan’s elite boxing, leg kicks, and grappling, predicting a decision win by weathering McGee’s early pressure. (19:51–22:43) UFC resilience – Sleepy J praises UFC’s flexibility in keeping fighters like Yan in contention post-defeat, contrasting with boxing’s unforgiving structure. (22:44–29:50) Whittaker vs. De Ridder – Gene frames Whittaker as a battle-tested gatekeeper, breaking down De Ridder’s past opponents and doubting his ability to overpower Whitaker. (29:50–34:18) The case for De Ridder – Sleepy J counters with De Ridder’s size advantage, reach, and confidence post-Bo Nickal win, leaning toward an upset at +145. (Closing) – Both hosts recap their picks, plug AJ Hoffman’s betting service, and sign off with plans to expand UFC content with more frequent podcasts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 25

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The discussion hosted by Manaf Manji with Griffin Warner covers MLB trades, team trajectories, and Friday betting previews. It begins with anticipation for an active trade deadline as the Arizona Diamondbacks officially begin a fire sale after being swept by Houston, trading Josh Naylor to Seattle and reportedly shopping Eugenio Suarez. Griffin notes the Yankees and Cubs as possible suitors while mocking the Yankees’ defensive issues despite Aaron Boone’s optimism. The first breakdown focuses on the Brewers hosting Miami with Freddie Peralta (12–4, 2.85 ERA) against Cal Quantrill. Milwaukee, 22–6 in their last 28, are heavy favorites at -220. Manji highlights Peralta’s home dominance (7–0, 1.53 ERA), backing Brewers -1.5. The Diamondbacks vs Pirates matchup features Ryne Nelson (5.79 road ERA) against Mike Burrows. Warner criticizes Arizona’s bullpen anchored by closer Kevin Ginkel (7.89 ERA) and prefers the Pirates as slight home underdogs. The Phillies visit the Yankees with Taijuan Walker and Will Warren on the mound. Both expect a high-scoring affair in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium, with Manji giving his best bet on over 10 runs. In Baltimore, Kyle Freeland (2–10, 5.19 ERA) faces Dean Kremer, who has a 2.00 ERA at home. Manji leans Rockies +1.5 for value. The Dodgers visit Boston with Emmet Sheehan against Brayan Bello. Warner views the Dodgers as overpriced and takes the Red Sox at +106. Tampa Bay’s Zach Littell faces Cincinnati’s Nick Martinez; Warner favors the Reds as home dogs, while Manji prefers the Rays’ team total over. The Blue Jays visit the reeling Tigers, who are 1–10 in their last 11 and last in MLB in runs, ERA, and WHIP over that stretch. Both back Toronto behind José Berríos against Keider Montero. In Chicago, Shota Imanaga meets Adrian Houser. Manji notes the White Sox are 5–2 straight up at home and leans their run line or first five innings while targeting under 8.5. The Braves take on the Rangers with Joey Wentz against Nathan Eovaldi, and Warner leans Braves moneyline against an expensive favorite, though Manji supports Texas early behind Eovaldi. Cleveland’s Gavin Williams faces Michael Wacha in Kansas City; Warner points out KC has lost five straight Wacha starts due to poor run support, siding with the Guardians. The Nationals visit the Twins, with Mackenzie Gore versus prospect Zebby Matthews. Warner calls Gore overworked and makes Minnesota -131 his best bet, joined by Manji. Seattle’s consistent Brian Wu visits the Angels’ Jose Soriano, who has a 5.65 ERA at home. Manji recommends Seattle’s team total over. The Mets travel to San Francisco, with Clay Holmes set to be piggybacked by relievers against Logan Webb. Warner backs the Giants at -132, while Manji prefers the under 7.5 or first five under. The show closes with best bets: Griffin takes the Twins -131, while Manji selects Phillies-Yankees over 10. They also tease expanded coverage next week with three episodes leading up to the trade deadline. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 24

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL. The guys get you ready for the preseason and much more. 🎯 Offensive Rankings : Buffalo leads projected scoring at 26.9 PPG , Cleveland last at 19.1 PPG . 📊 Schedule Difficulty : Browns, Giants, Eagles, Lions, Chiefs face the toughest opposing offenses , while 49ers, Patriots, Titans, Bills, and Bucs have the softest. 📈 YPP Insights : Chiefs, Steelers, Rams posted negative YPP differentials despite double-digit wins — a sign of potential regression. 🔍 Undervalued Teams : Packers (+1.0 YPP) and Titans (-0.2 YPP) are undervalued versus public perception. 📉 Rest Disadvantage Bets : Since 2021, teams with rest disadvantages are 200-184-6 ATS , outperforming expectations. ⏳ Short Week Thursday Games : Road teams on 3-day rest are just 6-11 ATS (2023) — major fade spots. 💡 Fezzik’s Picks : Packers -1.5 vs. Commanders (Week 2) . Steelers -1.5 vs. Seahawks (Week 2) . 🏈 College Football Playoff : Likely 3–4 Big Ten teams ; Fezzik/Scott debate over/under 3.5 . 🔒 College Bet : Ohio State under 10.5 wins (load management and tough schedule). 🏙 Vegas Decline : Cited high resort fees , F1 construction issues , and nationalized sports betting reducing Vegas’ exclusivity. Market-Based Offensive Rankings (0:04–10:25): Scott explains creating offensive power rankings by dividing teams’ projected total points by 17 games. Buffalo (26.9 PPG), Ravens (26.6), Bengals (26.2) top the list, with Cleveland (19.1) at the bottom. Strength of Schedule Analysis (11:19–15:04): Using these offensive power ratings, they rank team schedules. Cleveland, Giants, Eagles, Lions, Chiefs face the toughest, while 49ers, Patriots, Titans, Bills, Bucs face the easiest. Fantasy Implications (12:01–13:50): Fezzik recommends using these rankings for drafting defenses, targeting teams playing the lowest-scoring projected opponents. Fezzik’s YPP Takeaways (25:12–28:08): He notes that Chiefs, Rams, Steelers had negative YPP differentials despite strong records — suggesting overperformance in close games. Regression Forecasting (28:09–30:14): Mackenzie highlights that Kansas City outperformed win-share projections by 2.5 games , historically leading to underperforming the next year. Rest Disadvantage Insights (36:15–42:12): Scott reveals that teams with rest disadvantages are covering spreads , likely due to market over-adjustment . Thursday Short Week Data (43:21–44:13): Road teams playing on 3 days rest on Thursday are 6-11 ATS , reinforcing the fade strategy. Best Bets Shared (45:12–48:46): Fezzik recommends Packers -1.5 vs. Commanders and Steelers -1.5 vs. Seahawks , citing travel and rest factors. College Football Outlook (50:01–56:53): They debate Big Ten playoff representation (over/under 3.5 teams) and Scott gives a best bet: Ohio State under 10.5 wins . Vegas Tourism Decline (1:01:29–1:11:58): The group attributes lower occupancy and visitation rates to construction (F1), rising fees, and expanded sports betting access nationwide. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 23

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 3M Open. -Discussing top 8 names on odds board -1 matchup -2 t10's -3 outrights (35/1, 70/1, 100/1) -Sleeper (top 40), 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet ⛳ Scheffler’s dominance : Claimed his 4th major , now 4-for-4 in closing with a 54-hole lead. 📈 Putting breakthrough : Gained +2 strokes on the field , his second-best putting performance ever in a major. 🏆 FedExCup outlook : Scheffler leads the standings with playoffs starting in three weeks at TPC Southwind. 🎯 Rory’s inconsistency : T7 finish, negative driving accuracy for the third straight event despite solid putting. 💪 Bryson’s comeback : From 78 in round 1 to a 10th-place finish , crushing Scheffler fade bets. 📉 Failed futures : Kim (89th FedEx rank) , Theegala (140th) , Thompson (72nd) all disappointing in majors. 📊 Henley & Fitzpatrick : Delivered top-10 placements , boosting the week’s betting card. 🛠 TPC Twin Cities profile : Wide, water-laden course requiring long-iron precision and hot putting . 🔥 Betting favorites : Will passes on Sam Burns (18-1) , Maverick McNeely (20-1) , Wyndham Clark (25-1) due to value concerns. 🔮 Predicted winning score : -19 under soft, rain-aided conditions. Scheffler’s win (0:35–4:20) : Scottie Scheffler triumphed at Royal Portrush with back-to-back positive putting rounds on Thursday and Friday, capped by a final round 68 watched by 4 million viewers. Career implications (4:20–6:10) : At 29 years old , Scheffler now sits tied 22nd in all-time majors (4 total), aiming for a career Grand Slam with only the U.S. Open missing. Conditions & performance context (6:10–8:05) : Favorable weather with minimal wind/rain made Portrush play softer, aiding low scoring. Bryson DeChambeau’s strong final three rounds highlighted how score-friendly conditions were. Rory & MacIntyre analysis (8:05–10:40) : Rory missed a “sub-65” round , while Robert MacIntyre had a statistically positive week except for 3rd-round irons , both finishing T7 (-10) . Justin Thomas struggles (10:40–12:20) : Despite excellent iron play & short game , JT lost a full stroke off the tee , continuing his season-long accuracy woes, finishing T34 (-3) . Bryson fade failure (13:20–15:50) : After a 78 in round one , DeChambeau rebounded with 65-68-64 , finishing T10 , spoiling fade bets. Betting recap (16:00–20:40) : Russell Henley cashed a +350 top-10 , Matthew Fitzpatrick delivered +333 top-10 , while sleeper Christopher Reeding missed top-20 by 2 shots. Futures review (21:00–25:00) : Futures on Tom Kim , Sahith Theegala , and Davis Thompson were failures, collectively costing 3 units . 3M Open preview (26:00–35:40) : Course needs long iron ball-strikers (e.g., Finau, Champ), with Will predicting -19 as the winning score under wet but playable conditions. Best bets & lineups (35:40–41:18) : Key wagers include Tony Finau & Cam Champ for top-10s , with outright bets on Michael Thorbjornsen (35-1) , Andrew Putnam (70-1) , and Austin Eckroat (100-1) . For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 22

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. ⚾ Umpiring Chaos : Griffin and Munaf detail egregious officiating, including Juan Soto’s walk on miscalled pitches and Felix Bautista’s bad call with bases loaded. 📉 Casey Mize's Decline : Mize allowed 6 ER in 3 IP vs. Mariners pre-ASG and has a 4.93 bullpen ERA since June—down from 3.31. 🏠 Mitch Keller Home Split : Despite a 3.48 ERA over 16 starts, he's just 3–10 due to lack of run support at home. 🔥 Brandon Young Struggles : Orioles have lost 5 straight starts by Young, who holds a 7.52 ERA and 7 ER allowed in his last start. 🔄 Chase Burns Inconsistency : Impressive vs. Yankees (5 Ks), but bombed at Fenway (5 ER in ⅓ IP); rebounded with 10.2 IP, 3 ER in July. 📊 Christopher Sanchez Surge : 55.1 IP in June-July, only 10 ER; hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in any July start. 💥 Brewers' Rise : Milwaukee tied NL Central lead, won 10 straight. Mizorowski: 4–1, 0.90 ERA, 11.6 K/9, dominated Dodgers with 12 Ks. 🏗️ Astros Betting Edge : Despite injuries, Framber Valdez remains consistent. Eduardo Rodriguez 1–7 lifetime vs. HOU, 7.51 ERA. 🚑 Dodgers Injury Watch : Max Muncy out, Yamamoto’s form fluctuates—bounced back with 7 IP shutout vs. Giants after early Brewers exit. 🎯 Twins/Dodgers Over or RL Look : Simeon Woods Richardson may keep it close; Dodgers miss final AB as home team—potential run line value. Umpire Performance (0:49–3:47): Griffin slams ump Ron Culpa for miscalls, notably in Juan Soto’s walk and Orioles’ loss. They advocate for tech-enhanced strike zones used in spring training. Tigers vs. Pirates Preview (4:52–8:55): Mize under scrutiny post-6 ER outing; Keller decent stats but lacks offensive support. Tigers bullpen ERA worsened (3.31 to 4.93) since June. Guardians vs. Orioles (8:56–12:26): Brandon Young's poor road starts (7.52 ERA, 7 BBs) continue; Guardians’ Cantillo returns from minors aiming to stretch out starts. Nationals vs. Reds (12:26–16:11): Nationals fading post-GM firing. Chase Burns shows improvement after rocky debut; Reds offense surging. Red Sox vs. Phillies (16:12–20:19): Sanchez has allowed 10 ER over 55.1 IP since June. Phillies signed David Robertson, exposing bullpen fragility despite strong starting pitching. Yankees vs. Blue Jays (20:19–24:28): Jays swept Yanks earlier in Toronto. Scherzer beat them on June 30 (5 IP, 2 ER, 7 Ks). Jays offense peaking at critical time. Angels vs. Mets (24:30–28:18): Montas (5.03 ERA) unreliable; Hendricks “crafty” but volatile. Mets bullpen struggling; run line on Angels offers better value than ML. Giants vs. Braves (30:35–34:21): Davis Daniel's limited MLB action questioned; Braves are rare home dogs due to lackluster offense. Griffin leans over 9.5 total. Cardinals vs. Rockies (34:48–39:01): Blaylock’s Coors Field ERA inflated by 12 ER game. Rockies viable for team total overs. Fetty has lost 4 straight starts. Astros vs. Diamondbacks (39:02–44:05): Framber remains reliable; D-Backs’ bullpen in disarray with multiple closers injured. Rodriguez struggles vs. HOU—Astros best bet as short favorite. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 21

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg take a look at teams that are buyers or sellers and players that could be dealt as we inch closer to the trade deadline. Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers began the podcast by highlighting the proximity of the MLB trade deadline on July 31st and exploring player perspectives on potential trades (0:02-0:54). Josh Towers shared insights about clubhouse attitudes, noting that players on borderline teams usually do not focus too heavily on rumors unless they perceive their team as a genuine contender (0:54-2:22). Scott specifically referenced Zach Allen's scenario, discussing extra motivation players might feel to perform exceptionally well, either as a farewell to their home fans or to appeal to potential acquiring teams. Towers concurred, emphasizing how recent performances heavily influence trade interest (2:23-4:26). For players on losing teams, Towers explained they often refrain from openly expressing dissatisfaction but admitted they privately may urge agents to facilitate a trade, highlighting their focus remains primarily on what they can control—their performance (4:27-5:58). They then discussed prominent potential free agents, notably Kyle Tucker, Pete Alonzo, Ranger Suarez, and Framber Valdez. Towers indicated that Tucker could command a significant contract, speculating around $500 million due to the limited number of big names available (6:05-9:16). Scott and Josh shifted their focus to the Philadelphia Phillies, anticipating aggressive trade deadline actions given the impending free agency of key players like Kyle Schwarber and JT Realmuto, stressing the Phillies' urgency for success (9:17-10:30). They conducted a detailed breakdown of specific potential trade candidates: Eugenio Suarez from the Diamondbacks was deemed a definite trade candidate due to market scarcity (10:31-10:40). Sandy Alcantara, despite a 7.14 ERA, was viewed positively due to his talent and health (10:55-11:24). Mitch Keller from the Pirates and Zach Allen and Merrill Kelly from the Diamondbacks were discussed as attractive pitching targets, with Towers uncertain on Kelly's market value given his declining velocity (11:35-12:54). Nolan Arenado was considered a possible high-value trade piece, especially if packaged with Ryan Helsley, making him attractive to teams like the Yankees (12:54-13:53). Reid Detmers was identified as a valuable asset despite recent struggles, with Towers emphasizing his potential if developed properly (13:54-14:34). They then analyzed various teams: The Milwaukee Brewers' recent success raised questions about their legitimacy, given historical postseason struggles (17:06-18:25). The Toronto Blue Jays, despite inconsistency, were cautiously viewed as potential contenders (19:46-21:33). The Seattle Mariners were described as too streaky and lacking offensive consistency (22:27-23:10). The Texas Rangers were recognized for strong pitching but considered lacking sufficient offensive consistency (24:19-24:45). Tampa Bay Rays were praised for their unpredictable yet effective roster-building approach (24:46-25:33). In the National League: The San Diego Padres' potential was acknowledged, but Towers indicated internal cohesion issues possibly hampering performance (25:59-27:59). The Giants were dismissed as inconsistent and thus not genuine contenders (28:03-28:40). The Cincinnati Reds were enthusiastically discussed as a young team with potential but needing additional key offensive pieces to become legitimate contenders (29:21-33:27). Finally, they briefly touched on the Angels, suggesting that adding two pitchers could significantly enhance their playoff chances, despite current struggles and a negative run differential (34:29-35:47). Scott concluded by emphasizing the approaching trade deadline's impact on MLB futures markets, hinting at further discussions to come (37:47-39:51). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 19

Munaf and Rod get you ready for NFL Fantasy season that is right around the corner. 📌 Late-round focus : Target players with upside in Rounds 12–15, especially in deeper leagues. 📌 Christian Kirk (ADP 144) : Poised to benefit from Nico Collins coverage in Houston's high-powered offense. 📌 Trevor Lawrence (ADP 124) : Under Liam Cohen’s coordination, Lawrence is set for a rebound season. 📌 Hollywood Brown (ADP 146) : With Kansas City's shaky WR room, he could fill in crucial volume behind Kelce. 📌 Jake Ferguson (ADP 135) : Expected to remain Dak Prescott’s key short-yardage and red zone target. 📌 Kyle Pitts (ADP 149) : May finally break out with QB stability, 602 yards and 4 TDs in 2023 is encouraging. 📌 Nick Chubb (ADP 162) : Could see red zone and short-yardage work in Houston alongside Joe Mixon. 📌 Rico Dowdle (ADP 155) : Carolina’s committee could mirror Philly’s dual RB success, offering strong value. 📌 Justice Hill (ADP 178) : Baltimore pass-catching back with 383 receiving yards and red-zone appeal. 📌 Adam Thielen (ADP 167) : Despite age, led Panthers with 615 yards and 5 TDs in 10 games last season. 📌 Daniel Jones (ADP 194) : Insurance for injury-prone Anthony Richardson; dual-threat upside. Podcast Launch Context : Munaf and Rod reunite, outlining weekly podcast structure, recording after injury reports for relevance. Rod will lead content direction and fantasy angles . Player Evaluation Philosophy : Rather than covering elite players, they dive into RB2, WR3, and flex spot dilemmas that are often league-deciding . Christian Kirk (WR, Texans) : Cited as a value add due to 2022’s 8 TD, 1000-yard season and opportunity created by Tank Dell’s injury. Munaf projects 900+ yards and 6+ TD potential . Trevor Lawrence (QB, Jaguars) : Highlighted for late-round upside under new OC Liam Cohen. Previous two 4000+ yard seasons and expected offensive jump cited . Hollywood Brown (WR, Chiefs) : High ceiling WR in KC’s uncertain pass-catching hierarchy. Previous 1000-yard season and potential rise amid possible Rashee Rice suspension noted . Jake Ferguson (TE, Cowboys) : With 86 targets and 5 TDs last year, he's expected to repeat as Dak’s secondary outlet behind Lamb . Kyle Pitts (TE, Falcons) : Once a top-tier pick, his 602 yards/4 TDs in 2023 hint at resurgence with Michael Penix or Kirk Cousins leading the offense . Nick Chubb (RB, Texans) : Post-injury bounce-back candidate, formerly a 5.1 YPC career rusher. Expected to compete with Mixon, especially for goal-line usage . Rico Dowdle (RB, Panthers) : After 1,079 yards in Dallas, he's a strong flex stash candidate alongside Chuba Hubbard in Carolina's run-heavy setup . Justice Hill (RB, Ravens) : 383 receiving yards and 3 TDs makes him a strong PPR bench option behind Derrick Henry . Adam Thielen (WR, Panthers) : 615 yards/5 TDs in 10 games; Rod believes another 1000-yard season is likely with Bryce Young growth . Daniel Jones (QB, Colts) : A speculative stash in case of another Anthony Richardson injury. Adds rushing upside and comeback potential . Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE, Titans) : Fourth in team targets last year; potential security blanket for new QB Cam Ward . Devin Neal (RB, Saints) : Rookie stash in a murky RB room with Kamara possibly moved; ADP 210 offers low-risk flier appeal . Wan’Dale Robinson (WR, Giants) : 140 targets in 2023 with just 699 yards; Rod anticipates a production spike with Russell Wilson . Raheem Mostert (RB, Raiders) : Chip Kelly offense + rookie RB Ashton Jeanty = opportunity for veteran change-of-pace and red-zone role . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 18

SleepyJ and MeanGene break down UFC 318 full main card. 🥋 Poirier's Retirement Impact : Analysts felt emotional but hopeful about Dustin Poirier's retirement, noting his prime condition and consistent top-tier performances. 📊 Zaluber vs Johnson Breakdown : Daniel Zaluber was favored due to his grit, submission potential, and Johnson's 9 career submission losses. 💣 Johnson's Downslide : Michael Johnson's pattern of making tactical mistakes and gassing out was highlighted as a major risk. 🥇 Pitbull Over Ige : Dan Ige’s losses to elite fighters and lack of high-caliber wins made analysts favor Patricio Pitbull. 🎯 Holland at 170 : Kevin Holland was seen as significantly stronger and more focused at 170 lbs compared to 185, boosting his chances vs Rodriguez. 🥋 Rodriguez's Durability : While tough, Daniel Rodriguez was expected to get out-struck and possibly submitted by the longer, faster Holland. ⚠️ Costa’s Decline : Paulo Costa’s lack of significant wins since 2019 and reduced activity undermined confidence in him. 💥 Kopylov's Rise : Roman Kopylov’s clean striking and improved gas tank made him a confident pick to beat Costa. 👑 Poirier’s Legacy : Poirier's career, including fights against Aldo, Conor McGregor, and Makachev, was praised as elite and enduring. 🧠 Holloway’s Knockout Risk : Max Holloway’s recent KO loss and weight fluctuations cast doubt on his mental readiness. Opening Commentary (0:00 - 0:26) Mean Gene and SSleepy J opened with light-hearted banter before introducing UFC 318, emphasizing its significance due to Poirier’s final fight. Event Context (0:31 - 2:06) SSleepy J detailed the location, significance of the matchup, and described the card as decent but driven largely by the Holloway-Poirier narrative. Poirier’s Legacy & Form (2:07 - 3:54) Mean Gene highlighted Poirier’s exceptional career and asserted he is still a top lightweight, possibly top 3-4, despite retiring. He cited his debut win and fights with McGregor and Holloway. Poirier's Impact (3:54 - 6:50) SSleepy J reflected on Poirier's rise during his own UFC fandom and lauded Poirier’s ability to go five rounds with Islam Makhachev, asserting Poirier is still elite. Zaluber vs Johnson Analysis (6:50 - 9:56) Both analysts backed Zaluber. SSleepy J suggested Zaluber by submission at +470, citing Johnson's nine submission losses. Mean Gene agreed, adding Johnson’s fight IQ issues and Zaluber’s toughness. Dan Ige vs Patricio Pitbull (9:56 - 17:11) Both analysts questioned Ige’s resume, noting his inability to beat top talent. Pitbull was seen as a value underdog with better grappling and more poise since debuting against Yair Rodriguez. Holland vs Rodriguez Breakdown (17:12 - 25:28) SSleepy J expected a cautious bout to go the distance at +165. Mean Gene disagreed, predicting Holland wins inside the distance (−150), citing Holland’s size, reach, and dominance at 170 lbs. Parlay Strategy (25:28 - 29:25) SSleepy J shared a betting parlay: Kopylov and Islam Dulatov. He doubted Costa’s skill and motivation, calling him more aesthetic than effective in recent years. Costa vs Kopylov (29:26 - 33:56) Both analysts saw Kopylov as a clear favorite due to Costa’s inactivity and low volume. Kopylov’s jab, improved cardio, and technical precision were praised. Main Event: Holloway vs Poirier (33:57 - 50:52) Unanimous agreement on Poirier: He’s more well-rounded, has home advantage, and a legacy to cap. Concerns were raised about Holloway’s mental readiness, KO loss, and inconsistency across weight classes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 17

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NBA. 📉 Utah Jazz Over 18.5 : Historically, teams with sub-19 win totals go over (7–0); Mack projects 24.5 wins. 🧓 Phoenix Suns Under 31.5 : Losses of Beal and Durant, and a negative age curve led Mack to project 27 wins. 🧠 Toronto Raptors Over 35.5 : Brandon Ingram's addition and an underrated core led Mack to declare this his best bet. 🔥 San Antonio Spurs Over 42.5 : With Fox and Wemby together, Mack sees a 4-point net rating boost—his boldest pick. 🏀 Milwaukee Bucks Under 44.5 : Aging roster and lack of support for Giannis pushed Mack to declare it his best under bet. 🧨 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 55.5 : Top-three age-aligned stars and high net rating make them Mack’s favorite high-end over. 🎯 Houston Rockets Over 55.5 : Kevin Durant’s addition boosts win projection to nearly 58; strong depth and motivation. ⚠️ Boston Celtics Under 44.5 : Loss of Tatum, net rating decline, and lack of a center project only 38.6 wins. 💤 Oklahoma City Thunder Under 62.5 : Only four teams ever had higher totals; eight of eleven 60+ win teams went under. 📈 Chicago Bulls Over 32.5 : Despite losing names, young pieces like Giddey and White elevate their projection to 37.5. Utah Jazz (18.5 wins) : Mack calls this total historically low, noting all previous teams with sub-19 win totals went over. He projects a minimum of 24.5 wins despite Utah's trades of Clarkson and Sexton. Washington Wizards (20.5 wins) : Munaf likes the mix of veterans (McCollum, Middleton, Smart) and young players (Cam Whitmore, Clayton Jr.). He predicts 23–25 wins. Brooklyn Nets (21.5 wins) : Despite a lean roster, Mack expects their East competition to be weak enough to go over. Projected net rating yields 27 wins. Charlotte Hornets (25.5 wins) : Mack sees strong age-curve improvement from Ball, Miller, and Bridges. LaMelo's health remains the biggest question. Phoenix Suns (31.5 wins) : Loss of Durant and Beal and age-related decline lead Mack to project 27 wins and call this his best “anti-fun” under. New Orleans Pelicans (32.5 wins) : Munaf bets under due to Zion's fragility and lack of depth. Mack slightly disagrees, projecting 34 wins and a lean over. Chicago Bulls (32.5 wins) : Despite shedding DeRozan and LaVine, Mack sees internal growth and new talent (Giddey, Bouzelis) pushing them near 37.5 wins. San Antonio Spurs (42.5 wins) : Mack projects a 4-point value gain from Fox-Wemby synergy. Predicts 47 wins; names this among his top overs. Toronto Raptors (35.5 wins) : Brandon Ingram's arrival and net rating trajectory boost this team’s projection above market expectations. Mack's top Eastern Conference over. Milwaukee Bucks (44.5 wins) : Aged core, bad defense, and poor depth led Mack to confidently declare under—his top fade of the season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 17

Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk NFL, CFB & MLB. NFC West Breakdown (0:05 - 7:38) Steve Fezzik rates Rams as undervalued due to injuries in 2023 and elite coach-QB pair (McVay, Stafford). Rams scored just 367 points, but projected to exceed 415.5. He ranks Rams > Niners > Cardinals > Seahawks and critiques Seattle’s overestimated line at 8.5 wins. AFC West: Raiders Hype and Chip Kelly’s Return (8:40 - 12:47) Scott argues Raiders will outperform expectations with Geno Smith at QB and Chip Kelly calling plays. Brock Bowers and Jacobi Meyers' 2023 stats under poor QB play now see potential boost. Fezzik calls them a solid 7-win team, citing Chip's run-heavy offense and late-season schedule. Chargers + Broncos Outlook (14:26 - 17:52) Chargers predicted under due to conservative play style despite defensive strength. Broncos' RJ Harvey (20-1) is seen as an Offensive ROY sleeper with potential 1,000-yard volume workload. Denver expected to open with strong home field edge vs rookie QB-led Tennessee. NFC + AFC South: Buccaneers, Saints, Panthers, Colts (20:56 - 30:02) Baker Mayfield and Tampa Bay touted for 425.5 points and playoff upside. Saints viewed as NFL’s worst team with lowest point total (331.5). Panthers could finish second with healthier defense. CJ Stroud’s growth keeps Texans atop AFC South; Titans with Cam Ward expected to struggle. NFC North Analysis: Lions Dip, Vikings Value (41:15 - 48:53) Lions projected to decline from 15-2 due to tougher schedule. Fezzik prefers Minnesota over 8.5 wins and calls them well-coached with undervalued rookie QB. Bears and Caleb Williams seen as “no football IQ” with no upside. Packers and Lions projected to vie for wildcard spots. AFC North Projections (49:22 - 52:08) Fezzik sees Pittsburgh breaking Tomlin’s no-losing-season streak. Browns mocked as dysfunctional and unbackable. Ravens to soar past 452.5 points due to loss of Tucker and new 3rd-down aggression. Baltimore expected to win division handily over Bengals and Steelers. AFC + NFC East Takes (54:00 - 59:51) Buffalo favored for best record due to light travel and home-heavy schedule. Jets, Dolphins seen as regression candidates. In NFC East, Washington’s 9-4 close-game record is flagged as unsustainable. Giants +7 in Week 1 vs. Commanders considered a top dog bet. Betting Contest Strategy (1:12:13 - 1:14:10) Fezzik discusses approach to new Westgate CFB contest: use late-week line moves, never take stale numbers, and incorporate top cappers like AJ Hoffman. Warns about overvaluing early entries and stresses value of “perfect info”. CFB Futures – Clemson, Penn State, Heisman (1:17:25 - 1:21:22) Clemson praised for returning 80% of roster, Cade Klubnik Heisman potential, and winning the ACC. Penn State seen as top-5 team with NFL defense, Drew Allar breakout season, and Jim Knowles as key coaching hire. Both teams backed for national title contention. MLB Second Half – Astros, Phillies, Red Sox (1:33:35 - 1:36:06) Phillies and Astros identified as best bets post-ASB due to strong pitching and key players returning. Toronto flagged for regression due to inflated record. Brewers noted as most profitable team YTD. Fezzik and Scott favor Red Sox over Blue Jays in wild card chase. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 16

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Open Championship at Royal Portrush -Discussing top 10 on odds board at Open -4 matchups -2 t10's -2 futures outrights, 1 outright added -Sleeper, 3 R1 three balls, lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 🏌️‍♂️ Chris Gotterup’s rise : Won Scottish Open after going into the final round tied with Rory McIlroy; 2-under front and back on final day despite being put on the clock. 🌦️ Weather forecast : Wind gusts up to 25mph Thursday; mild rest of the week with possible showers—advantageous for accurate drivers and strong iron players. 📊 Rory McIlroy’s readiness : Opened at 8-1; sharper than 2019; recent finishes of 19th (U.S. Open), 6th (Travelers), and 2nd (Scottish) show peak form. 🧠 DeChambeau a fade : Lacks adaptability for windy, changing conditions and fescue greens; poor performance history across the pond. 🏅 Adam Scott analysis : Opened 80-1; gained strokes off the tee and with irons last week; even par on moving day cost him a top finish. 💥 Top matchups : Picks include Fleetwood, Hovland, and Schauffele over DeChambeau; Sink over Zach Johnson based on recent senior tour performance. 📈 Statistical sleepers : Christopher Reitan for top 20 (6-1) with positive strokes gained across tee and greens; Matt Fitzpatrick and Russell Henley picked for top 10. ⛳ Xander Schauffele : Opened 28-1; 68 straight cuts made; sharp driving accuracy and irons, slightly off on putting lately. 💸 Best bet : Anton Rosner to finish top Frenchman at 3-1; consistently outperforming other French golfers in the field. 🧩 Rory added as outright : Based on recent performance surge and favorable conditions, Doctor adds him as a single outright bet at 8-1. (0:14–0:45) Will Doctor opens with high energy , introducing Week 29 of PGA season, featuring the final major: the 153rd Open Championship at Royal Portrush. (0:46–2:00) Weather outlook : Mild to moderate wind; rain Thursday morning and possibly over the weekend; favorable for experienced links players. (2:01–10:20) Chris Gotterup's win : At Scottish Open, played consistent 4-under final round. Beat top players, despite on-course time pressure, proving his form with strong ball striking and length. (10:21–15:40) Adam Scott and Harry Hall recap : Both underwhelmed slightly; Hall opened hot but collapsed on the weekend, while Scott played consistent but lacked a weekend push. (15:41–20:30) Robert McIntyre : Poor Scottish performance, especially in driving, but historically capable at Portrush. Holds a 40-1 ticket from December, still seen as viable. (20:31–30:00) Rory McIlroy analysis : Missed 2019 cut at Portrush due to nerves. Now enters in top form—2nd at Scottish, strong all-around stats—favorable pick over Scheffler and Rahm. (30:01–40:00) Picks and fades : Scheffler passed on due to putting woes on fescue. Rahm inconsistent with putter and driving accuracy. DeChambeau faded for scientific playstyle and poor Open track record. (40:01–50:00) Additional odds board picks : Fleetwood, Schauffele, and Hovland analyzed for iron play and putting form. Shane Lowry and Morikawa criticized for inflated odds despite lack of results. (50:01–60:00) Matchups and sleeper : Fleetwood/Hovland/Xander all picked over DeChambeau. Sleeper is Christopher Reitan for top 20. Best bet: Anton Rosner top Frenchman. (60:01–end) DraftKings lineup and first-round picks : Rory, McIntyre, Henley, Fitzpatrick, Scott, and Reitan chosen. Three-ball first-round matchups favoring Oosthuizen, McCarty, and Reitan over lesser competitors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 15

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk all things MLB. The 2025 MLB season has reached its midpoint, and this comprehensive analysis covers every division with in-depth insights, team trajectories, betting odds, and trade deadline expectations. In the National League West, the Dodgers hold a firm lead despite recent struggles, with the Diamondbacks falling apart due to injuries and shifting into sell mode. San Diego and San Francisco trail closely but have struggled with consistency. The NL Central has turned into a race between the Cubs and Brewers. The Cubs benefit from the easiest second-half schedule and are positioned to buy key players, while the Brewers boast bullpen strength and recent form despite a tougher road ahead. The Mets and Phillies lead a tense NL East battle, separated by just half a game, with both teams healthy and ready to spend at the deadline. Meanwhile, the Braves' collapse due to poor road performance has effectively eliminated them from contention. In the American League, the Astros control the AL West, built on elite pitching and a dominant bullpen, while Yordan Álvarez’s return could be pivotal. Seattle is competitive but lacks offensive consistency outside of Cal Raleigh. The Rangers struggle on the road but remain in the wild card hunt. The AL Central is ruled by the Tigers, who lead by 11.5 games with the best record in MLB. Other division teams like the Twins, Guardians, and Royals trail far behind and show little sign of catching up. The AL East is a four-team war among the Blue Jays, Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays. The Blue Jays dominate at home but are vulnerable on the road. The Yankees are aggressive buyers with deep pockets, while Boston’s win streak thrust them into the race before a brutal post-break schedule. Tampa Bay has cooled off and may fade. Baltimore, once hyped, is now out of the conversation. Player performance and team value are heavily discussed, such as the Astros' closing combo of Hader and Abreu, the Mariners’ unexpected offense, and concerns over Mookie Betts and the Dodgers' injuries. Betting odds provide deeper context. Dodgers and Tigers lead World Series projections, but analysts recommend the Astros (10:1), Blue Jays (20:1), Padres (28:1), and Mets (9:1) for better returns. These teams combine talent with upside and have the potential to strengthen at the deadline. The episode ends by highlighting key second-half questions: Can underperformers bounce back? Will top teams stay healthy? Who will be the most aggressive buyers? And which wild card hopefuls will surge? The next two months promise a thrilling path to October baseball. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 15

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg look at the standings and stats around baseball here at the All Star Break with BEST BETS for the remainder of the season. At the 2025 MLB All-Star break, the Inside Pitch podcast with Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers delivers a sharp, numbers-driven midseason analysis. They highlight which teams are outperforming or underperforming expectations based on actual wins versus Pythagorean projections. The Toronto Blue Jays lead the AL East with a 55–41 record but are five wins ahead of their expected total, signaling potential regression. The Yankees are six games below their expected record, indicating possible value in the second half. Injuries and returning players also dominate discussion—Luis Garcia and Christian Javier returning to the Astros’ rotation is likened to acquiring top talent at the trade deadline. Luis Gil’s rehab performance could also bolster the Yankees. Boston’s young squad, led by Garrett Crochet and Roman Anthony, is positioned to make a late push if they acquire key pieces like a veteran first baseman or another starter. Win total bets discussed include taking the under on Toronto’s 89.5 projection and over on Houston’s 92.5 due to an easy remaining schedule. The Brewers emerge as the most profitable team in baseball for bettors, returning over $1,300 if wagered on every game. Milwaukee also boasts a 72% win rate as favorites. Advanced pitching stats suggest strong Cy Young cases for Zach Wheeler and long-shot Christopher Sanchez in the National League, while Crochet and Scooble are nearly even statistically in the AL race. Aaron Judge is unanimously favored to win AL MVP, outpacing competitors like Cal Raleigh in nearly every offensive metric. Shohei Ohtani's recent return to pitching enhances his case for NL MVP. The Phillies are picked to win the NL East, with three pitchers having 10+ quality starts, a key measure of reliability. For the postseason, the Yankees, Astros, and Tigers are favorites in the AL, while the Dodgers and Phillies are expected to meet in the NLCS. The Red Sox and Blue Jays are likely Wild Card teams, though the latter are expected to regress. Arizona is projected to fade down the stretch, likely trading veterans like Suarez, Naylor, and perhaps Gallen, and their under-79.5 win total is recommended. Despite offensive firepower, the Diamondbacks’ pitching struggles make them unreliable. Meanwhile, Milwaukee and Chicago are competing in the NL Central, and both are top betting values. Overall, listeners are encouraged to buy into the Yankees, Red Sox, and Astros for the second half, and fade teams like Toronto and Arizona. Josh and Scott also touch on key upcoming matchups, strategic deadline considerations, and award markets—recommending Sanchez for NL Cy Young at 20:1 and Crochet at +240 in the AL. They close by predicting the ALCS will feature the Astros and Yankees, while the NLCS will likely be a showdown between the Dodgers and Phillies, pending injury returns. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 11

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down the MLB Friday card and much more. ⚾ Shane Smith all-star start : Despite being less favored than Cannon, Smith offers betting value due to Logan Allen’s vulnerability. 📈 White Sox Friday performance : They're 5-1 SU and ATS on series-opening Fridays at home, suggesting a trend-based edge. 🔥 Dean Kremer at home : He boasts a 2.37 ERA in 6 Baltimore appearances, indicating potential value despite Griffin’s Marlins lean. 📉 Carlos Rodon's struggles : Yankees have lost 4 of his last 5 starts, with 3 BBs in each of the last two games. 🧊 Tariq Skubal’s home dominance : 9-1 at home, 2.00 ERA, 23 Ks in his last 14 innings. 💥 Milwaukee’s post-Dodgers sweep : While hot, the Brewers may be ripe for a letdown against feisty Nationals. 🔄 Doubleheader betting strategy : Bet game one; if lost, hedge on the same team in game two expecting a split. 📊 McCullers’ home ERA : 24 earned runs in 19 IP at home vs. just 1 on the road—fade him in Houston. 🚫 Pirates’ road slugging woes : Only .306 slugging on the road; reinforces under trend in Paul Skenes starts. 🧪 Max Scherzer caution : Aging and injury-prone; look to back A’s and the over vs. Blue Jays in West Sacramento. Guardians vs. White Sox Game 1 : Shane Smith starts for Chicago, Logan Allen for Cleveland. Griffin leans White Sox due to skepticism of Allen and Chicago’s Friday performance (5-1 SU and ATS). Marlins at Orioles : Cabrera (MIA) vs. Kremer (BAL). Cabrera has been strong on the road (4-2 SU), Kremer has a 2.37 ERA at home. Munaf leans Orioles; Griffin is tentative due to Baltimore’s recent DH and Cabrera's improved base-stealing prevention. Cubs at Yankees : Rodon struggles lately (6 ER vs. Mets), while Flexen is an uncertain bullpen piece. Yankees' team total over is suggested due to Cubs’ offensive slump and Rodon’s 3.25 ERA at home. Rockies at Reds : Chase Burns looks to rebound from a brutal Boston start. Rockies’ Marquez is inconsistent. Betting leans toward Reds team total over or passing altogether. Rays at Red Sox : Rasmussen limited to ~2 innings. Dobbins is solid at Fenway (3.22 ERA). Rays as small dogs are interesting despite using bullpen-heavy strategy. Mariners at Tigers : Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. dominant Skubal (DET). With Skubal 9-1 at home, Munaf leans under; Griffin backs Mariners +1.5 due to line value. Nationals at Brewers : Priester vs. Parker. Griffin warns of Brewers’ letdown after sweeping Dodgers, but doesn’t trust Parker. Munaf likes Brewers -1.5 despite potential trap. Astros vs. Rangers : Jack Leiter vs. Lance McCullers. Despite travel fatigue, Munaf fades McCullers’ horrific home stats (24 ER in 19 IP), backing Rangers and over 8. Pirates at Twins : Skenes vs. Joe Ryan. Skenes gets little support from weak Pirates offense (.306 SLG on road). Under 7 or 3.5 F5 is recommended. Dodgers at Giants : May vs. Logan Webb. Dodgers slump (lost 6 straight), but priced strangely. Griffin leans Giants, pending possible line movement favoring LA for better value. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 10

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down the MLB Thursday betting card. 🎙️ On July 4th week’s MLB slate, Munaf and Griffin methodically dissected eight games, highlighting strong betting angles. The standout pick was Griffin’s confidence in the White Sox (+118) against Cleveland due to Logan Allen's decline and Chicago’s solid home series starts. Munaf emphasized the Yankees-Mariners over (total 9), based on Marcus Stroman’s home game trend (13 of last 14 home starts went over). The Orioles, despite being underdogs, gained value with Charlie Morton's resurgence and David Peterson’s road struggles (Mets 1–7 in Peterson road starts). Several games showed questionable favorites (e.g., Colin Rea for Cubs, Walker Buehler for Red Sox), prompting dog or over bets. Spencer Strider’s dominance was respected, but skepticism loomed over Atlanta's market overvaluation. Patrick Corbin’s road favorite status was labeled a “fade.” Padres gained favor against Arizona's crumbling bullpen, despite Eduardo Rodriguez's strikeout potential. 📉 Mets' Road Struggles : They're 1–7 in David Peterson's road starts this season. 🔥 Charlie Morton's Rebound : After early struggles, Morton is pitching strongly for the Orioles, providing a live home dog edge. 🏡 Twins at Home : With a 26–18 home record, they're a profitable target against inconsistent away teams like the Cubs. ⚾ Stroman Yankee Overs : 13 of his last 14 home starts went over the total, making Yankees over bets a hot trend. 🧱 Cubs Overvalued : Public perception often overrates the Cubs, skewing lines in their favor even when performance dips. ⚔️ Eduardo Rodriguez Road Woes : A 7.03 ERA in night games and inflated road ERA makes him a fade against Padres at home. 💥 JP Sears Vulnerability : High HR rate and weak park factors make Sears risky against Atlanta, even if Braves are overpriced. 📈 Red Sox Scoring Surge : They've scored double digits in 4 of their last 6 wins, with Alex Cora calling it “the deepest lineup we've had in a while”. 🛑 Logan Allen Fading : Cleveland has lost Allen’s last three starts; he’s showing severe road splits (4.23 ERA on the road). 🐟 Marlins Rising : Quiet but impactful improvement through rookie call-ups; Cal Quantrill’s vulnerability at Great American Ballpark offers betting value. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 9

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things sports this week. The guys dive into everything you need for this weeks dream pod. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 9

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Scottish Open -Discussing top 8 on odds board -1 t5, 2 t20, Top Scot -3 outrights (55/1, 70/1, 90/1) -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 ⛳ Scottish Open Course : Renaissance Club, favorable prep for Open Championship with scoring dependent on wind and weather. 🌬️ Forecast : Tame conditions—sunny, low 70s, minimal wind—should boost low scores but remain unpredictable due to North Sea proximity. 🎯 Scheffler's Odds : +450 despite no Scottish/Open win—has 3 top 10s overseas but no putting success across the pond. 🔥 Rory's Form : 2 top finishes at Scottish recently, sharp putting and strong driving, no weaknesses noted. 🔎 Fleetwood's Ups & Downs : Positive mindset and past top 6s here, but 34th last year; tops +115 to finish top 20. 🤝 Morikawa's New Caddy : Billy Foster joins, excellent for short game; skepticism remains on immediate impact. 📉 Jason Day's Decline : 111th in SG approach last week; fashion & injury woes adding concern. 🎲 Thorb's Collapse : Missed top 20 by 1 shot after double on 17th; finished 21st despite superb ball-striking. 🎰 Graesserman's Pick : Solid 2024 form and past Scottish performance suggest strong value at 90-1. 📈 DFS DraftKings Lineup : Headlined by McIntyre, Scott, Hall; balanced approach targeting reliable past performers. [0:24 - 1:15 | Will Doctor] : Introduces the podcast and sets up Scottish Open analysis, emphasizing sharp picks and betting angles for Week 28. [2:58 - 1:06:05 | Will Doctor] : Reviews historical finishes: Schauffele’s win in 2022; McIlroy’s 2023 clutch victory over McIntyre; McIntyre’s 2024 win. Key takeaway—Renaissance suits top-tier, creative players under pressure. [Brian Campbell Analysis] : Campbell won after odds of 350-1, previously considered luckiest winner. Averaged only 281 yards off tee but had pinpoint approach and putting. Joins six multi-winners this season. [Thorbjørn Olesen Review] : Dominant Sunday run ruined by double on 17. Still gained almost 6 strokes on approach and 14th in SG off-the-tee, but negative short game metrics kept him out of contention. [Champ & Lawrence] : Both flashed early but faded. Champ's wedge game cost him; Lawrence's approach fell off dramatically. [Jason Day] : Withdrawals due to illness and injuries marred recent form. Poor showing at Deere; dressed poorly due to Malbon deal, which Will criticizes humorously. [Jackson Coyvon vs Quade Cummins] : Coyvon finished T11; 2nd in SG putting. Poor irons but dominant flatstick led to matchup win. [Top Picks] : Rory McIlroy: Top 5 (+187) Fleetwood: Top 20 (+115) McIntyre: Top Scot (+115) Aaron Rye: Top 20 (+200), citing superb history at Renaissance [Outright Winners] : Adam Scott: 55-1, recent top 12/30s with excellent across-the-pond short game Harry Hall: 70-1, hot putter, now elite ball striking Max Graesserman: 90-1, trending upward, loves calm links conditions [Final Bets & Forecast] : Predicts -19 as winning score; best bet is Max Graesserman top 20 (+275). DFS picks emphasize balance and upside with McIntyre, Scott, Hall, Rye, Graesserman, and Perez. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 7

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the latest news in Major League Baseball with a look ahead to Best Bets in the market. The July 7 episode of The Inside Pitch with Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers centered on the midseason shakeups in MLB, notably the firing of Nationals manager Davey Martinez and GM Mike Rizzo. Martinez's quote deflecting blame from coaches—“It’s never on coaching”—was harshly criticized by Towers, who emphasized the crucial role of coaching in player development. This led to a broader discussion on leadership accountability and the challenges of managing a young roster with high expectations. The hosts evaluated the Nationals' outlook following the firings. With a 37–53 record and 72 games remaining, Seidenberg questioned the team’s ability to reach their 68.5 win total, citing the fifth-toughest remaining schedule and looming trade possibilities. Towers countered that the team has foundational talent like Gore and Wood but agreed the over/under is razor-thin. They discussed interim manager Miguel Cairo and speculated on potential trade departures such as Josh Bell, Jake Irvin, and Mike Soroka, though Skenes and McCutcheon were deemed untouchable. The All-Star roster reveal sparked debates on snubs and systemic bias. Towers pointed out how dominant middle relievers like Drew Pomeranz get overlooked despite elite performance. They applauded the Home Run Derby format and early participants (Acuña, Wood, Cal Raleigh), with Seidenberg already looking to handicap the bracket once the field is announced. Pete Alonso and Kyle Schwarber have opted out, and the hosts emphasized the edge held by experienced derby hitters. The conversation shifted to awards betting. Joe Espada’s odds for AL Manager of the Year dropped from 50:1 to 38:1 after Seidenberg’s tip, bolstered by Houston’s 55–35 record and 15 players on the IL. Towers praised their 32–14 home record and resilience without stars like Yordan Alvarez. They questioned why AJ Hinch remains a heavy favorite despite similar adversity being handled better in Houston. Pitching excellence featured heavily. Zach Wheeler’s near-perfect game—12 Ks, no walks, 108 pitches—was dissected play-by-play. Towers highlighted his sequencing: late fastballs inside followed by slow curves to disrupt timing, calling it a clinic in in-out, soft-hard pitch selection. Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes were also celebrated for dominance and control. Skubal's K/BB ratio and Skenes' consistency paralleled deGrom's early Mets years, where low run support undermined elite outings. The Pirates became the first MLB team to record back-to-back three-game shutout sweeps both for and against—a historic anomaly. This led to a broader debate on whether the Pirates should trade Skenes. Towers warned doing so would cause fan revolt and questioned the club’s long-term willingness to build around him. Comparisons were made to past wasted rotations including Cole, Liriano, and Burnett. Power rankings closed the show. Tigers ranked first for Towers, followed by Astros and Dodgers. Seidenberg backed the Astros’ form and praised DeGrom’s consistency, calling first-five bets with him and Skenes reliable. Strikeout prop strategies were discussed, with Sanchez’s seven-game quality start streak singled out. Finally, the hosts previewed the coming All-Star Break special, which will feature full Home Run Derby betting breakdowns, midseason awards, and second-half predictions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 5

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers discuss the NBA season that has wrapped up. Free agent moves and much more. Kevin Durant’s Arrival in Houston (1:45–9:11) Durant was acquired for Green and a pick, with minimal downgrade to rotation. Mackenzie assigned a +3 point net value to Houston, projecting a 58-win season via Pythagorean models. Houston now features elite coaching (Ime Udoka) and depth across positions. Denver Nuggets Strengthen (14:57–20:38) Cam Johnson, Bruce Brown, and a potential Valanciunas deal enhance Jokic’s support. Mackenzie noted improved flexibility and defense. Despite Vegas favoring them less in regular season, they’re top-tier playoff contenders. Milwaukee Bucks Crisis (24:13–29:18) Dame waived for financial and personal reasons. Miles Turner signs for $107M but doesn’t replace Lopez’s defense. Mackenzie ranks them 20th in power ratings despite Vegas’ 40:1 title odds. Janis likely to be traded soon. Lakers Sign DeAndre Ayton (33:31–37:25) Ayton brings personality and effort concerns. His 18% rim contest rate is worst among centers. Despite teaming up with Luka/LeBron, Mackenzie predicts defensive issues. Projects 43.5 wins, lower than market’s 46.5. LeBron’s Decision (37:26–42:08) He picks up $53M player option but keeps future open. Trade to GS for Jimmy Butler floated. Lakers prioritize future cap space over winning now—frustrating for LeBron’s timeline. Knicks Coaching & Continuity (44:49–47:54) Mike Brown seen as a lateral move from Thibs. Knicks kept core roster and added bench depth. Mackenzie makes them East favorites until Garland returns fully for Cavs. Magic Breakout Prediction (51:56–56:43) Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs boost perimeter threat. Age curve and returns from injury forecast >50 wins. Mackenzie places them #2 in East behind the Cavs, calling them a regular-season powerhouse. Dallas Mavericks Evaluation (57:30–1:00:58) Kyrie’s uncertain return hurts projection. Additions like DLo and Anthony Davis strengthen floor but limit ceiling. Mackenzie projects 39–41 wins, making them a fringe play-in team. Philadelphia 76ers Uncertainty (1:00:58–1:04:52) Despite roster similarity to last year, health of Embiid/PG makes projections volatile. Embiid played only 19 games last season. Munaf leans under; Mackenzie says to wait for in-season evidence. Closing Thoughts & Summer League Preview (1:06:32–1:07:53) Hosts close with excitement for Summer League and reflection on rapid offseason changes. Mackenzie teases potential picks and returns for more Summer League coverage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 2

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Free Agency moves. Plus, the guys discuss the recent news in the poker world at the WSOP. Fezzik gives out a NFL best bet and also talk bonus betting. 📚 Summary [0:00–4:05] Promotional Segment Scott, Fezzik, and Mackenzie promote Pregame.com’s extended holiday access for betting picks. Scott mentions Fezzik is on a “60-25” baseball run and others like Andre Gomes (+56 units) and Greg Shaker (+24 units) are also hot. [4:11–8:56] WSOP Controversy Setup Scott describes the chip-dumping scandal at the Millionaire Maker event. Jesse Yaganuma overcame a 9-1 chip deficit and allegedly colluded to split winnings and receive a $1M Club WPT bonus. WSOP withheld the bracelet and equalized payouts. [8:56–13:00] Fezzik’s Outrage Fezzik strongly disagrees with Doug Polk's “move on” stance, insisting viewers were defrauded and comparing it to rigged sports matches. He emphasizes that even “victimless” match-fixing violates the sanctity of competition. [13:00–19:35] Precedent and Ethics Fezzik offers analogies—golf players conceding PGA spots, Survivor contest deals, hot dog eating contests—to illustrate long-term harm. Mackenzie contends poker is about personal gain, not entertainment, framing it more like mercenary behavior. [19:35–27:49] Poker Chop Equity Breakdown Fezzik explains equity math: Chip leader had about $200K more value, while golden ticket added $100K to opponent’s equity—making a chop mathematically near even. Still, he’s upset at the alleged collusion. [27:50–32:47] Broader Ethical Analogies Scott proposes hypotheticals: Would Fezzik accept collusive behavior in sports betting contests like SuperContest or Circa? Fezzik distinguishes between ethical but rule-compliant and explicit cheating like the WSOP incident. [32:48–33:17] Soft Tournament Fields Fezzik explains why he didn’t enter Super Seniors event despite being hot in baseball—he critiques women’s and seniors’ poker fields as “weak,” drawing criticism but defending based on participation and stamina. [33:17–36:00] MLB Streaks and Bets Marlins’ 8-game dog streak would’ve paid ~$139,739 on $100 rollover. Discussion includes the failed best bet on Astros (-1.5) losing 6–5 due to late home run, with probability math breakdowns. [36:00–39:34] Fan Ban and Bartman Talk Diamondbacks banned a fan for repeated interference. Bartman’s Cubs incident resurfaces. Fezzik and Mackenzie discuss fandom’s extremes and media portrayals. [40:01–58:06] NBA Free Agency and Futures Lillard’s unusual release structure and LeBron’s uncertain future discussed in-depth. Mackenzie argues no trade fits make LeBron likely to stay. Knicks and Cavs scenarios are explored, but deemed impractical. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 2

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the John Deere Classic. -Reviewing Detroit -Discussing top 8 favs on odds board -2 matchups -2 t20's -3 outrights (33/1, 80/1, 80/1) -Sleeper, 3 FRP -2 lineups, scoring, best bet Will Doctor opens his podcast with enthusiasm over Aldrich Potgieter’s dramatic win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. At just 20 years old, Potgieter emerged victorious in a five-hole playoff against Max Gray Sherman and Chris Kirk. Doctor notes he had picked Potgieter pre-tournament at 125-1 odds, resulting in a monumental gain of 125.8 units that flipped his season from -72.9 to +52.8 units. Potgieter’s rounds of 62-70-65-69 highlighted both brilliance and resilience, especially his Saturday bogey-free 65 that earned him a two-shot lead. Despite criticism that most birdies came on the front nine, Doctor praises his short game, particularly ranking fifth in strokes gained around the greens in round three and gaining over a stroke total in that category. Chris Kirk, a six-time PGA Tour winner, had a promising start with back-to-back 65s. Despite dealing with recent game struggles and nearly withdrawing from the U.S. Open, he performed well and missed chances to win with two putts inside 16 feet on 18, in both regulation and the playoff. Max Gray Sherman impressed with birdies on two of his final three holes to make the playoff, including a 35-foot birdie on 16. Though he missed several putts in the playoff, Sherman’s calm demeanor and improved ball striking stood out, crediting his caddy Adam Barmer. Doctor sees Sherman as a strong future contender. Doctor critiques Twitter pundits who downplayed Potgieter’s Saturday round and emphasizes the significance of the playoff diversity: a 20-year-old, 30-year-old, and 40-year-old competing. He applauds CBS’s emotional broadcast moments, such as shots of the players’ fathers during the finale. Other notable performances included Will Gordon saving his PGA Tour card, Monday qualifier Brett White making the cut, and rising stars like Michael Thorbjornsen and Jackson Suber getting in the mix. He recaps bets: Potgieter’s win was the headline; Champ and Sherman top-20 picks also cashed. Picks that failed included Stephen Jaeger, who struggled with his worst driving week in 25 starts, and Lee Hodges, who fell from contention with a poor third round. As he pivots to the John Deere Classic, Doctor emphasizes traits needed at TPC Deer Run—bombers off the tee, sharp wedge play inside 125 yards, and strong putting on bentgrass. He notes the course has the ninth-widest fairways on Tour, making driving accuracy less critical but not to be ignored. He analyzes top players: passes on Ben Griffin due to fatigue, but likes Jason Day for a top-10 finish citing strong approach stats from 125-150 yards. He dismisses Denny McCarthy at 28-1 due to recurring poor third rounds, weak approach metrics, and no PGA wins. JT Poston is faded for weak iron stats despite being a past Deere champion. Si Woo Kim is heavily criticized—missed cuts, poor putting, and negative recent stats. Doctor proposes betting Jason Day over Si Woo Kim and two other Kim fade matchups. Doctor’s top pick is Michael Thorbjornsen at 33-1, citing elite driving (2nd on tour), strong recent finishes, and solid putting. Thriston Lawrence is his second outright at 80-1, noting improved ball striking and three top finishes in recent events, including T12 at Oakmont. Cam Champ, also at 80-1, rounds out the outrights. Champ has been positive in all stat categories the last two weeks and historically played well at Deer Run. Other bets include Jackson Koivun over Quade Cummins, Jason Day top 10 (+225), Champ top 20 (+320), and Thorbjornsen top 20 (+137) as the best bet. Doctor offers three first-round top-10 picks: Thorbjornsen, Pearson Cootie, and Champ. He concludes with two DFS lineups and predicts the winning score at -23. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jul 1

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner preview MLB Tuesday betting schedule is packed with sharp betting opportunities and valuable matchups for bettors seeking an edge. This expert MLB betting analysis breaks down key games, highlighting top MLB moneyline picks, underdog plays, and totals worth considering. We begin north of the border with the Blue Jays hosting the Yankees on Canada Day. Despite Kevin Gausman’s recent struggles versus New York, the Jays offer home underdog value. Max Fried has been in elite form, but Griffin Warner leans Toronto while Munaf Manji prefers the under. In Philadelphia, Nick Pivetta takes the mound for the Padres against Christopher Sanchez and the Phillies. Pivetta’s elite stuff and the Padres’ superior bullpen provide value, leading both hosts to side with the under and the Padres. Paul Skenes Day in Pittsburgh raises red flags as he’s lost four straight to the Cardinals despite quality outings. Both experts prefer St. Louis plus money and favor the under, citing the Pirates' inconsistency and the Cardinals' strong bullpen. In Miami, Joe Ryan’s dominance makes the Twins a solid first five play against the streaking Marlins. Edward Cabrera’s walk issues and a volatile Twins bullpen push Munaf to target early betting value and the under. The Tigers and Nationals offer one of the day’s best over spots. With Jack Flaherty and Trevor Williams both unreliable and Detroit trending 12-1 to the over in road series openers, both hosts lock in on the over 9.5. In Tampa, the surging Rays send Shane Baz against Jeffrey Springs and the A’s. Tampa’s hot June offense and Baz’s recent dominance make them a clear moneyline and team total over pick. The Brewers are Griffin’s top play as Freddy Peralta faces Clay Holmes and the sliding Mets. Milwaukee is red hot, while New York struggles late in games. Munaf highlights Peralta’s spotless record vs. the Mets and backs the plus money. In Boston, the Reds look to rebound after a wild series opener. With Richard Fitz struggling, Griffin and Munaf support the Reds moneyline and game over. The Angels and Braves offer another over candidate with Tyler Anderson and Grant Holmes on the mound in a hitter-friendly park. Atlanta’s power and Anderson’s road overs make this a strong target for runs. In Arlington, Jacob deGrom’s excellence anchors a Rangers first five run line play against Baltimore’s shaky Brandon Young. With a low park run profile, the full game under also draws interest. The Cubs host a reeling Guardians squad that can’t hit lefties, making Matthew Boyd and the under strong leans. Griffin notes Cleveland’s ugly error stats and poor bullpen. The Astros visit the Rockies in Coors Field with Houston sending a lefty against a team that’s 1-13 at home vs. LHP. Over 11 and Astros run line stand out. In Arizona, the Giants are a live dog with Hayden Birdsong facing the struggling Zac Gallen. With the D-backs’ bullpen decimated, Munaf leans Giants team total over and game over. Seattle’s pitcher-friendly environment makes Royals-Mariners a tough call, but under 8 has value despite weak starters Lorenzen and Hancock. Finally, the Dodgers host the White Sox in a mismatch. Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s recent dip doesn’t deter confidence, and Dodgers team total over is the clearest angle. Griffin and Munaf close with best bets: Griffin on the Brewers ML and Reds ML, Munaf on Tigers/Nats Over and Rangers first five run line. Together they offer sharp insights and valuable MLB betting predictions for Tuesday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 30

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the latest news around Major League Baseball and take a look at the market for the Most Wins in July. The Inside Pitch w/ Josh Towers Ep. 13, recorded June 30, features Scott Seidenberg and former MLB pitcher Josh Towers discussing trends across Major League Baseball as July approaches. The episode begins with a startling stat: 61 games have been decided by 10 or more runs before July, the most since 2004. These blowouts impact betting lines through recency bias, but the hosts argue savvy bettors can exploit this. For example, after the Cubs’ 12–3 win over Houston, the line moved in favor of the Astros, who bounced back the next day with a 3–0 win behind Framber Valdez. Towers emphasized players mentally reset after blowouts and that those games often preserve top relievers for the next matchup, giving smart teams like Houston an edge. The Mets were highlighted as a struggling team despite early-season promise. They were swept in Pittsburgh and outscored 30–4. A recent players-only meeting didn’t help, and June stats reveal deep issues: a 109 WRC+ (9th best) but a 4.80 ERA (5th worst). Pete Alonso dropped from the .360s to .291, and the lineup outside him is below .260. Senga’s injury was flagged as a possible turning point. Towers also pointed out that pitchers like Blackburn and Montas returned from injury without sufficient rehab buildup. Montas had six rehab starts totaling just 18 innings and struggled in his second MLB outing. This points to systemic issues with pitcher preparation. The conversation shifted to elite pitching. Tarik Skubal leads MLB with a 9.86 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 1.98 FIP, making him the AL Cy Young favorite at -190. Garrett Crochet is a close second (+380), with similar innings, strikeouts, and a 2.54 FIP. Josh praised Skubal’s ability to pitch downhill and manipulate the strike zone, describing it as a “blueprint” for pitching. He argued that current trends emphasizing vertical pitching miss these fundamentals. Ranger Suarez of the Phillies also drew attention with a 1.19 ERA over his last 10 starts, the best 10-game stretch since Cliff Lee. Phillies had the second-best ERA in June, supporting their rise despite Bryce Harper’s injury. Josh stressed the value of quality starts—six innings, three or fewer earned—as essential to team success and underappreciated in today's stat-obsessed game. They examined home ballpark impacts, particularly Globe Life Park in Texas, now MLB’s lowest scoring venue. Rangers are 30–12 to the under at home, yet Towers insists this is due to poor offense, not the ballpark. No player has more than nine homers, and he criticized swing mechanics and development. He also highlighted how teams like the Dodgers and Tigers, both 53–32, find success through depth, discipline, and pitching, while teams like the Mets lack cohesion. With July beginning, the hosts reviewed betting odds for most wins. Astros are the favorite at +450, but their schedule includes Colorado, Dodgers, and Cleveland, leading both analysts to question the pick. The Dodgers (+500) and Tigers (+750) are favored due to consistent performance and better matchups. The Cubs dropped from 20:1 to 9:1 after a large bet, but neither host found value there. Phillies and Rays have potential, though travel-heavy schedules are a concern. Lastly, they emphasized evaluating teams based on matchups rather than records alone, citing San Diego’s poor performance against winning teams (15–28). The episode ends with a preview of their upcoming midseason awards show and a pregame.com promo code (BAT15) for $15 off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 27

SleepyJ and MeanGene break down the entire main card for UFC 317 Toporia Vs. Oliveira 🔑 Key Points 🧠 Talbot vs. Lima : Talbot was previously a -1300 favorite before being exposed via takedowns by Barcellos (8 takedowns). Gene still sees value at +160. 📉 Lima's Edge : Lima is 2-0 in UFC, more well-rounded. Sleepy J prefers Lima -190 due to Talbot’s exposed wrestling gap. 👊 Moicano’s Momentum : On a 4-fight win streak before losing to Makachev. Beat elite names like Brad Riddell, Dober, and St-Denis. 📉 Dariush Decline : Winless for 3 years, KO’d in last 2 fights. Talked about retirement pre-Sarukyan bout. Gene says he “looks like a shell of himself”. 🔥 Royval vs. Vann : Vann’s volume striking and fast turnaround (3 weeks) may backfire vs. Royval’s chaos and submission threats. ⚠️ Step-up for Vann : Royval fought elite names like Moreno and Pantoja; Vann only recently faced mid-tier fighters like Bruno Silva. 💣 Pantoja vs. Kaikara France : Pantoja, current champ, is versatile and dangerous on the ground. France is a KO striker with limited ground skills. 🧠 Tapuria vs. Oliveira : Tapuria is well-rounded but -500 line over Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira seems exaggerated. Both panelists favor Tapuria but advise alternative bets. 💸 Top Value Bets : Moicano ML (-110), Royval ML (+105), Pantoja by Submission (+230), Oliveira to land a takedown (+250), Over 1.5 Rounds in main event (-145). 🗣 Host Dynamic : Gene focuses on potential and tape study; Sleepy J factors in form and fighter psychology. Their split picks enrich analysis across viewpoints. 📘 Summary Opening Banter (0:00–0:33) : Lighthearted exchange between Sleepy J and Mean Jene sets the tone before diving into fight analysis. Intro to UFC 317 (0:33–1:39) : Gene expresses excitement over International Fight Week, describing it as UFC’s “Super Bowl” with two title fights and a strong undercard. Talbot vs. Lima (2:53–6:57) : Gene praises Talbot’s talent but warns about his last loss due to grappling. Picks Talbot as undervalued. Sleepy J disagrees, favoring Lima’s versatility. Moicano vs. Dariush (12:13–16:42) : Both hosts criticize Dariush’s recent form and motivation. Moicano's resilience and ground-game security make him a confident pick for both. Royval vs. Vann (19:04–29:59) : Vann’s rapid rise is acknowledged, but his short turnaround and lack of experience against elite grapplers worry both hosts. They expect Royval to exploit this. Kaikara France vs. Pantoja (30:00–35:03) : Gene outlines France's power and inconsistency. Pantoja’s grappling, chin, and championship mindset are highlighted. Sleepy J agrees and bets Pantoja via submission and parlays. Main Event: Tapuria vs. Oliveira (41:39–50:45) : Sleepy J targets value on Oliveira takedowns and over 1.5 rounds. Gene expects Tapuria to finish, possibly even by submission. Both advise caution with the -500 line. Card Reflection (50:45–End) : Hosts wrap up urging fans to request more episodes, hinting at potential fight night coverage. Call to action for audience engagement. Podcast Promotion : Throughout, listeners are encouraged to follow both hosts and support Pregame.com, tying predictions to actionable betting platforms. Quote Depth : Gene says of Talbot: “He kind of reminds me of Caleb Williams... painted fingernails, kind of eccentric.” He notes the hate but values his talent. Sleepy J adds, “It just didn’t sit right with me” on Talbot’s last odds loss. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 27

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down all of this weekends MLB betting action. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 26

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA season review and 2026 preview. Plus, the NFL best bets are flying around once again. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 24

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Rocket Classic. -Reviewing Travelers and Ryder Cup scenarios -Discussing top 8 on odds board for Detroit -1 matchup, 2 p2p -3 outrights (75/1, 110/1, 125/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 24

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Tuesday. Best bets as always. The June MLB betting preview episode from RJ Bell’s Dream Podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner, covers 13 games with available lines, diving into team form, pitching matchups, and betting leans. Missing initially were lines for Dodgers-Rockies and Rangers-Orioles, though the latter appeared late in the episode. They open noting Munaf’s bounce-back 5–1 week and Griffin chasing closely behind in season-long picks. The first matchup—Blue Jays vs. Guardians—features even odds. Griffin sees value in whoever becomes the underdog. Munaf highlights Logan Allen’s stark ERA split: 6.18 in day games, 2.79 at night. The A’s-Tigers game sees Tigers favored at -275. Griffin critiques the price despite Skubal’s Cy Young form. Munaf adds that Tigers are 20–5 straight up in series openers and 11–1 at home. Yankees vs. Reds features rookie Chase Burns in his debut against Carlos Rodon. Griffin notes the Yankees are built better for the park, while Munaf explains Rodon’s recent regression—12 ER in June compared to 5 in May. Braves-Mets has Strider returning, though Griffin questions his sharpness. Munaf notes Monteas' poor historical outings vs. the Braves and leans Strider, citing a recent quality start against the Mets. In D-backs vs. White Sox, Ryan Nelson’s 1.87 ERA at night vs. 10.95 in the day impresses Munaf, while Griffin mocks the Sox as a “Double-A team.” For Pirates-Brewers, Peralta is dominant at home (6–1 SU), prompting a team total under lean from Munaf. Griffin applauds Milwaukee’s base-stealing and efficiency. Mariners-Twins rematch Castillo vs. Paddack: both had elite starts earlier this month. Munaf likes the under (8.5), while Griffin again hails Cal Raleigh’s ("Big Dumper") surge. Rays-Royals sees Griffin supporting Bubich, especially given Tampa’s recent inconsistency. Munaf notes Taj Bradley’s 13 ER in two starts. Cubs-Cardinals analysis finds Griffin liking STL as a home dog, with Munaf highlighting McGreevy’s sub-1.00 WHIP and 2–1 team record in his starts. In Phillies-Astros, both agree Suarez and Valdez are elite. Munaf reveals Valdez’s 6–1 under trend at home, while Suarez is 3–0–1 to the under on the road. Under 7.5 is Munaf’s best bet. Red Sox vs. Angels pits Crochet’s 2.20 ERA and 125 Ks against inconsistent Tyler Anderson. Griffin leans Angels as a value play; Munaf backs Boston’s run line. Nationals-Padres gets light treatment—Williams has a 5.54 ERA and Padres are favored. Munaf suggests SD’s first-five team total over. Giants-Marlins rounds out the card with Verlander’s return. Griffin hesitates to back either starter but leans under unless conditions are hot. Munaf prefers the Giants, questioning Miami’s bullpen. A late line appears for Rangers-Orioles. Griffin picks Baltimore ML (-130) as his best bet, citing Charlie Morton’s improved form and Texas’ offensive struggles. Munaf agrees, referencing Morton’s 6 IP, 2 ER outing vs. TEX last year. The episode concludes with Griffin plugging a promo code (RBI20) for discounted betting picks access and teasing more comedic yet informative breakdowns through summer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 21

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down NBA Game 7. Best bets as always. The podcast episode of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview hosted by Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers dives into the upcoming NBA Finals Game 7 between the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder, focusing on Game 6 recap, player and team statistics, Game 7 historical trends, and predictions. Munaf begins by acknowledging the unexpected extension to Game 7, joking that rapper Drake may be responsible after placing a massive bet on the Thunder in Game 6. Mackenzie reflects on his incorrect prediction and credits Indiana’s resilience, noting they’ve consistently defied expectations. In Game 6, the Pacers delivered a balanced team performance. Tyrese Halliburton, playing through injury, contributed 14 points and 5 assists in 23 minutes. Four starters reached double figures, while Obi Toppin scored 20 off the bench. TJ McConnell added 12 points, 9 rebounds, and 6 assists. The Thunder, in contrast, had a dismal shooting night, hitting only 8 of 30 from three-point range, with starters going 1 for 13. They managed just 91 points, their lowest of the season. Defensively, the Pacers adjusted from full-court pressure in Game 4 to a more strategic, trap-heavy defense in Game 6. Mackenzie compares McConnell’s impact to J.J. Barea in 2011, praising Rick Carlisle’s coaching and noting that he’s achieved more with less than most NBA coaches. Munaf suggests Carlisle’s legacy could be cemented with a second improbable championship, citing his 2011 win over Miami’s Big Three. Looking at Game 7, the Thunder are favored by 7.5 points with a total of 214.5. Historical trends support a close contest: since 2002, 62% of Game 7s have gone under the total, with average victory margins at just 6.9 points. Of the past ten NBA Finals Game 7s, only one had a margin over 7.5. Munaf notes that OKC’s strong home record and MVP-caliber season from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (SGA) bring added pressure, while Indiana is seen as playing with house money. Mackenzie believes the Thunder’s legacy burden may weigh heavier on SGA than any player, contrasting Halliburton’s low-risk, high-reward scenario. Referee influence, especially the likely assignment of Scott Foster, could shape the game. Foster is known for calling more fouls and previously officiated two Finals Game 7s, including the 2010 Celtics-Lakers game where LA shot 37 free throws. Munaf warns that if Foster is officiating, foul counts may spike. Both hosts back the Pacers +7.5 as their best bet. They emphasize Indiana’s ability to stay within striking distance, citing the last four Finals teams that forced Game 7s after trailing 3–2 all won the title. Regarding props, Munaf favors Pascal Siakam’s rebound over (7.5), noting consistent double-digit boards and high minutes. SGA and Caruso are tipped to exceed 2.5 combined steals and blocks, given the high-pressure context. Mackenzie leans under on Halliburton’s 15.5 point line, which is near season-low, but suggests parlaying Halliburton overs with a Pacers win if expecting an upset. In closing, the hosts predict a tight, gritty Game 7 in line with NBA history. Both expect Indiana to cover and potentially win, citing momentum, strategic flexibility, and psychological freedom versus the high stakes confronting OKC. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 21

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Saturday from a betting perspective. They open by focusing on the early matchup between the Tigers and Rays. Both lean toward Tampa Bay, highlighting Ryan Pepio’s strong recent form—3.11 ERA over 15 starts and 11 strikeouts in his last outing. Pepio's underappreciated market value and Detroit’s surprising top MLB record are discussed, with consensus on Rays at -120. For Orioles vs Yankees, Clark Schmidt is praised for allowing only three earned runs across four recent starts. Zach Eflin, although historically solid against the Yankees, struggled in his last outing. Both lean toward Orioles as underdogs and prefer the under 9.5 total due to Yankee Stadium’s scoring tendencies. In Reds vs Cardinals, Sonny Gray’s strong home record (5-1, 2.85 ERA) contrasts with his struggles against Cincinnati (4.70 ERA). Without a Reds starter listed, Griffin leans toward the Reds due to line inflation. Munaf might back St. Louis if run line odds are favorable. Seattle at Chicago is discussed with attention to wind's effect at Wrigley Field. Emerson Hancock has pitched well recently, but the Mariners lost his last four starts due to poor run support. Cade Horton’s 2.70 ERA at home is noted. Both hosts await wind direction before betting, with a potential over expected. In Milwaukee vs Minnesota, Quintana’s inconsistency and walk rate are flagged, while Richardson is labeled a weak rotation fill-in. Despite concerns, both see value in Brewers at plus money. For White Sox vs Blue Jays, Berríos’ strong history against Chicago (14-6, 3.16 ERA) supports Munaf’s best bet: Jays -1.5 run line at -105. Griffin notes the White Sox's poor weekend performances and questions their motivation. Rangers vs Pirates features concerns around Kumar Rocker’s splits (15.09 ERA on road) and Mitch Keller’s unreliable late innings. Despite bad offenses, both expect a high-scoring game. The Braves visit the Marlins in a matchup where Grant Holmes is riding a 15-strikeout game. Yuri Perez has struggled mightily vs Atlanta. Both favor a Braves team total over as their offense heats up. Kansas City faces San Diego with Dylan Cease showing volatility. Royals are praised for recent form, including a sweep of Texas, and bullpen strength. Hosts lean Royals ML and under in the first five innings. Mets vs Phillies highlights Griffin Canning’s struggles—10 earned runs in his last two outings—against Mick Abel’s potential. Philadelphia is seen as cheap at -112, with both supporting the home side. In Arizona vs Colorado, Merrill Kelly’s dominance (7-0, 1.60 ERA vs Rockies since 2022) is emphasized, including a 2.03 ERA at Coors. Yet due to rising temperatures and Palmquist’s late fade, they suggest betting over. Astros vs Angels is discussed with Walter’s solid last start (6.2 IP, 1 ER, 9 K) and Soriano’s overall reliability. However, the Angels’ 1-5 record vs lefties at home tilts the pick to Astros at -110. Guardians vs A’s offers little confidence. Luis Ortiz’s high walk rate and Mitch Spence’s Triple-A quality result in a lean toward the over and a mild interest in the A’s if plus money improves. Nationals vs Dodgers sees Jake Irvin’s night game struggles (5.16 ERA) and Dustin May’s inconsistency. The hosts recommend Dodgers team total over or full game over. Lastly, Boston visits San Francisco with Brayan Bello consistent and Landen Roop unproven. While Giants are tough at home, the under 7.5 is the preferred angle due to low scoring projections. Griffin’s best bet is Rays ML behind Pepio, while Munaf backs Berríos and Toronto on the run line. The episode closes with promo code RBI20 for a discounted betting package. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 20

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Friday. 🎯 Conclusion (Spoiler-Rich) The hosts provide thorough betting angles for the full Friday card. The best bets are: Cubs -126 (Griffin): Based on Matthew Boyd’s perfect 6-0 home record at Wrigley and Seattle’s strikeout-prone lineup. Over 8.5 Tigers-Rays (Munaf): Due to Jack Flaherty’s control issues and both offenses heating up. They announce an extra Saturday episode due to strong listener support, aiming for a perfect betting week. Munaf and Griffin also engage in detailed tangents, including stats for the White Sox on different days of the week and a humorous breakdown of the A’s new Sacramento identity. ⚾ Pitching Dominance : Matthew Boyd is 6–0 at Wrigley with a 2.25 ERA. Jacob DeGrom has a 2.19 ERA over his last five starts. 📉 Underperforming Teams : Rangers and Yankees both struggle offensively, impacting totals and run line bets. 📈 Weather & Wind at Wrigley : Betting angles like first-five innings under depend on wind direction at Wrigley Field. 🧨 Baltimore vs. Yankees Trend : Max Fried’s 7-0 record at Yankee Stadium drives confidence in Yankees -1.5 bets. 💣 Tigers Game Total Trends : Detroit is 11-1 to the over in road series openers, backing the Rays over 8.5 pick. 📊 White Sox Weekend Stats : 1-11 combined on Fridays and Saturdays on the road—fade alert!. 🛑 Marlins vs. Braves Trap Spot : Braves coming off a tough Mets series, travel to Miami, possible letdown spot. 🧠 Twins vs. Brewers : Joe Ryan unders are 9-2-2 this season. First-five under suggested due to bullpen concerns. 🔥 Coors Field Totals : Gallon has a good Coors record, but over 12 still favored due to Arizona’s bullpen collapse. 💡 Dodgers Bullpen Watch : First-five under with Gore vs. Kershaw; avoid full-game unders due to bullpen issues. Opening Banter [0:09-1:25]: Munaf and Griffin joke about soccer and tease a surprise for loyal listeners, setting an upbeat tone. Mariners @ Cubs [1:25–6:06]: Boyd is 6–0 at Wrigley; George Kirby struggles returning from IL. Cubs -126 and first-five under depending on wind suggested. Rangers @ Pirates [6:06–9:17]: Jacob DeGrom has allowed ≤2 ER in last 5 starts. Lean under 8; Pirates are a live dog due to Rangers' hitting woes. Orioles @ Yankees [9:17–13:07]: Max Fried's Yankee Stadium dominance continues; Yankees -1.5 advised. Tigers @ Rays [13:07–16:30]: Tigers 11–1 to over in road series openers; Rays scoring resurgence favors over 8.5. White Sox @ Blue Jays [16:30–21:35]: White Sox are 1–11 on road weekends; Jays run line and team total bets advised. Braves @ Marlins [21:35–24:31]: Braves could be flat after Mets series. Consider Marlins or Braves team total over due to offense rebounding. Reds @ Cardinals [24:31–29:37]: Singer vs. Palante; Singer handled STL well earlier. Reds +118 lean. Brewers @ Twins [29:37–34:26]: Ryan starts drive unders (9-2-2 trend); first-five under 4 preferred due to bullpen concerns. D’backs @ Rockies [34:26–38:10]: Despite Gallen’s decent Coors history, Rockies hitting and AZ bullpen fade push to over 12. Nationals @ Dodgers [38:10–42:04]: McKenzie Gore underrated; Kershaw heating up. Consider first-five under 4.5. Red Sox @ Giants [42:04–45:24]: Lean SF due to Red Sox travel fatigue and Birdsongs’s solid home numbers. Guardians @ A’s [45:24–48:52]: A’s overs are 24–14 at home. Guardians struggle vs. lefties (6–13), still favored. Slight edge to CLE. 🧠 Key Points📘 Summary Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 19

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down NBA Finals Game 6. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 19

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Finals Game 6. Plus LA Lakers sale and RJ has a NFL best bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 18

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest picks for the action at TPC River Highlands -Discussing top 4 names on odds board -2 matchups -1 t10 -3 outrights (+325, 40/1, 110/1) -Sleeper, FRP -Scoring, Best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 The 2025 Travelers Championship podcast by Will Doctor offers a comprehensive breakdown of the final PGA Tour signature event of the season and a dramatic recap of the U.S. Open at Oakmont. JJ Spahn’s emotional and improbable victory—highlighted by a bogey-free 66 in Round 1 and a comeback from five-over through six holes on Sunday—dominates the opening analysis. Spahn’s perseverance, bolstered by past experiences like his playoff loss to Rory at Sawgrass and personal life moments, creates one of golf’s most compelling storylines this year. Sam Burns, despite leading after 36 holes, faltered on Sunday with a back-nine 5-over but gained praise for his accountability in addressing a controversial rules decision on the 15th hole. Victor Hovland impressed with another top-10 major finish, while Tyrell Hatton and Cam Young finished tied for fourth, each undone by late bogeys. Carlos Ortiz’s top-4 finish secured him future major spots and significant earnings. Scottie Scheffler posted a T-7 finish with elite iron play but struggled with driving accuracy. Brooks Koepka showed flashes of his major-winning form with a T-12 finish. Bryson DeChambeau and Keegan Bradley both disappointed due to poor putting and iron play, respectively. Collin Morikawa dazzled tee-to-green but suffered a shocking putting regression. Betting-wise, Will Doctor’s card went down 2 units for the week, bringing his YTD loss to 70.7 units. Matchup wins included Rahm over McIlroy and Matsuyama as top Japanese, while Åberg missed the cut as the top Nordic. For the Travelers Championship, Doctor critiques the 72-man no-cut format, urging a return to 120-player fields with cuts and innovations like a shot clock. Course characteristics at TPC River Highlands favor accurate drivers and elite wedge players. Scottie Scheffler headlines as a strong pick at +325 with no statistical weaknesses. Rory McIlroy is passed on due to poor wedge play and fatigue. Morikawa is deemed overpriced despite his iron strength. Schauffele is dismissed for weak wedge approach stats. Matchups include Akshay Bhatia over Sungjae Im and Sepp Straka over Patrick Cantlay, based on wedge stats and recent form. Russell Henley is endorsed as a top-10 pick and outright bet due to his improved putting and elite iron play. Additional outrights include Bud Cauley at 110-1 for his course fit and Scottie Scheffler as the favorite. First-round bet goes to Sam Burns to start strong. Fantasy lineups are provided for both DraftKings and PGATOUR.com formats, featuring Straka, Henley, McIntyre, Spieth, Bhatia, and Cauley. The scoring prediction is -20 under par, with the best bet being Henley top 10 at +275. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 17

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 16

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Finals Game 5 betting. best bets as always. The latest episode of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview podcast features Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers breaking down Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals and pivotal offseason developments. They begin by analyzing the Desmond Bane trade, where Memphis sent Bane to Orlando for Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cole Anthony, four unprotected first-round picks, and a pick swap. The Magic, previously last in the league in three-point percentage and makes, addressed a dire shooting need. While Bane strengthens the backcourt alongside Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, both hosts agree Orlando still lacks a true playmaker to fully optimize the roster. Turning to Memphis, the trade signals a possible rebuild despite the Grizzlies surpassing expectations last season with a +5 net rating. The franchise had already fired head coach Taylor Jenkins. Ja Morant, despite off-court controversies, recorded his best statistical season per estimated plus-minus, but trade value concerns and injury history complicate future decisions. Jaren Jackson Jr., on a one-year deal, might be easier to move but would likely require a max extension. Mackenzie suggests Memphis may be following Oklahoma City’s “draft capital” model to rebuild in a Western Conference crowded with rising powers like the Thunder, Mavericks, and Spurs. The conversation shifts to Kevin Durant’s future. Odds favor Minnesota, Miami, Houston, and San Antonio as potential trade destinations. Mackenzie argues Houston offers the best fit, balancing defense and the need for a closer. The Rockets’ roster is full of youth and effort but lacks a go-to scorer in crunch time. However, Munaf notes the potential cost—losing Jalen Green, Jabari Smith, or Cam Whitmore—may be steep for an aging Durant with limited prime years remaining. Both agree that while the trade could elevate Houston, it does not guarantee championship contention. In analyzing Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the Thunder return home with the series tied 2–2 and are listed as 9.5-point favorites. Game 4 was pivotal—Oklahoma City finally covered a road playoff game, aided by Shea Gilgeous-Alexander’s late-game scoring surge. The Pacers attempted a record number of full-court press possessions, forcing OKC to shift SGA off-ball. This change, emphasizing scoring over playmaking, resulted in SGA posting zero assists. His potential assists have dropped from 15.3 earlier in the playoffs to just 10.3 in the Finals. Mackenzie recommends betting under 6.5 assists for SGA in Game 5. Statistical betting trends further back the Thunder. Teams favored by eight or more points at home in a tied 2–2 playoff series are 20–2 straight up and 17–5 against the spread. Historically, such teams cover at a 62 percent rate in Game 5 scenarios. Munaf adds that OKC is 9–2 straight up and 8–3 ATS at home this postseason, further reinforcing confidence in them to win and cover. Among player props, Aaron Neesmith is spotlighted for Indiana. He’s averaging 15.4 points per game in road contests this postseason. Munaf recommends the over on both his points and three-point props, noting his consistency when Halliburton struggles to create. The episode closes by revisiting odds and possible futures for Durant and the teams in play. With the draft looming on June 25, both hosts suggest the next big move could come sooner than expected. Game 6 will shift back to Indiana, but Game 5 is set to be decisive. Listeners are offered a promo code for discounted picks, and the hosts preview a busy offseason ahead. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 13

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB Friday betting. The guys cover the entire Friday MLB slate of games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 12

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Finals betting and NFL this week. The "Dream Podcast NBA Finals Game 3 Reaction & NFL Wind Report" is a sports discussion hosted by RJ Bell alongside Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers. The conversation begins with light banter and references to “Happy Days” before transitioning to a Father's Day promo and hot betting streaks by Andre Gomes and Fezik. RJ highlights their impressive records—49-21 and 25-7 respectively—with total units gained standing at +59 and +37. The analysis then turns toward the NBA Finals Game 3, where the Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC) lost to the Indiana Pacers. Mackenzie breaks down the collapse, emphasizing OKC’s rotational rigidity as a critical flaw. Although Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (SGA) played 42 minutes, his brief rest early in the fourth allowed a 10-0 Pacers run, turning a 103-100 OKC lead into a loss. RJ critiques OKC’s systemic inexperience, noting their league-second-fewest 24 clutch games in the regular season. Meanwhile, Indiana’s superior poise in tight games continues, now boasting a 9-1 playoff record in clutch situations, defined as within five points during the final five minutes. Scott lauds Pacers coach Rick Carlisle for implementing a Spurs-like approach—balanced scoring and consistent fourth-quarter performances. The Pacers have scored 32 or more points in every fourth quarter of the series so far. Indiana’s Benedict Mathurin came off the bench to score 27, bolstering the team’s depth. RJ discusses the market perception of the Thunder and Pacers, suggesting OKC was overvalued due to their youth and playoff inexperience. Historically, NBA teams favored by -600 or more have gone 10-1 over the last 50 years; should Indiana win, it would rival the 2011 Mavericks’ upset and perhaps even eclipse it. The discussion transitions into betting market mechanics, specifically the zigzag theory, which expects teams to rebound after a loss. While this strategy is currently hitting at 66% against the spread in these playoffs, RJ notes it’s not profitable long-term due to line adjustments. The team cites that home dogs in Game 3 receive an average 4.5-point boost, and home favorites see about 8.5 points. They then preview Game 4, citing that OKC is 5-0 after playoff losses, averaging a +8 first-quarter margin. Yet, the Thunder are 0-8 against the spread on the road during the postseason. The podcast closes with a detailed look at NFL betting trends related to wind. Since 1999, games played in over 25 mph winds have gone 33-10-2 to the under, a 77% rate, averaging 8 fewer points than the line. Even at 15-19 mph, the under holds a 2-point edge. Finally, they briefly touch on Aaron Rodgers’ surprise marriage and his move to Pittsburgh, noting that Vegas markets had already priced in his team change, keeping the Steelers' win total at 8.3 and showing no Super Bowl odds shift. The Dolphins’ win total dropped from 8.1 to 7.5, the largest decline in the NFL, potentially due to depth issues or quarterback concerns. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 11

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the U.S. Open at Oakmont. -Going over top 7 names on odds board -1 matchup -2 top nationality tickets -3 futures outrights (+350, 14/1, 18/1) -2 outrights added (100/1 & 150/1) -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring -Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 In the "U.S. Open at Oakmont Picks and Predictions" podcast, Will Doctor provides a comprehensive betting preview of the upcoming U.S. Open at Oakmont. Beginning at 0:16, Doctor sets the tone with energetic anticipation, positioning Oakmont as a legendary course hosting the U.S. Open for a record tenth time. From 0:43, he sharply critiques the previous RBC Canadian Open, describing the Osprey Valley course as “a disgrace” and detailing a 5.8-unit loss that week, with Sam Burns’ top-20 finish as the lone success. Despite the setbacks, he praises Ryan Fox’s recent success, highlighting the Kiwi’s two playoff victories in four starts and his historic Canadian Open win, the first by a New Zealander since 1968. Doctor then shifts focus to Oakmont’s rich history. He recounts notable U.S. Open wins, including Tommy Armour (1927), Sam Parks Jr. (1935), and Ben Hogan’s record-setting 1953 season. He emphasizes Jack Nicklaus’ 1962 victory over Arnold Palmer at age 22, which kickstarted Nicklaus' legendary career. Johnny Miller’s final-round 63 in 1973 is labeled the greatest round in U.S. Open history, despite not being the lowest score ever. Further champions like Larry Nelson (1983), Ernie Els (1994), Angel Cabrera (2007), and Dustin Johnson (2016) round out Oakmont’s storied hosting record. At 12:00, Doctor begins his betting picks. He endorses Scottie Scheffler (+350) as outright number one, citing dominant recent wins and past experience at Oakmont, where he missed the cut by one in 2016. Bryson DeChambeau, with a futures ticket from December at 14-1, is lauded for his driving power and improved approach play, though his recent accuracy issues raise concern. DeChambeau claims Oakmont is “the toughest test in the world right now,” and Doctor remains confident in his form. Rory McIlroy is passed over due to a poor performance at the Canadian Open, including erratic driving and uninspired play. Doctor quotes Rory discussing his struggle for motivation and interest in hobbies like tennis. John Rahm, however, is preferred in a head-to-head matchup (-133), praised for his polished game despite recent putting inconsistency. Doctor argues Rahm is better equipped than Rory to handle Oakmont’s demands. Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa are also faded. Xander’s driving accuracy is flagged as a season-long weakness, and Morikawa is critiqued for losing strokes around the green in five of his last six starts, rendering him unfit for a major requiring elite scrambling. Ludwig Åberg is highlighted as a top Nordic pick at +180, benefiting from strong recent form and inconsistent competition, with Joachim Lagerlund identified as his main threat. Doctor names Hideki Matsuyama as top Japanese player at even money, emphasizing his elite U.S. Open history and the weak form of his countrymen. Outright picks include Scheffler (+350), DeChambeau (14-1), Brooks Koepka (18-1, faded due to poor form), Keegan Bradley (100-1, riding strong recent finishes), and Cam Young (150-1), who’s gained strokes off the tee and on the greens recently. Young’s playoff qualification over top names and his form earn him sleeper status. Two fantasy lineups are provided. A DraftKings build includes Rahm, Åberg, Spieth, Bradley, Young, and Leishman. The PGA Tour lineup features Scheffler (captain), Bradley, DeChambeau, and Young, with Åberg and Leishman on the bench. Doctor predicts a winning score of -3, depending on weekend rain, and offers Cam Young to finish top 28 at +320 as his best bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 11

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Finals Game 3 betting. Best bets as always. The podcast hosted by Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers on RJ Bell's Dream Preview delves into the NBA Finals Game 3 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers. The conversation opens with a recap of the first two games. Game 1 saw Indiana pull off a dramatic 111-110 comeback win despite Oklahoma City dominating most of the match. Rivers critiqued the Thunder’s 207 passes—lowest in the league this season—paired with suboptimal shooting: SGA scored 38 on 14-of-30, while Holmgren went 2-of-9 and Jalen Williams shot 6-of-19. He referenced young stars’ struggles in early Finals appearances to contextualize OKC’s performance and emphasized his power ratings still favor Thunder significantly over Pacers. In Game 2, the Thunder responded decisively with a 123-107 victory. Munaf noted heavy betting movement on OKC and the ease with which they covered both spread and team total (120.5). Player stats were more balanced: SGA posted 34 points on 11-of-21 shooting, Holmgren bounced back with 15 on 6-of-11, Caruso hit four threes en route to 20 points, and Wiggins added 18 off the bench. Munaf applauded Coach Mark Daigneault for stellar in-game and series adjustments, likening his growing status to elite coaches. Rivers supported this by citing Daigneault’s league-best 60.2% ATS record since 2020-21 (220-139-7), reinforcing Thunder’s first-half dominance where they’ve led by an average of 14 points and both games' first halves stayed under the total. They discussed betting angles with Game 3 looming. While Rivers downplayed OKC’s 0-7 ATS road playoff record due to small sample size, he endorsed betting Thunder -5.5 based on his power ratings and market comparison. The Thunder were -400 after splitting two games with Denver; against Indiana, the series price ballooned to -525, implying the market sees Indiana as a weaker opponent. He argued the spread should be closer to -7, citing historical trends where teams that won and covered Game 2 as road favorites in Game 3 are 3-0 straight up and ATS. Munaf explored Indiana’s home court advantage, citing their 16 playoff home games over two seasons: 12-4 SU, 11-5 ATS, and 10-6 to the over. He correlated betting the over with Pacers’ competitiveness. Rivers agreed, noting the faster-than-usual Finals pace (102.5 and 98), exceeding previous series like Heat-Nuggets. He identified both teams’ willingness to launch threes as a key driver of pace despite low transition play. Both agreed on the over (228) for Game 3. They highlighted Tyrese Halliburton’s prop values. When Halliburton scores 20+, he averages 11 assists; below that, just 7.5. He’s had 8 double-doubles in 18 playoff games, 4 at home. Munaf and Rivers both endorsed his over on combined points and assists (25.5) and his double-double at +160. Shifting to league news, they addressed Darius Garland’s toe surgery which sidelines him for 4–5 months. Trade rumors link him to Sacramento. Rivers emphasized Garland’s significance to Cleveland’s offensive identity alongside Mitchell. With Garland out or traded, the Eastern Conference becomes wide open. Despite injuries, Rivers considers Cleveland a better team than Indiana or New York if healthy. Odds show Knicks and Pacers at 8-1, Cavs at 11-1, Celtics falling to 20-1 due to Tatum’s issues. They closed by discussing the Knicks coaching vacancy. Jason Kidd, Mike Malone, and longshots like Jeff Van Gundy or Johnny Bryant were mentioned. Kidd’s potential move may stem from dissatisfaction with the Luka Doncic trade. They agreed New York requires a seasoned coach, with Vogel and Budenholzer seen as less dynamic fits. Munaf finished with promo details and noted Halliburton practiced fully despite “a leg thing,” suggesting no injury impact for Game 3. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 10

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk Tuesday MLB betting. Best bets as always. 🎯 Conclusion (Spoiler-Style Recap) Munaf and Griffin dissect multiple MLB matchups, emphasizing starting pitchers' recent performance and team trends. Griffin favors the Guardians (-115) for their bullpen edge and dislikes short home favorites despite his cautious optimism. Munaf backs the Cardinals as a home dog due to Chris Bassett’s poor road form and Myles Mikolas’s consistent presence. Other key takes include fading Sandy Alcantara despite pedigree, backing Phillies under 9.5 due to offensive slumps, and exploring Royals +1.5 for lefty-split success. They advise caution on games with missing or unstable pitcher designations and encourage betting line awareness. The show wraps with best bets and a promo plug. 🎙️ Andrew Abbott analysis : Big May performance (32.2 IP, 2 ER), but last outing vs. Brewers (6 IP, 5 ER) showed regression risk. ⚾ Sandy Alcantara & Mitch Keller matchup : Sandy has a poor ERA (7.89), while Keller is 8-1 with 4.13 ERA; Pirates favored due to Alcantara's recent struggles. 📉 Phillies offense without Harper : Struggled post-sweep in Pittsburgh; regression expected. Under 9.5 is considered valuable. 📊 Mick Abel & Colin Rea : Mick has delivered in early starts; Rea consistent on road. Value leans to Cubs and potential under play. 🟡 Mackenzie Gore stats : Last 3 starts: 19 IP, 1 ER, 24 K, 4 BB. However, road at Citi Field is a challenge. 🔥 Red Sox inconsistency : Craig Breslow's squad lacks identity; Giolito unreliable, Rays favored in Fenway. 💣 Max Fried vs. Noah Cameron : Yankees-Royals sees regression signs for Cameron. Royals are 7-4 vs. LHP, suggesting under or +1.5 is viable. 📈 Atlanta Braves fading : Bad bullpen (Iglesias 7.5 ERA), injury woes, losing streak. Brewers as home dogs suggested. 🟥 Cardinals & Mikolas : STL has won Mikolas’s last 5 starts; Bassett is 1-5 in road starts. Underdog home team value. 📉 Brandon Pfaadt collapse : 13 ER over last 3 IP across 2 starts; Mariners’ Woo favored despite slight road dip. Reds vs. Guardians [2:35–6:03] Abbott was strong in May, struggled recently; Guardians have bullpen edge. Munaf backs Reds (+104) as a bounce-back play. Marlins vs. Pirates [6:26–10:34] Sandy’s high ERA (7.89) and poor late-inning form limit value; Keller’s 8-1 record sways Griffin to Pittsburgh despite price concerns. Cubs vs. Phillies [10:36–13:33] Cubs’ Rea has excelled recently; Phillies offense struggling without Harper. Mick Abel strong in limited work. Munaf favors under 9.5. Nationals vs. Mets [13:35–16:46] Gore’s hot streak (1 ER in 19 IP), but tough spot at Citi Field. Mets pitcher Griffin Canning (2.90 ERA) praised. Lean Mets RL or parlay. Rays vs. Red Sox [16:47–20:05] Rays road favorites with Giolito struggling (7 ER in 1.2 IP last start). Red Sox have no consistency. Munaf and Griffin prefer over 9/9.5. Yankees vs. Royals [20:08–24:21] Royals’ success vs. LHP (7-4 SU, 8-3 RL) noted. Yankees inconsistent RL with Fried. Munaf recommends under 8.5 or Royals +1.5. Braves vs. Brewers [24:23–27:45] Braves’ bullpen chaos (Iglesias demoted, Kimbrel flopped). Priester’s been solid; lean Brewers and over 8.5. Blue Jays vs. Cardinals [27:47–30:02] Bassett’s road woes (1-5 team record), Mikolas undefeated in last 5 starts. Munaf and Griffin agree: Cardinals ML is mispriced. White Sox vs. Astros [30:04–32:33] McCullers on a 4-game win streak since May 10; Astros hot without Alvarez. Griffin leans under; Munaf takes Astros RL at +112. Giants vs. Rockies [32:34–35:02] Harrison improving; Rockies 1-17 vs. LHP. Team total over for Giants advised; warming weather in Coors boosts over 11.5 potential. 🧠 Key Points (Important Takeaways)📋 Summary (Top 10 Analysis Points) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 9

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the awards market around baseball and teams to fade for the rest of the season. Plus BEST BETS on updated season win totals! 📚 Summary [0:03–1:51] Paul Skenes' Elite Performance Scott introduces Skenes' strong weekend performance: 7.2 innings, 2 hits, 1 unearned run, 7 K, 1 BB. His 1.88 ERA is second lowest in NL. Despite being 4-6, he's the Cy Young favorite (–185). [1:51–3:41] Wins Aren’t Everything Josh reflects on Sidney Ponson's advice: focus on controllables like pitch quality. Highlights Skenes’ evolution: low WHIP, high efficiency, least hits allowed among leaders. [3:41–5:14] Validating Skenes' Favoritism Josh supports current odds: Yamamoto (+450), Wheeler (+900) follow Skenes. Compares with Robbie Ray (8–1), highlighting Skenes' superior ERA and pitch quality. [5:14–6:09] DeGrom Parallel & Skeens' Opponent Batting Averages Scott recalls Mets' losing record in DeGrom starts (2018–19) despite Cy Youngs. Josh notes Skenes’ progressive opponent BA drop from .333 to .033 from March to June. [6:09–8:12] AL Cy Young Race: Skubal Dominates Skubal is a –175 favorite. 105 strikeouts, 7 walks in last 3 starts; FIP of 1.84 (lowest in MLB). Josh emphasizes Skubal’s intelligence and pitch control. [8:12–10:21] Skubal vs. Fried Breakdown Detailed stat-by-stat comparison: ERA, innings, strikeouts (Skubal 105, Fried 77), WHIP, and batting averages—argument leans toward Skubal. [10:21–13:26] Tigers' Contender Status Tigers lead MLB at 43–24 with +92 run differential. Josh praises their discipline and fundamentals, noting they’re third favorite (+475) for best season record. [13:26–16:26] Dodgers in Turmoil Despite high expectations, Dodgers face injuries (14 pitchers on IL). Performance with RISP poor; Otani hasn’t pitched. Josh critiques bullpen use and rotation depth. [16:26–19:54] Future Outlook & Betting Odds Dodgers and Tigers among easiest remaining schedules. Dodgers lag Mets and Tigers in wins. Mets praised for depth and bullpen conversion success. [19:54–29:31] Phillies Plummet & NL Rankings Without Bryce Harper (wrist), Phillies go 1–9. Mets surge, now NL East favorites. Mets' depth, Alonzo's rebound (.301 BA), and Lindor’s homer streak boost team chemistry. 📌 Conclusion Paul Skenes is firmly positioned as a front-runner for the National League Cy Young despite a 4-6 record due to elite ERA and command metrics. His development is lauded for maturity and efficiency rather than dominance alone. Similarly, Tarik Skubal and Max Fried headline the American League pitching elite, with deep statistical dives highlighting nuanced arguments for each. The Detroit Tigers are crowned as MLB's top team with a 43-24 record and strong fundamentals. The Mets and Cubs follow as key National League contenders. Injury-ridden Dodgers and the slipping Phillies raise concerns, while the Diamondbacks are viewed as likely sellers due to pitching losses and declining trajectory. The episode ends with betting insights on win totals and award races, notably advocating for Carlos Mendoza (Mets manager) at long odds for NL Manager of the Yea Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 6

SleepyJ and MeanGene talk UFC 316 betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 6

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. Best bets as always. Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner preview the MLB Friday slate on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview. They open by discussing the Orioles’ recent 9-2 stretch despite being 11 games under .500, and Minnesota’s past long winning streak. Griffin reflects on Moneyball’s low ranking on his movie list and praises Pete Crow-Armstrong of the Cubs. In the Phillies vs. Pirates matchup, Joe Ross starts for Philly as an opener while Bailey Falter, performing solidly for Pittsburgh, starts for the Pirates. Both agree under 9 runs is the best angle due to limited offensive firepower from Pittsburgh and Ross's limited innings. Next, Texas faces Washington with Patrick Corbin vs. Michael Soroka. Corbin has stabilized while Soroka battles recurring injuries. Griffin likes Nationals ML and over 9.5, noting Nationals’ young talent and the weather boosting offense. Munaf supports first 5 over and Nationals’ team total over, citing Texas’ poor 9-20 road record. In Red Sox vs. Yankees, Walker Buehler faces Will Warren. Boston’s bats have struggled, while Warren allowed 7 ER in his last outing. Both predict an over 9 outcome, expecting Rafael Devers to homer and citing both teams’ bullpen issues. The Diamondbacks visit Cincinnati with Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Nick Lodolo. Rodriguez has allowed 13 ER over his last 3 starts with control issues. Lodolo’s 4-4 record and 3.10 ERA give Griffin confidence in the Reds. Munaf favors Reds ML and sees plenty of scoring. Astros travel to Cleveland with Colton Gordon vs. Logan Allen. Allen's lefty matchup gives the right-handed Astros lineup an edge, but Munaf remains cautious due to Houston’s late travel. Griffin would take Astros at plus money, considering Cleveland’s competitiveness. Kansas City faces the White Sox with Seth Lugo vs. Davis Martin. Lugo has dominated the White Sox historically, allowing just 3 ER over 29.1 IP. Munaf strongly supports Royals RL, citing Lugo’s recent success against Chicago, while Griffin leans over 8. The Padres visit Milwaukee with Randy Vasquez vs. Chad Patrick. Vasquez’s control issues and HR susceptibility concern both hosts. Griffin makes Brewers ML -142 his best bet, citing Milwaukee’s base-stealing prowess and San Diego’s fatigue after extra-inning games. Munaf adds Brewers first 5 team total over. Dodgers face Cardinals with Justin Robleski vs. Sonny Gray. Injuries to Betts and Freeman concern both. Griffin trusts Gray as a home underdog, noting St. Louis’ bullpen depth. Munaf supports Over 8.5, expecting offensive production from both sides. The Mets visit Colorado with Kodai Senga vs. Antonio Senzatela. Senzatela enters 1-10 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.98 WHIP. Munaf makes Mets team total Over 6.5 his best bet, expecting New York’s offense to dominate at Coors Field. Griffin acknowledges Rockies’ rare 3-game win streak but avoids backing them. Seattle travels to Anaheim with Bryce Miller facing Kyle Hendricks. Miller’s bone spur has altered his delivery, making Griffin favor the Angels ML, citing their hot bats and rest advantage. Munaf agrees, backing the Angels and runs scored. In San Francisco, Braves’ Spencer Schwellenbach faces Giants’ Hayden Birdsong. Schwellenbach has 22 Ks in his last two starts, but Griffin trusts Birdsong and Giants’ bullpen, backing the under 7.5 and Giants ML. Munaf echoes this, emphasizing both pitchers’ strong form. They close with Griffin taking Brewers ML as his best bet and Munaf locking in Mets team total Over 6.5. They promote pregame.com with a STRIKE20 discount code for picks packages. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 5

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Finals Preview. Plus, the guys discuss sports betting tax in Illinois, Stanley Cup, MLB and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 4

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 RBC Canadian Open at TPC Toronto. -Discussing top 7 on odds board -2 t20's -3 outrights (40/1, 80/1, 100/1) -Sleeper, talking Cougar Collins -FRP, 2 lineups, scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 The 2025 RBC Canadian Open at TPC Toronto brings exciting betting opportunities and player analysis. Hosted at Osprey Valley, this wide-open, low-hazard course with oversized greens promises a birdie-fest with a projected winning score of 27-under par. Will Doctor’s PGA Tour Preview Podcast delivers in-depth insights for bettors and fans. Rory McIlroy leads the odds at +450, having won twice and posted two additional top-10s in four Canadian Open starts. Despite some recent iron play struggles, McIlroy’s game suits the forgiving Toronto course, though Doctor passes due to short odds. Ludvig Åberg sits at 16-1 after a strong 16th-place finish at Memorial and a prior 7th at the Masters. Corey Conners, at 20-1, boasts consistent ball-striking and improved putting but faces distance concerns. Shane Lowry’s excellent tee-to-green game is offset by putting woes, making him a fade at 22-1. Robert MacIntyre, last year’s champion, faces chipping and driving distance issues, leading Doctor to pass on him at 30-1. Taylor Pendrith’s elite iron play is countered by inconsistent putting, leaving him off the card at 30-1. Sam Burns offers strong value with elite putting and returning iron form, making him a top-20 pick at +125. Johnny Keefer, a 24-year-old emerging star, enters with Korn Ferry Tour success and a recent U.S. Open qualification, earning a top-20 bet at +250. Luke Clanton, the Florida State standout with historic amateur PGA Tour performances, is backed for an outright win at 40-1. Gary Woodland, recovering strong form and elite bentgrass putting, holds value at 80-1. Eric Van Rooyen’s dominant U.S. Open qualifying win makes him a compelling 100-1 outright play. Sleeper Cougar Collins, a TPC Toronto member, earned his Canadian Open spot via qualifying and is backed for a top-40 finish at 8-1. First-round pick Harry Hall, ranked 6th in first-round scoring average, offers value at 4-1 to finish top-10 after round one. DraftKings lineup selections include Åberg, Burns, Clanton, Keefer, Van Rooyen, and Collins, while PGA Tour Fantasy features Åberg, Hall, Clanton, Van Rooyen (Captain), Keefer, and Burns. Weather forecasts predict favorable scoring conditions early with potential rain disruptions over the weekend. Doctor’s best bet is Ludvig Åberg top-10 at +150. The podcast wraps with a promo code RBC20 for Pregame.com discounts and a tease for upcoming U.S. Open coverage. TPC Toronto’s debut promises plenty of drama, breakout performances, and strong betting angles for this year’s RBC Canadian Open. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 4

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down NBA Finals Game 1 between the Thunder and Pacers. The guys also give out best bets. On RJ Bell's Dream Preview NBA podcast, Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers preview the 2024-2025 NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers. Munaf opens by announcing the matchup and noting the Finals odds, with OKC favored at -700. He then covers breaking news that Tom Thibodeau has been fired by the Knicks despite leading them to back-to-back 50-win seasons and a conference finals appearance. Mackenzie says while surprising, it's easier to replace coaches than players in today’s NBA, referencing possible Knicks replacements like Mike Malone and Jay Wright. Both agree that without a consistent second scorer next to Jalen Brunson, the Knicks remain flawed. The conversation shifts to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s rumored interest in joining the Toronto Raptors. Mackenzie notes the Raptors’ assets like Scottie Barnes and the ninth draft pick, making a trade feasible. They discuss how the Eastern Conference has opened up due to injuries to stars like Jayson Tatum and uncertainty around Giannis’ future. Munaf suggests Giannis may seek an easier path to championships by moving to the East. Turning to the Finals, both highlight Indiana’s surprising run, defeating an injury-riddled Bucks, the top-seeded Cavaliers, and the Knicks. Yet, Mackenzie emphasizes OKC's statistical superiority, noting their league-best +12.6 net rating compared to Indiana’s +2.1. The 10.5-point gap is the second largest in seven years of playoff matchups. Historically, teams with such a margin almost always win quickly, often in five games or less. Munaf praises OKC's playoff-best defensive rating of 104.7, their dominance in steals, and their elite fast break defense. Both teams rank top-three in pace, but OKC's versatility gives them an edge. Mackenzie likens Indiana to a "AAA version" of OKC and predicts either a sweep or five-game series. They acknowledge Indiana’s edge in 3-point shooting at 40.1%, while OKC ranks 13th out of 16 playoff teams. However, OKC’s depth, led by SGA, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Lu Dort, Hartenstein, and Caruso, is seen as decisive. Munaf and Mackenzie analyze Game 1, with OKC favored by nine points. Mackenzie favors betting OKC in the first half due to their rest advantage (9 days vs Indiana’s 4 days). Historical data shows well-rested teams go 22-7 straight up and 20-9 ATS in such scenarios. He notes SGA’s dominance against Indiana, averaging 36 points, 8 rebounds, and 7 assists across three recent games, including a 45-point game. Munaf adds that OKC’s defense, unlike the Knicks', is fully equipped to contain Indiana’s offense, especially Tyrese Haliburton. They quiz each other on Finals experience: Caruso (Thunder), Siakam, Nesmith, and Bryant (Pacers). Debating the Eastern Conference Finals MVP, Mackenzie leans Siakam due to his two-way impact, though both acknowledge Halliburton’s critical offensive role. Finally, they share best bets. Munaf selects OKC -9 for Game 1 and Siakam over 19.5 points, citing favorable matchups against OKC’s interior defenders. Mackenzie agrees, adding that Siakam's playoff experience positions him well. For Finals MVP longshots, Mackenzie likes Siakam at 16-1, while Munaf backs Jalen Williams at 35-1 as a breakout candidate if defenses focus heavily on SGA. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 3

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Tuesday from a betting perspective. Best bets as always. This podcast episode features Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner breaking down the full Tuesday MLB betting slate with detailed game-by-game analysis, pitcher matchups, team trends, player performances, and betting recommendations. The show opens by discussing missing lines for a few games but covering all available matchups. The Colorado Rockies visit the Miami Marlins with Chase Dollander facing Sandy Alcantara, who struggles with an 8.47 ERA and 1.67 WHIP, prompting both hosts to lean towards Rockies team total over and even Rockies run line. In the Houston Astros versus Pittsburgh Pirates game, Lance McCullers Jr. takes the mound for Houston after returning strong from injury while Paul Skenes starts for Pittsburgh. Despite Skenes' excellence, Griffin prefers fading the Pirates bullpen while Munaf leans under the 7.5 total. The Chicago Cubs face the Washington Nationals, with Cade Horton opposing Trevor Williams, who carries a 5.69 ERA. Nationals young bats, especially James Wood, have been surging, leading both to like the Nationals moneyline and first 5 innings over. The Cleveland Guardians travel to Yankee Stadium where Carlos Rodon starts against Tanner Bybee. Rodon boasts strong recent form and career stats versus Cleveland, leading to a consensus on Yankees moneyline and run line. In Toronto, the Phillies start Christopher Sanchez against Bowden Francis of the Blue Jays. With Harper’s injury status still unclear, both lean towards Phillies team total over and full game over 8.5. The Angels visit Boston with You Say Kikuchi facing Brian Bello. Bello’s inability to work deep into games and Kikuchi’s past struggles at Fenway push both towards Angels moneyline and the over. Milwaukee Brewers visit Cincinnati with Freddy Peralta against Hunter Greene. Greene’s poor history against Milwaukee, allowing frequent home runs, leads both hosts to prefer Brewers moneyline and target Christian Yelich home run props. Arizona Diamondbacks visit Atlanta where Zac Gallen faces Spencer Strider. Both pitchers have struggled recently, but Griffin trusts Gallen slightly more, leaning Diamondbacks moneyline and over 8.5. The Rangers face the Rays in Tampa with Tyler Mahle versus Drew Rasmussen. Rasmussen’s strong recent form and Tampa's under trend make the under appealing, with a slight edge to the Rays. Kansas City Royals visit St. Louis Cardinals with Michael Lorenzen opposing Andre Pallante. Lorenzen's solid career stats versus the Cardinals and Pallante’s recent control issues steer Munaf toward Royals moneyline while Griffin prefers Cardinals if the price drops. In Seattle, Baltimore Orioles send Tomoyuki Sugano against George Kirby. Kirby’s recent struggles and Orioles recent wins push both towards Baltimore moneyline with caution towards the total. San Diego Padres visit San Francisco Giants with Romeo Burkert opening against Landen Roupp. The Giants’ bullpen dominance and Padres offensive issues make Giants moneyline and under the preferred plays. The night concludes with the New York Mets visiting the Los Angeles Dodgers, featuring Tyler Megill versus Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw’s perfect 11-0 career record against the Mets leads both to confidently back Dodgers moneyline. Griffin’s best bet is Dodgers ML while Munaf selects Brewers ML. This episode blends in-depth statistical insights with actionable betting advice, supported entirely by player and team performance data from the full MLB Tuesday slate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jun 2

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about all the blowouts in baseball this year, the most wins in June market and the latest stories around the game. In this June 2nd episode of The Inside Pitch, Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers analyze MLB’s increasing blowouts. This season has already seen 46 games decided by 10+ runs, a record high since 2004. Towers attributes this to rushed player promotions, shortened drafts, minor league cuts, and analytics failing to teach players in-game adjustments. They cite examples such as Padres overcoming a 6-0 deficit against the Marlins and Diamondbacks’ collapse due to emotional hangovers, underscoring how coaching and mental preparedness affect outcomes. The duo discusses bullpen usage’s critical role in betting, highlighting the Red Sox’s rested bullpen as an advantage. Towers explains that rested pens allow better in-game flexibility and reduce reliance on struggling relievers. Player development also takes center stage with the debate over Roman Anthony’s MLB readiness. While his AAA stats are strong, Towers emphasizes non-statistical growth areas like situational hitting and emotional maturity. Craig Breslow’s careful approach reflects a balance between development and team competitiveness. Looking at June betting markets, the Yankees, Dodgers, and Tigers share favorite status at +650. Towers favors the Tigers due to their home-heavy, softer schedule. He also projects the Nationals as a 2026 division contender, crediting their steady development. They examine profitability trends, identifying the Tigers as the most profitable moneyline and run line team, while the Rockies remain the best team to fade. The Cubs, Cardinals, Guardians, and Mets round out the most profitable sides, while Orioles, Braves, A’s, and White Sox follow the Rockies in fade profitability. The conversation shifts to run support, highlighting pitchers like Andrew Heaney, who receives only 2.17 runs per start, despite a 3.39 ERA. Others like Kyle Freeland and Mitch Keller face similar challenges. Meanwhile, Max Fried benefits from 7.17 runs per start, aiding his success. Towers explains how run support impacts pitcher performance and confidence, influencing managerial decisions and pitcher development. Later, they address Corbin Burns’ elbow injury, which appears severe as he was seen mouthing “elbow is done” after leaving a game. Towers elaborates on the biomechanics behind such injuries, emphasizing the importance of shoulder alignment and core stability to prevent stress on the elbow. Towers credits his own injury-free career to disciplined maintenance of these mechanics. They close discussing the Mariners retiring Ichiro’s and Randy Johnson’s number 51, an unprecedented honor. Towers reflects on his pitching strategy against Ichiro, where focusing on a single pitch location neutralized Ichiro’s strengths. The podcast wraps with Seidenberg offering promotional codes for listeners and previewing upcoming MLB series while noting NBA and NHL finals on the horizon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 30

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for this weekend. The guys also give out best bets. In this episode of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview, Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers analyzed the NBA Playoffs, focusing on the Knicks-Pacers Game 6 and Oklahoma City Thunder’s Western Conference Finals victory. The Thunder defeated the Timberwolves 124-94 in Game 5 to close the series 4-1. Mackenzie emphasized that OKC’s key series win was against the Nuggets, which elevated them from contender to champion-level status. Shea Gilgeous-Alexander's playoff performance was historic: 29.7 points, 6.9 assists, 5.6 rebounds, 47.1% shooting, and only 2.1 turnovers per game. Only Michael Jordan, Nikola Jokic, and LeBron James have posted similar numbers in playoff history. OKC’s defense also made history, holding two teams under 10 points in the first quarter within six games, something no team has previously accomplished. Their balanced profile of third in offense and first in defense mirrors the 2015 Warriors. With 61 total wins, the Thunder have surpassed the 2017-18 Warriors for the most 10-point playoff wins ever. Mackenzie argued that betting markets are undervaluing OKC, who entered the Finals as -750 favorites. Shifting to the Eastern Conference, the Knicks won Game 5 against the Pacers 111-94. Jalen Brunson led with 32 points on 12 of 18 shooting, Karl-Anthony Towns added 24 points and 13 rebounds, and Josh Hart contributed 12 points and 10 rebounds in 34 minutes. The Knicks’ defense has consistently limited Indiana, holding them under 100 points in both of their series wins. Mackenzie critiqued betting lines that made Indiana 3.5-point favorites for Game 6, arguing the market was reacting to recent outcomes rather than overall team strength. Injuries also factored in, with Pacers defender Aaron Nesmith limited to 16 minutes due to an ankle injury. Pascal Siakam admitted postgame that the Knicks "played harder," signaling New York's edge in effort. Mackenzie highlighted Towns' advantageous matchup against Myles Turner, citing Towns’ career average of 28 points per game against him and recommending a prop bet on Towns scoring over 22.5 points. Josh Hart’s rebounding was also emphasized, with Hart posting 10 or more rebounds in 14 of his last 16 games against the Pacers when playing at least 30 minutes. His rebounding prop was set at 9.5 rebounds with plus odds, and his double-double was available at +254 odds. Mackenzie revealed his updated player rankings based on playoff performances. Nikola Jokic ranked first at 97.5 out of 100, followed by SGA at 97, Giannis at 96.5, Luka and Steph both at 95.5, with Tatum and Anthony Davis tied at 94. Jalen Brunson and Anthony Edwards both earned a 93 rating, while Tyrese Haliburton was ranked 23rd. Mackenzie argued Haliburton’s playoff inconsistency and low scoring frequency kept him outside the top tier. Karl-Anthony Towns was ranked 19th, performing better than Haliburton overall. Ja Morant was downgraded to 26th due to his limited availability, while Sengun led the Rockets contingent. Both hosts discussed the international dominance in today’s NBA, with Jokic, SGA, Giannis, Luka, and Wembenyama leading a generational shift. Mackenzie concluded that the Knicks have the momentum and desperation advantage heading into Game 6, predicting they could force a Game 7 at Madison Square Garden. They agreed to record another episode if Game 7 materializes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 30

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The guys also give out best bets. The MLB Friday podcast with Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner previewed the full Friday slate with in-depth betting analysis. Munaf opened by noting seasonal transitions while Griffin celebrated being up 22 units in May. Munaf described his bad beat with Arizona’s bullpen meltdown against the Phillies. Griffin praised Corbin Burns’ outing despite Munaf’s loss. For Cubs vs Reds, Andrew Abbott was confirmed for Cincinnati while Colin Rea was probable for Chicago. Rea's 5-1 record against the Reds was clouded by a 5.88 ERA. Griffin warned against trusting Reds closer Emilio Pagan, recommending first-five bets for Reds backers. Munaf noted mild wind at Wrigley, making early scoring possible. For Orioles vs White Sox, confusion surrounded Chicago’s starting pitcher—Sean Burke or Jared Shuster. The Orioles were heavy -215 favorites. Munaf hesitated to back either side, citing Zach Eflin's recent struggles and Chicago's poor form. Griffin criticized the White Sox as dysfunctional, saying backing them was dangerous. Milwaukee faced Philadelphia with DL Hall starting against Taijuan Walker. Philadelphia was favored at -133. Bryce Harper was listed day-to-day with an elbow contusion. Griffin emphasized Milwaukee’s overreliance on base stealing and bullpen fatigue. Munaf supported Philadelphia, noting their 19-9 home record. The A’s faced the Blue Jays with Jeffrey Springs against Chris Bassett. The Blue Jays, favored at -160, saw Bassett excel at home (1.61 ERA over 28 innings). Springs pitched well but suffered from bullpen collapses. Munaf leaned Blue Jays and under 8.5. For Rockies vs Mets, Peterson faced Freeland with Mets huge -306 favorites. Freeland struggled at Coors but was slightly better on the road. Munaf suggested Mets team total overs while Griffin found no value backing Colorado. In Giants vs Marlins, Harrison faced Quantrill. Griffin noted Quantrill’s recent turnaround (4 wins, 6 ER in May), while Harrison’s pitch limit posed risk. Munaf agreed Miami offered home underdog value. Guardians hosted Angels with Luis Ortiz vs Jose Soriano. Soriano’s control issues were concerning (14 walks in 4 starts). Griffin favored Cleveland’s patient lineup, citing bullpen advantage. Boston played Atlanta with Giolito vs Grant Holmes. Griffin detailed Red Sox clubhouse turmoil and lack of cohesion. Munaf pointed out Giolito’s inconsistency, especially against Atlanta earlier. Both leaned Braves team total over. In Cardinals vs Rangers, Lieberatore likely faced Jack Leiter. The Rangers had gone 24-6 to the under at home. Both hosts strongly supported the under 8.5. For Tigers vs Royals, Casey Mize opposed Seth Lugo. Griffin backed Kansas City due to Mize’s IL return and KC’s home form. Munaf highlighted Lugo’s good career numbers vs Detroit. Tampa Bay visited Houston with Pepiot vs Valdez. Griffin respected Houston’s design against lefties. Munaf leaned under, noting Framber’s 4-1 under record at home and Pepiot’s 3-0 road unders. In Pirates vs Padres, Keller faced Pivetta. Griffin liked first-five unders due to San Diego’s offensive struggles but found little value elsewhere. Munaf noted Keller’s poor past vs Padres. The Nationals faced the Diamondbacks with Irvin vs Kelly. Griffin leaned over given bullpen issues and Arizona’s park. Munaf added Arizona’s historical home unders with Kelly but agreed on D-backs team total over. Seattle hosted Minnesota with Zebby Matthews vs Brian Wu. Wu’s home dominance (12-1) made Seattle a strong pick. Both leaned under 7. Lastly, Yankees faced Dodgers with Max Fried vs Gonsolin. Fried was surprisingly favored at -116. Griffin was shocked Dodgers were home underdogs, citing bullpen risks for New York. Munaf also preferred Dodgers ML and slightly leaned over. For best bets, Griffin chose Phillies ML at -126 while Munaf picked under 8.5 in Cardinals-Rangers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 29

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NFL and NBA this week. The guys get into an interesting discussion about the Roman Empire. Best bets as always. The Dream Podcast delivers a high-level breakdown of NFL power rankings, survivor contest strategies, and NBA playoff betting trends, hosted by RJ Bell with sharp insights from Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers, and Scott Seidenberg. The episode opens with Fezzik’s scorching 12-0 MLB run and a hot NHL Game of the Year pick, prompting a promo code for free premium plays. In the main NFL segment, RJ unveils his 2025 power rankings, derived from updated win totals and simulation modeling. Philadelphia leads at +7.5 points over average, followed by Baltimore, Buffalo, Kansas City, and Detroit. The hosts contrast these with ESPN’s FPI, critiquing its inclusion of schedule and kicker factors. They highlight value bets such as Detroit +3.5 at Philly and Rams -2.5 hosting Tampa Bay, both driven by scheduling fatigue and injury recovery dynamics. Fezzik also shares deep game theory around Circa’s $100K survivor contest, including how to leverage Week 1 volatility with rebuy options. The podcast shifts to the NBA, where the Thunder’s statistical dominance is dissected—highlighting their 18-4 ATS record in Game 1s and home/road performance splits. Mackenzie outlines SGA’s MVP-level production and long-term franchise upside, while debating futures odds and playoff series pricing. A philosophical detour explores Harvard's political pressures, the Roman Empire’s fall, and human prehistory, adding narrative flair. The episode wraps with college football projections, where Fezzik bets North Carolina under 7.5 wins due to program turmoil. RJ closes with three NFL best bets: Detroit, Rams, and Raiders, using advanced scheduling and power rating logic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 28

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the action at Jack's Place. -Going over top players on odds board -1 matchup -2 p2p -3 outrights (40/1, 75/1, 110/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, scoring -Best Bet Will Doctor delivers a focused and stat-driven breakdown of the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village, offering sharp PGA betting insights, critiques of tour policies, and precise player analysis. He opens with a recap of Week 21's 10-unit loss, missing on Ben Griffin’s win despite Griffin’s elite short game and putting. Griffin, a two-time winner this season, overcame poor driving stats at Colonial and held off Mati Schmidt and Bud Cawley. Doctor also critiques picks like JT Poston, who faltered due to big numbers, and others like Riley, Højgaard, and Rai, who failed to deliver. Scottie Scheffler is highlighted as a dominant force at Muirfield, with podium finishes in his last three appearances, though Doctor avoids betting him at 3-1 due to putting issues and his third straight week competing. Rory McIlroy receives heavy criticism for skipping his third signature event of the year, including Memorial, without informing host Jack Nicklaus. Doctor dissects the PGA’s approach to field size, arguing it unfairly excludes players like Higgo and Phillips while excessively relying on sponsor exemptions for names like Fowler and Snedeker. Muirfield Village is described as a long and punishing course with narrow fairways and small bentgrass greens that reward elite ball-striking and putting accuracy. Top betting lines are reviewed: Morikawa (16-1) is doubted due to form; Schauffele (18-1) lacks Sunday contention; Justin Thomas (25-1) and Patrick Cantlay (25-1) show concerning stats despite course fits. Doctor recommends a matchup bet of Taylor Pendrith over Davis Thompson, citing Pendrith’s recent T5 and solid form. Key top finishes include Tony Finau Top 20 (+120) and Shane Lowry Top 10 (+250), with Finau’s ball-striking and putting trending positively. Three outright picks are revealed: Lowry (40-1), Novak (75-1), and Bud Cawley (110-1), each supported with course history and recent performance data. Cawley’s comeback from injury and recent top-5 finishes are especially praised. Sleeper pick is Cawley to Top 10 (+550), and First Round Top 10s include Lowry (+275) and Novak (+400). Fantasy lineups include combinations of Scheffler, Lowry, Novak, Fowler, Cawley, and Graceman, with strategy adjusted for DraftKings and PGA Tour.com rules. Doctor projects a winning score of 10-under due to rain-softened conditions in Dublin, Ohio. The final best bet is Novak Top 20 (+175), emphasizing his current form and statistical edge. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 27

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting. The guys also give out best bets. This episode of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview: NBA Playoff Edition with Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers provides an in-depth analysis of two critical NBA playoff matchups: Knicks vs. Pacers Game 4 and Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 5. The conversation opens with a reflection on Game 3, where the Knicks overcame a 20-point deficit to win. This turnaround stemmed from strategic adjustments—starting Mitchell Robinson and bringing Josh Hart off the bench—allowing New York to clamp down on Indiana's offense. Jalen Brunson struggled with foul trouble and inefficiency, contributing just six field goals on 18 attempts and a single assist. Despite his limited impact, the Knicks held Indiana to only 42 second-half points, a stark contrast to the Pacers' usual offensive rhythm. Hart’s late-game rebounds and composure at the free-throw line stood out, and Towns’ fourth-quarter scoring lifted the team to its first win of the series. Mackenzie discussed RJ Bell’s "fourth quarter win share," an advanced stat favoring teams with strong late-game control, suggesting the Knicks had been more dominant across multiple quarters despite their earlier losses. Looking to Game 4, the hosts note the Pacers as 2.5-point home favorites with a 220.5 total. Mackenzie and Munaf favor the Knicks and the under, emphasizing that a defensive-focused Knicks approach correlates strongly with low-scoring games. Brunson's role is expected to shift toward playmaking, reducing his shot volume. His under 29.5 points prop is Mackenzie’s best bet, backed by historical splits where he’s gone under this line 20 times versus 19 overs. Meanwhile, Towns is averaging over 25 points and 11 rebounds per game in the series and is projected to exceed both point and rebound props. Transitioning to the Thunder-Timberwolves series, OKC leads 3-1. Game 3 saw a dominant Timberwolves blowout, but OKC rebounded in Game 4 behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 40-point near triple-double and key support from Jalen Williams and the bench. SGA’s leadership was pivotal—his late-game assists demonstrated poise under pressure. Mackenzie praised SGA’s situational IQ and contrasted it with Anthony Edwards’ passive play. Edwards is averaging only 17 FGA per game, the lowest of his postseason career, and scored just 24 PPG despite efficient shooting. Postgame, he deflected criticism, saying he didn’t struggle because he didn’t take enough shots. Mackenzie critiqued this mindset, calling for Edwards to embrace higher usage when it matters most. With SGA elevating his impact and Edwards retreating, Mackenzie believes the Thunder’s edge in leadership and strategy is decisive. In Game 5, OKC is an 8.5-point favorite. Munaf’s best bet is the Thunder team total over 114.5, citing strong home scoring trends. SGA’s over 6.5 assists is another key angle, supported by three overs in four games and an average of 8.5 APG. The Thunder have shot below their season average from three, suggesting positive regression is likely at home. Mackenzie projects a potential 120–102 OKC win and predicts they’ll close the series. The hosts close with futures discussion, noting the NBA’s growing parity. The Thunder are +225 favorites for next season, while teams like the Knicks, Pacers, Cavs, and Wolves range from 8/1 to 12/1. Mackenzie emphasizes the historical rarity of such dispersed odds beyond the top team. He speculates Giannis may be traded, naming the Knicks and Rockets as possible destinations. He lauds Sam Presti’s roster-building and envisions OKC as a possible dynasty. In conclusion, Munaf and Mackenzie agree the Finals might be lopsided but promise strong betting value through derivatives and props. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 27

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner get you set for MLB Tuesday betting. The guys also give out best bets. In the RJ Bell Dream Preview MLB podcast, hosts Munaf Manji and Griffin Werner offer a complete betting breakdown for Tuesday’s MLB slate. The episode begins with lighthearted banter as both hosts recount humorous Memorial Day mishaps, setting the tone for the in-depth analysis to follow. The podcast proceeds through every major game with detailed assessments of pitching matchups, team form, statistical betting trends, and value-based betting recommendations. The first game reviewed is Dodgers at Guardians, where Dustin May’s 0-4 record in road starts is highlighted as a key fade point. Griffin supports a Cleveland lean, and Munaf prefers the game total over due to Tanner Bybee’s possible regression. For Cardinals at Orioles, both express skepticism about Andre Pallante as a road favorite, with Baltimore identified as a live dog given Sugano’s contact-reliant style and Baltimore’s recent bullpen improvement. In Giants at Tigers, Logan Webb’s bounce-back potential is weighed against Detroit’s disciplined offense. Flaherty’s decline and Detroit’s playoff-style play hint at a competitive game. The Braves-Phillies game is a marquee matchup where both hosts land on the Phillies, citing Spencer Strider’s rust following Tommy John surgery and strong home form for Ranger Suarez. This becomes Griffin’s best bet of the show. Next, they evaluate the Twins at Rays. Joe Ryan’s 7-0-2 under trend is pitted against Taj Bradley’s home run issues. Twins team total over and game over are both floated as viable plays. The Mets vs White Sox game is largely dismissed due to Chicago’s poor form and lack of discipline despite Shane Smith’s promising numbers. When analyzing Rockies at Cubs, Griffin equates Colorado to a “bad news bears” team and recommends backing Cubs team total over due to Marquez’s poor road stats. In Blue Jays at Rangers, they highlight Bowden Francis’s struggles and the Rangers’ 22-6 under record at home, aligning both to bet the under confidently. Astros vs Athletics is covered next with JP Sears being unpredictable and Hunter Brown highlighted for his success at home and against Oakland. Munaf supports an Astros run line and game under if the total reaches 8. In Yankees at Angels, Rodon’s improved form is discussed, along with Anderson’s smoke-and-mirrors style that’s worked at home. The price is too steep for the Yankees, so Angels +162 and possibly the over are considered. Pirates at Diamondbacks is where Munaf shares his best bet. He backs Arizona -1.5 based on Corbin Burnes’ recent form and Pittsburgh’s 6-19 road record. For Marlins at Padres, Miami’s last-place scoring in the first five innings and San Diego’s solid bullpen push both hosts toward first-half or full-game unders, or a light parlay with the Padres moneyline. The show concludes with a promo for pregame.com, urging listeners to use the code ERA20 for 20% off betting packages. Both best bets are recapped: Griffin on the Phillies -113 and Munaf on Diamondbacks -1.5. The summary blends humor, data, and actionable betting strategies, offering a complete picture of the Tuesday MLB card. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 26

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg break down the MLB slate of games for Memorial Day This special Memorial Day episode of The Inside Pitch features Scott Seidenberg and former MLB pitcher Josh Towers providing a comprehensive breakdown of the upcoming Monday baseball slate. The podcast focuses on travel dynamics, pitcher performances, betting angles, and how team momentum and logistics influence game outcomes. Central to the discussion is the “Sunday Night Fade”—a strategy of betting against teams that play Sunday night games and must travel before playing again on Monday. Scott cites a 6-1 record with this approach, spotlighting the Dodgers’ travel from New York to Cleveland. Josh outlines how travel delays, postgame treatment, and media responsibilities—especially for players like Shohei Otani—can exhaust players, making them vulnerable in early Monday games. Josh and Scott discuss Otani’s homer against Kodai Senga, noting it was the first Senga allowed since Opening Day. They analyze the Dodgers-Guardians matchup: Gavin Williams has a strong home record (3-1, 3.40 ERA), but struggles at night (5.09 ERA), while Yamamoto has a 1.00 ERA overall and has not yet pitched in a day game. Despite Yamamoto’s strength, Josh is cautious, citing fatigue from travel as a factor. In Mets vs. White Sox, the Mets are favored. Hauser is unreliable (5.00 ERA in the minors), and the White Sox are 5-21 on the road. Clay Holmes has been strong for the Mets but is nearing workload limits. The duo leans Mets on the run line. Tarek Skubal’s dominant performance (13 Ks in a 9-inning shutout) leads into Tigers-Giants. Keiter Montero’s poor control (13 BB in 30 IP) makes backing the Giants appealing despite Hayden Birdsong’s inexperience. Red Sox-Brewers is another key game. Boston’s offense has faltered without Bregman, while Crochet has been elite. Chad Patrick has been solid at home. Josh and Scott prefer a first-five under wager, given offensive struggles. Cubs vs. Rockies is heavily skewed toward the Cubs, with Palmquist’s disastrous starts (9 ER in 8 IP, 7 BB) making a run-line play likely. Eric Fedde (Cardinals) is steady, while Charlie Morton (Orioles) has had a volatile season. Despite recent rebound, Morton’s early performances were poor, and the line favoring Baltimore is puzzling. In Rangers vs. Blue Jays, both deGrom and Gausman are top-tier arms. Toronto has scored just two runs in three games, and Texas’ offense is struggling. Josh and Scott prefer the under, particularly a no-run first inning (Nerf-y) play. Royals vs. Reds also presents a Nerf-y opportunity: Lorenzen is 10-0 to the Nerf-y, and Chris Booback has a 1.45 ERA with 70 Ks in 68 innings. In Rays vs. Twins, Josh praises Tampa’s momentum, especially with lineup depth like Chandler Simpson batting seventh. Paddock’s 5.19 road ERA and vulnerability in early innings make Tampa appealing. However, Scott warns of fading the Rays later due to a back-loaded road-heavy schedule. Pirates-Diamondbacks features Heaney (8-2 Nerf-y) vs. Ryan Nelson, whose inconsistency and starter-reliever toggling limit trust. Another Nerf-y opportunity is noted. Padres-Marlins showcases Vasquez’s steady performances against Weathers, who’s shown flashes but is prone to walks and home runs. Yankees vs. Angels sees Yarbrough returning to form, while Kocanowicz has erratic command (20+ walks in 5 starts). Josh recommends betting Yankees and possibly on Kocanowicz’s walk prop. The discussion shifts to the mound in Sacramento. Zach Wheeler complained about mound hardness affecting pitch delivery. Scott theorizes high elevation in pitches might stem from poor footing. Josh stresses that pros must adjust, though he criticizes coaches like Minnesota’s, who lack firsthand pitching experience and can't offer adjustment strategies. The show ends with a promo code "DAY20" for 20% off at pregame.com and a reminder to enjoy the holiday with plenty of daytime baseball and solid betting opportunities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 23

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday and this weekend. The guys cover the entire card and give out best bets. The MLB Friday betting podcast hosted by Manaf Manji and Griffin Warner covered an extensive analysis of all 16 matchups. Manaf opened by highlighting the full Friday slate, including a doubleheader between the Orioles and Red Sox. Griffin immediately addressed frustrations with umpiring and pitch clock enforcement, using Yoán Moncada’s controversial strikeout as an example. For Game 1 of the doubleheader, Povich (Orioles) and Baio (Red Sox) were both criticized, with both hosts favoring the over due to poor pitching. Povich's 5.28 ERA vs. Boston and Baio’s recent seven-run outing made betting the over a logical play. In Cubs vs. Reds, Griffin noted Hunter Greene’s return from injury as a risk, while Manaf praised Boyd’s consistency and strikeouts, leaning toward the Cubs. Brewers vs. Pirates saw Freddie Peralta favored despite Pittsburgh’s Paul Skenes’ talent, due to a lack of run support. Both suggested under 7 as a good play. For Giants vs. Nationals, McKenzie Gore’s strikeout success and the Giants’ bullpen issues led to a lean toward the Nationals, especially in the first five innings. Blue Jays vs. Rays featured skepticism toward both bullpens. Despite Rasmussen’s 3.00 ERA vs. Toronto, his 1-4 record and poor run support made the Jays an attractive underdog. Dodgers vs. Mets focused on Clayton Kershaw’s weak return and Canning’s strong 5-1 record with a 2.47 ERA. The Mets, 8-1 in Canning’s starts, were backed heavily. In Guardians vs. Tigers, Jackson Jobe’s 4-0 record and Detroit’s 8-0 team mark in his starts made them the clear pick. Pablo Lopez vs. Royals saw under 7.5 suggested, with Lopez’s home starts hitting the over but mainly due to weak opponents. In Braves vs. Padres, Chris Sale’s 15-2 home mark with Atlanta was compelling, but concerns over the Padres’ offensive slump and pitching made Griffin hesitant. The Rangers, with a 35-15-1 under record and the worst AL offense, were labeled an overvalued -180 favorite vs. the White Sox. Burke’s wildness (13 walks in 3 starts) and Texas’ high swing rate set up a potential upset. Mariners vs. Astros examined Emerson Hancock’s inconsistency and the Astros' injury woes. Both leaned Mariners at plus money. Phillies vs. A’s spotlighted Sacramento's hitter-friendly park. Despite Wheeler’s average road form, Philadelphia’s offense was favored to overwhelm. Yankees vs. Rockies centered on the 12.5 total at Coors, suggesting Yankees’ team total overs. Marlins vs. Angels featured heavy criticism of Sandy Alcantara’s 7.99 ERA. Kikuchi, despite inconsistencies, was backed due to the Angels’ offensive momentum. Cardinals were recommended over Arizona due to Gallen’s 5.14 ERA and recent struggles, while Mikolas had been reliable. For best bets, Griffin took the Angels at -143, fading Alcantara. Manaf backed the Mets over Kershaw, citing Canning’s stellar form and New York’s offensive edge. They concluded with a promo for Griffin’s picks and encouraged listeners to take advantage of the B.A.T.20 discount at pregame.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 22

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NBA playoffs. Plus, the guys discuss NFL Hard Knocks and give out best bets. In this podcast episode, RJ Bell and his expert panel analyze a historic NBA playoff collapse, strategic betting angles, and key NFL developments. The episode opens with a promotion for discounted picks at pregame.com, spotlighting successful handicappers like Dave Esler and Greg Shaker. The heart of the episode is the New York Knicks' unprecedented collapse against the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Scott Seidenberg recounts how the Knicks lost a 14-point lead in the final 2:45, with the Pacers scoring 23 points in 3:14—an NBA playoff record since 1997. Aaron Neesmith’s six 3-pointers in the fourth quarter were the most in any playoff fourth quarter since 1997–98. The panel discusses the psychological and statistical impacts of this loss, with RJ questioning how such a collapse may affect the Knicks' mindset for the rest of the series. McKenzie Rivers and Steve Fezzik explore the zigzag theory in betting, revealing that Game 2's line moved from Knicks -4.5 to -6, despite the traumatic nature of Game 1’s finish. Statistical trends support a potential Knicks bounce back: favorites after a Game 1 loss are 59% ATS since 2002, particularly dominant in first quarters. However, McKenzie notes this edge vanishes when teams are closely seeded. Despite the market showing confidence in New York, concerns linger over their seven-man rotation, fatigue after an overtime loss, and historical playoff struggles. RJ emphasizes the Knicks' tendency to crumble under high expectations, comparing this year to the pressure-filled 1994 and 1999 Knicks teams. Attention then shifts to the Oklahoma City Thunder, who dominated the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1. Anthony Edwards was held to 18 points and scoreless in the fourth quarter. The panel credits OKC’s elite perimeter defense and deep roster. McKenzie highlights OKC's transition from regular-season darlings to playoff powerhouses, noting they lead the league in turnovers forced and have the lowest turnovers committed. Betting markets reflected OKC’s strength; post-Game 1, their series odds jumped from -330 to -675, reflecting a 1–1.5 point market upgrade. In NFL coverage, the panel discusses two major Hard Knocks announcements: the Buffalo Bills will be featured in training camp, while the NFC East will be showcased during the regular season. They also debate the NFL’s decision to retain the “tush push” after the Packers' failed attempt to ban it, with Fezzik estimating the Eagles would’ve been downgraded by half a point without it. Jalen Hurts’ rushing TD prop even increased from 9.5 to 10.5 after the rule's preservation. The episode concludes with betting strategies across sports. RJ and Fezzik analyze the Rockies’ historically bad MLB season, advocating for under 40 wins. They highlight Colorado's -160 run differential just a third into the season—on pace to break modern records. Additionally, they discuss the Tampa Bay Rays’ skewed home-heavy schedule, recommending an under 77.5 wins bet as they face 59 road games in their final 97. The podcast closes with RJ teasing advanced NFL projection models and a “five-pack” of early NFL bets for next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 21

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the latest around Major League Baseball. Juan Soto's struggles, the Dodgers slump and futures bets to make right now! In this episode, Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers dissect a range of MLB storylines, with a heavy focus on Juan Soto’s troubled transition to the Mets. Soto’s recent on-field behavior—particularly his lack of hustle on a hit off the Green Monster and only securing one hit across three games against the Yankees—sparked criticism. Mets manager Carlos Mendoza announced plans to speak with Soto about his effort. Towers emphasized how professional athletes are expected to hustle regardless of performance, especially when part of a new organization. He critiqued Soto’s declining stats (.246 average in 2025, subpar defense) and called out the media narrative that built him up unrealistically since his 2020 breakout. He believes the $765 million valuation raised unsustainable expectations. Michael Kay, based on conversations with Mets and Yankees insiders, claimed Soto appears “glum” and without joy. Soto reportedly preferred to remain a Yankee, but his family urged him to accept the Mets' offer. Towers, who played for both franchises, praised the Yankees for their professionalism and structure, saying it fosters respect and accountability. In contrast, he noted that the Mets, while improving, still lack the Yankees’ foundational stability. Scott and Josh then evaluated the NL East race. Seidenberg endorsed betting on the Phillies to win the division at +130, noting their strong veteran core (Harper, Schwarber, Wheeler) and manager Dave Dombrowski’s history of bold moves. Josh echoed this but pointed out the Phillies’ need for young talent infusion, something they’ve lacked in recent years. They also discussed the Braves’ resurgence, who started 0-8 but have since gone 24-15, with key players like Max Fried returning. Shifting to the Dodgers, both hosts criticized Dave Roberts’ pitching management. The team’s constant injuries and overuse of bullpen arms have led to four consecutive home losses. Towers questioned the effectiveness of the organization’s throwing programs and training strategies. Despite Yamamoto’s reliability, the rest of the rotation, including Snell, Glasnow, and Kershaw, remains inconsistent or injured. Fried’s Cy Young candidacy was explored in depth. With a 1.29 ERA and consistent dominance, Josh called him the clear front-runner. Other contenders like Robbie Ray, Hunter Brown, and Chris Bubik were noted, though Fried’s consistency set him apart. On the offensive side, Pete Crow Armstrong's recent surge sparked MVP speculation, but Josh dismissed it due to his relatively weak OBP and limited consistency. Attention turned to the Texas Rangers, whose rotation (deGrom, Eovaldi, Mowley) and improving offense make them serious contenders. The coaching shift toward personalized, non-analytic-heavy hitting plans has improved their situational batting. They also discussed trade rumors including Bo Bichette, Kenley Jansen, and Sandy Alcantara potentially moving before the deadline. The Orioles and Rockies came under fire for poor development. The Rockies’ minus-150 run differential led Scott to predict they might break the all-time worst record. Josh argued that both teams lack direction and accountability, especially with player growth and clubhouse culture. Lastly, home field advantage in 2025 has reached historic levels, with home teams winning 56.5% of games, the best rate since 2005. Betting trends show high returns for home favorites, and Seidenberg emphasized this is a year to follow such patterns. The hosts closed with MVP and Cy Young betting odds, a promo for Pregame.com, and a final note on the season’s unpredictability and remaining opportunities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 21

-PGA Championship review -Discussing Colonial -Talking top 7 on odds board -1 t10, 1 t20 -2 outrights (+250, 45/1) -Sleeper -2 FRP, 2 lineups, Scoring, best bet -Soudal outright & t10 The podcast, hosted by Will Doctor, offers a comprehensive preview of the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club and touches on the Soudal Open. Doctor begins with praise for world number one Scottie Scheffler, forecasting his victory at Colonial and noting his dominant Texas swing. Scheffler’s recent win at the PGA Championship marked his 15th PGA Tour title before age 29, aligning him with legends like Nicklaus and Woods. Doctor outlines Scheffler’s stats from the event, highlighting his final round resilience, including an eagle on 14, critical birdies on 14 and 15, and solid putting after initial struggles. Randy Smith, Scheffler’s coach, described this performance as possibly the most rewarding round Scheffler has played. Doctor critiques his own PGA Championship betting card, noting it only yielded a half-unit gain despite hits on Scheffler (+550) and DeChambeau (Top 10). He reflects on losses from backing McIlroy, Thomas, and Im, delving into McIlroy’s inaccuracy off the tee, failed iron play, and silence following a USGA equipment test that deemed his driver nonconforming. Justin Thomas’s underperformance is attributed to poor ball striking, while Jon Rahm’s fade despite elite ball striking was due to putting failures. The host shifts to Colonial course analysis, highlighting a $25 million renovation aimed at restoring Perry Maxwell’s original design. Though some greens now appear less aesthetic, the redesign added hydronic systems to preserve bentgrass surfaces. Doctor stresses the importance of accuracy and iron sharpness over distance, favoring creative shot-shapers and bentgrass specialists. Scheffler is his top pick again at +250, citing his exceptional iron play and previous Colonial results. Daniel Berger, though strong with irons recently, is dismissed due to weak putting on bentgrass. Fleetwood, Spieth, Matsuyama, and McNeely are similarly passed over due to poor form or course misfit. Two featured picks to place are Davis Riley (Top 10 at +350), praised for improved driving and short game despite iron inconsistencies, and Aaron Rai (Top 20 at +130), celebrated for precision and bentgrass putting. Doctor’s outright longshot is JT Poston (45-1), noted for consistent driving, improving irons, and elite putting, making him an ideal Scheffler challenger. The sleeper pick is Thor Bjorn Olsen to Top 10 at 6-1, based on positive recent form and favorable putting surface. First-round bets include Scheffler (Top 10 at even) and Harry Hall (Top 10 at 5-1), with Hall’s strong putting and improved iron play highlighted. Two fantasy lineups are shared. The DraftKings lineup features Poston, Rai, Riley, Hall, Olsen, and David Ford—a top-ranked amateur with Colonial experience. The PGA Tour fantasy team mirrors this with Ford and Olsen benched. Doctor forecasts a 12-under winning score and pegs Poston (Top 10 at 3-1) as the best bet. For the Soudal Open, Thomas Pieters is tipped to win at 22-1 and to Top 10 at +225. Doctor notes Pieters’ revived iron play and strong finishes in past editions of the home event. The episode concludes with a promo code and a sign-off promising updates from the next major venue. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 20

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys also give out best bets. The "MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets" episode hosted by Munaf Manji with guest Griffin Warner offers a detailed, game-by-game analysis of the MLB slate. Munaf opens by mentioning the excitement surrounding the weekend's games and Juan Soto's return to the Bronx. Griffin begins with the Orioles' implosion, losing despite a 14-3 hit advantage, leading to their manager’s firing. He criticizes their underperforming stars like Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman, failed pitching replacements, and Kyle Gibson’s poor debut followed by being designated for assignment. Griffin speculates that Brandon Hyde’s dismissal, despite being 2023’s Manager of the Year, stems from high preseason expectations. Munaf admits he underestimated how poorly the Orioles were performing. They highlight the Cubs vs. Marlins matchup with Jameson Taillon vs. Ryan Weathers. Taillon is untrustworthy as a favorite, while Weathers has promise but is fresh off the IL. Munaf leans on the Cubs' offense, skeptical of Taillon’s price. Next, they analyze Reds vs. Pirates. Despite interest in backing Bailey Falter, Griffin is deterred by Pittsburgh’s scoring drought—failing to surpass 3 runs in 23 straight games. Nick Martinez has been consistent, while Falter has struggled historically against the Reds. Both lean toward the under 8.5. In the Rangers vs. Yankees game, they discuss Patrick Corbin’s surprising stability—holding teams to three or fewer earned runs in all starts this season—and Will Warren’s solid form. Though historically bad, Corbin’s early-season stats make him a tempting underdog. Munaf supports backing Corbin, noting his past success in Yankee Stadium. They discuss Twins vs. Guardians next, where both support Minnesota. Chris Paddock has rebounded after early struggles, while Gavin Williams hasn’t found a reliable swing-and-miss pitch. The Twins’ recent 13-game win streak reinforces their pick. The Cardinals vs. Tigers match sees both siding with St. Louis for value. Although Detroit's Skubal is a top Cy Young contender, the Cardinals have been on a hot streak. Eric Fedde, typically inconsistent, has posted strong recent starts. Phillies vs. Rockies analysis is brief—Philadelphia should dominate, especially with Sensatela's 6.39 ERA and 1–7 record. Munaf and Griffin agree on Phillies run line and team total over. In Mets vs. Red Sox, Walker Buehler’s IL return raises concerns, and Clay Holmes lacks long-term reliability. Both expect high scoring and back the Mets team total over. Royals vs. Giants features Birdsong’s first start for SF. With Kansas City’s weak offense and San Francisco's cold bats, both prefer under 8. Angels vs. A’s is expected to be a slugfest. Kyle Hendricks and Gunnar Hoglund both provide fade-worthy profiles. They predict double-digit scoring, with Munaf backing the over as his best bet. In Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers, Yamamoto is solid, but Ryan Nelson’s fastball-heavy approach is predictable. Dodgers’ depth and Arizona’s weak bullpen suggest the Dodgers team total over is viable. They close with a quick mention of Braves vs. Nationals, likely featuring Spencer Strider off the IL. Griffin’s best bet is Twins -108, trusting Paddock’s resurgence and the team's momentum. Munaf selects the Angels-A’s over 10 due to suspect pitching and a hitter-friendly park in West Sacramento. They promote a $10 discount using code BUNT10 at pregame.com for season-long picks and wrap up promising continued coverage through the MLB season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 19

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Conference Finals betting. The guys also give out best bets. This episode of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview features hosts Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers analyzing the 2024 NBA Conference Finals based on recent Game 7 outcomes, team trends, player performances, and betting odds. Munaf introduces the matchups, focusing on the Oklahoma City Thunder’s dominant 125–93 victory over the Denver Nuggets. SGA led with 35 points, while Jalen Williams added 24. The Thunder’s defense clamped down after the first quarter, and the game became one-sided by halftime. Mackenzie emphasized that this was one of the most lopsided Game 7s in NBA history and criticized analysts for underestimating OKC. SGA’s playoff run is highlighted as historically elite. Mackenzie cites stats placing SGA alongside Jordan and LeBron in terms of efficiency and playoff production, calling him the true standout of this postseason. He also criticizes NBA media for not giving SGA due credit and believes the Thunder are significantly undervalued by betting markets. The hosts favor OKC in their series against the Timberwolves, recommending bets on Thunder -1.5 games (-140). They argue Minnesota’s playoff path has been easier and note that OKC’s defense, including players like Caruso, Dort, and Jalen Williams, is particularly effective against stars like Anthony Edwards. The conversation pivots to props, with Mackenzie suggesting Anthony Edwards under 26.5 points and Munaf recommending pivoting to Edwards’ assists over 4.5, given his distribution role when facing pressure defenses. Attention then shifts to the Eastern Conference Finals between the Knicks and Pacers. The Knicks are favored (-145), and Mackenzie recalls that last year’s series loss came without key players like Mitchell Robinson, who is now healthy and central to their defense. Both hosts agree the Knicks are deeper and more playoff-ready, especially with Jalen Brunson averaging nearly 30 PPG against Indiana and Karl-Anthony Towns showing breakout potential. They support a Knicks Game 1 -4 bet and consider Towns (13-1) a value pick for East Finals MVP. For Game 1 of Thunder-Timberwolves, Munaf’s best bet is the under (215.5), supported by OKC’s playoff pace trends and Minnesota’s preference for slower half-court sets. Mackenzie agrees, noting the Thunder's short rest and defensive versatility. The episode concludes with a recap of best bets, a promo code (RIM10), and brief updates on MLB and NFL betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 16

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Friday from a betting perspective. best bets as always. Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner hosted the MLB podcast focusing on Friday's games. They began by reflecting on their recent 2-0 best bets streak, expressing confidence heading into the weekend. The first highlighted game was the Chicago rivalry at Wrigley Field, where Shane Smith starts for the struggling White Sox against Cade Horton of the Cubs. Griffin noted Horton's limited pitch mix might still overpower the weak Sox lineup. Munaf emphasized the Cubs' rest advantage and the Sox's fatigue after a loss in Cincinnati. Next, the Guardians face the Reds in the "Battle of Ohio." Griffin was cautious about Tanner Bybee as a road favorite, pointing out the hitter-friendly park and Brady Singer's vulnerability to home runs. Munaf countered, citing Bybee's strong recent performances, including seven innings against the Phillies, making him lean toward the Guardians' money line. In Philadelphia, Andrew Haney's inconsistency was likened to an unpredictable night out, while Ranger Suarez's solid home record made the Phillies a favored pick, especially on the run line, with Munaf highlighting Haney's poor career numbers against the Phillies. For the Mets vs Yankees, Griffin leaned toward the Mets due to their bullpen strength and skepticism of the Yankees' offense, while Munaf preferred betting the over, expecting home runs from both sides at Yankee Stadium. Griffin selected the Orioles over the Nationals as his best bet, trusting Baltimore's bullpen despite their shaky start to the season. Munaf agreed, noting Cade Povich's prior success against the Nationals. In Toronto, Griffin doubted the Tigers' offense despite their strong start, while Munaf leaned under 8.5, noting Flaherty’s rough patch and Francis's vulnerability. In the Braves vs Red Sox matchup, Griffin was hesitant to back Chris Sale and wary of the Braves' underperformance. Munaf praised Crochet's early season form and leaned towards under eight, expecting a pitching duel. Regarding the Astros vs Rangers, both analysts favored the Rangers due to Ivaldi’s dominance and McCullers Jr.'s limited pitch count. Munaf stressed the under, given the Astros' offensive struggles and Rangers' home under trends. In Milwaukee, Griffin was cautious about backing the Brewers despite Chad Patrick’s solid form, while Munaf pointed out the absence of Buxton and Correa for the Twins, making the under eight a strong play. For the late games, they mocked the Rockies' dire situation in Arizona, where Corbin Burns' Diamondbacks were massive favorites. Munaf joked about backing the D-Backs team total overs. In San Diego, Munaf leaned over eight and a half in the Mariners vs Padres game, noting Koenig’s regression potential after his shutout of the Rockies. Griffin, however, was hesitant. The Dodgers vs Angels featured Dustin May against Jack Kahanowitz. Both hosts dismissed the Angels’ chances, advising bettors to focus on Dodgers team totals. In the Giants vs A’s game, Griffin acknowledged JP Sears' surprising stability but warned about his fly-ball tendencies in San Francisco's pitcher-friendly park. Munaf favored Logan Webb’s strong home splits and suggested a Giants win by multiple runs. Finally, the best bets were set: Griffin chose Orioles ML at -108, citing bullpen strength and home field, while Munaf selected Phillies -1.5 at -108, pointing to Suarez's home form and Haney’s frailties. Throughout the podcast, both hosts balanced data and playful commentary, giving special attention to pitching matchups, team fatigue, and offensive inconsistencies, emphasizing the significance of situational factors like park dimensions and team travel schedules. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 15

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the NFL schedule release. The guys also discuss Fezzik's NFL power rankings and the NBA playoffs. RJ Bell (0:05-0:24) opened the podcast celebrating the team’s sharp NFL schedule release analysis and hinted at Fezzik’s overenthusiasm. Mackenzie Rivers (0:24-0:26) supported RJ's disciplinary stance. RJ detailed NBA playoff promotions (0:26-1:44), highlighting Mackenzie’s 20+ unit season profit and Fezzik’s 21.7, while Diamond Dave Esler led with 37 units. Mackenzie (1:45-1:52) admitted frequent alignment with Fezzik's picks. RJ offered bundled picks at a discounted price. Fezzik (4:47-5:57) introduced the critical Week 18 schedule impact, noting six teams—Jets, Washington, Vegas, Pittsburgh, Carolina, Indy—may face weakened division leaders, offering betting value. RJ (5:57-6:19) supported this with Kansas City's precedent of resting players. Fezzik (7:02-7:14) warned about Saints and Jets possibly tanking due to QB issues. Scott Seidenberg (7:26-8:24) declared Kansas City’s schedule as brutal, starting in Brazil, facing the Eagles, and enduring short-week matchups against Buffalo and Baltimore. RJ (8:24-13:19) added context about KC’s fatigue from years of dense scheduling and pointed to their 11th hardest schedule overall. Fezzik (13:20-14:32) explained that by Robbie Greer’s method, the Giants had the hardest (+1.6 per game) and the 49ers the easiest (-1.4). Fezzik (16:48-20:05) outlined a strategy of betting unders on NFC teams, due to their road-heavy schedules. RJ (22:37-23:55) spotlighted the 49ers’ easiest stretch—Week 13 to 17—and New England's favorable Weeks 5-9. Scott (24:37-25:19) dissected Dallas’ post-bye stretch as brutal. RJ (25:26-26:08) showcased Cincinnati’s taxing three-game stretch against Baltimore, Buffalo, Baltimore. Betting insights included RJ (29:46-29:52) favoring Miami over Cincinnati in Week 16 and Fezzik (52:06-52:09) favoring Minnesota vs Cleveland in London. RJ (54:53-55:04) noted the 49ers’ early season is manageable but highlighted their late-season schedule as historically easy. RJ (1:24:28-1:24:44) confidently placed a best bet on 49ers over 10 wins, supported by Mackenzie. Scott (1:25:32-1:26:07) advised splitting bets on Broncos and Chargers to fade the Chiefs in AFC West. Mackenzie (1:40:21-1:41:31) warned of increased NBA playoff injuries, stating all-star absences are five times higher than 20 years ago. He and Scott (1:43:57-1:44:05) saw the Knicks as undervalued against the Pacers, projecting the Knicks as deserving stronger home court consideration than the market indicates. Throughout, RJ questioned the sustainability of the Chiefs and emphasized the 49ers’ position as strategically undervalued. The panel agreed that San Francisco remains a betting target despite roster losses, with RJ and Mackenzie noting their favorable odds across the board. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 14

-Discussing top 7 on odds board at Quail Hollow -1 matchup -2 picks to place -2 outrights added to 2 futures on card -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring, best bet Will Doctor, host of the Golf Preview Podcast, provided a comprehensive breakdown of the 107th PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, North Carolina. The event features 156 players, and the course—known for hosting the Wells Fargo Championship—is now set for its second PGA Championship. Rory McIlroy, with four wins at Quail Hollow and four victories in his last ten starts, is co-favorite at +550 alongside world number one Scottie Scheffler. McIlroy, though powerful off the tee averaging 324 yards at Philly Cricket, only hit 40% of fairways, presenting accuracy concerns. Scheffler, coming off an eight-shot victory at the Nelson, has shown flawless iron play and putting, despite never playing Quail Hollow professionally. Will Doctor endorsed Scheffler as his primary pick at +550. Justin Thomas, fourth favorite at 22-1, has been exceptional lately with two runner-ups and a win in his last four starts. His strong course history at Quail Hollow, including a 2017 PGA win, positions him as a top contender. Bryson DeChambeau, at +950, recently won at Live Korea, praised for his elite driving and improving short game, though his iron play remains a question. Doctor recommends DeChambeau for a Top 10 finish at +110 but avoids an outright pick. Sepp Straka's victory at Philly Cricket was highlighted by his 60% fairway rate, over 3.5 strokes gained on approach, and best-in-field putting performance. Shane Lowry led the field in approach but faltered with the putter, notably a costly three-putt on the 72nd hole, continuing his winless streak since 2022. Will Doctor criticized his own picks from the previous event, noting none contended, with Spieth finishing T34, Stevens T23, and Dorby Olson T54. His picks to place last week salvaged some units, including Patrick Cantlay and Tommy Fleetwood, both closing with 65s, and Andrew Novak with a final round 64 for T17. Quail Hollow, expected to play at 7,600 yards, faces wet conditions from early-week rains, likely favoring bombers and elite chippers, though greens will remain firm due to sub-air systems. The betting focus includes Justin Thomas over Jon Rahm at +117, McIlroy to Top 5 at even money, and Bryson DeChambeau to Top 10 at +110. Futures on Tyrell Hatton and Sung Jae Im have lost value, with both needing career weeks to contend, particularly Im, whose iron play has struggled all year. The DraftKings lineup features DeChambeau, Thomas, Matsuyama, Novak, Mitchell, and Norgaard, while the PGA.com lineup includes Scheffler (captain), DeChambeau, Thomas, McIlroy, with Mitchell and Novak on the bench. Keith Mitchell, known for his fast starts but inability to maintain over four rounds, is backed to Top 20 at 3-1. Doctor expects the winning score at 14 under, higher than the 8 under posted by Thomas in 2017 due to softer conditions. His best bet is DeChambeau to Top 10 at +110. He criticized the Live schedule's poor major prep, arguing it hampers players like Rahm more than DeChambeau. Finally, he acknowledged the rain's impact would likely limit firmness to Saturday only, favoring players with distance, elite iron play, and strong short games. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 13

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for Tuesday and Wednesday. The guys are hot right now and offer up some best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 13

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys also give out best bets. he MLB Tuesday Preview & Best Bets podcast hosted by Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner delivers a game-by-game analysis of the 13 MLB matchups scheduled for Tuesday. The show opens with some light NBA draft lottery banter, but the bulk of the discussion is tightly focused on baseball betting strategies, player performance, and team trends, all based on currently available betting lines. In the Brewers versus Guardians game, both hosts express doubts over Quinn Priester's reliability as the Brewers have lost four straight games he's started, providing him minimal run support. Logan Allen's control issues are acknowledged, but the Guardians are still preferred as a slight home favorite. The Twins against the Orioles matchup sees both hosts backing the Twins, riding their eight-game win streak and taking advantage of Kade Povich’s continued struggles, especially at home. Munaf suggests taking the Twins team total over due to their potent offense. For the White Sox and Reds, Griffin leans toward the Reds’ offense prevailing, noting the White Sox’s dreadful 3-17 road record. Abbott’s limited innings aren't seen as problematic due to the White Sox’s overall weaknesses. In the Cardinals and Phillies clash, Sonny Gray’s consistency and St. Louis’ bullpen strength make them an appealing underdog, with both hosts preferring an under if the total reaches eight. The Rays versus Blue Jays game highlights the collapse of Tampa Bay's pitching, with Shane Boz’s recent blowups making the Blue Jays the favored side, especially with Jose Berrios pitching steadily at home. In the Pirates versus Mets game, both see little hope for the Pirates despite a recent managerial change, with Munaf favoring the Mets run line and team total over, given Kodai Senga’s strong stats. For Nationals versus Braves, the consensus is Braves team total over, citing Soroka's vulnerability and the Braves’ offensive firepower, though bullpen concerns persist. The Marlins against Cubs matchup leans strongly toward the Cubs, with their superior offense and Ben Brown’s solid form giving them a significant edge. The Rockies versus Rangers game reflects both hosts' disdain for the Rockies' 2-17 road record, suggesting Rangers -1.5 and under 8.5 as the play, with the Arlington ballpark playing pitcher-friendly. Royals versus Astros is a more cautious game, with both acknowledging Michael Wacha's solid form and Framber Valdez’s unpredictability when a favorite, but Munaf leans Astros at -140. The Angels versus Padres game is flagged as a potential upset, with Dylan Cease expected to regress after his long no-hit bid. Both hosts side with the Angels due to the risky price on the Padres. In the Yankees versus Mariners showdown, Griffin emphasizes Brian Wu’s 11-1 home record and favors Mariners as a home underdog while also suggesting the under, citing the ballpark's suppression of runs. Finally, the Diamondbacks versus Giants game is strongly supported by both as a Giants money line play, highlighting Robbie Ray's perfect 8-0 start record for the Giants. Brentt Fott’s last strong outing against the Dodgers is considered unsustainable in the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, especially given the Giants’ ability to win division games at home. Best bets for the day are Griffin’s pick of Guardians ML at -120 and Munaf’s pick of Giants ML at -105. The overall tone reflects skepticism toward big favorites, leaning instead on undervalued home underdogs and carefully selected unders in specific matchups, especially where bullpen and venue factors suppress offense. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 12

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about players receiving threats, the Rockies ineptitude and other betting stories around Major League Baseball. In this episode of "The Inside Pitch" recorded on May 12, Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers discuss the controversy surrounding Lance McCullers Jr., his disastrous return, and the broader implications of gambling culture in MLB. McCullers, in his second start after a two-year injury hiatus, surrendered seven runs in a 10-run first inning against the Reds, registering just one out, giving up three hits, three walks, and one home run. Post-game, McCullers and his family received death threats, which Towers attributed to the toxic intersection of sports betting and fan entitlement. Towers emphasized that no athlete intentionally underperforms and that threatening players over wagers is unacceptable. Seidenberg concurred, adding that the accessibility of players via social media exacerbates the issue. McCullers expressed frustration, noting he only wants to perform for the Astros while ensuring his family's safety. Shifting focus to live betting strategies, Seidenberg recounted betting the Astros team total over 3.5 runs during the blowout, leveraging the assumption that weak bullpen arms would enter early. Towers supported this approach, explaining that such scenarios often lead to high-scoring games due to less effective relievers being used and pitchers potentially experimenting with pitches under low-pressure conditions. They dissected Brady Singer’s outing, noting he stuck to his sinker-slider mix, throwing 30 sinkers, 15 sliders, and four cutters, struggling post the 45-minute delay. The discussion broadened to emphasize that blowouts offer learning opportunities for pitchers, enabling them to test pitches in-game situations they'd avoid in tighter contests. Attention turned to the Rockies' collapse, particularly their 21-0 loss to the Padres, followed by Bud Black’s firing. Towers criticized the Rockies' misuse of pitchers, particularly exposing young arms like Blaylock to overwhelming situations, likely contributing to organizational dysfunction. Betting-wise, the Rockies were highlighted as historically profitable to fade, with 30 of their 33 losses by multiple runs and a 5-29 record in first-five innings. Seidenberg recommended automatic daily run line fades against the Rockies. Broader betting trends were analyzed, including the Mets' 29-12 first-five innings under record and the Royals' similar 30-12 mark. The Mariners surprisingly leaned to the over. The conversation shifted to player performance futures. Kyle Schwarber’s 46-game on-base streak, 14 home runs, and .404 OBP were celebrated, with Seidenberg suggesting profitable betting strategies targeting Schwarber to reach base safely in his first plate appearance using various app markets. Josh Towers and Seidenberg also agreed that Freddie Freeman’s .367 average and league-best OPS made him undervalued at +1100 for the NL MVP, criticizing how consistently elite players are often overlooked in futures markets. In Cy Young discussions, Wheeler was favored in the NL at +700 due to his 58 innings, 2.95 ERA, and 0.91 WHIP, while Skubal and Eovaldi were highlighted in the AL. Hunter Brown was noted as a legitimate contender, given his cleaned-up mechanics and plus stuff. The Rookie of the Year race saw Jacob Wilson as AL favorite, while Luis Angel Acuna led the NL despite modest power numbers, with Towers skeptical of his long-term viability. They concluded by discussing rookie dark horses and emphasized the difficulty pitchers face sustaining excellence across a full season, all while promoting Pregame.com’s latest offers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 9

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner go through the entire MLB Friday betting card. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 9

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for Friday and Saturday. 🎯 Conclusion In a spirited and analytical exchange, Munaf and Mackenzie unpack the drama of the 2025 NBA Playoffs. The Celtics struggle despite statistical dominance, while the Knicks capitalize on late-game composure. The Cavs face serious injury woes, giving Indiana an edge. Oklahoma City looks mature beyond their years, asserting dominance over the defending champion Nuggets. Meanwhile, the Warriors aim to survive without Steph Curry, but their championship pedigree and Jimmy Butler’s leadership offer hope. Betting-wise, both hosts agree: Celtics in Game 3 and Knicks team total under are smart plays, while cautious optimism surrounds the Warriors if Curry returns for Game 4. 🏀 Celtics' Late Game Collapse : Despite dominating most of the game, Boston has suffered two fourth-quarter meltdowns, attributed to poor shot selection and crowd pressure (3:12–7:36). 📉 Knicks 4Q Dominance : With a +51.2 net rating in 4th quarters, New York’s defense and clutch play—highlighted by Mikal Bridges’ stops—have flipped the series narrative (7:36–9:37). 💥 Boston’s Home vs. Road Split : Celtics are stronger away (22–9) than at home (23–16), possibly due to crowd pressure and racial tensions in Boston (3:12–7:36, 49:24–53:12). 📊 Cavs Shooting Slump : Cleveland’s Game 1 and 2 ranked among their worst shooting nights of the season, highlighting their vulnerability without Mobley, Garland, and Hunter (13:20–15:57). ⚡ Indiana’s Consistency : Pacers are maintaining fast pace and elite 4th quarter defense, thriving despite Cleveland’s presumed superior roster (15:57–19:08). 🔥 Thunder’s Ascent : OKC dismantled the Nuggets with 149 points in Game 2, showing maturity and depth. They are now betting favorites to win the title at +130 (19:08–21:16). 🔍 Jokic’s Burden : Jokic must carry Denver both offensively and defensively, with little help when facing elite defenders like Dort and Holmgren (43:18–46:42). 🧠 Warriors’ Resilience : Despite Curry’s injury, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, and Jimmy Butler’s leadership inspire hope. Betting value lies in Warriors at +160 (28:17–34:49). 📉 Celtics ATS Trends : 16–6 ATS off a loss in playoffs; Celtics often bounce back defensively, suggesting Knicks team total under 99.5 is strong bet (54:42–56:07). 💸 Betting Picks : Best bets include Celtics -5 and Knicks team total under 99.5 for Game 3; lean to Pacers +3 and under 233.5 in OKC-Den game (38:12–43:18). Intro and Playoff Excitement (0:09–1:04): Munaf sets the stage for a wild playoff ride and introduces Mackenzie as the go-to NBA expert. Playoff Quality Debate (1:05–1:32): Mack questions if exciting finishes mask poor play; both agree it's not the best basketball. Celtics-Knicks Breakdown (1:33–7:36): Celtics collapse despite leads, missing 14 straight shots in Game 2. Knicks get credit for clutch defense, especially Bridges. Fourth Quarter Metrics (7:36–9:37): Knicks have an insane +51.2 net rating in Q4; their defense is elite, while Celtics falter in clutch. Series Odds Debate (9:37–11:39): Despite being down 0-2, Boston still favored slightly. Mack uses binomial distribution to argue Celtics still have edge. Knicks Depth vs. Boston Regression (11:39–13:19): Role players shine at home; Knicks haven’t peaked yet offensively. Cavs-Pacers Health Issues (13:20–15:57): Cleveland missing Mobley, Garland, Hunter; poor shooting exacerbates issues. Indiana’s Identity & Edge (15:57–19:08): Pacers' pace and 4Q net rating rank top-5; they're capitalizing on Cleveland's woes. Thunder Blowout Analysis (19:08–21:16): OKC validated by 149-point game; Jokic can’t do it alone. Steph Curry’s Injury Impact (22:29–28:17): Estimated as a 6-point line impact; market could shift significantly if he returns earlier than expected. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 8

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL trades and NBA playoffs this week. The guys are gearing up for the NFL schedule release and much more. 🎯 Conclusion RJ Bell and team offered sharp betting insights, statistical breakdowns, and humorous banter, focusing on NFL draft value and NBA playoff oddities. The panel agreed that Pittsburgh handled the George Pickens trade shrewdly by getting more value than expected, despite timing concerns. On the NBA front, a historic streak of road underdog wins has defined the second round, challenging long-standing beliefs about home-court advantage and playoff pressure. The Celtics' shooting woes and strategic rigidity have cost them dearly against the Knicks, while OKC's strength despite a Game 1 collapse was highlighted. Steph Curry’s injury impacts the Warriors’ odds substantially. Boston remains the favorite to bounce back based on statistical modeling, despite being down 0-2. 📉 George Pickens Trade : Traded to Cowboys for a 2026 3rd-round pick; Steelers gain slight value in draft capital (19:30–21:32). 📊 Draft Value Math : Using Jimmy Johnson and updated charts, Pickens' current estimated redraft value (~25th pick) was worth ~265 points; Steelers got ~450 value (20:43–21:32). 🧠 Tomlin vs. Pickens Behavior : Despite his talent, Pickens' maturity issues led Pittsburgh to deal him, believing the return justified the risk offload (12:08–14:12). 📉 Team WR Strategy : Steelers consistently draft talented WRs with red flags, benefit early, then trade them pre-extension (15:27–18:41). 🔍 Series Price Analysis : Boston was -800 pre-series vs. Knicks and now even money down 0-2; rare statistical territory (51:15–52:03). 🔥 NBA Underdog Run : 7 consecutive road dog wins; all Game 1s in Round 2 won by road teams – first in 25+ years (25:40–26:31). 🧮 Pacers Clutch Dominance : Biggest gap between regular net rating and clutch performance; #1 in late-game efficiency (35:13–35:48). 📉 Boston’s 3PT Woes : Missed 45 threes in Game 1, 30 in Game 2; yet lost by 3 and 1, respectively (52:47–54:06). 📈 Betting Strategy : Zigzag pattern (betting prior game losers) is 25-13-1 ATS this playoffs; first-half lines adjusting accordingly (47:13–47:34). 🤕 Curry Injury Impact : With Curry out 3 games, Timberwolves shift from -175 to -185 in series despite losing Game 1 (1:14:04–1:14:21). Opening Notes and Best Bets : RJ praises Mackenzie’s research and offers promotions. Fezzik and Mackenzie give early best bets. Timberwolves series pick becomes Mackenzie’s official bet (0:05–0:47). Handicappers’ Performances : Shaker, Esler, and Fezzik highlight strong baseball and NBA records. Promotions include full-year picks (0:48–4:24). Secretariat Horse Race Talk : Engaging diversion into Secretariat's historic Belmont win and horse-racing analogies (2:28–4:32). Pickens Trade Breakdown : Steelers trade WR Pickens to Cowboys. RJ and panel dissect trade values and Steelers' WR draft history (8:49–22:31). NFL Rest Schedule Impact : Discusses how rest days and bye-week opponents influence full-season rather than single-game outcomes (24:06–25:39). NBA Road Dogs & Series Surprises : Thunder’s Game 2 win caps seven straight road dog victories. Unprecedented all-road team Game 1 wins in Round 2 (25:40–26:31). Cleveland vs. Pacers Breakdown : Injuries to Garland and Mobley hurt Cavs. Pacers excel in clutch. Mackenzie argues for continued Pacers value (32:40–37:29). Celtics’ Struggles vs Knicks : Boston down 0-2 despite high-quality shots. Missed threes, underwhelming home performance. Historical rarity (52:03–55:38). Betting Market Adjustments : Lines largely unchanged despite injuries and upsets, implying lingering belief in favorites. Fezzik calls Boston series win best bet (1:03:13–1:04:07). Western Conference Futures : Without Curry, Minnesota becomes series favorite. Market still favors favorites despite underdog success rate (1:14:04–1:17:47). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 7

Will Doctor gets you ready for this weeks big golf event. Will goes through the odds board and offers up plenty of picks for this weeks signature PGA Tour event. Follow Will Doctor for the sharpest picks and best inside golf 🔑 Key Points 📌 Signature Event Critique: Will calls for expanding signature fields from 70 to 120 players and reinstating Friday cuts for more competitive drama. 📌 Course Layout: Wissahickon is 7,100 yards, par 70, featuring 118 bunkers and nine short par 4s—precision over power is key. 📌 Scheffler Dominance: Scotty Scheffler’s 31-under win at the Nelson set a tournament and PGA scoring record, gaining over 23 strokes tee-to-green. 📌 McIlroy Watch: Skipping McIlroy at +550 due to low odds and inconsistent tee shots, despite favorable soft course conditions. 📌 Morikawa Troubles: Out on Morikawa due to poor putting, short game struggles, and recent lack of clutch scoring. 📌 Oberg Analysis: At 18-1, the Swede shows promise on bentgrass but lacks elite approach metrics, especially under 100 yards. 📌 Thomas & Cantlay Caution: JT’s poor bentgrass record and Cantlay’s short game woes raise red flags, though both have strong wedge and tee stats. 📌 Top Picks: Jordan Spieth (35-1), Sam Stevens (125-1), and Michael Thorbjornsen (165-1) backed for outrights based on recent form and course fit. 📌 Sleeper Pick: Eric Cole to top 20 at +250 based on sharp iron play, bentgrass prowess, and recent accuracy uptick. 📌 Best Bet: Andrew Novak to top 20 at +160—praised for wedge play and strong putting on bentgrass greens. 📚 Summary [1:04–1:17] Opening Remarks – Will Doctor Will opens the podcast introducing Week 19 at the Truist Championship with high energy and an emphasis on informed PGA picks. [1:30–6:00] Signature Event Limitations Will critiques the limited 70-man field, suggesting it robs fans of the excitement from Friday cuts and excludes deserving recent winners like Carl Phillips, Nico Echeverria, and Johnny Vegas. [6:01–10:00] Scheffler Recap Scheffler's 31-under at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson was historic. Will skipped betting on him at 3-1, but he praised Scheffler’s dominance, especially tee-to-green. [10:01–13:00] Betting Review & Loss Summary A 1-unit loss in Week 18 despite Jaeger (top 10 after R1) cashing at 4-1. Other bets including Cam Davis and Rosenmuller underperformed. [13:01–17:00] Course Breakdown – Wissahickon Course is short but tricky, with small greens and 118 bunkers. Requires precise tee placement and strong wedge play. [17:01–26:00] Favorite Player Analysis McIlroy: Avoiding him at +550. Course conditions help, but form inconsistency is a concern. Morikawa: Poor putting and short game make him unreliable. Oberg: Excellent bentgrass putter, but shaky approach stats. Thomas: Great wedges but erratic driver and poor bentgrass history. [26:01–35:00] Mid-Tier Contenders Cantlay: Putting and iron play solid, but short game off—still a top-10 pick. Schauffele: Elite approach but weak wedges and putting—passed on at 20-1. Fleetwood: Accurate, great wedge/putter. Backed for top-10 at +188. [35:01–42:00] Outright Picks Jordan Spieth (35-1): Complete game peaking, strong bentgrass form. Sam Stevens (125-1): Excellent putter, rising iron play. Michael Thorby Olson (165-1): Three strong finishes recently, veteran caddie help. [42:01–45:00] Sleeper & Lineups Sleeper: Eric Cole (). Iron play and bentgrass stats impressive. DraftKings & PGA.com Lineups: Core includes Spieth, Fleetwood, Stevens, Novak, Cole, and Thorby Olson. [45:01–46:41] Score Prediction & Best Bet Winning score predicted at 19-under. Best bet: Andrew Novak to top 20 at +160 for his elite wedge play and bentgrass putting. information weekly @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 6

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys cover all the games an give out best bets. 📋 MLB Tuesday Preview: Detailed Game Breakdown and Betting Insights Hosts : Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner Recording Date : Monday Night (for Tuesday’s MLB slate) Source : [RJ Bell's Dream Preview – MLB Edition] Munaf Manji welcomes listeners and sets the stage for a packed MLB Tuesday betting preview, noting some pitching matchups still undecided. Griffin Warner celebrates a recent best bet win, evening his record at 5–5. Munaf is currently 7–4 on the season. Griffin reflects on their recent run: 7–1 over the last four episodes (88%). Pitching Matchup : Tony Gonsolin (LAD) vs. Cal Quantrill (MIA) Money Line : Dodgers -260 / Marlins +231 Total : 9 with heavy VIG on the over Analysis : Gonsolin returns from injury (Tommy John), having gone 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 K in his last start (also vs. Marlins). Quantrill allowed 4 ER in 3.2 IP vs. Dodgers in his last outing. Lifetime vs. LAD: 1–7, 8.22 ERA (9 appearances). Dodgers expected to rake against Quantrill. Key Player Note : Dodgers’ Tommy Edman on IL (8 HR, 24 RBI pre-injury). Recommendation : Target Dodgers team total or full game over (9 or 9.5). Pitching Matchup : Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) vs. Lucas Giolito (BOS) Money Line : Rangers -116 / Red Sox +105 Total : 9 Eovaldi : 12 IP, 1 ER, 15 K, 1 BB over last two starts Dominant vs. LAD: 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 K Former Red Sox pitcher; familiarity with Fenway noted Giolito : Coming off injury; throwing only 91 mph Labeled a liability unless changeup is elite Red Sox broadcast hyped his return, but skepticism remains Griffin’s Take : Rangers suspect on offense (fired hitting coaches, waived Leody Taveras) Giolito's recent performance isn’t promising Leans : Red Sox as underdog or over Munaf’s Bet : Rangers 1st five innings money line Pitching Matchup : Zach Wheeler (PHI) vs. Drew Rasmussen (TB) Money Line : Phillies -116 / Rays +105 Total : 8 Zach Wheeler : Has allowed 2+ ER in every start after his opener Drew Rasmussen : Poor run support; team lost 4 of last 5 starts Insights : Phillies offense sluggish early Both teams may lean on bullpens Recommended Bet : Under 8 or 1st five under 4 Pitching Matchup : Michael King (SD) vs. Clark Schmidt (NYY) Money Line : Padres -109 / Yankees -101 Total : 8–8.5 Michael King : Former Yankee, familiar with stadium 3 ER over last 4 starts; includes CG shutout vs. Rockies Clark Schmidt : Moved from weekend start; less favorable matchup Questionable bullpen support for Yankees Recommendation : Munaf’s Best Bet : Padres money line (King’s form and Yankee familiarity) Pitching Matchup : Andrew Abbott (CIN) vs. Chris Sale (ATL) Money Line : Braves -212 / Reds +190 Total : 8 Key Points : Braves offense still underperforming; Acuña out Chris Sale: Solid at home; 10 K in last start vs. Rockies Abbott: Recent short starts (4 IP), Reds’ offense weak Bets Suggested : Over 8, Braves team total, or 1st 5 over Pitching Matchup : Justin Verlander (SF) vs. Colin Rea (CHC) Money Line : Cubs -140 / Giants +127 Total : TBD (pending Wrigley wind) Verlander : Last 3 starts: 6 IP each, 4 ER total, 4–6 K per game Rea : Career vs. SF: 1–3, 8.57 ERA Last start vs. SF: 4 IP, 10 ER Griffin’s View : Cubs’ offense strong; Pete Crow-Armstrong hot Giants' bullpen more reliable Pick : Giants money line +127 (Verlander advantage) Pitching Matchup : Sean Burke (CWS) vs. Seth Lugo (KC) Money Line : Royals -220 / White Sox +197 Total : 8.5 🎙️ 0:09–1:39 | Show Introduction and Betting Record Recap⚾ 1:39–6:05 | Dodgers @ Marlins⚾ 6:07–11:30 | Rangers @ Red Sox⚾ 11:31–15:53 | Phillies @ Rays⚾ 15:54–19:26 | Padres @ Yankees⚾ 19:26–23:17 | Reds @ Braves⚾ 23:17–27:05 | Giants @ Cubs⚾ 28:04–31:04 | White Sox @ Royals Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 5

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the hottest teams in Baseball and scour the stats to find BEST BETS for tonight and beyond! 🧠 Key Points & Insights ⚾ Dodgers' Record : 23-11, top in MLB despite a Sunday night loss. Austin Riley’s two homers were decisive. 📈 Tigers' Run Differential : 13-3 at home, 22-13 overall. Managed by A.J. Hinch, praised for non-analytic, intuitive leadership. 📊 Player OPS Standouts : Torkelson (0.889), Carpenter (0.870), Baez (0.829), Torres (0.826), Greene (0.808). 🎯 Aaron Judge Triple Crown Watch : .423 AVG, tied for MLB RBI lead (33), 2nd in HR (11). Odds: +145 to win Triple Crown. 🏅 Alonso's MVP Campaign : 13 doubles, 344 AVG, 31 RBIs. Odds: +650. Noted shift in hitting approach improving contact. 📉 Soto's Output : Criticized as underperforming with repeated mentions of uncapitalized hard contact (113.4 mph EV). 🧮 Pitching Metrics : Yamamoto praised for 2.45 xERA, elite ground ball % (15th). Brown with 1.67 ERA, expected to regress. 🔢 Weather Impact : Wind and ballpark geometry (like Yankee Stadium) analyzed for home run probability adjustments. 📉 Betting Trends : Mondays yield 60.8% overs; best home teams: Dodgers (15-3), Mets (13-3), Tigers (13-3). 🎲 Best Bets Summary : Preferred Nerfys: Yankees-Padres, Cards-Pirates, Royals-White Sox. Fade Dodgers (bullpen day) after SNB. Summary Breakdown Intro & Dodgers Discussion (0:02–1:44) Seidenberg and Towers open with Cinco de Mayo reflections, pivoting to Dodgers' recent form. Dodgers: 23-11 record, top in MLB. Padres (22-11) and Giants (22-13) also praised. Detroit Tigers Rise (1:45–4:07) Towers praises Javi Baez’s resurgence (near-.300 AVG), OPS leaders include Torkelson and Carpenter. Pitching: Skubal (dominant), Mize (5-1), Flaherty (solid). Closer Tommy Kahnle: 1 ER in 12.2 IP, 5 saves. Cardinals & Central Teams (4:56–6:38) Cardinals swept 2 DHs but sit under .500; skepticism remains due to weak pitching and trade rumors (Nolan). Cubs seen as leaders; Reds potential dark horse with Francona mentioned as MoY candidate. Manager of the Year Futures (6:47–8:00) Hinch: AL favorite (+180), Council NL favorite (+160), Francona (+950). Towers values Hinch's preparation and "winning culture" ethos. Judge Triple Crown Analysis (10:05–13:34) Judge: 55/130 (.423); even 0-for-50 slump yields .306 AVG. Recalled near-miss in 2024, faded due to playoff pressure. Compared to Cabrera’s 2012 campaign; lauded for consistent mechanics and mentality. Pete Alonso: MVP Candidacy (17:06–20:26) Alonso’s evolution from HR-focused to gap-to-gap hitter detailed. 344 AVG, 31 RBIs, only 8 HRs; significant reduction in K rate. Towers applauds offseason work and underdog mindset. Soto’s Performance Breakdown (22:48–26:18) Two near-HRs vs. wall in last game; 113.4 EV, robbed once. Needs to stay back and use opposite field. Ex-Yankee Stadium habits analyzed as possible cause of pull-happy tendencies. Advanced Stats: wOBA and xBA (26:18–30:31) Overperformers: Baez (0.364 wOBA vs. 0.294 xwOBA). Underperformers: Salvy Perez (.294 → .412 xwOBA), Andrew Vaughn (expected to rise). Torres, Peterson noted for looming correction. Pitcher Evaluations (31:13–34:38) Hunter Brown: 1.67 ERA, 3.02 xERA, minimal HRs. Yamamoto: 2.45 xERA, elite command; likened to Van Gogh. Logan Webb, Tim Hill, and Seawald discussed for GB/FB tendencies. Betting Angles and Nerfy Focus (40:00–59:13) Monday = best over day (60.8%), Friday next; Wednesday = top under day. Dodgers fade after SNB recommended; under 5.5 team total. Top Nerfy plays: Yankees-Padres, Cardinals-Pirates, White Sox-Royals. Ryan Nelson’s volatility noted; avoided Nerfy on Mets game despite Griffin Canning’s strong record. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 5

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers get you up to speed with the NBA playoffs. The guys discuss the games on the Monday and Tuesday NBA playoff betting card. Best bets as always. NBA Monday–Tuesday Preview: Summary of Key Matchups & Bets In this episode, Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers preview the NBA conference semifinals, focusing on team trends, betting lines, and playoff adjustments. They analyze Knicks vs. Celtics, Nuggets vs. Thunder, Pacers vs. Cavs, and Warriors vs. Timberwolves, offering stats, predictions, and best bets, all while integrating injury updates and historical playoff data. 🟩 Knicks vs. Celtics Celtics are -800 favorites; swept Knicks 4–0 in regular season (3–1 ATS). Boston scored 118+ in all meetings; 3/4 went Over the total. Knicks too dependent on Jalen Brunson, who dominated 4th quarters. Munaf's concern : Knicks lack consistent secondary scorers like Towns or Anunoby. Total of 213 deemed too low given past matchups—both analysts prefer the Over. Betting angle : Knicks +9 and Over 213 (Munaf’s best bet: 1H Over 109). 🟦 Nuggets vs. Thunder Thunder are -700 series favorites; regular season was 2–2 (ATS & O/U). Mack says OKC’s defense & rest (8 days) give them a huge Game 1 edge. Historical stat: Teams off sweep vs. Game 7 foes = 12–3 ATS since 2002. Jokic needs historic effort (40+ points/game) to give Denver a chance. Caruso named best defender per EPM, anchors OKC’s perimeter defense. Thunder’s balance & defensive discipline suggest a potential quick series. Best bet (Mack) : SGA to win WCF MVP at -165—called “an insult” to his value. 🟨 Pacers vs. Cavs Pacers stole Game 1; Cavs now -210 favorites to win series. Cavs shot 9/38 from 3 , Mitchell went 1/11, Mobley passive (13 FGA). Garland’s toe injury limits offense—Mobley & Allen must dominate inside. Pacers’ system under Carlisle praised for pace & unselfish scoring. Regular season: Pacers won 4/5 meetings, Cavs 3–2 O/U. Munaf & Mack lean Pacers +9.5 and Over team total in Game 2. 🟥 Warriors vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves are -175 favorites; Warriors +154 to win series. GSW won 3 of 4 regular season games (3–1 ATS); 2–2 O/U. Mack says Warriors’ structured offense matches well vs. Wolves’ randomness. Anthony Edwards is dynamic but needs consistent help. Suggestion: Wait until after Game 1 to bet GSW at better odds (e.g., +370 after loss). Warriors' net rating post-All-Star = 3rd , behind only Celtics & Thunder. 🎯 Player Rankings (Best, Not Line Value) Jokic SGA Giannis Luka Tatum/Curry (tie) Final Insights Celtics & Thunder are deep, rested, and favored. Knicks, Nuggets need star turns from Brunson/Jokic. Pacers’ system and shooting create real upset potential. Warriors could exploit Timberwolves’ inexperience and make another deep run. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 2

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner get you set for this weekends MLB betting. We kick things off with the Friday games and offer up best bets. On the May 2 episode of RJ Bell's Dream Preview MLB Podcast, hosts Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner deliver sharp, stats-backed insights across the full Friday MLB slate. With Griffin riding a six-podcast win streak and Munaf at a 7–3 record on the season, both bring analytical edge to betting lines, pitching matchups, and team trends. They begin with Nationals vs. Reds, with Griffin skeptical of Cincinnati’s high price (-161) and backing underdog Mitchell Parker (+146) despite his weak fielding. Munaf notes the Nationals have won four of his five starts. Next is Padres at Pirates. Cease hasn’t pitched six innings since early April, and Keller’s inconsistency leads both hosts to favor the Pirates at +142. Diamondbacks vs. Phillies features Jesus Luzardo (1.73 ERA) facing Merrill Kelly. Due to Arizona’s bullpen injuries and Philly’s undervalued pitching, Griffin names Phillies -142 his best bet. In Royals vs. Orioles, Wacha faces off against Kremer, who’s allowed 5 ER in his last two starts. Still, doubts about Kansas City’s offense tip the scale toward Baltimore. Yankees (-235) host the Rays with Max Fried on the mound. Fried boasts a career 0.42 ERA vs. Tampa. The hosts avoid fading him. Guardians visit the Blue Jays, where Chris Bassitt has allowed only 1 ER in 11 home innings. Logan Allen struggled defensively last game. Munaf leans Jays in the first five. Twins vs. Red Sox offers value on Boston at -103. Griffin questions Joe Ryan's volatility and trusts Bello’s recent support. For A’s-Marlins, the A’s are road favorites behind debuting Gunnar Hoglund. Griffin calls this mispriced, siding with Miami (+123). Dodgers and Yamamoto face Braves, with Yamamoto holding a 1.06 ERA. Despite a steep -172 price, Munaf backs L.A., while Griffin questions Braves' rare underdog status. In Astros vs. White Sox, Framber Valdez faces Jonathan Cannon. Given inconsistent Astros bats and Cannon’s walk rate, Munaf avoids the -235 price. Griffin leans under. Mariners at Rangers features Brian Wu vs. Jack Leiter. With Texas 15-2 to the under at home, Munaf’s best bet is under 8.5. Griffin leans Rangers as a home dog. Cubs vs. Brewers sees Ben Brown against Quinn Priester. Despite Brown’s strikeout potential, Griffin and Munaf both back the Brewers at plus money due to home-field motivation. For Mets vs. Cardinals, Clay Holmes faces Sonny Gray, who has dominated at home. Munaf backs the Cardinals citing Gray’s form. In Tigers vs. Angels, Skubal dominates and Trout’s IL status hurts L.A. Munaf recommends Tigers via moneyline or run line. Lastly, Giants host Rockies with Robbie Ray on the mound. Ray’s teams are 6-0 in his starts, but Griffin finds -280 too steep and suggests a Rockies run line. Munaf agrees on targeting Giants team total. Griffin’s best bet: Phillies -142. Munaf’s: Mariners vs. Rangers under 8.5. The show closes encouraging listeners to shop lines, list pitchers, and monitor late moves, all key in chasing sharp MLB edges. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

May 1

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things sports this week. The guys discuss the NFL Draft and the aftermath of the Shedeur Sanders draft slide. Plus, the guys talk NBA Playoffs and offer up some best bets. 📚 Summary (Resumen) Intro Banter (0:00–3:01) RJ Bell opens with light-hearted ribbing and promotional offers. Steve Fezzik highlights his 31-unit gain and current 9–0 NBA streak; Mackenzie boasts an 11–3 run. Shadour Sanders Draft Debate Begins (8:08–13:00) Scott Seidenberg tweets Sanders wasn’t first-round worthy due to slow throws and being most sacked. Fezzik challenges his retroactive critique, calling it “past posting.” NFL Mock Draft Accuracy & Betting Angles (13:00–15:07) RJ notes top 25 mock drafters had Sanders as a top-40 pick. Fezzik critiques missed betting chances on QBs over/under 2.5. Scott reveals a Jackson Dart bet at +200 cashed. Fezzik Acknowledges Draft Shift (15:08–16:45) Fezzik admits he panicked late and told Scott to remove a Shadour bet due to falling stock. RJ insists no expert forecasted a fifth-round fall, making it unprecedented. Deion Sanders’ Influence & Team Culture (17:26–20:13) Scott speculates Deion’s presence scared staff from honest feedback. RJ challenges the notion that positive feedback equals manipulation. Backup QB Market Dynamics (23:29–30:03) RJ compares Shadour to Tebow and Kaepernick—talented but media-heavy backups rarely stick. Fezzik insists backup QBs must be humble, not celebrity personalities. Fezzik’s Browns Betting Take (33:10–34:50) Fezzik targets Cleveland to fade late season due to expected QB shuffling, despite Flacco and Pickett competition. NFL Draft Capital Evaluation (45:31–48:15) Mackenzie explains 6.3x value difference between pick 21 and pick 166, contextualizing Sanders’ drop using updated Jimmy Johnson trade chart. NBA Playoffs & Betting Correlations (55:42–1:20:25) Ratings at 25-year highs; reasons include competitive teams and fewer foul calls. RJ introduces a correlation model predicting totals based on line moves and prior game totals. Game 6 Clippers-Nuggets Pick (1:20:25–1:32:06) RJ advocates OVER due to statistical model (21–6 in similar conditions), tempered by Fezzik noting earlier games in LA were low scoring, shifting it to a “light best bet.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 30

Will Doctor gets you ready for this weeks CJ Cup Byron nelson with his insight and picks. -Discussing top 8 on odds board -1 matchup -1 t20, 1 t40 -2 outrights (100/1 & 270/1) -Sleeper, FRL, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 29

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys also give out best bets. The MLB Gambling Podcast’s latest episode hosted by Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner delivers a detailed Tuesday betting preview based purely on pitching matchups, team trends, and recent performance statistics. Munaf and Griffin open the show with excitement following a strong 2-0 performance in their previous picks and aim to extend their hot streak. They begin by analyzing the AL Central battle between the Twins and Guardians, with a cautious lean toward the under 8 runs given Chris Paddack’s improved recent starts and Tanner Bibee’s historical success against the Twins. They then move to the Yankees vs Orioles matchup, noting vulnerabilities with Carlos Rodón’s road performances and Kyle Gibson’s questionable season debut, leading to a preference for betting the over 9.5 runs. Griffin stresses the decline of Cleveland’s Emmanuel Clase as closer and the potential rise of Cade Smith. Munaf continues by previewing Cardinals vs Reds, highlighting Myles Mikolas’ dreadful history against Cincinnati, pushing both hosts to recommend overs for both the first five innings and full game totals. The discussion moves to Nationals vs Phillies, where Mackenzie Gore’s dominance over Philadelphia’s lefty-heavy lineup is emphasized, making a strong case for a first five innings under. In Royals vs Rays, Michael Lorenzen's overachieving start and Todd Bradley’s homerun struggles lead the team to back the Royals as live road underdogs. When analyzing the Red Sox vs Blue Jays game, Griffin points out the absurd 110-pitch outing by Garrett Crochet and supports the Blue Jays as a home underdog while favoring the under 7.5 total. Attention then shifts to Diamondbacks vs Mets, where Arizona’s bullpen injuries cause concern and Munaf and Griffin favor the Mets at -136 along with a lean toward the game going over 8.5 runs. Freddy Peralta’s inability to pitch deep into games and the uncertainty surrounding Bryce Wilson's starting role lead to a mixed, cautious view on Brewers vs White Sox betting opportunities. Reese Olson’s excellent performances and Ryan Gusto’s surprisingly solid outings prompt a lean toward the under 7.5 in the Tigers vs Astros matchup. In Braves vs Rockies, the duo highlights Herman Marquez’s recent collapse and backs the Braves confidently on the run line, with a side of team total overs. Padres vs Giants analysis reveals preference for the Padres as slight home underdogs behind Nick Pivetta’s hot streak, despite Logan Webb’s steadiness. An under 7 is preferred in this pitcher’s duel. The final game between Mariners and Angels leads to a discussion about Bryce Miller’s control issues but favorable pitching environment in Seattle’s T-Mobile Park, leading both hosts to lean toward under 8 runs. The show wraps up with brief comments about Sandy Alcantara possibly auditioning against the Dodgers for a future trade and a reminder of ERA10 promo code benefits for listeners. Griffin’s best bet locks in on the Mets moneyline while Munaf targets the Yankees and Orioles game to go over 9.5 runs. Throughout the episode, Munaf and Griffin emphasize bullpen health, pitcher-specific matchup trends, weather conditions, and momentum as the critical factors influencing Tuesday's betting edges. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 29

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for Tuesday and Wednesday. The guys have been on a roll and offer up best bets. The "NBA Dream Pod Tuesday + Best Bets" episode, hosted by Munaf Manji with Mackenzie Rivers, provided a detailed breakdown of the NBA playoff matchups for Tuesday and early Wednesday. The show opened with Munaf introducing the focus on games involving teams trying to avoid elimination, notably the Celtics, Knicks, Bucks, and Lakers. Mackenzie explained historical playoff patterns, emphasizing how two-seeds facing a 1-2 deficit have managed a comeback 28% of the time, offering statistical hope for teams like the Rockets. A significant portion of the conversation centered around the Boston Celtics versus Orlando Magic series. Munaf outlined Boston’s injury concerns, including Jason Tatum’s return and Jalen Brown’s dislocated finger. Mackenzie highlighted how Orlando’s offense had improved post-All-Star break, moving from 17th to 12th among playoff teams. They agreed that closeout games historically hit the under 55.6% of the time, suggesting a lean toward the under for the total, while both backed Boston to cover the large spread at home. The New York Knicks were another major topic. Mackenzie argued that despite negative media narratives, the Knicks had validated their playoff favoritism with Jalen Brunson leading the way. He praised Brunson’s transformation into a consistent playoff performer and criticized market overreactions that downgraded New York despite a 3-1 series lead. Both Mackenzie and Munaf saw clear value in betting Knicks -5.5 against the Pistons. The show then shifted to the Milwaukee Bucks' struggles. Mackenzie dissected Milwaukee’s systemic issues, pointing to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s gaudy stats lacking meaningful impact within a flawed offensive system. With Damian Lillard suffering a torn Achilles, the Bucks' outlook grew even grimmer. Munaf labeled the situation a “dream crusher” and forecasted a bleak future for Milwaukee unless major changes occur. Both hosts leaned toward the Pacers not only to cover but to dominate Game 5, suggesting Pacers -7.5 and the Pacers' team total over 114.5. Attention then turned to the Clippers vs Nuggets series. After a dramatic Game 4, where the Clippers nearly erased a 20-point deficit, Mackenzie acknowledged his pre-series Clippers bets but now found value on the Nuggets due to an over-adjusted market. Both hosts respected Denver’s championship heart but leaned slightly toward the Clippers for Game 5, impressed by Ty Lue's adjustments and the team’s resilience even without Russell Westbrook, who might return. The conversation naturally flowed into the Lakers vs Timberwolves series. Mackenzie critiqued the Lakers' reliance on "random basketball," lacking structured offensive schemes in crunch time. He praised Anthony Edwards’ fearless, Iverson-like performances, noting Minnesota’s +36 fourth-quarter margin across four games. Although he recognized that playoff situational dynamics might favor the Lakers in Game 5, Mackenzie still rated the Timberwolves as the superior team overall. Munaf agreed, suggesting live-betting Minnesota if the Lakers led after three quarters and favoring the under on total points. Toward the end, Munaf and Mackenzie each gave their best bets: Knicks -5.5 and Celtics -11 respectively. They reflected on which team down 3-1 had the best comeback chance, settling on the Lakers because of LeBron James' and Luka Doncic’s individual brilliance despite their flawed team dynamics. They closed the episode optimistically, hoping their sharp betting angles would continue delivering winners for listeners throughout the NBA playoffs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 28

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the top stories around Major League Baseball with betting leans for this week and beyond. The Inside Pitch, recorded April 28 with Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers, reviews MLB standings and focuses on Yankees bullpen changes. Devin Williams lost the closer role after posting an 11.25 ERA, allowing 12 runs, 12 hits, and 7 walks in just 8 innings. Towers attributes Williams’ struggles to mental weakness under New York pressure rather than mechanics, noting his strikeout rate dropped to 18.2% and sweet spot contact rose to 42.9%. Luke Weaver, who has thrown 14 scoreless innings with only 3 hits allowed and 14 strikeouts, steps in as closer. Weaver's mindset and adaptability were praised. The discussion predicts Williams could struggle further when used earlier in games to rebuild confidence. The Orioles are highlighted as the best "over" team at home due to poor pitching, favoring the over nine-and-a-half total in the Yankees-Orioles matchup. Conversely, an under nine bet is favored in the Rangers-Athletics game, citing solid pitching from Patrick Corbin and JP Sears. Gunnar Henderson’s slump is analyzed: batting .220 with a 29.1% strikeout rate and minimal walks, attributed to over-aggression. Team evaluations followed: the Yankees and Red Sox are considered legitimate, Tampa Bay consistent but streaky, while skepticism is directed at the Blue Jays and Orioles sustaining competitiveness. In the AL Central, the Tigers are viewed as legitimate division contenders, with the Royals better than their record suggests. Towers criticizes the MLB’s reduced minor leagues for worsening player development and opposes expansion. Aaron Judge’s performance is lauded as historically elite with a 13.7 WAR across the last year, comparable to Babe Ruth’s best seasons. Judge’s discipline at the plate and patience are credited for his continued dominance. In the NL East, the Mets' excellent pitching and 12–1 home record establish them as serious contenders. Towers expects the Braves to rebound and questions the Phillies’ consistency due to defensive lapses. In the Central, the Cubs are seen as overperforming, while Cincinnati, led by an improving Elly De La Cruz, is a value pick. Further analysis highlights Judge’s league-best weighted runs created plus and criticizes the Dodgers’ injury problems, blaming organizational changes to pitching mechanics. The Padres and Mariners are praised for pitching but have offensive concerns; the Rangers are expected to surge in the AL West. Award discussions follow: Aaron Judge and Pete Alonso are MVP favorites, Tariq Skubal and Logan Webb are Cy Young contenders. Top prospects like Roman Anthony and Jack Caglione are discussed cautiously, with Towers warning that MLB’s fast-tracking approach harms long-term player development. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 25

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for this weekend. The guys cover the Friday games and discuss this weekends action. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 25

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for Friday. Mack and Munaf also discuss other games on this weekends slate. The NBA Playoffs are in full swing, and this weekend’s slate offers critical matchups packed with betting potential. The Boston Celtics face the Orlando Magic with star Jason Tatum listed as doubtful and Jrue Holiday questionable, shifting the balance as the series moves to Florida. Despite the Celtics leading 2-0, Orlando’s strong home ATS record contrasts sharply with their struggles as home underdogs, and betting attention turns to the low total line of 197.5, which sharp bettors see as an opportunity due to Boston’s depth pushing pace. In Milwaukee, the Bucks return home down 0-2 to the Indiana Pacers in what’s being framed as a do-or-die Game 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to dominate statistically, but the Bucks need more from Damian Lillard and their role players. Analysts highlight the importance of the zigzag theory—teams returning home down 0-2 tend to cover well when favored. With home crowd intensity and urgency peaking, Milwaukee emerges as a popular favorite at -5, while expectations are high for Lillard to step up and justify the hype surrounding this playoff duo. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Lakers in a series tied 1-1 but with Minnesota showing signs of dominance. With one blowout win and another defensively strong performance, the Timberwolves appear the better team. Rudy Gobert and Julius Randle have bolstered a defense that’s holding the Lakers under 95 points per game. Betting leans heavily on the Timberwolves at -3 and the under 205.5, especially with the Lakers struggling to generate offense beyond LeBron James and Luka Doncic. In the West, the Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets are also tied 1-1, but Jimmy Butler’s deep glute contusion puts his Game 3 status in jeopardy. With Butler sidelined or limited, the Warriors become a favored pick at -3.5. Both games in the series have gone under, and experts note the 6-1 under trend in head-to-head matchups, underscoring a strong play on the under 203 regardless of Butler’s final status. Golden State’s playoff experience and Houston’s road inexperience further point to a bounce-back game from the Warriors in a defensive battle. The Cleveland Cavaliers, up 2-0 against the Miami Heat, look poised for a sweep. Anchored by Donovan Mitchell and a dominant frontcourt, the Cavs are thriving while the Heat—absent Jimmy Butler—struggle for answers. The early start time for Game 3, a 1:05 PM ET tip, also favors the under based on long-standing trends. With a -6 line, the Cavs are considered a strong play as Miami lacks the firepower and depth to contend without their playoff hero. Altogether, the weekend’s NBA action offers compelling narratives, strategic betting angles, and several best bets grounded in injury reports, home court advantage, and historical trends. Whether it’s the Celtics’ adaptability, the Bucks’ urgency, the Timberwolves’ defense, or the Warriors’ reliance on Butler’s status, these games will define playoff momentum—and betting outcomes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 24

RJ Bell, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Draft and NBA Playoffs. The 2025 NFL Draft and NBA Playoffs are creating major betting opportunities, and this analysis breaks down where the value lies across both leagues. NFL Draft betting strategy hinges on understanding market movement and the power of last-minute mock draft shifts from insiders. RJ Bell and Scott Seidenberg highlight how Shadur Sanders’ draft stock dropped from a projected Top 10 pick to possibly landing at #21, while Ashton Jeanty’s unexpected rise makes him a strong candidate to be taken fifth overall by Jacksonville. Edge rusher draft trends also dominate, with projections showing more than eight pass rushers going in the first round. Wide receivers like Tet McMillan and Matthew Golden create volatility, especially with teams like Dallas looking for explosive playmakers. Kawhi Leonard’s NBA playoff stats are historically elite—29 points per game on 63% true shooting—placing him among the most efficient postseason scorers ever. But availability remains a concern, especially for title aspirations. The Lakers' offense sputtered early in their series, prompting a significant 12% drop in their series win probability. Despite a Game 2 win, they're seen as vulnerable. Conversely, the Clippers gained more than expected from a 1–1 split, reflecting Kawhi’s dominance. A league-wide collapse in playoff pace has made unders a profitable play, with many totals dropping by five to ten points. However, selective overs still offer value, particularly in mismatches like Celtics vs. Magic without Jason Tatum. McKenzie Rivers' insights emphasize sharp betting angles rooted in team form, player availability, and strategic line movements. The podcast also introduces a data-driven approach to evaluating draft capital, revealing Cleveland, Jacksonville, and San Francisco as the most equipped teams to trade or reload talent, while Minnesota ranks last. These draft equity metrics translate into real opportunities for franchise growth or aggression in trade scenarios. Whether you’re focused on mock draft signals, measuring team value through draft assets, or watching playoff lines evolve, the key to betting success is understanding the why behind every move. From NFL projections to NBA playoff edges, this recap turns deep analysis into actionable insights for bettors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 23

Will Doctor brings you the sharpest golf picks and information for this weeks Zurich Classic and Chevron Championship. Will Doctor’s Golf Preview Podcast, recorded from the Nicholas Course at Carlton Woods, dives deep into betting picks and performance analysis for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, the Chevron Championship, and briefly, the Veritex Bank Championship. Opening with a recap of the RBC Heritage, Doctor praises Justin Thomas for winning his 16th PGA Tour title after a playoff with Andrew Novak. Thomas posted a 61 in round one and closed with a bogey-free 68. Novak, described as the American Jon Rahm, impressed with elite short game and iron play, though he missed key putts, notably a 10-footer on the 13th. Doctor criticizes himself for failing to include Novak in his bets, noting Novak’s three final group appearances and five top-15 finishes in 2025. The podcast reflects on several betting losses, including missing JT’s surge and Novak’s rise. The card was down 6.7 units, adding to an overall deficit of 81.2 units for the season. Scottie Scheffler’s T8 finish was dissected, focusing on a critical double bogey on 15 caused by a tricky lie in the waste area. Despite superb ball-striking, putting lapses limited his contention. Daniel Berger’s T3 finish came with elite ball-striking but poor putting early in the week. Other near-miss bets included JT Poston (T11), Sungjae Im losing the top Asian bet to Siwoo Kim, and Ryan Gerard’s bogey on 18, which destroyed a top 20 ticket. Garrick Higgo’s win at Corrales Punta Cana, his second PGA Tour victory, was a notable miss for Will, who lamented overlooking Higgo despite strong form in previous starts. For the Zurich Classic, two outright bets are offered. Andrew Novak and Ben Griffin at 28/1 are highlighted for elite ball-striking and top-tier putting. Griffin’s form shows recent putting struggles, but his strong Bermuda putting history is encouraging. Billy Horschel and Tom Hoge, also at 28/1, are touted for their pairing of elite putting and solid recent results. Horschel’s Zurich history includes two wins and a second-place finish, while Hoge has four straight T18 finishes with resurgent driving accuracy. A top 20 bet on Nico Echavarria and Max Greyserman at +130 is based on their elite Bermuda putting and last year’s T4 result. Their recent ball-striking is a concern, but their putting could carry them into the top 20 if they strike it average. Doctor explores other pairings but passes on Carl Yuan and Michael Thorbjornsen due to inconsistency and on Isaiah Salinda and Kevin Velo due to Velo’s below-average stats. At the Chevron Championship, hosted again at the Nicholas Course, the course demands power and precision, favoring long hitters due to tight driving lanes and potentially soft greens. Nelly Korda is picked to win at 9/1. She won here in 2024 and continues to be elite across all metrics, especially improving putting. Ingrid Lindblad is the value pick, taken at 70/1 to win and 4/1 to finish top 10. She recently won in just her third LPGA start and ranks high in driving, approach, and putting stats, although her short game remains untested at this venue. Finally, Doctor previews his visit to the Veritex Bank Championship, with plans to gather insights on-site and update picks via social media. He teases future episodes from the Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch and the Truest Championship at Philadelphia Cricket Club. The podcast closes with a promo code for picks at pregame.com and a strong focus on preparing for the upcoming stretch of the season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 22

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. The guys also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 21

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg go over the top stories in baseball with betting leans for the week. 🔑 Key Points 🎯 Max Fried’s No-Hitter Controversy: Scorekeeper reclassified an error as a single mid-game, disrupting Fried's no-hit bid (7.2 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 2 K, 102 pitches)​. 🧠 Pitch Efficiency Benchmarks: Ideal pitch count is 13 per inning; staying under this keeps a pitcher in control with minimal stress​. 🏆 Veteran Handling & Stress: Josh argues that veterans like Fried know their bodies, and "stressful" innings—not pitch counts alone—should dictate decisions​. 💥 Kelenic vs. Acuña Jr. Discipline: Kelenic's premature home-run trot caused an out; Acuña's tweet referenced past double standards—sparking internal Braves friction​. 📉 Orioles’ Pitching Collapse: Orioles gave up 24 runs in one game; poor starters (Sugano, Morton, Kramer, Povich, Eflin) exposed the team's fragility​. 📊 Power Rankings (Top 5): Dodgers, Padres, Phillies, Mets, Rangers; ranked based on pitching, consistency, bullpen reliability, and current form​. 📈 Day Game Betting Edge: Home teams dominate early day games (e.g., before 2:30 PM ET) at 60%+ win rate; Cardinals are 5-1 in this slot​. 🧮 Orioles First Five Over Trend: Hottest bet in baseball—16-4-1 to the over in the first five innings​. 🧠 Mets vs Phillies Series Betting Tip: Strong lean toward first five unders based on matchups and bullpen data (Mets: 17-5 under, Phillies: 8-1 road under)​. 💸 Home Favorites Profitability: Betting all home favorites this season would yield $4,226 profit ($100 bets), with Padres (10-0) and Rangers (8-0) leading​. 📚 Summary by Section Max Fried’s Yanked No-Hitter (0:02–6:54) Scott and Josh dissect Fried’s near-no hitter against the Rays. Fried was in command, but a delayed official scoring decision transformed an error into a hit—nullifying his bid. Towers criticizes both the inconsistency and its timing, explaining how it likely rattled Fried's rhythm. Pitch Count & Stress Analysis (2:13–5:45) Towers distinguishes between “cruising” and “stressful” innings. Stressful innings (e.g., 35-pitch opening frames) wear pitchers down. He emphasizes that a no-hitter with low pitch count should not automatically trigger removal. Scorekeeping Controversy Fallout (6:55–15:21) Both hosts vent about the poor standards of MLB scorekeeping. Home team bias, inconsistency, and lack of universal scoring logic lead to absurd rulings. They argue it has real psychological impact on pitchers. Kelenic vs Acuña Jr. Incident (21:19–32:24) A viral tweet from Acuña exposed perceived double standards after Kelenic was not disciplined for lack of hustle. Towers criticizes Braves management for inconsistency and blames Kelenic's ego and history for the incident. Philly vs Mets Series Preview (33:15–38:36) The duo previews the upcoming Phillies-Mets series. Towers supports first-five unders due to strong starting pitchers (Sanchez, Wheeler, Peterson) and notes that bullpen form heavily affects series bets. Trends, Betting Systems, and Profitability (38:36–54:51) Scott shares deep betting data: Orioles: 16-4-1 to first-five overs Mets: 17-5 to first-five unders Rangers: 12-1 to full-game unders at home Home teams: 60.6% win rate in all games Home favorites: 155-76, +$4,226 ROI Power Rankings (54:51–1:05:58) Towers ranks top teams based on full scope—not just standings. Dodgers top due to consistency, Padres and Phillies close behind. Rangers enter top five due to rising pitching form and learning to win close games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 18

On the April 18, 2025 episode of RJ Bell’s Dream Preview MLB podcast, Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner provided in-depth analysis of the Friday baseball slate with betting insights. Munaf opened by highlighting his 5-1 betting record and credited their collaborative discussions for the success. The first matchup covered was Diamondbacks vs. Cubs (0:10–7:40). Corbin Burnes has struggled early, while Cubs starter Colin Rea provides potential value. Chicago leads MLB in runners in scoring position appearances and has scored 124 runs to Arizona’s 104. The Cubs as home underdogs and a lean to the over were discussed, depending on Wrigley Field wind. In Royals vs. Tigers (7:41–11:34), Cole Ragans faces top prospect Jackson Jobe. Kansas City’s offense has produced just 19 runs over its last 10 games and is 2-8 on the road. The Tigers’ bullpen is strong, and both hosts leaned toward Detroit plus money and under 7.5. Guardians vs. Pirates (11:35–15:11) features Luis Ortiz against Carmen Mlodzinski. Mlodzinski has a 1.77 WHIP with command issues. The Guardians were favored due to bullpen depth. Pittsburgh is 6-4 at home and to the over. There was a slight lean to Cleveland and possibly over 8.5. In Marlins vs. Phillies (15:12–19:08), Sandy Alcantara is no longer dominant, while Zack Wheeler boasts an 11-4 record and 2.73 ERA against Miami. Philadelphia is 24-11 in Wheeler’s home starts since 2023. The Phillies were a strong lean, especially on the run line. Yankees vs. Rays (19:49–25:11) featured Carlos Rodón, who has allowed 4+ earned runs and 3+ walks in three straight starts. Drew Rasmussen has not allowed a run in 21 career innings vs. the Yankees. Munaf’s best bet was Rays first five innings at -110. In Reds vs. Orioles (25:12–28:31), Andrew Abbott faces Cade Povich. While Abbott had a solid outing against Pittsburgh, Baltimore’s offense poses more danger. The Orioles were favored and offensive production expected. Mariners vs. Blue Jays (28:31–31:40) has Bryan Woo, who has struggled away from home, against Bowden Francis. Toronto is 7-3 at home and the over 7.5 was considered. Cardinals vs. Mets (31:42–35:05) pits Miles Mikolas against David Peterson. St. Louis is 1-6 on the road and lacks comeback potential. The Mets were the lean, especially on the run line. Griffin’s best bet was Braves -130 vs. Twins (35:06–38:12). Chris Paddack has lost all three starts by 2+ runs and Bryce Elder is trying to earn a rotation spot. In Red Sox vs. White Sox (38:13–41:46), Martín Pérez is a steady innings-eater. Boston has a negative run differential and both hosts were reluctant to back them as heavy favorites. Dodgers vs. Rangers (41:46–45:55) features Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who has a 0.91 WHIP and 28 strikeouts in 22 innings, against Jacob deGrom, who’s allowed multiple home runs in consecutive starts. The Dodgers were favored early. In Astros vs. Padres (52:32–56:54), Kyle Hart rebounded after a poor debut, while Houston’s Ryan Gusto is unproven. The Padres are 15-4, and with Houston’s bullpen issues, San Diego at +123 was the consensus lean. Brewers vs. A’s (56:55–1:01:02) has Freddy Peralta allowing six earned runs over 23.1 innings. Milwaukee is 43-27 at home in his starts since 2018. Nationals vs. Rockies (1:01:11–1:04:14) features cold Denver weather and a low total of nine. MacKenzie Gore’s road struggles were noted, but Washington was the slight lean. Giants vs. Angels (1:04:14–1:07:43) featured Logan Webb’s consistency against Tyler Anderson. San Francisco is 9-4 on the road with eight wins by 2+ runs. Munaf leaned Giants run line. The episode ended with a promo for Pregame’s $1,000 MLB contest and 20 percent discount code HOMERUN20. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 18

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA playoff betting for the firs round. The guys break down each series and give out predictions and best bets. In the “NBA Playoffs 1st Round Preview + Best Bets” podcast, Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers deliver a detailed analysis of six confirmed playoff matchups. Starting with Bucks vs. Pacers, they highlight Damian Lillard’s Game 1 absence and potential Game 3 return. Despite Indiana's strong finish and better trendline, both lean Milwaukee in six games, citing Giannis’ dominance, Halliburton’s road struggles, and playoff pedigree. Munaf mentions Doc Rivers’ questionable playoff history and the Bucks’ edge in rebounding and roster depth. Next, Knicks vs. Pistons shows New York as a clear -400 favorite. Mackenzie highlights Detroit’s weak half-court offense and inexperience. They agree Jalen Brunson is the best player in the series and pick Knicks in five, suggesting -2.5 games as a value bet. For Celtics vs. Magic, Boston is a -5000 favorite. Mackenzie acknowledges Orlando’s improvement to 17th in offense post-All-Star despite losing Jalen Suggs but criticizes their three-point shooting and sees Game 1 as a blowout. Munaf agrees, pointing to Boston’s depth and perimeter strength. They recommend a Magic team total under and predict a sweep or five-game series. Clippers vs. Nuggets is the tightest series, priced at -110 each. Mackenzie is hesitant to trust Kawhi Leonard’s health but notes the Clippers were strong late season. He values Denver’s playoff-tested core of Jokic, Murray, and Porter Jr., even with coaching changes. Munaf favors the Clippers in seven games, citing Ty Lue’s ability to adjust and Harden’s solid season. Both suggest betting the series after Game 1, with Denver favored by 2.5. In Lakers vs. Timberwolves, Munaf backs the Lakers based on star power and playoff history. Mackenzie points out their mediocre net rating and questions public overconfidence. He critiques Julius Randle’s poor playoff stats and remains skeptical of Minnesota’s secondary scoring. While Mackenzie sees potential in the Timberwolves, he passes on betting them now. Munaf lays the four points with the Lakers, expecting a statement in Game 1. In Rockets vs. Warriors, the hosts praise Houston’s growth but highlight their lack of playoff experience. Mackenzie notes Golden State’s poor half-court offense but trusts Curry and Green’s pedigree. Munaf calls it a development year for Houston and picks Warriors in six. They mention the low total for Game 1 and expect another under, given both teams’ tendencies. Mackenzie’s best bets are Knicks -7 and Trae Young under 26.5 points vs. Miami, based on historical defensive matchups. Munaf echoes the Knicks pick and supports Lakers -4, banking on home energy and playoff urgency. For Heat vs. Hawks, Munaf leans over on Miami’s team total, while Mackenzie prefers fading Trae Young. They note past eighth-seed play-in games are 6-1 to the under. For Mavericks vs. Grizzlies, Munaf leans under and highlights Dallas’ defense, while Mackenzie passes on a side but acknowledges Memphis’ volatility. Both hosts ground their takes in net rating, recent trends, EPM data, and postseason form. They avoid hyperbole, focusing on betting value, historical angles, and matchup dynamics, giving listeners a sharp and disciplined first-round betting guide. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 16

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting. The wiseguy round table does the annual Vegas wiseguy NBA Playoff draft !! conduct a unique NBA Playoffs team draft, each receiving $250 to bid on teams, with scoring based on playoff progression: 1 point for the first round, 2 for the second, 4 for reaching the Finals, and 8 for winning the title. Boston and Oklahoma City (OKC) are split into halves due to their odds outweighing the individual cap. Mackenzie wins half of Boston for $131, arguing their elite two-way metrics and experience justify the price. He notes Boston’s 16–2 playoff run last year, strong net rating, and top-tier half-court efficiency. RJ and Fezzik counter with Cleveland’s comparable point differential and challenge the strength of Boston’s schedule in the East. Cleveland's hot shooting is scrutinized. Mackenzie explains their +18 clutch rating is extreme compared to the +4.5 average among playoff teams and unsustainable over time. Scott notes they played 38 clutch games, about average, while OKC’s low number of clutch situations (24) reflects dominance. OKC’s +12.6 point differential is the best in NBA history. They also had 38 wins by 15+ points and only 2 such losses. RJ emphasizes their resilience with an 18–10 record when trailing by double digits, far superior to the second-best 13–14 mark. Lower-tier play-in teams draw minimal bids. Miami goes to RJ for $3. Mackenzie critiques their 10-game losing streak post-Butler trade, Bam’s decline, and poor offensive efficiency, though Spolstra and slow pace offer playoff upside. Chicago is seen as improved since trading Zach LaVine, becoming a top-10 team post-All-Star break. Bulls are split among three drafters for $1 each. RJ also picks up Orlando, who are 1600-1 to beat Boston, and praised for grit but dismissed due to weak three-point shooting. Boston led the league with 53.6% of their shots from three, the highest rate in NBA history. RJ gets Detroit for $3. Mackenzie notes they’ve been the most upgraded team in his power rankings and highlights Cade Cunningham’s All-NBA case, but says they lack playoff-caliber depth. RJ grabs Milwaukee for $8, believing Giannis can carry them. The panel debates Lillard’s availability; Mackenzie is skeptical, estimating the line implies only a 25% chance he plays. Indiana, led by Tyrese Haliburton, is drafted by Fezzik for $15 due to their strong seeding and Milwaukee matchup. RJ then wins Cleveland for $111, citing their historic shooting profile. They’re the only team top five in both three-point rate and percentage. Mackenzie remains skeptical of their overall ceiling. Fezzik outbids the panel at $34 for the Knicks, but Scott highlights their 0-4 record against elite teams and suggests they’ve struggled against contenders. In the West, Scott makes a calculated move and takes half of OKC for $123. Mackenzie praises their evolution and improved playoff readiness. RJ wins the Clippers for $41, citing Kawhi’s elite playoff form when healthy. Fezzik takes Denver for $63, stating he preferred the Clippers but couldn’t risk being shut out. Scott grabs Golden State for $45 and the Lakers for $38, expecting both to have favorable paths if they advance. Mackenzie questions the Lakers’ hype, citing shallow margins and overperformance against weak opponents. RJ wins the other half of OKC unopposed. The show closes with MVP debates. Jokic’s season (52.5 combined PTS+REB+AST) surpasses all prior years, and media sentiment may swing votes his way. OKC's dominance and individual achievements are noted, but voter narratives and recent performances could shift ballots. RJ, Mackenzie, and Fezzik assess title probabilities and wrap with final rosters, confirming RJ and Mackenzie as high spenders and Scott’s OKC acquisition as the savviest draft moment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 16

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for week 16 at the RBC Heritage & Corales Puntacana Championship! -Reviewing Rory completing the grand slam at the 89th Masters -Discussing top 8 at Heritage -1 matchup -2 t10's -3 outrights (+475, 50/1, 90/1) -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring, best bet -2 FRL for Corales -2 outrights for Corales -1 t10 for Corales The transcript begins with host Will Docter reacting to Rory McIlroy’s landmark Masters victory, completing the career Grand Slam and joining an elite group of six. Mike Tirico's emotional broadcast is cited, capturing McIlroy’s on-course collapse in tears. Rory's press conference reflects on inspiration from Tiger Woods, struggles throughout the day, and mental strength, particularly after early double bogeys. A note from Ángel Cabrera added a sentimental touch. Rory’s rounds of 72, 66, 66, and 73 included four double bogeys—no past Masters winner had ever overcome as many. Docter notes Rory’s final round featured both mistakes and immediate recoveries, such as birdies following doubles and clutch iron shots, particularly a hook 7-iron on the 15th hole. Despite sloppy play off the tee and below-average putting, his elite approach and short game, backed by years of mental training, led him to victory over contenders like Justin Rose, who shot a 66 on Sunday to force a playoff but fell short. The loss marked Rose’s second defeat in a Masters playoff. Docter transitions to a betting review, citing a 12.6-unit loss on the Masters, part of a 74.6-unit deficit on the season. Key misfires included failed bets on Sepp Straka and Tom Hoge, both below-average chippers—highlighting a key error in strategy at Augusta. Ludwig Åberg nearly contended until a late collapse; Collin Morikawa’s first-round falter also ruined early bets. Sungjae Im was a bright spot with a fifth-place finish. Doctor criticizes his overreliance on players with poor short games and reviews each ticket, including failed first-round bets and frustrating near misses like Shane Lowry, who imploded with an 81 on Sunday. Shifting to the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town, Docter details the course as favoring accurate drivers, sharp approach play from 150–175 yards, and strong Bermuda putting. He reviews top favorites. Scheffler (+425) is a strong pick, showing consistent elite form and success at Harbor Town last year. Morikawa, Henley, and Fleetwood are dismissed due to poor putting. Corey Conners and Åberg are borderline due to form and past finishes. Schauffele is in good form but not elite in the critical approach range. Cantlay and Fleetwood are passed due to inconsistent recent play. A key matchup pick is Ryan Gerard over Adam Scott, citing Scott’s issues with driving and putting. Gerard is also the sleeper pick to top 20. Two “picks to place” include Schauffele top 10 (+120), based on elite approach numbers and improving putting, and JT Poston top 10 (+375), with recent putting resurgence and three top-10s at Harbor Town. Outright picks include Scheffler, Berger (50:1), praised for driving accuracy and course history, and Bud Cauley (90:1), with recent top-5 finishes and elite stats in the target range. Fantasy lineups are provided for DraftKings and PGA.com platforms, with lineups built around Scheffler, Schauffele, Im, Berger, Poston, and Cauley. The predicted winning score is 19-under. The best bet is Sungjae Im as top Asian (+160), citing strong course history and lack of serious competition beyond Ryo Hisatsune. For Corrales, Mitchell (28:1) and Hall (33:1) are first-round leader picks based on scoring averages. Outright bets are Packieter and Cootie at 45:1, while Alejandro Tosti is selected to top 10 at +333 based on form despite putting concerns. The podcast wraps with reminders of betting value and expectations heading into the next week. Predicted winning score: 19-under-par at RBC Heritage. For the latest as far as the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 15

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Tuesday. MLB is in full swing and the guys are off to a hot start on the bases. Best bets as always. 📚 Summary (0:02 - 2:06) Pod Opening & Records: Munaf opens the pod, welcomes Griffin, and recaps their season records: Munaf 4-1, Griffin 2-0. Griffin jokes about golf playoffs vs. extra innings. (2:06 - 3:43) Season Outlook: Discussion on maintaining strong early-season handicapping, approaching the six-month grind efficiently. (3:43 - 5:58) Diamondbacks vs Marlins: Merrill Kelly is discussed as a pitcher with shaky control but upside. Arizona's defensive issues and Miami’s lack of offensive intent are mentioned. Griffin leans under 8.5. (5:59 - 8:15) Merrill Kelly Stats: Munaf details Kelly’s 3-game performance and compares offenses in NL West. Gillespie’s effectiveness also gets brief praise. (8:15 - 10:10) Mariners vs Reds: Griffin and Munaf both back the under, citing weather (53°F) and two quality starters – Castillo and Lodolo. (10:11 - 12:02) Reds Pitching Praise: Munaf highlights Lodolo’s elite early numbers (0.96 ERA, 0.70 WHIP) vs Castillo’s 2.12 ERA. (12:03 - 13:41) Nationals vs Pirates: Keller is seen as erratic but has upside. Irvin's poor 2023 finish noted. Cold Pittsburgh weather might keep scoring down. (13:42 - 15:43) Irvin Historical Stats: Munaf notes Irvin’s 6 ER game last year vs. Pirates; Pirates’ offensive inconsistency keeps bet lean unclear. (15:45 - 17:10) Giants vs Phillies: Verlander is criticized for showing his age. Griffin praises Phillies’ opportunity to bounce back at home. (17:11 - 19:05) Verlander Decline: Munaf notes his high ER and fading stamina. Lizardo praised: 1.50 ERA, solid vs Braves. (19:05 - 20:46) Guardians vs Orioles: Charlie Morton is fading; Griffin prefers the Guardians for their contact hitting and consistent fundamentals. (20:47 - 22:25) Guardians Potential: Munaf questions if they can exploit Morton’s decline. Griffin says yes – Morton shouldn’t be in rotation. (22:26 - 25:51) Red Sox vs Rays: Pepiot backed against the volatile Red Sox. Munaf leans over 8.5 due to both pitchers’ walk rates. (25:51 - 28:51) Royals vs Yankees: Munaf supports Yankees run line. Griffin notes Royals offensive ineptitude and concerns about bullpen usage. (28:53 - 30:35) Braves vs Blue Jays: Praise for Schwellenbach’s incredible start. Caution over Gausman’s declining stuff. Lean to Braves. (30:35 - 32:20) Braves Pitching Dominance: Schwellenbach: 20 IP, 1 ER, 0.65 WHIP. First-five betting angle highlighted. (32:20 - 34:27) A’s vs White Sox: White Sox heavily faded; Jeffrey Springs praised. Munaf leans A’s team total due to Sean Burke’s poor outings. (34:28 - 37:12) Tigers vs Brewers: Quinn Priester’s walk-prone tendencies discussed. Flaherty’s elite form (0 ER vs Yankees) makes Tigers a lean. (37:13 - 41:01) Astros vs Cardinals: Lean early on Astros due to Hunter Brown's edge over Fetty, though bullpen concerns loom. (41:02 - 46:37) Promo Segment: MLB contest and subscription offer details – promo code “STRIKE50” discussed for discounts. (46:39 - 50:12) Angels vs Rangers: Corbin Day! Both pitchers have control issues. Munaf backs Angels team total and game over. (50:13 - 54:57) Cubs vs Padres: Imanaga's consistent form vs Vasquez’s wildness. Under and Cubs lean. (54:57 - 57:08) Rockies vs Dodgers: Rockies can't score; Feltner expected to struggle. Dodgers run line and team total over locked in. (57:09 - 59:30) Best Bets: Griffin – Rays ML (-125); Munaf – Yankees RL (+110). (59:31 - End) Closing Remarks: Reminder to use “STRIKE50” promo code, tease for next pod episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 14

Munaf Manji and Mackeznie Rivers talk NBA playoff play-in games. The guys also give out best bets. 📌 Key Points Clave 📉 Unders Trend: Play-In games show a 17-7 trend toward the under; especially strong (7-1) in 7 vs 8 matchups. 📊 Magic Defense: Orlando is ranked 2nd on defense post-All-Star break and 1st in the last 30 days. 🔥 Orlando at Home: 69.6% ATS at home since last season as favorites (39-17 ATS), 44-12 SU. 🔋 Celtics Power: Boston’s net rating and roster stability make them overwhelming Eastern Conference favorites. 📈 Thunder Dominance: Finished with 68-14 record, 1st overall and in net rating; strong title contenders. 🔁 Cavs Form: Ended with a top-3 net rating despite late-season fatigue; seen as overrated compared to odds. 💡 Surprise Teams: Suns are noted as a major disappointment, while Bulls are a surprisingly efficient late-season team. 🧠 Coaching Impact: Miami’s edge lies with Erik Spoelstra, but Chicago is seen as the better overall team. 🎯 Warriors' Struggles: 0-3 in play-in history, and one of the worst half-court offenses among playoff teams. 📈 Kings vs Mavs Edge: Kings -5 favored due to better offensive consistency; Mavericks lack depth without Kyrie. 📝 Summary Resumen Opening Play-In Preview (0:10–2:41) Munaf Manji introduces the play-in breakdown. Mackenzie jokes it's like Christmas, excited for playoff intensity. They begin with a recap of the Eastern Conference finish and potential Cavs matchups. Eastern Conference Analysis (2:42–6:39) Mackenzie projects Magic to beat the Hawks. He’s skeptical of Cavs' lofty odds despite their +9.2 net rating. Celtics remain his favorite due to balanced offense and defense. Western Conference Setup (7:01–11:57) Five 50-win teams highlight West strength. Thunder finished 68-14, Rockets 52-30. Lakers vs Timberwolves is a premier matchup. Mack praises Thunder’s consistent elite play. Surprises & Coaching Carousel (14:23–17:39) Mackenzie admits Suns were a huge betting miss. Munaf discusses Phoenix coaching turnover. Rumors include Durant trade if Thunder or Celtics lose in the finals. Magic vs Hawks Breakdown (17:39–22:35) Magic are 11-7 ATS post-ASB vs playoff teams. Missing Suggs hurts offense, but defense is elite. Hawks’ injuries (Capela, Johnson) reduce competitiveness. Total leans under. Warriors vs Grizzlies Breakdown (23:28–35:34) Despite Golden State being -7, both agree line is inflated. Warriors are 18th in playoff offensive rating; Grizzlies 6th worst. Both lean Grizzlies +7 and under. Historic home ATS for Warriors is weak. Heat vs Bulls Breakdown (35:34–38:17) Bulls have top-10 form since ASB. Heat slightly below average. Both like Bulls -1 and especially under 219 due to tactical slow pace and playoff urgency. Mavs vs Kings Breakdown (38:38–42:49) Kings should be -7 per Mack’s model. Dallas has lowest net rating among playoff teams since ASB. Davis prop of 11.5 rebounds favored, citing dominance vs Sacramento. Best Bets Recap (44:50–49:23) Munaf’s best bet: Bulls/Heat under 219. Secondary: Magic -5. Mackenzie: Magic -5 and leans early playoff game unders (especially Bucks/Pacers under). Finals Picks (51:51–56:12) Mack backs Thunder vs Celtics. Munaf playfully picks Rockets, then seriously leans Lakers due to Luka + LeBron combination and veteran roster. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 14

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the latest stories around baseball with a look at the betting markets. 📌 Key Points 📈 Sweep Betting System: Favorites in Game 3 of a potential sweep are 10-4; home teams avoiding sweeps are 8-2 (Profits: +$485 and +$565 respectively). 📉 Underdog Performance: Underdogs in sweep games are only 6-10 and show a betting loss of -$201. 🧠 Bullpen Strategy: Managers often signal “conceding” games by bullpen usage patterns, saving top relievers when already behind — criticized by Towers. 📊 Live Betting Strategy: Scott suggests betting the live over (total runs) when a favorite is losing slightly late-game, offering more margin than moneyline bets. ⚾ Player Highlight – Garrett Crochet: 7 no-hit innings, AL Cy Young favorite at +210. FIP showcases true dominance (1.23). 🔥 Paul Skenes & Hunter Greene: Both NL Cy Young co-favorites at +300; Greene's 0.98 ERA over 27.2 IP stands out. Skenes’ FIP: 1.31. 🧠 FIP vs ERA: Discussed how FIP is a better measure of pitcher skill than ERA, avoiding fielding biases. 🫂 Mental Health in Baseball: Jarren Duran’s Netflix revelation about suicidal thoughts mirrors Drew Robinson’s survival and advocacy — sparking a deep talk on pressures in the minors. 🏆 Award Markets: MVP races led by Judge (AL) and Ohtani (NL); Rookie of Year watch features Jacob Wilson and Christian Campbell. 📉 Yankees’ Defensive Issues: Fried gave up 7 runs, only 3 earned — exposing the team's fielding liability. 📚 Summary Sweep Systems Analysis (0:02–3:05): Scott shares sweep avoidance betting data: favorites avoiding a sweep are 10-4; home teams 8-2; total teams 16-15. Betting on underdogs yields a -$201 return. Josh agrees that lineup decisions, like resting stars after series wins, influence outcomes. Managerial Decisions and Lineup Psychology (3:07–5:56): Josh explains how internal clubhouse dynamics affect lineup decisions. Players want to win series, not necessarily every game. Managers often rest regulars after clinching series wins, affecting competitiveness. Bullpen Usage Patterns (6:23–9:15): Josh criticizes managers for "conceding" games too early, using low-leverage relievers when down by just a couple of runs — citing Twins and Dodgers examples. Live Betting Strategy Deep Dive (11:11–14:24): Scott explains betting over on total runs (e.g., over 6.5) when a favorite is down 2-1. Offers more paths to winning than a comeback moneyline. Towers supports it, adding poor bullpen use often leads to late runs. Betting Woes and Run Expectancy (15:52–17:10): Scott laments losing an over 6.5 bet despite having a man on 3rd with 0 outs — supported by run expectancy matrix (1.43 runs expected). No run was scored. Old-School Strategy Missing in MLB (19:32–24:32): They debate modern strategy failings — no bunts, no hit-and-runs, poor situational hitting. Citing a Red Sox missed opportunity where Devers could have pulled a single if the runner hadn't been caught stealing. Mental Health – Duran & Robinson (25:01–29:17): Heartfelt discussion about Duran’s suicidal thoughts (from Netflix series), drawing parallels to Drew Robinson’s survival. Towers praises transparency and advocates teaching players how to fail and cope. Cy Young Odds Breakdown (29:17–35:38): AL: Crochet (+210), Skubal (+425) NL: Skenes & Greene (+300), Schwellenbach (+550) Schwellenbach: 0.45 ERA, 20 IP; FIP 2.35 Yamamoto: 1.23 ERA in 22 IP FIP vs ERA Debate (40:00–41:40): Chris Bassitt leads FIP rankings (1.20). Scott and Josh stress writers will prioritize advanced metrics like FIP over surface stats like ERA or W-L record when voting for awards. Team Performance Trends (45:01–48:07): Padres: 10-0 at home, 13 wins total — only undefeated home team. White Sox (0-6), Rays & Mariners (0-3) winless on road. Dodgers' run differential = 0, despite high expectations. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 12

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Saturday and Sunday. The guys also give out best bets. 📌 Key Points (Statistical Takeaways & Betting Angles) ⚾ Chris Paddock fade: Paddock hasn’t passed the 4th inning in either start, giving up 9 and 3 ERs. 📉 Jackson Jobe walk issue: 7 walks in 9 IP across two starts signals command concern. 📈 Christopher Sanchez velocity spike: Up to 97–98 MPH, potentially unsustainable, but promising. 🏡 Guardians’ home record: 57–33 since 2023, undefeated at home this year. 📊 Mikolas vs. Phillies: Cards are 0–4 in Mikolas’ starts vs. PHI since 2023, losing each by multiple runs. 🔥 Jordan Hicks’ early success: 6 shutout innings vs. Astros and 5.1 IP/3 ER vs. Mariners. 💣 Corbin Burns walk issue: 7 BB in 11 IP with 6 ER in two road starts—not vintage Burns. 🌬️ Weather edge in Cleveland & Chicago: Cold temps favor under totals (~40°F, wind in). 🧃 Astros offensive spark: 14 runs on Friday may mark awakening—suspicion persists about pitching. 📦 Roki Sasaki control concern: Great stuff but struggles with location, similar to Yamamoto’s 2024 start. 📚 Summary of Content [Tigers vs. Twins (0:02–7:01)] Munaf and Griffin agree Chris Paddock is a fade (ERA over 10 in two starts). Tigers' Jackson Jobe has command issues (7 BB in 9 IP). Lean: Tigers ML + first 5 over. [Phillies vs. Cardinals (7:03–10:47)] Sanchez touted for Cy Young by some; rebounding after Dodgers outing. Mikolas has terrible history vs. PHI (0–4, run line failures). Munaf's best bet: Phillies RL. [Giants vs. Yankees (10:47–14:20)] Giants lauded for road performance. Yankees’ Will Warren expected to make final start. Hicks solid so far. Lean: Giants ML, Under due to cold/wind. [Blue Jays vs. Orioles (14:33–18:14)] Povich has poor history vs. TOR (0–2, 8.38 ERA). Barrios rebounded in last 2 starts. Winds in Camden Yards mild. Leans: Over + Blue Jays ML. [Nationals vs. Marlins (18:16–21:32)] Sandy Alcantara hasn't returned to form; 4 BB in last outing. Trevor Williams quietly effective. Lean: Nationals ML + Over 7.5. [Red Sox vs. White Sox (21:32–24:55)] Cold Chicago temps favor Under. Fitz surprisingly strong; Perez stellar (1 ER in 12 IP). Lean: White Sox ML + Under. [Braves vs. Rays (24:57–27:59)] Rasmussen solid but Braves underdogs? Surprising. Smith-Shawver showing promise. Griffin leans Braves ML. Munaf prefers Under 8.5. [Royals vs. Guardians (28:00–30:14)] Lorenzen serviceable, Ortiz vulnerable. Guardians elite at home (63% win rate since 2023). Griffin’s best bet: Guardians ML. [Angels vs. Astros (30:14–34:29)] Astros may be waking up offensively. Gusto untested. Tyler Anderson prone to blow-ups. Lean: Over 8.5, slight lean Astros ML. [Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (37:19–40:50)] Burns has 7 BB in 2 starts—uncharacteristic. Chad Patrick has impressed. Leans: First 5 Over 4.5, stay away from sides. [Rockies vs. Padres (40:50–44:53)] Kyle Hart and Dolander both unproven. Padres offense capable. Lean: Game Over, especially if Padres’ bats wake up. [Cubs vs. Dodgers (44:53–48:59)] Dodgers crushed Cubs in Tokyo and now in LA. Ben Brown wild (9 BB in 11 IP). Munaf leans Dodgers TT Over 4.5, Griffin likes Cubs RL. [Roki Sasaki Forecast (50:43–53:20)] Griffin expects short outings; control needs work. Fade spots will appear, but risky without clear signals. [Yamamoto Trend (53:20–54:12)] Yamamoto now dominating. Reinforces transition curve for Japanese pitchers. [Rangers vs. Mariners (54:13–56:47)] Rocker inconsistent; Wu elite at T-Mobile (10–1). Rangers hit Wu hard in past, but game likely Under 7. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 10

RJ Bell, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss many topics on this weeks Dream Podcast. The guys cover some NBA coaching changes and NFL season win total adjustments. Plus, Stock market and gambling markets deep dive. The Dream Podcast – NBA + NFL Win Totals & Stock Market! features RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, and Mackenzie Rivers dissecting sports betting insights and investing behavior. RJ introduces a special 90-day all-access betting package, recommending Fezzik for his strong MLB (+43 units) and NBA record. Mackenzie highlights his NBA season performance with a 57.5% win rate over 710 plays, positioning himself as a premier handicapper. The discussion turns to the NCAA tournament, where Duke blew a six-point lead to Houston in under 30 seconds despite a 92.5% win probability. Florida emerged as champions, becoming the first team in over 20 years to win three straight tournament games while trailing by eight or more points, underscoring tournament randomness. Scott discusses refusing to hedge a $300 bet to win $1,800 on Houston, which leads to RJ’s broader discussion on hedging psychology—only advisable when money is emotionally or financially pivotal. The NFL segment dives into new overtime rules: both teams now receive possession, unless the first team controls the entire 10-minute period. RJ and Scott analyze how this changes endgame strategies, field goal thresholds, and 2-point conversion decisions. Shifting to NFL win totals, RJ spotlights major market movements. Dallas’s total drops from 10 to 7.5 wins, which RJ deems wildly low given Dak Prescott's top-8 QB status, an elite receiver and defender, and a fourth-place schedule. He calls this his “epiphany best bet.” They compare this to Pittsburgh, questioning the sustainability of Mike Tomlin's non-losing streak amid aging quarterbacks and reliance on Mason Rudolph. RJ leans under for the Steelers. Denver firing NBA coach Michael Malone—despite playoff contention and a title last season—signals internal dysfunction. Jokic reportedly approved the move, later drawing up plays on the whiteboard. Mackenzie highlights the “dead coach bounce,” noting teams who fire their coach mid-season win 75% ATS in the next game but regress to 40% ATS in the second. Jokic’s role seems to be shifting toward playmaking, suggesting betting unders on his points and overs on assists when Denver is ahead. In the final segment, RJ dives into financial strategy, likening betting discipline to investing. He advises avoiding timing the market, minimizing transaction costs, and investing via low-fee index funds over hedge or mutual funds. RJ references his finance background, recounting managing Ohio State’s $7 million endowment and concluding that behavior, not picks, determines most losses. He encourages dollar-cost averaging and diversification, especially outside the U.S. dollar. The key, he insists, is resisting emotional decisions in both betting and finance. 🔑 Key Quotes by Timestamp ⏱️ 4:45 – “57.5%, 710 plays. I’m getting there.” – Mackenzie ⏱️ 17:21 – “Florida trailed by 8+ in 3 straight games and still won the title.” – Scott ⏱️ 28:59 – “You can accept you’ll lose the money. But not that you almost had the win.” – RJ ⏱️ 44:25 – “You moved this line yourself.” – RJ to Scott re: Patriots ⏱️ 56:12 – “This is one of the weirdest win totals I’ve seen.” – RJ on Cowboys ⏱️ 1:08:03 – “Rams, Nuggets, Avalanche... All champs under the Kroenke family.” ⏱️ 1:21:30 – “Jokic drew plays on the whiteboard. That changed something.” – Scott ⏱️ 1:46:51 – “If you can’t spot the sucker, you’re the sucker.” – RJ ⏱️ 1:59:08 – “I’ve never gone broke once. But maybe I didn’t win as much either.” – RJ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 9

Will Doctor reviews all 95 players at Augusta en route to finalizing card for the 89th playing of the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. -Reviewing 4 futures outright tickets -Reviewing 3 picks to win any major in 2025 -Going through all 95 players in the Masters Tournament -Adding 1 outright -1 t20, 1 t30 -2 bets "to make the cut" -1 bet "to miss the cut" -4 72-hole matchups -1 first round matchup -3 round 1 three ball matchups -1 t10 after R1 including an 8.2-unit loss at the Valero Texas Open and a failed 9-1 futures ticket on the Houston Cougars in NCAA basketball. He stresses the importance of reviewing picks, especially amid a losing streak, and outlines the four Masters futures he carries from December: Scottie Scheffler (7-1), Ludwig Aberg (14-1), Sung Jae Im (50-1), and Sepp Straka (100-1), with three additional tickets on Sahith Theegala, Tom Kim, and Davis Thompson to win any major. Scottie Scheffler, coming in as the favorite at +525, is praised for consistent elite performance, including no finishes worse than 25th in six events since returning from a hand injury, and podium finishes in his last four starts. His game, including a best putting performance of the season in Houston, is peaking. Rory McIlroy is faded despite strong wins at Pebble Beach and the Players; Will cites driving accuracy issues and suggests 10-1 would be a fairer line than 7.25-1. Jon Rahm, now on the LIV circuit, enters at 16-1 with recent top-10s but inconsistent putting and chipping. Morikawa is also passed over due to final-round collapses, though Will does back him to top 10 in Round 1. Other fades include Bryson DeChambeau (20-1), Justin Thomas (25-1), and Hideki Matsuyama (35-1), due to poor putting or chipping trends. Conversely, Will is bullish on Robert MacIntyre (60-1), who has recorded three straight top-11 finishes and two strong prior Augusta showings. He places both an outright bet and a matchup on him. Victor Hovland is another targeted play, specifically in a matchup over Cam Smith, following his Valspar win and a confident outlook on his improved short game. Shane Lowry, cited for consistency and solid Augusta history, is backed for a top 20, while Russell Henley earns a top-30 ticket thanks to elevated iron play. Several key quotes add depth. Scottie Scheffler credits Texas's varied conditions for developing his shot-making adaptability. Rory McIlroy reflects on family memories and the beauty of Augusta. Morikawa defends media avoidance, which Will critiques as symptomatic of poor mental preparation. Hovland speaks optimistically about short-game improvements with coach Grant Waite, prompting confidence from Will. Aberg’s comments reveal awareness of recent struggles, but he remains committed to routine. Sepp Straka remains a strong value at 100-1 with excellent iron play and driving form. He's bet to beat Sam Burns in a first-round matchup, who is faded due to declining performance. Sung Jae Im’s ticket has cratered in value, and Will expresses regret on that pick. Spieth is passed over at 40-1 due to erratic iron play, despite solid chipping and putting. Other noted fades include Tommy Fleetwood, Corey Connors, Cam Smith, Patrick Cantlay, Min Woo Lee, and Brooks Koepka, each due to specific statistical weaknesses in approach, short game, or driving. Later segments analyze lower-ranked players, including positive remarks about Phil Mickelson’s resurgence and Charles Schwartzel’s sharp form. Will picks Mickelson to make the cut, citing recent LIV success. Keegan Bradley and Akshay Bhatia are also featured in favorable matchups. Will wraps with lineup picks for Masters.com, choosing Scheffler, Patrick Reed, Shane Lowry, Davis Thompson, and Straka. For the latest as far as the world of golf is concerned, follow me on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 9

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB Wednesday betting. The guys go through the games on the card and give out best bets. Final Four Stories (0:10–9:12) Munaf and Griffin begin by recounting their trips to the Final Four in San Antonio. Griffin, a seasoned attendee, shares insights on ticket strategies (wait for late price drops; expect $260–$350 range), and discusses the electric atmosphere on Saturday. Munaf recalls attending the Cougars game and experiencing both excitement and heartbreak. Game-by-Game Betting Insights (9:12–1:11:10) Cardinals at Pirates (10:33–13:56) Pitchers: Fedde (STL) vs Keller (PIT). Fedde got shelled by BOS; Keller is erratic. Pick: Both hosts back PIT as a home dog. Marlins at Mets (13:57–15:52) Pitchers: Meyer (MIA) vs McGill (NYM). McGill: 10.1 IP, 1 ER in 2024. Pick: NYM F5 RL and Under 7. Yankees at Tigers (17:01–20:11) Pitchers: Fried (NYY) vs Flaherty (DET). Flaherty: 11.1 IP, 3 ER total. Pick: Lean DET; play Under or F5 Under. Rangers at Cubs (20:12–24:55) Pitchers: Mahle (TEX) vs Imanaga (CHC). Imanaga: 18.1 IP, 2 ER over 3 starts. Pick: Cubs ML, Imanaga props. Padres at A’s (26:07–29:19) Pitchers: Vasquez (SD) vs Beto (OAK). Every home game in Sacramento has gone Over. Pick: Padres TT Over and game Over 9.5. Orioles at Diamondbacks (29:20–32:45) Pitchers: Kremer (BAL) vs Pfaadt (ARI). Pfaadt: 7 ER over first 2 starts. Pick: Game Over 9 or F5 Over. Reds at Giants (32:45–36:32) Pitchers: Martinez (CIN) vs Verlander (SF). Martinez excels with low WHIP. Pick: CIN ML and F5 Under. Dodgers at Nationals (36:33–39:18) Pitchers: Knack (LAD) vs Irvin (WSH). Nationals offense hot; Irvin vulnerable. Pick: Over 9 and Dodgers TT Over. Astros at Mariners (39:18–44:20) Pitchers: Brown (HOU) vs Luis F. Castillo (SEA). Brown: 15 Ks in 2 starts. Picks: Griffin’s Best Bet — Under 7.5. Munaf likes HOU ML. White Sox at Guardians (47:23–48:59) Pitchers: Burke (CWS) vs Allen (CLE). Guardians a parlay candidate. Pick: Avoid backing CWS. Blue Jays at Red Sox (50:21–53:08) Pitchers: Gausman (TOR) vs Houck (BOS). Houck: 9.2 IP, 7 ER. Pick: F5 Over 4.5; Griffin likes BOS ML. Angels at Rays (53:45–57:03) Pitchers: Kikuchi (LAA) vs Pepiot (TB). Kikuchi: 5 BB vs STL. Pick: TB ML and -1.5 (+155). Phillies at Braves (57:03–59:00) Pitchers: Walker (PHI) vs Holmes (ATL). Pick: Over 9, possibly F5 Over. Twins at Royals (1:00:14–1:02:59) Pitchers: Ryan (MIN) vs Lugo (KC). Ryan: 6–0, 1.49 ERA career vs KC. Pick: Under 7.5 or MIN F5. Brewers at Rockies (1:03:00–1:05:47) Pitchers: Alexander (MIL) vs Senzatela (COL). Rockies poor but live at home. Pick: Over 10.5; Munaf likes COL ML. Best Bets (1:05:48–1:08:10) Griffin: HOU vs SEA Under 7.5 Munaf: LAD vs WSH Over 9 Bonus: SD vs OAK Over 9.5 Promos (1:08:10–1:11:10) $1000 Pregame.com MLB contest Use code STRIKE50 for $50 off MLB packages Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 7

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk tonight's national title game between Houston and Florida. 🏀 Matchup: Florida vs. Houston Overview The national championship game features two No. 1 seeds: Florida and Houston. The matchup is tightly contested, with Houston being a 1-point underdog on a neutral site. The total is set at 140.5 points. Opinions are split, with Torvik models favoring Florida by ~4 and KenPom leaning slightly toward Houston. 🔍 Florida Gators Breakdown Strengths Transition Play & Turnover Capitalization: Florida thrives in transition, especially when opponents commit live-ball turnovers. Walter Clayton Jr.: The breakout star of the tournament, with scoring lines of 34, 30, 13, 23, 23. His isolation shot-making has bailed Florida out of poor possessions. Offensive Rebounding: Ranked 5th nationally, giving them plenty of second-chance opportunities. Concerns Reliance on Isolation: They sometimes run little to no offensive sets, depending on Clayton’s heroics. Defensive Matchups: The guards may struggle containing Houston’s balanced and disciplined backcourt. 🔍 Houston Cougars Breakdown Strengths Elite Defense: Especially proficient at limiting interior scoring and forcing difficult shots. They held Duke’s Cooper Flagg to an inefficient night by making him settle for jumpers. Execution Under Pressure: Down the stretch vs. Duke, Houston’s poise stood out with clutch plays from Juwan Roberts and LJ Cryer. Three-Point Defense: Ranked 17th nationally, Houston limits quality looks from beyond the arc. Offensive Rebounding: 10th in the nation; they live off second-chance points. Key Players LJ Cryer: Dropped 26 points against Duke, including 6 of 8 from three. Could be a difference-maker if he replicates that form. Emmanuel Sharp & Malik Wilson: Provide offensive bursts and key hustle plays. Juwan Roberts: Defensive anchor and clutch performer at the free-throw line. 🔄 Tactical Matchups & Keys to the Game 1. Walter Clayton vs. Houston’s Guards Houston will need to throw multiple defenders (Sharp, Wilson, Uzan) at Clayton to disrupt his rhythm. Cryer, likely too small, is a liability in this matchup. 2. Interior Battle Florida is taller and has dual-big lineups. Houston, however, might be more physical and disciplined. Rebounding is expected to be a major deciding factor, with both teams in the Top 10 for offensive boards, but Houston’s edge in physicality might prevail. 3. Three-Point Shooting Neither team shoots well from inside the arc (Houston ranked 290th in 2P%), so three-point efficiency becomes crucial. If either Clayton or Cryer gets hot, it could tilt the outcome. 4. Momentum & Adjustments Florida’s comeback vs. Auburn was attributed to halftime defensive adjustments, particularly in doubling Jani Broome. Houston’s composed late-game strategy and deep experience make them less prone to the type of collapse Auburn suffered. 🔥 Intangibles & Storylines Coaching Controversy: Todd Golden (Florida) was involved in off-court allegations, which podcast hosts argue have been underreported. Fan Support: Houston showed out late but loudly; Florida fans were more subdued early. Betting Notes: Both hosts lean toward Houston. Griffin prefers 1st Half +0.5, while Ben likes Full Game +1. 🎙️ Final Predictions Big East Ben: Houston to win outright — "Flawless execution, resilient, no-rattle team." Griffin Warner: Houston 1H and full game — "Better poised, stronger defense, and more reliable execution." If you want a concise takeaway: Expect a gritty, defense-heavy game where rebounding and three-point execution will likely decide the title. The hosts are siding with Houston due to its defensive edge and tournament-tested poise. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 7

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg break down the latest stories in Major League Baseball with some futures bets. Episode Overview Hosts: Scott Seidenberg Josh Towers (former MLB pitcher) Platform: Pregame.com Recording Date: Monday, April 7 The episode dives deep into early MLB season narratives, controversial contracts, betting analysis, standout rookies, and pitching strategy under unusual conditions. 💸 Vlad Guerrero Jr.’s $500M Contract Extension Main Topic: Toronto Blue Jays signed Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to a 14-year, $500M extension — third largest in MLB history. Key Points: Marketing move over merit: Hosts argue the contract is more about maintaining a face-of-the-franchise than building a championship team. Toronto tax: The team has to overpay to attract/retain talent. Longevity gamble: At 26 years old, Vladdy is locked in until 40 — an uncommon move before the Freddie Freeman/Dodgers precedent. Influence & optics: Contract helps attract other players, demonstrating the team's commitment to spending and stability. 🧠 Front Office Influence Discussion: Josh speculates this contract was pushed more by Mark Shapiro (team president) than GM Ross Atkins. Contrasts front office control in Toronto with independent GMs like Brian Cashman and Alex Anthopoulos. 📊 Betting Focus: Braves, Giants & Playoff Odds Braves Slump: Started the season 0–7 (now 1–8). No team in MLB history has made the postseason after such a start. Plus-160 odds to miss the playoffs became a value discussion. Injuries to Acuna Jr., Strider, and Fried are key to the slow start. NL Playoff Picture: NL West (Dodgers, Padres, Giants) looks dominant early. Potential for 3 or even 4 playoff teams from that division. Braves may fall out if trends continue. 🌟 Rookie of the Year Race Jacob Wilson (A’s Shortstop): Off to a blazing start (.351 AVG, 2 HR, 2 K in 37 AB). Not hyped by MLB media due to team market size. Compared to Luis Arraez (contact hitter). Plus-380 odds to win AL ROY seen as great value. Christian Campbell (Red Sox): Batting .364, more public hype. Plus-200 odds but projected to fade due to tougher season grind. Jack Leiter (Rangers pitcher): Plus-1800 odds, solid early season. Improved pitch arsenal; strong mentorship under DeGrom & Eovaldi. Other Mentions: Dylan Crews (overhyped), Jackson Jobe (not ready yet), Jason Dominguez (defensive liability), Cam Smith (slow start). ⚾ Weather, Matchups & Game Day Betting Angles Cold-Weather Games: Cubs vs. Rangers in 22°F wind chill: lean UNDER 6 total runs. Mental toughness & pitcher comfort are major factors. Books are adjusting lines massively (e.g., -185 no-run first inning). High Altitude Ballparks: Sacramento games all going OVER. Similar to Colorado: air affects pitch break, increasing scoring. Betting value exists when under-the-radar pitchers struggle in altitude. 📈 Betting Trends & Strategy Favorites: Winning 63.6% of games early season (historical avg is ~57%). Favorites of -250 or more: 5–1 so far. Teams like Dodgers, Giants, Padres, Yankees often cover -1.5 run line. Top Over Teams: Cardinals (7-1-1), Yankees (7-2), Cubs (8-3-1) Top Under Teams: Rangers (8-2), Rays (7-2) MLB Contest Plug: Pregame.com running a Beat Andre Gomes contest, with $1,000 prize opportunity. 🏁 Final Thoughts Jacob Wilson ROY pick at +380: Best value of the year so far. Jack Leiter: Worth a longshot bet. DeGrom for AL Cy Young: Still a live bet at +1200. Weather, altitude, and betting psychology are underrated angles for early-season MLB betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 4

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for the weekend card. The guys also give out best bets. 📚 Summary (Top 10 Takeaways) [0:44] Griffin’s Tough Start: Still seeking his first Best Bet win, he recaps a failed Yankees play, blaming a late-game collapse by Mark Leiter. [2:03] Cubs/A's Game Breakdown: Munaf celebrates a successful Cubs over bet, attributing it to Joey Estes’ poor pitch control. [3:41] Giants Respect: Beating Astros in Houston earned the Giants credibility, especially behind hometown star Jordan Hicks. [5:33] White Sox vs. Tigers: Despite early struggles, Chicago leads the AL Central in run differential; both analysts agree on the under (7). [8:46] Cardinals vs. Red Sox: Griffin questions Eric Fedde’s viability post-KBO while Munaf leans on Walker Buehler’s bounce-back potential. [14:27] Padres vs. Cubs: Imanaga’s lack of velocity balanced by cold weather; Munaf favors the under (anticipated total 6.5 or 7). [18:47] A’s vs. Rockies at Coors: Cold (39°F) and snow risk prompts caution. Ryan Feltner as home dog holds appeal. [21:44] Yankees vs. Pirates: Pirates’ Keller shines early in season; Munaf leans under (8) and gives Pirates a chance to upset. [24:34] Mariners vs. Giants: Verlander favored in pitcher’s park; Miller's away struggles highlight Giants’ value. [27:42] Dodgers vs. Phillies: Phillies’ bullpen strength may be key; Munaf supports the Phillies upset bid at +124. 🔑 Key Points ⚾ Positive White Sox Start: Only AL Central team with a positive run differential (+4) through six games. 📉 Pitcher Eric Fedde Split: Stellar home ERA (1.94) vs. struggling road ERA (4.28) suggests fade on road starts. 🌡️ Cold Weather Alerts: Chicago (44°F), Detroit, and Colorado games flagged for under bets due to temperature and wind suppression. 🧊 Jack Flaherty Analysis: Effective start vs. Dodgers (5.2 IP, 2 ER) supports under bet vs. Chicago. 💪 Imanaga at Wrigley: 13–3 SU in 16 starts; reliable home dominance helps justify steep moneyline odds. 🔥 Schwellenbach’s Strong Debut: Six shutout innings vs. Padres validates Braves F5 run line pick despite team’s offensive woes. 💤 Braves Offense MIA: Still winless; streak-breaking potential discussed vs. Miami and prospect Max Meyer. 🛡️ Justin Verlander Spotlight: San Francisco’s ballpark should suppress Seattle’s power; fading Bryce Miller on the road is the theme. 🌦️ Weather as Key Factor: Weather patterns, especially in Coors Field and Philadelphia, heavily shape betting perspectives. 💸 Promo and Contest: HIT20 code offers 20% off at Pregame.com, and the Beat Andre Gomes MLB contest offers $1,000 cash prize. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 3

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk CBB Final Four betting. RJ and wiseguy round table also discuss NFL season win totals and much more. 🎙️ Quote Analysis (By Timestamp & Speaker) (0:00–3:30) — RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik RJ introduces the podcast with excitement about discussing the Final Four and surprise at how the show transitions into NFL season win totals. He promotes a $20 for $100 betting offer and highlights recent betting successes of experts like Steve Fezzik (15–5 record) and AJ Hoffman (9–3). (10:08–13:08) — Steve Fezzik, RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg Fezzik declares “Cinderella is dead,” citing a lack of upsets and close games. RJ agrees, noting Texas Tech's blown lead to Florida as the only dramatic game. Scott shares a key stat: favorites are 51–13 straight up , tying a historical record from 2007, with a clean 12–0 sweep in the Sweet 16 and Elite 8​. (13:08–15:25) — RJ Bell, Mackenzie Rivers, Steve Fezzik RJ discusses how number one seeds often falter in the Elite Eight. Mackenzie notes the top four teams separated themselves by 5 points per KenPom stats, and Fezzik highlights Duke’s overperformance versus Houston’s struggle. RJ critiques public perception heavily favoring Duke despite Houston’s advantages, such as location and travel​. (33:47–34:27) — Scott Seidenberg A powerful stat: Houston will be the ninth team to play a Final Four game in their home state. Seven of the previous eight teams won. (34:27–36:56) — RJ Bell, Mackenzie Rivers, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg Mackenzie explains travel fatigue: Florida had the second most travel miles, Auburn the least. This is the second largest travel gap since 2008. Florida faced extensive emotional strain, struggled against lower seeds, and entered the Final Four at a disadvantage. Fezzik criticizes coach inexperience and rotation issues, while Scott gives coaching edge to Auburn and Houston​. (40:50–44:00) — Scott Seidenberg, RJ Bell, Mackenzie Rivers, Steve Fezzik A statistical gem: No 1 or 2 seed unranked in preseason has ever made the Final Four—now 0–41. Two examples: Michigan State and St. John's failed again. RJ and Mackenzie calculate how improbable that is: between 1 in 8,000 and 1 in 2 million . Fezzik adds Florida barely escaped the unranked category (ranked #21 preseason)​. (1:55:39–1:57:12) — RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg NFL Over/Under win totals: Denver : Line set at 9.5, RJ thinks it’s high. New England : Line at 8.5, Steve thinks it’s too high, best bet is under 8 . Raiders : 6.5 wins, Fezzik sees big upgrades at coach and QB—lean over . Parlay picks : Philadelphia, Detroit, Green Bay, San Francisco, Rams, Buffalo, Baltimore, Kansas City, Chargers — advised over bets​. (2:00:11–2:01:36) — Mackenzie Rivers, RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg Mackenzie : Picks Denver Nuggets as his second-favorite team in the West (after OKC). Calls Jokic the best offensive player ever (scored 61 on 28 shots). Names Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Shea) as MVP: elite scoring, “plus defender,” best record in the league. Scott : OKC won 11 straight ATS. Fezzik/RJ caution that betting the top team post-All-Star historically loses​. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 2

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Valero Texas Open live from San Antonio at TPC San Antonio (Oaks). -Discussing top 8 on odds board -1 matchup -1 t10, 1 t20 -3 outrights (30/1, 55/1, 110/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest as far as the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 In the VALSPAR25 Golf Preview Podcast, Will Doctor recaps the Houston Open and offers a detailed betting breakdown for the upcoming Valero Texas Open. He opens by acknowledging a disappointing week in Houston, losing 5.5 units, bringing his season total to -53.8 units. Minwoo Lee claimed his first PGA Tour title, winning by one over Scottie Scheffler and Gary Woodland. Though Minwoo only hit 22 of 52 fairways, his dominance on and around the greens—15th in approach and around-the-green, and 2nd in putting—secured the win. Alejandro Tosti, known for his distance (4th at 317 yards), finished T-5 after a solid Sunday despite a rough start. Gary Woodland’s emotional runner-up, his best since brain surgery, was fueled by elite putting and iron play. Scottie Scheffler posted his best putting week of 2025 and nearly chased down Minwoo with a final round 63, birdieing holes 13 through 16. Will’s picks last week largely faltered. Davis Thompson (T-27) had a strong middle stretch but imploded on the greens Sunday with several missed short putts. Mac Meissner (T-39) drove poorly, finishing 67th in strokes gained off the tee, but impressed with iron play. Tony Finau missed a top-20 finish by two shots due to negative iron stats and a disastrous four-putt on Saturday’s 15th hole. Minwoo Lee’s top-20 bet hit, but Mackenzie Hughes lost top Canadian to Taylor Pendrith, who posted three rounds of 65. Looking ahead to the Valero Texas Open, Will previews a course demanding driving accuracy and elite short game on firm Bermuda greens. He dismisses favorites Ludwig Aberg (12-1), Tommy Fleetwood (14-1), Patrick Cantlay (20-1), Hideki Matsuyama (20-1), Keegan Bradley (25-1), and Jordan Spieth (25-1) due to recent struggles, poor pricing, or course history. Corey Conners, despite being 18-1, gets a top-10 pick (+175) based on his consistent form and two past wins at TPC San Antonio. Akshay Bhatia, the defending champion, earns a top-20 nod at even money given his recent top finishes. Will’s outrights include Denny McCarthy (30-1), praised for elite putting and consistent irons; Bud Cauley (55-1), coming off two top-10s with sharp ball striking; and Isaiah Salinda (110-1), a powerful, accurate rookie who dazzled late in Houston. Woodland, fresh off his emotional T-2, is his sleeper pick for a top-10 finish at 4-1. First-round picks are Cauley (+450) and Salinda (+650) to top-10, both teeing off early. His DraftKings lineup features Bhatia, McCarthy, Cauley, Woodland, Salinda, and Meissner, while the PGA Tour Fantasy roster has Bhatia, McCarthy, Cauley, Salinda (captain), Woodland, and Lee Hodges. With potential wind and rain forecasted, Will predicts a winning score of 16-under. His best bet: Salinda to finish top-20 at 3-1. Will wraps by inviting listeners to tune in next Tuesday for Masters coverage and to follow him @DRMedia59. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 1

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk Final Four betting and give out best bets. 🎯 Conclusion In a tightly packed and highly competitive Final Four, both Griffin Warner and Big East Ben favor the underdogs. They highlight Auburn (+2.5) and Houston (+5) as their picks based on stronger tournament performance, matchup advantages, and coaching stability. Florida's reliance on Walter Clayton and uncertainty around Todd Golden’s off-court controversies cast doubt on their chances, while Duke's depth and reliance on young players could be tested against Houston’s physical defense and efficient offense. Their forecast is rooted in on-court statistics, injury updates, and strategic nuances seen in previous games. 📌 Key Points 🔮 Final Four Quality: Despite being historic, Big East Ben believes 2003's Final Four may still be superior. 📊 Florida vs. Auburn Analysis: Florida is slightly favored, but Auburn’s consistent form and rebounding edge make them strong underdogs. 🧠 Jani Broome’s Injury: Questions surround Broome’s health; he played through pain but may be impaired. 🔥 Walter Clayton’s Clutch Factor: Saved Florida in half their tournament games, showing elite shooting under pressure. 🧱 Tennessee's Collapse: Poor shooting doomed Tennessee against Houston—highlighting Barnes' recurring March struggles. 💥 Houston’s Physicality: Described as "blowing everything up," Houston’s aggressive defense neutralizes offenses. 🚀 Duke's Efficiency: Duke runs elite lob plays and features standout freshman Cooper Flagg, but lacks bench depth. 📉 Rick Barnes Narrative: Continues to be viewed as underperforming in big games, despite strong teams. 💬 Rothstein Spoilers: Rothstein’s tweets accidentally spoiled multiple game outcomes for Ben while watching on delay. 📉 Todd Golden Controversy: Allegations of inappropriate conduct cast shadow over Florida’s run and Golden’s credibility. 🧠 Summary [Griffin Warner (0:15 - 1:03)]: Introduces the podcast and previews the Final Four, noting the unusual all-#1-seed format. [Big East Ben (1:03 - 1:35)]: Pushes back on the “greatest ever” Final Four label, referencing 2003 and questioning KenPom data accuracy. [Griffin Warner (2:03 - 2:54)]: Shares enthusiasm for San Antonio as the host city, anticipating a more centralized experience than past cities like Houston. [Florida vs. Texas Tech Recap (6:08 - 10:11)]: Florida came back from a massive deficit; Clayton's threes and Tech's missed free throws were key. [Alabama vs. Duke Recap (10:11 - 12:12)]: Alabama regressed after hot shooting vs. BYU; Cooper Flagg’s defense shut them down. [Tennessee vs. Houston Recap (12:14 - 14:59)]: Tennessee missed 14 straight threes; Houston capitalized despite inefficient shooting. [Auburn vs. Michigan State Recap (16:09 - 17:14)]: Auburn's Jani Broome dominated; Michigan State’s Jackson Kohler showed unexpected value. [Auburn vs. Florida Preview (20:22 - 30:09)]: Florida’s guard play praised, but Auburn seen as undervalued; concern over Broome's health remains. [Houston vs. Duke Preview (32:11 - 37:55)]: Houston’s structured sets and defense seen as key to disrupting Duke’s offensive rhythm. [Best Bets (38:34 - 38:56)]: Final picks are Auburn +2.5 and Houston +5. Both hosts prefer experienced, physical teams over inconsistent favorites. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apr 1

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner get you set for MLB Tuesday betting. Munaf and Griffin cover the entire Tuesday betting card and offer up best bets. 🎤 Quote Analysis with Speaker Names & Timestamps 🗣️ Munaf Manji (0:09–0:45) Introduces the podcast, recaps Opening Weekend, and transitions to Tuesday’s slate. 🗣️ Griffin Warner (0:55–2:05) Acknowledges a poor 0-2 betting start but expresses optimism. He highlights the Milwaukee Brewers' sweep in New York and their injury-plagued rotation. No betting lines are available for their upcoming game due to an unknown starting pitcher, emphasizing rotation depth issues . 🗣️ Munaf Manji (2:05–3:03) Focuses on the Yankees' power surge, attributing it partially to “ torpedo bats ,” reportedly used by Stanton last postseason. 🗣️ Griffin Warner (3:03–5:09) Discusses how the Yankees’ home-field power advantage—e.g., a leadoff home run by a catcher—helped sweep the Brewers. Shifts to Rafael Devers’ troubling start (0-for-16, most strikeouts in history to start a season) and criticizes Boston for keeping him in the lineup despite obvious struggles. 🗣️ Munaf & Griffin (5:09–7:04) Question whether to be concerned about the Braves after being swept by the Padres. They agree the early tough schedule (at San Diego and L.A. Dodgers) and Acuña’s absence mean it’s not time to panic. Emphasis is placed on avoiding injury rushbacks . 🗣️ Griffin Warner (7:04–9:18) Critiques the Astros for not locking up Kyle Tucker long-term. Uses this to segue into the analytical complexity of front office roles. Also reflects on the White Sox's fluctuating early performance and the value of backing underdogs like them. 📊 Player & Team Statistics + Analysis ⚾ Rafael Devers (Red Sox) Stat: 0-for-16 start; most strikeouts ever to start a season 🔍 Analysis: Coming off double shoulder injuries, his performance was called out by former Sox players; management may need to sit him. ⚾ Sandy Alcantara (Marlins) Game vs Pirates: 4 BB, 7 K, 2 ER over ~5 innings Career vs Mets: 3–5 record, 3.07 ERA 🧠 Insight: Often lacks run support. Valuable for first five inning bets due to bullpen unreliability. ⚾ Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers) Opening Weekend: 9 K, 1 HR allowed, dominated Red Sox 📌 Betting angle: Favorable K-prop and first 5-inning bets supported ⚾ Corbin Burnes (D-backs) 2024 vs Yankees: 2 starts, 2.45 ERA, 0–2 record, 11 IP, 2 HR allowed 🔍 Analysis: Has dominated Yankees, but Burnes is making his 2025 debut in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Yankees are rare home underdogs. ⚾ Kyle Hendricks (Angels) Career vs Cardinals: 14–4, 2.51 ERA in 28 starts 2024 (last year): 2 starts, 11.1 IP, 0 ER ✅ Betting lean: Strong history supports Angels as value play ⚾ Logan Gilbert (Mariners) Season Debut: 7 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 0 BB ❗ Concern: Mariners' offense struggles to support great outings Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 31

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Pregame's Scott Seidenberg recap the first weekend of the MLB season with the biggest takeaways and betting angles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 29

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB Elite 8 betting. Best bets as always. The episode begins with Griffin reacting to buzzer beaters and heartbreaking losses against the spread, particularly referencing Cooper Flagg’s three that ruined Arizona’s first-half cover. Ben joins in recounting Thursday and Friday action, pointing out how random moments like a 40-foot bounce shot can upend expectations. Both hosts discuss Caleb Love’s inconsistencies—capable of both ruining and saving spreads within the same week—highlighting his first-half blunder versus Duke and a miraculous Iowa State game earlier in the year. Griffin then transitions into his frustration over inconsistent officiating, particularly around Duke games. He recounts two clear hook-and-hold plays, only one of which was called, and criticizes the lack of accountability for referees. This leads to a detailed dissection of the Arizona-Duke ending, where Arizona’s Conrad Martinez and Henry Vassar made costly mistakes, giving Cooper Flagg an open lane and handing Duke a halftime spread cover. Griffin places that moment on his “bad beats Mount Rushmore,” alongside Kylan Boswell’s buzzer beater for Illinois. Martinez’s bench role is criticized, though Griffin admits to knowing the player from watching 24 Arizona games this season. The podcast then shifts focus to upcoming Elite 8 games. Texas Tech, six and a half point underdogs to Florida, is labeled “extremely lucky” to advance after surviving Arkansas thanks to a controversial goaltend and jump ball call. Christian Anderson’s performance, a German national team player, is praised, despite his language barrier. Florida, described as explosive and turnover-prone early vs. Maryland, is expected to win convincingly. Griffin calls out Kevin Willard’s distracted coaching at Maryland, speculating he has had one foot out the door toward Villanova for weeks. On Alabama-Duke, with a high total of 174.5, Ben confidently picks the over, citing Duke’s offensive dominance and Alabama’s relentless three-point shooting. Griffin hesitates, noting Alabama’s reliance on variance and possible regression from Mark Sears, who made 10 threes in their last game. Both agree Duke’s size and Cooper Flagg’s defense present problems for Alabama, but Ben insists the scoring will be too prolific for either defense to hold. Michigan State-Auburn is next. Auburn, behind Denver Jones and Aden Holloway, executed a 31–8 run against Michigan. Griffin criticizes Michigan’s recklessness and missed rebounding opportunities. Though MSU won narrowly, they played poorly and relied on Jace Richardson. Ben supports MSU +5, praising Coen Carr’s energy and shooting. Griffin fades MSU, saying they’ve lacked consistency all year and didn’t capitalize even when Mississippi’s stars sat early. The final matchup, Tennessee vs. Houston, has the lowest total of 123.5. Griffin chooses Tennessee +3.5, arguing the spread is too generous for a pick’em-style game. He admires Tennessee’s ability to stifle Kentucky, while Ben calls it “basketball defense pornography.” They recap Houston’s near-disaster against Purdue, where Tugler surprisingly made a key assist, but the game lacked energy despite being played near Purdue’s campus. Both blame lackluster California crowds and stadium sightlines. Player spotlights include Cooper Flagg (projected No.1 pick and elite defender), Christian Anderson, Caleb Love, Mark Sears, and Jace Richardson. The hosts repeatedly bemoan officiating, noting goaltends, jump balls, and foul inconsistencies that influenced outcomes. They also drop a $15 promo code (NIT15) for listeners. Final best bets: Ben selects Over 173.5 in Alabama-Duke, confident in nonstop offense. Griffin takes Tennessee +3.5, expecting a gritty, low-scoring brawl that benefits the dog. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 28

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers break down the NBA Friday betting card. The guys are getting ready for the home stretch of the NBA season and they give out best bets. 🔑 Key Points 📉 Fade the 76ers: Philadelphia is 7-19 ATS in last 2 months, 36% ATS overall; tanking to keep their top-6 pick. 🦵 Anthony Davis' Return: Capped at ~28 minutes but critical for Dallas Mavericks’ play-in push. 📊 Western Conference Shakeup: Seeds 3–7 separated by one game; Kings, Suns, Mavs, Lakers all in flux. 🩼 Curry Injury Watch: Listed questionable (pelvis); traveled with team; Warriors likely to rest him until playoffs. 🩸 Lillard Blood Clot: Season-ending injury raises concerns for Bucks’ title hopes. 💸 Team Trends: Knicks (without Brunson) and Bucks (without Lillard) both look vulnerable; Suns inconsistent vs elite teams. 🚨 Betting Angles: Raptors have gone 10-3 ATS in March; Hornets are historically bad (-15 net rating last 30 days). 📉 Clippers & Warriors: Both 41-31, tied in standings; tiebreaker favors Clippers. 📈 Heat Motivation: Spolstra’s squad still playing for playoff seeding; have incentive to crush the Sixers. 📢 Best Bets: Munaf—Warriors; McKenzie—Raptors -3.5; both based on injuries + motivation edge. 🧠 Summary [Commissioner Banter (0:10–2:56)]: Munaf and McKenzie joke about NBA schedule reforms, tanking incentives, and a proposed "Tank Tournament" during March Madness. The light-hearted chat introduces broader themes of player rest and late-season motivation. [Anthony Davis' Return (3:03–6:21)]: Davis is limited to 24–28 minutes as he returns vs. the Magic. McKenzie believes Dallas needs him desperately, though he might not hit full stride until the play-in. [Playoff Picture (6:22–8:20)]: Western Conference seeds 3–7 are separated by one game. Clippers, Warriors, and Lakers jockey for better seeding. Steph Curry is questionable; Warriors lost to Miami recently despite Bam and Herro stepping up. [76ers Collapse (8:21–12:34)]: McKenzie identifies Philly (7-19 ATS, 36% ATS) as a prime fade. Without Embiid, Paul George, or Maxey, they’re spiraling. The Sixers need to tank to keep a top-6 pick owed to OKC otherwise. [Knicks vs. Bucks (12:34–15:38)]: Bucks are -1 vs. Knicks. No Brunson for NY; Lillard (blood clot) and Bobby Portis out for MIL. McKenzie expects Giannis to play at less than 100%. Knicks offense suspect without Brunson. [Celtics’ East to Lose? (15:38–17:56)]: With Bucks compromised and Knicks fading, McKenzie sees Boston as clear East favorites. He’s skeptical of Cavs and thinks Milwaukee is “a dead team walking.” [Suns vs. Timberwolves (17:57–22:46)]: Phoenix, without Beal, still gets up for big games. Wolves are 11-21 ATS as home favorites. Hosts lean Suns despite Minnesota’s stronger metrics; depth concerns and motivation in spotlight. [Warriors vs. Pelicans (22:47–28:04)]: With five top Pelicans out (Zion, CJ, Herb, etc.), Munaf makes Warriors his best bet even if Curry sits. Warriors need wins to escape the play-in. Pelicans’ motivation is gone. [Raptors vs. Hornets (33:13–36:50)]: McKenzie’s best bet is Raptors -3.5. Despite resting RJ Barrett, Toronto ranks #1 in defensive rating last 10 games. Hornets are historically awful (net rating -15 over last 30 days). [Closing Banter (37:15–40:21)]: Hosts joke about RJ names and shift to March Madness. Munaf backs Houston Cougars to make Final Four; their offense is more balanced this year, and defense remains elite. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 26

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down Opening Day of the MLB season. The guys have covered futures wagers and preview both NL and AL in previous podcasts. The guys give out best bets for the opening day in this episode as well. 🎯 Conclusion: Detailed Opening Day Outlook Munaf and Griffin provide a thorough game-by-game breakdown of MLB’s Opening Day, emphasizing pitching matchups, odds movement, injury updates , and betting strategies . Their top best bets are: Griffin : Diamondbacks -128 with ace Zac Gallen against the Cubs, due to Gallen's dominant home record and poor Cubs form. Munaf : Blue Jays -102 behind Jose Berrios , citing his 10-1 lifetime record against the Orioles and their injury concerns. They emphasize waiting to bet until lineups are confirmed for better value and advise checking weather and ballpark effects, especially in Washington and Miami. 🔑 Key Points ⚾ Yankees vs. Brewers : Freddy Peralta’s swing-and-miss skills make the Brewers a live dog, especially against a shaky Yankees bullpen. 📊 Orioles vs. Blue Jays : Jose Berrios dominates the Orioles historically (10-1, 2.95 ERA); Gunnar Henderson is likely out for BAL. 🔥 Phillies vs. Nationals : Zach Wheeler is a run-line darling; Mackenzie Gore’s fade potential increases as he tires late. 🏟️ Red Sox vs. Rangers : Watch for runs with weak starting arms in Crochet (BOS) vs. Eovaldi (TEX); lean over 7.5. 🎯 Pirates vs. Marlins : A pitchers' duel—Paul Skenes vs. Sandy Alcantara; best angle is the first 5 under or Marlins 1H ML . 🧤 Giants vs. Reds : Logan Webb’s groundball vs. Hunter Greene’s strikeout/fly ball risk in a hitter’s park. Under 8 is appealing. 🚀 Braves vs. Padres : With Acuña out, Munaf and Griffin prefer home underdog Padres +113 vs. Chris Sale. 🏅 Royals vs. Guardians : If KC starts strong, they can win early. But CLE’s bullpen is untouchable late. 🌟 Mets vs. Astros : Clay Holmes starts for NYM; Framber Valdez is dominant at home. Astros -130 is favored. 🤕 White Sox vs. Angels : Very low expectations for CHW; Kikuchi should dominate a limited Sox lineup. 🧠 Cardinals vs. Twins : Sonny Gray shines at home (2.79 ERA); Twins offense missing Royce Lewis. 🐅 Tigers vs. Dodgers : Snell vs. Skubal in a tight 6.5 total; if DET can walk Snell early, they’re live. 🐍 Cubs vs. Diamondbacks : Gallen has shut out CHC in back-to-back starts; home run line highly profitable. ☔ Athletics vs. Mariners : Low total (7) fits spacious Seattle ballpark; Gilbert strong at home vs. weak OAK team. 🧠 Summary Yankees vs. Brewers (3:05 ET): Griffin favors Peralta as a live dog; Munaf sees value in strikeout props with odds of 6.5 Ks at +125. Orioles vs. Blue Jays (3:07 ET): Griffin is cautious on a weakened BAL lineup; Munaf supports TOR behind Berrios' 10-1 record vs. BAL. Phillies vs. Nationals (4:05 ET): Phillies are overpriced; Gore's arm may not last. Munaf prefers run line or 1H RL on PHI. Red Sox vs. Rangers (4:05 ET): Both hosts expect runs; lean Over 7.5 due to Crochet’s inexperience and Eovaldi’s past struggles. Pirates vs. Marlins (4:10 ET): Best pitching duel. Griffin and Munaf suggest 1H under 3 and Marlins 1H ML due to bullpen concerns. Giants vs. Reds (4:10 ET): Logan Webb’s groundballs vs. Greene’s flyballs. First five under or full game under 8 recommended. Braves vs. Padres (4:10 ET): Padres are undervalued at +113. Sale due for regression. Guardians vs. Royals (4:10 ET): KC early lead is key. CLE bullpen is dominant late. Mets vs. Astros (4:10 ET): Fade Holmes as a starter; Framber dominates at home (2.53 ERA). White Sox vs. Angels (7:10 ET): Angels are the only playable side. Avoid betting early on CHW. Twins vs. Cardinals (7:15 ET): Sonny Gray is solid at home; fading Twins offense early. Tigers vs. Dodgers (7:10 PT): Skubal has value as a dog. Tigers 1H ML is best angle. Cubs vs. Diamondbacks (10:10 ET): Gallen is 33-15 SU at home; Munaf supports him as best bet. A’s vs. Mariners (10:10 ET): Seattle home field suppresses runs; first five under ideal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 26

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk CBB betting for the Sweet 16. 🎯 Conclusion (spoilers & results) The podcast presents a rich synthesis of sports betting logic and NCAA basketball strategy as the Sweet 16 approaches. Alabama , due to its explosive offense and altitude-neutral advantage over BYU , is a favored pick among analysts. Travel distance emerges as a critical variable affecting performance— Arizona , with nearly 2,700 miles of net travel, is flagged as a risky bet against Duke , which enjoys East Coast familiarity and fan support in Newark. Michigan State vs. Ole Miss is marked by a rare equal-coaching duel between Izzo and Chris Beard , with Beard receiving the edge from AJ. Team totals, halftime betting, and second-half fouling patterns are dissected as key strategic entry points. Finally, the speakers predict a long-term decline in Cinderella stories due to NIL-era talent consolidation, hurting the unique charm of March Madness. 🧠 Key Points 📊 Fezzik’s Betting Edge : Fezzik boasts +110 units over 3 years in MLB, averaging 30+ units/year, with 42.1 units gained in 2023 alone (1:01–2:00). 🧾 Travel Distance Stats : Teams traveling 1,900+ miles in Sweet 16 rounds are just 6–20–1 ATS, with a -8.1 average margin; Arizona falls into this trap (1:17:48–1:18:22). 🧨 Alabama vs. BYU : Alabama is favored (-5) due to BYU's lost altitude edge and similar pace styles; total of 176 points could be NCAA tournament record (52:31–57:09). 📉 Sweet 16 Underdog Stats : Favorites of 6+ points were 26–2 straight up in first two rounds, 19–9 ATS; last two years combined, such teams are 51–6 SU, 38–19 ATS (15:51–16:00). 👨‍🏫 Coaching Matchup – Izzo vs. Beard : AJ highlights Chris Beard’s ability to outcoach Tom Izzo, referencing a Final Four rematch and Michigan State’s scoring inconsistency (1:30:05–1:31:12). 🔮 Fading Cinderella : Speakers agree NIL deals and transfers are eroding mid-major upsets; expect fewer Cinderella runs (25:53–29:32). 📉 NoVIG Opportunity Ignored : Virgin Las Vegas offered no-vig lines, yet was underutilized by pro bettors, despite the theoretical 4.5% advantage (8:44–11:19). 💡 Halftime Betting Strategy : “More of the Same” (MOTS) trend showed 58% success rate—betting on first-half leaders to cover 2H lines (40:06–41:36). 📉 Favorite Down at Halftime = Trap : When favorites trail at halftime, they cover just 37% in 2H; market over-adjusts due to psychological anchoring (46:14–46:31). 🔥 Fan Impact in Venue : Duke expected to dominate the Prudential Center crowd vs. Arizona; Auburn will have home-like fan advantage in Atlanta over Michigan (1:24:57–1:26:02, 1:38:33–1:42:04). Summary RJ & Fezzik Intro: Baseball & Best Bets: RJ announces $77 discount on MLB season packages; Fezzik confirms his strong 3-year run with 110 units in MLB profit. Fezzik’s NCAA Strategy: Fezzik bet 5 Sweet 16 games without sweat, defending heavy favorite strategies using efficient exchanges vs. low-odds sportsbook payouts. Critique of Moneyline Dog Bettors: Fezzik criticizes indiscriminate betting on big ML dogs with poor returns (e.g., 30:1 vs. 55:1 market odds), calling such plays “donkey” moves. NoVIG Event in Vegas: Despite a 4.5% advantage, few bettors showed at Virgin’s no-vig NCAA offer; Fezzik had a proxy place bets but faced restrictions for buying back lines. Favorites Dominate Early Rounds: In the NIL era, higher seeds (6+ pt favorites) are winning more: 51–6 SU, 38–19 ATS in last 2 years’ first two rounds. Decline of Cinderellas: NIL money leads top players to transfer up, depleting mid-majors; future tournaments expected to lack magical underdog runs. Halftime “MOTS” Betting Trend: More of the Same (MOTS) trend sees teams leading at half going 58% ATS in 2H, especially favorites. Trend flopped this year but holds over 6 years. Travel Distance Effect: Teams traveling 1900+ miles (e.g., Arizona) are just 6–20–1 ATS in Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 26

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Texas Children's Houston Open. -Discussing Top 5 favorites on the odds board -2 matchups -2 t20's -2 outrights (35/1 & 175/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest as far as the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 🎯 Conclusion Will Docter presents an expert betting analysis for the Houston Open, emphasizing the course conditions and player suitability. Memorial Park, with improved overseeding and turf conditions, favors strong short games and powerful, strategic drivers. Docter reflects on previous picks, notably Victor Hovland’s Valspar win and Lucas Glover’s top-10 finish. For the Houston Open, key bets include Davis Thompson and Mack Meissner as outright winners, Tony Finau and Min Woo Lee for top-20 finishes, and Mackenzie Hughes as top Canadian. He also projects 17 under par as the winning score and offers a top-10 best bet on Davis Thompson (+350) . 🔑 Key Points 🏌️‍♂️ Improved Turf Conditions : Overseeding makes chipping and pitching more manageable, reducing previous turf-related challenges at Memorial Park. 📊 Weather Impact : Thursday afternoon rain could affect players in the late-early draw; tee time strategy is crucial. 📈 Victor Hovland : Won the Valspar Championship with strong putting and birdies on 11, 14, 16, 17. ⛳ Lucas Glover’s Form : Top-10 at Valspar and Players; 8th around the greens and positive putting stats. ❌ Taylor Moore's Collapse : Missed cut by one due to a triple and double bogey despite solid overall play. 📉 Ryan Gerard's Decline : From eagle-birdie start to 57th place due to poor driving and chipping. 👀 Aaron Rai’s Fade : Past success in Houston, but concerns over short hitting and poor draw keep him off this week’s card. 🔥 Davis Thompson Pick : Loved for his form, short game, and tee-to-green skills; key pick at 35-1. 🧠 Strategic Matchups : Backing Castillo over Ryder and Meissner over Lauer based on metrics and draw advantages. 💡 Sleeper Bet : Mackenzie Hughes as top Canadian (+350), with favorable draw and strong course history. 📚 Summary (Top 10 Takeaways) [Will Docter] (0:18-0:31) : Introduces podcast focus on sharp PGA Tour picks for the Houston Open. [0:41-43:09] Memorial Park Course Insight : Overseeded conditions improve short game viability, reduce previous difficulties. Wet weather forecast emphasizes carry distance. Valspar Recap : Hovland’s win highlighted by great putting; Glover cashed top-10 ticket with stellar recovery and underrated short game. Poor Performances : Taylor Moore and Ryan Gerard faltered despite promising starts; issues with specific holes and short game. Singapore Recap : Winni Ding underperformed due to slow start in shortened 54-hole format; Mansell won. Memorial Park Strategy : Key skills include long, accurate driving, total iron approach (especially 150–190 yards), and sharp chipping due to small landing zones. Top 5 Picks : Scheffler (4-1): Ball striking elite but putting and weather-timing are concerns. Rory (7-1): Great form and ideal tee draw; green light for fans. Aaron Rai (28-1): Avoided due to length disadvantage and poor draw. JJ Spaun (35-1): Good iron form but lacks total driving; no past success at course. Davis Thompson (35-1): Top pick due to fit, form, and value. Matchups : Castillo > Ryder (Even): Castillo stronger off tee and in recent form. Meissner > Lauer (-110): Meissner trending up with iron play; Lauer misfiring. Picks to Place : Tony Finau Top 20 (+150): Stellar Houston record despite poor lead-in form. Min Woo Lee Top 20 (+160): Long driver, great putter, elite short game. Extras : Two Outrights: Davis Thompson (35-1), Mack Meissner (175-1). Sleeper: Mackenzie Hughes Top Canadian (+350). First Round Picks: Rory McIlroy Top 10 (+188), Sammy Valimaki Top 10 (12-1). Projected Winning Score: 17 under par. Best Bet: Davis Thompson Top 10 (+350). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 26

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down all 8 games for the Sweet 16. The guys also give out best bets. 📌 Key Points 📈 Big East Ben’s Bracket : Ranks 252nd on ESPN (top 0.1%) with 15/16 correct picks—only missed Arkansas (1:13). 🧠 BYU Analysis : Shot 12/26 from 3, 15/16 FT vs. Wisconsin; strong frontcourt (Keita, Traore), but undersized vs. Alabama’s bigs like Cliff Amore (7:01). 📉 Mark Sears Critique : Called inefficient and “garbage time” scorer—despite being Alabama’s spearhead (8:05). 🩼 Grant Nelson Injury Watch : Improved in Round 2 but not 100% yet (8:45). 🔥 Maryland’s Consistency : Largest loss all season is only 5 points; strong against spreads (16:21). 🎯 Duke vs Arizona Mismatch : Ben criticizes Tommy Lloyd's in-game decisions vs Oregon (20:13). Griffin calls it a huge coaching mismatch favoring Duke's Jon Scheyer (21:44). 💪 Texas Tech Praise : Ben touts JT Toppin’s dominance and Tech’s tactical shift against Drake (26:13). 🔒 Michigan State Defense : #1 in 3PT defense; strong rebounding; Ben picks Sparty as his best bet (29:25). 🔄 Tennessee vs Kentucky : Despite Kentucky sweeping regular season series, Ben says Otega Oweh replaces Jackson Robinson’s impact; both hosts pick Kentucky (+4) (33:19). 📊 Stat Breakdown : BYU: 12/26 3PT, 15/16 FT vs Wisconsin. St. John’s: 2/22 3PT vs Arkansas. Arkansas: 2/19 3PT (26:04). Michigan State: Top 20 in rebounding & FT shooting (29:25). Mississippi: 317th in foul avoidance (29:25). 📘 Summary (Game-by-Game + Analysis) [0:14] Podcast Intro & Bracket Banter Ben ranks #252/25M on ESPN. Missed only Arkansas for Sweet 16. Griffin is second in their group of 40. [6:51] BYU vs Alabama BYU (+5.5) is hot—shooting well and strong frontcourt. Alabama underwhelmed vs. St. Mary’s. Sears deemed inefficient. Both hosts lean BYU. [10:05] Maryland vs Florida Queen (Maryland) is impactful. Florida’s guard play strong but foul-prone. Both take Maryland (+6.5). Game could hinge on rebounding and tempo. [18:42] Arizona vs Duke Arizona criticized for Tommy Lloyd’s passive coaching. Duke gets favorable whistles. Arizona has 3 NBA-level guards; Duke has coaching edge. Both like Arizona (+9.5). [25:25] Arkansas vs Texas Tech Texas Tech praised for JT Toppin and tactical shift. Arkansas lucked out vs weak St. John's. Ben picks Tech (-5.5); Griffin stays loyal to Arkansas (+5.5). [29:25] Mississippi vs Michigan State Ben's best bet is Michigan State (-3.5), citing elite defense, rebounding, and foul shooting. Griffin hesitant, takes Mississippi (+3.5) for variance value. [31:07] Tennessee vs Kentucky Kentucky swept regular season. Otega Oweh emerged as star. Both lean Kentucky (+4). Tennessee’s defense slipping (112 rating last 5 vs 99 season avg). [34:15] Michigan vs Auburn Griffin dislikes Auburn. Thinks Michigan could win outright. Picks Michigan (+8.5). [34:16] Purdue vs Houston Ben picks OVER (132.5), citing offensive growth. Griffin skeptical of Purdue’s scoring depth. Both imply Houston dominance possible. [35:36] Best Bets Recap Ben’s best bet: Michigan State -3.5 Griffin’s best bet: BYU +5.5 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 25

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk NL Season preview. The guys discuss what they see happening in the national league this season. 📌 Key Points 📊 Mets pitching issues : Clay Holmes as a starter is a major risk; Mets' success depends on pitching health. 🔥 Braves’ injury curse : Despite talent, health concerns for Ronald Acuña Jr. and others cast doubts. ⚡ Phillies' stability : Strong home record, elite rotation (Wheeler, Nola, Sánchez); Schwarber as DH is key. 💣 Marlins tanking : 100-loss team with no offensive standout; Sandy Alcantara trade imminent. 🔨 Nationals rebuilding : Young stars like CJ Abrams and Dylan Crews shine; over win total is a lean. 📉 Brewers disrespected : 83.5 win total seems low for perennial winners; bullpen and young talent notable. 🧨 Cubs overrated : Fragile rotation, Kyle Tucker injury concerns; team favored due to public support. 🛑 Cardinals in decline : Aging stars, Arenado may be traded; under 76.5 wins is a sharp call. 💫 Dodgers elite depth : Rotation goes 7-deep; minus-500 favorites for good reason. 🚀 Padres upside : Elite offense; if Dylan Cease performs and they trade for Sandy, could challenge Dodgers. 🧠 Summary Mets Breakdown : Griffin and Munaf (5:31) dissect the Mets' rotation concerns. Clay Holmes transitioning from closer to starter is risky, and injuries to Senga and others raise doubts about the 90.5 win total. They highlight strong hitters like Soto, Alonso, and Lindor but question if offense can carry them. Braves Analysis : (11:28) Braves projected at 93.5 wins. Griffin doubts their injury-prone roster—Acuña’s ACLs, Strider’s TJ surgery. Despite Chris Sale’s resurgence, the rotation and bullpen raise flags. Phillies Outlook : (16:05) Phillies win total ~91.5. Munaf praises their deep lineup (Schwarber, Castellanos, Harper) and consistent rotation led by Wheeler. Griffin notes road game underperformance but supports their division title hopes. Marlins & Nationals : (23:50) Marlins have the lowest expectations, with a -204 run differential in 2024 and no projected 15-HR hitter. Nationals, though unlikely contenders, feature an exciting young core and a competitive spirit under McKenzie Gore. NL Central: Brewers Dominance : (31:22) Brewers projected at 83.5 wins despite past consistency. Munaf and Griffin see value here, citing strong bullpen, Jackson Chourio’s emergence, and addition of Jose Quintana. Cubs Hype Questioned : (36:45) Analysts criticize the Cubs’ 86.5 win total. Injuries, suspect rotation, and overvalued acquisitions (e.g., Ryan Pressly) suggest underperformance. Cardinals Breakdown : (41:51) With a 76.5 win total, Griffin is bearish, especially if Sonny Gray is injured. Contreras moving to 1B shows dysfunction; Arenado trade rumors loom. Reds & Pirates : (45:43) Griffin sees Terry Francona helping Reds compete but doubts pitching. Pirates’ fate rests on Paul Skenes; team lacks power and depth—bet unders. Dodgers Overwhelming Favorites : (56:26) With a 103.5 win total, the Dodgers’ rotation (Snell, Yamamoto, Glasnow) and bats (Ohtani, Freeman) make them a juggernaut. Munaf calls them better than their 2020 title-winning team. Padres & D-Backs : (59:35) Padres (85.5 wins) are Griffin’s dark horse due to a potent offense. D-backs (86.5 wins) add Corbin Burnes and have bullpen upside with Justin Martinez, but it's a tough division. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 24

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner are getting ready for the new MLB 2025 season. The guys talk American League in this episode. Talk future wagers, division predictions and much more. The 2025 American League season is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent memory, especially in the AL East, where the Yankees, Red Sox, and Orioles are tightly packed in both talent and odds. The Central appears more top-heavy, with Cleveland underrated despite strong pitching depth, while the Royals and Tigers eye developmental leaps. The AL West showcases turmoil with the Angels and Athletics at the bottom, while the Astros aim to stay relevant despite shedding stars. Notably, injury concerns and bullpen strength dominate conversations. Betting-wise, the hosts take varied stances, with crossfires on the Red Sox and consistent skepticism around Toronto, the White Sox, and the Angels. 🧠 Key Points 📉 Pitching Depth Matters : Across all divisions, the theme is clear—strong rotations and bullpens are key to success in 2025. 🔁 Astros in Transition : Once-dominant, Houston now faces identity challenges after major roster losses and conservative spending. 💰 Betting Advice : Griffin leans Yankees (AL East), Guardians (AL Central), Mariners (AL West); Munaf favors Red Sox, Royals, and Rangers. 🩹 Injury Watch : Concerns highlighted for key players like Rafi Devers, Shane McClanahan, George Kirby, and Royce Lewis. 📊 Team Futures : Red Sox and Royals viewed as “sexy picks”; skepticism remains around the Blue Jays and Angels. 🧱 Bullpen Builds : Teams like Cleveland, Houston, and Tampa Bay lean heavily on their deep bullpens for competitiveness. ⚾ Player Watch : Bobby Witt Jr., Tariq Skubal, and J-Rod expected to be breakout or anchor stars. 🚫 White Sox Warning : Set for another 100-loss season, lowest division odds at 250-to-1. 📍 Division Dynamics : AL East parity at the top; Central has undervalued contenders; West features power shifts and rebuilding. 📈 Win Totals to Watch : Griffin: Red Sox UNDER 87.5, Guardians OVER 81.5, Angels UNDER 72.5 Munaf: Blue Jays UNDER 78.5, Royals OVER 83.5, Athletics OVER 71.5 📝 Summary 🎧 Introduction & Setup : Munaf and Griffin introduce the preview (0:09-1:13), covering AL divisions, win totals, and best bets. 🌬️ AL East Overview : Griffin shares allergy woes before diving into favorites—Yankees (+135), Orioles (+270), Red Sox (+350), Rays (8-1), Jays (13-1) (1:14–3:31). 📈 Red Sox Rebuild & Bet Analysis : Griffin skeptical on Boston's leap; Munaf bullish due to pitching adds like Garrett Crochet and leadership by Bregman (4:00–10:04). ❗ Yankees Depth & Outlook : Injuries to Gerrit Cole and others discussed. Additions like Max Fried and Goldschmidt offer upside (12:43–17:34). 🧨 Orioles' Rotation & Regression Risk : Munaf flags lack of rotation depth and Gunnar Henderson’s injury (14:30–16:05). 🤕 Blue Jays & Fade Potential : Griffin critical of Toronto's trajectory and lack of an extension for Vlad Jr. (21:28–23:02). 🧂 Tampa Bay Rays at Home : A classic value team to back at home, despite McClanahan injury woes (24:03–25:35). 💎 AL Central Breakdown : Cleveland's bullpen gets heavy praise; Royals seen as ready to leap; Tigers and Twins raise durability concerns (26:36–45:31). 🔨 AL West Shake-Up : Astros lose key players, still favored. Rangers aim for a bounce back. A’s and Angels remain bottom feeders (48:13–1:07:20). 🎲 Best Bets & Division Picks Recap : Final segment with all win total picks and division winners by both hosts (1:12:52–1:16:05). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 23

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB betting for the Sunday March Madness card. March 22 “Need for Seeds” College Basketball Podcast with Griffin Warner and Big East Ben. The hosts began by analyzing Saturday’s Round of 32 losses and looking ahead to Sunday’s games. Griffin criticized Drake’s coach, McCollum, for failing to adjust to JT Toppin’s dominance against Texas Tech. Toppin shot 12-for-14, and Griffin mocked McCollum’s interview awkwardness and coaching rigidity. Ben echoed the criticism, pointing out McCollum ignored UNCW’s successful strategy. Both hosts agreed that Drake didn’t adapt defensively, and Griffin admitted only realizing in hindsight how stagnant their scheme was. Ben joked about BYU's Dawson Baker delivering an “all-time nut shot” and mentioned that the Badgers were too slow to capitalize. He then criticized how NIL and transfers have gutted mid-majors, shifting power toward elite programs and killing underdog stories. Griffin responded by saying the tournament is now a “favorites paradise,” and even good underdogs struggled to win outright. Both were frustrated by end-of-game scenarios and failed covers, especially in games like Gonzaga’s push, which involved pointless fouls and missed final shots. Griffin and Ben moved through Sunday’s betting card. On UConn vs. Florida, Ben confidently picked Florida -9, foreseeing a blowout and possibly a Danny Hurley ejection. Griffin leaned UConn +9 due to line value but acknowledged Florida’s strengths and UConn’s inconsistency. On Baylor vs. Duke, Griffin liked Baylor’s shooters and athletes but warned Duke’s size could overwhelm them. Ben thought the game total (143.5) was low and envisioned Duke pulling away late. Both agreed Baylor needed to slow the game to stay close. In Illinois vs. Kentucky, Ben leaned under 170, doubting either team’s consistency. Griffin took Illinois -2, citing Kentucky’s softness and reliance on threes. He admitted the pick wasn’t strong but viewed it as a better side. On Alabama vs. St. Mary’s, Ben said Alabama would “run them off the court,” calling St. Mary’s “slow as molasses.” He compared Alabama to a better version of Vanderbilt, who nearly beat St. Mary’s. Griffin backed under 149 instead, saying Alabama would control pace and St. Mary’s couldn’t score enough. The Colorado State vs. Maryland game had Ben predicting a blowout win for Maryland due to their size and physicality. Griffin was cautious but took over 143, sensing a closer game. On Ole Miss vs. Iowa State, both liked Ole Miss +5.5. Ben even predicted a straight-up win, noting Iowa State’s injuries and offensive issues. Griffin agreed, citing better health and shooting depth for Ole Miss. For New Mexico vs. Michigan State, Ben dismissed New Mexico’s reliance on offensive rebounds, which wouldn’t work against Michigan State’s bigs. He backed Michigan State -7.5. Griffin partially disagreed, saying Marquette’s Stevie Mitchell was a tougher defender than MSU’s guards. Still, he acknowledged that New Mexico’s lack of shooting and depth made them vulnerable and chose under 148.5. Player comments included praise for JT Toppin’s efficiency, criticism of Frederick King’s brief poor performance, and debates over players like David Joplin, Chase Ross, and Solo Ball. BYU’s Keita and Traore were highlighted for overpowering Wisconsin inside. The hosts also joked about coaching rumors, NIL finances, and players’ tournament trajectories. Ben cited his bracket ranking in the 99.9th percentile but attributed that to picking mostly favorites. Griffin reflected on how betting underdogs but picking favorites in brackets led to regret. They wrapped the show with their best bets: Ben took Alabama -5.5, while Griffin preferred the under in the same game. They offered a $25 promo code “survive to five” and teased their Sweet 16 coverage and tournament merch. Their contrasting picks reflect different philosophies—Ben trusting elite talent, Griffin seeking value against inflated lines. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 22

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down the second round of the big dance Saturday games. Best Bets as always 🎯 Conclusion: Deep Dive into Tournament Drama The second round lacked the electrifying upsets of prior years, but hosts Griffin and Ben remained fully engaged, diving into underdog surges (like UNC Wilmington and Drake), Big Ten dominance, and star performances (e.g., Kalkbrenner for Creighton, Graham E.K. for Gonzaga). Multiple games highlighted coaching challenges and team inconsistencies, while bold predictions were made against favorites like Houston and BYU. Best bets included Wisconsin and Michigan, based on matchups and perceived advantages in athleticism and game prep. Tensions around McNeese coach Will Wade’s pending departure added a storyline twist. 📌 Key Points 🎯 McNeese vs. Clemson : Clemson struggled offensively; McNeese’s defense and energy early gave them an edge (6:10–7:01). 📉 Underwhelming Early Tournament : No standout buzzer-beaters or iconic first-round moments (0:43–2:10). 💪 Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington : UNC Wilmington’s comeback exposed Texas Tech’s lack of offensive identity (14:00–15:50). 🔥 Wisconsin's Resilience : Ben emphasized Big Ten toughness and picked Wisconsin over BYU, citing defensive advantage and altitude acclimation (19:13–22:07). 🏀 Drake’s Cohesion : Flawless execution against Missouri earns high praise; picked as strong underdog vs. Texas Tech (15:16–16:30). 😤 UConn vs. Oklahoma : First UConn deficit in years; brutal non-cover due to late-game sequence (2:11–2:41). 🧱 Creighton vs. Auburn : Kalkbrenner expected to dominate defensively; Creighton picked to cover nine points (17:01–18:58). 📉 Big East Struggles : Both hosts voiced disappointment in Big East showings; fading teams like St. John’s and Liberty (9:43–10:17). 📈 Gonzaga Upset Watch : Gonzaga seen as a live dog vs. Houston due to injuries and offensive momentum (22:51–24:53). 🎤 Will Wade’s McNeese : Storyline intrigue as Wade leads McNeese while prepping for his NC State job (35:00–36:00). 🧠 Summary Breakdown Tournament Lacks Signature Moments : Ben opens with disappointment over the absence of iconic first-round games, unlike prior years like Furman–Virginia or Pegues' buzzer-beater for Auburn. Clemson vs. McNeese Breakdown : Griffin and Ben analyze Clemson's shooting woes and McNeese's defensive switch-ups; Wade’s zone defense may not work against Purdue. Purdue & UConn Analysis : Purdue expected to overpower McNeese; UConn's narrow cover fails due to late turnovers and missed shots. St. John’s vs. Arkansas Preview : Arkansas praised for facing stronger competition; both pick Arkansas to cover +7.5 against a less physical St. John’s. Michigan vs. Texas A&M Insight : A&M’s reliance on putbacks and free throws called out; Michigan favored due to interior presence and superior backcourt. Texas Tech’s Offense Exposed : Hawkins’ reckless play and overreliance on threes led to UNCW comeback; Drake picked to cover +7 due to system discipline. Creighton’s Size Advantage : Kalkbrenner's dominance inside expected to stifle Auburn; hosts back Creighton +9 confidently. Big Ten Love, BYU Disrespect : Heated debate as Ben champions Big Ten physicality; Griffin defends BYU’s multidimensional offense vs. Wisconsin. Gonzaga vs. Houston Battle : Both agree on Gonzaga’s upset potential with E.K. and strong perimeter shooting; Houston’s Juwan Roberts injury factor. UCLA vs. Tennessee Analysis : Tennessee’s defense earns respect, but UCLA’s balanced attack wins Griffin’s pick; game total debated due to both teams’ strengths. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 21

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Friday betting. The guys have been hot and offer up some best bets. 📌 Conclusion In this episode, Munaf and Mackenzie examined critical late-season developments as teams head toward playoff positioning. They highlighted the Miami Heat's dramatic collapse (10-game losing streak), the red-hot surge of the Houston Rockets (winners of 8 straight), and provided in-depth betting angles for upcoming matchups. Munaf leaned under on Miami’s season wins and praised Houston’s defensive surge, while Mackenzie spotlighted the Pistons as a surprise powerhouse. Both experts agreed on key best bets, notably favoring Detroit against the Mavericks. Their analysis was rooted in recent team trends, internal player dynamics, and implications for playoff outcomes. This episode was structured by timestamps, aligning insights to specific game discussions. 🔑 Key Points 📉 Miami Heat collapse : Lost 10 straight; worst offensive team since All-Star break. 🔥 Houston Rockets surge : 8-game win streak; #2 seed in West; +12.1 net rating last 5 games. 📊 Munaf’s Best Bet : Pistons team total over 121.5 vs Mavericks, based on Dallas’ collapsing defense. 🧠 Mackenzie’s Best Bet : Pistons -5.5 first half, based on strong ATS and early-game performance metrics. 🏀 Bam Adebayo regression : Now a negative offensive player, per estimated plus-minus. 🛠️ Cavs-Suns Analysis : Munaf leans Cavs team total over; Mackenzie leans Suns (motivational spot). 📈 Clippers-Grizzlies : Clippers favored by 3.5 without Ja Morant; lean Clippers 1H ATS due to Grizzlies' poor early-game stats. 🎯 Coach of the Year Discussion : Kenny Atkinson still favorite despite Cavs losses; Draymond Green campaign boosts DPOY candidacy. 💡 Pregame.com Promo : Code “DUNK25” for $25 off any package; offers value for March Madness and NBA playoff bets. 📉 Dallas Mavericks stats : Worst defense in NBA over last 5 games (127.3 rating); allowed 122+ points in 10 straight games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 20

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB EAST Region betting. The guys are locked and loaded for March Madness and offer up best bets. Summary: CBB East Region Games Preview + Best Bets This document provides an in-depth analysis of the NCAA tournament's East Region , featuring expert insights, predictions, and best bets for various matchups. Hosted by Griffin Warner and Big East Ben , the podcast episode covers key matchups, betting odds, and tournament expectations, including discussions on teams like Duke, Baylor, Mississippi State, Oregon, Liberty, Arizona, VCU, BYU, Wisconsin, and Montana . The episode includes analysis of team performances, potential upsets, and expert betting advice. Key Takeaways & Best Bets 📌 Duke's Dominance : The Blue Devils are expected to cruise through early rounds, with discussions on whether Cooper Flagg will make his debut before the Sweet 16. 📌 Baylor vs. Mississippi State : The hosts agree that both teams have weaknesses, but Baylor’s defensive adjustments could be the key to their success. 📌 Liberty as an Upset Pick : Liberty is tiny but efficient , with a strong offensive strategy . The hosts lean toward Liberty covering the spread against Oregon. 📌 Arizona’s Strength : Arizona is heavily favored over Akron (-15), with concerns about Akron’s height disadvantage and fast pace working against them. 📌 VCU over BYU : VCU is the best bet of the East Region. The team is athletic, defensively solid , and capable of controlling BYU’s three-point shooting. 📌 St. Mary’s Over Vanderbilt : St. Mary’s is considered a safe pick to advance, as their slow tempo should give them control over Vanderbilt. 📌 Wisconsin’s Evolution : A surprising high total (152) for a Wisconsin game , showing their new offensive approach. Wisconsin is expected to win big against Montana . 📌 Alabama Concerns : Injuries to Mark Sears and Grant Nelson make Alabama’s outlook uncertain despite their heavy -23 point spread against Robert Morris. 📌 Betting Promo Code : Listeners can use "SHOCKER25" for a discount on pregame.com betting services. 📌 Final Best Bets : VCU +2.5 over BYU (Big East Ben's pick) St. Mary's -4 over Vanderbilt (Griffin Warner's pick) Final Thoughts The East Region has some great betting opportunities , with potential upsets (Liberty over Oregon, VCU over BYU) and dominant favorites (Arizona and Duke). Betting angles focus on team strengths, injuries, pace of play, and coaching strategies. VCU and St. Mary’s stand out as the best bets . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 20

RJ Bell, AJ Hoffman, Scott Seidenberg, Mackenzie Rivers and Steve Fezzik break down all the March Madness Friday games. The guys give out a ton of bets to consider for the first round. The document provides a detailed breakdown of the NCAA March Madness Friday games, focusing on betting insights and team matchups. Analysts RJ Bell, AJ Hoffman, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers discuss various teams' strengths, weaknesses, and betting angles. Key Takeaways: Bracket Picks: RJ Bell and AJ Hoffman discuss the best value for Final Four picks, leaning towards teams like Auburn and Houston. Game Previews: They analyze matchups such as Baylor vs. Mississippi State, UCLA vs. Utah State, and Alabama vs. Robert Morris, providing insights on spreads, totals, and best bets. Betting Strategies: The analysts highlight key trends like historical success of certain seeds, KenPom rankings, and conference performances. Team Strengths & Weaknesses: Factors such as three-point defense, pace, coaching experience, and recent form are discussed. Underdog Considerations: They evaluate whether lower-seeded teams like Liberty or Lipscomb have upset potential. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 19

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Dave Essler, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk CBB March madness Thursday games. The guys break down each game for the Thursday games and offer up a lot of bets. March Madness 2024 is here, bringing excitement and betting opportunities for college basketball fans. The Dream Podcast - CBB Madness All Thursday Games Preview delivers expert analysis, betting trends, and top picks from RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg, McKenzie Rivers, and Dave Essler. They break down key matchups, historical betting insights, and market adjustments to help bettors maximize their profits. One major takeaway is the value in understanding public betting trends. With ESPN and other platforms now showing bracket selections, bettors can identify contrarian opportunities and gain an edge. RJ Bell introduces his Dream Bracket system, offering a chalky bracket for small pools and a long-shot bracket for riskier plays. Steve Fezzik discusses first-half unders, a historically profitable strategy in March Madness, particularly in early round games. Data from Scott Seidenberg supports this, showing first-half unders in the first round have hit at a 56-39-1 rate over the past three tournaments. Several key matchups are analyzed, starting with Louisville vs. Creighton, where Dave Essler backs Louisville -2.5 due to Creighton’s turnover struggles. Fezzik recommends the first-half under due to the early start time and potential slow pace. In Purdue vs. High Point, Fezzik takes High Point +9, citing Purdue’s history of tournament struggles and the fatigue factor for Big Ten teams. In Wisconsin vs. Montana, Essler bets Wisconsin First Half -9.5, emphasizing their faster pace and offensive explosiveness. Montana’s potential altitude advantage is acknowledged but considered insufficient to overcome Wisconsin’s strength. Houston vs. SIU Edwardsville presents a massive 1 vs. 16 mismatch. Fezzik continues his strategy of betting heavy favorites on the moneyline, as number one seeds laying 23 or more points have a 155-2 straight-up record. He takes Houston ML at -8000 while also recommending SIU team total under 48.5. Auburn vs. Alabama State follows a similar pattern, with Essler betting Alabama State team total under 59.5, citing Auburn’s elite defense. Texas A&M vs. Yale is identified as a potential upset, with both Essler and Fezzik taking Yale +7.5. They argue that A&M lacks offensive firepower, making it difficult for them to build a lead. Yale’s ability to control tempo and limit turnovers makes them a strong underdog play. Michigan vs. UC San Diego is discussed, with RJ Bell pointing out that Michigan’s spread suggests the teams are evenly matched despite Michigan’s size advantage. Fezzik warns of Big Ten fatigue and leans towards San Diego. UCLA vs. Utah State sees a split opinion. Essler takes Utah State +5.5, citing their ability to shoot over UCLA’s defense. However, Fezzik warns that the Mountain West Conference has a terrible track record in March Madness, with a 32 percent ATS record since 2001. Several key betting trends are also highlighted. Fezzik notes that every NIT game total has moved up by 2 to 5 points before tip-off due to public money, indicating a potential fade opportunity. He also emphasizes that sharp bettors grab the best early lines, while public bettors often get worse closing numbers. Other trends include the struggles of Big Ten teams due to travel fatigue and the historically poor performance of Mountain West teams. Final betting recommendations include Yale +7.5, Utah State +5.5, Wisconsin First Half -9.5, first-half unders, and a Houston and Auburn moneyline parlay. March Madness is a prime opportunity for betting, and understanding market movements, historical trends, and expert insights can give bettors an advantage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 19

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Valspar Championship, plus an outright winner for the Porsche Singapore Classic. -Top 7 on odds board discussion -1 matchup -2 p2p -3 outrights (70/1, 80/1, 110/1) -Sleeper -FRP -2 lineups, scoring, best bet -Porsche Singapore outright For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59 The Valspar Championship at Copperhead Course in Innisbrook, Florida, features a competitive field of 25 of the world’s top 50 golfers. The tournament is known for its demanding layout, particularly the final stretch, called the Snake Pit, which plays over par and requires precision. Last year’s winner, Peter Malnati, took the title at 12 under, while past winners like Taylor Moore and Sam Burns have also thrived under similar conditions. This year’s field includes major names like Justin Thomas, Tommy Fleetwood, Xander Schauffele, Sepp Straka, Shane Lowry, Corey Conners, and Will Zalatoris, all looking to capture the title. Rory McIlroy enters the tournament fresh off a win at The Players Championship, where he staged a comeback and secured his 28th PGA Tour victory in a three-hole playoff against J.J. Spaun. Key betting insights for the Valspar Championship include outright picks, matchups, and placement bets. Among the favorites, Corey Conners stands out as a strong option for a Top 20 finish (+115, MGM), given his excellent form and consistent iron play. Lucas Glover, a five-time PGA Tour winner, is an attractive outright pick at 70-1, with a history of strong finishes at Copperhead and an improving putter. Taylor Moore, the 2023 Valspar champion, is listed at 80-1 and has found accuracy off the tee again. Ryan Gerard, another dark horse at 110-1, has shown promise in previous tournaments, particularly with his putting. A top sleeper pick is Kaito Onishi, available at 10-1 for a Top 40 finish. Onishi played at Innisbrook during his junior career and could surprise the field. The best matchup bet for this tournament is Bud Cauley over Sam Stevens (-110). Cauley has been showing steady improvement, finishing T-6 at The Players, while Stevens has been struggling with iron play and putting. Another key first-round bet is Chandler Phillips to finish in the Top 10 after Round 1 (+650, MGM). Phillips has been opening tournaments well, including a T-3 finish at last year’s Valspar. Fantasy lineups for DraftKings and PGA Tour Fantasy focus on players who excel in ball striking and accuracy, including Corey Conners, Lucas Glover, Taylor Moore, Bud Cauley, Adam Schenk, and Kaito Onishi. These selections are based on recent performance trends and their suitability for the Copperhead Course. In addition to the Valspar Championship, the DP World Tour’s Porsche Singapore Classic presents another betting opportunity. Rising Chinese star Ding Winyi, available at 40-1, has recorded four Top 25 finishes in ten DP World Tour starts. At just 20 years old, Winyi has already won the 2024 Asia Pacific Amateur Championship and is quickly establishing himself as a contender. The winning score prediction for the Valspar Championship is 15 under, given favorable weather conditions. The best bet for the event is Lucas Glover to finish in the Top 10 (+320, MGM), as he has a proven record of strong performances at Copperhead and is in excellent form. This preview covers all aspects of the Valspar Championship and Porsche Singapore Classic, from outright winners and sleeper picks to fantasy golf strategies and best bets for the week. Tune in next week for a preview of the Houston Open, where top players, including Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler, will compete for another major title. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 19

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down the CBB WEST Region games. The guys also give out a double best bet ! Expert NCAA Tournament West Region analysis with in-depth game breakdowns, bracket predictions, and best bets for March Madness 2024. Hosts Griffin Warner and Big East Ben analyze first-round matchups, highlighting key statistics, betting trends, and potential upsets. Florida enters as the number one seed after a strong SEC Tournament run, facing Norfolk State, a team with a history of surprises. UConn has covered twelve straight NCAA Tournament games but faces an Oklahoma team that finished the season strong. Memphis is a five-seed but enters as a two-point underdog to Colorado State, reflecting concerns over their late-season form and injuries. Maryland faces Grand Canyon, which relies heavily on getting to the free throw line, but Maryland’s disciplined defense ranks among the best in avoiding fouls. Missouri is favored over Drake, but Drake’s slowest tempo in the country could disrupt Missouri’s fast-paced attack. Texas Tech’s injuries raise concerns against UNC Wilmington, making the fifteen-and-a-half-point spread one of the best underdog bets of the tournament. Arkansas and Kansas meet in a closely matched contest, with Kansas favored by four and a half, though Arkansas could cover. St. John’s takes on Omaha, which applies defensive pressure but lacks offensive efficiency to pose a serious threat. Bracket selections include Florida, UConn, Colorado State, Maryland, Drake, Texas Tech, Kansas, and St. John’s advancing. The best bets of the round are UNC Wilmington plus fifteen and a half against Texas Tech, Drake plus six against Missouri, and Oklahoma plus five and a half against UConn. The podcast continues with the East Region next, offering additional insights and betting strategies for March Madness. Use promo code Dance25 for twenty-five dollars off best bets on Pregame.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 18

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for the new upcoming season. The MLB Season Preview Podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner, covers key storylines, stat leader predictions, and awards markets for the 2025 MLB season. The episode begins with a recap of the Dodgers’ 4-1 victory over the Cubs in the Tokyo Series, marking the official season opener. Munaf and Griffin discuss Yankees’ ace Gerrit Cole missing the season due to Tommy John surgery, making Max Fried’s signing more valuable. Griffin speculates on the Yankees potentially trading for Sandy Alcantara to reinforce their rotation. The hosts analyze the strikeout leader market, with Griffin emphasizing the importance of volume and durability. Paul Skenes is the favorite but may face inning limits. Zach Wheeler (20-1) emerges as a strong contender due to his fastball velocity and workload. Munaf highlights Garrett Crochet (+750) as a breakout candidate for the Red Sox, though Griffin expresses caution. Luis Castillo (66-1) and Robbie Ray (40-1) are considered longshots. For saves leader, Emmanuel Clase (7-1) is a top contender, given the Guardians' ability to play close games. Josh Hader (10-1) intrigues Munaf as Houston’s full-time closer. Mason Miller (14-1) could be a trade target, while Tanner Scott (33-1) is dismissed due to the Dodgers’ bullpen committee. The wins leader discussion highlights Zach Wheeler (10-1) and Tariq Skubal (10-1) as co-favorites. Munaf considers Blake Snell (22-1) as a workhorse for the Dodgers and suggests Hunter Brown (50-1) as a potential ace for Houston. Griffin sees Logan Gilbert and George Kirby (50-1) as interesting options in the Mariners’ rotation. For home run leader, Aaron Judge (4-1) and Shohei Ohtani (6-1) top the odds. Griffin questions Fernando Tatis Jr. (20-1) being highly rated despite inconsistency. Munaf backs Juan Soto (28-1), believing he will thrive in New York. Gunnar Henderson, Jose Ramirez (40-1), and Rafael Devers (55-1) are mentioned as longshots. The Cy Young discussion features Paul Skenes (3-1) as a favorite, but Griffin warns of injury risk. He sees Zach Wheeler and Corbin Burnes (12-1) as strong candidates. Munaf takes a longshot bet on Walker Buehler (90-1), citing his strong postseason form and fresh start in Boston. For MVP, Ohtani (+170) and Judge (+310) lead the markets. Griffin highlights Ronald Acuña Jr. (16-1) but is concerned about his injury history. Munaf supports Juan Soto (5-1) for his elite plate discipline in New York. Griffin also likes Jackson Chourio (33-1) as an emerging star for Milwaukee. In the AL MVP race, Griffin prefers Jose Ramirez (16-1) and Julio Rodríguez (20-1), citing J-Rod’s injury-affected 2024 season. Munaf backs Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (17-1), believing he is playing for a major contract. The episode concludes with best bets: Griffin selects Emmanuel Clase (6-1) as AL saves leader, while Munaf picks Walker Buehler (90-1) to win AL Cy Young. The podcast previews upcoming division breakdowns and continued analysis throughout the 2025 season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 18

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB SOUTH Region betting. The guys go through each game in the south region and give out a best bet. In the latest episode of the Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast (0:15 - 0:59), host Griffin Warner welcomes listeners to a breakdown of the NCAA Tournament’s South Region. He is joined by co-host Big East Ben, who appears on the show wearing a headband, prompting some lighthearted banter. Warner notes that this region features teams like San Diego State and North Carolina, as well as San Francisco and Alabama State. Big East Ben (0:59 - 1:21) responds that he is preparing for several long nights analyzing matchups and statistics. He acknowledges receiving a detailed tournament binder from their friend Scott Fischel but insists he needs to dig deeper into the data. As the discussion unfolds (1:21 - 3:07), Warner and Ben begin breaking down key games. They emphasize the importance of tempo and defense in matchups involving San Diego State and North Carolina. Warner points out that San Diego State thrives in a low-possession, defensive grind, whereas UNC prefers a faster pace. He references past tournament performances to highlight why controlling the tempo is crucial in this matchup. At (3:07 - 5:18), the conversation shifts to Alabama State’s surprising tournament bid. Warner expresses skepticism about their ability to compete with higher-seeded teams. Ben agrees, noting that Alabama State's efficiency metrics rank among the lowest in the field. However, he acknowledges their scrappiness and ability to force turnovers, which could create problems if an opponent underestimates them. By (5:18 - 7:44), Warner introduces player analysis, spotlighting North Carolina’s standout guard, who is averaging 18.4 points per game with a 42% shooting percentage from three. Ben counters by arguing that San Diego State’s perimeter defense, allowing just 29% opponent three-point shooting, could neutralize UNC’s strength. Warner believes that the ability of North Carolina’s secondary scorers to contribute will be a decisive factor. The hosts then pivot (7:44 - 10:21) to San Francisco’s tournament hopes, highlighting their 22-10 regular-season record. Ben praises their balanced offensive attack, with three players averaging over 12 points per game. Warner adds that their offensive rebounding rate is among the best in mid-majors, a factor that could help them pull off an upset. However, they note that San Francisco struggles against high-pressure defenses, which could be exploited. At (10:21 - 13:03), Warner and Ben analyze best bets for the South Region. Warner believes betting on the under in games involving defensive-minded teams like San Diego State is a solid strategy, citing their games hitting the under in 65% of matchups this season. Ben recommends a spread bet favoring North Carolina, arguing that their guard play and athleticism provide a mismatch advantage against slower teams. The episode concludes (13:03 - 15:11) with the hosts debating Alabama State’s chances to cover a double-digit spread. Warner argues that their lack of offensive firepower makes them a poor bet, while Ben suggests that their defensive intensity could keep them within the margin. The two agree that Alabama State will struggle but could surprise if their three-point shooting exceeds expectations. Overall, the episode delivers an in-depth preview of the South Region, analyzing matchups, key players, and betting insights while keeping the discussion engaging with light banter and statistical breakdowns. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 17

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk NCAA March Madness tournament. The guys talk through the entire MIDWEST Region and give out best bets. In this episode of the Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast , hosts Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down the Midwest Region of the NCAA Tournament, discussing team performances, player statistics, tournament seeding controversies, and betting insights. A major topic is North Carolina’s controversial inclusion in the tournament despite a 1-12 record in Quad 1 games. The hosts criticize the selection committee, particularly chairman Bubba Cunningham, who received a $104,000 bonus for UNC’s entry. They argue against expanding the tournament and question Oklahoma’s No. 9 seed placement after late-season struggles. Game previews begin with Houston vs. SIUE, a matchup expected to be lopsided in Houston’s favor. Gonzaga, ranked ninth in KenPom, is a 6.5-point favorite over Georgia, which has struggled on the road. Big East Ben selects Gonzaga -6.5 as his best bet, citing superior bigs and Georgia’s inconsistency. Clemson is favored by 7.5 against McNeese State, which lacks structure and defensive discipline. The hosts predict Clemson will advance. Purdue faces High Point as an 8-point favorite, with debates over whether High Point can pull an upset, though Purdue is ultimately picked to move on. Xavier and Texas meet in a First Four game, where Xavier is favored by 2.5. The hosts discuss the game’s high-scoring nature and take over 149.5 points. They predict the First Four winner will beat Illinois, which is considered too high-variance. Kentucky is favored by 10.5 against Troy, which struggles with turnovers (ranked 333rd nationally). Ben backs Kentucky to cover, while Warner leans toward Troy keeping it close. UCLA, a 4.5-point favorite against Utah State, is scrutinized for its defensive struggles. Warner selects Utah State +4.5 as his best bet, believing UCLA’s transition to the Big Ten has exposed weaknesses. Tennessee is a 19-point favorite against Wofford, which relies heavily on three-pointers. The hosts expect Tennessee to dominate and suggest betting under 134 total points. Final best bets: Big East Ben takes Gonzaga -6.5, and Griffin Warner backs Utah State +4.5. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 17

SleepyJ and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NBA for Monday. The guys preview 4 of the biggest games and discuss title picks and so much more. SleepyJ hosts this episode of the NBA Dream Pod , filling in for Munaf Manji, who is away. Joined by NBA betting expert Mackenzie Rivers, they discuss key matchups, player performances, betting angles, and the state of the league. They begin with Stephen Curry’s historic milestone of 4,004 three-pointers , well ahead of James Harden’s 3,131 . Mackenzie believes breaking this record is unlikely, as Curry’s unique playing style and long career make him an outlier. SleepyJ argues that the NBA would need a fundamental shift to produce another three-point specialist at Curry’s level. Discussion shifts to the state of the NBA , with declining viewership and concerns over player workloads. Bill Simmons has criticized NBA leadership, and both hosts suggest possible changes: reducing the season to 60 games , eliminating Christmas games , and modifying the All-Star format into a global tournament like the NHL’s. Mackenzie highlights that while NBA TV contracts remain lucrative ($80 billion over 10 years) , engagement is significantly lower than the NFL’s. They preview four key games . In the Nuggets vs. Warriors , Golden State is favored at -5 (total 236.5) . With Jokic, Murray, and Curry expected to play , Mackenzie takes Denver +5 , citing their 8-0 straight-up record vs. Golden State . SleepyJ agrees and also likes the under 236.5 , expecting a slower-paced contest. The Heat vs. Knicks sees New York favored at -7.5 (total 212.5) , with Jalen Brunson out for one to two weeks . Mackenzie’s best bet is Bam Adebayo under 18.5 points , as Miami’s offense struggles. SleepyJ leans toward the first quarter under , expecting a slow start from Miami. In discussing New York’s win total , Mackenzie sets the Knicks over/under at 51.5 , and SleepyJ takes the over , noting their defensive depth and favorable schedule . The Pacers vs. Timberwolves features Minnesota as -7 favorites (total 229.5) , with Pascal Siakam out . Mackenzie backs Minnesota -7 , believing they are surging. A deeper discussion follows on Anthony Edwards’ place in the league , where Mackenzie ranks him seventh , while SleepyJ believes Edwards is entering playoff takeover mode . In the Grizzlies vs. Kings , Sacramento is favored -2 (total 239.5) with Ja Morant out . Mackenzie takes the over , predicting a fast-paced contest. SleepyJ goes with Memphis +2 , believing they can win without Ja. Finally, they reveal their title predictions . Mackenzie picks an OKC Thunder vs. Boston Celtics Finals , but his long-shot bets include Milwaukee (50-1) and the Clippers (80-1) , citing Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kawhi Leonard as proven playoff performers. SleepyJ takes a Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Los Angeles Lakers Finals , envisioning the ultimate storyline of LeBron James facing his former team. He believes the Cavs are built like a championship team and that LeBron would struggle deep in the playoffs. The episode ends with a 20% discount code “TANK20” for betting picks at Pregame.com. SleepyJ, battling illness, thanks listeners and signs off, promising more episodes with the full team soon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 13

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk all things basketball and nfl free agency. NFL Free Agency and Team Moves Quarterback Transactions Geno Smith was traded from Seattle Seahawks to Las Vegas Raiders in exchange for a 2025 third-round pick ​. Sam Darnold signed a three-year, $100 million deal with the Seattle Seahawks ​. Discussion on whether Geno Smith or Darnold is a better asset, considering the trade-off of a third-round pick​. Major Free Agency Signings Davante Adams joined the Rams after being released by the Jets , leaving Cooper Kupp without a team ​. Other notable available free agents: Amari Cooper, Stefon Diggs, Aaron Rodgers, Keenan Allen, and Russell Wilson ​. Josh Palmer signed a three-year, $36 million contract with the Buffalo Bills , while the Chargers opted not to re-sign him despite having ample cap space​. Team Strategy and Spending Analysis High-spending teams often struggle : Historically, top-2 spenders in free agency have underperformed against the spread (ATS)​. Houston Texans' veteran approach : Compared to the Bills, they are taking a more conservative approach to free agency​. Kansas City Chiefs' offseason strategy : Signed a veteran Pittsburgh tackle while franchising guard Trey Smith , aiming to protect Patrick Mahomes​. March Madness Insights and Betting Strategies Scott Seidenberg’s NCAA Tournament System Scott outlines a systematic approach to picking March Madness winners: 96% of national champions since 2001 had a top 21 KenPom offense . 91% of champions had a top 31 KenPom defense . Guard play and three-point shooting are critical factors​. The four top teams based on the model: Duke, Auburn, Houston, and Florida ​. Houston is favored to win the championship due to their elite three-point shooting (4th in the nation) and senior leadership ​. Game Flow and Betting Tips First-half unders are effective in early tournament games due to tight play and conservative approaches ​. Second-half overs are valuable, as teams foul aggressively to stay in the game ​. If a favorite is down 14 points with three minutes to go, bet the over , as the game will extend due to intentional fouls​. Teams with Favorable Betting Trends Oklahoma City Thunder tend to score significantly more in the second half ​. The Cleveland Cavaliers' high clutch rating suggests they may be overrated , making them a good team to fade in betting ​. Key Quotes and Analysis 1. Steve Fezzik on Betting Trends (58:02 - 58:23) “If you bet every favorite, I think they cover 53.5%... No wonder I had a bad year.” Analysis : Fezzik highlights that favorites outperformed underdogs last year , making it difficult for bettors who prefer dogs and unders ​. 2. RJ Bell on Houston's Free Agency Strategy (59:10 - 59:36) “Whenever you go for a veteran, like the Bills did with Von Miller and Diggs... it hardly ever works.” Analysis : RJ critiques the Texans’ reliance on veteran free agents , implying that big free agency spending often leads to diminishing returns ​. 3. Scott Seidenberg on March Madness Strategy (1:26:34 - 1:27:43) “Give me the guard play. Give me the three-point shooting. Houston, the national champs at +750.” Analysis : Scott backs Houston for the NCAA title , citing elite guard play and three-point efficiency as historical indicators of championship success​. Final Thoughts This episode provides an in-depth breakdown of free agency, betting strategies, and March Madness analysis . The NFL free agency recap covers major trades, available players, and team-building strategies . March Madness insights focus on statistical indicators of success, betting angles, and team performance trends . The betting discussion gives listeners practical strategies for capitalizing on trends in both football and basketball . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 12

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk cbb betting for Wednesday. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 12

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for Wednesday. The guys are ramping up for the NBA stretch run and provide best bets. The latest episode of the NBA podcast on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview, hosted by Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers, covers key NBA topics as the regular season nears its end. With around 16–17 games left, they discuss team performances, injuries, and betting angles for the Lakers, Bucks, Thunder, Celtics, Suns, Rockets, Timberwolves, and Nuggets. The Lakers’ situation is a focal point, especially LeBron James' groin injury, sidelining him for 1–2 weeks. Mackenzie, holding an under 49.5 wins bet on the Lakers, sees hope as they’ve lost to the Celtics and Nets. With a tough schedule ahead, including games against the Thunder, Bucks, and Nuggets, he believes they may struggle to reach 50 wins despite improving as a team. Shifting to the Bucks, Milwaukee holds a 36–27 record with the sixth-hardest remaining schedule, including key matchups against contenders. Mackenzie projects them to surpass 46.5 wins and sees playoff potential, though he doubts they can challenge Boston or Cleveland. He also critiques the Kyle Kuzma trade, questioning whether he improves the team over Khris Middleton. The episode highlights a marquee matchup between the Thunder and Celtics. Boston is a 4.5-point favorite, but Mackenzie argues Oklahoma City has been the better team. He points to Boston’s weak home-court advantage and statistical inferiority, supporting a bet on the Thunder. Munaf notes Oklahoma City's impressive 24-7 road record and believes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will exploit Boston’s defense. The Suns' fading playoff hopes are another focus. With chemistry concerns, including reports of Kevin Durant’s frustration, Phoenix struggles to stay competitive. Sitting outside the play-in tournament, they must overtake the struggling Mavericks. However, Munaf and Mackenzie question their motivation, especially given recent locker-room tension. Meanwhile, the Rockets, currently fifth in the West at 40–25, are dealing with depth issues. Injuries to Amen Thompson and Fred VanVleet complicate their guard rotation. Mackenzie sees value in betting on Phoenix, given Houston’s instability and VanVleet’s struggles. Munaf agrees, predicting strong performances from Durant and Booker. Next, the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets matchup is analyzed. Denver, a 3.5-point home favorite, seeks revenge after losing twice in Minnesota. Mackenzie leans toward a Nuggets moneyline bet, citing their superior clutch play and Nikola Jokić’s ability to dominate late in games. He notes Denver’s outstanding home record, making them a solid bet. Munaf’s best bet is the over (237.5) in Mavericks vs. Spurs. He highlights San Antonio’s poor defense without Victor Wembanyama, leading to high-scoring games. The Spurs have allowed an average of 256 combined points in their last six contests. Despite missing key scorers, Dallas remains potent, and both teams play at a fast pace. Munaf expects a high-scoring affair. The episode concludes with discussions on March Madness contests at Pregame.com, promo codes for betting packages, and upcoming player prop bets. Munaf and Mackenzie tease their next episode, covering Friday’s games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 11

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for THE PLAYERS Championship. -Discussing top 5 on odds board -1 matchup -3 p2p -3 outrights (66/1, 70/1, 90/1) -Sleeper, FRL, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest as far as the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 10

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB betting for Monday and the conference tournaments. The guys also give out best bets. Summary of "CBB Conference Tournament Monday & More!!" Introduction (0:14 - 1:31) Speakers : Griffin Warner (Host), Big East Ben (Guest). Overview : Discussing dark horse candidates for college basketball conference tournaments. Podcast Record : 27-21 (56.25%) —profitable season. ACC Tournament (1:33 - 6:06) Favorites : Duke (-350), Louisville (+550), Clemson (+575), Wake Forest (75-1). Analysis : Clemson is a dark horse, having beaten Duke before. NC State (last year’s winner) didn’t qualify. Concerns: Clemson faces Duke early, making their path tough. Big East Tournament (6:07 - 13:37) Favorites : Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton (4-1), St. John’s (+140), Xavier (+700). Analysis : Marquette struggling; Cam Jones performed well but missed clutch free throws. Xavier (7-game win streak) picked as a dark horse to win the tournament. Big Ten Tournament (13:38 - 19:42) Favorites : Michigan State (+250), Maryland (+425), Purdue (6.5-1), Michigan (10-1). Analysis : Indiana (50-1) is a strong sleeper pick. Purdue has the easiest path but offers low value . UCLA (6-1) is preferred over higher-seeded teams. Big 12 Tournament (19:43 - 26:26) Favorites : Houston (-105), Texas Tech (+350), Arizona (+800), BYU (+1100). Analysis : Kansas (10-1) is dismissed as a contender. BYU (11-1) and Arizona (8-1) offer value picks due to favorable bracket placement. Xavier (7-1) is highlighted as a strong pick. SEC Tournament (26:27 - 30:56) Favorites : Auburn (+160), Florida (+240), Alabama (+425), Tennessee (+525), Missouri (+2000). Analysis : Florida (+240) is Big East Ben’s best bet . Missouri (20-1) is a dark horse but has a difficult road. Tennessee (5.25-1) picked as a sleeper due to their strong defense. Smaller Conference Tournaments (31:02 - 35:14) Quick Picks : WCC : St. Mary's (+125). America East : Bryant . Mountain West : Colorado State / Utah State . ivy League : Cornell . Big West : UC Irvine . Conference USA : Kennesaw State . WAC : Seattle . Final Best Bets (35:15 - 37:12) Big East Ben : Xavier (+700) – Hottest team, strong form. Griffin Warner : Arizona (+800) – Favorable bracket path. Podcast Record : 27-21 (56.25%) . Key Takeaways 🎯 Clemson (ACC) & Xavier (Big East) are strong dark horse picks . 🏀 Michigan State is not a recommended bet in the Big Ten , but Indiana (50-1) has value. 🔥 Arizona (8-1) in the Big 12 is a great long-shot pick . 🎲 Missouri (20-1) & Tennessee (5.25-1) are SEC sleeper picks . 📈 The hosts are aligned in favoring teams with strong form and favorable bracket paths . 📈 Hosts favor teams with strong form & easier bracket paths. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 8

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben beak down CBB betting for this weekend. The guys are ready for March Madness and give out best bets. Griffin Warner and Big East Ben hosted the Need for Seats College Basketball Podcast (March 7, 2025), providing analysis and bets for significant college basketball matchups. Griffin Warner opened by acknowledging his recent betting loss on South Carolina against Georgia and humorously presented a Kawhi Leonard San Diego State jersey after their recent game against UNLV, won by Big East Ben's pick (0:15-1:28). Big East Ben celebrated snapping a four-game losing streak, noting UNLV's Julian Rich Wayne's standout performance with 26 points, significantly above his 8 PPG average, alongside Jayden Hensley's 17 points (1:29-2:19). Warner humorously discussed Julian Rich Wayne's extensive college transfer history (San Francisco, Florida, Boston College, UNLV) (2:20-3:08). They briefly touched upon Ed Cooley's move from Providence to Georgetown and speculated about his future tenure there, predicting he would remain beyond next season (3:35-4:11). The hosts moved onto detailed analyses of five highlighted matchups: Alabama at Auburn : Auburn favored by 7.5 points, total 178.5. Big East Ben critiqued Alabama’s Mark Sears, highlighting his poor recent shooting (2-10 from three) and questioned his All-American credentials. Both predicted a high-scoring game, recommending betting the "over" due to potential late-game fouls and free throws (6:07-11:05). Arizona at Kansas : Kansas favored by 3 points, total 153. Ben expressed confidence in Kansas's ability at home, referencing their long-standing Senior Day success and recent competitiveness against Houston despite numerous turnovers. Warner preferred betting "under 153," citing Kansas's defensive strength and inconsistent offense (11:06-14:39). Houston at Baylor : Baylor underdogs by 4.5 points at home, total 131. Ben critiqued Baylor’s poor defensive rebounding and perimeter defense, strongly backing Houston (-4.5). Warner opted for "over 131," expecting Houston to dominate Baylor’s zone defense, forcing Baylor to adapt unsuccessfully (14:41-19:07). Marquette vs. St. John’s : Marquette favored by 2.5, total 143. Ben passionately backed Marquette on Senior Day despite disappointment in recent performances. He highlighted Davion Smith’s injury absence for St. John's as crucial. Warner disagreed, seeing the 2.5 spread as excessive given Marquette’s recent inconsistency and St. John’s resilience, despite losing two conference games narrowly (19:08-26:26). Missouri vs. Kentucky : Missouri favored by 5.5 points, total 168.5. Ben supported Missouri, citing Kentucky’s key injuries. Warner preferred betting the "over," expecting both offenses to exploit each other's vulnerabilities, with Missouri’s press defense contributing to a high-scoring pace (26:30-31:12). In concluding, Big East Ben selected Marquette (-2.5) as his best bet, emphasizing Senior Day motivation and St. John’s weakened backcourt. Warner’s best bet was Indiana (-2) over Ohio State, trusting Indiana’s recent form and the home advantage despite previous inconsistency. The podcast also promoted a discount code (March20) for listeners to save on pregame.com bets (31:13-33:43). Throughout the podcast, the hosts shared humorous exchanges and insightful critiques, enhancing the analysis with statistical details and context for each team and key player discussed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 8

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for Saturday. The guys also give out best bets. The NBA Dream Preview podcast hosted by Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers provided analysis and insights for NBA games scheduled for Saturday. Munaf Manji (0:11–2:02) opened by highlighting the major news of Kyrie Irving's torn ACL injury, emphasizing its severe impact on the Dallas Mavericks. He pointed out Kyrie's exceptional season, noting he was the only player averaging over 20 points per game, 50% from the field, and 90% from the free-throw line. Mackenzie Rivers (2:03–3:54) discussed the implications of Irving's injury, stressing that while ACL injuries have shorter recovery periods today, it’s significant given Kyrie's age (32) and heavy usage (39 minutes per game—the highest in the NBA post-Luka trade). Mackenzie critically noted the broader issue of heavy player workloads, suggesting the NBA’s physical intensity has surpassed traditional scheduling models. Munaf Manji (3:54–4:56) agreed, proposing fewer games (65-70 instead of 82) could reduce injuries and improve player availability for playoffs. Discussing Anthony Davis’s future with Dallas (4:57–6:17), Mackenzie declared the Mavericks' current championship window effectively closed. He asserted that Davis is primarily valuable as a trade asset and doubted Davis's return to significant play for Dallas. Rivers (6:37–6:56) briefly predicted a Lakers-Celtics finals matchup, highlighting these franchises' historic rivalry and current strengths. Munaf Manji (6:57–7:47) emphasized star power in the Lakers-Celtics potential finals, specifically mentioning Luka Doncic, LeBron James, Jayson Tatum, and Jalen Brown. He noted the Celtics' injury issues and their intent to keep stars healthy for playoffs. In the "I Got Five On It" segment (7:49–14:18), Mackenzie set the Lakers' over-under win total at 52.5, noting their impressive 12-2 record since acquiring Luka Doncic, making them the number two seed in the West. Munaf chose the under, citing a challenging remaining schedule and likely rest periods for LeBron and Luka. Game analysis began with Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks (14:19–20:19). Mackenzie favored Bucks at -7.5, noting Orlando's poor recent form and injury to Jalen Suggs negatively impacting both offense and defense. Munaf supported this, citing Milwaukee’s historic dominance over Orlando. The Lakers at Celtics game (20:19–26:04) was assessed next. Rivers initially leaned toward Boston but cited concerns about Drew Holiday’s injury and the Lakers' recent strength in clutch moments. Munaf took Lakers +6, highlighting their resilience and strong halftime adjustments. Finally, they analyzed Detroit Pistons at Golden State Warriors (26:06–33:45). Despite Detroit’s impressive recent performance, Mackenzie expressed cautious support for the Pistons +5 due to Warriors’ recent long road trip. Munaf agreed, noting Detroit's strong road performance this season. Munaf’s best bet (34:10–36:34) was Houston Rockets -8 against the Pelicans, citing Houston’s 3-0 head-to-head record against New Orleans and recent defensive strength. Mackenzie supported this but mentioned Fred VanVleet’s questionable status as an important factor. The episode concluded with promotional announcements for pregame.com and playful banter about Irish Heritage Month (38:32–39:50). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 7

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Free agency along with the NBA. Scott and Fezzik discuss CBB Conference tournament betting and much more. Quotes from the Podcast NFL Free Agency Insights 📌 "The Chargers have released Joey Bosa, five-time Pro Bowler after nine seasons in LA." (3:26 - 3:48) → Bosa’s release saves $25.36M , signaling a major defensive reset under Jim Harbaugh. 📌 "The Jets have the most free agents to sign in the entire league at $102 million—25 different ones." (9:04 - 9:24) → New York faces a huge roster rebuild , balancing cap space vs. talent retention . 📌 "The Dolphins kind of went all in the last couple years, and now they have to rebuild." (19:28 - 19:39) → Miami’s cap-strapped situation ($72M over the cap) makes them a risky bet. 📌 "Chargers were one team that quietly but aggressively pursued Metcalf in trade talks last offseason." (29:09 - 29:32) → With Lockett released , will Seattle revisit Metcalf trade talks ? College Basketball Betting Strategies 📌 "It’s really hard to beat a team three times? That’s a myth." (51:25 - 52:27) → Teams winning twice often win again , contradicting common betting narratives . 📌 "If you've got a big favorite, you want one that absolutely needs the game." (52:41 - 53:25) → One-bid conference teams dominate early rounds with high motivation . 📌 "The NCAA committee already makes its bracket by Friday night." (55:36 - 56:48) → Winning a Saturday or Sunday title game rarely impacts seeding . 📌 "Teams with sub-15% win rates often cover in conference tournaments." (1:01:36 - 1:02:21) → Dead-last teams can surprise with a final push. NBA Trends & Playoff Race 📌 "Back-to-back teams this year are covering just 43.7%—the worst in 20 years." (46:22 - 48:00) → Load management makes fatigued teams worse bets than ever. 📌 "The Thunder are the favorite at +165, Celtics at +230, and Cavs at 6:1." (35:20 - 37:12) → Oddsmakers favor youth and depth in the NBA playoffs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 5

-Cognizant review -Discussing top 9 players on AP odds board -1 t10 -3 outrights -Sleeper, 2 FRL, 2 lineups -Scoring, bet bet for AP -1 outright and 3 p2p for Puerto Rico Open -1 sleeper for Astara Chile Classic For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59 Week 10 Overview and Tournament Preview [Will Doctor] (0:38 - 0:53) Arnold Palmer Invitational (API) at Bay Hill, Orlando : 70 superstars in the field, including 45 of the top 50 golfers from the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) . Puerto Rico Open at Grand Reserve : 132-player field with lower-ranked players and potential breakthrough candidates. [Will Doctor] (0:53 - 38:28) The show covers full API picks, four Puerto Rico picks, and one Corn Fairy Tour pick in Chile . Season performance update : Minus 1.7 units for Week 9 Total loss: 40.5 units for the season , indicating the need for a turnaround. Arnold Palmer Invitational Analysis Course Insights for Bay Hill Challenging conditions: Four-inch rough – Players missing fairways will struggle. Water on 9 of 18 holes – Course management is key. Bermuda greens running at 13.5 speed – Requires strong putting. Winning formula: Elite total drivers (accuracy and distance) Solid Bermuda putters Top 9 Players Analysis [Scotty Scheffler] (4-1 odds) Defending champion, won by 5 shots in 2023 . Strengths: Best driver in the field , improved putting. Pick: Outright winner bet (4-1) . [Rory McIlroy] (8.5-1) Former winner ( 2018 ), solid Bay Hill history. Concerns: Struggled with putter and driving accuracy at Torrey Pines . PASS on betting. [Ludvig Åberg] (16-1) Won Genesis Invitational. Strong iron play but lost shots in chipping at Bay Hill previously . Pick: Top 10 at +130 (MGM) . [Collin Morikawa] (22-1) Consistent season, but below-average Bermuda putter . Missed cuts last two starts at Bay Hill . PASS . [Xander Schauffele] (22-1) Returning from rib injury , solid Bay Hill history. PASS due to lack of value at current odds. [Justin Thomas] (28-1) Improved ball-striking and recent putting success on Bermuda . Pick: Top 10 at +175 (MGM) . [Patrick Cantlay] (30-1) T4 at Bay Hill two years ago , recent strong ball-striking form . Pick: Outright bet at 30-1 . [Tommy Fleetwood] (30-1) Consistent form but poor matchups and betting value . PASS . Other API Picks Best bet: Ludvig Åberg Top 10 at +130 (MGM) . First-round leader bets: Scheffler (10-1, MGM) Åberg (22-1, MGM) DraftKings lineup: Oberg, Cantlay, Henley, Theegala, Thompson, Gracerman. Winning score prediction: -11 under par . Puerto Rico Open Picks Outrights and Placement Bets Adrian Dumont de Chassart (60-1 outright, +190 for top 20) Finished 6th last year , strong recent form. Pick: Top 20 and outright winner bet . Henrik Norlander (+225 top 20) Great iron play and top 20 in last two Puerto Rico Opens . Pick: Top 20 bet . Davis Riley (+500 top 20) Two-time PGA Tour winner , elite putter on Paspalum greens . Pick: Sleeper top 20 bet . Corn Fairy Tour – Astara Chile Classic [Giuseppe Puebla] (11-1 for top 10) 16-year-old prodigy , recent runner-up at a high-profile junior event . Won twice on minor league golf tour . Pick: Top 10 bet at 11-1 . Final Thoughts Week 10 preview ends with a call to action: Follow @DRMedia59 on X and @KingDr1 on Instagram for updates. Next week: Players Championship preview . Summary of Picks Arnold Palmer Invitational: Outright winners: Scheffler (4-1), Cantlay (30-1), Gracerman (110-1). Top 10: Åberg (+130), Thomas (+175). First-round leaders: Scheffler (10-1), Åberg (22-1). Puerto Rico Open: Outright winner: Dumont de Chassart (60-1). Top 20: Dumont de Chassart (+190), Norlander (+225), Riley (+500). Astara Chile Classic: Top 10: Giuseppe Puebla (11-1). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 4

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball Tuesday betting. They guys are all geared up for conference tournaments and give out best bets. Segment 1: Recap of Best Bets and Surprising Performances (0:14 - 4:16) Key Points Griffin Warner: Won four straight bets; last bet was South Carolina dominating Arkansas. Big East Ben: Had William & Mary, who collapsed in the second half (41-31 lead at half but finished 6-19 from 3-point range). Vanderbilt vs. Missouri: Vanderbilt secured a big overtime win. Conference Tournaments Begin: Smaller conferences already in action as March Madness approaches. Segment 2: Texas A&M's Struggles & Betting Insights (4:17 - 10:38) Key Points Texas A&M Recent Games: Lost four straight after once being ranked #8. Key Player Absence: J.T. Toppin missed a critical game. Team Weaknesses: Shooting: Ranked 326th in 3PT% and 279th in 2PT% . Winning Formula: Offensive rebounds and free throws. Betting Insights: Auburn (-5.5) favored over A&M, but A&M could cover. Segment 3: BYU vs. Iowa State - Betting Trends & Analysis (10:39 - 14:35) Key Points BYU: 18-11 against the spread (covered last 6 games). Iowa State: 17-12 ATS but lost to Oklahoma State without key player Kishon Gilbert. Matchup Factors: BYU Strengths: Strong three-point shooting and defense. Iowa State Weaknesses: 10th in the Big 12 in 3PT defense. Betting Recommendation: Take BYU +8.5. Segment 4: Indiana vs. Oregon – Coaching & Player Matchups (15:02 - 21:25) Key Points Oregon’s 5-Game Win Streak: Wins over Northwestern, Rutgers, Iowa, and Wisconsin. Indiana’s Improvement: Played well since Coach Mike Woodson announced he was leaving. Inside Battle: Oregon’s Nate Biddle vs. Indiana’s Malik Reneau & Umar Ballo. Betting Recommendation: Indiana +6.5 (live underdog). Segment 5: Ohio State vs. Nebraska – Bubble Implications (22:56 - 29:44) Key Points Ohio State Recent Games: Scored only 49 points at home against Northwestern (without Barnheiser & Leach). Lost to UCLA, missing two key players (Mobley & Bradshaw). Nebraska’s Struggles: Lost to Minnesota. Surprising ATS Record: Nebraska is 9-5 ATS away from home. Betting Insights: Take the UNDER 144. Both teams are inconsistent offensively. Segment 6: Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt – Coaching & Team Analysis (30:25 - 34:36) Key Points Vanderbilt’s Impressive Run: Mark Byington’s coaching impact evident. Key Players: Jason Edwards (streaky but clutch), Chris Monion (defensive anchor). Arkansas' Struggles: Lack of cohesion; players likely focused on NBA prospects. Betting Recommendation: Vanderbilt +7. Best Bets & Promo Code (34:37 - 37:43) Final Picks: Big East Ben: UNLV +3.5 (vs. San Diego State) – but wait for Magoon Guaf injury confirmation. Griffin Warner: South Carolina -1.5 (vs. Georgia) – believes SC is underrated. Promo Code: RIVAL20 – 20% off betting packages on Pregame.com. Conclusion & Upcoming Podcast Next Episode: Friday’s preview of the last Saturday of the regular season. March Madness Coverage: The podcast will continue through the NCAA Tournament. Andre Curbelo Discussion: Running joke about his chaotic basketball career. Key Takeaways & Insights 📊 Texas A&M's Decline: Once a top-10 team, now struggling due to poor shooting and reliance on physicality. 🎯 BYU’s Betting Edge: Strong against the spread, with a lethal 3-point offense against a weak Iowa State perimeter defense. 🏀 Indiana’s Turnaround: Since Coach Woodson announced departure, the team has played significantly better. 🔥 Nebraska’s Betting Surprise: 9-5 ATS on the road despite inconsistent play. 🧠 Vanderbilt’s Coaching Impact: Mark Byington’s coaching is elevating the team beyond expectations. 💸 Betting Picks Recap: Best Bets: UNLV +3.5, South Carolina -1.5 Underdogs to Watch: Indiana +6.5, BYU +8.5, Vanderbilt +7 Total Bet: Under 144 (Ohio State vs. Nebraska) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 3

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for Monday. The guys are heating up in the NBA and give out best bets. NBA Podcast Summary – RJ Bell's Dream Preview (Episode NBAPOD3325) Hosts: Munaf Manji & Mackenzie Rivers Key Topics: Early Game Betting Trends – Morning games favor the under due to disrupted player routines. Recent example: Celtics vs. Nuggets. Denver Nuggets Outlook – Currently 39-22 (2nd in West) with the 4th toughest schedule left (21 games). Munaf sets their win total at 50.5 ; Mackenzie leans over but notes Jamal Murray’s inconsistency & road struggles. OKC Thunder vs. The Field – Thunder (-115) favorites to win the West but concerns about SGA’s free throw reliance & three-point shooting. Munaf: "Let me see it in the playoffs first." Mackenzie sees Lakers as their biggest threat. Monday Night Bets Grizzlies (-6.5) vs. Hawks – Atlanta’s terrible defense since All-Star break. Mackenzie: "This line should be -10.5." Rockets (+11.5) vs. Thunder – OKC 1-4 ATS in last 5 back-to-backs & 20th in defense since All-Star break. Mavericks (-1.5) vs. Kings – Sabonis out ; Kyrie Over Points is a strong bet. Best Bets & Props Warriors (-12) vs. Hornets – Charlotte worst net rating (-19.6) last 10 games ; Steph Curry homecoming game. Warriors Team Total Over (~118.5). Karis LeVert Over 12.5 Points – Over 6 of last 7 games since joining Hawks, high total (251.5) = More opportunities. Final Thoughts Nuggets are still contenders but depth is a concern. OKC must prove it in the playoffs. Lakers are a real threat. Grizzlies & Warriors are top bets for Monday. LeVert & Kyrie props offer value. 📢 Next Episode: Eastern Conference Playoff Outlook! 🎯 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 1

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA basketball betting for Saturday March 1st. The guys are gearing up for the stretch run of the NBA season and also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mar 1

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for this weekend. They guys are gearing up for March and give you the biggest game for Saturday. Best bets as always. 🔹 Opening Remarks & Betting Recap (0:14 - 1:39) Griffin Warner and Big East Ben introduce the episode, reviewing previous best bets. Griffin mentions his Oklahoma bet , which survived the spread thanks to Otega Oweh’s dominant second half. Ben highlights Oregon State vs. San Francisco , detailing how USF erased a 12-point deficit with a 21-0 run . 🔹 Frustrations & Bad Betting Night (1:40 - 4:25) Ben recounts a series of bad beats : North Dakota State's top player was unexpectedly out . Rhode Island led early but collapsed against Dayton . Arkansas vs. Texas hit overtime, busting his under bet . Griffin reflects on San Francisco’s unexpected hot shooting , with a 22% shooter making four threes . 🔹 Conference Tournament Sleepers & Injury Uncertainty (4:25 - 5:59) Discussion on whether they should pick a conference tournament sleeper . Injury speculation in Big Ten & SEC : Lack of transparency makes betting tricky . SEC availability reports are still vague . Game Previews & Betting Analysis 🏀 Kentucky vs. Auburn (-4.5, 166.5 O/U) (6:00 - 10:13) Key Injury : Jackson Robinson OUT for Kentucky . Matchup Analysis : Kentucky: Strong three-point shooting team but not as reliant on it as expected. Auburn: Best three-point defense in the SEC . Bets : Ben leans under 166.5 due to Auburn’s slower pace . Griffin backs Kentucky (+4.5) , citing home-court advantage. 🏀 Kansas (-4.5) vs. Texas Tech (146 O/U) (10:14 - 13:56) Key Injury : Darian Williams & Chase McMillan questionable for Texas Tech. Matchup Analysis : Texas Tech fought hard against Houston, but only played six guys . Kansas desperately needs this win , but Griffin labels them a " shitty team ." Bets : Ben takes Under 146 , citing strong rebounding and foul control . Griffin reluctantly backs Kansas (-4.5) , believing Texas Tech’s short rotation will struggle. 🏀 Tennessee (-3.5) vs. Alabama (159 O/U) (14:49 - 18:44) Key Stats : Alabama’s defense has been terrible lately ( 110+ points allowed twice ). Tennessee's defense is slipping but still elite at home . Bets : Ben bets Tennessee (-3.5) , expecting defensive regression for Alabama . Griffin agrees, taking Tennessee , but is wary of a high-scoring game. 🏀 Iowa State (-6) vs. Arizona (151 O/U) (18:45 - 21:27) Key Injury : Keyshawn Gilbert expected to return for Iowa State. Matchup Analysis : Arizona doesn't shoot many threes , which negates Iowa State's weak three-point defense . Both teams excel at forcing turnovers . Bets : Under 151 due to turnover-heavy play and fewer foul shots . 🏀 Gonzaga (-9) vs. San Francisco (157 O/U) (23:23 - 26:40) Key Context : San Francisco gave up home-court advantage to play at Chase Center (Golden State Warriors’ arena). USF’s interior defense is weak ( 212th in the country ). Bets : Ben takes Gonzaga (-9), expecting a blowout . Griffin reluctantly backs USF (+9), hoping they stay close enough to cover late fouls . Best Bets & Closing Remarks (29:07 - 34:04) Best Bets : Ben: William & Mary (-1) vs. Northeastern – Citing weak three-point defense from Northeastern. Griffin: South Carolina (-1) vs. Arkansas – Arkansas without Tramon Mark will struggle . Promo Code: "Charging20" for 20% off betting subscriptions . Key Takeaways 🔹 Betting Trends : Injury uncertainty and defensive regression were major themes. 🔹 Player Analysis : Oklahoma’s Otega Oweh, Kentucky’s Jackson Robinson, and Arizona’s Keyshawn Gilbert were key names in the discussion. 🔹 Game Picks : Unders were a common theme , with Ben and Griffin mostly favoring home teams in close spreads. 🔹 Hot Take : San Francisco sacrificing home-court for a money grab at Chase Center is a terrible decision . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 26

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things sports this week. The guys are in a rare mood to give out early best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 26

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Cognizant Classic at PGA National. -Discussing top 6 names on odds board -2 p2p -3 outrights -Sleeper -3 FRP's -2 lineups -Scoring -Best Bet Golf Preview Podcast: Cognizant Classic at PGA National Introduction [Will Doctor] (0:15 - 0:28) Will Doctor kicks off with enthusiasm, promising sharp picks for the Cognizant Classic at PGA National, setting a lively tone. Week 8 Recap: Mexico Open at Vedanta [Will Doctor] (0:39 - 32:10) Brian Campbell (270-1) won his first PGA Tour title at Vedanta, relying on strategy (293-yard driving average) over power. He beat Aldrich Potgieter in a playoff, aided by a fortunate break. Betting Recap: Akshay Bhatia: Top-10 (2-1) cashed, outright (14-1) didn’t. Steven Jaeger: 30-1 outright missed despite contention. Ricky Castillo: 100-1 outright tied 55th. Taylor Moore: Top-20 (+170) failed due to weak approaches. Aldrich Potgieter: Top-20 (+320) cashed with second place. Cognizant Classic Preview: Course Insights PGA National’s Champion Course tests accuracy with water on 15 holes and Bermuda greens. Key skills: driving precision, approach shots (125-190 yards), and Bermuda putting. Top Six Favorites Analysis Shane Lowry (20-1): Good course fit but weak Bermuda putting (lost shots in 6 of 8 events). Russell Henley (22-1): Accurate driver, elite Bermuda putter; top-10 bet at 2-1. Sung J.M. (25-1): Past winner, but recent approach play lags. Daniel Berger (25-1): Precise driver, strong Bermuda putter; outright bet at 25-1. Sepp Strzok (25-1): Driving accuracy down; chipping shaky. Taylor Pendreth (30-1): Solid tee-to-green, but putting inconsistent here. Picks to Place and Outright Winners Picks to Place: Russell Henley: Top-10 at 2-1 (MGM) Ryan Girard: Top-20 at +225 (MGM) – Consecutive top-20s, hot putter. Outright Winners: Daniel Berger: 25-1 (Caesars) Denny McCarthy: 35-1 (DraftKings) – Peak approach play, top putter. Ryan Girard: 75-1 (BetOnline) – High value despite chipping flaws. Sleeper and First-Round Picks Sleeper: Matteo Manassero: Top-20 at +550 (MGM) – Accuracy fits course. First-Round Picks: Ryan Girard: Top-10 after Round 1 at +550 (MGM) – 4th in first-round scoring. Russell Henley: Top-10 after Round 1 at +333 (MGM) – 9th in first-round scoring. Lineups and Predictions DraftKings Lineup (50K): Henley, McCarthy, Spieth, Girard, Salinda, Manassero. PGA Tour Lineup: Berger, McCarthy (captain), Girard, Henley; Bench: Manassero, Horschel. Scoring Prediction: 15-under (good weather). Best Bet: Denny McCarthy: Top-10 at +320 (MGM). Conclusion Will invites listeners to follow him on X ( @D .R.Media59) and teases next week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational preview. For the latest as far as the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 26

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting. The guys cover the days biggest games and give out best bets. Condensed Summary of CBB POD 2/25/25: College Basketball Podcast Introduction (0:15 - 2:04) Griffin Warner kicks off the episode, touting the podcast’s 23-17 (58%) best bet record and plugging a Pregame.com promo code. He previews five key games and a sleeper team segment, reflecting on recent losses like Texas A&M’s home woes and Nevada’s injuries: "It’s hard to know what’s going to happen on the injury front." Season Reflection (2:05 - 3:00) Co-host Big East Ben is pumped for conference tournaments: "I’m ready for the conference tournaments to start." Warner picks the American conference for his dark horse, joking, "I only pick the most patriotic of all leagues." Maryland vs. Michigan State Preview (3:01 - 10:04) Big East Ben lauds Michigan State’s 3-0 run against tough foes: "Michigan State’s tough to fade now." Warner flags Michigan’s thin frontcourt. Ben touts Maryland’s 8-1 surge—"Probably the hottest team in the Big Ten"—and 10-4 ATS home mark, picking Maryland -3.5. Warner agrees, citing coaching pedigree. Vanderbilt vs. Texas A&M Preview (10:06 - 14:03) Ben rues missing Vanderbilt’s upset over Ole Miss but backs Texas A&M, highlighting their #1 offensive rebounding (42%) vs. Vanderbilt’s 134th rank. Warner likes Vanderbilt’s road grit and Texas A&M’s defensive lapses, taking +7.5. Ole Miss vs. Auburn Preview (14:04 - 22:01) Warner reminisces about Marshall Henderson’s flair. Ben picks Ole Miss +12.5, noting Auburn’s recent ATS struggles: "Auburn thinks they’re the greatest thing since sliced bread." Warner opts for over 153.5, citing Ole Miss’s fight. Texas vs. Arkansas Preview (22:03 - 24:35) Ben mocks Caleb Grill’s wild shots: "All Caleb Grill does is shoot up horrible threes." He picks under 148, pointing to both teams’ two-point reliance and Arkansas’s 20th-ranked defense. Warner concurs, seeing bubble tension keeping scores low. Utah State vs. Boise State Preview (24:36 - 30:18) Ben notes Craig Smith’s midseason exit as a blow to Utah State. He picks Boise State -3.5, citing their 9-3 ATS home record and rebounding edge (2nd defensively). Warner agrees, nodding to Mountain West home strength. Dark Horse Segment: American Conference (30:21 - 32:33) Warner taps Wichita State, riding a six-game win streak: "They’re winners of six in a row... pretty good chance they’re in the middle of the pack." Ben picks UAB, praising their form and coach Andy Kennedy’s savvy. Best Bets Segment (32:33 - 36:32) Ben selects Oregon State -2.5, touting their 14-2 ATS home record: "That’s 88%." Warner takes Oklahoma +2, skeptical of Kentucky’s road shooting: "Kentucky’s one of those teams that goes on the road, shoots a lot of threes." Closing Remarks (36:33 - 36:34) Ben wraps up, urging listeners to follow on social media and teasing Friday’s show. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 26

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA basketball betting. The guys cover the days biggest games and give out best bets. Summary of NBA Podcast Episode NBAPOD22525 "I Got Five On It": Sacramento Kings Mackenzie Rivers (2:25): Picks Kings, win total 41.5: "Are they going to be above 500?" Notes 16-9 record under Doug Christie, 29-28 overall. Munaf Manji (3:21): Predicts under 41.5, citing tough schedule (2nd hardest): "Throwing stuff at the wall and hoping that it sticks." Mackenzie Rivers (6:07): Agrees: "They have to win... against a 55% win-rate schedule." Suggests -500 odds they miss playoffs. Analysis: Kings’ future questioned due to coaching turnover and Levine’s $48M contract. Game Previews 76ers vs. Knicks Munaf Manji (9:52): Knicks -9.5, Embiid out, Sixers on 8-game skid. Mackenzie Rivers (12:34): Favors Knicks: "Motivated favorite." Adjusts Embiid’s value to 3.5 points. Stats: Sixers 10-17 on road, 3-8 in division. Rockets vs. Spurs Mackenzie Rivers (18:46): Rockets -8.5, a best bet: "I have the number being closer to 11 and a half." Munaf Manji (21:43): Notes Rockets’ 18-9 home record, Spurs struggling without Wembanyama. Celtics vs. Pistons Munaf Manji (23:56): Pistons +4, on 7-game win streak. Celtics on back-to-back. Mackenzie Rivers (25:22): "Pistons... upgraded them eight points." Line fair. Munaf Manji (26:17): Leans Pistons. Joel Embiid’s Future Mackenzie Rivers (15:57): Advocates keeping Embiid: "Start your conversation of championship viability with a guy like Joel Embiid." Discussion: Debate on if he’s played his last Sixers game. Best Bets Mackenzie Rivers (33:23): Rockets -8.5, Blazers -5.5. Munaf Manji (35:48): Thunder -16.5, citing Nets’ injuries. Pregame.com Contest Munaf Manji (29:41): "$500 cash for first place." Promo code FASTBREAK20 for 20% off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 22

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for Saturday. The guys also give out best bets. 🏀 NBA Saturday Preview & Best Bets: Detailed Summary This podcast episode, hosted by Munaf Manji and featuring NBA analyst Mackenzie Rivers , dives into the final stretch of the NBA regular season. They discuss injury updates, team performances, betting insights, and predictions for key games. The conversation follows the timeline of upcoming matchups while providing in-depth player analysis and betting tips. 🎙️ Detailed Breakdown with Timestamps and Quotes 🔥 Victor Wembanyama's Injury (0:11 - 8:33) Munaf Manji (0:11 - 2:55): Opens with the unfortunate news that Victor Wembanyama of the San Antonio Spurs will miss the remainder of the season due to an isolated blood clot. Despite the setback, there is optimism that Wembanyama will recover in time for next season. Mackenzie Rivers (2:56 - 6:28): Celebrates Wembanyama's second-year dominance, calling him possibly the best second-year player ever. He cites Dunks and Threes stats, placing him third in estimated plus-minus (+5.3) behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+9) and Nikola Jokić (+8.7). Despite the injury, Mackenzie highlights his defensive impact, especially since the Spurs rank near the bottom defensively without him. Injury Concerns (6:29 - 8:33): Both hosts express concerns about the severity of Wembanyama’s condition, drawing parallels to cases like Chris Bosh and Mirza Teletović , whose careers were affected by blood clots. 📉 San Antonio Spurs Analysis & Betting Outlook (8:34 - 11:39) The Spurs’ record is currently 24-29 . Munaf predicts a 35.5-win total for the season. Mackenzie predicts the Spurs will finish under 35 wins due to their poor defense and the loss of Wembanyama’s presence in the frontcourt. The injury also voids Wembanyama’s Defensive Player of the Year eligibility, with Jaren Jackson Jr. becoming the new favorite at -130. 🏆 Debate on Game Requirements for Awards (11:40 - 14:17) The hosts debate whether the 65-game requirement for award eligibility is fair. Mackenzie argues that it's arbitrary and penalizes players who suffer legitimate injuries, mentioning Joel Embiid ’s rookie season as a precedent where fewer games cost him Rookie of the Year. 📊 Game Previews and Betting Insights 🔹 Phoenix Suns vs. Chicago Bulls (14:18 - 18:14) The Suns are -3.5 favorites . Concerns about their locker room issues are discussed, referencing reports of a toxic environment. Mackenzie bets on the Bulls’ team total under 117.5 , citing their offensive struggles post- Zach LaVine trade and the Suns' defense holding steady around the 14th rank overall. 🔹 Brooklyn Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers (21:12 - 23:06) The 76ers are -9.5 favorites . The Nets boast a top-ranked defense in recent weeks despite being offensively weak. Mackenzie leans toward the under 213.5 points total due to Philadelphia’s inconsistencies and Brooklyn’s scoring issues. 🔹 Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets (27:28 - 32:03) The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites . Both hosts agree that Denver will cover the spread, especially considering: Luka Dončić ’s poor conditioning and injury struggles. The Lakers’ defense being significantly worse without Anthony Davis . Nikola Jokić likely dominating in the post against a weak Lakers frontcourt. 📈 Player & Team Statistics Victor Wembanyama: Estimated Plus-Minus: +5.3 (3rd in the league). Defensive Player of the Year odds before injury: -2000 to -3000. San Antonio Spurs: Current Record: 24-29. Defensive Rating: 2nd worst over the last 10 games without Wembanyama. Chicago Bulls (Post-LaVine Trade): Offensive percentile rankings: 52% (immediately after the trade). Dropped to 21% and then 15% in subsequent games. Denver Nuggets vs. Lakers: Nuggets are 9-1 straight up and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Lakers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 21

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk all the big games for this weekend. The guys also give out best bets. College Basketball Weekend Preview: Best Bets and Game Analysis Introduction to the Podcast: Griffin Warner and Big East Ben kick off the episode by reviewing their recent successes in college basketball betting. The podcast's betting record stands at 61%, with Warner at 63% and Ben at 58%. They discuss their experiences with past bets, including a close call with the Syracuse Orange and a win with Wisconsin over Illinois. Personal Updates and Humor: Big East Ben shares he's in Mystic, Connecticut, for a baby shower, humorously reviewing Mystic Pizza as cafeteria-level pizza (3.9/10). Griffin Warner , based in Dallas, Texas, recounts a challenging night involving burst pipes and fire alarms due to freezing temperatures, yet he perseveres to record the podcast. Game Previews and Betting Picks: 1. Kentucky vs. Alabama (SEC Matchup) Current Line : Alabama -8.5, Total Points 177.5 Big East Ben : Alabama has struggled defensively, losing two games in a row. He bets on the over, citing both teams’ offensive prowess and Alabama's defensive lapses. Griffin Warner : Warner agrees with the over, questioning Alabama's recent defensive form but acknowledging their efficient offense. 2. Tennessee at Texas A&M (SEC Matchup) Current Line : Tennessee -1.5, Total Points 131.5 Big East Ben : He backs Texas A&M, citing their strong home record (9-3 ATS) and Tennessee’s inconsistent play, especially on the road. Griffin Warner : Warner agrees with the A&M pick, doubting Tennessee’s ability to win on the road. He supports Texas A&M as home underdogs, despite their poor offensive metrics. 3. Illinois at Duke (Neutral Site at Madison Square Garden) Current Line : Duke -9.5, Total Points 152.5 Big East Ben : He picks Illinois to cover, believing they can slow the game down despite injuries and health concerns. Griffin Warner : Warner favors the under, suggesting Illinois’ style will keep the score low, and doubts Duke's dominance against a team like Illinois. 4. Iowa State at Houston (Big 12 Matchup) Current Line : Houston -9.5, Total Points 133.5 Big East Ben : Ben supports Iowa State, citing their strong players and good form. He feels the point spread is too high. Griffin Warner : Warner recalls Iowa State's strong tournament performance and supports them to keep it close. He prefers first-half unders and feels the spread might not hold up late. 5. Gonzaga vs. St. Mary’s (WCC Game) Current Line : Gonzaga -4.5, Total Points 143.5 Big East Ben : He acknowledges Gonzaga's strong rating but points to St. Mary's solid conference play and close game with Gonzaga earlier. He thinks St. Mary's can cover. Griffin Warner : Warner agrees with Ben’s take, noting that Gonzaga struggles at a high tempo and should respect St. Mary’s ability to handle foul trouble in a close game. Best Bets: Griffin Warner’s Best Bet : Warner picks Texas A&M as home underdogs against Tennessee, citing Tennessee’s struggles on the road. Big East Ben’s Best Bet : Ben favors Nevada -1.5 over Boise State, pointing out Nevada's size and athleticism, despite their disappointing season. Promo Code and Closing: The episode concludes with Warner offering listeners a 20% discount using the code "BUBBLE 20" at Pregame.com for all basketball-related purchases. The hosts also acknowledge Marquette 84 's father's team, the Notre Dame Crystal Ray Panthers , with an impressive 19-1 record. Summary : The podcast provides valuable insights into five key college basketball games, with detailed analysis and betting picks from both hosts. Their personal reflections, humor, and sharp betting predictions offer a comprehensive preview for bettors and fans alike. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 20

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things ports this week. The guys get into the NBA and plenty of future wagers in major sports. Don't miss this episode. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 19

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Mexico Open. -Discussing top 8 on odds board -1 p2p -3 outrights -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring -Best Bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59 Genesis Invitational Recap 🏆 Winner: Ludwig Aberg (-12) – Overcame an illness and dominated with 19 birdies and 2 eagles . 🥈 Runner-Up: Maverick McNeely (-11) – Led for most of Sunday but stumbled late. 🥉 Tied for Third: Scottie Scheffler & Patrick Rodgers (-9) Biggest Betting Mistakes from Genesis 🚫 Fading Scottie Scheffler & Maverick McNeely – Both were elite ball strikers in peak form. ✅ Correctly fading Adam Scott (T-37) – Poor putting cost him. Mexico Open 2024 Betting Picks & Predictions Key Course Fit Factors at Vidanta Vallarta ✅ Elite Driving – Distance & accuracy matter. ✅ Long Iron Precision – Scoring depends on strong approach play . ✅ Putting on Paspalum Greens – Players with a history of success on this surface gain an edge. Top Picks & Betting Insights 1️⃣ Akshay Bhatia (14-1) – Best coastal course golfer . Pick to win outright. 2️⃣ Steven Jaeger (30-1) – Top 20 in 3 straight Mexico Open appearances. Second outright pick. 3️⃣ Ricky Castillo (100-1) – Corn Fairy Tour graduate, T-15 at Torrey Pines . Longshot sleeper pick. Best Prop Bets & Sleeper Picks ⭐ Taylor Moore Top 20 (+170) – Strong driver & putter , two top-10s in last four starts . 🔹 Aldrich Potgieter Top 20 (+320) – One of the best young drivers on Tour. First-Round Leader Bets 🎯 Alex Smalley (+500 to Top 10 after Round 1) – Strong opening rounds & early tee time advantage. 🎯 Chris Gotterup (+700 to Top 10 after Round 1) – Perfect course fit for his aggressive driving . DFS & Fantasy Golf Picks 💰 DraftKings DFS Picks (50K Budget) ✅ Akshay Bhatia (10.7K) ✅ Taylor Moore (9K) ✅ Jake Knapp (8.6K) ✅ Aldrich Potgieter (7.3K) ✅ Ricky Castillo (7.2K) ✅ Chris Gotterup (7.2K) 🔥 PGA Tour Fantasy Picks Captain: Akshay Bhatia Starters: Steven Jaeger, Ricky Castillo, Taylor Moore Bench: Jake Knapp, Aldrich Potgieter Final Predictions 🏆 Winning Score: -21 💎 Best Bet: Akshay Bhatia Top 10 (+200) The Mexico Open 2024 offers excellent betting and DFS opportunities for PGA Tour fans. With sharp picks and expert insights , this breakdown helps maximize value for betting, fantasy, and DFS lineups . 🔔 Next Up: Cognizant Classic Preview! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 18

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball Tuesday betting. Ben and Griffin both give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 15

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB weekend betting. The guys also give out best bets and preview the biggest games. CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets (February 14, 2025) – Summary Introduction (0:14 - 1:31) Host Griffin Warner and co-host Big East Ben introduce the latest episode of the Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast , presented by Pregame.com . They reflect on last week's best bets, with Big East Ben going 0-2 , though their season record remains strong ( 22-13, 63% overall). Ben's personal record is 11-7 (61%) , while Griffin leads at 11-6 (65%) . They discuss key takeaways from the UCLA vs. Illinois game and Creighton's struggles, including Liam McNeely's 38-point, 10-rebound performance. Discussion on UConn & Creighton (1:32 - 4:57) Big East Ben criticizes UConn’s play, suggesting they might suffer an early tournament exit due to turnover issues and poor defensive matchups. He also slams Alex Karaban , calling him the worst preseason All-American of all time . Warner counters, noting UConn’s late-season peaks , improved health, and their win at Creighton , despite foul trouble and injuries. However, both hosts agree UConn’s success is unsustainable if they rely on two players. Game Previews & Best Bets Wisconsin vs. Purdue (6:11 - 8:56) Wisconsin is 9-2 against the spread (ATS) on the road and leads the Big Ten in three-point shooting . Purdue relies on interior scoring (highest two-point FG distribution in Big Ten) . Defensive battle: Purdue has the 2nd-best defense , Wisconsin 3rd-best in Big Ten. Big East Ben’s pick : Under 149.5 points due to defensive dominance. Griffin Warner’s pick : Purdue -5 , citing their dominance at home. Boise State vs. San Diego State (8:56 - 14:54) San Diego State is 2-8 ATS at home and struggles defensively without fouling ( 304th in free throw rate ). Boise State is #2 in Mountain West in free throw attempts and shoots 75-76% from the line . Big East Ben’s pick : Boise State +1.5 , citing their free-throw advantage and rebounding. Griffin Warner’s pick : San Diego State -1.5 , believing their home-court respect will hold. Houston vs. Arizona (14:55 - 19:14) Arizona relies on inside scoring (43rd in two-point FG %) but struggles with three-point shooting (276th in the nation) . Houston has the 3rd-best two-point defense in the country and forces turnovers. Big East Ben’s pick : Houston -1.5 , citing defensive edge and rebounding. Griffin Warner’s pick : Arizona +1.5 , trusting their home-court strength. Michigan State vs. Illinois (20:20 - 23:40) Illinois lost by 2 at Michigan State earlier despite their best player fouling out in 8 minutes . Michigan State lacks shooting and struggles against zone defenses . Big East Ben’s pick : Illinois -6 , predicting a dominant win. Griffin Warner’s pick : Illinois -6 , doubting Michigan State’s resilience. Auburn vs. Alabama (23:41 - 30:26) Alabama is a 2.5-point home favorite , but Auburn is statistically the most talented team . Auburn's top-ranked offense faces Alabama’s No. 2-ranked offense (KenPom ratings) . Big East Ben’s pick : Under 172.5 , expecting tight defense in a high-stakes game. Griffin Warner’s pick : Alabama -2.5 , trusting their home advantage. Best Bets & Promo Code (30:27 - 37:08) Big East Ben’s Best Bet : SMU -7.5 vs. Wake Forest (SMU dominates weak ACC teams at home). Griffin Warner’s Best Bet : Furman -2 vs. UNC Greensboro ( Furman undervalued in the market ). Promo Code : Slam25 for $25 off a college basketball season subscription at Pregame.com . Final Thoughts The episode wraps with banter about betting, personal life, and college basketball trends. They remind listeners to tune in as March Madness approaches and encourage responsible betting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 13

RJ Bell. Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the aftermath of Super Bowl LIX. Fezzik also gives out a best bet. Super Bowl Aftermath – Key Insights from Dream Podcast Super Bowl Recap & Betting Perspective Eagles Were the Better Team ( Scott Seidenberg, 1:47-2:02 ), but Chiefs were favored due to Mahomes/Reid playoff success. First Betting Move Favored Chiefs ( Steve Fezzik, 2:09-2:12 ). Bettors backed them based on reputation, not season performance. Key Stats & Game Impact Chiefs Lost 17 Points to Turnovers ( Mackenzie Rivers, 8:03-8:09 ), their worst in 33 games. Chiefs Didn’t Cross Midfield in First 8 Drives ( Steve Fezzik, 7:50-8:03 ). Eagles Had 16 Pressures, 6 Sacks Without Blitzing ( Scott Seidenberg, 32:33-32:38 ). Post-Super Bowl Betting Adjustments Eagles Should Have Been -4 in a Rematch ( Steve Fezzik, 3:02-3:17 ). Future Super Bowl Odds : Eagles +600, Chiefs/Bills +700 ( Scott Seidenberg, 33:15-33:18 ). Fezzik Bet Ravens to Be #1 Seed due to an easier schedule ( 33:19-33:35 ). Mahomes' Legacy & Historical Comparisons Mahomes Played His Worst Super Bowl ( Mackenzie Rivers, 11:24-11:37 ). Super Bowl Winners Usually Have Hall of Fame QBs ( RJ Bell, 24:54-25:10 ), with few exceptions like Nick Foles. Vegas Market Trends Super Bowl Weekend Had Low Hotel Rates ( Steve Fezzik, 42:39-43:45 ), indicating a hangover from last year’s Vegas Super Bowl. Betting Handle Was Down 20% ( Mackenzie Rivers, 44:38-44:49 ). Future Predictions & Betting Angles Eagles Favored to Repeat ( Scott Seidenberg, 18:13-18:24 ). Long-Shot Super Bowl Picks: 49ers at 15-1 ( Seidenberg, 46:33-46:36 ), Rams as a dark horse ( RJ Bell, 39:12-39:17 ). Mahomes vs. Allen Debate Seidenberg Picked Allen for His Versatility ( 1:00:30-1:01:14 ). Fezzik & Rivers Backed Mahomes for Playoff Success ( 1:02:16-1:02:47 ). Mahomes Is 7-for-7 in Playoff Comebacks ( Mackenzie Rivers, 1:02:16-1:02:47 ). The discussion highlighted the Eagles’ dominance, Kansas City’s struggles, and future betting opportunities while debating Mahomes’ place in history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 12

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Genesis Invitational -Top names on odds board matchups outrights -Sleeper, FRP, lineups, scoring -Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Course Conditions & Challenges (3:00 - 7:30) Weather forecast : Rain expected Wednesday through Friday with constant breeze, making the course even tougher. Course setup : Narrow fairways, deep rough , and small greens . Player reaction : Ben Griffin posted a video on social media showing how deadly the rough is. Difficulty level : Similar to U.S. Open conditions , making precision a necessity. Review of Week 6 – Waste Management Phoenix Open (7:30 - 15:45) Thomas Detry's Victory Detry (Belgium) won his first PGA Tour event after 68 starts. Opened at 90-1 odds . Winning Score : -18 (Rounds: 66, 64, 65, 65 ). Beat Michael Kim & Daniel Berger by four strokes. Fended off Jordan Spieth, Scottie Scheffler , and Rasmus Højgaard in the final round. Key Moments Detry birdied the final four holes . Crucial shot on 16th hole ("Ferrari shot") almost broke the flagstick . Competitors Berger & Højgaard faltered on 16, missing long. Bets Review Lost 5.1 units on the week, down 30.8 on the season . Kurt Kitayama (66-1) & Gary Woodland (115-1) failed to cash . Scotty Scheffler (+320 to lead after round 1) lost due to double bogey on 12. One winning bet : Rico Hoey over Thriston Lawrence (-106) . Live Bet Disaster Tom Kim at 8-1 at the halfway mark (Saturday morning) was a terrible bet . He fell apart, finishing T44 after shooting +3 over the last 36 holes . Genesis Invitational Betting Picks (15:45 - 54:41) Top 6 Players on the Odds Board Scottie Scheffler (5-1) T25 at Phoenix Open . Concerns: Short game struggles , bad track record at Torrey Pines . Verdict : PASS . Rory McIlroy (7.5-1) Recent win at Pebble Beach . Strong history at Torrey Pines (never worse than T16). Bet : Rory McIlroy over Scheffler (+125 at Caesars) . Collin Morikawa (16-1) Leads PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Total . Greens in Regulation & Birdie Leader . Bet : Outright winner at 16-1 (BetOnline) . Justin Thomas (18-1) Great recent form but bad record at Torrey Pines . Verdict : PASS . Hideki Matsuyama (25-1) Driving accuracy struggles . Verdict : PASS . Ludvig Åberg (25-1) Sick at Farmers, withdrew at Pebble Beach . Lost strokes on driving accuracy & short game . Verdict : PASS . Matchups Rory McIlroy over Scottie Scheffler (+125) Sepp Straka over Sam Burns (-115) Burns has lost strokes in driving accuracy for 4 straight events . Will Zalatoris over Maverick McNealy (+117) Zalatoris has three top-13s in four starts at Torrey Pines . Harris English over Byeong Hun An (+127) English won Farmers at Torrey Pines , while An has never finished better than 62nd there. Top 20 Finishes Taylor Pendrith (+130) Back-to-back top 10s at Torrey Pines . Tony Finau (+150) Elite iron player, great history at Torrey Pines . Outright Winners Collin Morikawa (16-1) Rasmus Højgaard (40-1) 5-time DP World Tour winner . Great driving accuracy, elite iron play . Sleeper Pick Adam Scott to Top 20 (+210) T10 at 2021 Farmers, solo 2nd in 2019 . Four top-35 finishes at Torrey Pines . First-Round Bets Rory McIlroy to Top 10 after Round 1 (+120) Consistently strong opening rounds . Rasmus Højgaard to Top 10 after Round 1 (+275) Second on Tour in first-round scoring . DFS Lineups DraftKings Morikawa ($10K) Pendrith ($8K) Højgaard ($8.3K) Zalatoris ($7.9K) Adam Scott ($7.5K) Justin Rose ($6.4K) PGA Tour Fantasy Starters: McIlroy, Morikawa (Captain), Højgaard, Pendrith Bench: Zalatoris, Finau Final Predictions Winning Score : -10 Best Bet : Collin Morikawa Top 10 (+150) . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 11

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB betting for Tuesday. The guys also give out best bets. Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast (Feb 11, 2025) – Summary Hosts: Griffin Warner & Big East Ben Betting Record: 22-11 (67%) Best Bets: Ben: Creighton -2.5 Warner: UCLA vs. Illinois Under 150 Game 1: Tennessee vs. Kentucky Kentucky +2.5 at home after winning at Tennessee. Lamont Butler (Tennessee) returned , 25 min, 8 pts. Kerr Kriisa (Kentucky) game-time decision (out since Dec 7). Ben bets Over 149.5 , citing Kentucky’s 41% 3PT shooting (best in SEC) . Warner takes Kentucky +2.5 , expecting home momentum . Game 2: Purdue vs. Michigan Purdue (1st in Big Ten, 7th KenPom) , forces most turnovers in Big Ten (22%) . Michigan elite inside (5th in 2PT%) but had 22 turnovers vs. Purdue . Ben bets Michigan -2 , believing their bigs will dominate Purdue’s weak defense . Warner skeptical of Purdue’s defense , noting Big Ten’s 24-year title drought . Game 3: Alabama vs. Texas Alabama -3 at Texas , total 165.5 . Alabama handled Arkansas ; Texas inconsistent at home . Ben bets Over 165.5 , citing both teams' high 3PT attempt rates . Warner bets Under 165.5 , doubting Texas’s scoring ability. Game 4: UCLA vs. Illinois Illinois inconsistent, 28% 3PT in Big Ten (18th out of 14 teams) . UCLA strong defensively, prefers slow pace . Ben & Warner both bet Under 150 , predicting a low-scoring, defensive battle . Game 5: UConn vs. Creighton Creighton -3 at home , UConn struggles there . UConn had 25 turnovers vs. Marquette , turnover issues persist. Ben bets Creighton -2.5 , citing Creighton’s strong home form . Warner agrees , seeing UConn as overvalued due to past success. Closing Thoughts Promo Code: DUNK10 for $10 off betting packages. Funny casino story: A player doubled on Ace-King against a 6 and won . Next Episode: March Madness preview & more betting picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 11

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for Tuesday February 3rd. The guys also give out best bets. Key Trades and Reactions 1. Lakers-Mavericks Blockbuster Trade (5:10 - 13:22) Trade Details : Lakers send Anthony Davis, Max Christie, and a 2029 first-round pick to the Mavericks. Lakers receive Luka Dončić, Maxi Kleber, and Markieff Morris . Immediate Reactions : Rivers was shocked , comparing it to waking up in a new reality. Luka's potential as a top-30 player all-time makes the trade stunning. Why would Dallas trade Luka? Concerns over his health and conditioning . His commitment to the game was questioned by the Mavericks’ front office. Lakers’ Perspective : Luka learns from LeBron’s longevity and conditioning regimen . Lakers’ future is now built around Luka as the post-LeBron centerpiece . Mavericks’ Outlook : Can Anthony Davis stay healthy? The odds shifted after the trade: Lakers went from 40-1 to 20-1 to win the championship. Mavericks dropped from 20-1 to 40-1 . 2. Jimmy Butler to the Warriors (16:18 - 20:52) Trade Details : Golden State acquires Jimmy Butler from Miami in exchange for Andrew Wiggins. Warriors also add a shooter from another team . Analysis : Jimmy Butler extends with Golden State for two years, $121M . The window for the Warriors is closing , but this move might extend it. Rivers isn't fully convinced : Warriors needed a Kevin Durant-level addition , not just Butler. Draymond Green is holding the team back . This trade makes them a playoff team but not a title contender . 3. Cavaliers Acquire De’Andre Hunter (22:24 - 23:42) Trade Details : Cleveland Cavaliers acquire De’Andre Hunter from the Hawks . Why This Matters : Hunter fits perfectly as a 3-and-D player . Cavs now have a strong starting five : Darius Garland, Donovan Mitchell, Hunter, Evan Mobley, and Jarrett Allen . Comparison made to the Denver Nuggets’ balanced championship lineup . 4. Bucks Swap Middleton for Kuzma (23:42 - 24:21) Trade Details : Bucks trade Khris Middleton for Kyle Kuzma . Analysis : Rivers isn’t a fan of Kuzma. Bucks might have just made the move to cut salary and stay under the luxury tax. With Giannis now injured , the Bucks’ short-term outlook is uncertain. Tuesday's Betting Insights & Game Analysis 1. Raptors vs. 76ers (-7) (25:41 - 31:18) Key Points : Joel Embiid is questionable but likely to play . Sixers’ defense has been atrocious (30th in the NBA last month) . Betting Pick : Rivers likes the Sixers (-7) , believing they’ll turn things around. 2. Knicks vs. Pacers (-1) (32:14 - 33:59) Key Points : Knicks want revenge for last year's playoff loss to Indiana. Betting Pick : Slight lean toward the Knicks due to their bounce-back potential. 3. Pistons (-3.5) vs. Bulls (35:18 - 39:24) Key Points : Bulls are surprisingly better without Zach LaVine . Pistons are one of the most improved teams with Cade Cunningham leading. Betting Pick : Manji likes the Pistons (-3.5) . 4. Grizzlies vs. Suns (-2) (40:50 - 43:50) Key Points : Memphis leads the NBA in pace . Phoenix’s defense is struggling . Betting Pick : Manji likes the over (238.5) . Best Bets Mackenzie Rivers’ Best Bet : 76ers (-7) vs. Raptors . Believes Sixers are undervalued and will improve . Munaf Manji’s Best Bet : Grizzlies-Suns OVER (238.5) . Memphis pushes tempo , and Phoenix can score . Final Thoughts The NBA trade deadline significantly changed team dynamics . Lakers now have their next franchise player in Luka . Warriors’ title hopes remain slim despite acquiring Jimmy Butler . Bucks’ future depends on Giannis’ health . 76ers are undervalued , and overs are trending in February . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 8

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg drop a special episode for Super Bowl LIX. Don't miss out on all the picks and the same game parlay. Key Takeaways & Insights 1. Super Bowl Betting Trends Scott Seidenberg (3:31 - 4:05) introduces a 10-0 betting trend where teams that received a first-round bye (like the Chiefs) are 0-10 against the spread (ATS) in the Super Bowl. Steve Fezzik (5:17 - 5:36) cautions about the validity of the trend , pointing out that lower-seeded teams (3rd-6th seeds) making the Super Bowl often indicate undervaluation. RJ Bell (8:56 - 9:04) states that in the current NFL playoff structure , upsets are more frequent, making pre-playoff seedings a weak indicator of true team strength. 2. Chiefs’ Strengths & Weaknesses Mackenzie Rivers (12:46 - 12:58) mentions that Patrick Mahomes ranked 8th in QBR this season, which is a drop from his prime years. RJ Bell (13:37 - 14:28) highlights Mahomes’ declining deep-ball passing (Average Depth of Target down from 9.7 yards to bottom five in the league ). Steve Fezzik (16:13 - 16:29) debates how small moments in past Super Bowls (like Jimmy Garoppolo missing a throw) shaped Mahomes' legacy , arguing that one play could have changed the narrative . 3. Eagles’ Strengths & Concerns RJ Bell (15:31 - 16:13) argues that if the season were replayed , the Eagles would likely finish with a better record than the Chiefs . Scott Seidenberg (30:38 - 30:53) points out that the Eagles have dominated turnover battles in the playoffs (10 takeaways, 0 giveaways), while the Chiefs are -1 . 4. Super Bowl Betting Market Moves Scott Seidenberg (16:43 - 17:52) reports a massive bet placed on the Eagles , potentially by legendary bettor Billy Walters . Steve Fezzik (17:19 - 17:39) states that Circa Sports increased their betting limits to $300,000 on Super Bowl wagers. Best Bets & Betting Strategies 5. Same Game Parlay Concepts RJ Bell (21:13 - 22:08) proposes a high-value parlay based on historical game flow tendencies : Chiefs win Mahomes over completions Saquon Barkley over rushing attempts Game total under Payout: +2100 (21-to-1 odds) Steve Fezzik (21:52 - 22:08) notes that if the game total is low, the chance of a huge lead is lower , making the under correlated to a closer game . 6. Alternative Parlay Adjustments RJ Bell (26:05 - 26:09) tweaks the parlay: Mahomes' completions lowered Barkley’s rush attempts reduced Final payout: +700 Scott Seidenberg (43:45 - 44:03) creates another parlay based on a Chiefs blowout: Chiefs -9.5 Barkley 30+ rushing attempts Mahomes 40+ pass attempts Payout: +4600 (46-to-1) Prop Bets & Key Markets 7. Player Prop Bets Jalen Hurts MVP (+350) – If the Eagles win in a close game , Hurts is the most likely MVP . Devonta Smith to lead in receiving yards (+600) – If A.J. Brown is contained , Smith becomes the primary target . JuJu Smith-Schuster receptions over 1.5 (-140) – Sharp money moving this line up suggests heavily bet over . Travis Kelce under receptions & yards – Market overvaluing Kelce’s role, potential sharp fade . 8. Game Script & Live Betting Strategies Fezzik (56:07 - 56:34) suggests betting Eagles live if they fall behind double digits , as they are built to rally . Mackenzie Rivers (1:04:34 - 1:04:41) suggests betting under 6.5 punts , citing historical offensive efficiency . Super Bowl Fun & Gimmick Bets Gatorade Color Shift (58:18 - 58:52) : The betting market moved yellow/green Gatorade from +300 to -295 , indicating inside information . Three Players to Attempt a Pass (+180) : Kansas City & Philly have trick plays and gadget packages that could result in a non-QB passing attempt . Final Betting Recommendations Same Game Parlay (21-to-1 odds) : Chiefs win, Mahomes over completions, Barkley over rushes, game total under . Devonta Smith over receiving yards (+600 to lead all receivers) . Live bet Eagles if they fall behind 10+ points . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 8

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball Saturday betting. The guys are heating up and give out best bets. CBB Saturday Preview & Best Bets – Detailed Summary This podcast episode, hosted by Griffin Warner and Big East Ben, provides an in-depth analysis of the biggest college basketball games for the upcoming Saturday, along with betting insights and best bets. The discussion includes team performances, individual player statistics, betting trends, and strategic insights. Below is a structured summary following the given guidelines. 1. Betting Performance & Records Big East Ben's Record: 10-6 (63%) Griffin Warner's Record: 10-5-1 Overall Podcast Record: 20-11 (65%) The hosts discuss their past bets, including near misses and successful predictions, highlighting betting trends and improvements. 2. Marquette vs. Creighton 📍 Timestamp: 2:35 - 15:01 Spread: Creighton (-1.5) Total: 145.5 Analysis: Creighton has covered nine straight games , indicating strong momentum. Marquette struggled early but faced a tough schedule, including games vs. UConn, St. John's, and Creighton. Biggest concern for Marquette: Lack of interior dominance, highlighted by St. John’s +15 offensive rebounding advantage. Players to Watch: Nick Martinelli (Northwestern): Known for clutch mid-range shots. Steven Ashworth (Creighton): Experienced guard with high basketball IQ. Betting Picks: Big East Ben: Under 145.5 Griffin Warner: Creighton -1.5 3. Michigan State vs. Oregon 📍 Timestamp: 15:01 - 19:26 Spread: Michigan State (-7.5) Total: 148 Analysis: Michigan State struggles with three-point shooting (350th in the country). However, they are elite defensively, holding opponents to 27% from three (best in Big Ten). Oregon has lost five of its last six games and struggles against strong defensive teams. Betting Picks: Big East Ben: Under 148 Griffin Warner: Michigan State -7.5 4. Texas Tech vs. Arizona 📍 Timestamp: 19:26 - 24:14 Spread: Arizona (-3) Total: 149.5 Analysis: Arizona has been inconsistent but recently beat Arizona State and BYU on the road . Last meeting: Texas Tech 70, Arizona 54 (Texas Tech dominated defensively). Texas Tech’s win over Houston (without their best player and coach) was one of the season’s biggest upsets . Players to Watch: Caleb Love (Arizona): Streaky shooter who thrives on confidence. JT Toppin (Texas Tech): Questionable with an ankle injury. Betting Picks: Big East Ben: Texas Tech +3 Griffin Warner: Over 149.5 5. Florida vs. Auburn 📍 Timestamp: 24:14 - 26:33 Spread: Auburn (-9) Total: 155.5 Analysis: Florida: Missing key player Walter Clayton in the last game but still managed a win over Vanderbilt. Auburn: Dominant recently, winning their last three games by double digits . Auburn destroyed Oklahoma 98-70 . Betting Picks: Big East Ben: Over 155.5 Griffin Warner: Under 155.5 6. Duke vs. Clemson 📍 Timestamp: 26:33 - 31:00 Spread: Duke (-7.5) Total: 134.5 Analysis: Duke hasn't lost since Nov. 26 (Kansas game) . Clemson is 38% from three (40% at home), crucial against Duke’s elite interior defense. Biggest Trend: If Duke loses an ACC game, it will likely be this one . Betting Picks: Big East Ben: Clemson +7.5 Griffin Warner: Clemson +7.5 7. Best Bets 📍 Timestamp: 31:00 - 35:46 Big East Ben: Kansas State +4.5 vs. Kansas Griffin Warner: Clemson +7.5 vs. Duke Promo Code: CBB10 for $10 off betting packages. Conclusion This episode of Need for Seeds provides an extensive preview of the top five Saturday college basketball games , along with best bets. Marquette's struggles , Texas Tech’s upset potential , Duke's toughest test , and Creighton’s hot streak were key discussion points. The hosts also shared their betting trends and records , giving listeners an edge in selecting bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 6

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk Super Bowl 59. The guys discuss a ton of the big game. Don't miss out on all the best information. 🏆 On Sharp Betting Strategies 🗣 RJ Bell (17:28 - 17:46): "You know, I would make the case. So you're saying Henry would give you his power, effectively his game ratings for the game and say, go bet somewhere else on your, with your book, with your, with your, I'm using book as like, like the finance guys on Wall Street with your money or with Pinnacle's money, with Pinnacle's money." ​ 🔎 Analysis: RJ compares betting syndicates to financial markets, illustrating how professionals leverage their knowledge across different books for maximum value. This highlights the arbitrage-style approach sharp bettors take when finding the best odds. 📉 On Market Movements & Hidden Deals 🗣 RJ Bell (18:33 - 19:25): "The way that the Olympic sports book and the Greek quote unquote, and Billy had a partnership that was, you know, from my understanding, went very deep and, and, and went for many years." ​ 🔎 Analysis: This quote implies the deep, behind-the-scenes relationships between major sportsbooks and professional bettors. If true, it raises questions about line manipulation and insider strategies used at the highest levels of sports betting. 💰 On Super Bowl Prop Betting & Correlation 🗣 Steve Fezzik (1:31:10 - 1:31:23): "It makes me very happy because I win Scott's Circus Square zero zero first quarter bet. And also I get to Barry Horowitz pat myself on the back when my bet on both teams are no will score despite the first quarter going over." ​ 🔎 Analysis: Fezzik celebrates a correlated betting strategy , where even if the first quarter total goes over , his other bet (both teams not scoring) still wins. This demonstrates how sharp bettors hedge their bets across multiple angles. ⏳ On First-Quarter Super Bowl Betting Trends 🗣 Scott Seidenberg (1:31:23 - 1:31:54): "Of the last ten Super Bowls, five of them were zero-zero. So five scoops, four splits. Only one time, only one time you lost them both." ​ 🔎 Analysis: Super Bowls have historically started slow , making first-quarter unders and "No score in first six minutes" props sharp plays. Seidenberg reinforces that betting against first-quarter fireworks is often a +EV strategy . 🔥 On Betting Against Mahomes’ Passing Yards 🗣 RJ Bell (1:52:16 - 1:53:25): "Mahomes in general, his stats aren't as good as his rep or his winning. And I think Fangio is especially suited to slow him down. And I also think that the Super Bowl lends itself to the public betting over." ​ 🔎 Analysis: RJ makes a compelling case for betting Mahomes' passing yards under , citing defensive coaching (Vic Fangio), public bias towards overs, and Mahomes' shift in playstyle . This aligns with a sharp bettor’s approach to finding value in overinflated markets . 🏈 On Patrick Mahomes' Rushing Habits in Playoffs 🗣 Scott Seidenberg (1:08:13 - 1:08:25): "This season, when trailing, Patrick Mahomes has only run the ball 12 times in 15 games. When leading, he ran 36 times." ​ 🔎 Analysis: Seidenberg uncovers a key betting trend —Mahomes runs more when leading than when trailing , contradicting conventional thinking. This insight could shape rushing attempt props for Mahomes in the Super Bowl. 📊 On Jalen Hurts’ Running vs. Passing Playstyle 🗣 RJ Bell (1:17:57 - 1:18:05): "Almost one in three (29%) of Jalen Hurts' plays were runs. For Mahomes, it was 6%. Hurts was number one in the NFL, Mahomes was number 26." ​ 🔎 Analysis: RJ emphasizes how much more Hurts runs compared to Mahomes , suggesting Hurts' rushing attempts over might be a strong play. Mahomes’ reliance on passing means sack props or passing yardage unders could hold value . 🔍 On Betting the Super Bowl Over/Under 🗣 Steve Fezzik (1:35:06 - 1:35:28): "Two years ago, these teams played a shootout. The total opened at 49.5, now it's 48.5 at sharp books. But I think the public's going to bet over." ​ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 6

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk Super Bowl 59 player props and much more. Super Bowl 59 Props & Predictions: Transcript Summary 📌 Overview: The Super Bowl 59 Props & More podcast on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview was hosted by Munaf Manji with analysts Steve Reider and SleepyJ . The discussion revolved around Super Bowl 59 props, player performances, and final game predictions. 🎯 Key Takeaways: 1️⃣ Player Prop Bets The hosts provided in-depth analysis of various player performance bets, including receptions, yardage totals, and touchdown scorers. 🔹 Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – Under 6.5 Receptions SleepyJ (3:01 - 4:22): Suggested betting the under due to Philadelphia’s strong tight-end defense . Steve Reider (4:58 - 6:34): Agreed but preferred under Kelce’s total yardage over receptions. Munaf Manji (4:23 - 4:58): Noted the Chiefs' numerous offensive weapons , which could limit Kelce's targets. 🔹 DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs) – Under 1.5 Receptions Steve Reider (4:58 - 6:34): Highlighted Hopkins' low usage (3 targets, 1 reception in playoffs). Predicted public betting over , making under a smart contrarian play. 🔹 Samaje Perine (Chiefs) – Over 7.5 Receiving Yards Munaf Manji (6:34 - 8:41): Perine exceeded this total in 14 of 17 regular-season games . SleepyJ (8:42 - 10:56): Pointed out Andy Reid’s tendency to involve multiple players in Super Bowls. 🔹 Dallas Goedert (Eagles) – Over 52.5 Receiving Yards Munaf Manji (12:35 - 13:43): Stated the Chiefs struggle against tight ends . Steve Reider (13:44 - 14:58): Considered over 4.5 receptions as another good bet. 🔹 Saquon Barkley (Eagles) – Under 114.5 Rushing Yards Steve Reider (13:44 - 14:58): Noted Chiefs' strong run defense and Spagnuolo’s game planning . Munaf Manji (14:59 - 16:27): Expected Chiefs to force Jalen Hurts to win with his arm . 2️⃣ Touchdown Scorer Bets The panel discussed the best bets for anytime touchdown scorers. 🔹 Jalen Hurts (Eagles) – Anytime TD (-110) SleepyJ (16:28 - 18:02): 12 rushing TDs in 18 games . The “tush push” makes him a strong bet. Steve Reider (18:29 - 19:36): Agreed, mentioning Hurts' 18 total rushing TDs . 🔹 Travis Kelce (Chiefs) – Anytime TD (+140) Munaf Manji (19:36 - 21:18): Stressed Mahomes targets Kelce heavily in the red zone . 3️⃣ Same Game Parlay (SGP) Each host contributed one leg to a Super Bowl SGP bet : SleepyJ (21:19 - 22:50): Eagles Over 5.5 Players to Record a Reception Steve Reider (22:58 - 23:45): Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 Receptions Munaf Manji (23:46 - 25:48): Over 2.5 Total Rushing Touchdowns 4️⃣ Best Bet: DeVonta Smith Over 51.5 Receiving Yards SleepyJ (27:18 - 29:09): Pointed out Chiefs' blitz-heavy defense benefits Smith. Munaf Manji (29:09 - 30:10): Smith had 122, 99, and 100 yards in past games vs. Chiefs. Steve Reider (30:11 - 30:38): Expected Eagles to rely on passing more . 5️⃣ Super Bowl 59 Predictions The hosts split on their final game picks: SleepyJ (31:12 - 33:20) → Eagles Win 33-18 Chiefs have declined slightly . Eagles dominate both sides of the ball . Steve Reider (33:30 - 35:59) → Chiefs Win 27-24 Best QB & coach in Mahomes & Reid. Chiefs have momentum and experience . Munaf Manji (36:00 - 38:27) → Eagles Win 27-26 Expected Eagles' defensive line to control the game . 🏆 Final Thoughts This episode provided detailed analysis of Super Bowl 59 player props, best bets, and game predictions. DeVonta Smith over 51.5 yards , Jalen Hurts anytime TD , and Dallas Goedert overs were among the standout plays. 💡 Will the Eagles' revenge storyline or the Chiefs' dynasty prevail? We’ll find out on Sunday! 🎉 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 5

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the WM Phoenix Open. -Top 6 names on odds board -1 matchup -1 t20 -2 outrights -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups, scoring -Best bet For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Recap of Pebble Beach Pro-Am (0:39 - 32:26) Rory McIlroy’s Dominance McIlroy secured his 27th PGA Tour win with a commanding performance. He finished 5-under on the final nine holes, with birdies at 10, 12, and 15 , and a momentum-shifting eagle on the 14th . Led the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and was top 10 in putting . Averaged 336 yards per drive (leading the field), scaling back to irons strategically in the final round. Will Doctor highlights McIlroy’s shift to a conservative approach in his final round, citing Jamie Kennedy (Golf Digest) for insightful questions on McIlroy's tactics. Scottie Scheffler’s Performance Finished T-9 despite high expectations. Was above average in all statistical categories , with a final-round 67 . Second round (70) cost him ground , but overall solid performance . Tom Kim’s Near Miss Finished T-7 , cashing a top-10 ticket . Struggled on par-5s , a key reason for missing a podium finish. Big mistake: bogey on the par-5 6th , where he hit into the Pacific Ocean. His slow play is a concern heading into Phoenix Open, especially with rowdy fans at TPC Scottsdale . WM Phoenix Open – Picks & Predictions Top Contenders & Betting Analysis Scottie Scheffler (+305) Back-to-back WM Phoenix Open winner (2022, 2023) . T-3 last year . Improved putting over recent months. Not betting outright but looking for a live number . Justin Thomas (15:1) Driving accuracy concerns . Has played well in Phoenix but struggles to win due to tee-shot inconsistencies. Passing on JT outright . Hideki Matsuyama (17:1) 2-time Phoenix Open winner (2016, 2017) . Struggled with driving accuracy in recent events. Third consecutive tournament , raising fatigue concerns. Sungjae Im (22:1) Has 2 top-10 finishes at Phoenix Open. However, below-average iron play in 2 of last 3 starts . Has not truly contended at this event . Sam Burns (25:1) Back-to-back top-10s at WM Phoenix Open . Struggling with approach play in recent months. Passing on Burns this week . Tom Kim (33:1) Slow play may be an issue in a loud environment . T-17 last year, finished 11 shots back . Not enough value at 33:1 , so passing on Kim . Best Bets & Sleeper Picks Matchup Bets Rico Hoey over Thriston Lawrence (-106) Hoey: Great total driver & putter on overseeded greens . Lawrence: Poor driving accuracy & distance . Hoey should outperform Lawrence in these conditions. Top Picks Kurt Kitayama Win: 66:1 Top-20: +240 Strengths: Elite driver, strong recent putting. Recent results at WM Phoenix Open : T-23 in 2023 . T-8 in 2022 . Why bet? Improved driving accuracy recently, well-rested after missing Farmers. Gary Woodland (Sleeper Pick) Win: 115:1 Top-20: +350 Past Winner (2018) . Ball-striking back to form with coach Randy Smith. Putting showed improvement at Pebble Beach . Low risk, high reward pick . Daily Fantasy Picks (DraftKings & PGA Tour Lineup) DraftKings Lineup ($50K Budget) Kurt Kitayama ($8.9K) Luke Clanton ($8.3K) Si Woo Kim ($8K) Matt Fitzpatrick ($7.7K) Charlie Hoffman ($7.2K) Gary Woodland ($7.1K) PGA Tour Fantasy Lineup Starters: Kitayama (Captain), Woodland, Clanton, Si Woo Kim. Bench: Hoffman, Fitzpatrick. Final Predictions Winning Score: -18 Best Bet: Kurt Kitayama Top-20 (+240) First-Round Leader Bet: Scottie Scheffler (Top-5 after Round 1) at +320 . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 4

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for early this week. The guys are gearing up for the meat of the season. Best bets as always. Subscribe to the podcast. CBB Tues/Wed Preview Best Bets – Podcast Summary Podcast: Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast Hosts: Griffin Warner & Big East Ben Week of February 4th Game Recaps & Betting Insights Wisconsin vs. Northwestern (1:17 - 2:01) Wisconsin trailed by 7 at halftime before Carter Gilmore (15 pts) led the comeback. Bet result: Wisconsin covered. Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest (2:01 - 3:58) Wake hit a miracle three to cover late. Griffin’s record dropped to 10-4. Marquette vs. St. John’s (6:55 - 13:27) Marquette forced 25 UConn turnovers and lost—historic anomaly. St. John’s shoots just 24% from three in Big East play. Bets: Ben: Marquette ML | Griffin: St. John’s -2.5 Ole Miss vs. Kentucky (13:32 - 17:45) Kentucky’s volatility (win at Tenn, 3 losses in 4). Ole Miss defensive decline in SEC play. Both bet: Over 157 points. UCLA vs. Michigan State (17:45 - 22:04) Michigan State’s 17.4% turnover rate is a liability. UCLA’s strong home defense (8-4 ATS). Both bet: UCLA -2.5. Tennessee vs. Missouri (24:03 - 29:54) Missouri went from 0-18 in SEC last year to 6-2 this season. Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler is questionable. Both bet: Missouri +6. Michigan vs. Oregon (29:56 - 33:34) Oregon struggles inside (156th in 2-pt defense). Michigan is 6th in 2-pt shooting (60%). Both bet: Michigan -9. Best Bets (19-10 YTD, 66%) Big East Ben: Northwestern -1.5 vs. USC Griffin Warner: UCLA -2.5 vs. Michigan State Promo Code: "HOOPS20" for 20% off picks at Pregame.com . Next Episode: Friday’s preview for Saturday games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Feb 1

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball weekend betting. The guys also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 30

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Super Bowl 59. The guys also discuss the NBA and give out some best bets. NFL Super Bowl Talk & Best Bets – Dream Podcast SummaryMarket & Betting Analysis (4:41 - 6:22) Kansas City Chiefs Favored Slightly Market Movement : The initial betting line moved in favor of the Kansas City Chiefs, increasing from -1 to -1.5. Betting Exchanges : Sharp bettors use betting exchanges that offer minimal vigorish (fees), leading to highly efficient lines. Coin Flip Betting Psychology : RJ Bell discusses the odds manipulation of coin flip bets, where sportsbooks adjust the vig (commission) to influence betting behavior. Super Bowl Betting Trends Overs & Unders : Books tend to post overs early, delaying under bets until late in the week. Prop Betting Manipulation : Fezzik and Seidenberg highlight how books heavily promote overs while limiting under bets, creating inefficiencies. Same-Game Parlays : Vegas books historically lagged behind but are now competing with online books like DraftKings. Game Recap & Player Analysis (8:13 - 12:17) Jalen Hurts & Eagles' Offense Best Performance of the Season? Analysts praise Jalen Hurts’ game, citing his highest Pro Football Focus (PFF) grade in two years. AJ Brown’s Impact : Brown is fully healthy, making the Eagles' passing game more dangerous. Eagles’ Passing Strategy : The team focuses targets on a few key players, increasing bet value for AJ Brown and Dallas Goedert props. Kansas City Chiefs' Super Bowl Experience Winning Close Games : The Chiefs are lauded for consistently outperforming expectations in high-pressure moments. Injury Updates : Travis Kelce appears compromised, reducing his betting value. Mahomes’ Running Trend : His rushing yardage prop increased significantly, but Fezzik believes it's inflated and expects regression. Team & Player Betting Insights (26:08 - 32:23) Super Bowl Matchup: Eagles vs. Chiefs Philly's Strengths : The Eagles have dominated, finishing 13-0 in their last games before the playoffs. Kansas City's Statistical Anomaly : Chiefs' net yards per play is negative, yet they keep winning. Experience Factor : Analysts believe Philly’s playoff experience makes them a better bet at +1.5 compared to Detroit at the same spread. Impact of 4th Down Conversions NFL Teams Are Going for It More : The rise in successful fourth-down conversions is changing how betting markets evaluate games. Coaches & Analytics Debate : Some argue that aggressive decisions backfire under playoff pressure. Injury Reports & Team Performance (59:25 - 1:02:39) Healthiest Teams Performed the Best The top 11 least-injured teams (Kansas City, Minnesota, Philly, etc.) exceeded win totals by 20+ games . The bottom 10 most-injured teams (Dallas, San Francisco, Cleveland, etc.) underperformed by 21+ games . Super Bowl Finalists : All four final teams (Philly, Kansas City, Buffalo, and Baltimore) ranked among the least injured. Prop Bets & Final Betting Advice (54:06 - 58:10) Best Bets AJ Brown Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (Fezzik): Fully healthy and the Eagles' primary receiver. Dallas Goedert Over 4.5 Receptions (Seidenberg): Chiefs struggle against tight ends, making this a valuable bet. Super Bowl Betting Strategy Track Early Odds : Sharp bettors shape lines by mid-week, with public money inflating player props. Wait for the Best Unders : Books post overs early but hold off on unders, making it valuable to wait. Final Thoughts Super Bowl Betting : The Eagles are undervalued despite strong metrics. Prop Strategy : Play AJ Brown and Dallas Goedert overs now before public money moves lines. NBA Insights : Ride the Clippers and fade the Warriors in upcoming games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 29

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Wednesday betting. Mack and Munaf unveil a new segment for the podcast and give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 29

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Pebble Beach Pro-Am. -Discussing top 7 on odds board at Pebble -2 matchups -1 t10 -3 outrights -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring prediction, and best bet AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks Summary Host: Will Doctor (0:15 - 0:28) Preview of the PGA Tour’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am . Event Overview (0:37 - 12:16) 80 players, 45 of the top 50 . Scotty Scheffler returns, Rory McIlroy debuts in 2025. Pebble Beach & Spyglass Hills : Short courses, precision approach play key . No cut ; all four rounds played at Pebble. Past Winners 2020: Nick Taylor (-19), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18), 2022: Tom Hoagie (-19), 2023: Justin Rose (-18), 2024: Wyndham Clark (-12, 54-hole event). Farmers Insurance Open Review (-5.3 units) Wins: Shane Lowry over J.J. Spaun, K.H. Lee over Wesley Bryan. Losses: Ludwig Aberg (win, top 10, over Sungjae Im all failed) , Justin Rose missed cut , Daniel Berger top 20 loss . Wesley Bryan & YouTube Golf Controversy (12:16 - 15:56) Bet K.H. Lee over Bryan , citing poor ball striking & focus on YouTube . Bryan responded: "Hopefully the few dollars was worth the disparagement of the YouTube community." Doctor dismissed YouTube golf as irrelevant , doubling down on support for traditional pro golf . Key Player Picks & Odds 🏆 Scotty Scheffler (+525) – Elite approach play, strong Pebble history ( Bet to win ). ❌ Rory McIlroy (+1200) – Poor putting at Pebble ( Pass ). 💡 Justin Thomas (+1600) – Improved putting, strong iron play ( Top 5 bet ). ❌ Colin Morikawa (+1600) – Recent illness, limited Pebble experience ( Pass ). ❌ Ludwig Aberg (+1800) – Putting concerns ( Pass ). ❌ Hideki Matsuyama (+2200) – Struggles at Pebble ( Pass ). ❌ Sungjae Im (+2800) – Trending up, but weak Pebble history ( Pass ). Best Bets & Matchups ✅ Shane Lowry over Tony Finau (-120) – Lowry solid, Finau missed cuts & just had a baby . ✅ Rasmus Højgaard over Tony Finau (-112) – Elite DP World Tour talent . ✅ Tom Kim top 10 (+450) – Excellent approach stats, new putter confidence . 🏆 Gary Woodland to win (+17500) – Past U.S. Open champ at Pebble . Fantasy & DFS Lineups DraftKings: Justin Thomas, McNealy, Kim, MacIntyre, Bhatia, Woodland. PGA Tour Fantasy: Scheffler, Kim, Woodland, MacIntyre, Bhatia, McNealy. Final Predictions Winning Score: -16 Best Bet: Scotty Scheffler Top 5 (+125) Next Week: Phoenix Open Preview . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 29

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for Wednesday. The guys preview the 5 biggest games and give out best bets. The podcast boasts a 65% win rate on best bets (17-9 record), with both hosts discussing five key matchups, statistics, and betting strategies. Game Analysis & Best Bets 1. Alabama at Mississippi State (3:30 - 7:05) Mississippi State is a one-point favorite. Total set at 166. Key analysis: Alabama is coming off strong wins against Kentucky, Vanderbilt, and LSU. Mississippi State plays a more controlled tempo (77th in offensive possession length, 176th in tempo). Big East Ben’s play : Under 166 total points . Mississippi State will slow the pace and force Alabama into contested threes . Griffin Warner's play : Mississippi State -1 due to their depth and physicality. 2. Wisconsin at Maryland (7:07 - 12:07) Maryland is favored by 4 points. Total at 154. Key analysis: Wisconsin excels at getting to the foul line (85% free-throw shooting, best in the country). Maryland ranks 32nd nationally in avoiding fouls , making it difficult for Wisconsin to exploit this strength. Both analysts agree : Maryland -4 . Griffin Warner also leans under 154 , citing Maryland's defensive pressure. 3. Xavier at Creighton (12:09 - 16:11) Creighton is favored by 6 points. Total at 142. Key analysis: Xavier is relying on 3-pointers (38% shooting), but Creighton is elite at limiting foul shots and running teams off the 3-point line . Creighton has won five straight , but the schedule hasn’t been difficult. Big East Ben’s play : Creighton -6 because of their defensive ability. Griffin Warner agrees : Creighton -6 , noting Xavier might struggle in Omaha. 4. St. Mary’s at Santa Clara (16:13 - 21:55) St. Mary’s is a 4-point favorite. Total at 139.5. Key analysis: Santa Clara has strong wins over Gonzaga and Washington State . St. Mary’s is 8-0 in conference play but hasn’t faced tough competition yet. Both analysts favor Santa Clara : Big East Ben: Santa Clara +4 , citing their defensive size to disrupt St. Mary’s. Griffin Warner agrees , arguing St. Mary’s hasn’t been tested . 5. Texas at Mississippi (Ole Miss) (21:57 - 31:04) Ole Miss is favored by 6.5 points. Total at 140.5. Key analysis: Texas is coming off a dramatic comeback win over Texas A&M but looked shaky throughout. Ole Miss has lost three straight and is in desperation mode . Big East Ben’s play : Under 140.5 due to strong Ole Miss defense. Griffin Warner’s play : Ole Miss -6.5 , noting Chris Beard’s revenge angle after being fired by Texas. Best Bets Recap Big East Ben’s Best Bet (31:07 - 32:07) : West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston WVU thrives at home against top-ranked teams . Griffin Warner’s Best Bet (32:07 - 33:18) : Furman +1 vs. Samford Furman’s new arena, shooting ability, and home-court advantage give them the edge. Final Thoughts The hosts emphasize sticking to betting principles and avoiding recency bias . A promo code "KEY30" is offered for discounts on betting packages. Next podcast episode : A deep dive into Saturday’s college basketball slate . Key Takeaways 🏀 Alabama vs. Mississippi State : Mississippi State's defense will slow Alabama , leading to an under play (166 total points) . 🏀 Wisconsin vs. Maryland : Maryland’s home advantage and discipline will be the difference (-4 pick) . 🏀 Xavier vs. Creighton : Creighton’s defense on the perimeter makes them the right pick at -6 . 🏀 St. Mary’s vs. Santa Clara : Santa Clara’s underrated defense and home edge justify a bet on +4 . 🏀 Texas vs. Ole Miss : Ole Miss’ strong defense and Texas' recent struggles lead to an under play (140.5 total points) . 🔥 Best Bets : ✅ West Virginia +7.5 vs. Houston (Big East Ben) ✅ Furman +1 vs. Samford (Griffin Warner) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 24

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB vetting for this weekend. They guys cover the 5 biggest games and give out best bets. 🕒 Timeline Breakdown and Analysis 0:14 - 1:40 | Introduction Griffin welcomes listeners, humorously highlights Big East Ben’s wardrobe choices, and updates the audience on the hosts’ betting records: Griffin : 8-4 Ben : 7-5 Combined success rate: 62.5% (15-9) . Announces plans to preview five games for January 25th and promises best bets at the end. 1:42 - 2:54 | Kansas vs. Houston Ben reflects on his recent successful bet on Kansas unders. Kansas projected as a rare home underdog (+1.5) against Houston. Key Statistics : Houston : Offensive efficiency drops on the road (3rd to 84th nationally); 3-point shooting declines from 43% to 30%. Kansas : Improves at home, offensive efficiency jumps from 174th to 27th. Ben recommends under 129 points , emphasizing Kansas' consistent unders ( 15-2 this season). 7:57 - 12:23 | Tennessee vs. Auburn Injury news: J’Nai Broome of Auburn is a game-time decision. His absence would significantly impact Auburn's chances. Discussion of Tennessee's struggles: 0-3 ATS in SEC road games. Strong defense but susceptible to high-performing shooters like Todd Bedford . Predictions : Ben favors Auburn at home. Griffin leans towards unders, citing Tennessee’s defensive focus and potential blowout dynamics. 14:04 - 19:19 | Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Vanderbilt’s home performance highlighted (win over Tennessee), but concerns about inconsistency arise. Griffin: Observes Kentucky’s reliance on 3-point shooting and struggles in unconventional venues like Vanderbilt's gym. Ben backs Kentucky -3.5 , while Griffin cautiously leans Vanderbilt, anticipating crowd challenges for Kentucky. 19:21 - 24:24 | UConn vs. Xavier Xavier as a 1-point favorite with a total of 145 points. UConn’s recent decline without key player Liam McNeely (1-4 ATS). Griffin and Ben jointly back Xavier, citing momentum and strong home support. 24:29 - 26:45 | Providence vs. Georgetown Providence favored by 1.5 points against struggling Georgetown. Ben critiques Georgetown’s recent six-game losing streak and backs Providence, expecting a decisive home win fueled by fan enthusiasm. 🎯 Key Player and Team Insights Kansas : Stellar defensive consistency at home; unders are a reliable bet. Houston : Vulnerable on the road, significant drop in offensive efficiency. Auburn : Success heavily tied to J’Nai Broome’s availability. Tennessee : Elite 3-point defense but struggles on the road in SEC play. Xavier : Home-court advantage and momentum make them strong contenders. Providence : Hosts a demoralized Georgetown team; significant fan support expected. 📊 Player & Team Statistics Kansas Unders : 15-2 this season. Houston Away Performance : 3rd to 84th offensive efficiency. 3-point shooting: 43% → 30%. Vanderbilt ATS : 1-4 in their last five games. UConn Without McNeely : 1-4 ATS in recent games. 💡 Key Quotes and Context Griffin Warner : "Kansas unders dominate this season. It’s hard to go against a 15-2 trend." (2:09) Analysis: Highlights Kansas’ defensive consistency, making unders a staple. Big East Ben : "Tennessee’s 3-point defense is great, but the jungle at Auburn is relentless." (11:06) Insight: Points to Auburn’s dominant home atmosphere as a decisive factor. Dan Hurley (quoted by Griffin) : "Don’t turn your back on me. I’m the best f ing coach in this whole f ing sport." (20:10) Commentary: Adds drama to UConn’s current struggles and the coach’s bold statements. ✅ Best Bets Kansas Under 129. Xavier -1 (Double best bet from both hosts). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 24

Munaf Manji, Steve Reider and SleepyJ talk AFC and NFC Championship player props. The guys give out a bunch of plays for both games to consider. Summary: AFC NFC Championship Player Props!! This transcript is a detailed discussion about player props and predictions for the AFC and NFC Championship games. Hosted by Munaf Manji , joined by Steve Reider and SleepyJ , it features analyses of key player performances, betting strategies, and team dynamics for the upcoming football weekend. The session includes statistical insights, specific betting picks, and light-hearted moments that reflect the camaraderie between the speakers. Conclusion This podcast focuses on player props and betting predictions for the conference championships. The hosts provided statistical analyses for individual players like Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts , and Austin Ekeler , along with team-based dynamics. Their top picks involve Mahomes’ reduced passing attempts due to Buffalo’s time-of-possession control, Jalen Hurts’ limited passing and rushing due to injuries, and insights into sneaky plays like Austin Ekeler 's combined yardage. With touchdown scorers, parlays, and best bets, they aimed to maximize betting success. The hosts also emphasized disciplined betting despite high stakes, rounding off with personal anecdotes and encouragement for basketball as NFL teams conclude their seasons. Key Points 🎯 Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 Passing Attempts : Discussed as a strategic move due to Buffalo's time-of-possession control and Kansas City's potential shift to running the ball. 📉 Jalen Hurts Under 24.5 Passing Attempts : Due to injuries and a team reliance on the run game led by Saquon Barkley. 🏃 Jalen Hurts Under 33.5 Rushing Yards : Highlighted as a result of his physical limitations and a strategy focusing on other offensive players. 🏈 Austin Ekeler Over 47.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards : A creative pick anticipating Ekeler's overlooked role as a dual-threat player for Washington. ⛔ Isaiah Pacheco Under 41.5 Rushing/Receiving Yards : Based on Kansas City's reliance on Kareem Hunt. 🎯 AJ Brown Over 60.5 Receiving Yards : Predicted to shine due to his dominance against man coverage and being Jalen Hurts' go-to receiver. 🚫 DeAndre Hopkins Under 2.5 Receptions : Discussed as a reflection of his reduced role in the Chiefs' offense. 📊 Khalil Shakir Over 55.5 Receiving Yards : Josh Allen's favorite postseason target, especially in clutch moments. ⚡ Josh Allen Over 9.5 Rush Attempts : Highlighted as a high-leverage play based on Allen's historical playoff performances against Kansas City. 💥 Parlay Picks : Dyami Brown Anytime TD (+330) Josh Allen 60+ Rushing Yards (+145) Longest FG Under 47.5 Yards Summary Opening Remarks : Munaf Manji (0:00-0:48) : Introduced the format and scope, highlighting added picks and collaborative insights. Patrick Mahomes' Passing : SleepyJ (3:13-5:10) : Suggested under 36.5 attempts, citing Buffalo's control strategy and Kansas City's potential run focus. Jalen Hurts' Limitations : Steve Reider (6:30-7:51) : Predicted Hurts' struggles in passing (under 24.5) due to injuries. Austin Ekeler’s Versatility : SleepyJ (10:37-12:41) : Combined yards bet due to his sneaky potential. DeAndre Hopkins' Decline : Steve Reider (19:12-21:13) : Noted diminished involvement in the Chiefs' offense. Khalil Shakir's Role : Munaf Manji (22:34-24:23) : Allen's reliable target, expected to perform under pressure. Josh Allen’s Mobility : Munaf Manji (35:14-38:21) : His rushing potential could be the key to Buffalo’s success. Touchdown and Parlay Bets : Longshot props including Austin Ekeler 2+ TDs , Dyami Brown Anytime TD , and a field goal under bet. Best Bet : Josh Allen Over 9.5 Rush Attempts (38:22-39:32) : A statistically backed, high-leverage prop. Closing Notes : The team reflected on their success this season and shifted focus to basketball and March Madness after the NFL playoffs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 23

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, Mackenzie Rivers and Steve Fezzik break down both the AFC & NFC Championship games from a betting perspective. Speaker Highlights and Timestamps RJ Bell (0:05 - 0:33): Opened the show with reflections on a dynamic panel discussion, humorously noting ranking changes among the participants. Steve Fezzik (6:24 - 6:47): Praised the Ravens as the best team but downgraded them due to turnovers and critical failures, pointing to Lamar Jackson's playoff struggles. Scott Seidenberg (7:17 - 7:45): Critiqued Ryan Day's coaching and emphasized Ohio State's inconsistency, particularly in tight games. Mackenzie Rivers (21:18 - 21:34): Presented statistical insights, emphasizing Washington's clutch performance and ranking second in playoff luck behind Kansas City. Key Team and Player Statistics Washington Commanders: Overperformed with 14 wins versus an expected 12. Ninth in fourth-quarter win share (61%), showcasing resilience and late-game strength. Philadelphia Eagles: Ranked first in fourth-quarter win share at 82%. Balanced offense and defense with standout fourth-quarter dominance. Player Insights: Jalen Hurts: Limited in rushing plays recently (6-7 attempts per game), raising questions about health and strategy. Saquon Barkley: Highlighted as a dual-threat, especially against blitz-heavy teams like Washington. General Team Stats: Fourth straight road game for Washington, a significant handicap historically. Fourth straight home game for the Eagles, yielding strong performance trends. In-Depth Quote Analysis Each speaker's contributions align with their respective expertise: RJ Bell's reflections: Explored the psychological and historical angles of NFL matchups, emphasizing Buffalo's struggles to overcome Mahomes and Kansas City's playoff dominance (1:29:51). Steve Fezzik's insights: Highlighted strategic aspects of betting, such as leveraging fourth-quarter trends for the Eagles and analyzing player props for value. Mackenzie Rivers' statistics: Introduced advanced metrics like line-of-scrimmage EPA, showing Philadelphia's third rank and Washington's eighth, indicating a significant edge for the Eagles in playoff scenarios. Betting and Game Analysis Fourth-Quarter Trends: Eagles excel in closing out games, making fourth-quarter bets favorable (Philly -0.5 spread noted). Player Props: Saquon Barkley's receiving yards over 12.5 is highlighted as a strong play due to his effectiveness against blitz-heavy defenses. Hypothetical Matchups: Speculation around potential Super Bowl lines, with AFC teams favored over NFC by approximately 2.5 points. Key Learnings 🏈 Team Strength: Philadelphia Eagles dominate late-game scenarios, making fourth-quarter bets favorable. 🎯 Clutch Performance: Washington ranks second in playoff luck but faces a historic disadvantage in fourth consecutive road games. 📊 Player Analysis: Jalen Hurts' limited rushing numbers highlight concerns about his mobility and role in the Eagles' offense. 💰 Betting Angles: Saquon Barkley's receiving yards prop aligns with Washington's defensive tendencies. 🧠 Psychological Factors: Buffalo's mental hurdles in beating Kansas City weigh heavily on their Super Bowl aspirations. 🔢 Advanced Stats: Line-of-scrimmage EPA solidifies the Eagles as favorites, showcasing their balanced attack. 🤝 Public Influence: Betting lines reflect public perception of Mahomes and the Chiefs' playoff prowess. 💡 Strategic Props: Undervalued player props, such as Deami Brown’s receiving yards, present lucrative opportunities. 🔄 Historical Comparisons: Teams playing their fourth consecutive road game rarely succeed, a critical factor against Washington. 🕒 Late-Game Trends: Fourth-quarter metrics heavily favor Philadelphia, further cementing their edge. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 22

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Wednesday betting. The guys are on a heater right now and offer up best bets. Key Analysis 1. Player and Team Analysis Kevin Durant and Phoenix Suns : Durant's influence on the Suns was highlighted, noting their poor performance (1-9) without him and improvement with his return (20-12 record). A trade involving Nick Richards was analyzed, viewed as a move for better rim protection. The Suns’ strategy revolves around building a team capable of playoff success. Golden State Warriors : McKenzie emphasized the Warriors’ decline, evidenced by their worst home loss in history (85-125 against Phoenix). He questioned Steph Curry's current approach and leadership amid the team's struggles. LeBron James and Lakers : James’ waning dominance was noted, with the Lakers struggling to stay competitive in the Western Conference despite his legendary status. Dallas Mavericks : Kyrie Irving’s return was discussed in relation to Luka Dončić's injury absence, framing Dallas as an average team in transition. Minnesota Timberwolves : Their consistent defense and playoff potential were emphasized. With Rudy Gobert anchoring the defense, the team was expected to handle Dallas effectively. 2. Statistical Insights The Phoenix Suns acquired future draft picks, signaling intent to trade for high-impact players like Jimmy Butler. Betting trends revealed that large favorites (10+ points) win 58% of the time in January. Minnesota’s defensive rating of 108 and +2 net rating highlighted their balanced playstyle. Cleveland Cavaliers’ dominance against strong teams (15-3 ATS) contrasted with their average performance against weaker teams. 3. Betting Recommendations Best Bet : Suns (-10) against the Brooklyn Nets, capitalizing on Brooklyn’s tanking trajectory and Phoenix's need to assert dominance. Celtics-Clippers Under 217 : The slow pace and strong defense of both teams were decisive factors. Timberwolves (-2) against Mavericks: Minnesota's consistent defensive efforts offered strong value. 4. Speaker Insights McKenzie Rivers : Focused on statistical depth and betting strategies, including market inefficiencies and historical trends. Munaf Manji : Provided narrative context, connected stats to betting decisions, and discussed team dynamics. Key Quotes (with timestamps) Durant’s Impact (3:34-7:02): "They’re 1-9 without Durant...he’s essential for their playoff aspirations." Warriors’ Struggles (7:03-10:41): "Steph Curry passing off to Moody and Looney instead of asserting dominance—it’s disappointing." Suns’ Strategy (10:42-12:16): "Trading picks for near-term gains indicates a win-now approach." Betting Trends (41:49): "Favorites by 10+ are 58% ATS in January; Suns should cover against a depleted Nets team." Key Points 🟠 Generational Shift : Players like Durant, Curry, and LeBron are overshadowed by rising stars like Jayson Tatum and Anthony Edwards. 🟠 Phoenix Suns’ Moves : The addition of Nick Richards and draft picks positions them for a playoff run or major trade. 🟠 Warriors’ Decline : Poor performances raise questions about Curry's ability to lead as before. 🟠 Defensive Metrics Matter : Teams like Minnesota and Boston maintain strong defensive ratings, crucial for betting strategies. 🟠 Trade Deadline Speculations : The Suns and Mavericks are likely to make significant moves, impacting playoff dynamics. 🟠 Betting Strategies : High spreads, player absence trends, and defensive efficiency guide decisions. 🟠 Clippers’ Rotation Issues : Kawhi Leonard’s absence complicates their ability to compete against top teams like Boston. 🟠 Houston Rockets’ Surge : Exceeding expectations with disciplined defense. 🟠 Brooklyn Nets’ Tanking : Significant losses post-trade indicate low morale and poor performance. 🟠 Cavs’ Consistency : Dominating against strong teams but struggling against weaker ones. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 22

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball Wednesday betting. The guys have been picking up steam in the recent weeks and give out more best bets. Key Game Analyses and Insights Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss (Timestamp: 3:17 - 7:08) Host Analysis : Big East Ben supports Texas A&M, citing Wade Taylor's return, their strong road defense, and offensive rebounding. Ole Miss's vulnerability to physical play and struggles against teams like Memphis and Mississippi State were highlighted. Warner counters, emphasizing Ole Miss's defensive strategy under Chris Beard to prevent interior scoring. Warner is skeptical of Texas A&M's reliance on offensive rebounds and leans toward Ole Miss, depending on the spread. Key Stats : Texas A&M ranks 1st in offensive rebounding and 21st in free throw attempts. Ole Miss has struggled, ranked 266th in fouls and 162nd in defensive rebounding. Kansas vs. TCU (Timestamp: 7:10 - 10:33) Host Analysis : Kansas is noted for its methodical defense and strong home performances. The hosts doubt TCU's ability to keep up offensively, given their injury-depleted lineup and lack of consistent scoring options. Both hosts predict a low-scoring game, recommending a bet on the under (136 points). Key Stats : Kansas unders are 15-2 this season; TCU unders are 11-6. TCU ranks 229th in tempo this season, showing a shift to slower play. Xavier vs. St. John’s (Timestamp: 11:59 - 16:58) Host Analysis : Xavier's inconsistency on defense and reliance on late-game recoveries were criticized. St. John's strong offensive rebounding is seen as a decisive advantage, highlighted by their previous 47% offensive rebounding rate against Xavier. Key Stats : Xavier is 203rd in turnover rate defense. St. John's shot 22% from three in their last encounter but relied on second-chance points. Nevada vs. Utah State (Timestamp: 18:46 - 22:14) Host Analysis : Utah State's home-court advantage and efficiency in two-point shooting were emphasized. Nevada's height and defense were recognized, but their lack of three-point attempts despite strong shooting percentages was criticized. Key Stats : Utah State ranks 17th in two-point shooting. Nevada is the 4th tallest team nationally and ranks 15th in three-point shooting but 252nd in attempts. Georgia vs. Arkansas (Timestamp: 22:17 - 32:03) Host Analysis : Arkansas is favored to win due to Georgia’s poor ball control and Arkansas’s ability to capitalize on turnovers and execute in transition. Both hosts predict Arkansas will cover the -2.5-point spread. Conclusion This episode provides comprehensive insights into the college basketball slate, emphasizing team strengths, weaknesses, and betting implications. The hosts favor Ole Miss, Kansas under, Utah State, and Arkansas to perform well against their respective spreads or totals. Xavier's inconsistency against St. John's offensive rebounding is noted as a potential game-changer. Key Points from Podcast (In Order of Timestamp) 🎤 Speaker Warner (0:15): Sets the stage for the podcast, mentioning a new twice-weekly format and noting the hosts' commitment to covering the college basketball season comprehensively. 📈 Texas A&M Strengths : Wade Taylor's leadership, offensive rebounding, and resilience on the road. 🛡️ Kansas Defense : Dominant all season, allowing few points and controlling the pace. 🔄 St. John’s Strategy : Exploiting Xavier’s weak defensive rebounding with second-chance opportunities. 🏡 Utah State’s Home Dominance : Benefiting from a strong environment and efficient two-point offense. 🔄 Georgia Turnovers : Identified as the Achilles’ heel, giving Arkansas ample fast-break opportunities. 💡 Betting Insights : Hosts emphasize under bets for Kansas-TCU and suggest spreads for Ole Miss and Arkansas as top plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 21

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Farmers Insurance Open and TGL Match 3. -AMEX review -Masters Tournament Futures housekeeping -2 matchups -1 p2p -2 outrights (11/1 & 70/1) -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups, scoring -Best bet & TGL Match 3 pick Analysis of Key Quotes and Sections 1. Tournament Overview (0:16 - 0:28) Will Doctor introduces the event, expressing enthusiasm about analyzing the Farmers Insurance Open, set at Torrey Pines North and South courses. He highlights the uniqueness of the venue compared to previous PGA events. 2. Course History and Challenges (0:38 - 40:18) Doctor explains Torrey Pines' toughness: The last winning score under 15 under par was Justin Rose’s 21 under in 2019. The course's challenge lies in its fairways and rough. The South Course features POA greens, while the North underwent a redesign in 2017 with bentgrass greens replacing POA. He elaborates on the field's strength, mentioning players like Justin Rose, Adam Scott, and Jon Rahm in prior editions. Significant insights include: POA greens heavily influence outcomes. Recent results favor players excelling in short games and approach shots. 3. Player Statistics and Outcomes (Throughout) Key players analyzed include: Justin Rose : With a strong history at Torrey Pines, Rose's driver and approach consistency make him a potential winner. Ludwig Oberg : Boasting consistent top-10 finishes, he is a top contender this week. Hideki Matsuyama : Despite struggles on POA greens, his putting has improved. Sung Jae Im : Recent form is concerning, particularly around the greens. Will Zalatoris : Solid course history with multiple top finishes at Torrey Pines makes him a top-10 candidate. 4. Injury Updates (Timestamp Noted) Doctor notes critical injuries affecting participation: Xander Schauffele withdrew due to a rib injury. Jordan Spieth, recovering from a wrist injury, will return for Pebble Beach. 5. Betting Picks and Analysis (Throughout) Doctor provides betting insights: Outright Picks : Ludwig Oberg (11-1) and Justin Rose (70-1). Matchups : Ludwig Oberg over Sung Jae Im and Austin Eckrote over Mark Hubbard. Sleeper : Daniel Berger for a top-20 finish at +280. 6. TGL Match 3 Predictions (Final Sections) Doctor discusses the virtual golf league's third match between New York Golf Club (Fitzpatrick, Fowler, Cam Young) and Atlanta Drive Golf Club (Cantlay, Horschel, Thomas). He favors Atlanta due to superior recent form. Key Points Summary 🛡️ Tournament Context : The Farmers Insurance Open showcases some of the world’s top players navigating challenging conditions at Torrey Pines. 🌱 Course Difficulty : Tough fairways and varying green types (POA and bentgrass) emphasize accuracy and adaptability. 👤 Player Insights : Ludwig Oberg and Justin Rose emerge as strong contenders based on recent form and course history. 📊 Historical Context : Past winners highlight the importance of approach shots and putting, with scores generally below 15 under par. 💡 Betting Highlights : Emphasis on picking players excelling in POA putting and challenging setups. 📉 Injury Concerns : Absence of Schauffele and uncertain returns for Spieth and others affect the lineup dynamics. 🎯 Matchups to Watch : Oberg vs. Sung Jae Im and Eckrote vs. Hubbard showcase contrasting strengths. 🏌️ TGL Match 3 Prediction : Atlanta Drive Golf Club holds the edge due to consistent player form. 🎰 Sleeper Pick : Daniel Berger's improving form makes him a value bet for a top-20 finish. 🌦️ Winning Score Prediction : The winning score is projected at 14 under, considering weather and course conditions. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 18

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben discuss the college football national title game. The guys break down the entire game and give out a best bet. Summary of the Transcript: Ohio State vs. Notre Dame Preview This transcript captures a lively discussion from a podcast episode analyzing the College Football National Championship game between Ohio State and Notre Dame. It includes banter, game analysis, and predictions, providing insights into team dynamics, individual player performances, and strategic outlooks. Key Quote Analysis "Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm and tackle." (0:10-0:25) This foundational strategy underscores the importance of basics like blocking, tackling, and hustle. Both teams are encouraged to execute fundamental plays with precision to gain an edge. "You out hustle them. Let them know. Leave no doubt tonight." (0:26-0:35) A call for intensity and decisiveness on the field, highlighting the psychological edge teams must maintain in high-stakes games. "Leonard is a beast. He can run the ball." (3:02-3:28) A critical assessment of Notre Dame's quarterback, Riley Leonard, who is praised for his dual-threat capability despite being injured. "Ohio State could not stop cheating and just moving the ball closer to the goal line." (4:50-6:07) A sarcastic critique of Ohio State's penalty-driven gameplay, suggesting undisciplined play that allowed advantages. "Jeremiah Love... hurtling guys." (3:02-3:28) Despite being injured, Notre Dame’s running back Jeremiah Love demonstrated resilience, symbolizing the team's gritty determination. Player Statistics and Analysis Riley Leonard (Notre Dame QB): With 223 passing yards in a prior game and notable rushing stats, Leonard is central to Notre Dame's strategy. His ability to exploit Ohio State's vulnerabilities will be critical. Jeremiah Love (Notre Dame RB): While hampered by injury, he managed 45 yards in 11 carries in the semifinal, showing flashes of his dynamic playstyle. Ohio State Defense: Widely regarded as formidable, their discipline issues (e.g., penalties) could undermine their effectiveness. Team Statistics and Insights Notre Dame Defense: Praised for shutting down Penn State's running game, the Irish defense is seen as their strongest asset against Ohio State. Ohio State Offense: Despite being touted as superior, critiques suggest their performance lacked consistency, especially in a pro-Texas crowd during the semifinal. Penalties and Discipline: Both teams grappled with penalty issues, a key factor in tight games that could sway outcomes. Podcast Dynamics The hosts, Griffin Warner and Big East Ben, bring humor and personality to the analysis, blending casual banter with deep football knowledge. They reference personal anecdotes and cultural moments to enhance the discussion, reflecting the broader sports culture. Predictions and Best Bets Notre Dame’s Prospects: Both hosts believe Notre Dame’s defense and Leonard’s toughness can keep them competitive, with Ben taking Notre Dame +8.5 as a favorable bet. Game Total: Griffin predicts a low-scoring affair, favoring the under 45 bet, aligning with Notre Dame's defensive prowess and Ohio State's inefficiencies. Structure for Easy Navigation Game Strategies: Breakdown of both teams’ foundational strategies. Player Highlights: Specific performances and injuries influencing the matchup. Team Dynamics: Analysis of team strengths and weaknesses. Predictions and Bets: Final betting insights and strategic expectations. Conclusion: A light-hearted wrap-up emphasizing the entertainment value of sports. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 18

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down this weekends college basketball action. The guys are coming off a 2-0 best bet winning podcast. Podcast Overview Episode : Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast, hosted by Griffin Warner ("Real News Corgi Warner") and "Big East Ben." Focus : Previewing five college basketball games and sharing best bets. The hosts reflect on their perfect 2-0 record from last weekend’s picks. Game Previews and Analyses Alabama vs. Kentucky Odds : Kentucky -2 (home favorites). Analysis : Griffin Warner (0:13–5:25): Emphasized Alabama's inconsistency, referencing their loss to Ole Miss (64 points, 5/20 from three-point range). Highlighted Kentucky’s dominance at home, excellent three-point defense (ranked 7th nationally), and offensive versatility with five potential three-point shooters. He predicts the Kentucky crowd will be a key factor despite the early game time. Big East Ben (1:33–3:39): Criticized Alabama’s reliance on volume three-point shooting, citing their 252nd ranking in three-point percentage. Opted for Kentucky due to their defensive capabilities and Alabama's road vulnerabilities. Ben humorously used a stuffed elephant as a "sign" to pick Kentucky. Purdue vs. Oregon Odds : Purdue +2.5 (underdogs at Oregon). Analysis : Big East Ben (5:26–7:00): Skeptical of Purdue despite their six-game winning streak, citing weak competition and poor interior defense (219th in two-point defense). Believes Oregon, with their superior interior presence (Biddle), can exploit Purdue’s weaknesses. Griffin Warner (7:00–8:16): Highlighted Purdue’s defensive shortcomings post-Zach Edey and their struggles with road travel. Warner aligned with Ben’s pick of Oregon to win. Arizona vs. Texas Tech Odds : Arizona +4.5 (underdogs at Texas Tech). Analysis : Big East Ben (8:17–10:59): Acknowledged Arizona’s resurgence after early struggles, including their seven-game winning streak. Criticized Texas Tech’s inconsistent season but noted their potential for a strong finish. Ben backed Arizona, citing their road success and motivation to prove themselves. Griffin Warner (11:00–12:19): Contrarily, Warner favored Texas Tech, referencing their improvement and the potential of United Supermarkets Arena to be an intimidating venue. Skepticism about Arizona’s consistency led him to pick Texas Tech despite noting Arizona’s talent. Clemson vs. Pittsburgh Odds : Clemson +3 (underdogs at Pittsburgh). Analysis : Big East Ben (14:01–16:19): Pointed to Pittsburgh’s desperation after three consecutive losses and questioned Clemson’s road form (losses to Boise State, South Carolina, and Louisville). He picked Pittsburgh due to their home advantage and greater motivation. Griffin Warner (16:20–17:22): Supported Pittsburgh as well, citing Clemson’s vulnerability on the road and turnovers. Creighton vs. Connecticut Odds : Creighton +7.5 (underdogs at UConn). Analysis : Big East Ben (17:23–19:57): Avoided a direct side pick, favoring the under (146 points). Cited UConn’s lower-scoring games since an injury to McNeely and Creighton’s tendency to force UConn into difficult shots. Griffin Warner (19:58–21:23): Agreed on the under, noting Creighton’s away-game struggles and potential foul trouble for key players. Advised bettors to wait for line movements before making picks. Best Bets Big East Ben : Georgia +6 against Auburn. Noted Auburn’s lack of key player Janai Broome and Georgia’s offensive rebounding strength (11th nationally). Highlighted Georgia’s improved home atmosphere. Griffin Warner : Kentucky -2 against Alabama. Backed Kentucky’s home-court advantage and superior matchups against Alabama’s three-point heavy offense. Conclusion The hosts wrapped up by highlighting their perfect best-bet record from the prior week and promoting merchandise and subscription discounts. The episode maintained a mix of humor and detailed basketball insights. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 17

Munaf Manji, Steve Redier and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for this weeks podcast. The guys give out the best props for this weeks betting card. Key Quotes and Analysis (with timestamps) Munaf Manji (0:00–0:33) : Opens by discussing the excitement of the divisional round with eight teams remaining. Sets a tone of thorough player evaluation. Steve Reider (0:33–0:51) : Emphasizes the quality of teams in the divisional round, noting that this phase often includes the NFL’s best, resulting in high-quality games. SleepyJ (1:18–2:04) : Celebrates a personal 4-0 record from the Wildcard Weekend, showcasing his successful analysis. Quarterback CJ Stroud Prop (2:53–5:33) : Sleepy predicts an interception for CJ Stroud (-140 odds), citing his high sack rate, the Chiefs’ defensive strength, and the lack of key targets like Tank Dell. Stroud's struggles against the Chiefs earlier in the season (two interceptions) reinforce this prediction. Jaden Daniels Rushing Yards (5:34–7:04) : Steve suggests Daniels will exceed 54.5 rushing yards due to Detroit's man-heavy defense, favorable matchups against mobile quarterbacks, and anticipated garbage-time yardage. Lamar Jackson Passing Yards (7:04–9:51) : Munaf advises betting on Lamar Jackson going under 221.5 passing yards due to historical struggles against Buffalo and expected weather challenges. Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards (10:33–12:41) : Sleepy bets on Barkley over 11.5 receiving yards, explaining how blitz-heavy Rams defenses historically lead to running back checkdowns. Isaiah Pacheco Rushing Yards (13:33–15:15) : Steve predicts over 41.5 rushing yards for Pacheco, citing his return from injury, improved health, and a Chiefs game script favoring running. Jameer Gibbs Longest Rush (16:04–18:26) : Munaf recommends Gibbs’ longest rush over 19.5 yards due to the Commanders’ poor rush defense and Gibbs’ explosive playstyle. Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards (25:49–27:08) : Munaf backs Schultz to exceed 38.5 receiving yards against the Chiefs, pointing out their susceptibility to tight ends and Schultz’s role in the Texans’ offense. Player and Team Statistics CJ Stroud : Second most sacked QB in the league. Two interceptions in a prior game vs. the Chiefs. Jaden Daniels : Averaged over 54.5 rushing yards in multiple games. Detroit struggles against mobile QBs. Lamar Jackson : Historically under 160 passing yards in games against Buffalo. Poor playoff passing record. Saquon Barkley : Averaged 26 carries and 255 yards in prior games against the Rams. Isaiah Pacheco : Surpassed 41.5 rushing yards in five consecutive games earlier in the season. Jameer Gibbs : Eight of his last ten home games included rushes of 20+ yards. Dalton Schultz : Chiefs allow the most receiving yards to tight ends (approx. 70 per game). Structure and Flow Each analyst introduces their predictions with reasoning grounded in player stats, game context, and opposing team tendencies. Specific player props are supported by historical data and situational insights, ensuring clarity for bettors. Timestamps Summary (Key Takeaways) [0:00–0:33] : Introduction by Munaf Manji. [2:53–5:33] : CJ Stroud interception prop discussion. [5:34–7:04] : Jaden Daniels rushing yards breakdown. [7:04–9:51] : Lamar Jackson passing yards analysis. [10:33–12:41] : Saquon Barkley receiving yards prediction. [13:33–15:15] : Isaiah Pacheco rushing yards insight. [16:04–18:26] : Jameer Gibbs’ longest rush prop. [25:49–27:08] : Dalton Schultz receiving yards play. Conclusion The NFL Divisional Round Player Props episode is a comprehensive analysis tailored for bettors. The panel meticulously evaluates each player’s prospects based on their strengths, opposing defenses, and game scenarios. Their predictions emphasize the importance of contextual betting and careful statistical review, making it a valuable resource for fans and bettors alike. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 17

SleepyJ and Mean Gene talk UFC 311. The guys preview the co-main and main event. They also give out a double best bet ! Co-Main Event: Murab Dvalishvili vs. Umar Nurmagomedov Speaker Analysis [SleepyJ] (2:27–4:47): Highlights Murab’s extraordinary resume and stamina. Describes the betting odds as suspicious, given Murab’s track record of wins, including over Sean O'Malley and Petr Yan. Expresses hesitation to bet due to the line discrepancy favoring Umar at -330. [Steve Reider] (4:47–10:18): Explains the unusual betting line as a reflection of a stylistic mismatch. Praises Umar's grappling and dominance over Corey Sandhagen, citing his ability to excel in both striking and grappling. Questions how Murab can handle being the "nail" instead of the "hammer," as he thrives on relentless pressure but could struggle against Nurmagomedov’s elite wrestling. Key Insight: Both agree that while Murab's relentlessness and resume are impressive, Umar's combination of striking and grappling makes him a formidable opponent. Both predict Nurmagomedov as the likely victor. Main Event: Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan Speaker Analysis [Steve Reider] (14:32–21:49): Recalls the first fight between the two as a grappling-heavy contest. Highlights Makhachev’s growth into an elite fighter with enhanced striking, citing dominant performances against Volkanovski, Dustin Poirier, and others. Predicts Makhachev’s superior grappling and experience will overwhelm Tsarukyan, who could gas in the later rounds. [SleepyJ] (21:49–27:42): Praises Makhachev’s defensive abilities and cat-like reflexes, pointing out Tsarukyan’s limited success in their first encounter. Predicts Tsarukyan will become frustrated and rely too heavily on takedown attempts, leading to sloppiness and eventual submission. Key Insight: Both favor Makhachev for his well-rounded skill set and stamina, with predictions of a late-round finish or dominant decision. Best Bet Analysis: Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano Speaker Analysis [Steve Reider] (27:43–32:11): Describes Dariush’s decline, including losses to Tsarukyan and Oliveira, contrasting it with Moicano’s four-fight win streak. Highlights Moicano’s evolution as a more confident fighter with solid striking and grappling. [SleepyJ] (32:11–39:33): Builds on the idea of Moicano as a surging contender. Notes his resilience and ability to rebound, drawing comparisons to Charles Oliveira. Critiques Dariush’s recent performances as lacking hunger and drive. Key Insight: Both unanimously favor Moicano due to his momentum and mental edge, declaring him their best bet at -162 odds. Additional Insights & Quotes: Betting Lines Disparities: Throughout, speakers discuss odd betting lines, citing potential mismatches or public perception gaps. This theme recurs in analyzing both the co-main and main events. Mental and Physical Form: Repeated emphasis on fighters’ mental state, with concerns over Murab’s frustrations with UFC scheduling and Dariush’s potential lack of motivation. Player and Team Statistics Players Murab Dvalishvili: On an 11-fight win streak, notable wins include Sean O'Malley and Petr Yan. Umar Nurmagomedov: Strong grappling credentials, dominated Corey Sandhagen with five takedowns. Islam Makhachev: Four title defenses, victories include Volkanovski (twice) and Dustin Poirier. Arman Tsarukyan: One loss since his first fight with Makhachev but remains susceptible to gassing late in fights. Renato Moicano: Four-fight win streak, victories over Jalen Turner and Benoit St. Denis. Teams and Affiliations Dagestani Grappling Dominance: Mentioned frequently in discussions of Nurmagomedov and Makhachev. UFC Dynamics: UFC’s backing of rising stars like Moicano influences fight matchups and trajectories. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 16

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL divisional round playoffs. The guys break down each of the 4 games for this weekends action. Key Insights from the Transcript 🔹 Overall Context and Upcoming Sports : RJ Bell highlighted the packed sports schedule, including NFL playoffs, college football championships, and March Madness. Promotions for betting packages were introduced, highlighting value with discounted subscriptions. Game Analysis Texans vs. Chiefs (19:49-29:30) Prediction : Chiefs favored at -7.5 with a total of 42 points. Key Betting Picks : Scott Seidenberg suggested Dalton Schultz over 3.5 receptions due to Kansas City's vulnerability against tight ends. Steve Fezzik emphasized Chiefs’ defensive improvement , citing Watson’s return. Insights : Chiefs benefit from playoff experience and rested players. Concerns about cold weather and its impact on Texans' performance. Lions vs. Commanders (42:19-55:50) Prediction : Lions favored by -9.5 with a high total of 55.5 points. Key Betting Picks : Scott proposed Jaden Daniels over 10.5 rushing attempts , citing the Lions' high blitz rate and Daniels’ scrambling tendency. Fezzik recommended Deame Brown over 31.5 receiving yards , arguing his increasing role in the Commanders’ offense. Trends : Historically, high-spread, high-total games lean towards the favorite and the over. Eagles vs. Rams (59:18-1:15:50) Prediction : Eagles favored at -6, total 44 points. Debate : Scott and Mackenzie leaned Rams, citing coach Sean McVay’s adjustments and Eagles' injuries (Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown). Fezzik firmly backed the Eagles, emphasizing the Rams’ poor preparation due to travel and weather. Prop Insight : Hurts under 38.5 rushing yards, given his recent injury and reduced running tendency. Bills vs. Ravens (1:19:20-1:34:00) Prediction : Ravens favored narrowly at -1 with a total of 51.5 points. Key Betting Picks : Josh Allen over 8.5 rushing attempts as Buffalo might chase. Strong lean on the under 51.5 points due to the Ravens’ dominant defense, allowing only 34 first downs in the past three games. Insights : Baltimore’s offense has surged post-bye week, averaging over 400 yards in five straight games. Lamar Jackson’s passing performance correlates strongly with game outcomes: fewer yards in wins. Analysis of Quotes "This is the time for action." (RJ Bell) Reflects the high stakes and critical juncture of the NFL season for betting and sports enthusiasts. "Hurts looked woozy... it looked like they weren’t sure he’d continue." (Scott Seidenberg) Highlights significant concerns about Hurts' health, shaping betting strategies like taking under on his rushing yards. "The Chiefs haven't needed their best effort all season." (Fezzik) Suggests untapped potential for Kansas City, strengthening confidence in their performance in high-pressure games. "Baltimore’s defense is playing like the '85 Bears." (RJ Bell) Hyperbolically underscores the Ravens’ defensive dominance, framing them as a top contender. Player and Team Stats Player Stats: Dalton Schultz (Texans) : Averaging over 3.5 receptions per game; Chiefs allow 6.2 receptions to tight ends. Jaden Daniels (Commanders) : Scrambled 79 times this season, leading QBs in scrambles since 2016. Josh Allen (Bills) : Averaging 8.5+ rushing attempts in playoff games. Team Stats: Ravens : Defense allowed 34 first downs in three games, one of the best streaks ever. Offense surpassed 400 yards in five consecutive games post-bye. Eagles : Injuries to A.J. Brown and N'Kobe Dean raise concerns. Chiefs : Improved defense with Watson’s return, benefiting from a bye. Conclusion The analysis revolves around leveraging injuries, weather, and statistical trends for informed betting strategies. Key props include player overs/unders and game totals, while the emphasis remains on how playoff dynamics amplify certain team tendencies. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 15

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the American Express and TGL Match 2. -Discussing top 6 on odds board at AMEX -3 matchups -1 t10 -2 outrights (60/1 & 66/1) -sleeper -FRL, scoring, 2 lineups, best bet -TGL Match 2 pick In-Depth Quote Analysis Introduction by Will Doctor (0:14-0:30): "The Golf Preview Podcast on Pregame’s Network. I'm your host, Will Doctor. Nice to have you with us as I bring you the sharpest picks..." Key Point: Will sets the tone by emphasizing precision in betting strategies and reflects an optimistic outlook despite prior losses. Reflection on Poor Start to the Season (0:39-38:17): "We are down 13 units through two weeks of the 2025 PGA Tour season in what has been an unacceptable start..." Analysis: A candid admission of struggles in early predictions, emphasizing accountability and intent to improve through research-backed picks. Highlight on Nick Taylor's Recent Victory: "Nick Taylor was the eventual champion... picking up PGA Tour win number five in a playoff." Significance: Taylor's playoff prowess is underlined, but concerns are raised about his ability to maintain momentum post-victory. Player Statistics and Analysis Nick Dunlop: Defending champion of the American Express at age 21. Two-time PGA Tour winner, aiming to become the second youngest back-to-back titleholder. Strong recent performance at the Sony Open, finishing T-10. Insight: Dunlop is considered a strong pick due to his putting ability and course familiarity. Sam Burns: Displayed stellar putting performance historically at the American Express. Weakness: Recent struggles with iron play. Recommendation: Top-10 finish at +215 odds as a safer bet than outright victory. Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay: Both are highlighted for past consistency but criticized for poor putting performances that could hinder contention at the Amex. Sung J.M.: History of strong starts at the American Express, consistently finishing in the top 25. Struggles to maintain momentum across all four rounds, making him a less favorable pick for outright betting. Tom Kim: Recent inconsistency with missed cuts in 2 of 3 appearances at the Amex. Verdict: Avoid betting on Kim this week. Team Statistics and Insights TGL Match 2: Los Angeles Golf Club (Justin Rose, Colin Morikawa, Sahith Theegala) faces Jupiter Links Golf Club (Tiger Woods, Kevin Kisner, Max Homa). Prediction: Los Angeles Golf Club is expected to win due to the sharper form of its players. Kevin Kisner’s poor equipment choice and Max Homa’s putting issues weaken Jupiter Links’ prospects. Tournament Courses: The American Express is held across three player-friendly courses in Palm Springs, known for easy fairways and emphasis on putting and approach play. Key Betting Recommendations Matchups: Nick Dunlop over Curt Kittiyama and Nick Taylor. Michael Thor B. Olson over Adam Svensson. Outrights: Nick Dunlop (60:1) and Tom Hoagie (66:1) are recommended outright picks. Special Picks: Sam Burns for a Top-10 finish (+215). Sung J.M. as the First Round Leader (+1100). Sleeper Pick: Jackson Suber for a Top-20 finish (+450). Speaker Names and Timestamps Will Doctor (0:14-0:30): Introduces the show. Will Doctor (0:39-38:17): Provides extensive analysis, betting picks, and commentary on players and matchups. Conclusion This podcast transcript showcases a detailed breakdown of player performance trends, past tournament statistics, and betting strategies. Will Doctor's insights, supported by contextual player and team data, aim to rectify earlier losses and help listeners make informed decisions. Emphasis on Nick Dunlop as a rising star and the analytical critique of other competitors provides listeners with actionable betting options for both the American Express and TGL Match 2. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 13

Munaf Mani and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Monday betting. The guys also give out best bets. Sacramento Kings' Transformation (2:24 - 8:35) Key Stats : Kings are 7-1 under Doug Christie , with both offensive and defensive improvements. Offense improved from 10th to 6th and defense from 15th to 4th. They defeated the Celtics during this stretch, showing potential against strong teams. Analysis : Christie brought a relaxed energy, contrasting the stricter approach under Mike Brown. Key lineup adjustments, including Malik Monk’s inclusion, boosted performance. Acquisitions like DeMar DeRozan provide offensive depth, complementing core players De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. Challenge : The team faces a tough upcoming schedule, including games against Milwaukee, Houston, and Golden State. Cleveland Cavaliers' Dominance (8:36 - 18:18) Key Stats : Cavaliers lead the Eastern Conference with a 33-5 record (86.8% win rate). Home record: 20-2. Road record: 13-3. Dominant interior defense led by Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. Analysis : Compared to past overperforming teams like the 2015 Hawks, the Cavs’ playoff potential remains uncertain despite regular season success. Power Rankings: Cavaliers rank 3rd behind the Thunder and Celtics. Predictions : Munaf predicts a 65-67 win season , emphasizing the team’s balance in backcourt and frontcourt strength. Monday Night Game PreviewsMemphis Grizzlies vs. Houston Rockets (18:18 - 22:51) Context : Rockets are slight favorites ( -2.5 ), but the Grizzlies are in an immediate revenge spot after losing two prior matchups. Insights : Grizzlies historically strong in first halves during revenge situations. McKenzie and Munaf agree that Memphis might have a slight edge despite Houston's recent defensive improvements. San Antonio Spurs vs. LA Lakers (22:52 - 30:01) Key Details : Lakers ( -3.5 ) host Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs amidst challenging conditions due to California fires. Lakers are 12-5 at home, showing resilience even under external stressors. Predictions : Both analysts lean toward the Lakers winning due to rest advantages and strong home performances. Miami Heat vs. LA Clippers (30:02 - 34:03) Key Details : Clippers favored ( -5.5 ) against a Heat team missing Jimmy Butler. Bam Adebayo remains inconsistent, making the Heat overly reliant on Tyler Herro. Predictions : McKenzie suggests Clippers and the game total over as the best bets. Best Bets and Player Prop Strategies (38:25 - 45:14) Best Bet : Minnesota Timberwolves (-13.5) vs. Washington Wizards. Justifications include: Wizards’ poor performance on back-to-back games (1-5 ATS). Timberwolves' defensive discipline and bounce-back ability after a loss. Player Prop Preview : Potential targets include Anthony Edwards’ points and Rudy Gobert’s rebounds. Specific props will be posted later due to lack of lines at recording time. Speaker Quotes and Analysis Munaf Manji (1:17 - 2:23): “Sacramento Kings have been able to turn it around… now 7-1 under Doug Christie.” Analysis : Highlights how Christie’s leadership has re-energized the Kings. McKenzie Rivers (9:33 - 11:58): “Donovan Mitchell is the new Shai Gilgeous-Alexander… but I don’t see them as championship contenders.” Analysis : Raises doubts about the Cavaliers’ playoff viability despite regular season dominance. McKenzie Rivers (22:30 - 22:51): “Immediate revenge spot tells us the team that loses plays better overall—55% ATS in these scenarios.” Analysis : Adds historical betting context favoring Memphis against Houston. Munaf Manji (40:48 - 43:04): “This Wizards team… they don’t play a lot of defense or have a game plan.” Analysis : Emphasizes why Minnesota’s strong defensive approach will overpower Washington. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 10

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for this weekend. The guys also give out best bets. Quotes and Analysis [Griffin Warner, 0:14 - 0:41] "We are here to discuss the top four games on our slate for this Saturday." Analysis: Griffin sets the stage, emphasizing the importance of these matchups in determining "who is for real" in conference play. He teases a discount offer, drawing listener interest. [Big East Ben, 0:42 - 0:55] "Been ice cold the last two weeks... Looking forward to [bouncing back]." Analysis: Ben humorously reflects on his recent betting losses but expresses optimism about the weekend’s slate, suggesting a pivotal point for his predictions. [Big East Ben, 1:39 - 2:31] "UConn-Villanova was a classic... Caravan, 84% foul shooter, missed two free throws." Analysis: A dramatic retelling of UConn’s struggles in a nail-biting loss to Villanova. The focus on Caravan’s missed free throws underscores UConn's inconsistency in clutch moments. [Big East Ben, 3:31 - 4:06] "Without McNeely, UConn does not have a primary scorer... Caravan is Robin." Analysis: Ben critiques UConn’s offensive depth, likening Caravan to a supporting player (Robin) rather than a leader (Batman). [Griffin Warner, 7:50 - 8:02] "UConn’s failures, when it happens, it comes in buckets." Analysis: Griffin’s quip highlights UConn’s pattern of collective breakdowns, providing a memorable metaphor. Player Statistics and Analysis Alex Caravan : Highlighted as UConn’s inconsistent scorer, described as a reliable "Robin" but not a game-changing "Batman." Hassan Diara : Critiqued for streaky play, with comparisons to Steve Novak emphasizing his specialization but lack of versatility. St. John's Kadari Richmond : Praised as a "giant" guard with significant physical advantages but also noted for three-point shooting struggles. Zuby Ejiofor : Mentioned as a potential breakout player for Villanova, improving his shooting consistency. Team Statistics and Insights UConn (Big East) Struggled in Big East play, particularly in close games. Without McNeely, the team lacks a go-to scorer in clutch moments. Reliance on zone defense by opponents (e.g., Georgetown) could expose UConn's offensive vulnerabilities. Georgetown Improved significantly under Ed Cooley, leveraging zone defenses effectively. Hungry for a statement win; the upcoming matchup with UConn is seen as pivotal for postseason hopes. St. John's Noted for poor three-point shooting (304th in percentage nationally). Dominates offensive rebounding, compensating for shooting deficiencies. Strong performance against Xavier showcased resilience and tactical execution. Texas A&M (SEC) Resilient team, as demonstrated by a comeback win against Oklahoma. Home-court advantage noted as a significant factor in SEC matchups. Tennessee (SEC) Coming off a disappointing loss to Florida. Known for defensive intensity but plagued by offensive inefficiencies in away games. Structure and Predictions UConn at Georgetown : Predictions emphasize UConn’s vulnerabilities without McNeely. Georgetown, playing desperate and inspired, could capitalize on UConn's struggles. Villanova at St. John’s :Hosts see St. John’s as slight favorites due to rebounding dominance and home-court advantage at MSG. Villanova’s recent strong form is noted but due for regression. Alabama at Texas A&M :Hosts favor Texas A&M, citing home-court energy and Alabama's inconsistency in challenging environments. Tennessee at Texas :Tennessee expected to bounce back after a rough loss but faces skepticism over road performance. Conclusion This podcast provides a thorough preview of pivotal college basketball games, blending humor with keen analysis. Both Griffin Warner and "Big East Ben" offer sharp critiques of players and teams while delivering actionable insights for bettors. The focus remains on the significance of individual matchups and broader team dynamics, setting the stage for an exciting weekend of basketball action. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 10

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Wild-Card player props. Key Points & Analysis 1. Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) Player Prop: Under 218.5 passing yards and 28.5 attempts. Analysis: Both Munaf and Sleepy emphasized Jackson's reliance on Zay Flowers, who is ruled out for the game, reducing his passing capacity. Past games against the Steelers show 207 yards per game, with Flowers contributing heavily. Predictions lean on Derrick Henry’s ground game to alleviate Jackson's workload​​. 2. Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) Player Prop: Over 43.5 rushing yards. Analysis: Allen’s rushing effectiveness during playoffs is notable, exceeding 54 rushing yards in 4 of 5 wild-card games. Against Denver, a scrambling quarterback like Allen is expected to exploit their defense's relative inexperience with such players. Historically, Allen has averaged 102 rushing yards across three games versus Denver​. 3. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) Player Prop: Under 37.5 rushing yards. Analysis: Sleepy noted concerns about Hurts' recent concussion, suggesting the Eagles might limit risky plays to protect their quarterback for deeper postseason games. Philadelphia’s reliance on weapons like Saquon Barkley, A.J. Brown, and Devonta Smith reinforces the prediction of reduced quarterback rushing​. 4. Jalen Warren (Pittsburgh Steelers) Player Prop: Over 20.5 receiving yards. Analysis: Munaf highlighted Warren’s role as a consistent passing option, especially given Pittsburgh's struggles against the Ravens’ formidable run defense. Historical matchups reveal Warren exceeding 20.5 receiving yards in both games against the Ravens this season​. 5. Jalen Naylor (Minnesota Vikings) Player Prop: Over 17.5 receiving yards. Analysis: The Rams’ vulnerability to slot receivers underpins this prediction. Naylor’s efficiency in limited targets—regularly achieving 18+ yard receptions—suggests he could cover this in one or two plays​​. 6. Zach Ertz (Washington Commanders) Player Prop: Over 38.5 receiving yards. Analysis: Tampa Bay's weakness against tight ends is well-documented, allowing 67 yards per game on average. With rookie quarterback Jaden Daniels seeking a reliable option, Ertz's veteran presence could make him a focal point in the passing game​​. 7. Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) Player Prop: Over 240.5 passing yards. Analysis: Stafford has playoff experience and key targets like Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua against Minnesota's secondary. His past performances in playoff games (averaging over 280 yards) align with the Vikings’ struggles against passing offenses​. Statistical and Team Insights Ravens: Transitioning reliance on Derrick Henry for playoff resilience. Bills: Allen’s rushing underlines their offensive versatility. Steelers: Warren complements a struggling passing game with consistency in short-yardage gains. Eagles: Careful deployment of Hurts reflects long-term playoff strategy. Vikings: Utilize lesser-known players like Naylor to exploit defensive mismatches. Rams: Passing is key against the Vikings’ weak secondary. Structure & Utility Each prop analysis included clear reasoning, historical trends, and context-based predictions, offering actionable insights for bettors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 9

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Wild-Card betting. The guys talk through each game and offer the best picks. Dave Essler also provides a best bet. 🏈 Key Game Analysis Texans vs. Chargers Steve Fezzik (3:28-6:41) : Fezzik endorses Houston (+3), citing the strength of schedule trend (32-12 ATS for teams with significantly tougher schedules in Wild-Card games) and his power ratings favoring the Texans. He highlights the 15-spot schedule disparity (Houston: 14th, Chargers: 29th). Scott Seidenberg (7:25-9:51) : Seidenberg supports the Chargers, emphasizing Houston's weak offensive line (29th per PFF) and CJ Stroud's struggles against split-safety coverage (21st passer rating). The Chargers’ defensive scheme and top-4 efficiency against motion offenses are also noted. RJ Bell (11:20-13:12) : Bell debates Houston's perceived downturn but concludes Houston hasn't been atrocious, leaning toward the Texans based on line value. Ravens vs. Steelers Mackenzie Rivers (16:11-17:12) : Rivers backs the Ravens (-9.5), emphasizing Baltimore’s league-best metrics and superior strength of schedule. Lamar Jackson's playoff dominance is noted. Scott Seidenberg (19:04-21:11) : Seidenberg highlights the Steelers' defensive decline (29th in EPA over the final three games) due to a diminished pass rush, advocating for the Ravens’ team total over 27.5. Dave Essler (34:00-35:17) : Essler favors Baltimore (-6 first half), citing a massive scoring disparity (+112 against playoff teams for Baltimore vs. -30 for Pittsburgh). Betting Takeaways : The panel leans toward Baltimore's offensive success, with concerns about Pittsburgh's recent defensive struggles. Broncos vs. Bills Scott Seidenberg (42:09-44:17) : Allen’s rushing prop (longest rush over 13.5 yards) is highlighted, with the Broncos’ blitzing tendencies creating opportunities for Allen to scramble effectively. Steve Fezzik and RJ Bell (45:18-45:32) : Discussion contrasts Allen’s rushing tendencies against dominant teams versus blowout scenarios, favoring over 41.5 total rushing yards. Statistical Context : Buffalo’s balanced metrics place them as heavy favorites, but Denver's blitz rate and game script could lead to unexpected Allen rushing outcomes. Packers vs. Eagles RJ Bell (45:54-48:08) : Bell emphasizes Green Bay’s defensive focus, favoring under 24.5 points for Philadelphia due to historical data showing teams losing consecutive games before playoffs clamp down defensively (12-3 ATS trend). Scott Seidenberg (50:06-51:28) : Seidenberg predicts a run-heavy game, backing Josh Jacobs over 16.5 rushing attempts. Green Bay’s reliance on its running game is noted, especially with Jordan Love’s elbow issue. Steve Fezzik (53:12-53:28) : Strength of schedule disparity (Packers: 6th, Eagles: 32nd) further supports betting value on Green Bay. Rams vs. Vikings RJ Bell (1:12:58-1:14:48) : Bell highlights Minnesota’s overall consistency and coaching edge, favoring the Vikings despite red-zone struggles. Mackenzie Rivers (1:15:07-1:15:19) : Points out the Rams' lack of offensive production in recent games, scoring just 12, 19, and 13 points. Betting Context : Minnesota’s reliability against weaker teams and the Rams’ challenges with injuries and a poor defensive showing (worst in playoffs) position the Vikings as favorites. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 9

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CFB Playoff betting. The guys break down both semifinal games for this episode and provide best bets. The "Need for Screens College Football Podcast" analyzes the upcoming College Football Playoff semi-finals, focusing on Notre Dame vs. Penn State and Ohio State vs. Texas. Hosted by Griffin Warner and "Big East Ben," the episode mixes humor with statistical breakdowns and betting advice. Key Points & Analysis: Notre Dame vs. Penn State: Notre Dame enters as a 1-point favorite but remains untested this season. Their key concern is the availability of Jeremiah Love, a pivotal offensive player who has been essential in critical moments. Penn State’s defense, led by Abdul Carter (11 sacks, 40 solo tackles), is a standout. Carter’s game-time status could significantly impact Penn State's ability to control Notre Dame’s rushing attack. Prediction: A low-scoring game due to both teams’ defensive strength. The under 45-point total is strongly recommended. Ohio State vs. Texas: Ohio State, favored by 5.5 points, dominated Oregon in the quarterfinals, with wide receiver Jeremiah Smith excelling. However, concerns about quarterback Will Howard’s composure under pressure linger. Texas has underperformed throughout the season but still boasts a powerful defensive line. Their resilience could help them keep the game close. Prediction: Texas is expected to cover the spread. A close game, potentially decided by a field goal, is anticipated. Player Highlights: Jeremiah Love (Notre Dame): A dynamic playmaker whose presence could shape the game. Abdul Carter (Penn State): A defensive powerhouse with 11 sacks, potentially crucial for limiting Notre Dame’s offense. Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State): An offensive standout pivotal in the quarterfinals. Bo Scadabow (Arizona): Praised for creative plays, reflecting the innovative strategies seen in the playoffs. Team Insights: Notre Dame has relied on defensive turnovers and Ryan Leonard’s rushing ability but faces questions about their overall depth and quality of opponents faced. Penn State's disciplined defense neutralized Boise State effectively and ranks among the nation’s top five in points allowed. Ohio State's offensive explosiveness contrasts with moments of inconsistency, especially against top-tier defenses. Texas struggles with consistency but retains the physicality to compete in high-stakes games. The episode provides sharp predictions and actionable betting insights, recommending Notre Dame vs. Penn State under 45 points and Texas to cover against Ohio State. With an engaging mix of humor and analysis, it delivers a comprehensive preview of the semi-final matchups. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 7

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Sony Open and match 1 of TGL. -Discussing top 6 odds favs at Sony -2 matchups -2 t20s -2 outrights -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups, scoring, best bet -TGL Match 1 pick 🏁 Conclusion The podcast highlights the differences between Wailea's short, precision-focused course and the previous week’s Kapalua plantation course. Hideki Matsuyama, who dazzled last week with a record-breaking 35-under-par score, leads the field, but health issues and past patterns cast doubt on back-to-back wins. The host analyzes key players like Corey Connors, Tom Kim, and Russell Henley, emphasizing precision in short iron play and putting. The segment concludes with betting suggestions, outright winners, DFS lineups, and TGL Match 1 predictions, favoring the New York Golf Club team for its chipping and putting advantage. ✨ Key Points 🎯 Player-specific highlights : Hideki Matsuyama enters after setting a PGA Tour record last week, but his chances of consecutive wins are debated due to health concerns and prior patterns. 🎯 Course breakdown : Wailea's 7,000-yard par-70 layout emphasizes approach shots from 100-150 yards and putting precision. 🎯 Past winners at Sony : Notable short-game specialists like Si Woo Kim, Kevin Na, and Cam Smith thrived here due to their putting prowess. 🎯 Top favorites : Corey Connors (top 20 pick), Russell Henley (recent inconsistency), and Tom Kim (issues with putting and driving) are among the players analyzed. 🎯 Betting picks : Two recommended outright bets are Denny McCarthy (66-1) and Mackenzie Hughes (70-1). 🎯 TGL preview : Match 1 pits the New York Golf Club (Shoffley, Fowler, Fitzpatrick) against Bay Golf Club (Lowry, Clark, Oberg). The real-life chipping and putting setup plays a pivotal role. 🎯 DFS lineup strategy : Players like Connors and McCarthy are prioritized for their suitability to Wailea's precision demands. 🎯 Insights on rookies : Luke Clanton, an amateur, is poised to outperform experienced players like Brian Harmon, showcasing immense promise. 🎯 Sleeper picks : Si Woo Kim is undervalued despite a strong record at Wailea, including a win and a fourth-place finish. 🎯 Predicted scores : Rainy weather might soften the course, making a winning score of 22-under-par likely. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 6

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA basketball betting for Monday January 6th. The guys discuss the Jimmy Butler drama and give out best bets. NBA Dream Pod Monday + Best Bets Summary The podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers, covers NBA updates, player performances, team dynamics, and betting strategies for the 2024-25 season. Key topics include Jimmy Butler’s trade rumors, Kawhi Leonard’s return, major Monday matchups, and expert best bets. Jimmy Butler Trade Speculation (3:55 - 10:01) Jimmy Butler has likely played his last game for the Miami Heat after reportedly requesting a trade. His value to the team has diminished to just 2.5 points, and the Heat are now ranked 20th overall. Mackenzie highlights Butler’s unique skill set, which is valuable for title-contending teams but less impactful for a rebuilding Heat. The Warriors and Suns are rumored trade destinations, though Pat Riley may delay a deal until the summer. Kawhi Leonard’s Return (10:02 - 15:33) Kawhi Leonard made his season debut, scoring 12 points in 19 minutes during a blowout win over Atlanta. Mackenzie describes Kawhi as “a better version of Jimmy Butler” and a proven playoff performer. The Clippers, currently 20-15 and seventh in the West, are seen as a sleeper pick for title contention, especially with Kawhi boosting their fourth-ranked defense. Key Matchups Suns vs. Sixers (16:57 - 20:31) Joel Embiid is expected to play as the Sixers (-3.5) host the struggling Suns. Embiid, averaging 27+ points over five games, could dominate against Phoenix’s poor defense. Magic vs. Knicks (22:50 - 25:26) Injury-plagued Orlando faces the Knicks (-11.5) in a grueling schedule stretch. Mackenzie prefers a first-half Knicks play, given their recent strong starts. Clippers vs. Timberwolves (26:47 - 29:33) Kawhi’s return boosts the Clippers, but Minnesota (-3) remains favored. Both teams’ defensive prowess makes the under (214.5) a strong bet. Best Bets Milwaukee Bucks (-6.5) Mackenzie backs Milwaukee, citing their bounce-back trend after upset losses as double-digit favorites (59% ATS on the road). Facing Toronto’s weak defense, Giannis and the Bucks are in a prime get-right spot. Indiana Pacers (-8.5) Munaf targets Brooklyn’s depleted roster, with key players Cam Thomas and Cam Johnson out. Indiana’s potent offense, scoring 123+ in four of their last five games, should dominate a Nets team lacking firepower. Player Prop Best Bet Emmanuel Quickley Over 6.5 Assists (40:32 - 42:11) Quickley recorded 11 and 15 assists in his last two games. Milwaukee’s defensive struggles against point guards support this prop in a high-scoring game (total 230). Final Notes The podcast emphasizes critical stats and trends, such as the Clippers’ top-tier defense, Kawhi’s playoff impact, and Indiana’s offensive surge. Betting insights include fading the Magic due to injuries and backing road favorites like the Bucks and Pacers. The episode wraps up with optimism for the NBA season and trade deadline rumors heating up. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 4

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball weekend betting. The guys are gearing up for the meat of the season now. Best bets as always. CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets Key Points Florida vs. Kentucky : Kentucky, a 3-point favorite, is highlighted for its rebound opportunity after a poor performance. Florida's undefeated record gets scrutiny due to its weak strength of schedule (227th). UCLA vs. Nebraska : UCLA, underdogs against Nebraska, faces a tough challenge due to back-to-back games. Nebraska's strong home advantage and Bryce Williams' play are emphasized. Arizona vs. Cincinnati : Cincinnati’s strong home-court advantage and Arizona's struggles in road games are discussed. Caleb Love's streaky shooting is a focal point. Boise State vs. San Diego State : Boise State is favored by 3.5 points, with analysis suggesting a low-scoring game due to both teams' offensive and defensive styles. Baylor vs. Iowa State : Iowa State, an 8.5-point favorite, is analyzed for its defensive and home-court strength, while Baylor's three-point defense is criticized. Virginia vs. Louisville : Virginia, a 3.5-point underdog, is backed to win against Louisville, highlighting its strong defensive system under coach Tony Bennett. Team Statistics : Insights into KenPom ratings, Big Ten dynamics, and trends in three-point shooting are woven throughout the discussion. Betting Tips : Recommendations include taking Kentucky at home, Nebraska's strength in Lincoln, and best bets like Virginia and Rhode Island. Player Insights : Caleb Love’s inconsistency, Bryce Williams' all-around play, and key contributors for teams like Baylor and Iowa State are analyzed. Best Bets : Virginia (+3.5) and Rhode Island (Pick ‘Em) are chosen as the strongest plays based on matchups and statistics. Summary Florida vs. Kentucky: The hosts discuss Kentucky's opportunity to recover after a poor performance. Kentucky is favored at home by 3 points against a Florida team with a weaker strength of schedule. UCLA vs. Nebraska: Nebraska, strong at home, faces a UCLA team struggling with consistency. The matchup highlights Nebraska’s dominance in Lincoln and UCLA’s reliance on threes. Arizona vs. Cincinnati: Cincinnati, a 3-point favorite, is backed for its strong home-court play. Arizona's reliance on Caleb Love's streaky shooting is flagged as a potential problem. Boise State vs. San Diego State: A defensive showdown is expected, with Boise State favored by 3.5 points. Both teams are analyzed for their shooting styles and home-court dynamics. Baylor vs. Iowa State: Iowa State, favored by 8.5 points, is seen as a strong home-court team, while Baylor’s poor three-point defense is highlighted as a concern. Virginia vs. Louisville: Virginia is chosen as a 3.5-point underdog, with praise for its defensive strategies and offensive improvement under coach Tony Bennett. Team Statistics: KenPom ratings and team metrics, such as offensive efficiency and defensive matchups, provide context for game analysis. Player Highlights: Individual performances, like Bryce Williams' play for Nebraska and Caleb Love's inconsistency for Arizona, are examined. Betting Strategy: The hosts emphasize the importance of home-court advantage and player matchups, advising caution when betting on away teams. Best Bets: Virginia and Rhode Island are identified as the top betting plays for January 4th based on the discussed matchups. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 3

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 18 betting. The guys hit a bunch of hot topics this week. Dave Essler also provides a best bet. NFL Week 18 Podcast Summary The "Dream Podcast - NFL Week 18 THE PICKS!!" covers player incentives, team dynamics, and betting strategies for the final NFL regular season week. Hosts RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers provide in-depth insights into key games, betting trends, and creative prop bets. Key Sections Player Incentives (3:52-10:40) : Mike Evans needs 85 yards for his 11th consecutive 1,000-yard season and 5 receptions for a $3M bonus. His yardage prop jumped from 88.5 to 98.5 (season average: 67.5). The panel emphasizes targeting his receptions over and yards under for correlated betting. Washington vs. Dallas (11:09-20:29) : Washington (-4.5) is favored due to their first-quarter dominance (6.8 points/game) and playoff motivation. Dallas historically dominates this matchup, but Washington aims to avenge last year's blowout. Tampa Bay Insights (20:29-27:10) : Tampa’s offense ranks 4th in EPA, with RB Bucky Irving leading the league in missed tackle rate. Tampa averages 7.2 first-quarter points and is the best team on opening drives, ideal for early-game bets. Minnesota vs. Detroit (30:26-42:36) : Minnesota (+3) is RJ Bell’s top pick, citing Detroit’s defensive collapse. Once ranked 7th in EPA, Detroit’s defense is now 32nd since Thanksgiving. Despite Detroit's injuries, their power rating remains inflated, making Minnesota undervalued. Green Bay’s First-Quarter Edge (47:09-53:37) : Green Bay takes the ball first 85% of the time, leading to first-quarter scoring opportunities. Opponent Chicago defers on all coin toss wins, creating a betting angle for Green Bay first drives. Late-Season Coaching Trends (1:37:26-1:43:25) : Brian Daboll is 12-6 ATS in late-season games as an OC or head coach, reflecting strong team preparation in Week 15 or later. This boosts confidence in the Giants , who are playing motivated despite a poor season. Player Props: Malik Neighbors vs. Brock Bowers (1:40:54-1:44:10) : Neighbors trails Bowers by 4 receptions for the rookie record, with Bowers playing later in the day. The panel recommends betting Bowers' receptions over based on Neighbors’ early performance. Conclusion This podcast emphasizes player incentives (Mike Evans), early-game betting strategies (Tampa, Green Bay), and late-season team motivations (Washington, Minnesota). Panelists identify market inefficiencies, like inflated props (Evans) and misjudged defensive collapses (Detroit), creating unique betting opportunities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 3

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL Week 18 player props. The guys also preview Sunday Night Football. Quote Analysis with Key Details Mike Evans' Incentive Milestones (4:00) Munaf highlights Mike Evans needing 5 receptions and 85 receiving yards for $1 million incentives each. Steve Reider warns about the "tax" on these props, noting how public awareness inflates lines. Despite a favorable matchup, the market might not justify betting on Evans at an inflated 98-yard line​. J.K. Dobbins’ Incentives (5:43) Dobbins requires 58 rushing yards to unlock $150,000. Steve and Sleepy caution betting too late on such incentives, suggesting week 16-17 as better windows for opportunistic bets​. Geno Smith and Corlin Sutton’s Targets (7:08) Geno needs 185 passing yards and a Seahawks win for $2 million incentives. Sutton needs 82 yards for $500,000, which Steve finds appealing since the line reflects less of the "incentive tax." These props present balanced options for bettors​. Player Statistics and Analysis Bo Nix Prop: Over 35.5 yards for the longest completion (8:50) . Sleepy favors this, highlighting Kansas City's defensive lapses with backups, which increase the likelihood of explosive plays​. Baker Mayfield Prop: Over 250.5 passing yards (11:45) . Averaging 283 yards at home, Mayfield has exceeded this number in four consecutive games. This game has playoff implications, further supporting the over​. Bucky Irving Prop: Over 84.5 rushing yards (15:19) . Replacing Rashad White, Irving has been exceptional, exceeding 84.5 yards in four of the last six games. The Saints' third-worst rush defense strengthens this bet​. Najee Harris Prop: Over 44.5 rushing yards (17:53) . With Jalen Warren limited, Harris has a strong record against the Bengals, who allow 92 rushing yards per game​. Amon-Ra St. Brown Prop: Over 75 yards (23:21) . Facing Minnesota in a high-total game (57 points), St. Brown’s target volume and historical success against the Vikings position him for another strong showing​. Team Statistics and Insights Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (37:19) This SNF clash holds stakes for the NFC North and the No. 1 seed. Detroit's offense has thrived, scoring 34+ points in four straight games, but its defense has faltered. Conversely, Minnesota’s defense might be decisive​. Teasing Minnesota (38:18) Steve and Sleepy recommend teasing Minnesota to +8.5, given the Lions’ recent defensive struggles and the likelihood of a close, high-scoring game​. Player Prop Best Bets Justin Jefferson Prop: Over 91.5 receiving yards (44:41) . Jefferson averages an astounding 182 receiving yards per game in Detroit across four games. Munaf emphasizes his consistent target volume and historical dominance in pivotal games​. Conclusion The episode is a comprehensive breakdown of NFL Week 18, blending analytical player prop insights with betting strategies. The importance of understanding market adjustments, player incentives, and team dynamics dominates discussions. For SNF, high scoring is expected, with Justin Jefferson poised for another standout performance​. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jan 1

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for The Sentry! -Top 6 odds favorites -1 matchup -1 t10, 1t20 -2 outrights -Sleeper -FRL, 2 lineups, scoring, best bet 🏌️‍♂️ Key Quotes & Analysis by Timestamps Introduction to the Event (0:06 - 0:44) Will Doctor introduces the 2025 PGA Tour season, expressing excitement for the first of 36 regular season events. He promises sharp predictions and analysis for the Sentry, setting the tone for an in-depth preview. Field and Schedule Analysis (0:44 - 26:35) Doctor discusses the tournament schedule for 2025, highlighting its structure with 18 full-field events, 8 signature events, and 4 majors. The Sentry leads the year, followed by the Sony Open in Honolulu, a deeply emotional tournament following Grayson Murray's passing. Analysis : The smaller field size of 60 players for the Sentry contrasts with the 144-player field at the Sony, a "proper field size." Doctor criticizes the PGA Tour's 2026 changes, which include reducing PGA Tour cards and eliminating Monday qualifiers, calling it unfair to the 2,000 capable golfers globally. Field Highlights : 37 of the top 50 golfers are present. Notable absentee: Scottie Scheffler (hand injury). Key players: Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Hideki Matsuyama, and Victor Hovland. Course Breakdown (Plantation Course, Kapalua) Celebrating its 27th year hosting the Sentry, the course features dramatic elevation changes, scenic par 5s, and short par 4s under 400 yards, creating a mix of challenges. Key Insight : The course design ensures low scores, with a prediction of -24 winning the tournament. Player Predictions & Odds Xander Schauffele (7-1) : Strong ball-striking, but struggles on Kapalua's greens, leading Doctor to avoid betting on him. Justin Thomas (11-1) : Despite recent putting woes, Thomas' exceptional ball-striking makes him a top contender. Doctor predicts Thomas will finish in the top 10 and recommends bets at 11-1 (outright win) and +110 (top 10 finish). Collin Morikawa (12-1) : While inconsistent recently, Morikawa's strong history at Kapalua and excellent ball-striking earn him a matchup bet against Hideki Matsuyama (-139). Sung Jae Im (18-1) : Near wins at Kapalua in prior years, but Doctor avoids betting on him due to unfavorable odds and matchups. Patrick Cantlay (18-1) : Struggles in low-scoring contests requiring elite putting. Doctor is "out" on Cantlay this week. Ludvig Åberg (18-1) : Promising young player but hampered by putting inconsistencies, leading Doctor to skip betting on him. Matchups & Picks to Place Matchups : Collin Morikawa over Hideki Matsuyama (-139). Top 20 Picks : Justin Thomas (+110). Akshay Bhatia (+110): Emerging star with two recent top-5 finishes. Strong performances at coastal courses support his inclusion. Outright Winners & Sleeper Picks Justin Thomas (11-1) : A proven winner at Kapalua despite putting struggles. Max Graesserman (45-1) : Consistent fall performances make him a dark horse. Sleeper Pick : Jonathan Vegas to top 20 (3-1). Known for his driving, he thrives at Kapalua's demanding layout. First-Round Leader Justin Thomas (16-1): Strong opening round history makes him a compelling bet. Fantasy Lineups DraftKings : Balanced selections include Justin Thomas, Sung Jae Im, Akshay Bhatia, Max Graesserman, Nick Dunlop, and Jonathan Vegas. PGA Tour Fantasy : Core players are Justin Thomas, Akshay Bhatia, Sung Jae Im, and Max Graesserman, with Vegas and Dunlop as substitutes. Best Bet Max Graesserman to top 10 (+350) is highlighted as a strong value pick. Conclusion & Scoring Prediction Doctor predicts winning scores around -24, with Justin Thomas or Max Graesserman emerging victorious. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 31, 2024

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers discuss NFL Week 17 recap. The guys also look ahead to NFL Week 18. Key Points 🎯 Brock Purdy's Injury : Purdy was injured, leading to questions about his elbow's nerve issues and Shanahan's coaching decisions to protect his contract incentives. 🎯 Coaching Philosophies : Kyle Shanahan's calculated strategies versus Dan Campbell’s aggressive "play-to-win" approach are juxtaposed, with both yielding implications for the playoffs. 🎯 Saquon Barkley's Rushing Record : Barkley needs 101 yards to break Eric Dickerson's record. His usage suggests the Giants prioritize individual milestones. 🎯 Strategic Resting of Players : The Lions, having played 12 straight games, debated the merit of resting starters before the playoffs, as seen in Monday’s game. 🎯 Historical Context : Comparisons with legendary coaches like Belichick, Parcells, and Walsh reveal their distinct approaches to late-season games and playoffs. 🎯 Aaron Rodgers and the Jets : Rodgers’ diminished future with the Jets is discussed, alongside how the Jets’ "all-in" strategy has hurt their long-term viability. 🎯 Player Stats : Barkley leads in second-half rushing stats this season, with 1,245 yards, well ahead of Derrick Henry at 989. 🎯 Team Records : Insights into teams playing without late-season rest suggest a slight statistical disadvantage, but not enough to predict outcomes decisively. 🎯 Ownership Influence : The meddling of owners like Woody Johnson (Jets) impacts franchises negatively, a contrast to Pittsburgh's stability under the Rooney family. 🎯 Correlated Bets : Unique same-game parlay opportunities are identified, like Barkley breaking rushing records and correlating it with other under/over bets. Summary [0:06 - 5:15: Player Decisions and Coaching Tactics] : RJ Bell speculates on Shanahan potentially using play-calling to manipulate Brock Purdy’s contract leverage. Injuries like Purdy's elbow and their playoff impact are also addressed. ** 11:54 - 14:49: Dan Campbell's Risk-Taking** : Campbell played Lions starters in a "meaningless" game, with Scott criticizing this decision based on their grueling season and short week before playoffs. [14:50 - 24:17: Resting Players Analysis] : A discussion on coaching styles of Belichick, Parcells, and Andy Reid highlights tendencies to rest or push players in low-stakes games. [24:18 - 32:59: Historical Comparisons] : Saquon Barkley's potential to break Dickerson’s record raises questions about longevity, pride, and records under expanded NFL schedules. [32:59 - 43:51: Same-Game Parlays and Betting Analysis] : Correlated bets surrounding Barkley’s performance are discussed, emphasizing potential betting markets for rushing yards and carries. [43:52 - 55:09: Player Stats Deep Dive] : Barkley dominates second-half rushing stats, and Malik Neighbors achieves 1,000+ yards with multiple quarterbacks, showcasing impressive rookie resilience. [56:05 - 1:04:16: Colts Coaching Evaluation] : Shane Steichen’s rumored hot seat is debated, with RJ concluding he has exceeded expectations given the Colts’ roster limitations. [1:04:17 - 1:17:57: Franchise Ownership Styles] : The Jets and Giants are compared in their handling of coaches, general managers, and players, with the Steelers upheld as the model of stability. [1:17:58 - 1:20:57: Predictions and Evaluations] : Saquon Barkley’s Hall of Fame chances depend heavily on achieving the rushing record. The Jets’ future appears grim after their Rodgers gamble. [1:20:58 - End: Closing Insights] : Week 18 predictions and playoff narratives set the stage for critical games, while philosophical questions about tanking and records conclude the session. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 28, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB weekend betting. The guys also give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 27, 2024

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ break down NFL Week 17 player props. The guys also preview Monday Night Football and give out a best bet. MVP Race Analysis Munaf Manji (0:00 - 5:28) kicks off the show with a preview of the NFL MVP race between Lamar Jackson (+155) and Josh Allen (-200). Key Quote : “Josh Allen has done more this season with less than Lamar Jackson.” Insights : Lamar Jackson played a standout Thanksgiving game, and his stats now rival Josh Allen’s. However, Allen remains the favorite because of his ability to perform under tougher conditions and Buffalo’s push for the playoffs. SleepyJ (2:49 - 5:28) adds that the MVP award is largely quarterback-focused and dismisses Saquon Barkley’s candidacy despite potentially breaking Eric Dickerson's rushing record. Key Quote : "If Saquon Barkley breaks the record, I still don’t think he gets the MVP because it’s been a quarterback award for over a decade.” Player Props Breakdown Quarterback Props Justin Herbert (Over 20.5 Completions) : SleepyJ (9:24 - 10:54): Herbert is expected to rely on short passes against a weak Patriots pass rush due to the Chargers' running back injuries. Key Stats : Patriots rank second-worst in sacks. Jordan Love (Over 247.5 Passing Yards) : Munaf Manji (10:54 - 13:56): Love’s strong history against the Vikings and the Vikings’ elite rush defense forces the Packers to throw more. Key Stats : Vikings allow 269 passing yards per game; Love recorded 389 yards against them earlier this season. Running Back Props Alexander Madison (Over 44.5 Rushing Yards) and Amir Abdullah (Over 25.5 Rushing Yards) : SleepyJ (15:34 - 17:25): The Saints’ weak rush defense (ranked 3rd worst) makes this a favorable matchup for Raiders’ backs. Key Quote : “This is a game where the Raiders just turn around and hand the ball off.” Jonathan Taylor (Over 97.5 Rushing Yards) : Munaf Manji (17:25 - 20:49): Taylor has exceeded 96 yards in the last three games and faces a Giants defense allowing 115 rushing yards per game. Key Stats : Taylor ran for 218 yards against the Titans in Week 16. Wide Receiver Props Jerome Ford (Over 17.5 Receiving Yards) : SleepyJ (21:31 - 23:26): With Cleveland’s injuries, Ford becomes a key check-down option for Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Key Stats : Ford recorded 39 receiving yards last week on 5 catches. Mike Evans (Over 78.5 Receiving Yards) : Munaf Manji (23:26 - 26:49): Evans thrives against the Panthers, and Tampa’s reliance on him increases in a must-win situation. Key Stats : Evans has averaged 114.5 yards per game against the Panthers in their last six matchups. Tight End Props Jake Ferguson (Over 4.5 Receptions) : SleepyJ (28:22 - 30:19): With CeeDee Lamb out, Ferguson becomes a primary option for Dallas, especially against Philadelphia’s strong run defense. Key Quote : "Dallas will have to play it safe, and Ferguson is their safest bet." Chigoziem Okonkwo (Over 36.5 Receiving Yards) : Munaf Manji (30:20 - 33:38): Okonkwo benefits from Mason Rudolph’s reliance on him, recording 81 yards last week. Key Stats : Jaguars allow 57 receiving yards per game to tight ends. Monday Night Football Preview Matchup: Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Game Analysis : SleepyJ (37:01 - 38:50): Predicts Detroit (-3.5) to win due to superior motivation and the 49ers’ injury issues. The Lions are vying for playoff positioning, while the 49ers have “nothing to play for.” Key Quote : “This line feels wrong. Detroit should be favored by at least seven.” Player Prop Best Bet : Brock Purdy (Over 254.5 Passing Yards) : Munaf Manji (40:58 - 43:12): Purdy will likely rely on passing due to Detroit’s strong rush defense and San Francisco's depleted backfield. Key Stats : Opposing QBs average 255 passing yards per game against Detroit. Promotional Offers Pregame.com : Use code “HOLLY20” for 20% off NFL, bowl games, and other sports betting packages (35:12 - 36:06). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 27, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 17 from a betting perspective. The Vegas wiseguys give out this weeks strongest picks and more. 🏈 Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles Key Insight : Jalen Hurts is likely out, leading Fezzik to downgrade the Eagles by five points. The Cowboys, still motivated, are undervalued at +9.5. Fezzik predicts the true line should be 6.5 without Hurts. 🏈 Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals Insight : Denver is underrated, ranked 12th in EPA, while Cincinnati struggles against strong teams. Scott highlights the key matchup of Patrick Surtain II vs. Jamar Chase, noting Denver’s strong defensive fundamentals. 🏈 Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns Key Quote : “The Dolphins are the third most unlucky team,” says Mackenzie. Miami ranks 9th in efficiency with Tua but faces a weak Cleveland team with QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, whose offense has totaled just 34 points in four starts. Weather concerns for Tua are dismissed due to moderate temperatures (~42°F). 🏈 Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders Insight : Atlanta controls its playoff destiny behind rookie QB Michael Penix, whose poise was praised. Washington, after an emotional win, may face a letdown, with Atlanta expected to exploit their defensive weaknesses. 🏈 Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Matchup : Scott critiques Green Bay’s inflated value, noting their dominance over weak teams but struggles against strong ones like Minnesota. He praises Minnesota’s defensive schemes and home-field advantage. Additional Games : Rams vs. Cardinals : Sean McVay's historical dominance (13-3 ATS vs. Arizona) contrasts with Arizona’s improvement under Gannon. Jets vs. Bills : The Jets (+11) are seen as undervalued against a Bills team needing only one win for the #2 seed. Chargers vs. Patriots : RJ emphasizes Justin Herbert’s effectiveness against weak pass rushes, favoring the first-half spread for the Chargers. Raiders vs. Saints : Raiders’ coach Antonio Pierce is praised for his motivational leadership, while the Saints struggle offensively. Statistical Trends Divisional Revenge : Teams losing by 30+ points cover ATS 58% in rematches. Motivation Mismatches : Atlanta's playoff stakes versus Washington’s reduced urgency. Player Highlights : CeeDee Lamb’s injury impacts Dallas, while Denver's Surtain could dominate against Cincinnati's Jamar Chase. Conclusion The podcast underscores betting on undervalued teams like the Cowboys, Broncos, and Falcons, focusing on motivation, injuries, and statistical inefficiencies. The hosts’ blend of advanced metrics and game-day insights provides actionable advice for NFL Week 17. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 26, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk Friday Bowl games and give out best bets. Key Points and Quotes with Analysis Texas Tech vs. Arkansas - Liberty Bowl Big East Ben (2:31-3:09) Texas Tech, a 1-point favorite, is viewed skeptically due to quarterback Barron Mortens entering the transfer portal and the absence of top receiver Josh Kelly. Ben refuses to back them due to their inconsistency and internal turmoil. Analysis: Ben highlights the importance of stable leadership in bowl games, with Arkansas showing better defensive cohesion. Player Stat Mention: Arkansas quarterback "Woo Pig" remains intact, offering continuity. Griffin Warner (3:10-4:00) Griffin reflects on Arkansas' defensive mediocrity but notes their offense's lackluster performance. Predicts a low-scoring game (under 52 points). Stat Insight: Arkansas' inability to consistently capitalize on offensive opportunities limits their potential in this matchup. Syracuse vs. Washington State - Holiday Bowl Big East Ben (4:55-5:41) Syracuse, favored by 17 points, is praised for quarterback Kyle McCord’s record-breaking season. Washington State, however, is decimated by key transfers, including their 44-touchdown quarterback. Analysis: Ben confidently predicts Syracuse to cover the large spread due to Washington State’s depleted roster. Player Stat Mention: McCord’s dominance underlines Syracuse's offensive firepower. Griffin Warner (5:41-6:57) Warner agrees with Ben’s assessment but opts for under 59.5 points. He emphasizes how opt-outs and blowouts could suppress scoring. Contextual Insight: San Diego’s Snapdragon Stadium will host the game, but even the location is unlikely to influence Washington State’s diminished lineup. Texas A&M vs. USC - Las Vegas Bowl Big East Ben (6:59-7:39) Both teams retain their quarterbacks, ensuring offensive capability. Ben predicts high scoring, dismissing defensive efforts as players aim to avoid injury. Stat Insight: Ben critiques Texas A&M’s quarterback as a "weakling string bean," but acknowledges their rushing game is solid. Griffin Warner (7:41-9:02) Griffin humorously discusses the Allegiant Stadium upgrade, endorsing the over 52 points bet. Analysis: The lack of defensive intensity in postseason play supports his over-bet logic. Iowa State vs. Miami - Pop-Tarts Bowl Big East Ben (12:27-12:42) Miami's weak defense is highlighted as a critical flaw. Despite quarterback Cam Ward’s decision to play, the focus is on Iowa State's offensive potential to exploit Miami’s weaknesses. Stat Mention: Cam Ward's limited role is seen as symbolic rather than impactful. Griffin Warner (17:57-20:38) Warner analyzes Iowa State's motivation to recover from a poor Big 12 Championship showing, predicting them to cover the +3.5 spread. Contextual Insight: The fan interaction through Pop-Tart flavor voting adds a light-hearted layer to this bowl game. BYU vs. Colorado - Alamo Bowl Big East Ben (20:40-22:08) Ben critiques Colorado’s overhyped record, citing their avoidance of tougher Big 12 teams. He leans toward BYU, citing their challenging schedule and quarterback motivation. Analysis: Colorado’s star players, including Travis Hunter, are unlikely to play the full game, reducing their competitiveness. Griffin Warner (23:20-26:06) Griffin echoes Ben’s choice of BYU, emphasizing the unpredictability of Colorado's roster involvement. Stat Mention: BYU’s more rigorous season bolsters their credibility in this matchup. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 25, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben cover a few college football bowl games for 12-26 & 12-27 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 24, 2024

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 17 holiday games. The guys also discuss MVP odds and give out a best bet. Key Points 🎯 Kansas City Chiefs' Dominance : Despite a 14-1 record, the Chiefs are underappreciated due to narrow victories. Their Super Bowl odds (e.g., +400 to +450) are considered valuable bets​. 🎯 MVP Odds for Jared Goff : Goff, with a strong EPA per play ranking (#2), is seen as a 20-to-1 MVP contender if the Lions finish strong​. 🎯 Josh Allen's Injuries : Allen's hand injuries and perceived inconsistencies affect Buffalo's outlook, with the team likely settling for a #2 seed​. 🎯 Playoff Scenarios : Baltimore Ravens' path to winning their division hinges on defeating Houston and favorable outcomes in Steelers' games​. 🎯 Team Statistics : Pittsburgh's offense has improved significantly under Kenny Pickett, ranking eighth in EPA since Week 7​. 🎯 Houston Texans' Struggles : C.J. Stroud's regression, poor offensive line performance, and injuries, such as Tank Dell's season-ending injury, challenge their playoff viability​. 🎯 Prop Betting Insights : Scott recommends prop bets like sack totals for Baltimore's Kyle Vannoy and Odafe Owei due to Houston's offensive line issues​. 🎯 Seattle vs. Chicago : Seahawks are favored (-3.5) due to Chicago's poor form and injuries to their offensive line​. 🎯 Scheduling Impact : Pittsburgh and Kansas City face fatigue challenges due to condensed schedules, with historical data favoring the home team in such scenarios​. 🎯 Team Totals & Props : Recommended bets include over 20.5 points for Pittsburgh and under first-drive scores for both Seattle and Chicago​. Summary (by timestamp) [0:06-1:22]: NFL Holiday Scheduling R.J. Bell opens with a humorous tone, mentioning Fez's absence and previewing NFL games over Christmas week. They highlight the intensity of NFL scheduling with games across multiple days. [1:45-4:15]: NFL vs. College Football Playoff Ratings Scott compares NFL and college football playoff ratings, noting the NFL's dominance (e.g., Chiefs' game garnered a 7.4 rating vs. 3.1 for SMU vs. Penn State). R.J. humorously criticizes college football's structure​. [6:30-8:50]: College Football Playoffs Expansion Scott criticizes the 12-team playoff format, emphasizing the dilution of quality. R.J. proposes a six-team model with byes for the top two teams to preserve competitiveness​. [10:15-11:15]: Ohio State's Championship Prospects Scott supports Ohio State's potential to win the national championship despite losing to Michigan, attributing it to talent depth​. [18:00-20:00]: Jared Goff for MVP R.J. and Scott analyze Goff's metrics (EPA: 0.29) and argue his case for MVP at 20-to-1 odds, especially if Detroit wins out​. [24:36-27:30]: Kansas City Chiefs Analysis The Chiefs' quest for a three-peat is contextualized with comparisons to NFL dynasties. Despite statistical dominance, the Chiefs lack media hype this year​. [48:47-52:08]: Steelers vs. Chiefs Betting A historical trend (7-2-1 ATS for home teams in condensed schedules) supports betting Pittsburgh over 20.5 points due to Kansas City's defensive injuries​. [54:21-56:00]: Houston vs. Baltimore Matchup The Ravens are favored (-5.5) due to Houston's weakened offense and Tank Dell's absence. R.J. notes C.J. Stroud's struggles under pressure​. [1:06:16-1:08:15]: Seahawks vs. Bears The Seahawks are predicted to cover (-3.5) against a "dead team walking" Bears squad missing key offensive linemen​. [1:12:35-1:13:08]: Closing Remarks The hosts recap their bets, wish listeners happy holidays, and tease upcoming episodes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 21, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down CBB weekend betting. The guys are ready for some action on the hardwood and give out best bets. 🏀 Summary: CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets – December 21, 2024 In this episode of the Need for Speed College Basketball Podcast, hosts Griffin Warner and Big East Ben preview key games and share betting insights for the December 21 slate. They analyze teams’ strengths, weaknesses, and recent performances, providing statistics and commentary to support their picks. 🕒 Game Analysis and Predictions UCLA vs. North Carolina (3:03 - 6:24) UCLA ranks #4 in defense and #1 in forcing turnovers, with standout players Sebastian Mack and Kobe Johnson. UNC struggles offensively, ranking 253rd in shooting but manages turnovers well. Both hosts agree on the under (150.5 points), while Griffin favors UCLA (-1.5) for their defensive edge. Memphis vs. Mississippi State (6:25 - 12:21) Memphis excels in three-point shooting (3rd nationally) but struggles with rebounding (274th). Mississippi State is strong in ball handling (2nd in turnover avoidance) and offensive rebounding (34th). Ben takes the over (152 points), and Griffin backs Memphis (-1) due to their talent under Penny Hardaway. Ohio State vs. Kentucky (12:22 - 15:03) Ohio State, missing key players Aaron Bradshaw and Michi Johnson, lacks depth (280th in bench minutes). Kentucky’s talent advantage is clear. Ben predicts Kentucky (-8.5) to dominate, while Griffin anticipates a lower-scoring game under 160.5 points. Purdue vs. Auburn (21:44 - 26:45) Auburn’s chances hinge on Jani Broome’s health. Purdue is steady but struggles with turnovers. Ben favors Auburn if Broome plays, while Griffin opts for Purdue (+9), citing doubts about Broome’s fitness. Villanova vs. Creighton (26:46 - 29:26) Creighton, inconsistent but formidable at home, faces a shaky Villanova under Kyle Neptune. Both hosts pick Creighton (-5) due to their strong home-court advantage and Villanova’s poor road record. 📊 Key Insights and Trends Defensive Dominance: UCLA leads in defense, while Mississippi State excels in turnover avoidance. Rebounding Gaps: Memphis struggles on the boards, a key factor against Mississippi State. Depth Issues: Ohio State’s bench ranks 280th, affecting their ability to compete against Kentucky. Neutral Court Factors: Games at Madison Square Garden are expected to favor unders due to challenging shooting conditions. 🎯 Best Bets Ben: Kentucky (-8.5) vs. Ohio State – Ohio State’s lack of depth and Kentucky’s superior lineup are decisive. Griffin: Florida State (+1) vs. Louisville – Florida State’s depth and play style give them an edge. 🗂️ Notable Mentions Sebastian Mack (UCLA): Instrumental in UCLA’s elite defense. Josh Hubbard (Mississippi State): Dynamic scorer leading his team’s offense. Jani Broome (Auburn): A game-time decision critical to Auburn’s success. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 20, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk bowl games for the next round of bowl matchups. Quote Analysis with Context and Timestamps [Speaker 3] (0:05 - 0:22): "Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm. Swarm and tackle. Attack." This motivational quote emphasizes the fundamentals of football: aggression, discipline, and teamwork. It sets the tone for the discussion by highlighting the importance of fundamentals in winning bowl games. [Big East Ben] (4:31 - 6:01): "Ohio, one of the best teams this year against the spread at 9-4 and they are red hot, finished the season on a six-game winning streak." This statement underscores Ohio's betting reliability and recent strong form. The speaker contrasts Ohio's strengths with Jacksonville State’s, noting Ohio's stellar defense against the run and concluding that Ohio should cover the spread. [Big East Ben] (8:02 - 8:50): "I'm going with a team whose date this game is in. I don't care about the number. Chomp. Chomp." Referring to Florida vs. Tulane, Ben confidently predicts Florida's dominance, citing the team's momentum and a standout quarterback, D.J. Lagway. [Griffin Warner] (12:54 - 14:02): "The Chanticleers, 10-point underdogs in their own stadium, to a team where I’m not even certain of their nickname." Warner criticizes the odds favoring UTSA over Coastal Carolina in their home stadium, humorously forgetting UTSA’s nickname (Roadrunners). He supports Coastal Carolina as a home underdog. [Big East Ben] (18:23 - 18:52): "South Florida to Hawaii has to be the longest trip in Division 1. They're not going to be ready." This analysis focuses on the logistics and potential jet lag for South Florida, giving San Jose State an edge in the Hawaii Bowl. Player and Team Statistics with Analysis Ohio Bobcats (vs. Jacksonville State): 9-4 against the spread; six-game winning streak. Strong rush defense, ranked 11th nationally. Ohio’s reliance on running and defensive strength makes them formidable. Their matchup against Jacksonville State, who also relies on the run, favors Ohio due to their superior defense. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 4th in rushing yards per attempt (5.7). Struggles against strong rush defenses. Despite their offensive prowess, Jacksonville State may struggle against Ohio’s defensive consistency. Florida Gators (vs. Tulane): Finished strong with two wins as underdogs against LSU and Mississippi. Quarterback D.J. Lagway touted as a rising star. The Gators’ late-season performance and talent in critical positions make them favorites. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (vs. UTSA): 10-point home underdogs. Solid passing game but inconsistent against stronger teams. Coastal’s home advantage and resilience position them well against UTSA despite odds. San Jose State Spartans (vs. South Florida): Won 7 games in a competitive Mountain West. Minimal travel burden compared to South Florida’s extensive trip. The logistical advantage and consistent performance make San Jose State a strong pick. Structure and Flow of the Podcast The podcast weaves through personal anecdotes, humor, and detailed analyses. Griffin and Ben ensure each game preview is informative yet engaging, blending statistical insights with lighthearted commentary. Key Matches Breakdown Ohio vs. Jacksonville State (Cure Bowl): Prediction: Ohio to cover the spread. Key Stat: Ohio's rush defense ranks 11th. Florida vs. Tulane (Gasparilla Bowl): Prediction: Florida to win confidently. Key Insights: Florida’s talent edge and strong finish. Coastal Carolina vs. UTSA (Myrtle Beach Bowl): Prediction: Coastal to cover as home underdogs. Key Argument: Home field and underestimated resilience. Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State (Potato Bowl): Prediction: Under 40.5 points. Key Analysis: Poor offensive metrics on both sides. South Florida vs. San Jose State (Hawaii Bowl): Prediction: San Jose State to win, leveraging travel advantages. Key Factor: Jet lag and travel logistics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 20, 2024

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ break down this weeks player props for NFL Week 16. The guys also preview MNF and give out a best bet. Summary of Transcript: NFL Week 16 Player Props + MNF Preview 🎙 Introduction : Host Munaf Manji introduces the NFL Week 16 player prop show, noting another successful player prop week featuring Aaron Jones, and welcomes guest SleepyJ . 🏈 Player Props Analysis : Quarterback Props : Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons): Over 227.5 passing yards . Atlanta may emphasize passing against the Giants due to a porous secondary and a potential pivot from Bijan Robinson to preserve him for playoffs (0:00–3:38). Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): Over 236.5 passing yards . His revived career and a favorable matchup against a Dallas secondary allow for optimism. The Cowboys have allowed an average of 253 passing yards per game at home this season (5:19–6:56). Running Back Props : Bijan Robinson : Over 21.5 receiving yards . As the Falcons' offensive centerpiece, Robinson could see dump-offs and screens, especially given his high average of 36.9 receiving yards at home (3:38–5:01). Tyler Allgeier : Over 35.5 rushing yards . Expected to balance the Falcons' ground game alongside Robinson. Wide Receiver Props : Adam Thielen (Carolina Panthers): Over 52.5 receiving yards . With injuries to Xavier Leggett and David Moore, Thielen’s role as the primary target becomes critical (8:09–10:08). Jerry Jeudy (Cleveland Browns): Over 60.5 receiving yards . Jeudy has been pivotal, highlighted by 108 yards on 14 targets against the Chiefs last week (10:08–13:04). Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville Jaguars): Over 71.5 receiving yards . The rookie leads targets for three consecutive weeks and is on track for a 1,000-yard season (13:04–15:55). Tight End Props : Kyle Pitts (Falcons): Over 26.5 receiving yards . Pitts may serve as a security blanket for Michael Penix Jr., benefiting from short, safe throws (15:55–17:03). Travis Kelce (Kansas City Chiefs): Over 4.5 receptions . Historically strong against Houston and crucial as Patrick Mahomes’ outlet, especially considering recent tight end success versus the Texans (17:03–20:15). Bonus Prop : Drew Lock (Giants) : Over 18.5 rushing yards . With two starts yielding 50+ rushing yards each, Lock is a running threat when pressured (21:12–22:26). 🏟 Monday Night Football Preview : New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers : The Packers (-14) should dominate against a demotivated Saints team likely without Alvin Kamara. The Packers’ recent form and Lambeau Field conditions favor a blowout (25:49–28:39). 🌟 Player Prop Best Bet : Mike Evans (Buccaneers): Over 71.5 receiving yards . Evans, motivated to extend his 1,000-yard streak and earn contract bonuses, benefits from Baker Mayfield’s determination and a weak Dallas secondary. With 159 yards last week, this is a strong value pick (28:45–32:25). Conclusion: NFL Week 16 offers a mix of potential value bets centered around quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers. From Baker Mayfield’s rejuvenation to Mike Evans’ milestone chase, player props highlight strategic opportunities. The Packers are clear favorites on MNF, while Kyle Pitts and Travis Kelce present under-the-radar tight end picks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 19, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers give out the best picks for NFL Week 16. Dave Essler also chimes in with his best bet. Key Game Discussions with Statistics and Insights Baltimore Ravens (-6) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Steve Fezzik's Take : Ravens were picked as the favorite (-6). Steve emphasized his power ratings justified a line closer to -7, citing marketplace hesitation over perceived close games between these teams. TJ Watt's health was factored into doubts about Pittsburgh's defense. Scott Seidenberg's Counter (Steelers +6) : He noted Steelers as an underdog against Lamar Jackson have historically performed well, limiting him to five passing TDs and zero rushing TDs in five games. Detailed stats: Jackson struggled with single-high coverage by Steelers, having one of his worst completion rates against them this season. Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) vs. Houston Texans Mackenzie Rivers : Supported betting on the Chiefs at -3 due to perceived value and Mahomes practicing fully midweek. Metrics highlighted Kansas City's defense as 5th best using non-turnover EPA. Steve Fezzik's Doubt : Criticized the line movement and suggested market overreaction after Mahomes' health updates. San Francisco 49ers vs. Miami Dolphins RJ Bell : Strongly supported the 49ers, rating them as the second-best team in net yards per play, even after Dream Crusher scenarios (teams losing playoff hopes). Analytics placed 49ers as +0.875 in net yards per play, showing dominance over Miami’s +0.42. Steve Fezzik's Concern : Questioned 49ers' consistency, noting a drop in recent weeks. Historical Trends : Shanahan's teams against his former colleagues were 15-11-1 ATS. Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders Steve Fezzik : Labeled the matchup a "free roll," as Raiders lack motivation to win for draft positioning. Historical trends for "bad vs. bad" matchups: Road favorites historically do well (3-0 ATS in the database). Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) vs. Washington Commanders Scott Seidenberg & Mackenzie Rivers : Advocated for Eagles, citing dominance in EPA metrics and historical success at Washington. Commanders struggled late in games (3-11 ATS in fourth quarters). Eagles' Saquon Barkley's second-half performances were highlighted as pivotal. Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) vs. Cleveland Browns Steve Fezzik : Criticized Browns’ starting QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson (DTR), stating the team scored only 28 points across three games under his lead. Predicted Bengals’ offense, led by Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase, would comfortably clear the line. General Trends and Statistical Highlights Road Favorites : Achieved historic success this season, ranking as the second most profitable year ever (48-35-3 ATS). Saturday Games : Favorites went 30-29-3 ATS since 2012 but dominated straight-up, winning 74% of games. Buffalo Bills : On the verge of NFL history with eight consecutive 30-point games; aiming to extend to nine, which has never been achieved in the Super Bowl era. Miscellaneous and Fun Stats Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) : Excelled in first drives, scoring on 7 opening possessions, despite starting field position on average at the 24-yard line. Green Bay Packers : LaFleur-led teams have excelled in December, with a 19-3 record straight-up, making Packers’ first-half bet (-7.5) appealing. Dream Crushers : Analysis suggested Dream Crusher scenarios (teams out of playoff contention) may not heavily impact performance. Conclusion This podcast delivered expert analyses on NFL Week 16 matchups, emphasizing statistical rigor and historical trends. Speakers shared contrasting perspectives, often with deep dives into EPA metrics, team dynamics, and betting strategies. Notable takeaway : Analytical tools and historical trends heavily influenced predictions, showcasing the integration of data and experience in handicapping. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 18, 2024

-2 matchups for Mauritius -1 t20 for Mauritius -1 outright for Mauritius -1 outright for PNC Championship Mauritius Open Analysis Tournament Context Key Matchups and Predictions: Ding Wenyi vs. Gavin Green (3:00 - 8:00): Ding, a rookie out of China, is favored over Green (-140). Ding’s recent form: 3 top-25 finishes in 6 starts since turning pro, including a tied 5th at the Australian Open. Green has struggled, finishing 47th at the Dunhill and missing cuts previously at this event. Will predicts Ding will dominate, with Green likely missing the cut. John Perry vs. Gavin Green (8:00 - 10:00): Perry (-145) has had a resurgence, winning twice on the Challenge Tour in 2024 and finishing tied 2nd at the Alfred Dunhill last week. Perry’s consistency contrasts Green’s struggles, making him a strong pick. Andrea Pavan (Top 20) (10:00 - 12:00): Odds: +190 on Bet365. Pavan has two top-20 finishes in previous Mauritius Open events and showed promise last week with a 24th-place finish at Leopard Creek. Outright Winner: Angel Iora (12:00 - 15:30): Odds: 18-to-1 on BetOnline. Iora, a young and promising player, narrowly missed victory last week due to a late mistake. Will believes Iora’s consistent top finishes make him a solid contender for his first DP World Tour title. PNC Championship Analysis Tournament Context (15:30 - 16:00): The PNC Championship features iconic parent-child duos at the Ritz-Carlton Golf Club in Orlando. Despite fan-favorites like Tiger and Charlie Woods (+650) and the Dalys (+400), Will advises against picking them due to health and performance concerns for the senior members. Key Teams and Predictions: Steve and Izzy Stricker (20-to-1) (16:00 - 16:30): Steve had a strong Champions Tour season, but Izzy’s inconsistent college performance raises doubts about their chances. Trevor and Jacob Immelman (40-to-1) (16:30 - 17:00): Trevor’s lack of competitive play since retiring makes this team unlikely contenders, despite Jacob’s talent. Nelly and Peter Korda (28-to-1) (17:00 - 17:30): Nelly is coming off a stellar LPGA season, but Peter’s golf skills may not be enough to secure a win. Outright Winner: Matt and Cameron Kuchar (+650) (17:30 - 19:37): Cameron’s strong junior results and Matt’s active PGA Tour schedule make them the most competitive team. Their performance last year (opening round 57) and Matt’s recent top finishes make them the clear favorites. Quotes and Timestamp Analysis “You have a brutal field in Africa this week...” (2:20): Highlights the weak field quality, which sets the stage for up-and-coming players like Ding and Iora. “Ding Wenyi is very comparable to Ludwig Oberg...” (4:00): Establishes Ding as a rising talent with similarities to an established star, underscoring his potential dominance. “Iora might already be a winner...” (13:30): Reflects Iora’s close-call finishes, positioning him as a likely breakout star. “I was shocked that Tiger decided to play this week...” (17:40): Will critiques Tiger’s physical condition as a major obstacle for Team Woods. “This is a no-brainer for me...Team Kuchar...” (18:30): Emphasizes the strength of the Kuchars as clear tournament favorites. Player and Team Insights Ding Wenyi: 3 top-25 finishes since turning pro, highlighted by strong iron play and consistency. Gavin Green: Struggling with approach shots, making him a weak contender in matchups. John Perry: Recent success on the Challenge Tour positions him as a strong player this week. Angel Iora: Stellar form with multiple top finishes; a prime candidate for his first win. Matt and Cameron Kuchar: Blend of professional experience and junior talent makes them formidable. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 17, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 15 recap. The guys also talk some poker and much more. Week 15 Overview: Boring Slate and Key Metrics Scott Seidenberg laments the dullness of the early afternoon games, with few close contests, except the Jets-Jaguars matchup (1:55-2:45). Mackenzie Rivers adds data: Winning teams averaged a 93.5% fourth-quarter win share , the highest in three years and third-highest in six years (3:14-3:44). Notable Metrics: Closest game: Jets vs. Jaguars. 49ers-Rams wasn’t close. The NFL’s Poor Fundamentals Steve Fezzik criticizes multiple teams for poor endgame decisions (4:03-4:55): Example 1: Arizona failed to make a clear distinction between a 20- and 21-point lead. Example 2: Atlanta gave the Raiders unnecessary time after an incompletion. Quote Analysis (5:32-6:44): Fezzik observes an “epidemic” of dropped passes. Puka Nacua , however, secures every catch because he “stares at the ball into his hands.” Mackenzie Rivers attributes drops to receivers focusing on YAC (yards after catch), unlike older eras of “fundamentals.” Game Analysis and Faulty Results Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos Steve Fezzik identifies this as a "faulty final" (7:25-7:37). Turning Point: Jonathan Taylor fumbled with the Colts poised to lead 20-7, but Denver capitalized, outscoring Indianapolis 24-0 to win 31-13 (9:14-9:29). Key Criticism: Denver’s poor sportsmanship and focus as a player unnecessarily celebrated a touchdown, risking a penalty (10:15-10:39). Final Takeaway: Fezzik asserts both teams are fundamentally flawed and not playoff-worthy (10:54-11:04). Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions Scott Seidenberg argues the 48-42 final score is misleading, as Buffalo dominated (11:18-11:58). Game Context: Detroit scored two late touchdowns; Buffalo maintained a 97% fourth-quarter win share . Dan Campbell's controversial onside kick strategy reflects his lack of trust in Detroit's defense (12:20-12:28). Team Insight : Fezzik believes Detroit is the third-best team in the NFC North. Injuries, including David Montgomery , diminish their playoff hopes (13:43-14:00). Mackenzie predicts Minnesota wins the division (12:36-13:26). Green Bay Packers Resurgence Mackenzie Rivers praises Jordan Love’s improvement (14:30-14:51). Jordan Love : Currently ranked 11th in PFF's QBR composite. Scott Seidenberg adds context: Green Bay’s losses (Eagles, Vikings, Lions) are “respectable” (14:51-15:14). Packers’ Super Bowl Odds: +1200 ; Mackenzie identifies eight realistic contenders, including the Packers and Ravens (15:37-15:52). Best/Worst Performances Best Performance (Bad Team) : Dallas Cowboys (16:04-16:34). Worst Performance : Carolina Panthers , who “reverted back” to their poor form. Bryce Young’s turnovers and overall disarray highlighted why Carolina has been underdogs in 33 straight games (16:49-17:27). Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chargers Tampa Bay Bucs dominated the Chargers 40-17 . Steve Fezzik highlights Baker Mayfield's road success: 13-4 ATS and 17-0 in six-point teasers (32:05-32:25). Chargers’ Playoff Path: Seidenberg explores playoff machine scenarios but suggests losses in critical games will cost them (19:00-19:31). Baltimore Ravens: Playoff Path and Stats Lamar Jackson (26:06-26:37): 21/25 passing , 290 yards, 5 TDs against the Giants. Fezzik highlights Baltimore’s yards-per-play differential of 1.5 , making them “three times better” than Buffalo in this metric (26:06-26:29). Playoff Path: Ravens must beat the Steelers and hope for a Steelers loss against Kansas City or Cincinnati (30:04-30:18). Key Matchups and Line Discussions for Week 16 Buffalo Bills : 13.5-point favorites over New England (36:17-36:57). Eagles vs. Commanders : Line: Eagles -3 ; Fezzik believes it should be -4.5 based on power ratings (39:01-39:52). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 17, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk all things NFL and much more on this weeks episode of the Fezzik's Focus Podcast. Key Quotes with Analysis "Atlanta's running out the clock, and they throw the ball on third and sixth when literally they could have run another 40 seconds off." Timestamp (0:32 - 0:49) | Steve Fezzik criticizes Atlanta’s decision-making. Analysis : Atlanta's strategic misstep in Week 15 could have cost them the game. By opting to pass instead of running down the clock, they failed to maximize their lead. Fezzik points out these decisions as examples of poor game management that influence results, especially in critical betting scenarios. "I got the Colts under eight and a half wins. They're six and eight with three easy games on their schedule." Timestamp (1:22 - 2:30) | Steve Fezzik highlights his futures bets on team win totals. Insight : Fezzik tracks multiple ongoing bets, including critical projections for the Colts (under 8.5 wins), Ravens (under 11 wins), and Falcons. He notes that Week 17’s Colts matchup will be pivotal. Such futures bets hinge on late-season results, especially as teams face “easy” opponents. "Kansas City somehow wins by 14, despite playing equally... Six-and-a-half to seven-point downgrade if Mahomes can’t go." Timestamp (5:17 - 5:34) | Discussion on Patrick Mahomes' injury and impact. Analysis : Fezzik emphasizes Mahomes’ health as the most significant factor for the Chiefs. The absence of Mahomes would result in a significant downgrade, reflected in early spreads favoring the Texans (-2.5). This showcases how injury speculation immediately shifts betting lines. "Detroit absolutely dominated that game. Big uptick for Buffalo, huge downtick for Detroit because of the defensive injuries." Timestamp (5:57 - 7:03) | Buffalo’s dominance vs. Detroit’s injury struggles. Insight : Despite a narrow scoreline, Fezzik highlights Buffalo’s control of the game and Detroit’s growing injury concerns. Detroit losing RB David Montgomery (meniscus injury) and multiple defensive players raises questions about their long-term competitiveness. "Tampa Bay is surging. They're up to my number seven team. San Fran is refalling... They're now my number 16 team." Timestamp (10:08 - 10:21) | Mid-tier team power ratings shift. Insight : Tampa Bay has climbed in Fezzik’s power ratings, while San Francisco has plummeted due to key issues. The contrast underscores how injuries, poor execution, and form fluctuations impact a team's perception, even late in the season. "The efficiency of the marketplace has gotten more and more difficult... Atlanta game closes as a 6.5-point favorite and wins by exactly six." Timestamp (14:06 - 16:35) | Fezzik explains modern betting efficiency. Insight : Fezzik highlights how the NFL betting market has become increasingly efficient, particularly in line movement. The Atlanta game serves as a prime example where early bets (Falcons -4) were profitable, but late value was minimal. Team and Player Analysis Key Players Desmond Ritter (Atlanta Falcons) : Critical to Atlanta’s struggles, Fezzik criticized Ritter’s conservative play, burning time without effective gains. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) : Mahomes’ injury speculation influenced spreads, downgrading the Chiefs’ power rating by 6.5–7 points. David Montgomery (Detroit Lions) : Out with a knee injury, Montgomery’s absence adds significant pressure on Detroit’s offense. Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts) : Munaf jokes about Taylor's critical blunder, emphasizing coaching responsibility in key moments. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 14, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball betting for this weekend. The guys are on a hot streak and give out best bets. Summary: CBB Weekend Preview + Best Bets !! Overview This podcast episode features Griffin Warner and Big East Ben discussing key college basketball matchups for the weekend. The hosts share insights, predictions, and personal anecdotes, highlighting individual players, team dynamics, and betting angles. The conversation covers games involving Marquette, Dayton, Gonzaga, UConn, Tennessee, Illinois, Syracuse, and Georgetown, along with nostalgic rivalries and best bets. Detailed Analysis and Quotes Marquette vs. Wisconsin (0:53 - 5:13) Key Insights : Marquette had a rocky start but came back strong in the second half. Cam Jones led with 30 points, Stevie Mitchell contributed significantly, and Ben Gold made a standout block. Quote (Big East Ben) : "Marquette totally turned it around... By the time I got back to my seat, they were up six." Player Stats : Cam Jones - 30 points, Stevie Mitchell - impactful on both ends. Dayton vs. Marquette (5:15 - 8:55) Analysis : Dayton, with an impressive season, poses challenges for Marquette. They are ranked ninth in turnover percentage but struggle defensively in the interior, a strength for Marquette. Quote (Big East Ben) : "Dayton doesn't turn the ball over... Marquette thrives on turning the ball over." Prediction : Marquette, 15th in two-point percentage (59.5%), is favored for their battle-tested edge. Gonzaga vs. UConn (9:49 - 14:03) Venue : Madison Square Garden. UConn enters as a 2.5-point underdog. Key Stats : UConn excels in interior scoring (ranked second nationally). Gonzaga struggles with interior defense (185th). Quote (Big East Ben) : "UConn is elite at finishing inside... Gonzaga has no idea what they're doing in quad one games." Outcome : Both hosts predict a UConn win. Tennessee vs. Illinois (14:06 - 17:30) Defense Focus : Illinois: 4th in effective field goal percentage defense. Tennessee: 8th. Quote (Big East Ben) : "This is going to be a grinded-out game." Betting Insight : Ben recommends the under on 147 points; Griffin leans toward Illinois, citing home-court advantage. Syracuse vs. Georgetown (25:01 - 26:45) Context : Syracuse, favored by 1.5 points, looks to capitalize on Georgetown’s poor road performance. Quote (Big East Ben) : "Both teams are awful at shooting from three... Syracuse is better at finishing in the paint." Insight : Syracuse's stronger interior game and better rim protection favor them in this matchup. Purdue vs. Texas A&M (26:46 - 28:53) Game Details : Purdue favored by 3 points in Indianapolis. Analysis : Purdue's size and rebounding edge are expected to counter A&M’s aggressive play. Quote (Griffin Warner) : "Purdue has the size that can really keep Texas A&M off the glass." Key Statistics and Takeaways Marquette : 15th in two-point percentage (59.5%), showcasing their offensive efficiency. Dayton : Ranked 9th in turnover percentage, a major strength against pressure teams like Marquette. UConn : Second in interior scoring, highlighting their dominance inside. Tennessee & Illinois : Both are top-tier defensive teams, creating a low-scoring expectation. Syracuse : Better rim protection and interior finishing give them an edge over Georgetown. Conclusion The podcast showcases an engaging mix of humor, deep basketball analysis, and betting strategy. Marquette’s resilience, Dayton’s disciplined play, UConn’s dominance inside, and Tennessee’s grittiness dominate the discussions. Griffin and Ben provide a unique blend of personal anecdotes and actionable insights, enhancing the listener's understanding of college basketball’s intricate dynamics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 14, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben discuss the first 4 bowls on the bowl schedule. Detailed Quote Analysis [Griffin Warner] (0:31 - 1:37) Griffin introduces the podcast, acknowledging challenges like player sit-outs and late announcements, and frames the focus on bowl confidence pools and spreads. He reflects on last week's results and references prior analysis of the Army-Navy game. [Big East Ben] (2:00 - 2:07) Ben critiques Texas for struggling against a backup quarterback during the conference championships. [Big East Ben] (3:18 - 4:12) Ben concedes Kenny Dillingham's coaching success after Arizona State's dominant win over Iowa State. He praises Bo Skadabo as a standout player, highlighting his tackle-breaking prowess. [Griffin Warner & Big East Ben] (5:26 - 7:55) A lighthearted exchange about Sam McGuffey’s football career underscores the unpredictability of player trajectories, blending humor with analysis. Player and Team Statistics with Insights South Alabama vs. Western Michigan (IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl) Stats : South Alabama (6-6) vs. Western Michigan (6-6). Western Michigan ranks 103rd in defensive metrics, while South Alabama fares slightly better at 101st. Analysis : Despite South Alabama being 9-point favorites, both teams exhibit weak defenses and strong rushing games. Over 57.5 points is favored by Ben, while Warner leans on Western Michigan to cover the spread. Memphis vs. West Virginia (Scooters Coffee Frisco Bowl) Stats : Memphis (10-2) has a 3-year bowl-winning streak. West Virginia (6-6) is undergoing coaching transitions with Rich Rodriguez. Analysis : Memphis' superior record and consistency in bowl games make them the favorite (-5). Both hosts agree Memphis is better equipped for this matchup. James Madison vs. Western Kentucky (Boca Raton Bowl) Stats : JMU boasts the 29th-best defense (25th in yardage) and ranks 11th offensively. Western Kentucky is weaker defensively (71st in points, 94th in yards). Analysis : Ben and Warner favor James Madison (-9.5) due to their balanced strength on both sides of the ball. Cal vs. UNLV (Art of Sport LA Bowl) Stats : Cal's rushing attack ranks 108th, while UNLV’s rush defense ranks 19th nationally. Analysis : The absence of Cal’s quarterback boosts UNLV’s chances (+1.5). Both hosts predict UNLV's strong defense and motivation will secure a win. Georgia Southern vs. Sam Houston (R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl) Stats : Georgia Southern averages 26.9 points per game, while Sam Houston State averages 23.0. Georgia Southern went 8-3 against the spread this season. Analysis : Ben selects Georgia Southern (-6), citing their spread success and better offensive consistency. Key Points 🎯 Motivational Quote : "Outblock, outtackle, outhustle," setting the competitive tone. 🎯 Betting Context : Focus on confidence pools and betting against the spread. 🎯 South Alabama vs. Western Michigan : Weak defenses on both sides, favoring a high-scoring game. 🎯 Memphis’ Momentum : 3-year bowl winning streak and consistent performance against West Virginia's coaching upheaval. 🎯 JMU’s Strength : Defensive and offensive prowess makes them clear favorites over Western Kentucky. 🎯 UNLV’s Defense : Strong rush defense compensates for offensive struggles against a depleted Cal team. 🎯 Georgia Southern’s ATS Success : Their reliable spread performance outweighs Sam Houston's marginal home-field edge. 🎯 Rich Rodriguez Returns : Adds intrigue but uncertainty for West Virginia. 🎯 Player Impact : Notable mentions include Bo Skadabo and Sam McGuffey’s legacy. 🎯 Promotions & Contests : Encouragement to participate in Pregame.com’s contests and use promo codes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 14, 2024

Munaf Manji, Mackenzie Rivers and Geoffrey Clark talk NBA betting for Saturday. The guys give out best bets and talk some NBA trades. "NBA Dream Pod Saturday + Best Bets" Key Takeaways with Detailed Analysis 🏀 Jimmy Butler Trade Speculation : At 3:55-6:57 , Mackenzie highlights Miami Heat's strong recent form and Jimmy Butler's declining offensive role (down to 18.6 PPG). The Heat’s defensive focus contrasts with potential fits for Butler on the Suns, Warriors, or Rockets. He emphasizes the difficulty of trading Butler due to his $48M salary and Heat's organizational strength. 🔄 Zach LaVine's Trade Potential : From 12:52-16:18 , the discussion turns to LaVine's massive contract ($43M annually) as a trade barrier despite his 22.1 PPG on efficient shooting. Potential trade scenarios involve the Lakers or the Magic, with both Mackenzie and Jeff expressing skepticism about his impact on winning teams. 🏆 NBA Cup Semi-Finals Analysis : Munaf introduces two semi-final matchups: Bucks vs. Hawks and Thunder vs. Rockets. Both games are dissected with injury updates and betting insights. Key Quotes with Timestamps and Analysis 1. "All four games did, in fact, also end up going under the total." - Munaf (1:38-3:54) Analysis: This underscores the defensive intensity of the tournament, suggesting betting trends to follow for the semi-finals. 2. "Jimmy Butler is a much smaller aspect of the Heat's success this year." - Mackenzie (3:55-6:57) Analysis: Indicates Butler's potential for a role on other teams, especially contenders lacking defensive grit and clutch scoring. 3. "The Rockets don't have a player to trust in clutch situations." - Munaf (6:57-8:31) Analysis: Highlights Houston's need for a closer and Jimmy Butler's suitability as a potential trade target. 4. "The Hawks are leading in deflections and hustle stats." - Jeff (20:34-23:09) Analysis: Reflects Atlanta's recent improvement in defensive intensity and transition play, key factors in their semi-final matchup. 5. "I think Thunder are five-and-a-half points better than the Rockets." - Mackenzie (32:44-34:30) Analysis: Argues that despite the Rockets' defensive improvements, the Thunder's offensive versatility gives them the edge. Player and Team Insights 📊 Player Stats Jimmy Butler : Down to 18.6 PPG, a steady decline over four seasons. Zach LaVine : 22.1 PPG, 50.6% FG, and 43.2% 3PT, showcasing scoring efficiency. Tyler Herro : Career-high 24.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG, and 5 APG on 48.4% shooting. 📈 Team Statistics Milwaukee Bucks : Improved chemistry with Giannis and Middleton back; defensive struggles remain. Atlanta Hawks : Ranked 8th defensively over the last 30 days, a sharp contrast to prior years. Houston Rockets : #2 in defensive efficiency, benefiting from coach Ime Udoka's influence. Oklahoma City Thunder : Top-ranked defensive team with balanced offensive contributions. Semi-Final Predictions and Betting Tips Game 1: Bucks vs. Hawks Betting Line : Bucks -4, Total: 228.5. Munaf and Jeff : Favor the Hawks +4, citing their defensive metrics and transition play. Game 2: Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Line : Thunder -5.5, Total: 212.5. Best Bets : Rockets team total under 104 (Munaf). Thunder -5.5 (Jeff). Jalen Green under 16.5 points and Isaiah Hartenstein over 11.5 rebounds (Mackenzie). Conclusion The episode provides a deep dive into the NBA Cup semi-finals, balancing tactical insights with actionable betting strategies. The panelists’ consensus includes undervalued Hawks in the East, Thunder's edge in the West, and skepticism around the Rockets' offensive capabilities against elite defense. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 13, 2024

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL player props for Week 15. The guys also preview both MNF games and give out a best bet. Key Player Prop Insights Quarterbacks Mac Jones Prop (2:43-4:10) Prop : Over 1 interception (-135). Rationale : Jones has thrown 5 interceptions in the last three games. Jaguars' turnover differential tied for the league's second-worst. Jets' defense, among the best, could capitalize on Jones’ risky playstyle. Analysis : Coaching and situational play have hindered Jones, leaving him vulnerable to interceptions. Bonus : Jameis Winston over 1 interception (-175), justified by his 9 interceptions over five games. Bryce Young Prop (4:11-6:31) Prop : Over 13.5 rushing yards. Stats : Young has surpassed this threshold in 4 consecutive weeks, with 20+ rushing yards in three games. Context : Facing the Cowboys, who have been vulnerable to QB scrambles, makes this a favorable matchup. Bonus Insight : Longest rush prop for Young is also considered viable. Running Backs Justice Hill (Baltimore Ravens) (7:36-9:31) Prop : Over 12.5 rushing yards. Justification : Ravens are heavy favorites against the Giants. Backup opportunities likely for Hill due to potential blowout. Performance : Hill has surpassed this number on a single carry multiple times this season. David Montgomery (Detroit Lions) (9:31-12:17) Prop : Over 15.5 receiving yards. Stats : Consistent performance with 20+ yards in 6 straight weeks. 100% catch rate (11/11 targets in recent games). Defense Analysis : Bills' defense allows 44.5 receiving yards per game to running backs. Wide Receivers Devon Achane (Miami Dolphins) (14:07-15:53) Prop : Over 33.5 receiving yards. Factors : Dolphins' WR injuries (Waddle, Hill) increase reliance on Achane. Texans' defense weakened by the loss of key tacklers like Jalen Pitre. Trend : Despite struggles in rushing, Achane has been effective as a receiving threat. Khalil Shakir (Buffalo Bills) (15:53-19:12) Prop : Over 53.5 receiving yards. Highlights : Averaging 7+ targets per game in recent weeks. Strong yards-after-catch capabilities; surpassed 100 yards in the last game. Context : High-scoring game against the Lions enhances potential. Miscellaneous Props Mike Williams (Pittsburgh Steelers) (20:23-22:05) Prop : Over 1.5 catches. Supporting Evidence : Increased role with George Pickens injured. Solid target share with 4 targets and 3 catches in the previous week. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) (22:05-28:05) Prop : Under 37.5 rushing yards. Rationale : Pittsburgh Steelers' defense, accustomed to scrambling QBs, is disciplined. Hurts’ struggles when key players like Dallas Goedert are unavailable. Monday Night Football Preview (30:04-35:46) Game 1: Atlanta Falcons vs. Las Vegas Raiders Line : Falcons favored by 4 points. Key Points : Falcons are motivated to stay alive in the NFC South race. Raiders struggle offensively with quarterback uncertainty. Significant point differential (-125) signals Raiders' challenges. Prediction: Falcons dominate with their offensive weapons (Bijan Robinson, London). Player Prop Best Bet (38:04-40:14) Aaron Jones (Minnesota Vikings) : Prop : Over 62.5 rushing yards. Stats : Surpassed this number against the Bears in Week 12 (22 carries, 106 yards). Bears’ defense allows an average of 116 rushing yards per game. Analysis : Jones’ consistent performance and Vikings' likely game script favor a strong rushing game. Promotional Insight Pregame.com Offer : Save 20% with code "SNAP20" on NFL season access (29:01-30:03). Conclusion The transcript offers a comprehensive breakdown of Week 15’s top player props. Munaf and Sleepy deliver actionable insights, balancing historical performance with matchup-specific factors to provide bettors a competitive edge. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 12, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 15 from a betting perspective. The guys give out the strongest picks for this weeks football action. Dave Essler also chimes in with a best bet. Quotes and Analysis with Timestamps 🎙️ Introduction and Promotions (0:00 - 7:25) RJ Bell begins with promotions for a 25% discount on 2025 picks, emphasizing the success of contributors like Steve Fezzik (+30 units), Dave Esler (+60 units), and Greg Shaker (+40 units). Fezzik humorously pitches his picks with an example: "If I got Joey Chestnut under 88 dogs, you get it." Quote Breakdown: RJ frames the discount as the year’s best, leveraging Fezzik's long-term winning record (11 of 13 years). This sets the tone of reliability for their NFL analysis. 🎙️ Kansas City Chiefs Analysis (8:30 - 21:00) The Chiefs have lost seven straight against the spread (ATS), the longest streak under Andy Reid. A key trend shows elite teams with late-season away games and prior non-dominant wins are 9-57 ATS since 1990. Key Stats: Chiefs are now -400 for the AFC #1 seed, boosted by Buffalo's recent loss. Insight: The Chiefs’ perceived "pacing" approach aims at postseason success but provides value for betting against them ATS. 🎙️ Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers (22:00 - 28:00) Fezzik supports Seattle (+3) as his best bet. He criticizes Green Bay’s overestimation despite Seattle’s improved performance under a new coach and solid home-field advantage. Player Highlight: Kenneth Walker's injury does not significantly impact the Seahawks due to Zach Charbonnet's strong contributions. Stat Insight: Consensus power rankings have Seattle at +2 vs. Green Bay's +4, suggesting near parity, contrary to the odds. 🎙️ Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (31:43 - 35:19) Scott Seidenberg backs Pittsburgh (+5.5), highlighting Mike Tomlin's strong record as an underdog (5-0 ATS this season). Defensive Advantage: Steelers allow the fewest QB scramble yards and excel against play-action. Matchup Note: Jalen Hurts leads the league in scrambles but struggles in must-pass situations (e.g., 3rd and long). 🎙️ Carolina Panthers Analysis (53:10 - 56:59) All three analysts favor Carolina (-2.5) due to their rising form and Dallas’ evident decline. Market Trends: Teams with three or fewer wins favored in Week 14+ are 8-2-1 ATS since 2012, emphasizing Carolina's undervaluation. Young's Growth: Bryce Young has improved, steering Carolina on a rare ATS win streak. 🎙️ Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions (59:45 - 1:06:07) Scott picks Buffalo (+2.5), citing Jared Goff's 10 interceptions against zone coverage (NFL-high). Meanwhile, Josh Allen thrives against the blitz, throwing 14 TDs (league-high). Stat Analysis: Teams allowing 40+ points previously and entering as road underdogs cover 25-7 ATS since 2012. 🎙️ Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears (1:16:16 - 1:22:47) Fezzik explains why Minnesota (-6.5) is a strong pick. The teams flipped home/road advantages compared to their prior matchup, favoring Minnesota’s fresh home stretch. Stat Highlight: Bears rank 3rd in unblocked pressures allowed; Vikings rank 2nd in generating unblocked pressures. Key Points 📝 Promotions: Discounts for season picks emphasize the success of contributors like Fezzik. 💡 Chiefs ATS Woes: Their 7-game losing ATS streak offers betting value against them. 🏡 Seattle at Home: Seahawks are undervalued, with improved performance and strong home-field metrics. 🔒 Steelers' Defensive Edge: Their ability to contain scrambling QBs and play-action boosts their ATS odds. 📈 Carolina's Rise: Favorable historical betting trends support the Panthers' improvement. 🧠 Bills Zone Defense: Buffalo's zone scheme exploits Jared Goff's struggles with interceptions. 🚀 Vikings’ Home Momentum: Third straight home game sets Minnesota up for a win against Chicago. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 11, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the latest in the world of golf! -Reviewing Nedbank and Hero -3 2025 The Masters Tournament futures -2 2025 PGA Championship futures -2 2025 U.S. Open futures -2 2025 Open Championship futures -Final Stage PGA TOUR Q-School outright -Alfred Dunhill Championship outright and sleeper For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Key Highlights and Quotes 1. Futures for 2025 Major Championships (0:38 - 7:21) Focus on all four major championships: Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and Open Championship. Quote: "Scottie Scheffler will try to bring home his third green jacket." Masters favorites: Scottie Scheffler (4:1 odds): "A monumental ball striker," aiming for back-to-back wins. Ludwig Aberg (14:1 odds): Strong debut at Augusta in 2024, reflecting Jordan Spieth’s 2014 trajectory. Sungjae Im (50:1 odds): Historic performance at Augusta includes top finishes in 2020 and 2023. PGA at Quail Hollow: Tyrell Hatton (30:1 odds): Consistency in the fall season makes him a top pick. Sungjae Im (50:1 odds): Proven success at this venue with multiple top-10 finishes. U.S. Open at Oakmont: Bryson DeChambeau and Brooks Koepka among top contenders, known for their power and major-winning experience. Open Championship at Royal Portrush: Picks include Justin Thomas and Robert MacIntyre, with MacIntyre’s strong course history highlighted. 2. Event Analysis and Predictions Nedbank Challenge Recap (7:21 - 6:41): Aldrich Potgieter, a promising 20-year-old, faltered in the final holes, losing by one shot to Johannes Veerman. Insights into Potgieter’s errors in course management, including over-reliance on conservative shots after setbacks. Hero World Challenge: Scottie Scheffler's dominant win, attributed to exceptional ball striking. Justin Thomas’ third-place finish showcased resilience, despite challenging chipping conditions. Final Stage of PGA Q-School: Pick: Sam Bennett (66:1 odds): Known for strong finishes in high-pressure events, like his 2023 Masters performance. Alfred Dunhill Championship: Outright Pick: Christian Bezuidenhout (11:1 odds), leveraging course familiarity and recent form. Sleeper Pick: Christian Maas (Top-20 finish at +360), a rising star with a strong record at Leopard Creek. Detailed Analysis Quotes and Context "Aldrich Potgieter... bogeyed two of the last three holes." (4:56) This highlights the psychological and technical demands of high-stakes golf. "Scottie Scheffler is the best ball striker since Tiger Woods." (7:21) Reinforces Scheffler’s elite status, linking historical context to current performance. "Sungjae Im at Quail Hollow... tied for fourth this year." (1:01:29) Consistent success at Quail Hollow makes him a top contender for the PGA Championship. Player and Team Statistics Scottie Scheffler: Nine wins in 2024, six-shot victory at the Hero World Challenge. Ludwig Aberg: Runner-up at 2024 Masters; top-five world ranking. Aldrich Potgieter: Showed potential despite a high-pressure breakdown. Key Points 🎯 Scottie Scheffler: Dominates predictions with his elite ball-striking ability, favored in multiple 2025 majors. 🌟 Ludwig Aberg: Rising star with the potential to emulate early-career greats like Jordan Spieth. ⛳ Masters Analysis: Augusta's unique challenges suit elite strategists like Scheffler, Aberg, and Im. 📊 Course Management: Potgieter's loss highlights the importance of adapting strategy under pressure. 📉 Trends: Players like Tyrell Hatton have improved with LIV Golf’s lighter schedule. 💡 Young Talents: Picks such as Sam Bennett and Christian Maas underline the rise of new-generation golfers. 📈 Betting Insights: Odds breakdown reflects confidence in consistent performers and rising stars alike. 📌 History: Locations like Oakmont and Royal Portrush bring rich legacies to the 2025 season. 📺 Viewer Guide: Detailed broadcast times for Q-School finals keep fans engaged with decisive moments. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 11, 2024

Griffin Warner, Big East Ben and Jeff El Hefe talk CFB for the Army and Navy game. The guys also pick some of the College Football Playoff games as well. In-Depth Analysis Opening Remarks [Speaker 4] (0:05 - 0:30) introduces a motivational pre-game chant emphasizing aggressive play and discipline. The atmosphere is set as a high-stakes rivalry with a call to leave "no doubt tonight." Podcast Introduction [Griffin Warner] (0:30 - 0:58) welcomes co-hosts and former Navy left guard [Jeffrey James Lenard, Jr.], who lauds the Army-Navy game as the pinnacle of college football rivalries (0:59 - 1:04). Committee Critique Hosts discuss the CFP committee's decisions, expressing mixed feelings. [Big East Ben] (1:46 - 2:15) praises SMU's inclusion despite challenges, while [Jeffrey James Lenard, Jr.] (2:53 - 3:39) critiques Army's exclusion, attributing their loss to Notre Dame to extenuating circumstances. Army-Navy Preview Betting Lines : Navy is a 6.5-point underdog; the over/under is 38 points. Analysis : The hosts delve into historical betting trends, highlighting that the under has hit 17 years in a row until 2022 (5:15 - 5:39). [Jeffrey James Lenard, Jr.] emphasizes preparation and rivalry dynamics, asserting records and spreads mean little in such matchups (7:13 - 8:30). Strategic Insights Navy's preparations include simulating Army's schemes with scout teams and using black-striped helmets to mimic Army's gear. This unique tradition underscores the game's significance (10:09 - 11:09). Both teams rely on their familiarity and extensive footage of each other, making strategic surprises rare. Predictions for the Army-Navy Game [Jeffrey James Lenard, Jr.] predicts Navy will not only cover the 6.5-point spread but win outright, citing improved health and preparation (12:39 - 13:37). Other hosts echo similar sentiments, valuing the rivalry game's unpredictability. CFP Predictions Notre Dame vs. Indiana Indiana's resilience against a tough schedule is praised, but Notre Dame's dominance after early setbacks is expected to prevail. [Griffin Warner] opts for the under 50.5 points (16:20 - 17:14). [Jeffrey James Lenard, Jr.] supports Notre Dame at -7, attributing their success to recovery from early adversity (15:47 - 16:19). SMU vs. Penn State Hosts favor Penn State, emphasizing SMU’s challenges transitioning to a stronger conference and the difficulty of playing in Happy Valley (17:15 - 18:20). Clemson vs. Texas [Jeffrey James Lenard, Jr.] predicts Clemson will win outright despite being 11-point underdogs, leveraging Dabo Swinney's experience against inconsistent Texas performances (20:59 - 21:35). Tennessee vs. Ohio State Ohio State’s recent struggles post-Michigan loss are discussed. While [Big East Ben] favors Tennessee for their battle-tested nature, [Jeffrey James Lenard, Jr.] backs Ohio State’s ability to rebound at home (22:18 - 23:44). Key Points 🏈 Motivational Focus : Intense emphasis on preparation, discipline, and rivalry dynamics for Army-Navy. 🛡️ Navy’s Preparation : Detailed focus on scout team strategies and player health recovery. 📊 Betting Insights : Army-Navy over/under trends; underdog dynamics heavily discussed. 🔍 CFP Team Analysis : Notre Dame’s recovery, SMU’s challenges, and Clemson’s coaching advantage spotlighted. 🕵️ Player Highlights : Navy’s quarterback injuries discussed, alongside Army’s standout QB Bryce O’Dailey. 🌟 Rivalry Intensity : Army-Navy game preparation is a year-round effort at Navy. 🎨 Uniform Traditions : Military-inspired uniforms add depth to the rivalry’s cultural aspect. 💬 Dynamic Discussions : Hosts blend statistical analysis with humorous banter and personal anecdotes. 🤔 Coaching Critiques : Questioning James Franklin’s and Ryan Day’s ability to win crucial games. 🎉 Podcast Promotion : Concludes with discounts for bowl season contests and betting promotions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 10, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL recap for Week 14. The guys also discuss some teams for NFL Week 15. Quote Analysis RJ Bell (0:06-0:17) "How does it feel with one of those, I think they call them rocking chair winners on Cincinnati?" Bell's facetious tone critiques the comfortable victory narrative. He questions the ease of Cincinnati's win, emphasizing the dynamic nature of games and betting outcomes. Mackenzie Rivers (0:52-0:56) "The fourth-quarter win share was 69% for the Bengals. So they should have won." This calculation contextualizes the Bengals' performance, showing that their win was expected statistically, even though the margin was contested. Steve Fezzik (1:53-2:16) "Kirk Cousins isn't as bad as we thought. Almost 500 yards of offense; Minnesota torches Atlanta's defense." Fezzik credits Cousins for outperforming expectations and highlights Minnesota’s offensive prowess against Atlanta’s struggling defense. Mackenzie Rivers (4:26-4:39) "PFF had Vikings winning by 13, Kevin Cole had Falcons edging by a point, 27-26." Contrasting predictions reflect the variance in analytical models and how games can diverge from expectations. RJ Bell (28:29-29:05) "The 49ers should have won 5.6 more games since 2018 based on win-share data." Bell underscores San Francisco’s inefficiencies in converting opportunities, attributing losses to conservatism or execution issues. Player Statistics and Analysis Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings): 344 passing yards and a strong game, torching Atlanta’s defense, showcasing his capability in high-pressure scenarios. Sam Darnold (Minnesota Vikings): Critically discussed for underthrown passes. The strategy appears deliberate, exploiting Atlanta’s secondary weaknesses. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles): Leads the NFL with 13 rushing touchdowns, tying with Derrick Henry, underscoring his dual-threat capability. Derrick Henry (Tennessee Titans): With 1,400 rushing yards and ranked second in the league, his sustained performance is impressive despite heavy usage. Zach Charbonnet (Seattle Seahawks): Rushed for 134 yards against Arizona, stepping up in Kenneth Walker's absence. Team Statistics and Insights Minnesota Vikings: Domination over Atlanta with an 8-first-down advantage and a net yards-per-play delta of +4.7, highlighting offensive efficiency. Pittsburgh Steelers: Defense shines, limiting opponents while being underestimated as AFC contenders. Predicted to upset Kansas City in Week 17. San Francisco 49ers: Statistically dominant but faltering in close games; coaching conservatism impacts their win-share negatively. Seattle Seahawks: Improved defense after midseason adjustments, shutting down opponents post-bye week. Rams vs. Bills: A high-scoring game with 12 combined touchdowns and no turnovers. Bills edged out efficiency metrics, but Rams secured a significant win share. Structure and Flow This transcript flows chronologically through NFL Week 14 games and then transitions into predictions and bets for Week 15. Discussions combine analytics, betting narratives, and player/team evaluations, providing a comprehensive view of the NFL landscape. Conclusion The speakers use analytics and personal insights to analyze the outcomes and implications of Week 14 games. They identify potential mismatches, highlight underperforming players, and predict upsets for Week 15. Minnesota and San Francisco stood out statistically, while Pittsburgh's defensive prowess earned respect. The conversation is both a reflection on lessons from Week 14 and a strategic look at Week 15, emphasizing the importance of preparation in football and betting alike. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 10, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik discuss NFL Week 14 review. The guys also talk power ratings and much more. Key Quotes Analysis Steve Fezzik on Plinko Bets (0:35–0:47): Fezzik humorously uses the term "Plinko" to describe unpredictable outcomes, showcasing his wit in analyzing results like Kansas City winning while Dallas and Cincinnati covering the spread. His remarks encapsulate the randomness of betting outcomes. Jamar Chase's Impact (0:48–1:48): Manji emphasizes Jamar Chase's game-winning 40-yard touchdown, noting its significance for bettors who bet on Joe Burrow exceeding 37.5 passing yards. Big Bet on Eagles (4:44–7:34): A bettor's $3 million wager on the Eagles' money line sparks a detailed discussion on sportsbook strategies, including liability management and how high-money bets can shift odds. Phony Finals: Misleading Scores (7:49–12:29): Fezzik critiques games like Minnesota vs. Atlanta and Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh, explaining how turnovers skewed perceptions of dominance, underscoring the importance of stats beyond the scoreboard. Power Rating Adjustments (14:12–15:50): Teams like New Orleans and Las Vegas face downgrades due to quarterback injuries, while Seattle gets an upgrade after outperforming Arizona, highlighting the impact of key players and situational performance. Player Statistics Joe Burrow: Surpassed the 37.5-yard mark with a 40-yard touchdown pass. Kirk Cousins: Rebounded with a 300-yard game despite previous struggles. Kyler Murray: Struggled against Seattle, contributing to Arizona's downgrade. Team Insights Cincinnati Bengals: Benefited from a Cowboys special teams error leading to their win. Fezzik notes the narrow margins of victory in the NFL. Minnesota Vikings: Overperformed against Atlanta due to a +3 turnover differential, a factor Fezzik highlights as misleading. Seattle Seahawks: Gained a point in ratings after outplaying Arizona, showcasing resilience and improved NFC West standings. Cleveland Browns: Despite winning stats, costly turnovers allowed Pittsburgh to cover, reinforcing Fezzik’s point about misleading game outcomes. Vegas Spotlight High-Stakes Betting: Discussion on handling large wagers like the Eagles bet highlights sportsbook strategies to mitigate risk. Rodeo in Vegas: Fezzik humorously reflects on the cultural influx during the annual rodeo, drawing comparisons to his early days in Reno. Conclusion The podcast provides a multifaceted view of NFL Week 14, emphasizing the importance of analyzing beyond scores and discussing the betting dynamics in both sportsbooks and on-field performances. Fezzik’s candid commentary adds humor and depth, making it an insightful listen for bettors and sports enthusiasts. Key Points 🏈 Jamar Chase's Heroics: Highlighted with a 40-yard game-winning touchdown. 💵 $3 Million Eagles Bet: Examined sportsbook management of high-risk bets. 📊 Turnovers and Stats: Fezzik dissects misleading outcomes like Minnesota’s win. 🚑 Quarterback Downgrades: New Orleans and Las Vegas face rating drops due to injuries. 🪜 Seattle Upgrade: Rewarded for strong performance against Arizona. 🕵️ Special Teams Mishaps: Dallas' blunder key to Bengals' victory. 🏙️ Vegas Rodeo: Cultural influx impacts dining and business dynamics. 🎲 Betting Early vs. Late: Fezzik stresses betting early for market advantage. 🎯 NFL Margins: Discussion on narrow margins affecting outcomes and perceptions. 😂 Humor and Stories: Fezzik’s anecdotes, from rodeo tales to betting philosophies, enrich the discussion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 7, 2024

SleepyJ and Mean Gene break down UFC 310 from a betting perspective. AJ Hoffman also chimes in with his best bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 6, 2024

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA betting for Friday. The guys are locked in and ready to cash another best bet. 📋 Structure The podcast transcript focuses on NBA analysis for Friday night's games, team dynamics, player performances, and betting strategies. Hosted by Munaf Manji and featuring McKenzie Rivers, it covers: Lakers’ struggles and team composition. Analysis of key matchups: Lakers vs. Hawks , Bucks vs. Celtics , and Timberwolves vs. Warriors . Player performance insights, particularly LeBron James , Anthony Davis , and Tyrese Halliburton . Betting tips and trends for the games. Promotional codes and reminders about holiday schedules. 🗨️ Key Quote Analysis "LeBron James has become less valuable on the court" (2:31): McKenzie Rivers critiques LeBron’s declining impact despite solid stats (22-7-7), arguing his leadership can't anchor a championship team anymore. "The Lakers on the road: 3-9 ATS" (0:51): Highlights their struggle away from home and underperformance against the spread, impacting their playoff hopes. "Jason Tatum's consistency" (14:14): Acknowledges Tatum’s resilience and reliability, crucial for the Celtics in challenging matchups like against the Bucks. "Bulls defense gives up 127 points on back-to-backs" (29:14): A stat-based critique of Chicago’s inability to hold defensively, favoring players like Tyrese Halliburton. "Warriors back-to-back strategy" (19:11): Commends the Warriors’ approach of resting key players like Curry and Green for strategic games, improving their win probability. 📊 Player Statistics LeBron James : Averaging 22 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists but with a net rating of -21.5, marking his lowest percentile since entering the league. Anthony Davis : Continues to lead Lakers' efforts, though team deficiencies hinder their performance. Tyrese Halliburton : Averaging over 10 assists historically against the Bulls, emphasizing his playmaking strength in favorable matchups. 📈 Team Insights Lakers : Road record of 3-9 ATS reflects their inconsistency and poor adaptability, especially against stronger teams. Celtics : Dominant at home, showcasing their depth and strategic prowess in key games. Timberwolves : Defensive dominance (ranked #1 last 10 games) contrasted with offensive struggles. Warriors : Utilize strategic rest to maximize key players’ performance, a hallmark of their coaching finesse. 🔎 Analysis of Betting and Matchups Lakers vs. Hawks : Lakers struggle on the road; Hawks exploit defensive weaknesses. Prop bets favor Trae Young’s assists. Bucks vs. Celtics : High-scoring potential with Celtics favored by 7.5 due to superior depth. Chris Middleton’s return expected to disrupt Bucks’ rhythm temporarily. Timberwolves vs. Warriors : Warriors favored due to rested stars. Betting focus on defensive metrics and slower game pace. Pacers vs. Bulls : Pacers to cover -3 due to the Bulls' vulnerability in back-to-back games and weak defense. 🔑 Conclusion The transcript underscores the hosts' analytical expertise in NBA betting, leveraging team and player data for strategic predictions. It highlights players' individual contributions, like Halliburton’s assist prowess and Tatum’s leadership, while critiquing teams like the Lakers for underwhelming road performances. Key Points 📉 LeBron’s Decline : Stats like -21.5 net rating highlight his reduced impact. 🏀 Lakers’ Woes : 3-9 ATS on the road emphasizes their instability. 🌟 Tatum’s Durability : Reliable even in back-to-back games. 🏆 Celtics’ Strength : Depth makes them favorites against Bucks. 🔥 Halliburton vs. Bulls : Expected to shine due to Chicago’s weak defense. 📊 Warriors Strategy : Resting key players pays off. ⬇️ Bulls' Back-to-Back Struggles : Vulnerable defense in high-paced games. 🚀 Timberwolves Defense : Ranked #1, but offense lags. 🎯 Betting Focus : Key prop bets like Trae Young’s assists and Pacers -3. 🗓️ Holiday Reminders : Adding a casual touch to close. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 6, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk CBB betting for this weekend. The guys also give out best bets. Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast - Episode Summary This episode of the Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast , hosted by Griffin Warner and Big East Ben , dives into key matchups, team insights, and player performance in college basketball leading into the weekend. Topics range from recapping recent games to predicting outcomes for upcoming matchups. The hosts also share their best bets and provide promotional deals for their listeners. Speaker and Quote Analysis (with timestamps) Opening Recap and Banter (0:14 - 3:20) Griffin Warner summarizes their last episode’s best bets performance: a 2-1 record. A humorous moment arises as he explains this was due to an additional guest contributor, Marquette84 , who maintained a perfect betting record. Big East Ben reflects on Arizona State picks, adding a family anecdote. His father offered casual but pointed insights about coaches like Bobby Hurley , indicating skepticism about Arizona State’s coaching strength. Observations on Recent Games (3:21 - 6:52) The duo notes the SEC’s dominance over the ACC (11-2) in non-conference play, highlighting Clemson’s win as a key bright spot. Isaiah Evans of Duke receives praise from Ben for his shooting abilities, while Villanova’s victory over Cincinnati underscores the resurgence of Big East teams. Northwestern vs. Illinois Preview (9:45 - 14:25) Big East Ben describes Northwestern’s struggles, highlighting their "cursed" nature in close games, such as near losses to Dayton and Iowa. He notes their key player, Nick Martinelli , consistently scores 23-25 points per game. Illinois’ defensive prowess (ranked #1 in effective field goal percentage) is discussed, although some of their numbers appear inflated. Griffin backs Northwestern (+3) due to their strong home record against the spread. Kentucky vs. Gonzaga Analysis (16:55 - 22:36) Ben discusses Gonzaga’s offensive efficiency and Kentucky’s reliance on perimeter shooting rather than inside scoring. He projects Gonzaga as a slight favorite (-3.5), favoring their robust rebounding and three-pronged interior attack. Marquette vs. Wisconsin Matchup (22:38 - 29:14) Marquette’s injuries (notably Chase Ross) are emphasized as challenges, but Ben notes freshmen Royce Parnum and Demarius Owens are stepping up effectively. Despite their resilience, Ben cautiously backs Wisconsin due to their disciplined, turnover-averse play style. Ohio State vs. Rutgers (29:14 - 32:48) Ohio State’s recent loss to Maryland (50-17 at halftime) underscores their struggle without rim protection. Rutgers’ young talent impresses, though their road performance remains untested. Ben leans toward Rutgers if the line is favorable (-5.5), while Griffin supports Ohio State. Texas A&M vs. Texas Tech at Neutral Site (32:48 - 36:29) Texas A&M's top-15 offense, built on rebounding and free throws, contrasts with Texas Tech’s weak early schedule and inconsistent offensive output. Ben favors a low-scoring game (under 140 total points), while Griffin backs Texas Tech as a more polished and competitive team. Player and Team Analysis Players Isaiah Evans (Duke) : Lauded as a sharpshooter, prompting questions about his limited playing time. Nick Martinelli (Northwestern) : Reliable scorer with consistent performances. David Green (URI) : Compared to Tony Allen for his defensive prowess, complemented by offensive contributions. Teams Villanova : Back in form, led by the return of Bryce Hopkins. Illinois : Defensive efficiency anchors their game, though some results raise questions about consistency. Marquette : Injuries test depth, but young players are stepping up. Texas A&M : Effective at grinding out wins but struggles with shooting efficiency. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 6, 2024

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider break down NFL player props for Week 14. The guys also preview MNF and give out a best bet. Key Points from the Transcript Quarterbacks: Brock Purdy of the 49ers was a central discussion point due to a depleted running back roster, with over 20.5 completions being projected. Justin Herbert's under 231 passing yards was suggested due to the Chargers’ reliance on an injured receiver corps. However, counterpoints favored Herbert exceeding 20.5 completions based on historical performances against strong defenses like Kansas City. Running Backs: Tony Pollard (Cowboys) was a favored pick with over 67.5 rushing yards, considering Jacksonville's poor rush defense in recent weeks. Tyrone Tracy of the Giants was highlighted for over 59.5 rushing yards against the Saints’ weak rush defense, marking him as the Giants’ key offensive contributor. Wide Receivers: A.J. Brown (Eagles) was expected to surpass 76.5 receiving yards in a pivotal game against Carolina, given injuries to teammates. Parker Washington (Jaguars) emerged as a breakout candidate for over 29.5 receiving yards, supported by his recent standout performance and increased route participation. Monday Night Football Preview: The matchup between the Bengals and Cowboys focused on offensive prowess. Joe Burrow's performance was spotlighted with a prop for his longest completion to exceed 37.5 yards, citing his explosive plays in recent games. The consensus leaned toward a high-scoring game, with Jamar Chase and CeeDee Lamb expected to shine. Insights and Analyses Quotes and Analysis Brock Purdy Discussion: “Easy completions here for Brock Purdy.” Analysis: Purdy's prop reflects the reliance on short throws due to injuries, indicating San Francisco's strategy to focus on high-percentage plays. Tony Pollard's Potential: “Three of the last five games have seen a running back go over 100 yards against Jacksonville.” Analysis: Pollard's rushing potential against Jacksonville's defense aligns with their struggles against lead backs, reinforcing confidence in the prop. Parker Washington's Role: “103 yards last week with a 78% route participation.” Analysis: Washington's increased involvement underlines his emerging role, especially given the depleted Jacksonville receiver corps. Monday Night Football Expectations: “This could be the CeeDee Lamb and Jamar Chase show.” Analysis: Highlighting two elite receivers emphasizes the game’s potential for high-yardage plays and individual brilliance. Statistics and Their Implications Player Performance Tony Pollard: Over 67.5 rushing yards against a Jaguars team allowing significant rushing performances. A.J. Brown: Expected to exceed 76.5 receiving yards due to key absences in the Eagles’ lineup. Joe Burrow: Longest completion expected over 37.5 yards, backed by recent success in surpassing this benchmark in consecutive games. Team Trends Jacksonville Rush Defense: Allowed 100+ yards to RBs in 3 of the last 5 games, influencing the Pollard and Kamara projections. Cowboys at Home: High-scoring games (34.5 PPG allowed) suggest a shootout for MNF. Conclusion Week 14 highlights include calculated bets on individual player performances based on injuries, team trends, and historical data. The MNF clash between the Bengals and Cowboys offers potential for exciting offensive plays, with Joe Burrow, CeeDee Lamb, and Jamar Chase taking center stage. Each bet considers game dynamics and recent player usage, ensuring informed decision-making. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 5, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting for Week 15. The guys give out the strongest picks and Dave Essler also provides a best bet. Arizona Cardinals' Difficult Schedule (6:03 - 7:01) "They have played Buffalo, Rams, Detroit, Washington, at San Francisco, back when the Niners were better, at Green Bay, Chargers, at Miami with Tua, at Seattle, at Minnesota, and then they had two games against Chicago and the Jets. That is a juggernaut of epic proportions." Analysis: Steve Fezzik highlights the Cardinals' grueling schedule, underscoring their resilience. The implication is that Arizona’s stats are impressive given their high level of competition, suggesting value in betting on them despite recent losses. Revenge Spot Analysis (8:16 - 9:19) "When you are the home team in that second game, like the Cardinals are here, 16-5 ATS by 7 points per game since 2012." Analysis: Scott Seidenberg uses historical data to reinforce the Cardinals' advantage in revenge scenarios, particularly when they’re the home team. This statistic provides strong support for betting on Arizona against Seattle. Dream Crusher Theory on Cincinnati Bengals (1:00:31 - 1:02:54) "This season cannot be redeemed. They went from, 'We can still make the playoffs' to 'We are done.' This is a disappointment no matter what." Analysis: RJ Bell vividly describes the emotional toll of a season-ending loss for the Bengals. This "dream crusher" narrative is key to understanding why a letdown performance might follow, impacting bets on Cincinnati. Panthers as a Feisty Team (1:32:10 - 1:32:19) "We won two games, then lost to the world champions in overtime, and took Tampa Bay to the very end. We’re right there the last two weeks. Hot dang, I can’t wait to play the Eagles." Analysis: Steve Fezzik argues against the narrative of dejection for the Panthers, framing them as motivated underdogs. This counters the team total under bet narrative discussed earlier. Steelers’ Historical Dominance Over Browns (38:03 - 38:49) "Mike Tomlin…17-1 straight up at home against the Browns. When favored by more than six, Tomlin has never lost." Analysis: Scott Seidenberg cites Tomlin’s record to emphasize Pittsburgh’s dominance over Cleveland. This builds a strong case for trusting the Steelers in this spot. Kansas City Chiefs' ATS Struggles (31:01 - 31:08) "The Chiefs are on a six-game ATS losing streak, the longest of Patrick Mahomes’ career." Analysis: This quote encapsulates Kansas City’s struggles to meet inflated expectations. The trend signals caution when betting on the Chiefs to cover spreads. Eagles’ Defense Post-Bye (1:31:26 - 1:33:26) "One of the best defenses in the entire NFL, EPA-wise, success rate-wise. I think this is a dejected Panthers team." Analysis: Scott Seidenberg frames Philadelphia’s defense as elite while portraying the Panthers as emotionally drained. This provides context for betting on the Eagles or against the Panthers' scoring ability. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 5, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football betting for Week 15. The guys are getting ready for bowl season and give out best bets. Quote Analysis: "Offense, play fast. Defense, swarm. Swarm and tackle." (0:05 - 0:18) The opening emphasizes aggressive gameplay strategy—highlighting fundamentals like swarming and blocking to dominate opponents. "Let them know. Leave no doubt tonight." (0:19 - 0:30) This rallying call urges teams to solidify victories with unquestionable performance, emphasizing decisiveness in critical games. "Why is Texas A&M running shotgun on the six-inch yard line?" (3:23 - 3:26) Warner critiques Texas A&M’s strategic choice during a crucial game moment, suggesting a lack of effective planning. "SMU is good... Their defense is limiting opponents to 2.6 yards per carry, sixth best in the country." (18:18 - 19:12) Ben praises SMU’s stellar defensive performance, spotlighting their capability to neutralize offenses and make key stops. Player Statistics and Insights: Haj Malik Williams (UNLV): Praised for his dual-threat quarterbacking abilities, pivotal in their tight contest against Boise State. Travis Hunter: Achieved 128 rushing yards in a featured game, standing out as an impactful performer. Team Statistics and Contextual Analysis: Texas A&M: Criticized for poor offensive execution near the goal line, indicative of larger strategic flaws. SMU Defense: Ranked sixth nationally in rushing yards allowed per carry, showcasing a balanced and formidable unit. Iowa State: Commended for defeating Arizona State in a prior matchup but facing challenges under Coach Matt Campbell in recent pivotal games. Speaker Notes and Timestamps: Griffin Warner (0:30 - 1:23, multiple entries) Hosts with humor, analyzing matchups and critiquing gameplay while introducing promotions like the $15 discount code. Big East Ben (1:24 onwards) Offers passionate opinions, often delivering pointed remarks about teams, players, and coaching decisions. Structure and Flow: The transcript blends technical football analysis with anecdotal commentary, creating a dynamic mix of insights and entertainment. Takeaways: Focus on key matchups (e.g., Boise State vs. UNLV) and player/team strengths (SMU defense). Entertaining conversational style mixes data with casual banter. Highlighted controversial strategies (e.g., shotgun on the goal line) and effective defenses. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 4, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Hero World Challenge, plus a longshot outright winner for the Nedbank Golf Challenge. -Discussing top 6 on odds board at Hero -2 matchups -2 outrights -Sleeper, RL, scoring, best bet -Nedbank Outright (110/1) For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Hero World Challenge Picks and Nedbank Golf Challenge Outright Summary This transcript focuses on detailed analysis and predictions for two major golf events: the Hero World Challenge and the Nedbank Golf Challenge. Hosted by Will Doctor, the podcast covers the state of professional golf, insights on specific players, and picks for both tournaments. The commentary spans from the challenges faced by Tiger Woods to specific player matchups and odds for the events. 🏌️‍♂️ Hero World Challenge Insights Key Announcements (0:38–0:51) The Hero World Challenge, hosted by Tiger Woods in the Bahamas, will extend its sponsorship through 2030. Tiger discussed his health struggles, including six surgeries in five years, which cast doubt on his return to competitive golf. Professional Golf Updates (0:52–37:47) Tiger Woods also touched upon delays in the agreement between the PGA Tour and Saudi backers. Despite speculations about potential alliances, such as the DP World Tour and LIV Golf, progress remains sluggish. Player Highlight: Tony Finau Tony Finau's withdrawal from the Hero World Challenge fueled rumors about a potential move to LIV Golf. While speculation exists, no credible sources confirm this. Odds Favorites (Scotty Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas) Scotty Scheffler (+255) : A standout performer at Albany Golf Club, Scheffler remains the top pick with consistent success at this course. Justin Thomas (+1100) : Fresh from a strong performance at the Zozo Championship, Thomas shows promise despite an invitation rather than a qualification. Patrick Cantlay : At 11-to-1 odds, Cantlay is less favored due to poor performance on Bermuda grass courses. 🌍 Nedbank Golf Challenge Insights Field Overview This South African event is the third on the 2025 DP World Tour calendar. Players like Corey Connors and Nicola Højgaard highlight the field. Outright Pick: Aldrich Potgieter (+11000) South African native Potgieter is a sleeper pick with strong recent performances, including a top-10 finish at the Australian PGA. 📊 Statistics and Matchups Scotty Scheffler Dominates Albany Golf Club, averaging high finishes over three years. Likely winner with +255 odds due to consistent iron play and putting. Justin Thomas Ranked as an underdog but with strong past performances at Albany. Recent form and motivation from personal milestones make him a contender. Matchup Picks: Ludvig Åberg over Patrick Cantlay : Åberg shows promise with recovery from surgery and strong stats despite recent rust. Sam Burns over Tom Kim : Burns thrives in Bermuda conditions, while Kim struggles with putting. 🌟 Conclusion This preview provides a comprehensive breakdown of the Hero World Challenge and Nedbank Golf Challenge, emphasizing key players, odds, and predictions. Scheffler and Thomas emerge as strong contenders for the Hero, while Potgieter is the sleeper pick for the Nedbank. 🚀 Key Points Tiger Woods' Update : Six surgeries and chronic pain hinder his return to competitive golf. LIV Golf Speculations : Rumors about players like Tony Finau persist, though unconfirmed. Top Picks : Scheffler and Thomas stand out for the Hero World Challenge. Nedbank Favorite : Potgieter at 110-to-1 is a promising pick for a sleeper win. Matchup Insights : Strong picks include Åberg and Burns over their respective opponents. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 3, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 13 recap. The guys also discuss some options for NFL Week 14. NFL Week 13 Recap & Week 14 Lookahead This recap analyzes the NFL Week 13 action and looks ahead to Week 14, emphasizing team performance, player stats, and tactical insights. RJ Bell hosts, joined by Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers, and Scott Seidenberg, with the discussion ranging from coaching impacts to statistical anomalies and betting strategies. Key Moments and Analyses (with timestamps) 1. Ravens’ Downgrade (0:45 - 1:35) Analysis : Despite dominating stats, Steve Fezzik downgraded the Ravens by half a point due to inefficiencies in capitalizing on their performance. The debate highlighted how mental and technical challenges can derail kicking performance. Key Quote : “Once a downturn happens, it sticks, sometimes for a career.” – RJ Bell. 2. Chargers' Statistical Paradox (2:28 - 3:54) Analysis : The Chargers showcase a stark contrast: statistically underwhelming yet resilient in close games. Fezzik lowered their rating by half a point despite a win. The panel debated how to balance stats against wins when assessing team quality. Key Quote : “How do you weight the stats versus the score?” – RJ Bell. 3. Winning vs. Luck in Games (5:03 - 7:00) Analysis : Discussion on how teams like Pittsburgh consistently outperform expectations, with examples of clutch players like Patrick Mahomes. Emphasis on coaching consistency (e.g., Belichick and Tomlin) fostering disciplined, high-IQ plays. Team Insight : Patriots, Kansas City, Green Bay, and Detroit are highlighted for overperforming season expectations. 4. Philadelphia Eagles’ Style (25:58 - 27:05) Analysis : Philadelphia exemplifies adaptability, focusing on running strategies and clutch defense. Despite injuries, their innovative tactics position them as league frontrunners. Key Stats : Second-half offensive dominance with 18 runs to 5 passes. Quote : “They’ve got multiple paths to victory.” – Steve Fezzik. 5. Minnesota Vikings’ Resilience (35:09 - 36:20) Analysis : Minnesota thrives despite low fourth-quarter win shares (33%) and is identified as the sixth-luckiest team of the season. Coaching continuity and opportunistic plays contribute to this success. 6. Unluckiest Teams (37:07 - 38:36) Team Stats : Jets : Most unlucky. Bengals : Second-most unlucky. 49ers : Third, due to declining defense and coaching stress. Key Quote : “Psychologically, they’re not in the same place as the overachieving teams.” – Mackenzie Rivers. 7. Rookie of the Year Odds (20:00 - 21:42) Bo Nix vs. Jaden Daniels : Nix's critical interceptions dented his prospects. Daniels emerges as a favorite at -220, with Nix trailing at +180. 8. Key Matchup Projections (28:44 - 29:19) Analysis : Detroit and Philadelphia compete for NFC supremacy. Detroit's injuries pose a challenge, yet their easier schedule makes them favored for the number one seed. 9. Buccaneers as NFC South Contenders (58:12 - 59:25) Player Highlight : Baker Mayfield, aided by Bucky Irving’s high explosive run rate, positions the Bucs as favorites over the Falcons in a tight divisional race. 10. Betting Strategy Insights (1:26:48 - 1:29:41) Same-Game Parlays : Emphasis on finding core correlations and layering bets for higher payouts. RJ Bell highlighted Pittsburgh’s tight end Friermuth’s over 70 yards and touchdown as a high-value angle. Detailed Player and Team Statistics Philadelphia Eagles : 18 runs to 5 passes in the second half. Detroit Lions : Slight edge in easier remaining schedule despite rising injuries. Minnesota Vikings : Sixth-luckiest team, benefiting from narrow win margins. Conclusion This analysis unpacks the fine balance between stats, clutch performance, and tactical nuance that define NFL teams. Philadelphia's versatility, Minnesota's resilience, and Detroit’s strategic injuries are highlights, setting the stage for an intense playoff race. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dec 3, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 13 review. Munaf and Fezzik also talk Las Vegas and much more. Summary: Fezzik's Focus - NFL Week 13 Review + Week 14 Quick Reactions This podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji with guest Steve Fezzik, reviews NFL Week 13 highlights, analyzes team and player performances, and provides initial reactions to Week 14. Discussions include game recaps, contest updates, live betting frustrations, and opinions on NFL strategies and decisions. Conclusion The podcast delivers an in-depth analysis of NFL Week 13, emphasizing key moments such as phony finals (games with misleading outcomes), standout player statistics, and team dynamics. Fezzik, a seasoned bettor, shares his perspectives on contest strategies, live wagering difficulties, and the implications of weather on games. The analysis also covers significant injuries, coaching decisions, and playoff implications for teams like the Chiefs, Bills, and Cardinals. It concludes with Fezzik’s thoughts on lifestyle and dining preferences, blending sports insights with personal anecdotes. Key Points 🟢 Phony Finals : Misleading game outcomes due to turnovers or situational factors, such as the Chargers beating the Falcons despite being outgained in total yards. 🟠 Player Statistics : Notable performances include Jameis Winston’s 400-yard game and Jerry Jeudy’s 200+ receiving yards. 🔵 Contest Updates : Fezzik’s involvement in NFL contests, emphasizing strategies and the importance of tie-breakers for winning entries. ⚪ Team Performance Insights : Discussion of the Chiefs’ perceived weakness despite their 11-1 record and the Bills’ dominance in the AFC East. 🟣 Live Betting Challenges : Fezzik’s live betting losses during the Browns-Broncos game illustrate the unpredictable nature of in-game wagering. 🟡 Power Ratings Adjustments : Significant downgrades for Jacksonville after Trevor Lawrence’s injury and upgrades for teams like Buffalo and Cleveland. 🟤 Weather and Strategy : Analysis of how weather impacts warm-weather teams playing in colder climates, often underestimated in betting lines. 🟠 Coaching Critiques : Fezzik critiques decision-making by coaches and players, particularly highlighting the Bears' mishandling of end-game situations. 🟡 Dining Commentary : Fezzik humorously ranks his favorite dining spots, blending lifestyle commentary with sports talk. 🔵 NFL Week 14 Preview : Brief insights into upcoming games, such as the Bengals vs. Cowboys on Monday Night Football. Summary [Introductory Remarks (0:04-1:52)] : Munaf Manji introduces the podcast and Steve Fezzik, highlighting their focus on NFL Week 13 and ongoing contests. [Phony Finals Analysis (5:19-12:46)] : Breakdown of misleading outcomes, such as the Chargers vs. Falcons game where turnovers skewed results. Baltimore’s narrow losses are linked to kicker issues. [Player Spotlight (1:54-7:45)] : Exceptional stats from Jameis Winston (400+ passing yards) and Jerry Jeudy (200+ receiving yards) are discussed, alongside critiques of Kirk Cousins. [Contest Updates (1:52-4:41)] : Fezzik updates listeners on his NFL contest standings, including strategies to maximize winning chances. [Live Betting Reflections (23:41-24:47)] : Fezzik laments his live betting losses during Browns-Broncos, showcasing challenges of in-game wagering. [Weather Impacts on Games (22:34-24:47)] : Discussion on how weather disproportionately affects warm-weather and dome teams during winter. [Power Ratings Adjustments (15:52-19:59)] : Notable downgrades for Jacksonville (Lawrence’s injury) and upgrades for Buffalo and Cleveland are explained. [Coaching Decisions (5:19-8:48)] : Critiques of end-game management by the Bears and Cardinals, with Fezzik emphasizing smarter strategies. [Dining Preferences (24:48-26:51)] : Fezzik ranks top restaurants like Nobu, humorously intertwining sports analysis with personal interests. [Week 14 Reactions (26:56-27:23)] : Closing remarks previewing next week’s Bengals vs. Cowboys matchup. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 30, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben and his Dad talk college basketball for this week. Best bets as always. Conclusion This podcast centers on basketball betting and analysis, emphasizing Marquette's recent strong performances, especially under the leadership of Cam Jones and coach Shaka Smart. The speakers explore the contrasts between team-building strategies, such as reliance on continuity versus transfers, and delve into Marquette's upcoming challenges, including matchups with Iowa State and Wisconsin. UConn’s recent struggles are dissected, highlighting player weaknesses and Dan Hurley's difficulties managing the team. The episode concludes with best bets, focusing on Montana State, Chicago State, and LaSalle, offering tactical insights for listeners. Key Points 🎯 Marquette's Success : The team boasts a #1 strength of record, driven by a balanced lineup and Cam Jones' pivotal role. 📊 UConn's Downfall : Key players like Samson Johnson struggle with fouls, and the team lacks depth, causing recent poor performances. 🏀 Player Spotlights : Young Marquette players like Demarius Owens and Royce Parham show promise, especially in the absence of injured stars like Sean Jones. 🔮 Marquette's Upcoming Games : Matches against Iowa State (on the road) and Wisconsin (at home) are highlighted as key tests for the team. 📈 St. John's Analysis : The team exhibits mixed performances, defeating Baylor but falling to Georgia. 📋 Players' Era Tournament : Discussions on NIL (Name, Image, Likeness) funding highlight potential NCAA implications. 💬 Best Bets Insight : Montana State (-3.5), Chicago State (+35.5), and LaSalle (-1) are identified as promising bets with reasoning grounded in team dynamics and recent performances. 💡 Team-Building Models : A debate emerges on building teams through continuity versus transfers, with Shaka Smart’s approach praised. 🤣 Humorous Banter : The episode includes light-hearted commentary, such as jokes about hair comparisons and past coaching disputes. 📍 Promo Codes and Betting Advice : Promo codes like DINNER30 offer $30 discounts for fans, promoting deeper engagement with the content. Summary of the Transcript Marquette's Early Season Review : Griffin Warner introduces Marquette’s strong start, including notable wins over Maryland and Purdue. Ben Dad discusses Cam Jones' critical role and highlights the team's ability to handle diverse opponents. UConn's Challenges : Analysis of UConn's declining form, including Dan Hurley's technical foul incident and underperforming players like Hassan Diarra and Liam McNeely. Marquette’s Player Strengths : Big East Ben highlights emerging stars like Demarius Owens and Royce Parham, projecting them as future key players. Players' Era Tournament : The hosts critique the NIL funding promises, raising concerns about regulatory compliance while analyzing matchups like Creighton vs. Notre Dame. Team Performance Highlights : Insights into Texas A&M's rebounding efficiency and Rutgers’ defensive gaps are discussed in detail. Best Bets : Griffin Warner predicts a strong performance from Montana State (-3.5), Chicago State (+35.5), and LaSalle (-1), grounding decisions in team dynamics and current form. Marquette's Road Ahead : Predictions for Marquette's upcoming games against Iowa State and Wisconsin, emphasizing the challenges of sustaining momentum. St. John's Overview : Mixed results against Baylor and Georgia signal both potential and inconsistency, with Rick Pitino’s coaching under scrutiny. Tournament Betting Trends : Betting patterns for teams like Oregon and Alabama are explored, revealing insights into current betting strategies. Listener Engagement : Promo codes and tips for leveraging the discussed insights into profitable betting opportunities are shared. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 29, 2024

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ break down NFL player props for NFL Week 13. The guys also preview MNF and give out a best bet. Summary of "NFL Week 13 Player Props + MNF Preview" This transcript covers an episode of the NFL Prop Show where hosts Munaf Manji and Sleepy J discuss NFL Week 13 player props, team performances, and Monday Night Football (MNF) insights. The conversation begins with reflections on Thanksgiving Day football games, the performance of specific teams like the Chicago Bears, and transitions into prop betting recommendations for key players across various matchups. The hosts share detailed analysis, trends, and statistics to back their prop bets. Conclusion The show delivers an in-depth discussion on NFL Week 13 with insights into team dynamics, coaching decisions, and player statistics. Munaf and Sleepy critique the Chicago Bears' coaching decisions during their Thanksgiving game, which led to Matt Eberflus' firing, highlighting his clock management failures. For prop bets, the hosts provide strong cases for players like Jaden Daniels (over 37.5 rushing yards), Kyler Murray (over 220.5 passing yards), and Joe Mixon (over 19.5 receiving yards). For MNF, they favor the Denver Broncos due to Cleveland Browns' tough scheduling and Denver's growing consistency. Key Points 🏈 Coaching Issues : The firing of Chicago Bears' Matt Eberflus is discussed, citing poor clock management during their Thanksgiving loss to the Lions. 📊 Quarterback Props : Jaden Daniels (Commanders) over 37.5 rushing yards against the Titans. Kyler Murray (Cardinals) over 220.5 passing yards against the Vikings, given their weak pass defense. 📉 Running Back Insights : Ramadre Stevenson (Patriots) over 49.5 rushing yards against a weak Colts defense. Joe Mixon (Bengals) over 19.5 receiving yards, leveraging the Jaguars' susceptibility to passes to running backs. 🔍 Wide Receiver Props : Josh Palmer (Chargers) over 2.5 receptions due to increased targets from injuries in the roster. Puka Nacua (Rams) over 80.5 receiving yards, citing consistency in yardage output. 📉 Tight End Props : Tommy Tremble (Panthers) over 17.5 receiving yards against the Buccaneers' weak defense. Isaiah Likely (Ravens) under 26.5 receiving yards due to limited targets and the Eagles’ strong tight end defense. 🚩 MNF Analysis : Hosts favor Denver Broncos (-5.5) against Cleveland Browns, citing Cleveland’s scheduling challenges and Denver's improving form under Sean Payton. Player Prop Best Bet: Courtland Sutton over 5.5 receptions, supported by his recent performance and strong rapport with quarterback Bo Nix. Summary Bears Coaching Fiasco : Munaf highlights Matt Eberflus' clock management issues that contributed to his firing after the Bears' Thanksgiving loss. Jaden Daniels Prop : Daniels over 37.5 rushing yards is recommended due to the Titans' defensive style and Commanders' depleted backfield. Kyler Murray Passing Yards : Over 220.5 is supported by his solid recent performances and Vikings' defensive weaknesses. Joe Mixon Prop : Over 19.5 receiving yards cited due to his expanded role in the Bengals' passing game against the Jaguars. Ramadre Stevenson Analysis : Stevenson over 49.5 rushing yards is highlighted against a bottom-five Colts defense. Josh Palmer’s Role : Over 2.5 receptions due to injuries forcing more targets his way. Puka Nacua's Output : Consistent triple-digit yardage performances make over 80.5 receiving yards a solid pick. Tommy Tremble Advantage : Over 17.5 receiving yards against Tampa Bay’s weak tight-end coverage. Isaiah Likely Decline : Under 26.5 receiving yards due to a crowded tight end rotation and a strong Eagles defense. MNF Bets : Denver Broncos favored against Cleveland Browns, and Courtland Sutton over 5.5 receptions chosen as the best bet for MNF. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 28, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 13 betting. The guys break down all the Sunday games and give out best bets. 🏈 Team-by-Team Analysis 1. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans Steve Fezzik (4:16-7:08) : Advocates for Jacksonville at +5 due to their recent annihilation and historical resilience of teams off a bye. However, Scott Seidenberg counters with stats on poor post-bye performances by bad teams, highlighting a 5-12 ATS record since 2012 for similar scenarios. RJ Bell : Questions the efficacy of such trends, pointing to inconsistencies in Houston’s performance despite their above-average team power rating. 2. New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys RJ Bell (13:21-17:22) : Champions the Giants at +3.5, citing their overreaction to poor performance and historical motivation after a disappointing loss. Darius Slayton’s comments on Drew Lock's potential performance support this optimistic outlook. 3. Washington Commanders vs. Tennessee Titans Scott Seidenberg (19:53-24:28) : Identifies a bounce-back trend where teams that lost as large favorites perform well in subsequent games, favoring Washington. The defense-led resurgence of the Commanders and historical stats (e.g., 16-7 ATS for teams favored by more than a field goal post-loss) bolster this pick. 4. Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Mackenzie Rivers (40:01-47:22) : Supports Cincinnati at -2.5, attributing value to Pittsburgh’s overachievements in one-score games. However, RJ Bell challenges this pick, emphasizing Pittsburgh’s historical resilience under Mike Tomlin and suggesting the line overvalues Cincinnati. 5. Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens Scott Seidenberg (1:00:49-1:04:08) : Backs Philadelphia at +3, citing their defensive improvement post-bye (league-low 6.9 yards per pass allowed) and Jalen Hurts’ success with explosive plays. Baltimore’s vulnerability to deep passes aligns well with the Eagles’ offensive strengths. 6. Denver Broncos vs. Cleveland Browns RJ Bell (1:12:04-1:16:22) : Prefers Denver in the second half, believing Sean Payton’s coaching ensures focus even after a close win. The Browns’ recent high-intensity performance may lead to a letdown, especially given their limited playoff prospects. 📊 Key Player & Team Statistics Texans’ Defense : High ATS performance before bye weeks; however, their overall defensive stats are inconsistent. Giants’ Quarterback Shift : Drew Lock receives positive reviews for leadership and strong-arm capabilities, aiming to turn around poor team morale. Commanders’ Defensive Coaching : Dan Quinn's strategic adjustments emphasize defensive fortitude, improving results. Eagles’ Explosive Play Metrics : League leaders in completion percentage above expectation for deep passes, exploiting the Ravens' secondary vulnerabilities. Broncos' Resilience : Strong post-loss focus under Sean Payton, leveraging key player performances like Russell Wilson. 🎙️ Highlighted Quotes and Timestamped Insights Fezzik on Jacksonville's Spot (4:16): "I make the line 4.5, getting +5...winless teams off a bye historically do great." Scott on Giants’ Redemption (17:23): "Darius Slayton...strong arm, good processor, played a lot of football." Scott on Texans Bounce-Back (10:27): "Divisional favorites before a bye since 2012: 50-30-1 ATS, 62.5%." RJ on Washington’s Focus (24:28): "Washington’s pre-bye game focus...shows why they’re a 16-7 ATS team in these spots." Scott on Eagles’ Deep Ball Success (1:01:49): "Hurts leads the league in completion percentage on deep passes...exploiting Ravens’ 94 explosive plays allowed." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 28, 2024

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers take a look at the NBA Friday slate for Black Friday. Munaf and Mackenzie also discuss futures wagers and best bets. 🏀 Conclusion The episode explores key NBA betting trends, including the underperformance of favorites (46.2% ATS), potential reasons for this trend, and which teams are overperforming or underperforming. With insightful stats, the hosts analyze season surprises like the Rockets' improvement under Ime Udoka and the Thunder's defensive dominance. The discussion also touches on injury updates and their implications for betting, particularly in games like Thunder vs. Lakers. Both hosts align on fading struggling teams like the Pelicans and Hawks while spotlighting the potential value in under bets for early start games. ✨ Key Points 📉 Favorites' Struggles : Favorites are covering at only 46.2%, the lowest rate since 1996. 🏀 Surprising Rockets : Houston has emerged as a playoff contender under Ime Udoka's leadership, excelling on defense. ⚡ Thunder Dominance : Oklahoma City's top-ranked defense is driven by two-way players and the return of Isaiah Hartenstein. 🏀 Knicks' Defense Issues : Despite expectations, New York's defense has been disappointing under Tom Thibodeau. 📊 Betting Trends : Home teams are 50-50 ATS historically, but this season's favorites have underperformed dramatically. 🔥 Cavs' Success : Cleveland thrives against the spread, especially on the road, while Atlanta continues its ATS struggles. ⏰ Early Start Unders : Games with early start times, like Knicks vs. Hornets, are prime candidates for first-half under bets. 📉 Pelicans' Decline : Injuries and internal issues make New Orleans a risky bet; their over/under dropped from 47.5 to 31.5. 🤔 Best Bets : Magic (-2.5) vs. Nets and Cavs (-6.5 to -8.5) vs. Hawks were highlighted as strong picks. 🥇 Franz Wagner's Rise : Wagner has become a leader for Orlando, potentially on track for Most Improved Player and All-Star recognition. 🔑 Summary Favorites' Decline : Favorites are struggling ATS this season, hitting only 46.2%. Flattened league parity and underperforming teams like the Bucks and Sixers contribute to this trend. Surprise Teams : The Rockets and Thunder stand out for their defensive prowess, with Houston's Ime Udoka creating cohesion and Oklahoma City's defense anchored by returning big man Isaiah Hartenstein. Knicks' Underperformance : New York's defense is subpar despite high expectations; Tom Thibodeau's heavy player minutes may be causing fatigue. Pelicans' Challenges : With key injuries (e.g., Zion Williamson) and poor management, the Pelicans are struggling, dropping their win total projection. Best Bets : The Magic (-2.5) vs. Nets are expected to capitalize on Brooklyn's regression, while the Cavs (-6.5 to -8.5) should dominate Atlanta's weak defense. Clippers Resilience : Ty Lue's coaching keeps L.A. competitive despite roster challenges, while Timberwolves may struggle without sustained offensive support. Thunder's Depth : Oklahoma City's active defense makes them a formidable force, especially with Hartenstein's rebounding and rim protection. ATS Insights : Cleveland thrives on the road, covering six of eight games, while Atlanta remains one of the league's worst home ATS teams. First-Half Unders : Early start games, like Knicks vs. Hornets, historically favor under bets due to sluggish early performance. Franz Wagner's Impact : Wagner leads Orlando with efficient play and could win Most Improved Player while propelling the Magic toward playoff contention. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 28, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down College Football betting for Week 14. The guys also give out best bets. Key Points and Analysis 🎙️ Introduction and Theme (0:31 - 1:04) Griffin Warner introduces the "Need for Screens College Football Podcast" with playful banter and outlines the topics: playoff scenarios, significant games, and betting tips. Discussion on Colorado's slim playoff hopes starts off the episode. 🏈 Colorado's Playoff Odds (1:05 - 1:34) Colorado needs losses by Arizona State and Iowa State to enter the Big 12 Championship. Warner notes that Colorado's playoff dreams remain alive, albeit faintly. ⚖️ Hedging and Betting Advice (1:42 - 2:12) Warner jokingly equates hedging bets to gardening, advising against it unless pre-planned. The duo hints at a promo code to save on future bets. 🛡️ Field Storming Incident (2:13 - 3:29) Arizona State's fans prematurely stormed the field, creating chaos. Ben critiques security’s handling and emphasizes sportsmanship. 🔥 Playoff Seeding Hypotheticals (4:45 - 5:22) They debate whether Big Ten teams (Oregon vs. Ohio State) might "tank" to avoid facing Georgia in the playoffs. Warner concludes that the stakes of a Big Ten Championship outweigh strategic losses. 🏟️ Game Analyses : Boise State vs. Oregon State (7:56 - 9:41) Boise struggles to cover large spreads. Oregon State is backed as 18-point underdogs due to their recent victory and Boise's inconsistent performances. Clemson vs. South Carolina (10:40 - 12:58) Clemson’s playoff potential contrasts with its struggles against top-tier teams. South Carolina, praised for strong road performances, is favored to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt (14:22 - 16:11) Despite Tennessee’s strong season, Vanderbilt is expected to cover the 10.5-point spread due to its resilient home performance. Alabama vs. Auburn (Iron Bowl) (17:44 - 20:20) Auburn enters as 11.5-point underdogs. Their recent form and rivalry stakes make them an attractive pick to cover. Texas vs. Texas A&M (20:21 - 24:14) Discusses playoff stakes for Texas if they lose. A&M is picked as five-point underdogs due to uncertainty around Texas’s quarterback health. 🎰 Best Bets : Big East Ben : North Carolina (-3) against NC State in Mack Brown's final game. Griffin Warner : Texas A&M (+5) at home against Texas, banking on rivalry dynamics and situational advantage. Player and Team Statistics Grant Williams (SEC Record) : Notable for consecutive free throws (23/23). Boise State : Struggled to cover spreads vs. Nevada and San Jose State despite wins. South Carolina : 4-0 against the spread on the road, highlighted by tight performances against Alabama and dominant wins over Oklahoma and Vanderbilt. Tennessee : Close-game specialists, consistently covering against Arkansas and Florida but struggling against Georgia. Speaker Highlights and Context Griffin Warner : Analytical and humorous, providing betting insights and bantering about football culture. Timestamp Example: (7:56 - 9:41) Warner advocates for Oregon State covering against Boise due to historical trends. Big East Ben : Passionate and critical, highlighting team strengths and weaknesses. Timestamp Example: (2:13 - 3:29) Ben's strong condemnation of Arizona State fans' field storming reflects his stance on sportsmanship. Conclusion The podcast combines expert analysis, humor, and candid discussions about Week 14's high-stakes matchups and playoff scenarios. The hosts focus on underdog teams' potential to cover spreads, emphasizing situational dynamics and team statistics. Their best bets, North Carolina and Texas A&M, are shaped by unique insights into rivalry and emotional stakes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 27, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Thanksgiving Day games. Plus, the guys discuss NFL Friday Raiders and Chiefs. Best bets as always. Detailed Breakdown of Quotes, Statistics, and Analysis: Thanksgiving Trends (0:59 - 1:51) Quote: "Since 2004, the favorites on Thanksgiving are 38-19 ATS." Analysis: The dominance of favorites on Thanksgiving underscores the impact of reduced preparation time, which often advantages superior teams. This trend is further emphasized for double-digit favorites, who perform exceptionally well (11-2-1 ATS historically). Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears (4:29 - 23:05) Player Insights: The Lions’ Amon-Ra St. Brown, David Montgomery, and other key players faced injury concerns but were deemed likely to play. Team Insights: Detroit boasts a stellar ATS record under Dan Campbell (65% career ATS). Chicago is in a tough spot, coming off consecutive divisional losses, including an overtime game, which historically disadvantages teams playing on short rest (9-30 ATS since 1989). Betting Perspective: Steve Fezzik suggests Detroit at -10.5 is strong, citing their home-field advantage, preparation history, and Chicago's weaknesses. Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins (34:34 - 40:54) Cold Weather Concerns: Miami struggles significantly in sub-30°F games, with Tua Tagovailoa's 0-4 record and ATS underperformance highlighted (fails to cover by 18 PPG in these conditions). Betting Market Dynamics: The market’s predictable reaction to weather reports caused line shifts in Green Bay's favor. Fezzik had preemptively bet Green Bay -3, aligning with historical advantages for home teams in cold climates. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders (42:05 - 49:47) Player Performance: Travis Kelce, on the cusp of breaking the Chiefs’ all-time receiving touchdown record, is a focal point. Scott predicts Mahomes will target him specifically, making Kelce an anytime TD scorer a strong narrative-driven bet. Team Analysis: Kansas City ranks fifth in fourth-quarter win shares (75%), showcasing their ability to close games effectively. Betting Opportunities: RJ suggests Kansas City’s second-half performance, especially their likelihood of maintaining aggression if ahead, as a valuable angle. A wager on Kansas City -5.5 in the second half is proposed. Key Points from the Episode : 🏈 Thanksgiving Favorites: Historical trends strongly favor Thanksgiving Day favorites, particularly double-digit ones. ❄️ Cold Weather Impact: Miami's struggles in cold weather games, combined with Tua’s specific difficulties, make Green Bay a favored choice. 🦁 Detroit’s ATS Dominance: The Lions' stellar ATS performance under Dan Campbell, coupled with Chicago's poor scheduling situation, strengthens Detroit’s betting appeal. 📊 Market Sharpness: Fezzik emphasizes early betting for better odds, highlighting inefficiencies in the market during the early betting cycle. 👟 Team Fatigue Factors: Chicago's overtime loss and divisional games on short rest further disadvantage them against a well-prepared Detroit. 🏟️ Kansas City’s Offensive Potential: Travis Kelce's potential touchdown and Kansas City’s second-half resilience are compelling betting narratives. 🔢 Player Statistics Highlighted: Kelce's season: Two games with touchdowns. Detroit’s injured players' potential returns boost confidence in their line. 🌟 Dome Advantage: Detroit’s home-field dome amplifies their edge over outdoor grass teams like Chicago. 💡 Efficiency in Predictions: Fezzik notes the predictable nature of market shifts, using Miami’s weather disadvantage as a prime example. 🔥 ATS Standouts: The Lions and Bengals lead the NFL ATS rankings, while the Chiefs’ ATS record is surprisingly average (36-34). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 26, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2024 Australian Open at Kingston Heath and Victoria Golf Club. -Top 6 odds favorites -2 matchups -1 t20 -1 outright (16/1) -Sleeper -First Round Leader -Scoring -Best bet Summary of the Australian Open Golf Preview Podcast The transcript provides an in-depth discussion of the Australian Open golf tournament, highlighting notable players, statistical analyses, course details, and expert predictions. The host, Will Doctor , analyzes top contenders, identifies sleeper picks, and provides betting insights based on recent player performances and field composition. Key Points with Timestamp Analysis 📌 Tournament Overview (0:31–2:15) Will Doctor introduces the 2024 Australian Open , held at two premier golf courses: Kingston Heath and Victoria Golf Club. The mixed-gender event features Cameron Smith , Joachim Nieman , Danielle Kang , and Ashley Boyer as headliners. 📌 Historical Significance (2:16–5:00) The tournament has been a staple for golfing legends such as Gary Player (7 wins) and Jack Nicklaus (6 wins) , although it has seen diminished participation from top global stars in recent years. 📌 Elvis Smylie’s Rising Star (5:01–15:30) Performance Analysis : Smylie won the Aussie PGA Championship, delivering a bogey-free final round in tough conditions. Notable stat: 6/6 up-and-downs on the back nine , showcasing resilience under pressure. Career Milestone : Earned full status on the DP World Tour for 2025. Player Comparisons : Likened to American prodigy Miles Russell for skill and consistency. 📌 Cameron Smith’s Struggles (15:31–20:30) Smith’s driving accuracy has faltered, contributing to a third-place finish in the Aussie PGA. Historical context: To join Australian greats like Peter Thomson , Smith must win his national title , a feat he has yet to accomplish. 📌 Top Contenders and Odds Analysis (20:31–50:00) Joachim Nieman (+450) : The defending champion’s consistent finishes in DP World Tour playoffs position him as a favorite, though his odds may not reflect field depth. Cameron Davis (+1600) : Backed as the top outright pick, Davis boasts recent strong finishes, including sixth at the Aussie PGA . Jordan Smith (+2000) : Noted for solid top-20 streaks but hindered by subpar iron play. 📌 Sleeper Picks and Matchups (50:01–1:10:00) Josiah Gilbert : Emerging amateur star, predicted to finish top 20 with odds of +425 . Known for athletic prowess and exceptional tee-to-green game. Carl Phillips vs. Oliver Lindell : Phillips, a rising star from Stanford, is favored due to consistent form and PGA readiness. 📌 First-Round Leader and Scoring Prediction (1:10:01–1:20:00) Mark Leishman (+1400): Predicted to lead after the first round due to strong opening performances in recent tournaments. Winning Score : Estimated at -11 , reflecting challenging weather conditions forecasted for the weekend. Conclusion The podcast delivers a comprehensive preview of the Australian Open, emphasizing player strengths, weaknesses, and historical context. Notable insights include Elvis Smylie’s rise as a potential future star and the challenges Cameron Smith faces in securing his place among Australia’s golfing legends. Expert betting recommendations and course analyses provide additional layers of depth for enthusiasts. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 26, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Recap and the week ahead. Plus, Fezzik talks Vegas contests and much more. Team and Player Statistics with Analysis Circa Survivor Contest (0:42-6:18) Survivor Stats : Week 12 began with 95 live entries and ended with 54, marking significant eliminations. An entry failed due to a missed pick, wasting $120,000 in equity. Strategy Advice : Fezzik emphasized the importance of proxies for critical decisions in high-stakes scenarios and advised against splitting multiple entries to underdogs. Phony Finals (7:07-11:49) Dallas vs. Washington (7:26) : Despite a 60-point game, Dallas benefited from two kick-return touchdowns. Fezzik criticized their special teams management. Tennessee vs. Houston (8:44) : The Titans dominated with 132 rushing yards versus Houston's 40. Houston's points were skewed by turnovers. Denver vs. Las Vegas (10:40) : Denver’s 10-point win seemed exaggerated as stats were nearly equal. Fezzik noted the key role of turnovers. Rookie Quarterbacks (11:50-12:06) Fezzik ranked rookie QBs: Jaden Daniels, Bo Nix, Caleb Williams, and Drake May. Daniels was praised for rebounding after an injury. Power Ratings Updates (14:01-20:05) Downgrades : New York Giants: -2 points for poor performances. Houston Texans: -1.5 points, citing inflated early ratings. San Francisco 49ers: -1 point, seen as a decline from top-tier contenders. Upgrades : Dallas Cowboys: +1 point for consistent wins. Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles: +1 each, establishing them as top NFC contenders. Baltimore and Kansas City Insights (20:05-20:51) Fezzik predicted Baltimore and Kansas City would face difficulties maintaining playoff dominance. The Chiefs need to improve consistency, despite close wins. Speaker Highlights and Notable Quotes Munaf Manji (7:07, 15:20) NFL Observations : Identified Houston's struggles against tougher schedules. Betting Tips : Highlighted Dolphins' recovery, urging cautious optimism for their playoff potential. Steve Fezzik (2:28, 14:36) Survivor Analysis : Urged against betting underdogs in high-stakes competitions. Power Ratings : Asserted only four realistic Super Bowl contenders: Detroit, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Buffalo. Key Humor (13:17-13:48) Fezzik joked about catching five passes better than professional players, adding a personal touch to the serious analysis. Conclusion The episode effectively recaps Week 12 while giving forward-looking predictions. Fezzik’s power ratings spotlight the NFL's top teams while addressing the intricacies of contests like Circa Survivor. Their banter balances technical analysis with entertainment. Key Points Summary 🏈 Circa Survivor Elimination : Entries dropped from 95 to 54; highlights the contest's volatility. 📉 Houston Texans Down : Performance skewed by turnovers; downgraded in power ratings. 💪 Dallas Cowboys Up : Consistency earns a +1 point power rating. 🔢 Phony Finals : Specific games analyzed for misleading final scores. 🚀 Rookie QB Rankings : Daniels leads; improvement cited after injuries. 🏆 Super Bowl Contenders : Detroit, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Buffalo stand out. 🤔 Betting Strategy : Avoid underdogs in high-stakes Survivor pools. 🌟 Player Highlights : Bo Nix shines; Tua leads the Dolphins to recovery. 🛡 Special Teams Critique : Dallas special teams under fire for poor execution. 🎙 F1 Vegas Aftermath : Locals remain unhappy; post-race adjustments lag. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 26, 2024

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 12 recap. Summary of NFL Week 12 Recap & Lookahead Conclusion Week 12 highlighted the NFL’s unpredictability, as some games turned on singular decisions or moments. The conversation emphasized data-driven perspectives on game strategies, like Baltimore's controversial fourth-down decision against the Chargers and critical errors that cost teams victories. Analysts also debated the outlook for teams like Philadelphia and Detroit in the NFC, weighing their strengths for playoff positioning. Insights about player performances, such as Derrick Henry’s durability and Justin Herbert's struggles in second halves, underscore the variability that shapes NFL outcomes. The document closes with a preview of Thanksgiving games, pointing to weather impacts and betting strategies. Key Points 🏈 Controversial Calls : Baltimore’s fourth-down decision in their territory sparked debate, with analysts concluding it was statistically a poor choice despite initial inclinations. 📊 Win Share Metric : Games like Minnesota vs. Chicago highlighted how fourth-quarter win-share analysis can quantify team control, with Minnesota showing dominance late. 💪 Player Performances : Derrick Henry’s low fumble rate and Justin Herbert's poor second-half ATS (against the spread) stats were key takeaways. ❄️ Weather Impacts : Cold temperatures were identified as potential game-changers, particularly for teams like Miami, unaccustomed to such conditions. 🏟️ Home Field Influence : Despite generally lower home-field advantages this season, specific venues like Lambeau Field still hold sway in matchups. 🎲 Betting Insights : Analysts delved into game-specific betting scenarios, including favorable matchups for tight ends against Carolina and projections for Thanksgiving games. 🔄 Division Dynamics : NFC West and North playoff scenarios emphasized the importance of divisional tiebreakers and Monte Carlo simulations for predictive clarity. 🏆 Super Bowl Speculations : Philadelphia and Detroit are seen as likely NFC title game contenders, but skepticism remains about Philly’s odds of reaching the Super Bowl. 📉 Coaching Critiques : Criticisms of coaching decisions, particularly in clock management and strategic play-calling, were frequent. 🔮 Looking Ahead : Anticipation for the next week’s games included focus on team health, matchups, and conditions like Thanksgiving favorites traditionally dominating ATS. Summary Fourth-Down Decisions : Baltimore’s choice to go for it on fourth down against the Chargers drew statistical and strategic scrutiny. The consensus was it worsened their chances. Late-Game Metrics : Minnesota's superior late-game win-share highlighted their control over Chicago, despite a close final score. Player Highlights : Standouts included Derrick Henry’s rare durability under pressure and Justin Herbert's consistent late-game shortcomings. Weather and Strategy : Miami’s challenges in cold conditions (1-3 ATS in sub-40°F games) were emphasized as a factor for upcoming matches. Thanksgiving Games : Historically, favorites excel ATS, impacting betting lines for Detroit and Dallas. Tiebreaker Calculations : Complex playoff implications were discussed, with Monte Carlo simulations aiding in understanding team prospects. Seattle’s Defense : Seattle’s improving defense, due to fewer injuries, was noted as a key factor in recent success. Philadelphia’s Ceiling : Philadelphia remains strong but faces potential roadblocks against high-caliber opponents like Detroit. Odds Analysis : Betting opportunities, such as player props for tight ends and Thanksgiving spreads, were dissected with actionable insights. Final Reflections : From Derrick Henry's hands to Lamar Jackson’s running risks, the importance of individual player characteristics on outcomes was highlighted. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 22, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball for this weekends action. The guys also give out best bets. Summary of "CBB Friday Preview + Best Bets 11/22" This episode of the "Need for Seeds College Basketball Podcast," hosted by Griffin Warner and "Big East Ben," reviews dramatic recent games, including Baylor vs. St. John’s, and previews upcoming matchups. It incorporates player and team analyses, betting insights, and predictions. Game Highlights and Insights Baylor vs. St. John’s (0:12–7:29) Baylor narrowly defeated St. John’s 99–98 in double overtime, despite early struggles against St. John’s 72% three-point shooting in the first half. St. John’s blocked a dozen shots, revealing Baylor’s lack of rim awareness. Scott Drew’s timeout mismanagement and reliance on freshman guards highlighted Baylor’s struggles to close out the game. Alabama vs. Illinois (7:54–10:29) Alabama scored 103 points without National Player of the Year candidate Mark Sears, who opted to stay benched after recognizing an off night. Nate Oats praised Sears’ leadership, sparking debate about competitiveness. Upcoming Matchups Duke vs. Arizona (10:30–14:02): Arizona’s home-court dominance and strong shooting favor them against Duke. Wisconsin vs. UCF (14:03–17:38): UCF’s rebounding strength challenges Wisconsin’s size, making UCF a strong pick as underdogs. Pittsburgh vs. LSU (17:40–21:15): LSU’s upset win over Kansas State raises intrigue, but Pitt’s efficiency inside makes them favorites. Marquette vs. Georgia (24:57–26:46): Marquette’s quality wins and turnover creation edge Georgia despite rebounding disparities. Villanova vs. Maryland (29:19–32:36): Maryland’s ability to stifle Villanova’s Eric Dixon and exploit Villanova’s poor form positions them as favorites. Key Statistics and Analysis Shooting Performance : St. John’s first-half three-point dominance (72%) and Wisconsin’s free-throw accuracy (88.6%) stood out. Rebounding : UCF’s offensive rebounding (35th nationally) is a key advantage against Wisconsin’s lack of crash boards. Player Contributions : B.J. Edgecombe (St. John’s) was a clutch performer but inconsistent, while Jeremy Roach’s (Baylor) turnovers exposed team vulnerabilities. Coaching : Scott Drew’s timeout issues and Rick Pitino’s masterful handling of St. John’s shone. Betting Picks Big East Ben’s Pick : Elon (+16.5) vs. Notre Dame – Favorable due to Elon’s height (5th tallest team) and strong two-point defense. Griffin Warner’s Pick : Wichita State (-3) vs. St. Louis – A stable program likely to capitalize on St. Louis’ inconsistencies. Notable Quotes “Scott Drew, you have three timeouts, and you let Roach go ISO... Are you freaking kidding me?” (4:17) – Critique of Baylor’s late-game strategy. “Mark Sears knew it wasn’t his night and told Nate Oats to leave him out” (8:56) – Alabama’s Sears prioritizing team over personal performance. This episode combined sharp game breakdowns, betting insights, and commentary, offering value for basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 22, 2024

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider break down NFL Week 12 player props and preview Monday Night Football. Key Highlights Mike Tomlin's Legacy : The Steelers coach remains undefeated in seasons, lauded for maintaining consistency despite quarterback shifts. His ability to adapt is deemed remarkable, positioning him for Coach of the Year contention. Cincinnati Porch Crew Mention : A light-hearted aside about Steve's fandom and community ties. Player Prop Outcomes : Notable stats included Joe Mixon's performance over 85.5 rushing yards last week, showing the efficacy of the team’s prop betting recommendations. Analysis of Tommy DeVito : Discussed as a potential spark for the Giants, DeVito’s deep passing tendencies might boost Giants receivers’ outputs against a weak Buccaneers secondary. Brock Bowers' Rising Targets : Highlighted for his dependable receiving stats (e.g., over 18.5 yards long reception in 8/10 games), positioning him as a key Raiders player. Player Prop Disagreements : Differing opinions on Gardner Minshew's passing yard props showcased diverse perspectives, balancing stats and game strategy. Monday Night Football Dynamics : Previewed Ravens vs. Chargers, focusing on Baltimore's stout rush defense against Los Angeles' aerial attack. Key prop bets included Justin Herbert's passing yards (over 254.5) and Justin Tucker’s field goals (over 1.5). Promos and Analysis Tools : Encouraged listeners to use code "screen20" at pregame.com for betting insights. Raiders’ Tight Ends : Analyzed Brock Bowers' targets and Denver's defensive weakness against tight ends. Optimistic Predictions : Despite acknowledging some conflicting views among analysts, the team projected a profitable week. Detailed Summary 1. Opening Remarks (0:00 - 0:29) Host Munaf Manji introduces the NFL Week 12 props preview alongside Steve Reeder and SleepyJ. 2. Player Insights and Bets Steve recaps a personal slump (1-3 week) but expresses optimism in player connections and insights gained from their podcast community. SleepyJ reflects on his cold streak, focusing on bouncing back through reevaluated strategies. 3. Mike Tomlin Analysis (5:42 - 11:33) Lauded for achieving a consistent winning streak with the Steelers. Highlighted for adapting despite QB challenges (Justin Fields to Russell Wilson). Key stat: Steelers are 8-2 entering Week 12, nearly clinching over 8.5 wins preseason total. 4. Quarterback Prop Analysis (12:09 - 18:38) Tommy DeVito's over 0.5 passing touchdowns is debated. DeVito is expected to showcase deep passes, contrasting Daniel Jones' conservative play. Minshew’s passing yards (212.5): Sleepy predicts over due to Raiders' run-game injuries. Steve counters with under, citing inefficiencies and Broncos' strong pass defense. 5. Wide Receiver Props Cooper Kupp (over 61.5 yards): Rams WR predicted to thrive against Eagles’ secondary. Malik Neighbors (58.5 yards): Discussed as a beneficiary of Tommy DeVito’s aggressive throws. 6. Monday Night Football Preview (43:28 - End) Ravens vs. Chargers: Ravens' rush defense highlighted as formidable, but passing defense flagged as exploitable. Justin Herbert (254+ passing yards) and Justin Tucker (1.5+ field goals) are key prop picks. Character Breakdown Munaf Manji : Host, structured discussions with humor and betting expertise. Steve Reeder : Analytical, critical of past bets yet optimistic on trends. SleepyJ : Self-deprecating, thorough in spotting lesser-known betting angles. Final Remarks The episode combined betting tips, player performance data, and light banter, blending professional insights with community engagement. While disagreement on props showcased varied approaches, the focus remained on actionable analysis for Week 12. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 21, 2024

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 12 from a betting perspective. Dave Essler also chimes in with his best bet. Introduction (0:00-2:24): The episode highlights Scott Seidenberg’s standout performance and A.J. Hoffman’s college basketball betting success. Hoffman, up 20 units this season, continues his streak from last year’s 82 units. The panel includes Steve Fezzik (two-time supercontest champion), Mackenzie Rivers (NFL and NBA expert), and host RJ Bell. Minnesota Vikings -3 vs. Chicago Bears (2:24-6:12): [Steve Fezzik]: Fezzik supports the Vikings, citing their higher power ratings compared to Green Bay, a team the Bears recently challenged. He predicts a Vikings win by six, barring turnovers. [Scott Seidenberg]: Seidenberg backs Fezzik, noting Minnesota's defensive strength against quarterbacks who release quickly, like Chicago’s Caleb Williams. The Vikings rank first in interceptions and high in pressure metrics, countering Chicago's adjusted quick-pass strategy. Miami Dolphins -7 vs. New England Patriots (8:14-15:22): [RJ Bell]: Miami’s dominance in this matchup is highlighted, with eight straight covers against New England since 2020. Miami’s explosive offense, led by Tua Tagovailoa, matches well against New England's man-to-man defense. Historical trends support Miami's edge, particularly in home games against the Patriots. Denver Broncos -5.5 vs. Las Vegas Raiders (15:15-18:42): [Scott Seidenberg]: Denver’s blitz-heavy defense is expected to stifle the Raiders, who struggle under pressure. [Mackenzie Rivers]: Rivers highlights QB Bo Nix’s recent top-10 metrics, fueling Denver’s five-game ATS streak. [Steve Fezzik]: Fezzik emphasizes the Raiders' significant injuries and Denver's superior health and form, favoring the Broncos’ continued momentum. LA Chargers +3 vs. Baltimore Ravens (23:50-28:27): [Dave Essler]: Essler picks the Chargers, pointing to Baltimore’s road struggles and physical toll from recent games. The Chargers’ ability to win despite being outgained last week is a positive sign. [RJ Bell]: Bell agrees, noting Baltimore’s frequent close-game losses and fourth-quarter struggles. He suggests the money line for additional value. Arizona Cardinals -1 vs. Seattle Seahawks (41:29-47:05): [RJ Bell]: Arizona's recent surge (No. 1 in EPA since Week 8) contrasts with Seattle’s struggles (29th in offense). Despite Seattle’s historically strong home-field advantage, Bell sees value in Arizona’s rising form. [Scott Seidenberg]: Seidenberg predicts a high-scoring game, citing Arizona’s rushing success against Seattle’s weak run defense and the Seahawks' strong passing performance against minimal pressure. Philadelphia Eagles -3 vs. LA Rams (48:36-49:36): [Scott Seidenberg]: The Eagles, 6-0 since their bye week, are highlighted as one of the NFL’s top teams. Jalen Hurts has 17 TDs and only 1 INT in this stretch. Their defense ranks first in EPA and success rate since the bye, making them a formidable opponent. Carolina Panthers +11 vs. Kansas City Chiefs (52:00-54:53): [Steve Fezzik]: Fezzik picks Carolina, emphasizing Kansas City’s tendency to underperform as double-digit favorites. Carolina, motivated and coming off a bye, provides value against a Chiefs team unlikely to seek margin. [Scott Seidenberg]: Seidenberg suggests receptions props for Chiefs receivers due to Carolina’s defensive scheme, which allows short completions. Closing Remarks (54:53-58:53): The episode wraps with a discussion on San Francisco vs. Green Bay, critiquing conservative coaching strategies and noting playoff implications. Fezzik questions Shanahan’s fourth-down decisions, while Bell defends the strategic conservatism of elite coaches. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 20, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down college footballs biggest week 13 games. The guys also give out best bets. Quotes Analysis with Timestamps: Opening Remarks on Game Strategy (0:05–0:31) Speaker 3 emphasizes fundamental gameplay strategies: "Out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, and out-hustle." This sets a tone for prioritizing effort and clarity in execution. The motivational rallying cry, “Leave no doubt tonight,” underscores a focus on leaving a lasting impression in competitive sports. Commentary on Playoff Rankings (2:34–3:04) Griffin Warner critiques Boise State's placement as a projected four-seed, juxtaposing it against Ohio State as a fifth seed. He frames this as reflective of the push for inclusivity of non-Power Five teams in expanded playoffs, though co-host Big East Ben remains skeptical, questioning the value of such rules. Discussion on Indiana at Ohio State (5:14–9:24) Indiana’s matchup against Ohio State is explored in depth. Big East Ben highlights Indiana's strength as the number one team in "points per play defense," a contrast to Ohio State's offensive prowess. The hosts speculate on potential biases in officiating, hinting at conference politics to favor Indiana. Colorado at Kansas Analysis (10:37–13:02) Griffin and Ben delve into Kansas' defensive issues and Colorado’s strengths, noting Kansas ranks poorly in secondary defense metrics. Despite concerns over Colorado's running game, Ben predicts a Colorado win, emphasizing their capability to exploit Kansas' vulnerabilities. BYU at Arizona State (14:11–17:39) Arizona State’s success against the spread (8-2) contrasts with BYU’s recent struggles. Both hosts lean towards an Arizona State victory, citing BYU’s declining offensive performance and Arizona State's effective defense led by standout running back Scat. Texas vs. Kentucky Analysis (17:40–21:17) Texas' inconsistent performance is noted, with Griffin mentioning their struggles in maintaining large leads. Kentucky’s defensive resilience in previous matchups against higher-ranked teams positions them as a potential threat, leading to predictions favoring Kentucky to cover the spread. Auburn vs. Texas A&M Insights (21:18–23:21) Auburn's poor record at home against the spread, coupled with Texas A&M's inconsistency, leads to a cautious stance. The hosts discuss Auburn’s lackluster environment and conclude that A&M has a slight edge, although the game remains unpredictable. Player and Team Statistics with Context: Indiana: Ranked first in "points per play defense," highlighting their strategic defensive strength despite a weaker schedule (ranked 60th). Colorado: Boasts an 8-2 record against the spread, fueled by Coach Prime's leadership and a strong passing game. BYU: Struggling offensively in recent games, with performances falling below expectations and resulting in key losses. Kentucky: Demonstrates resilience against top-ranked teams like Georgia and Tennessee, keeping games close despite lower overall scoring. Texas A&M: Inconsistent road performance with only one win against the spread, reflecting potential vulnerability in away games. Betting Tips: Best Bets: Colorado (-2.5) and Arizona State (-3) stand out as safer choices. Unders on totals for defensive-oriented games like Indiana vs. Ohio State (51.5) and Auburn vs. A&M (46.5) align with statistical trends. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 20, 2024

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Wednesday. The guys talk the good, bad and ugly of the NBA right now and give out best bets. Conclusion Munaf and Mackenzie provide in-depth coverage of NBA matchups, focusing on underperforming teams like the Philadelphia 76ers and overachieving squads like the Houston Rockets. Key themes include the impact of injuries, team cohesion, and betting strategies based on trends and statistical data. Both hosts highlight their confidence in specific bets, such as the Cavaliers’ ability to bounce back after losses, supported by statistical trends and player performance breakdowns. The transcript emphasizes the importance of timely injury updates, strategic insights for game predictions, and engaging anecdotes about Thanksgiving traditions, providing a blend of professional analysis and casual conversation. Key Points 🏀 Sixers’ Struggles : Discusses the 76ers’ inconsistent performance due to injuries and a lack of cohesion among star players like Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, and Paul George. 🦅 Tyrese Maxey’s Leadership : Notable for calling out Embiid’s tardiness in a team meeting, potentially signaling a leadership shift within the Sixers. 📉 Paul George’s Underwhelming Performance : Critiques his high-profile status against his actual contributions, calling him overrated in terms of recent play. 🔥 Rockets on a Roll : Houston Rockets praised for impressive net rating and strong home performance, credited to team continuity and standout players like Jalen Green and Alperen Şengün. 📊 Bucks vs. Bulls : Milwaukee favored in a fast-paced matchup despite injury concerns for Giannis. Chicago’s road game overs are highlighted. 🛡️ Cavaliers’ Defensive Strength : Cleveland’s strong defense, led by Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen, is expected to dominate against a weak Pelicans team. 💵 Betting Strategies : Insights include statistical trends like post-streak bounce-backs, contributing to the selection of best bets. 🌟 Jalen Johnson’s Breakout : Highlights Johnson’s rise with the Hawks, focusing on his scoring efficiency and consistent performance. 🎯 Best Bets : Both hosts agree on betting heavily on the Cavaliers and suggest specific player props like Jalen Johnson’s over for points. 🎙️ Thanksgiving Anecdotes : Casual reflections on personal traditions add a relatable touch. Summary (with Timestamps) Opening Remarks : Munaf and Mackenzie introduce the podcast (0:10–3:37), highlighting a focus on betting previews and player performances. 76ers Struggles : Discussion about team dynamics and recent losses (3:37–7:50). Key quotes analyze Embiid’s form and Maxey’s leadership. Paul George Analysis : Critique of Paul George’s perceived underperformance and trade implications (7:51–9:08). Bulls vs. Bucks : Milwaukee’s advantages and injury updates discussed alongside betting leans (9:08–12:35). Rockets vs. Pacers : Houston’s strong home record and Pacers’ injury concerns are analyzed (12:37–15:57). 76ers vs. Grizzlies : Breakdown of potential Sixers’ bounce-back post-team meeting (15:57–20:08). Cavaliers Best Bet : Detailed analysis supporting a heavy bet on Cleveland (-13.5) against the Pelicans (23:05–28:53). Player Prop – Jalen Johnson : Advocacy for betting on Jalen Johnson’s over for points based on consistent performances (32:29–33:33). Thanksgiving Talk : Hosts share personal traditions and casual reflections (34:01–36:15). Closing Remarks : Munaf and Mackenzie summarize their picks and remind listeners about promotions (36:16–end). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 20, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the latest betting information on this weeks big golf event. Will breaks down the RSM Classic and gives out his best pick. Follow Will for the latest and most up to date golf information @DrMedia59 Detailed Quote Analysis [Will Doctor] (0:31 - 8:55) Will shares his experience at the Spirit International Amateur Golf Championship. Key points include: David Ford , leading PGA Tour U rankings, may earn full PGA status by May 2025 if he maintains his position. Team USA’s standout players : Jasmine Khoo and 15-year-old Asterix Talley dominate women's amateur golf. Team England’s resurgence : Matthew Fitzpatrick's influence and Dominic Clemens's collegiate journey highlight England’s promising golf future. South Africa : Players like Caitlin McNabb and Mexico’s Gerardo Gonzalez signal international growth. [Ludwig Oberg] (8:56 - 9:36) Oberg reflects on his recovery from knee surgery. Despite downtime and house shopping, Oberg feels rejuvenated, though his break from tournaments makes him a risky betting favorite. [Davis Thompson] (11:01 - 11:33) Thompson emphasizes his fitness and training, positioning himself for a strong finish to the year. He is highlighted as a future major champion contender. Player Statistics and Analysis Ludwig Oberg : Defending champion but risky after a two-month break and surgery. Davis Thompson : Improved significantly this year, finishing 34th in FedEx Cup standings. Siwoo Kim : Strong fall performance with three top-six finishes but inconsistent at Sea Island. Grayson Sig : Recent consistent top-20 finishes make him a strong pick for this week. Denny McCarthy : Known for excellent putting, predicted as a sleeper pick for a win. Team Statistics and Insights Team England at the Spirit Championship showcased future stars like Dominic Clemens, scoring a record 44 under par. Team USA dominated with strong individual performances, signaling a robust amateur pipeline. South Africa and Mexico : Emerging teams expected to produce major champions in the next decade. Structure and Key Points Key Betting Picks Favorites : Ludwig Oberg, Siwoo Kim, Davis Thompson. Top Matchups : Davis Thompson over Brian Harman; Luke Glenn over Andrew Novak. Top Sleeper : Bud Cawley to finish in the top 20. Predictions and Best Bets RSM Classic : Predicted winning score of 18 under par. Best Bet : Vince Whaley over Webb Simpson due to Simpson's poor form. BMW Australian PGA Championship : Cam Smith predicted to win. Insights and Recommendations Watch the weather : Harsh conditions at Sea Island could influence scoring. Monitor Ludwig Oberg's form : First tournament after surgery introduces risk. Bet on rising stars : Grayson Sig and Davis Thompson are in excellent form. Cam Smith for BMW Aussie PGA : Strong performances make him a clear favorite. Summary Introduction to RSM Classic : Focused on providing detailed predictions and insights. David Ford's dominance : A pivotal figure in amateur golf transitioning to professional. Ludwig Oberg's recovery : Risk of betting on a player post-surgery. Davis Thompson's rise : Steady growth positions him as a contender. Team England's potential : Strong performances suggest a bright future. Siwoo Kim's consistency : A reliable top-20 finisher. Best bets for the RSM Classic : Focus on players like Vince Whaley and Grayson Sig. BMW Australian PGA Championship : Cam Smith as a favorite. Weather's impact on scoring : Unpredictable conditions at Sea Island. Wrap-up : Predictions and end-of-year highlights for golf enthusiasts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 19, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 11 recap. Munaf and Fezzik talks teams on the rise and decline and much more. Conclusion The podcast delivers an intricate breakdown of Week 11's critical moments and betting implications. Fezzik’s candor about his recent struggles and the evolution of his betting approach showcases the importance of adaptability. Notable game discussions include the Colts' win over the Jets and the Ravens' surprising loss to the Steelers. Fezzik also provides power rankings insights, marking the Detroit Lions as the top team. He critiques Vegas sportsbooks for lagging in betting innovation compared to East Coast and international platforms. Overall, the episode serves both as a recap and a forward-looking guide for Week 12. Key Points 🏈 Game Highlights : Focused on "phony finals" like the Colts vs. Jets and the Ravens vs. Steelers games, detailing unexpected outcomes. 📉 Betting Woes : Fezzik reflects on a poor betting streak but emphasizes looking to prop markets for more niche opportunities. 🔢 Power Rankings : The Lions are ranked No. 1, two points ahead of Baltimore and four points ahead of Kansas City. 💡 Prop Betting Challenges : Discusses how limited Vegas options force bettors to rely on out-of-state collaborators for broader markets. 🚨 Quarterback Changes : Covers quarterback shifts, including Dak Prescott’s season-ending injury and the Giants’ move to Tommy DeVito. 🎯 Team Performances : Denver Broncos and Detroit Lions get significant praise for dominant performances, while the Jets and Falcons receive downgrades. 📊 Vegas Bookmaker Critique : Critiques local bookmakers for lacking variety and competitiveness in prop offerings. 🤔 Betting Approach : Recommends dollar-cost averaging and resilience during losing streaks as key professional betting strategies. 🎙️ Listener Promotions : Promotes pregame.com discounts for listeners, encouraging investment in handicapping packages. 🤔 College Football Oddity : Fezzik questions Army being an underdog against Notre Dame in Yankee Stadium, suggesting deeper analysis is needed. Summary Week 11 Highlights : The Colts narrowly defeated the Jets (28-27), with critical turnovers defining the game. The Ravens, despite outgaining the Steelers, lost due to multiple errors. Power Rankings Discussion : The Lions top Fezzik’s power rankings, emphasizing their dominant 52-6 win and consistent execution. Betting Struggles : Fezzik acknowledges his tough streak, pointing to prop bets as an untapped resource during challenging times. Game Analysis : Detailed breakdowns include the Miami Dolphins’ victory over the Raiders, marked by even stats but decisive late-game plays. Quarterback Changes : The podcast highlights major QB changes, such as the Cowboys’ pivot from Dak Prescott to Cooper Rush, and the Giants’ reliance on Tommy DeVito. Vegas Criticism : Fezzik critiques Vegas sportsbooks for lagging behind East Coast books in prop offerings, urging improvements in player prop markets. Biggest Downgrades : Teams like the Jets and Falcons were downgraded significantly for lackluster performances in Week 11. Bright Spots : Fezzik commends the Broncos for their win over the Falcons, though he attributes the result more to Atlanta’s poor play. Losing Week Strategies : Fezzik advises sticking to processes but remaining flexible by exploring niche markets during losing streaks. Listener Promotions : Encourages listeners to capitalize on packages during handicappers’ slumps for future profitability. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 19, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 11 recap. The guys also take a look at some upcoming games for Week 12. NFL Recap Week 11 and Week 12 Lookahead Overview: This discussion breaks down NFL Week 11's highlights and lowlights while providing predictions and evaluations for Week 12. Hosted by RJ Bell, with insights from Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers, and Scott Seidenberg, the conversation covers players’ and teams’ performances, statistical anomalies, and betting implications. Key Highlights and Insights Quarterbacks Over 40 Discussion: Tom Brady and Drew Brees remain outliers for sustained performance post-40 years of age. Brees declined but maintained efficiency; others, like Brett Favre, struggled once crossing 41. Analysis (RJ Bell, 0:34 - 1:32): Quarterbacks over 40 generally face a steep decline. Fezzik cites Favre's pre-40 performance as notable, but the panel agrees performance nosedives past that age. The Jets’ Downfall Fezzik’s Argument (2:48 - 4:13): With a 3-8 record, the Jets are effectively out of playoff contention. Despite early-season bets favoring them, their collapse was predictable, culminating in a series of losses despite being favored in eight games. Key Statistic (Scott Seidenberg, 4:26): The Jets were 3-5 ATS (Against the Spread) as favorites. Chicago Bears Optimism Game Breakdown (8:29 - 12:28): The Bears showed improvement against the Packers, particularly with Caleb Williams displaying mobility and quicker decision-making. However, RJ and others question the sustainability of these changes, suggesting next-week opponents will adjust. Key Statistic: Bears scored 19 points on only seven possessions, indicating offensive improvement under a new OC. Giants’ Strategic Pivots Debate (21:11 - 24:18): The Giants' decision to start DeVito over Locke sparked speculation about tanking for draft positioning. Despite Locke’s $5M contract and experience, the Giants appear to be prioritizing long-term evaluations. Insight (Scott Seidenberg): DeVito’s poor metrics make him one of the lowest-rated QBs in years, yet the decision aligns with a "long-term view." Surging Lions and NFC Superiority Lions Superiority (1:15:12 - 1:24:45): With 43.4% DVOA Super Bowl probability, Detroit leads the league in projections. Panelists debate whether the Lions’ edge stems from their path in a weaker NFC compared to stronger AFC contenders like Kansas City and Baltimore. Kansas City’s Waning Favoritism Critical Analysis (53:30 - 57:24): Injuries to cornerbacks diminished the Chiefs’ once-elite defense. Mahomes, despite elite status, has struggled statistically, causing doubts about their Super Bowl favoritism. Statistical Outliers Pittsburgh's Unique Wins (37:00): Steelers lead with five wins without scoring a touchdown under Coach Tomlin, demonstrating defensive resilience but offensive mediocrity. Conclusion Week 11 revealed the emerging clarity in team and player performances. The Jets’ playoff hopes collapsed, the Bears showed fleeting optimism, and Detroit solidified their NFC dominance. Contrarily, Kansas City faces scrutiny despite their legacy under Mahomes. Meanwhile, the Giants’ controversial QB decisions highlight potential long-term rebuilding. Week 12 sets the stage for pivotal matchups that will further define playoff narratives. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 15, 2024

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Friday betting. They guys go through the biggest games and give out a player prop best bet. NBA Dream Pod: Friday Night Insights and Best Bets The NBA Dream Pod, hosted by Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers, dives into Friday's NBA action, offering insights into Eastern Conference standings, key matchups, and betting strategies. The episode features discussions on the undefeated Cleveland Cavaliers, underperforming teams like the Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers, and a highlighted player prop for Victor Wembanyama. Eastern Conference Standouts The Cleveland Cavaliers remain undefeated with a +13 net rating, tied with the Boston Celtics for dominance in the East. However, the Milwaukee Bucks (20th in offensive efficiency) and injury-ridden Philadelphia 76ers struggle early in the season. Despite these setbacks, Joel Embiid is set to return and play a pivotal role in upcoming matchups, including a game against the Orlando Magic, known for their strong home defense and low-scoring trends. The Brooklyn Nets outperform preseason expectations, attributed to Coach Jordi Fernandez's leadership and contributions from players like Cam Thomas and Dennis Schroder. Though initially written off, the Nets prove competitive with strong ATS performance. Matchups and Best Bets Magic vs. Sixers : Orlando thrives defensively at home, missing key big men but maintaining resilience. The 76ers rely on Embiid, who may exploit the Magic's lack of depth in the paint. Cavaliers vs. Bulls : Cleveland’s 13-0 start positions them as a top contender, but their perfect streak faces scrutiny. The high pace of the Bulls could push the over in this matchup. Lakers vs. Spurs : Victor Wembanyama’s 50-point performance against the Wizards inflates expectations. However, facing Anthony Davis and the Lakers' disciplined defense, he is unlikely to replicate that success. Rockets vs. Clippers : The Rockets are favored in an NBA Cup game following a dominant performance against the Clippers, leveraging home-court advantage and defensive depth against James Harden. Pacers vs. Heat : With Tyrese Halliburton leading the charge, Indiana looks to capitalize on Miami’s struggles without Jimmy Butler. Their strong record following losses supports them as a solid pick. Player Prop Best Bet Victor Wembanyama Under 25.5 Points vs. Lakers Wembanyama’s 50-point game against the Wizards was an outlier, aided by 16 three-point attempts, well above his season average. Facing Anthony Davis’s elite defense in a slower-paced game, a regression is anticipated. Takeaways Cavaliers and Celtics lead the East with dominant starts. Bucks and 76ers falter due to injuries and inconsistent play. Nets and Magic surprise with strong ATS records. Player prop for Wembanyama underlines betting against inflated narratives. Rockets and Pacers stand out as motivated, value-driven teams. This podcast offers actionable insights, blending stats and trends to guide informed betting decisions for Friday’s NBA games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 15, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Reider break down NFL Week 11 player props. The guys also cover Monday night football and give out a best bet. Summary with More Details 🌟 🎙️ Opening Remarks (0:00-1:45) Munaf welcomes listeners to the NFL Week 11 Prop Show. Steve Reider joins after a vacation, sharing how he continued betting on offshore books even while away. A brief discussion on the Week 11 slate highlights key matchups and the clarity between contenders and pretenders. 🏈 Quarterback Props Will Levis Interceptions (2:23-3:56) Steve picks Will Levis to throw at least one interception (-145). Levis has averaged more than one interception per game this season, throwing picks in five of six games. He faces the Vikings’ defense, leading the league with 15 interceptions. Brian Flores’ complex defensive schemes are cited as confusing for quarterbacks, particularly young ones like Levis. Bo Nix Passing Yards (3:57-6:19) Munaf predicts Bo Nix to exceed 211.5 passing yards against Atlanta’s weak pass defense. Nix has surpassed this threshold in four of his last five games, showing improvement every week. The Falcons, allowing 280 passing yards per game over the last three weeks, are vulnerable, particularly in road games. 🏃‍♂️ Running Back Props Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards (6:50-8:08) Steve selects Taylor to go over 81.5 rushing yards. Taylor has averaged 5 yards per carry in four of his last six games and exceeded 100 yards in three of those. The Jets’ defense ranks poorly in rushing efficiency and allows significant ground yardage, making Taylor a favorable pick. Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards (8:08-11:22) Munaf backs McCaffrey to exceed 79.5 rushing yards against the Seahawks. McCaffrey, averaging six yards per carry against Seattle in his career, has thrived historically against their defense. Seattle allows 123 rushing yards per game, making this a favorable matchup for McCaffrey. Aldric Estime Rushing Yards (15:50-16:44) Steve bets on Estime to surpass 57.5 rushing yards as Denver’s featured back. The Falcons’ below-average rush defense, coupled with Estime’s increased role (82% of running back carries), creates a solid opportunity for Estime to shine. 👐 Wide Receiver Props Travis Kelsey Receptions (12:04-12:57) Steve predicts Kelsey will record more than six receptions. Kelsey leads the league in targets over the last three weeks, with 40 in that span. The Bills’ injured linebackers create additional opportunities for Kelsey to capitalize in this game. Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards (12:58-15:25) Munaf picks Ridley to exceed 55.5 receiving yards, emphasizing his growing target share since DeAndre Hopkins’ trade. Ridley leads the league in targets over the past three weeks and has surpassed 70 receiving yards in three consecutive games. John Smith Receiving Yards (16:45-18:22) Munaf highlights Smith’s increasing involvement in the Dolphins’ offense, predicting he’ll go over 32.5 receiving yards. Smith averages six targets per game over the last five weeks, while the Raiders’ defense struggles against tight ends. 🔥 Monday Night Football Preview Texans vs. Cowboys (20:54-23:58) Munaf and Steve analyze the Texans’ matchup against a depleted Cowboys team. Without Dak Prescott, the Cowboys’ offense looks disjointed, and Cooper Rush struggles to establish rhythm. Steve bets on Joe Mixon to exceed 85.5 rushing yards, citing Dallas’ league-worst rush defense. Mixon’s high volume of carries ensures opportunities to capitalize. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 15, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben take a look at this weekends CBB action. The guys also give out best bets. Throughout the episode, Warner and Ben’s choices and betting strategies hinge on statistical breakdowns and team dynamics. They conclude with best bets, including Warner’s pick of Purdue over Alabama, citing home-court advantage, and Ben’s endorsement of Charleston as a short home favorite over Florida Atlantic. Key Points 🎯 Auburn’s Resilience : Following a bizarre flight incident, Auburn rallied to secure a win against Houston, with key contributions from Dylan Cardwell and freshman Hod Pettiford. 🏀 Houston’s Defensive Lapses : Houston struggled with defensive rotations, with injuries limiting key players like Javier Francis, making it tough to contain Auburn’s offense. 🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Purdue’s Depth Questions : Purdue, while strong at home, shows weaknesses without star Zach Edy, and the hosts question the reliability of their backcourt without him. 🔥 Alabama’s Shooting Challenges : Despite a strong offense, Alabama’s reliance on outside shooting could falter against Purdue’s home-court advantage at Mackey Arena. 💥 Arizona vs. Wisconsin Matchup : While Arizona’s continuity in its backcourt gives them an edge, Warner and Ben debate if Wisconsin’s home-court atmosphere could disrupt Arizona’s rhythm. 📉 Marquette’s Inconsistent Play : Marquette’s strengths and weaknesses are apparent, with standout Cam Jones performing well, though teammates like Ben Gold struggle with consistency. 💸 Best Bets Focus : Warner and Ben share their best bets, favoring Purdue over Alabama and Charleston as a home favorite, using analytics from KenPom and Torvik to support their predictions. 💻 Promo Code ‘DUNK15’ : Listeners are encouraged to use the promo code for a discount, enhancing their podcast experience with betting tools. ⚖ Betting Strategies : Emphasizing home-court advantages and scrutinizing player stats, Warner and Ben recommend cautious betting on key matchups. 🚀 Rivalries and Drama : The Florida-Florida State game sparks a deeper dive into team dynamics and controversies surrounding Florida’s coach Todd Golden. Summary [0:14] Warner on Podcast Episode & Auburn : Warner introduces the show, recounting Auburn’s win over Houston, marked by a pre-game flight incident and Dylan Cardwell’s pivotal role. [1:03] Ben on Houston’s Defensive Flaws : Ben highlights Houston’s defensive weaknesses, particularly slow rotations and limited playing time for Javier Francis. [4:32] Alabama’s Challenges Against Purdue : Warner and Ben discuss Alabama’s lack of blowouts in early games and Purdue’s tight home wins, raising questions about Alabama’s ability to compete. [7:04] Purdue’s Home Advantage : Ben endorses Purdue as a slight favorite, underscoring the formidable home-court atmosphere at Mackey Arena. [9:16] Arizona’s Talent Edge Over Wisconsin : Arizona's more experienced backcourt puts them as a slight favorite over Wisconsin, despite the latter's strong home-court reputation. [12:46] Ohio State vs. Texas A&M : The hosts analyze Texas A&M’s continuity and Ohio State’s reliance on three-pointers, predicting a tough matchup in favor of Texas A&M. [16:32] Marquette’s Inconsistencies : Ben outlines Marquette's inconsistent play, particularly Ben Gold’s struggles, as Marquette faces Maryland on the road. [18:55] Maryland's Weakness : Maryland’s struggles and lack of significant early challenges suggest potential vulnerability against Marquette’s roster. [22:25] Florida-Florida State Rivalry : In previewing this matchup, the hosts touch on controversies around Florida's coach Todd Golden, adding intrigue to the in-state rivalry. [27:54] Best Bets – Charleston & Purdue : Warner picks Purdue and Charleston for best bets, citing analytical support and statistical expectations for a solid home-court advantage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 14, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL betting Week 11. The guys give out the best picks and much more. In the NFL Week 11 podcast, hosts RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg, and Mackenzie Rivers discuss betting strategies and game predictions, highlighting key matchups, player performances, and team trends. Here’s a breakdown of each main game covered: Eagles vs. Commanders : Fezzik supports the Eagles, citing their powerful offense and Hurts’ dual-threat capabilities. RJ Bell, however, sees potential in Washington, suggesting bets on alternative spreads for an upset possibility. Steelers vs. Ravens : Seidenberg trusts Tomlin's strong track record against the Ravens, especially with Jackson struggling historically against the Steelers' defense. RJ Bell prefers a bet on Baltimore in the first half, as the Steelers tend to pick up momentum later. Chiefs vs. Bills : Rivers backs Mahomes’ success as an underdog, while Fezzik leans toward the under, highlighting Kansas City's defense. RJ, however, predicts the game could exceed the total points, given Buffalo’s scoring potential and Kansas City's recent injuries. Raiders vs. Dolphins : Both RJ and Fezzik bet on the game under 44.5 points, predicting a conservative game with Miami leaning on the run if they lead and Las Vegas playing cautiously. Vikings vs. Titans : Seidenberg focuses on the Vikings’ strong blitz defense, which he expects to disrupt Tennessee’s rookie QB, Will Levis. He sees this as a mismatch that favors Minnesota. Packers vs. Bears : Fezzik favors the Packers due to Green Bay’s consistent success over Chicago and the Bears’ ongoing offensive line injuries, suggesting a bet on the Packers to cover. Additional themes include alternative lines , same-game parlays , and injury-driven picks . The “dead cat bounce” theory is applied, meaning teams may perform poorly following an initial boost after coaching changes. Injury impacts are discussed throughout, particularly for games like Chiefs vs. Bills. Key Takeaways : Fezzik and RJ Bell’s Divergent Strategies : While Fezzik often leans toward established favorites, RJ explores underdog opportunities and creative spread bets. Player Impact on Bets : The analysis includes how specific players, like Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, and Will Levis, influence outcomes, with betting strategies tailored to their strengths and weaknesses. Divisional Game Insights : Rivalries, particularly Steelers vs. Ravens, showcase historical betting trends. This podcast provides fans with insightful betting options, focusing on game dynamics, injuries, and unique strategies for each matchup. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 13, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down college football Week 12 from a betting perspective. Griffin and Ben both give out best bets. CFB Week 12 Preview & Best Bets In Week 12 of college football, hosts Griffin Warner and “Big East” Ben explore game predictions, betting odds, and the new 12-team playoff expansion. Balancing stats and insights, the podcast covers major matchups and players, offering listeners valuable betting advice. College Football Playoff Expansion: 12-Team Format (0:29-5:48) Warner and Ben discuss the expanded playoff model, highlighting its potential to engage more teams and fans. While the traditional "must-win" intensity shifts, the model supports more playoff contenders and allows teams a chance to overcome occasional losses without derailing their seasons. Texas vs. Arkansas Showdown (5:49-9:23) Texas, a 13-point favorite, faces Arkansas with QB Kaelin Green back. Ben bets on the over (57.5) due to Texas’ defensive inconsistency and Arkansas’ weak defense, predicting high scores. Warner, skeptical of Texas QB Quinn Ewers’ consistency, favors Arkansas to cover at home. Utah vs. Colorado: Comeback Test (10:27-13:54) Following a disputed loss to BYU, Utah, a 10.5-point underdog, must rally against Colorado. While Ben sees Utah possibly deflated, he trusts Coach Whittingham to inspire. Warner chooses the under (46.5), betting on Utah’s defense compensating for offensive challenges without QB Cameron Rising. Tennessee vs. Georgia: Road Challenge for Volunteers (13:56-16:45) Georgia, a 10-point favorite, hosts Tennessee, largely untested on the road. Both hosts predict Georgia covers the spread, with Warner expecting a low-scoring game under 48.5 points, due to Tennessee’s inexperience in hostile environments. Oregon’s Strong Away Record at Wisconsin (16:47-18:41) Oregon, favored by 14, faces Wisconsin. Ben trusts Oregon’s road performance, while Warner thinks Wisconsin’s slower pace could limit Oregon’s scoring, favoring the under (52). Kansas at BYU: Suspicious Betting Line (20:16-23:52) Kansas, a three-point underdog, faces BYU, which both hosts see as a “rat line.” Warner chooses Kansas to cover, citing their unpredictable away record, while Ben takes the over (55.5) due to close, high-scoring potential. Best Bet: South Carolina vs. Missouri (25:53-27:16) Ben’s top pick is South Carolina to cover a 12-point spread, given Missouri’s poor away record and South Carolina’s recent momentum. Additional Picks & Promo (27:26-30:09) Warner’s best bet is Arkansas covering against Texas, and he shares a $15 promo code “BOMB15” on Pregame.com. A sneak peek of the upcoming college basketball podcast adds a light-hearted close to the episode. Key Team and Player Highlights Quinn Ewers : Warner doubts Ewers’ consistency post-injury. Kaelin Green : Ben sees Green’s return as essential for Arkansas. South Carolina’s Momentum : Solid recent games make South Carolina a strong pick. Wisconsin’s Control Strategy : Warner anticipates Wisconsin’s slower style could counter Oregon. Kansas Road Record : Kansas’ away struggles prompt caution in their BYU matchup. Final Takeaways This Week 12 preview blends betting strategies with insights on pivotal games, key players, and the new playoff format. Warner and Ben’s analysis provides listeners with engaging, informative perspectives as college football enters its final season stretch. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 12, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers recap NFL Week 10. The guys discuss who these teams really are at the midway point of the season. In Week 10 of the NFL, analysts RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, and Mackenzie Rivers discuss surprising game outcomes, statistical insights, and playoff impacts. This recap covers the standout performances, stats, and key coaching decisions that could shape Week 11 and beyond. 49ers Narrowly Beat Buccaneers The 49ers secured a close 23-20 win over the Buccaneers, though they controlled the game statistically with 413 yards to Tampa’s 215 and 6.8 yards per play. Missed field goals kept the game close, revealing special teams as a potential weak point. Chiefs’ Controlled Play Against Broncos Kansas City edged out the Broncos in a tight game, leveraging a balanced strategy with both offense and defense ranked 11th in EPA. Mahomes’ team used long drives to manage the clock, emphasizing KC’s tendency to grind out close wins rather than pursue big margins. Steelers’ Defensive Edge vs. Commanders Pittsburgh’s second-half surge continued, defeating Washington 28-27. Coach Tomlin’s experience against mobile QBs was evident, as Pittsburgh’s defense effectively handled Jaden Daniels, helping maintain their high defensive ranking. Ravens Outlast Bengals with Analytical Play Baltimore’s efficient offense, ranking 4th in EPA, secured a win over Cincinnati, whose analytics-based choice to attempt a two-point conversion failed in the last minute. Analysts speculate Baltimore could be an AFC contender, though Lamar Jackson’s playoff track record leaves room for doubt. Giants’ Quarterback Woes in Loss to Panthers The Giants’ 20-17 loss to Carolina cast more doubt on Daniel Jones as their franchise QB. Two red-zone interceptions underscored his struggle under pressure, making his contract a liability and pushing New York closer to searching for a new quarterback. Eagles’ Dominant Win Over Cowboys Philadelphia’s offense shined in a 34-6 blowout of Dallas, recording the highest EPA of the week. Dallas had the weakest offensive EPA, suggesting issues in consistency. The Eagles are seen as NFC contenders, while Dallas faces coaching concerns under McCarthy. Cardinals’ Offensive Success Against Jets Arizona dismantled the Jets 31-6 with a record 91.6% drive success rate, exposing defensive weaknesses since the Jets’ firing of head coach Robert Saleh. The Jets have fallen to 32nd in defensive EPA, showing their reliance on Saleh’s defensive strategy. Lions’ Comeback Win Over Texans Detroit, led by Coach Dan Campbell, rallied for a win over Houston, demonstrating the team’s resilience under Campbell’s leadership. Despite five turnovers, Detroit’s energy and aggressive style proved pivotal in securing the win, keeping them in playoff contention. Conclusion Week 10 showcased the varied strengths and weaknesses of NFL teams. The 49ers and Eagles highlighted strong offensive play, while teams like the Giants and Cowboys displayed gaps in key areas. The Chiefs and Ravens are shaping up as AFC contenders, but both rely on close-game strategies that may face challenges. Meanwhile, standout performances by the Cardinals and Lions underscore coaching influence as teams head into Week 11. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 12, 2024

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 10 review. Sleepy and Munaf talk NFL product, Vegas and more. Key Game and Team Analysis Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints (2:47): SleepyJ critiques the Falcons' missed opportunities, noting their game stats were impressive with 11 more first downs and 100 additional yards. Yet, turnovers, missed field goals, and penalties ultimately cost them a game they could have won. Manaf echoes this view, emphasizing Atlanta’s struggle with discipline in critical plays, pointing out the importance of closing games for playoff hopefuls. Minnesota Vikings vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (5:21): The Vikings’ control was evident with 18 more first downs and 260 additional yards. SleepyJ calls out Sam Darnold’s mistakes, highlighting his three interceptions and the team's inability to convert strong drives into decisive victories. SleepyJ asserts that Minnesota's defense saved the game, given the Vikings' control over possession for 42 minutes. Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans (8:07): SleepyJ and Manaf analyze the Lions’ turnover-heavy game, with Jared Goff’s five interceptions keeping Houston competitive. Detroit’s defense was key, as it pressured CJ Stroud into turnovers, though both analysts feel that Houston squandered a winning opportunity. SleepyJ laments sloppy play across the league, attributing it partly to inexperienced quarterbacks. Trends in Player Development Quarterback Development Concerns (12:06): SleepyJ discusses the impact of NFL teams rushing college quarterbacks into starting roles before they are ready. He believes this dilutes the quality of play and suggests teams should allow rookies a season to adjust to the NFL. This has led to disappointing careers for former high picks like Baker Mayfield and Jameis Winston, who are now backups. Team Insights Trending Up (21:36): SleepyJ identifies the Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions, and Pittsburgh Steelers as teams showing upward trends. Notably, Josh Allen’s performance and the Steelers' defensive strengths bolster these teams’ prospects for playoff contention. The Lions, despite a challenging game, continue to show resilience, while the Bills address wide receiver issues effectively. Trending Down (18:47): Teams like the New York Jets, New York Giants, Dallas Cowboys, and Chicago Bears have struggled. The Giants' poor performance in Germany against the Panthers and the Jets’ issues at quarterback with an aging Aaron Rodgers raise questions about their playoff viability. For the Bears, a poor record on the road further weakens their chances. Betting Strategies and Vegas Insights Betting Strategy During Multi-Sport Season (29:15): With various sports in full swing, SleepyJ emphasizes focusing on NFL and college football at this time of year. He advises against betting on multiple sports simultaneously to avoid spreading analysis thin. He also recommends sticking with familiar teams in other sports for more targeted bets. The Chargers Outlook (24:53): SleepyJ critiques the Chargers, calling them “fool’s gold” and the most overrated team in the NFL. He believes their success is skewed due to weaker opponents and predicts a potential losing streak. SleepyJ recommends betting under on the Chargers' win total, citing a tough upcoming schedule with few easy wins. Casino and Gaming Preferences Craps and Casino Preferences (36:38): SleepyJ shares his preference for craps over blackjack and roulette, enjoying the open-table atmosphere and less crowded gameplay. He avoids blackjack, finding it unfavorable and too dependent on the dealer’s advantage. For a more relaxed experience, SleepyJ recommends playing video poker at the bar for a chance to unwind. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 8, 2024

Munaf Mani and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 10 player props. The guys also talk MNF and much more. In this NFL Week 10 betting preview, hosts Munaf Manji and SleepyJ dive into player props, team stats, and game analysis to help bettors make informed picks. Focusing on key players and team trends, they cover player props for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends, while also discussing the Monday Night Football (MNF) matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the Los Angeles Rams. Key Topics and Bets 1. Christian McCaffrey’s Return and 49ers’ Playoff Strategy Munaf and SleepyJ highlight the impact of Christian McCaffrey’s (CMC) return to the 49ers lineup. CMC’s careful reintroduction signals San Francisco’s playoff focus, with the team prioritizing a healthy roster over quick wins. 2. San Francisco 49ers and NFC West Race The 49ers’ offensive depth, including Jordan Mason and George Kittle, positions them well for a playoff run in a tight NFC West division. SleepyJ notes that playoff-bound teams, like Kansas City, follow similar strategies by carefully managing key player health. 3. Quarterback Props: Sam Darnold & Daniel Jones SleepyJ picks Sam Darnold to throw over 1.5 touchdowns, banking on the Jacksonville Jaguars’ weak pass defense. Munaf chooses Daniel Jones to surpass 203.5 passing yards, noting Carolina’s struggles against passing attacks. 4. Running Back Props: Kareem Hunt & Jonathan Taylor SleepyJ bets against Kareem Hunt going over 72.5 rushing yards, citing potential fatigue after a 28-touch game. Munaf picks Jonathan Taylor for over 19.5 receiving yards, relying on Buffalo’s difficulty defending against pass-catching backs. 5. Wide Receiver Props: Ladd McConkey & George Pickens SleepyJ recommends betting under 5.5 receptions for Ladd McConkey, expecting Tennessee’s strong defense to limit his receptions. Munaf picks George Pickens to exceed 63.5 receiving yards, citing his chemistry with QB Russell Wilson and Washington’s poor pass defense. 6. Tight End Bet: George Kittle Over 56.5 Receiving Yards Both hosts select George Kittle to surpass 56.5 receiving yards due to his key role in the 49ers’ offense. Kittle’s chemistry with QB Brock Purdy and Tampa Bay’s weak pass defense support this prop bet. Monday Night Football: Dolphins vs. Rams Analysis The Rams are favored to win against the Dolphins in a high-scoring game. With Cooper Kupp and other key players back, the Rams’ offense has an edge, especially given Miami’s potential road fatigue following a close game last week. Best Bet for MNF: Devon Achane Anytime Touchdown The hosts pick Miami’s Devon Achane for an anytime touchdown, noting his versatility and frequent red-zone touches, especially with Tua Tagovailoa’s quick pass preference. Conclusion As Week 10 unfolds, bettors are advised to leverage accumulated data for more reliable prop bets. With detailed player insights and game strategies, Munaf and SleepyJ provide a roadmap for those looking to make targeted bets, especially on key players like Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Devon Achane. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 8, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball Friday. The guys discuss this weekends action and give out best bets. "CBB Friday Preview + Best Bets!!" Podcast The "Need for Seats College Basketball" podcast hosts, Griffin Warner and Big East Ben, preview five early-season NCAA basketball matchups, offering analysis, stats, and betting tips for each game. The podcast covers notable players, team strengths, and home-court advantages, along with the hosts' recommended bets. Here’s a concise breakdown of the key insights. 🏀 Game Analysis and Key Points Kansas vs. North Carolina Kansas, ranked #1, showcases strong home-court power at Allen Fieldhouse. While North Carolina’s backcourt stars, including R.J. Davis, present a challenge, the team’s frontcourt is unproven. Griffin favors Kansas, but Ben anticipates a close game, making UNC a potential spread play. Houston vs. Auburn Houston’s home advantage positions them as favorites against Auburn, who often excels at home but struggles on the road. The hosts agree Houston’s depth and experience give them an edge. Both recommend backing Houston, especially given Auburn’s inconsistency away from home. Arkansas vs. Baylor Arkansas has freshman Boogie Flann, but Griffin and Ben question their overall readiness. Baylor, needing redemption after a recent Gonzaga loss, has the experience to secure a win, making Baylor a strong pick at current odds. Tennessee vs. Louisville Tennessee faces setbacks due to limited transfer success, while Louisville has strengthened its roster with notable transfers. Ben is confident in Louisville’s chances, seeing them as a sleeper in the ACC. Griffin still supports Tennessee under coach Rick Barnes, but Ben’s bet leans heavily on Louisville. Memphis vs. UNLV Despite a turbulent offseason, Memphis has a history of early-season success. UNLV, led by standout guard Dayton Thomas, presents a potential upset. Griffin doubts Memphis’s stability and favors UNLV as a home underdog, while Ben backs Memphis based on their strong starts in recent years. 📊 Key Team and Player Statistics Big East Struggles Against the Spread : The Big East conference has a tough start with a 2-10 ATS record. Houston’s Home-Court Edge : Houston’s returning lineup solidifies their early-season success at home. Louisville’s Transfer Boost : Key recruits like Chucky Hepburn add depth, making Louisville a dark horse in the ACC. UNLV’s Dayton Thomas : Projected as a future Mountain West standout, Thomas adds value to UNLV as an underdog pick. 💼 Best Bets and Betting Recommendations Houston over Auburn : Favoring Houston’s home-court strength over Auburn’s away performance. Baylor to Rebound : Baylor’s recent loss likely undervalues them, making them a valuable bet. Louisville as an ACC Sleeper : With a revamped roster, Louisville’s value against Tennessee stands out. UNLV as a Home Underdog : Memphis’s offseason instability enhances UNLV’s value at home. Conclusion Griffin and Ben combine in-depth analysis with betting insights, emphasizing stability, team chemistry, and strong home-court advantages. Their recommendations favor Houston, Kansas, and Baylor for early returns, with sleeper value in Louisville and UNLV. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 7, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers discuss NFL Week 10 from a betting perspective. The wiseguy roundtable also discusses election betting from a market perspective and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 6, 2024

-Discussing top 7 favorites in Cabo -2 matchups -2 outrights -Sleeper -FRL, scoring, best bet -Abu Dhabi HSBC outright For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 The Worldwide Technology Championship (WTC) at El Cardinal and the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship at Yaz Links feature prominently in this preview by Will Doctor on Pregame’s Golf Podcast. With insights on player form, betting odds, and course fit, the guide provides analysis and top betting picks. Event Overview The WTC at El Cardinal, Cabo San Lucas, favors high-scoring players with strong putting. It’s a prime opportunity for players vying for PGA Tour status. The Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, however, brings a stronger field for the DP World Tour’s playoff stretch in Dubai, featuring players like Rory McIlroy and Tommy Fleetwood. Key Player Analyses Max Graesserman (18-1) – Graesserman’s recent hot streak with his putter is promising, though his approach stats (104th in the PGA) and lack of wins caution against an outright win bet. Better value lies in matchup bets. Cameron Young (20-1) – Although a skilled player, Young has struggled with putting and hasn’t won this year. Doctor believes 20-1 is too high given his recent inconsistencies. Doug Gim (25-1) – A top pick, Gim’s scoring capabilities and recent runner-up in Vegas make him a strong choice for an outright win, despite occasional inconsistency across four rounds. Bo Hosler (25-1) – Hosler has shown promise but struggles with iron play and final-round stability, making him less suitable for a high-scoring course like El Cardinal. Harry Hall (28-1) – Hall’s scoring average and birdie potential make him an interesting pick, particularly in matchups against struggling players like Tom Hoagie. Lucas Glover (28-1) – Despite good finishes, Glover’s weak putting makes him a risky pick for a course demanding birdies. Matchup Recommendations Graesserman over McNeely : McNeely’s recent struggles with the putter make this a favorable matchup for Graesserman. Hall over Hoagie : Hall’s strong scoring record contrasts with Hoagie’s driver and putter issues, making Hall the better pick. Top Outright Picks for WTC Doug Gim (25-1) – Doctor favors Gim for his strong recent form and scoring ability. Harris English (30-1) – Although inconsistent with irons, English’s putting and experience make him a good candidate in a straightforward course setup. Sleeper & First-Round Picks Carson Young (Top 20) – Young’s course familiarity and recent top finishes make him a strong sleeper pick. Rico Hoey (5-1, Top 10 After Round 1) – Known for low first-round scores, Hoey ranks well for a first-round top-10 finish. Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Pick Nikola Hojgaard (45-1) – Hojgaard’s familiarity with UAE courses and recent strong performances make him Doctor’s choice for an outright win at Yaz Links, despite a tough season. Conclusion Doctor expects a high-scoring event at El Cardinal, with the winner likely needing 25 under par. He places strong confidence in Doug Gim and Harris English for the WTC, while Hojgaard is favored in Abu Dhabi due to his experience in Dubai courses. This preview guides fans with focused insights for strategic betting across both tours. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 6, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football week 11 from a betting perspective. Ben and Griffin both give out best bets. 0:06 - 0:31 (Speaker 3) : A coach emphasizes aggression, urging players to "out-block, out-tackle, and out-hustle" their opponents with a "no doubt" mentality. 0:31 - 1:26 (Griffin Warner) : Hosting the podcast, Griffin recounts his recent betting successes, standing at 6-4 on best bets for the season, and aims to continue his positive streak. 1:28 - 2:41 (Big East Ben) : Ben reflects on a tough week, expressing regret over betting on Nebraska, who struggled against UCLA. He notes Nebraska's failure to perform, underscoring a pattern of poor choices leading him to cautiously optimistic takes for future games. 2:54 - 4:16 (Griffin Warner) : Griffin observes that as the college season progresses, certain matchups stand out as "easy" bets, although betting inherently carries risk. He mentions the public’s heavy backing of teams like Nebraska and Pitt, noting that such bets often flop, highlighting a need for caution in popular picks. 5:06 - 6:32 (Griffin Warner) : Shifting to Florida vs. Texas, Griffin shares insights on Florida’s underdog status (+21.5) against a Texas team. While Texas has a strong defense, recent close games (such as their three-point win over Vanderbilt) suggest a potential vulnerability. Warner leans towards Florida covering the spread, citing Texas’s inconsistent performances. 6:48 - 7:47 (Big East Ben) : Ben elaborates on Florida’s momentum, noting their five-game streak of covering the spread, including a close game against Georgia. He believes Florida’s recent form makes them a good bet to cover against Texas, adding that the team’s underdog status adds value. 7:48 - 9:12 (Griffin Warner) : Griffin backs Ben’s optimism on Florida, acknowledging Texas’s tendency to play close games despite their top ranking. He adds that the 11:00 a.m. kickoff in Austin could impact Texas’s fan turnout, making the underdog Florida bet appealing. 9:14 - 10:08 (Big East Ben) : Transitioning to Georgia at Ole Miss, Ben is surprised by Georgia's narrow favorite status (-2.5). He highlights Georgia's weak track record against the spread (2-6), indicating this matchup could result in a high-scoring game, so he leans towards betting the over (55). 10:09 - 11:43 (Griffin Warner) : Griffin echoes caution with Georgia, noting that they often struggle away from home. He advocates waiting on the spread, as odds could shift with public betting, favoring a wait-and-see approach for a potential value bet. 11:45 - 13:06 (Big East Ben) : For Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina, Ben sees a "letdown spot" for South Carolina, who recently bested Texas A&M. He praises Vanderbilt’s disciplined gameplay and suggests they could surprise South Carolina, proposing Vanderbilt +3.5 as a solid pick. 13:06 - 14:00 (Griffin Warner) : Griffin supports Ben's Vanderbilt pick, attributing their steadiness to a lack of turnovers. He suggests Vanderbilt could capitalize on South Carolina’s post-victory vulnerability, recommending +3.5 for Vanderbilt. 14:01 - 15:53 (Big East Ben and Griffin Warner) : The duo discusses Colorado’s game at Texas Tech, with Ben recalling Colorado’s consistent recent form. He highlights their playoff aspirations and ability to win on the road, favoring Colorado to cover the -3.5 spread. 15:53 - 17:43 (Griffin Warner) : Griffin, however, is skeptical about Colorado’s spread value, suggesting that while Colorado may cover, he sees potential in betting the over (63) given Texas Tech’s weak defense. 17:43 - 20:10 (Big East Ben and Griffin Warner) : Looking to Alabama vs. LSU, they agree this game will be tightly contested. Ben highlights LSU’s home-field advantage, and they both advocate for betting on LSU to cover the three-point spread (+3) in a challenging night game. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 5, 2024

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers discuss NFL week 9 review. The guys also talk some election betting and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 5, 2024

SleepyJ and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 9 & 10. Fezzik becomes mayor for the day and we go rapid fire questions and Fezzik gives out an early best bet. Detailed Quote Analysis "I don't know how New Orleans lost to Carolina." (Steve Fezzik, 1:15 - 1:47) Fezzik expresses disbelief over New Orleans' loss despite statistical dominance. This reflects on the unpredictability in betting, where strong performances do not always align with outcomes. The analysis highlights how certain outcomes disrupt betting pools like Survivor contests. "Philly crushed Jacksonville… somehow they didn't cover despite winning the yardage two for one." (Steve Fezzik, 1:15 - 1:47) This insight points to betting nuances where final scores misrepresent on-field domination. Fezzik underscores that bettors face frustrations when obvious statistical advantages fail to translate into covered spreads. "Saquon Barkley looked amazing… that spin move backwards hurdle over that guy’s head." (SleepyJ, 1:47 - 2:37) This vivid play description emphasizes Barkley's standout athleticism, providing anecdotal evidence that showcases game highlights critical to player-based prop bets. "The New England-Tennessee game wasn’t as close statistically as it came down to." (Steve Fezzik, 3:31 - 4:10) Here, Fezzik discusses how misleading closeness in scorelines can be. He notes a trend involving teams struggling after playing Detroit, contributing a layer of strategic analysis for bettors. "Arizona… they haven’t had an easy game all year long." (Steve Fezzik, 5:24 - 6:05) Fezzik upgrades Arizona, crediting their resilience against a tough schedule. This shift to seeing them as above-average impacts betting lines and anticipations for upcoming matches. Player Statistics and Analysis Saquon Barkley : Praised for his exceptional agility and unique backward hurdle move, illustrating his value in fantasy leagues and in-game prop bets. Dak Prescott's Absence (8:49 - 9:29) : Analysis of Prescott’s injury highlights a strategic downgrade for the Dallas Cowboys . Fezzik evaluates backup Cooper Rush as three points below average, showing Prescott’s impact on team performance. Team Statistics and Insights Philadelphia Eagles : Despite outmatching the Jaguars in yardage, they faced difficulties converting those advantages into points. This analysis points to coach Sirianni’s aggressive play-calling that may affect future betting lines. New England-Tennessee : The game appeared more competitive than it was, illustrating how surface statistics can mislead casual bettors. Washington Commanders (7:05 - 8:22) : Noted as setting an NFL record for average drive length without punting, even against weak defenses. Fezzik views this stat as significant even when considering the quality of opposition. Arizona Cardinals (5:24 - 6:05) : Analyzed as an improved team based on a tough schedule, reflected in their solid win over the Bears despite turnovers. Speaker Highlights with Context Steve Fezzik : Renowned betting strategist, known for insightful analysis. His emphasis on trends and contextual interpretation of statistics offers bettors deeper strategy insights. SleepyJ : Hosts the discussion, adding personal betting anecdotes, enhancing relatability and engaging with Fezzik's strategic depth. Conclusion and Final Insights Fezzik's analysis throughout the transcript emphasizes understanding hidden variables in betting, such as misaligned final scores, impactful player injuries, and team performances against weak defenses. Key takeaways include the importance of evaluating games beyond box scores and the inherent risks in betting trends that seem reliable but have situational caveats. From surprising team upgrades, like Arizona , to discussing underperforming Chicago and Cleveland , Fezzik provides nuanced context for bettors approaching Week 10. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 4, 2024

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg tie a bow around the 2024 MLB season and take a look at the biggest Free Agents this offseason. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nov 2, 2024

College Basketball is ready to go for the new season. Big East Ben and Griffin Warner talk CBB futures and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 31, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers break down the best picks for NFL Week 9. Dave Essler also chimes in with his best bet. Key Game Analysis: Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears (3:42 - 7:39) : Fezzik’s Pick : Arizona, citing their extraordinarily tough schedule, which included playoff contenders, making them statistically undervalued. The Bears, in contrast, faced weaker opponents. Stat Analysis : Arizona has been competitive with an average of 5.9 yards per play, despite tough matchups. The Bears were outgained by 0.6 yards per play. Insights : RJ notes Arizona's strength of schedule adds about 3.2 points to their power rating, while Chicago’s easier schedule puts them at a disadvantage. Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants (17:28 - 30:16) : RJ’s Pick : Washington, highlighting their offensive efficiency despite red zone failures in a previous meeting with the Giants. Fezzik’s Counter : While he recognizes Washington’s strength, he backs the Giants, leveraging psychological factors like the Giants’ perception of missed opportunities from the previous match. Key Stat : Washington ranks seventh in drive efficiency, showcasing a strong, resilient offense. Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions (34:40 - 37:39) : Scott’s Analysis : Picks Green Bay as an underdog due to Matt LaFleur’s strong ATS (against the spread) record. He mentions the potential return of QB Jordan Love and compares Jared Goff's weaker performances outdoors to his success indoors. Trends : LaFleur is 24-11 ATS as an underdog, adding value to the pick. Cleveland Browns vs. LA Chargers (38:41 - 45:34) : Mackenzie’s View : Backs the Chargers, noting the Browns' defensive injuries and Justin Herbert’s improved performance. The game is projected to be close due to weather considerations. Fezzik’s Comment : Points out the Chargers’ historically solid road record and the Browns’ vulnerability without key defensive players. Additional Team Insights: Tennessee Titans : Noted for a strong defensive record (top 10) but facing offensive inconsistencies. Indianapolis Colts : Potential boost in performance with Joe Flacco as QB, creating optimism within the team for short-term success. Conclusion: This episode provided comprehensive betting insights focusing on strength of schedule, power ratings, and player performances. Fezzik’s main point on Arizona’s undervaluation against Chicago sets a compelling narrative, while RJ emphasizes Washington’s underrated offensive potential. The Packers’ strong coaching metrics under LaFleur and the Chargers’ road prowess add depth to their picks. The Browns' concerns with player injuries significantly impact their projections. Key Points: 🏈 Strength of Schedule : Arizona has faced the toughest schedule, boosting their value in matchups. 💪 Arizona’s Metrics : Despite a challenging schedule, they maintained respectable stats. 📈 Washington’s Efficiency : Top-tier in quality drives, suggesting a robust offense despite inconsistencies. 🏆 LaFleur’s Underdog Record : Historic success as an underdog adds weight to the Packers’ pick. 🌧️ Weather Factor : Potentially impactful for the Browns vs. Chargers game. 📝 Psychological Factors : The Giants seek redemption following close losses, affecting their betting angle. 💥 Injury Impact : Browns' defensive issues might neutralize their offensive potential. 🚀 Team Morale : Colts expected to see a boost with Flacco at QB. 📊 Efficiency Rankings : Chargers and Washington noted for high-quality drives relative to league averages. 🏆 Betting Trend : Teams facing difficult recent matchups may underperform in subsequent games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 31, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Reider talk NFL Week 9 player props. The guys have been red hot and are looking for another best bet winner. Key Highlights & Quotes Analysis: Start (0:00-3:15): Munaf introduces the show, emphasizing its success with a strong track record of prop bets (7-1 on Monday Night Football props). He humorously notes Steve's Halloween costume and recaps their team's recent success (10-2 record). Texans’ Stephon Diggs Injury (3:16-5:44): Munaf reveals Stephon Diggs' season-ending ACL injury suffered in Week 8, impacting Houston’s offensive strategy. Steve acknowledges Diggs' contribution but highlights potential struggles for Houston, particularly in matchups against strong defenses like the Jets. Ravens Trade (5:45-7:06): Discussion shifts to the Ravens acquiring Deontay Johnson. Steve calls it "an embarrassment of riches," noting Baltimore’s potent offense but questioning the need for more wide receivers instead of defensive reinforcements. Quarterback Props (7:44-12:09): Steve selects Jalen Hurts for over 213 passing yards due to his enhanced potential with key receivers back in play. Munaf supports Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing touchdowns, citing the Falcons' weak pass defense. Running Back Props (12:27-17:01): Steve backs Bijan Robinson for over 71 rushing yards against the Cowboys, citing Dallas’ poor rush defense. Munaf adds Kyren Williams over 91.5 yards, banking on his consistent recent performances and Seattle's struggling rush defense. Wide Receiver Props (17:02-21:43): Steve opts for Tank Dell over 56 receiving yards as Houston’s main target against the Jets, highlighting CJ Stroud’s need to pass. Munaf chooses Jamar Chase over 83.5 receiving yards against the Raiders, noting his crucial role with potential injuries sidelining T. Higgins. Final Player Props (21:43-26:10): Steve targets Breece Hall under 67.5 rushing yards against Houston, pointing to the Jets’ reliance on passing due to a struggling run game. Munaf predicts success for Devon Achane’s receiving yards over 34.5, emphasizing Buffalo’s vulnerability to receiving backs. Detailed Game Analysis: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Preview (26:11-32:57): Munaf and Steve agree that Kansas City’s strengths outweigh Tampa Bay’s, favoring a Chiefs victory despite an 8.5-point spread. They suggest teasing down the Chiefs and potentially betting on Tampa Bay’s team total under 17.5 points due to KC’s strong defense. Joe Flacco’s Role & Player Prop Best Bet (34:52-40:49): Steve notes Anthony Richardson’s struggles with decision-making, leading to Joe Flacco starting for the Colts. Their best bet is Flacco over 228.5 passing yards, aligning with Minnesota’s weak pass defense. Conclusion: This week’s analysis highlights the impact of injuries and team strategies on betting outcomes. Munaf and Steve’s insights point to Houston’s offensive adaptation post-Diggs, Baltimore’s potential overload of receivers, and strategic plays involving quarterbacks and running backs like Jalen Hurts, Bijan Robinson, and Devon Achane. The Chiefs’ Monday Night dominance over Tampa Bay is reinforced through team metrics, and Flacco’s starting role with the Colts offers intriguing betting angles. Team and Player Statistics: Texans: Diggs’ injury likely shifts reliance to Nico Collins and Tank Dell. Ravens: Second in EPA, underscoring offensive depth but hinting at defensive needs. Cowboys: Poor rush defense, influencing Bijan Robinson’s projection. Falcons’ Defense: Weak against passing, backing bets on Prescott. Jets vs. Texans: Expecting strategic passing due to defensive matchups. Vikings’ Defense: Strong rush defense, weak against passing, pivotal for Flacco’s bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 30, 2024

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers are back for this weeks episode. The guys talk the biggest games for NBA Wednesday and give out best bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 30, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down the biggest games for CFB Week 10. The guys also give out best bets. The Week 10 preview on the Need for Screens College Football Podcast , hosted by Griffin Warner and Big East Bend, offers in-depth analysis on notable matchups, betting strategies, and team/player statistics. Here's a detailed breakdown of key discussions, including timestamps, quotes, and insights. Introduction (0:31 - 2:31) Warner opens with a recap of previous picks, noting Big East Bend’s overall 4-2 success last week, despite an “egg” laid by Illinois. They discuss current bets at “50% for the season,” hoping for a strong finish, especially in bowl season. Ohio State vs. Penn State (2:32 - 5:39) Warner introduces Ohio State as a 3.5-point road favorite over Penn State, with a total score line at 45. Big East Bend laments the noon kickoff, feeling it dampens Penn State’s home advantage, especially since Ohio State has dominated Penn State, winning 11 of the last 12 meetings. Key injury concerns focus on Penn State’s quarterback, Drew Aller, who is doubtful due to a knee injury sustained against Wisconsin. Despite Penn State’s replacement QB, Big East Bend favors Ohio State, citing its historical control over Penn State. Warner echoes this, predicting Ohio State’s win, adding he’s “going under 45.” Oregon vs. Michigan (5:40 - 8:12) The hosts analyze Oregon as a 14.5-point favorite on the road. Big East Bend questions the line, mentioning Michigan's quarterback retirement announcement, which Warner predicts will move the line up due to Michigan’s weakened offense. Bend criticizes Michigan’s struggles and confidently supports Oregon, remarking, “Michigan’s dead.” Warner agrees on Oregon and opts for the under 45.5, doubting Michigan’s scoring capabilities. Texas A&M vs. South Carolina (8:13 - 10:56) This matchup sees Texas A&M as a 2.5-point favorite on the road. Big East Bend highlights Texas A&M’s performance against LSU but cautions against a letdown after that emotional win. Recalling South Carolina’s close losses to LSU and Alabama, Bend believes South Carolina will secure a crucial home win. Warner aligns with this view, supporting South Carolina and emphasizing the impact of South Carolina’s home crowd. Louisville vs. Clemson (10:57 - 12:49) Louisville is a 10.5-point underdog against Clemson, with a high total at 63. Bend observes Clemson’s recent success against weaker opponents, such as NC State and Wake Forest, positioning them as “NIT teams.” He contrasts this with Louisville’s history of close games, even in challenging matchups, and predicts they will keep it competitive. Warner supports Bend, taking Louisville and betting over 63 points, indicating confidence in Louisville’s offense to match Clemson’s scoring. Pittsburgh vs. SMU (14:29 - 18:32) SMU enters as a 7.5-point favorite over Pittsburgh. Big East Bend praises Pittsburgh’s defense, citing their five-interception game against Ohio State’s Kyle McCord. Conversely, he critiques SMU’s easier schedule, favoring Pittsburgh to outperform expectations. Warner chooses the over 58 points, expecting a high-scoring affair, especially given SMU’s recent games. Best Bets (18:33 - 22:52) Big East Bend’s best bet focuses on Nebraska at -6.5 against UCLA, expressing confidence in Nebraska’s recent form and dismissing UCLA’s “two wins” as weak performances. Warner’s best bet is South Carolina at +2.5 over Texas A&M, consistent with his earlier analysis on home advantage. In closing, Warner promotes a $10 off promo code “CATCH10,” inviting listeners to check in for next week’s updates. Bend humorously apologizes for prior audio issues and adds personal touches on the recording setup. This preview covers critical Week 10 matchups with emphasis on injury updates, team momentum, and historical performance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 29, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik and Scott Seidenberg look back on NFL Week 8 recap. Summary Week 8 Recap Jets vs. Patriots (Steve Fezzik, 0:35) : Fezzik downplayed the Patriots’ 15-10 win, noting they were outgained by over 100 yards. He questioned the Jets’ timeout usage in the first quarter, citing coaching issues. Josh Allen as MVP Contender (Scott Seidenberg, 7:18) : Seidenberg argued for Allen as MVP, noting his performance improvement, but RJ Bell countered, mentioning Lamar Jackson's similar stats. Bell also remarked on how MVP expectations have intensified in recent years, reflecting a shift in voting culture. Kansas City Chiefs (Mackenzie Rivers, 26:26) : Rivers praised Mahomes' recent performances, suggesting the Chiefs are finding their offensive rhythm with solid defensive backing. However, Bell observed that despite the Chiefs’ success, public enthusiasm seemed lacking. Washington Commanders' Efficiency (Scott Seidenberg, 11:18) : Seidenberg highlighted Washington’s strong net opportunities, suggesting head coach Matt LaFleur as a Coach of the Year candidate if Green Bay continued performing well. Fezzik noted their defense's red zone efficiency, an area the Jets could improve. 49ers' Rushing Dominance vs. Cowboys (Mackenzie Rivers, 50:05) : The 49ers amassed 223 rushing yards, with rookie running back Isaac Arendo stepping up. Fezzik also noted Dallas’ vulnerability against the run, which hurt them in this game. Week 9 Lookahead Patriots' Future Concerns (Fezzik, 45:43) : Fezzik speculated that Bill Belichick’s coaching style, despite defensive successes, might be limiting offensive effectiveness. Rams’ Fragile Depth (RJ Bell, 53:29) : Bell highlighted the Rams’ dependence on consistent health, as injuries to key players like Cooper Kupp and Nakua could jeopardize their season. Raiders and Dolphins (Seidenberg, 1:02:53) : Seidenberg detailed how the Dolphins’ defense struggled to contain Arizona, who edged out Miami 28-27, despite a strong offensive showing from Tua and his receivers. Conclusion NFL Week 8 featured key observations on standout players, team dynamics, and evolving coaching strategies. Fezzik’s hesitation to upgrade the Patriots, Seidenberg’s backing of Josh Allen’s MVP case, and Bell’s discussion of Chiefs apathy illustrated deeper trends within the league. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 29, 2024

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner discuss MLB Word Series Game 4. The guys give out a best bet after a great MLB Game 3 podcast. In "MLB World Series Game 4 Preview," hosts Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner examine Game 3, highlighting key plays, controversial calls, and betting strategies ahead of Game 4. The Dodgers, poised for a sweep, capitalized on early scoring and strong pitching in Game 3, putting the Yankees on the ropes. Munaf and Griffin analyze each team’s strengths and weaknesses while focusing on the pivotal role of Freddie Freeman and bullpen strategies likely to shape Game 4. Game 3 Recap Dodgers' Momentum : The game started with a key home run by Freddie Freeman, which set the tone and rattled Yankees’ pitcher Clark Schmidt. This early push allowed the Dodgers to control the pace, leading to an eventual victory that held even against late Yankees attempts to rally. Umpiring Controversy : Griffin highlights missed calls, especially against Gleyber Torres, that may have stymied a Yankees comeback. Both teams felt the impact of inconsistent officiating, yet these calls seemed to slightly favor the Dodgers. Player Performances and Analysis Freddie Freeman’s MVP Bid : Freeman's contributions, including early-inning homers, put him as a clear MVP front-runner. He has maintained steady, impactful performance, which has positioned him as the Dodgers' postseason standout. Yankees’ Offensive Struggles : Yankees stars Aaron Judge and Juan Soto underperformed, particularly with runners in scoring position. Griffin critiques the lineup choices, pointing out that DJ LeMahieu leading off limits offensive potential. The Yankees have only managed seven runs over three games. Game 4 Preview and Strategy Dodgers’ Bullpen Strategy : Game 4 is expected to be a bullpen day for the Dodgers, using their depth to challenge Yankees hitters. The Dodgers have capitalized on bullpen flexibility throughout the series, allowing them to adapt and keep Yankees’ offense in check. Yankees’ Luis Gil : Starting pitcher Luis Gil has shown promise but is inconsistent. He last pitched against the Guardians, allowing two runs in four innings. His control issues, particularly under postseason pressure, could benefit the Dodgers lineup, who are poised to exploit any early weaknesses. Betting Lines and Predictions : Although betting odds have shown slight movement in favor of the Yankees, both hosts lean towards the Dodgers due to Freeman’s consistency and bullpen depth. Munaf wagers on a Yankees’ team total under 4.5, challenging their lackluster offense. Griffin backs the Dodgers to sweep, betting on a confident bullpen performance. Final Stats and Takeaways Freeman's MVP Odds : Freeman is favored at -1800 to win MVP, leading with consistent scoring and a powerful postseason showing. Yankees’ Offensive Woes : With only seven total runs across the series, the Yankees’ scoring drought is critical, especially given Dodgers’ resilient pitching and offensive depth. Luis Gil’s Control Issues : Gil’s recent three-walk game against the Guardians adds pressure, as control and composure will be crucial in his matchup against the Dodgers. Conclusion With the Dodgers holding a decisive edge, Game 4 leans heavily in their favor. The Yankees’ slim chance relies on strong, early offense and solid pitching from Gil, though Freeman’s standout play and the Dodgers' bullpen depth signal a probable sweep to claim the World Series. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 29, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 8 recap. Fezzik and Munaf also discuss NFL week 9 and Fezzik gives out a few best bets. In the podcast hosted by Munaf Manji with Steve Fezzik, the two delve into NFL Week 8's significant performances, player stats, and contest updates, alongside Week 9 insights and power ratings. Survivor Contest Update (1:46): Fezzik shares updates on the Circa Survivor, betting on the Lions, and mentions his sixth-place position in the Circa Invitational despite recent challenges. Scoring Trends & Kickoff Rule Impact (3:08): Manji notes an 11-4 over trend, attributing it to new kickoff rules that enable favorable field positioning. Fezzik agrees, observing that quarterbacks need several weeks to find rhythm due to the shorter preseason. Strategy Shift (4:38): Fezzik highlights a shift where teams increasingly opt for long passes on third downs, offering higher returns, which aligns with aggressive plays seen from quarterbacks like Russell Wilson. Player Analysis - Jameis Winston (6:31): Winston’s impressive performance as a fill-in led to an upset over Baltimore. His efficient passing provided an unexpected offensive boost. Game Breakdowns & Phony Finals : Detroit vs. Tennessee : Despite a dominant score, the Lions benefited from exceptional special teams and field positioning rather than yardage. Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay : Although Tampa Bay led in yardage and first downs, they lost, indicating a misaligned scoreboard. Jets vs. New England : Fezzik describes New England’s victory as misleading since the Jets outperformed statistically. Despite the Jets’ 2-6 record, he rates them above-average but cites quarterback struggles. Chargers vs. New Orleans : Fezzik gives a slight upgrade to the Chargers after a well-rounded performance and identifies ongoing injury issues for New Orleans. Kansas City’s Defensive Edge (14:21): Kansas City’s defensive strength is emphasized, as the team’s solid defense would position them as favorites with a more potent offense. Coaching & Analytics (16:40): Fezzik underscores the importance of analytics in coaching, criticizing teams that ignore optimal two-point conversion decisions. He advocates for hiring analytics experts to guide decisions and avoid old-fashioned tactics. Power Rating Adjustments (20:14): In Week 9, Cleveland’s ranking sees a boost due to stronger quarterback play, while Dallas drops as defensive injuries expose vulnerabilities. Las Vegas Lifestyle Tips (22:06): Fezzik suggests Red Rock Canyon for scenic activities and recommends Mountains Edge Regional Park for a mix of sports facilities, providing family-friendly alternatives outside the typical Vegas experience. Dining in Vegas (26:42): Fezzik recommends Nobu’s beef Wagyu tacos and spicy rock shrimp, advising listeners on budget-friendly ways to enjoy high-end Vegas dining. Fezzik concludes with a college football pick for Connecticut over Georgia State, citing favorable game conditions for Connecticut. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 28, 2024

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg discuss all things World Series Key Points 🎙️ Game 3 Focus : The Yankees, down 0-2, must leverage home-field energy and bullpen strength to compete. ⚾ Verdugo’s Demeanor : Seen as "un-Yankee-like," his relaxed approach was defended as a strategy to handle pressure. 👨‍🔬 Judge's Struggles : The Dodgers' pitching has effectively countered Judge's strengths, exposing gaps in his swing path. 💡 Managerial Critiques : Boone’s choice to pull starters prematurely and the substitution of Cortez were considered costly errors. 🧠 Mental Pressure : The Yankees’ storied history adds pressure, making player relaxation tactics like Verdugo’s notable. 📈 Yankees' Odds : Despite two losses, the odds favor them in upcoming games, especially with home advantage. 📊 Betting Insights : Seidenberg suggests betting on Yankees' wins or series extensions, given the anticipated shift in momentum. 💰 Future Contracts : Towers predicts a substantial offer for Soto, potentially matching Shohei Otani’s recent record. 🎉 Fan Influence : The hosts note the Yankees' intense fan presence, likely to impact Dodgers’ players in the Bronx. 📊 Series Impact : Should the Yankees win in the Bronx, the podcast anticipates an increase in media and fan attention. Summary Game Stakes : The Yankees face a critical Game 3, with odds still in their favor for the next three home games. Winning these is essential to shift series momentum. Verdugo’s Attitude : While some Yankees’ fans criticized his relaxed pre-game approach, Towers supports it as a valuable method for handling intense pressure. Judge's Slump : The hosts examine the Dodgers’ strategic pitching against Judge, particularly focusing on the downward angle to avoid his swing path. Boone’s Decisions : Boone’s handling of the bullpen and starter choices, especially involving Nestor Cortez, are questioned for not optimizing key moments in Games 1 and 2. Betting Tips : The Yankees’ series odds remain favorable, and Seidenberg recommends betting on individual games or the over 5.5 games wager for the series. Yankee Tradition vs. Modern Relaxation : The traditional, stoic "Yankee way" is contrasted with the newer relaxed approach as exemplified by Verdugo’s pre-game attitude. Dodgers’ Strategies : They’ve executed an effective pitching plan against Judge and will likely rotate bullpen roles in Game 4. Player Contracts : Discussion covers Soto’s potential contract in New York, suggesting a long-term deal similar to Otani’s due to his recent performance. Fan Dynamics : New York’s fan intensity is highlighted as potentially intimidating to Dodgers players, adding another layer to the Yankees’ home advantage. Historic Context : Referencing past comebacks, the hosts underscore the Yankees’ need to capitalize on home games to force a return to L.A. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 28, 2024

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB World Series Game 3. The guys give out a game 3 best bet. MLB World Series Game 3 Preview - Summary Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner preview Game 3 of the MLB World Series with the Dodgers leading the Yankees 2-0 as the series moves to Yankee Stadium. Munaf summarizes Games 1 and 2, highlighting Freddie Freeman's Game 1 walk-off grand slam that turned a Yankees’ lead into a Dodgers’ 6-3 victory. The decision to walk Mookie Betts to face an injured but effective Freeman was crucial. Griffin notes Nestor Cortes pitching for the Yankees after a month-long break, suggesting bullpen management challenges for New York. In Game 2, Dodgers pitcher Yamamoto allowed just one run over six innings, supported by homers from Tommy Edman and Teoscar Hernandez, securing a 4-2 win and a 2-0 series lead. Munaf applauds Garrett Cole’s Game 1 start with six innings and four strikeouts for the Yankees, but offensive contributions from Judge have been lacking. The Dodgers’ bullpen, led by Jack Flaherty, has outperformed New York’s across both games, highlighting the Yankees’ dependence on bullpen depth in future games. With Game 3 at Yankee Stadium, a higher-scoring game is anticipated due to the hitter-friendly environment. The Dodgers, who have hit four or more runs in nearly every postseason game, will rely on consistency from the lower lineup, which includes standout performances from Hernandez and Muncy. Walker Buehler will start for the Dodgers, facing Yankees’ starter Clark Schmidt, who may require early bullpen support. This factor could favor the Dodgers, who have a deeper, reliable bullpen. Griffin and Munaf predict runs will exceed the 8.5 over/under total, with Dodgers’ hitters remaining potent. Shohei Ohtani’s shoulder injury, though expected to be manageable, could affect the Dodgers’ lineup if his performance is impaired, impacting how opponents pitch to Betts and Freeman. For bettors, Griffin suggests monitoring Ohtani’s status and describes market trends favoring Yankees in a must-win, while Munaf backs the Dodgers to score over 3.5 runs. Their best bets point to Dodgers as favorites, given consistent scoring and stronger bullpen depth, even with the Yankees’ pressing need to win. With Dodgers’ lineup strength, pitching, and bullpen advantage, the Yankees face an uphill climb in Game 3 to shift series momentum. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 26, 2024

SleepyJ and Mean Gene break down a few fights for the UFC 308 betting. It's the first time ever we had a triple best bet. AJ Hoffman agrees !! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 25, 2024

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL Week 8 player props. The guys also preview MNF and give out another player prop best bet. Key Player and Team Stats and Analysis 0:00 - 2:20 Munaf Manji opens by highlighting the NFL Week 8 prop show, joined by Steve Reider and SleepyJ, who discuss the excitement of the busy sports season. 2:21 - 5:17 Cade Otten is noted as a top player prop with 100+ receiving yards and Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ WR Chris Godwin sidelined. The Otten prop win pushes their Monday Night Best Bet record to 6-1. 5:18 - 9:44 SleepyJ and Steve Reider analyze Kansas City Chiefs’ acquisition of DeAndre Hopkins, voicing skepticism on his reduced effectiveness, with SleepyJ questioning Hopkins’ ability to separate effectively from defenders at this stage. 11:18 - 17:38 Quarterback props : SleepyJ suggests betting on Jared Goff under 238.5 passing yards, expecting Detroit to prioritize its run game against Tennessee’s strong pass defense. Steve adds Jamis Winston over 225 yards, expecting aggressive passing, given Cleveland’s struggles on defense. Munaf bets on Jordan Love surpassing 258.5 yards against a weak Jacksonville pass defense. 17:39 - 24:50 Running back props : SleepyJ endorses Devon Achane over 81.5 yards, due to Miami Dolphins’ dependency on his playmaking, especially given Tua’s concussion history. Steve supports Jameer Gibbs’ over 63.5 rushing yards, emphasizing Detroit’s reliance on him due to teammate injuries. 25:00 - 35:19 Wide receiver props : SleepyJ suggests betting on Courtland Sutton over 45.5 yards, foreseeing a bounce-back after zero catches last week. Steve Reider backs Khalil Shakir over 38 yards, highlighting his chemistry with Josh Allen. Munaf bets on Tyreek Hill’s longest reception over 27.5 yards, citing Arizona’s weak defense and Hill’s explosive potential with Tua returning. 35:53 - 41:41 MNF Giants vs. Steelers : Steve Reider discusses betting on the Giants +6.5 due to Russell Wilson’s inconsistency, despite Pittsburgh’s defensive prowess. He notes Tomlin’s ATS record is weaker as a heavy favorite, while SleepyJ recommends teasing the Giants up, expecting the Steelers to focus on blitzing Wilson heavily. 46:16 - 48:11 Monday Night Best Bet : Steve concludes with Devin Singletary under 37.5 rushing yards, due to a shared backfield strategy and Pittsburgh’s strong rush defense. Munaf and SleepyJ agree, citing Singletary’s limited opportunities. Key Points 🏈 Player Prop Success : Hosts have a 6-1 record in Best Bets for MNF, signaling confidence in their Cade Otten over 37.5-yard pick. 🔄 DeAndre Hopkins Analysis : Hosts are cautious about Kansas City’s acquisition, doubting Hopkins' current form compared to his Texans-era prime. 📉 Jared Goff under 238.5 yards : Detroit’s run game against Tennessee’s top-three pass defense is expected to limit Goff’s passing attempts. 📈 Jameer Gibbs : Steve recommends over 63.5 rushing yards for Gibbs due to Detroit’s reliance on his role in a potentially dominant ground game. 💪 Tyreek Hill’s Long Reception : Munaf favors Hill’s ability to go over 27.5 yards with Tua back, especially against Arizona’s struggling secondary. 🏹 Jamis Winston over 225 yards : Cleveland’s weak passing defense could allow Winston a high-yield day as he replaces Deshaun Watson. 🧩 Khalil Shakir’s Consistency : Shakir’s role in Buffalo’s offense is emphasized, with a recommendation on him surpassing 38 yards. 🧱 Pittsburgh Giants MNF Insight : The team suggests betting Giants +6.5, expecting Wilson’s inconsistency and Tomlin’s ATS weakness as a large favorite. 🔒 Devin Singletary Under 37.5 Yards : Singletary’s role is minimized against a dominant Pittsburgh run defense, supporting an under bet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 25, 2024

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB World Series between the New York Yankees and the LA Dodgers. Introduction Munaf Manji opens the MLB World Series preview, focusing on the final matchup between the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers . He and Griffin Warner discuss the excitement around this iconic matchup (0:10-1:09). Key Storylines Munaf highlights the Yankees’ key players, particularly Giancarlo Stanton , Glaber Torres , and Juan Soto , who helped secure the Yankees' spot in the World Series (1:10-2:27). He also mentions how Aaron Judge’s inconsistent performance was overcome by clutch moments. Griffin reflects on the duo's betting performance, noting a strong 12-3 streak before a few losses (2:27-4:18). Player Performances and Analysis Stanton and Torres were pivotal in the Yankees' AL Championship victory. Though Aaron Judge struggled initially, he found form late in the series. Munaf praises Soto’s critical home run in the series-clinching game (4:19-5:49). Griffin shifts to the Yankees' bullpen, admitting uncertainties, especially against weaker teams like the Royals and Guardians, but suggests that stronger competition awaits against the Dodgers’ deep lineup (5:49-9:26). Dodgers Analysis The Dodgers' journey to the World Series included key contributions from stars Shohei Ohtani , Mookie Betts , and Freddie Freeman (9:27-10:10). Munaf highlights how lower-order players, such as Kiké Hernández and Tommy Edman , helped during the postseason. He and Griffin agree that the Dodgers’ offensive depth is their biggest advantage going into the World Series (10:11-12:16). Pitching Matchups and Key Insights Both hosts express concern over pitching. Garrett Cole starts Game 1 for the Yankees, but the Yankees' bullpen has yet to be truly tested. Munaf notes how both teams face challenges beyond their aces. The Dodgers' rotation, led by Walker Buehler , is also a point of concern (12:17-17:42). Game 1 Breakdown Game 1 features Garrett Cole vs. Jack Flaherty (24:16-31:10). Munaf expects Cole’s postseason experience to give the Yankees an edge, while Flaherty’s inconsistency raises concerns. Both agree the Yankees might take advantage of Flaherty’s vulnerability early in the game. Betting Insights Griffin leans toward the Yankees for the full game, while Munaf prefers betting on the Yankees for the first five innings, relying on Cole’s dominance (31:11-46:28). They also hint at a possible over on total runs, given both teams’ strong offenses. Conclusion Munaf and Griffin expect a competitive series but favor the Dodgers due to their depth and experience. However, they believe Garrett Cole will likely outperform Jack Flaherty in Game 1, giving the Yankees a potential early advantage. Key Points: 🟠 Yankees' Strengths: Stanton, Torres, and Soto were key in the AL Championship. 🟠 Judge’s Performance: Initially shaky, Judge delivered late. 🟠 Pitching: Cole's experience contrasts Flaherty’s inconsistency. 🟠 Dodgers' Depth: The Dodgers’ lineup, from Betts to Hernández, is stronger. 🟠 Weather Impact: LA’s warmer weather may lead to higher scores. 🟠 Game 1: Cole’s postseason experience gives the Yankees an edge early. 🟠 Betting Insights: Yankees are favored early; Cole vs. Flaherty matchup may dictate outcomes. 🟠 Predictions: Dodgers likely win the series, but the Yankees could take Game 1. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 24, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers provide a in-depth NFL Week 8 breakdown. The guys cover the biggest picks and Dave Essler also provides a best bet. Player Statistics and Analysis The hosts touch on several players. Mackenzie Rivers mentions his 57% success rate over nearly 600 NBA plays, comparing his performance to that of basketball greats like Michael Jordan . Later, Scott Seidenberg analyzes the Bengals’ defense and mentions Sheldon Rankin's role in improving the team’s performance. The focus is also on Joe Burrow 's improbable 50-yard run and the team’s success, partly due to fortunate plays like kickoff returns. Devonta Adams is brought up by Scott Seidenberg for his inspiring post-game speech following the Jets' loss, which steers the conversation into a breakdown of team morale and leadership. Team Statistics and Insights Steve Fezzik offers strong opinions on the Philadelphia Eagles , his "five-weight" best bet, believing the Eagles, despite being underdogs, will outperform the Bengals. He critiques the line, asserting that the Bengals' home field advantage does not warrant the spread of 2.5 points. The Eagles are compared favorably to the Bengals, with Fezzik expressing confidence in the Eagles' superiority, citing their dominant performance against the Giants. Further, RJ Bell adds insight into why Cincinnati remains favored in betting circles, emphasizing the persistence of analytics in propping up the Bengals. However, he also notes that these metrics don't account for some fluke plays that favor the team. The Bengals are likened to San Francisco as teams that continually defy expectations in betting markets. Discussion around San Francisco's consistent support from bettors centers on love for their analytics-driven success. Quote Analysis Steve Fezzik (5:53) - "I'm sticking with the Philadelphia Eagles... plus the two and a half against the Bengals." Fezzik’s confidence in the Eagles is rooted in comparing their recent performances with the Bengals, even in spite of the spread. His analysis implies that the Eagles’ form is stronger than what the odds reflect. Scott Seidenberg (7:24) - "The Bengals were my best bet last week because of the defense being healthy... this is a different defense." Scott reinforces his view that the Bengals' defense has drastically improved, largely due to players like Sheldon Rankin , which elevates their standing. He contrasts weeks when players were absent and how their return boosts defensive stats. Steve Fezzik (8:26) - "Their schedule today is pretty cupcake... New England, Carolina, Giants, Cleveland—no murderer's row." Fezzik critiques the Bengals’ schedule, implying that their success might be inflated due to weaker opposition. This counters the idea that their record is purely based on merit. Key Bets and Predictions Philadelphia Eagles : Steve’s top bet, seeing value in their +2.5 spread, believing they are mispriced against Cincinnati. Cleveland Browns vs. Ravens : Scott sees value in Cleveland +9 , citing Jameis Winston's impact as quarterback, while considering the Ravens’ poor pass defense (ranked 4th worst in EPA against the pass). He backs this with a trend involving road favorites covering two consecutive games, which tends to regress. Miami Dolphins vs. Cardinals : The Dolphins are highlighted for their use of motion in offense, particularly when Tua Tagovailoa is playing, achieving 6.7 yards per play. Scott anticipates the Dolphins will exploit the Cardinals' defensive weakness against motion, predicting a strong win. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 23, 2024

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers will kickoff the new NBA season today. Mack and Munaf cover the NBA Wednesday card. They also offer up some future wagers and best bets. 🏀 RJ Bell's Dream Preview: NBA Dream Pod Wednesday + Best Bets (2024-2025 Season) This podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji with guest Mackenzie Rivers, covers the NBA's opening night games, team and player performance analyses, and predictions for the 2024-2025 season. The focus is on game recaps, in-depth discussions on betting odds, and detailed breakdowns of standout player performances, including Anthony Davis and John Morant. 🏆 Key Highlights Celtics' Dominance on Opening Night (00:10-09:10) Munaf kicks off by recapping the Celtics’ 132-109 blowout win over the Knicks, noting Boston's exceptional three-point shooting—tying an NBA record with 29 made threes. Mackenzie reflects on Boston’s efficiency, saying their net rating last season proved their dominance. Both agree that Boston's performance on opening night sets them up as serious title contenders. Key Quote : “This confirms every narrative that this team was disrespected and wanted to make a statement” (2:19-5:26). Lakers' Big Win Against Timberwolves (09:11-12:28) Anthony Davis shines for the Lakers with 36 points and 16 rebounds, leading them to a 110-103 victory. Munaf credits Davis for his two-way dominance and adds that the Lakers capitalized on turnovers and points in the paint. Team Analysis : Davis's leadership paired with improved coaching under JJ Redick positions the Lakers for a strong start. Player Focus: John Morant (12:29-14:55) John Morant is highlighted for his potential comeback and what could be a significant season for the Grizzlies. Morant's performance is closely watched due to offseason narratives about his determination to reclaim dominance after a suspension-ridden year. Betting Insight : Mackenzie recommends focusing on Morant's points and assists props, suggesting he will easily surpass 33.5 combined in games against weak defensive teams like Utah. 📊 Player & Team Performance Breakdown Player Statistics Anthony Davis (Lakers) : 36 points, 16 rebounds, 3 blocks. Davis remains crucial to the Lakers’ success, both offensively and defensively. John Morant (Grizzlies) : Expected to score significantly against weaker defenses, especially with limited offensive options for Memphis in early games. Team Statistics Boston Celtics : Set a record for opening night with 29 three-pointers out of 61 attempts (47.5%). Over 64% of their field goals came from beyond the arc. Lakers : Despite shooting 5-for-30 from three-point range, their dominance inside (plus-32 points in the paint) led to a win. They also capitalized on Minnesota’s 16 turnovers. 🧠 Strategic Insights Boston Celtics : Their reliance on three-pointers may not be sustainable throughout the season, but their depth ensures multiple scoring threats from long range. LA Lakers : The team’s success heavily depends on Anthony Davis’s health and leadership, especially as their shooting efficiency from beyond the arc was poor in their opening game. Memphis Grizzlies : Mackenzie emphasizes that the Grizzlies' fate is closely tied to Morant’s return and performance. Early struggles could arise from adapting to new offensive schemes and the absence of key players like Jaren Jackson Jr. 🔢 Betting Takeaways John Morant Points + Assists Over 33.5 : With a fast pace and weaker defense from the Utah Jazz, Morant should easily surpass this line. Lakers as Title Contenders : Betting on the Lakers is favorable with Davis leading the charge, but inconsistencies from beyond the arc remain a concern. Boston Celtics : Their three-point shooting prowess makes them a solid bet in high-scoring games, but caution is advised in matchups where teams can effectively guard the perimeter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 23, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for week 43 of the golf season at the ZOZO Championship and Genesis Championship. -Discussing top 5 favs at ZOZO -3 matchups -1 t20 -2 outrights -Sleeper -FRP, lineup, scoring, best bet -Matchup for Genesis -1 t10 for Genesis -Outright for Genesis Key Points 🏌️‍♂️ Xander Schauffele : Consistent top-10 finisher, expected to contend in Japan but not favored due to high odds. 🏆 Collin Morikawa : Defending champion, top candidate for a strong performance despite unfavorable odds. 🌧️ Course Conditions : Fast greens and forecasted rain make Narashino a difficult course, with fewer birdies expected. ⛳ Justin Thomas : Expected to perform well given his track record in Asia, although the host avoids betting on him. 🎯 Player Strategies : Emphasizes precision off the tee and hitting the fairways as key to success on this course. 🎰 Betting Insights : Odds and recommendations for top players, including why some high-ranking players are risky bets. 🏌️‍♂️ Hideki Matsuyama : Mixed results at the ZOZO, predicted to have a solid showing but not favored to win. 📈 Performance Trends : Discusses how players like Ben Griffin and Taylor Pendrith have recently fluctuated in performance. 💪 PGA Fall Series : Overview of the season's remaining events, with Doctor needing a sharp few weeks to improve his betting stats. 🇯🇵 Narashino Course Insights : Detailed description of the course’s challenges, with a focus on fast greens and the importance of good ball striking. Summary ZOZO Championship Preview : Will Doctor opens by discussing the key players—Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, and Hideki Matsuyama—who will headline the tournament. He sets the stage for a challenging event at Narashino Country Club, with a focus on precise driving and navigating tough greens. PGA Fall Series and Tour Insights : The host outlines the remaining events in the PGA Fall Series and the DP World Tour, noting that players finishing outside the top 125 at the RSM Classic will lose their PGA Tour cards. Player Form and Stats : Doctor reflects on recent performances, pointing out that players like Ben Griffin and Taylor Pendrith have shown mixed results. He highlights Taylor Pendrith's strong play at the President’s Cup and the Byron Nelson. Tournament Conditions : Emphasizing the difficulty of the Narashino course, Doctor explains that fast greens and long rough will make it hard for players to score, with weather forecasts predicting rain on Friday and Sunday. Past tournaments saw lower scores due to the course's toughness. Player Analysis - Xander Schauffele : Schauffele has strong ties to Japan, having visited family there before the tournament. Despite his impressive form, Doctor passes on betting due to the high odds. Player Analysis - Collin Morikawa : As the defending champion, Morikawa is expected to play well, but his 8:1 odds are seen as too low for a bet. Doctor would prefer better odds for higher returns. Hideki Matsuyama : A two-time PGA Tour winner this season, Matsuyama is another strong contender but is passed over due to unsatisfactory odds. His historical results at Narashino are mixed, with both high and low finishes. Justin Thomas : Thomas, known for his success in Asia, has struggled with driving and putting in 2024. He has made improvements to his driver, but Doctor avoids betting on him due to recent form and high odds. Betting and Matchups : Doctor discusses his top betting picks, including a focus on K.H. Lee and Takumi Kanaya for favorable matchups. He also places bets on Bo Hosler to finish in the top 20. Predictions and Final Thoughts : Doctor predicts a winning score of 17 under par if rain softens the course. He concludes with his best bet for the tournament, J.J. Spahn over Tom Hoagie, and previews the Genesis Championship in South Korea. For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 23, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football week 9 betting. Griffin and Ben also give out best bets. Conclusion The Week 9 preview focuses on critical matchups and betting lines, highlighting Boise State vs. UNLV, Notre Dame vs. Navy, and Texas vs. Vanderbilt, among others. The hosts emphasize Boise State’s star running back Ashton Gente and Texas’s bounce-back potential. Despite optimism for several teams, they highlight vulnerabilities, like Oklahoma’s disappointing season and the unpredictable nature of betting on underdogs such as Illinois against Oregon. Key bets are given for UNLV over Boise State and Texas A&M against LSU. Key Points 🏈 Boise State's Ashton Gente : Dominant running back, averaging "a million yards per carry," critical to Boise's offense. 🏈 UNLV's Spread : UNLV has been strong against the spread this season (5-2), while Boise State stands weaker at 3-3. 🏈 Notre Dame's Form : Coming off strong performances, Notre Dame is seen as a solid bet at -13 against Navy. 🏈 Texas vs. Vanderbilt : After a tough loss to Georgia, Texas seeks a bounce-back victory, but the spread favors Vanderbilt to cover. 🏈 Illinois as Underdogs : Illinois is a 21.5-point underdog against Oregon, with some optimism based on their past underdog performances. 🏈 Texas A&M’s Momentum : Coming off six straight wins, Texas A&M is favored to beat LSU, which has been slightly luckier in its victories. 🏈 LSU's Defensive Flaws : Despite a strong roster, LSU's defense is considered overrated, providing Texas A&M an edge. 🏈 Army vs. Navy Playoff Dream : Though unlikely, the hosts joke about the possibility of both teams reaching the playoffs, creating an unusual championship scenario. 🏈 Best Bets : Ben goes with Illinois +21.5, while Griffin takes Texas A&M -2.5 as their best bets for the week. 🏈 Betting Strategy : Throughout the discussion, the focus is on underdogs, value bets, and taking the points with strong reasoning for each pick. Summary Boise State vs. UNLV : The discussion centers on Boise State’s star, Ashton Gente. UNLV has covered the spread five out of seven games, making it a strong competitor despite Boise’s edge on offense. Notre Dame vs. Navy : Notre Dame’s recent strong performances, including wins against Louisville and Stanford, make them a solid bet at -13 against Navy. Despite Navy's hype, the game is expected to be one-sided. Texas vs. Vanderbilt : After Texas's loss to Georgia, the hosts expect Texas to struggle. Vanderbilt’s strong underdog record against major teams suggests it can cover the 18.5-point spread. Illinois vs. Oregon : Illinois has consistently overperformed as an underdog, covering big spreads, making it an interesting choice at +21.5 despite Oregon’s strength. Texas A&M vs. LSU : Texas A&M’s six-game win streak and strong defense give them an edge. LSU's luck in recent games and underwhelming defense make them vulnerable despite being talented. Oklahoma’s Decline : Oklahoma's season has been disappointing, with poor performances against South Carolina and others. The hosts suggest avoiding bets on Oklahoma due to their inconsistency. Under Life Struggles : Griffin laments his struggles betting on unders, noting painful losses due to last-minute scoring, recommending side bets instead. Army-Navy Playoff Hope : Ben humorously imagines a scenario where both Army and Navy make the playoffs, but admits this dream will likely end with Notre Dame defeating Navy. Texas's Offensive Woes : Discussion on Texas's lackluster performance against Georgia, particularly Arch Manning's unconvincing appearance on the bench, leads to skepticism about their ability to cover the spread. Betting on Home Underdogs : Both hosts focus on home underdogs like Vanderbilt and Texas A&M, betting on them to keep games close, especially when playing against high-ranked teams. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 22, 2024

Munaf Manji and SleepyJ talk NFL Week 7 and NFL Week 8. Fezzik's Focus NFL Week 8 - Detailed Summary Conclusion This week's discussion explored several key NFL games and outcomes from Week 7, where Sleepy J and Munaf Manji delved into phony finals, reflecting on how turnovers and penalties influenced final scores. They agreed that the Rams were outplayed by the Raiders, but turnovers changed the outcome. Similarly, the Seahawks' 20-point victory over the Falcons was misleading due to Atlanta’s errors. The Texans were also highlighted as needing improvement despite winning against the Packers, mostly due to turnovers. The duo also touched on MVP favorites and future odds, emphasizing the importance of careful betting strategies based on situational factors. Key Points Raiders vs. Rams : Despite a win, the Rams were lucky due to turnovers by the Raiders. The stats suggest the Raiders outplayed the Rams. Seahawks vs. Falcons : Seattle’s 20-point win was misleading, as Atlanta beat themselves with penalties and turnovers. Statistically, the game was much closer. Texans vs. Packers : Despite a two-point Packers win, stats showed the Texans were underwhelming, and turnovers were key to keeping it close. Player Statistics : CJ Stroud's weak performance (10 of 21 for 86 yards) sparked discussion about his potential sophomore slump. Turnovers and Penalties : Across multiple games, turnovers and penalties played crucial roles in misleading final scores, including Atlanta's errors against Seattle. Sleepy’s Betting Insights : Be cautious after a big betting week, as lines may overcompensate. MVP Odds : Lamar Jackson emerged as a top MVP contender after his Monday Night performance, overtaking Patrick Mahomes. Futures Talk : Sleepy J suggests the Vikings and Jets could offer value in future markets based on their schedules and potential for winning streaks. Vegas Tips : Sleepy shares some of his favorite off-strip food spots in Las Vegas, including Greek and Venezuelan eateries. Best Bets : Sleepy recommends bets for the upcoming week, favoring the Vikings, Falcons, Jets, and Texans. Summary Raiders vs. Rams : and agree the Raiders played better, but turnovers led to the Rams’ win. Raiders had more plays (75 to 52), yet Rams capitalized on key turnovers. Seahawks vs. Falcons : highlights how Atlanta’s penalties and turnovers, including two interceptions, gifted Seattle a 20-point win. Seattle’s defensive pressure was a factor, but it wasn’t as dominant as the score suggests. Texans vs. Packers : points out CJ Stroud's disappointing performance with only 86 passing yards, contributing to the Texans’ struggles despite winning the turnover battle 3-0. Ravens vs. Buccaneers : discusses Baltimore's misleading win as Tampa Bay scored twice late in the game, benefitting from a prevent defense. MVP Favorites : lists Lamar Jackson as the new MVP favorite after his Monday Night Football performance, ahead of Mahomes and Josh Allen. Sleepy J supports betting on potential MVP candidates like Jordan Love and CJ Stroud. Phony Finals Analysis : emphasizes the importance of recognizing misleading results due to turnovers or late-game plays to avoid betting traps the following week. Sleepy’s Betting Process : shares his approach, preferring situational analysis over strict power ratings, noting that over-reliance on power rankings can mislead. Vikings and Jets Futures : suggests betting on the Vikings and Jets, predicting these teams will gain value as the season progresses. Vegas Off-Strip Food Recommendations : shares tips on where to eat off the Vegas strip, including authentic Greek and Venezuelan food. Best Bets : recommends betting on the Vikings against the Rams, and a teaser involving the Jets and Texans. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 22, 2024

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL as they recap all the action for NFL Week 7. The guys also take a look at NFL week 8 and Mackenzie offers up a best bet. In-Depth Quote Analysis Mackenzie Rivers (00:01-00:06) opens the show with a playful remark about how "Whatever happens here, stays here" in Vegas, setting a lighthearted tone before diving into serious analysis. RJ Bell (00:06-00:30) quickly outlines the session’s plan, noting that Fez is off but promises a thorough review with Mackenzie and Scott providing in-depth commentary. RJ mentions that he put extra work into this episode, signaling a more detailed approach to the week’s recap. Scott Seidenberg (00:30-01:48) kicks off with the Jacksonville Jaguars’ 32-16 win over the Patriots at Wembley Stadium. He highlights Tank Bigsby’s emergence as the Jaguars’ lead running back, contrasting his performance against a relatively inactive Travis Etienne. He praises Bigsby for leading the league in rushing yards per carry among those with fewer carries, ranking 4th in rushing yards over expected (RYOE) despite only 67 carries compared to other top backs like Derrick Henry. RJ Bell (02:06-02:13) humorously interrupts Scott to debate Trevor Lawrence's career, joking that Lawrence has never been "good" outside of Clemson. Despite this, both analysts agree that the Jaguars outperformed their expected margin of victory based on the statistical data, although they debate if it should’ve been a closer game. Mackenzie Rivers (05:29-05:41) notes Jacksonville’s strong record after returning from neutral-site games without a bye, further supporting Jacksonville's increasing resilience. Scott Seidenberg (06:41-07:14) moves on to Seattle's 34-14 victory over Atlanta. He notes that the final score doesn’t reflect the true competitiveness of the game, highlighting key moments like a strip-sack touchdown that inflated the final margin. RJ Bell confirms the stats agree, saying Atlanta should have lost by just 2.5 points, rather than 20. Scott Seidenberg (11:10-12:12) praises Buffalo's dominant 34-10 win over the Titans, especially Josh Allen's performance. Scott believes Allen is making an MVP case, noting his clean play without interceptions. RJ adds that while Buffalo looks strong, he questions whether they can survive the playoff gauntlet against teams like Kansas City and Baltimore. Scott Seidenberg (13:42-14:10) then covers the Bengals’ 21-14 win over the Browns, describing Cleveland’s inability to overcome Cincinnati’s solid defensive play. Scott points out that penalties hurt Cleveland's chances and suggests the game could have been more one-sided without a late touchdown by the Browns. Player Statistics and Analysis Tank Bigsby (Jacksonville): Scott Seidenberg highlights Bigsby’s efficiency, ranking 4th in the NFL in rushing yards over expected despite having only 67 carries. Bigsby's emergence shifts Jacksonville's offensive balance, offering critical support for QB Trevor Lawrence. Josh Allen (Buffalo): Allen’s improved decision-making is evident as he remains interception-free through seven weeks. His MVP potential is noted, especially given Buffalo's 5-2 record after the Titans game. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville): Lawrence’s performance is a topic of debate, with RJ Bell quipping about Lawrence’s struggles since Clemson. However, Jacksonville’s offensive improvements, bolstered by Bigsby’s rise, may provide Lawrence a chance to regain form. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 21, 2024

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg preview the World Series Key Points ⚾ World Series Set : The Yankees and Dodgers face off for the first time since 1981. 🧑‍⚖️ Pitching Concerns : The Dodgers will rely heavily on their bullpen due to a lack of starters, while the Yankees have a stronger bullpen and rotation depth. 💥 Reliever Fatigue : Both hosts stress that relievers’ effectiveness diminishes when faced multiple times, potentially benefiting the Yankees against the Dodgers. 🏆 MVP Prediction : Seidenberg backs Gleyber Torres for World Series MVP, citing his excellent postseason form, while Towers picks Freddie Freeman. 📉 Dodgers’ Relievers : Seidenberg highlights the Dodgers' bullpen performance stats, noting Blake Trinen as a standout. 🥇 Offensive Leaders : Juan Soto and Aaron Judge are expected to be pivotal for their teams, both coming off strong postseasons. 🔢 Team Stats : The Dodgers finished the regular season with a better record, giving them home-field advantage. 🔄 Yankees’ Playoff Strategy : The Yankees’ bullpen strategy is seen as a potential game-changer, with relievers like Luke Weaver performing well under pressure. 🎲 Historical Context : The series marks a historic matchup between league home run leaders, reminiscent of legendary contests like Mantle vs. Snyder (1956). 💰 Financial Insight : Both hosts speculate on player earnings and postseason bonuses, discussing the potential for record-breaking figures in this World Series. Summary Introduction : Seidenberg and Towers introduce the World Series matchup between the Yankees and Dodgers, reflecting on the long history between these two teams and how both were expected to reach the finals. Pitching Discussions : Early in the conversation, Towers criticizes the strategy of using relievers like Edwin Diaz and Emmanuel Clase too early in games, emphasizing that relievers’ routines and performance can suffer when used outside their comfort zone. Yankees' Strategy : The Yankees are seen as benefitting from their relievers facing opponents repeatedly, which could give them an edge. Seidenberg provides statistics showing that batters hit significantly better against relievers when faced multiple times in a series. Dodgers’ Bullpen : Despite praising Dodgers’ relievers, including Blake Trinen, Towers mentions the challenge of having to rely on the bullpen more heavily in the absence of a deep starting rotation. This dynamic could tilt the series in favor of the Yankees, who have a more balanced pitching staff. Game Predictions : Both hosts predict a competitive series but agree that the Yankees might win due to their ability to exploit the Dodgers’ bullpen. They also note the challenges the Yankees face, especially in game one, where Garrett Cole will start against a tough Dodgers lineup. Player Analysis : Several players, including Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, Freddie Freeman, and Juan Soto, are highlighted for their postseason performances. Judge’s consistency and Soto’s power make them key players, while Towers predicts a resurgence from Freeman. Historical Matchup : The episode discusses the rarity of having each league's home run leader facing off in the World Series, drawing comparisons to historic matchups like Mantle vs. Snyder. MVP Picks : Seidenberg and Towers both speculate on World Series MVP candidates. Seidenberg favors Gleyber Torres due to his postseason success, while Towers opts for Freddie Freeman, predicting a strong performance. Team Dynamics : The Yankees’ base running struggles and the Dodgers’ defensive consistency are discussed. The Yankees’ ability to adapt their bullpen usage could be a critical factor in the series outcome. Final Thoughts : The episode concludes with predictions, including Seidenberg’s belief that the Yankees will win the World Series in five games, citing their bullpen depth and ability to adapt to the Dodgers’ pitching. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 18, 2024

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider break down NFL Week 7 player props. Key Quotes and Analyses Munaf Manji (0:02 - 1:02): Munaf kicks off the show with a recap of his 5-1 success in player props through Week 6, emphasizing how his Monday Night Football prop for Brees Hall went over 14.5 rush attempts. He highlights this win as part of his excellent record. Analysis : Munaf focuses on how in-depth research into coaching decisions (Jets’ decision to focus on the run game) helped nail this bet. His consistent approach shows the importance of understanding team strategy shifts. Steve Reider (1:03 - 1:49): Steve recounts his viral Twitter moment, explaining how his son disguised a pumpkin as Knicks’ Jalen Brunson , leading to retweets from Josh Hart and ESPN’s interest. Analysis : While a lighthearted personal moment, Steve’s story draws parallels to how unexpected moments, much like in betting, can lead to widespread recognition. Munaf Manji (2:26 - 4:33): Munaf transitions into discussing the trade of Davante Adams to the New York Jets. He predicts the reunion with Aaron Rodgers will spark the Jets' offense, although he expresses uncertainty about the trade's impact on the Jets’ Super Bowl aspirations. Analysis : Munaf underscores that the trade might not immediately push the Jets into contention, but it could create synergy between Adams and Rodgers, potentially bolstering their playoff hopes. Steve Reider (4:34 - 5:41): Steve notes that while the Jets may not be Super Bowl contenders yet, they needed a major move like acquiring Adams. He suggests the team’s goal is more about maintaining face and playoff hopes rather than winning it all this season. Analysis : Steve believes the Jets are pot-committed to short-term gains, even if Adams’ impact might not be fully felt immediately. The emphasis here is on momentum building within the organization. Player and Team Statistics Analysis Brees Hall : Rush attempts in the last game: 16 , over the 14.5 prop line. Munaf’s take: Hall was integral to Jets’ success due to a shift in coaching strategy that emphasized running, a key insight that led to the successful bet. Davante Adams Trade : Moving to the Jets to pair with Aaron Rodgers . Key Insight: While this may not make the Jets Super Bowl favorites, it does elevate their offensive potential, particularly with the familiarity between Adams and Rodgers. Amari Cooper Trade : Traded from the Browns to the Bills, filling the void left by Stefon Diggs . Munaf’s take : This was a necessary move for the Bills, who needed a strong receiver, but Cooper’s lack of recent production raises questions about his immediate impact. Monday Night Football Preview Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers : Munaf : Predicts a high-scoring game, especially after the Buccaneers’ offensive explosion last week (51 points against the Saints). He feels the Ravens are in prime position, having won four straight after a tough start. Steve : Leaning toward the Buccaneers due to the +3.5 spread , but hesitates due to the Ravens' strong run defense and Lamar Jackson's ability to win NFC matchups. Sleepy J : Sides with the Ravens , stating they may soon be recognized as the best team in the league. Key Player Props for Week 7 Geno Smith : Prop: Over 259 passing yards Steve’s analysis: Geno has exceeded this number in five straight games, and with the Falcons’ weak pass rush, Smith should have a big game. Drake May : Prop: Over 204 passing yards Sleepy J’s analysis: May is expected to have a breakout game against the Jaguars' struggling defense , which ranks near the bottom in the league. Joe Mixon : Prop: Over 62.5 rushing yards Steve’s take: Mixon has been a key part of the Texans' offense since the trade, especially after recovering from injury. He expects a heavy workload due to the Packers’ defense. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 17, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 7 betting. The guys give out their best picks for this week and much more. Speaker Insights and Key Moments (Timestamps included): RJ Bell (0:05 - 1:49) introduces the show, reflecting on a poor betting week. He promotes a $777 basketball season deal for picks, highlighting Mackenzie's 57% win rate over nearly 600 NBA plays. Steve Fezzik (2:21 - 2:31) humorously discusses his difficulties in getting Mackenzie's picks, acknowledging Mackenzie's NBA betting success. RJ refers to Mackenzie as an NBA betting superstar. Steve Fezzik (4:05 - 4:46) discusses home underdogs' historically bad performance, going 0-10 against the spread, a statistical anomaly. Fezzik states, “This won’t happen again in my lifetime,” emphasizing the rarity of this outcome. Scott Seidenberg (5:15 - 5:20) confirms that road favorites went 9-0 ATS (against the spread), marking the most covers by road favorites since the merger. The streak extends to 12-0 if combining the results of Weeks 5 and 6. RJ Bell (6:09 - 6:40) reflects on road favorites' performance and mentions how blindly following trends, such as backing road favorites, can lead to disaster. He believes this was the worst week in their betting history. Steve Fezzik (7:10 - 7:33) provides insight into a betting strategy involving Jacksonville's line movement before the game. He discusses the potential for cash-out strategies in betting but acknowledges that they often favor the sportsbook. RJ Bell (9:55 - 10:31) engages in a philosophical discussion about hedging, illustrating how life-changing money influences betting decisions, referencing a hypothetical $35 million cash-out on a $50 million proposition. Steve Fezzik (13:41 - 13:50) compares the unpredictability of the NFL to a roulette wheel, underscoring the randomness of recent betting outcomes and the challenge of predicting future results. Steve Fezzik (20:12 - 20:46) presents a compelling case for betting on Tennessee (+9), supported by advanced statistics. He compares teams' yards per play, showing that Tennessee's defense is among the best in the NFL, even slightly better than Buffalo’s defense. Fezzik believes this makes Tennessee a valuable underdog bet. Scott Seidenberg (21:23 - 21:33) briefly supports Tennessee, echoing Fezzik's sentiment about the volatility of last week’s results. He points out that this week might be favorable for the underdogs, including Tennessee. RJ Bell (23:28 - 24:17) discusses Buffalo’s declining status from being perceived as a top-five team earlier in the season. Despite this, Bell believes Buffalo remains overvalued, particularly when laying 9.5 points. Steve Fezzik (25:15 - 25:23) analyzes Amari Cooper’s value to the Buffalo offense, initially rating him as only worth a half-point boost in betting lines, but admits Cooper’s value might increase with more integration into Buffalo’s system. Scott Seidenberg (29:53 - 30:07) analyzes trends involving teams coming off 20-point wins, supporting Detroit against Minnesota this week. He provides historical data on teams in similar situations, which supports the idea that Detroit may be undervalued. RJ Bell (33:55 - 34:15) wraps up with a humorous take, arguing that betting on Minnesota-Detroit over is simplistic, but he supports Minnesota based on their defense's strength and the weak opposing defense. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 17, 2024

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk ALCS and NLCS betting for this week. The guys are red hot and they offer up best bets. Key Points 🎯 Yankees' dominance : Up 2-0 in the series, helped by weak Cleveland defense. ⚾ Pitching focus : Both Yankees' Clark Schmidt and Guardians' Matthew Boyd are crucial for keeping the game low-scoring. 💪 Guardians' hope : Griffin believes Cleveland's only chance to stay in the series lies in improving with runners in scoring position. 📊 Mets' struggles : Francisco Alvarez’s poor performance and struggles with injuries weigh heavily on the Mets' postseason chances. 🧠 Bullpen strengths : Cleveland's bullpen, one of the best during the regular season, will be critical to their survival. 🔑 Home field advantage : The games shifting back to Cleveland could provide the Guardians with some momentum. 💥 Dodgers' form : The Dodgers continue to thrive, thanks to players like Walker Buehler and their bullpen depth. 🔄 Betting insights : Both Munaf and Griffin agree on the "under 7.5" bet for the Yankees-Guardians game, anticipating a defensive struggle. 📉 Team stats : Cleveland went 1-for-11 with runners in scoring position and left 11 men on base in Game 2, contributing to their losses. 🎙️ Fan interaction : Griffin runs a poll about whether the Mets will replace Alvarez with Luis Torres, showing the importance of catcher performance in their decision-making. Summary Yankees vs. Guardians : The Yankees have taken a 2-0 lead in the series, aided by Cleveland's defensive errors. Despite the Guardians’ strong bullpen, they have struggled to capitalize on opportunities. The focus for Cleveland is to improve in runners in scoring position (RISP) if they want to survive the series. Pitching strategies : Munaf and Griffin emphasize that pitching will dictate the game’s outcome. Yankees’ Clark Schmidt has been consistent, especially on the road, while Matthew Boyd's return from Tommy John surgery makes his performance key for Cleveland. Low-scoring affair : Both analysts agree that Game 3 of the Yankees vs. Guardians series will be a low-scoring battle, with Cleveland needing to prevent big hits from Yankees stars like Aaron Judge. Mets' lineup issues : Francisco Alvarez’s struggles are a focal point in the Dodgers-Mets matchup. His inability to hit effectively has hindered the Mets, particularly in crucial at-bats. Dodgers' momentum : Walker Buehler’s recent performances have been stellar, positioning the Dodgers well for the remainder of the series. Yamamoto’s role in Game 4 is also crucial for the Dodgers’ continued success. Bullpen depth : The Dodgers’ bullpen remains a strong asset, and their smart use of key players gives them an edge. Cleveland’s bullpen, which was one of the best during the regular season, will need to play a larger role if the Guardians are to remain competitive. Betting strategy : Both Griffin and Munaf select the under 7.5 runs bet for the Yankees-Guardians game, believing in a tightly controlled, low-scoring game. Fan engagement : A Twitter poll highlights fans' expectations regarding the Mets' potential catcher change, showing how critical player performance is in postseason decision-making. Guardians' offense : Cleveland has struggled offensively, leaving runners stranded on base and failing to hit in key situations, making their chances of advancing in the series slim without improvement. Predictions : Both analysts expect the Yankees and Dodgers to continue their strong runs, possibly leading to a marquee World Series matchup. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 16, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down college football Week 8 betting. Griffin and Ben are coming off a 2-0 best bet sweep last week. The guys are fired up once again for more winners this week. In this podcast, hosts Griffin Warner and Big East Ben break down several key matchups for Week 8 of the college football season. They share insights on betting strategies, player statistics, and team performances. The discussion is filled with humor and anecdotes, offering a blend of entertainment and analysis for sports bettors. Warner and Ben open the episode with a recap of their success in Week 7 (0:31), noting their 2-0 record. They jump into Miami’s upcoming game against Louisville (2:45), highlighting Miami’s 6-0 record despite being just 3-3 against the spread. Miami’s strong passing game, led by Cam Ward, is a focal point, with Ward leading the nation in passing yards per attempt and per game. Despite Louisville’s defensive struggles in sacking the quarterback and converting in the red zone (55% field goal rate), the duo leans towards Miami as the favorite, though Ben suggests teasing the spread down to 2.5 points. Next, they discuss the Alabama-Tennessee matchup (8:10), where both teams have struggled to cover spreads recently. Alabama, favored by 3 points, narrowly avoided a two-game losing streak, while Tennessee barely scraped by a weak Florida team. Ben notes Alabama’s strength at quarterback and Tennessee’s poor record as underdogs under coach Josh Heupel (3-8). The prediction favors Alabama, with both hosts agreeing on a high-scoring game, going over 56.5 points. The Michigan vs. Illinois game (12:12) draws attention due to Michigan’s dismal 1-5 record against the spread. However, Michigan's rushing game ranks 31st nationally, which could overpower Illinois’ defense, ranked 100th in yards allowed per rush. Despite Illinois’ big-play potential, Ben predicts "idiot points" due to Michigan’s high turnover rate (117th in giveaways). Illinois, though weak in pass protection (sacked on 12% of plays), is expected to create chaos in a game that should see more scoring than expected, going over 43.5 points. Colorado’s game against Arizona (16:38) features a discussion on turnovers, with Arizona being particularly prone to giveaways (ranked 124th). In contrast, Colorado excels at forcing turnovers (10th nationally). Despite Arizona’s better passing defense, Colorado’s quarterback, Shooter Sanders, is expected to perform well, especially if star player Travis Hunter returns from injury. Both hosts lean towards Colorado, taking them as 3.5-point underdogs and predicting a straight-up win if Hunter plays. The final preview focuses on Georgia’s visit to Texas (21:38), where Georgia is a 3.5-point favorite. Texas has one of the top-ranked defenses in the country, but Ben calls them "frauds" due to their relatively weak schedule. Georgia, despite offensive inconsistencies, is expected to keep the game close, with both hosts agreeing on a high-scoring affair, predicting the game will go over 56.5 points. The episode closes with best bets (29:11), with Ben confidently picking South Carolina (+2.5) over Oklahoma, citing Oklahoma’s offensive struggles and injuries. Warner agrees, adding his own bet on the under 41 points for the same game, predicting a low-scoring affair. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 15, 2024

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg discuss the ALCS and NLCS with BEST BETS for tonight and tomorrow's games. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 15, 2024

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB Playoffs. The guys are red hot on the podcast and offer up some best bets. Overview The podcast focuses on breaking down the ongoing MLB Championship Series. Hosts Munaf and Griffin analyze the Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees in the American League and the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets in the National League. They discuss key player performances, team dynamics, and their betting predictions. Player & Team Analysis Garrett Cole's Dominance (Yankees) : Cole's strong performance in Game 1 against the Guardians is highlighted. He boasts a 2.84 ERA against Cleveland in 7 starts since joining the Yankees, with a 5-1 record. Munaf notes that Cole went six innings in most appearances, reinforcing his ability to anchor the Yankees’ rotation (6:17 - 8:46). Alex Cobb's Struggles (Guardians) : Griffin criticizes Cleveland's decision to start Alex Cobb, who has underperformed with a 7.94 ERA in the postseason. Cobb has allowed five earned runs over 5.2 innings, questioning the Guardians’ pitching decisions, especially considering their strong bullpen (2:29 - 6:16). Dodgers Bullpen Issues : The Dodgers' decision to rely on bullpen games, particularly in Game 2 against the Mets, raises concerns. Griffin notes how the bullpen's overuse during the regular season may lead to fatigue, as seen when the Dodgers struggled in key moments against the Mets (8:46 - 11:50). Tanner Biby's Inexperience (Guardians) : Tanner Biby, the Game 2 starter for the Guardians, is young and inexperienced in the postseason. Griffin expresses skepticism over Biby's ability to handle the Yankees' lineup, predicting he might have a short leash in this critical game (13:15 - 18:24). Yankees Offense : The Yankees, led by stars like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, are considered a more potent lineup than the Guardians. Munaf emphasizes how the Yankees' offense, combined with Garrett Cole's pitching, gives them a strong advantage over Cleveland (8:46 - 13:14). Quote Breakdown Griffin Warner on Underdogs (2:29) : "I really liked a lot of the underdogs which unfortunately took two-one leads...I don't know that I see Cleveland’s bullpen holding up in a seven-game series." Griffin reflects on the challenges for underdog teams, specifically Cleveland, citing bullpen overuse as a major concern. Munaf on Garrett Cole (6:17) : "Garrett Cole has been dominant...5-1 record against Cleveland since 2021." Munaf's analysis reinforces Cole’s historical success against the Guardians, suggesting confidence in the Yankees' pitching for Game 2. Griffin on Alex Cobb (6:16) : "Starting Alex Cobb was a very interesting choice...he's pitched so little this entire season." Griffin is critical of Cleveland's decision-making, questioning whether Cobb should even be pitching in the postseason due to his lack of regular season innings. Griffin on the Dodgers' Bullpen (8:46) : "The bullpen...overstretched and I don’t know that all these managers are great at choosing the best matchups." Griffin's insight reveals how the Dodgers' bullpen strategy has been questionable, especially in the postseason. Betting Insights Griffin's Bet on the Mets (42:13) : Griffin bets on the New York Mets, noting that Walker Bueller for the Dodgers may not be in top form, and expects Severino to keep the Mets in the game. He recommends waiting for potential line movement before placing a bet. Munaf’s Bet on Over 7.5 (43:43) : Munaf suggests betting on the over for the Mets-Dodgers Game 3, predicting a high-scoring game due to both teams’ ability to produce runs, particularly given Walker Bueller’s uncertain form. Key Statistics Garrett Cole vs. Guardians : 5-1 record, 2.84 ERA in 7 starts since 2021 (6:17). Alex Cobb's Postseason : 7.94 ERA, 5 earned runs, 5.2 innings (6:16). Guardians Bullpen Overuse : Cleveland’s relievers have been heavily utilized, which may affect their performance in a long series (2:29). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 15, 2024

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers review NFL Week 6. The guys also discuss a few ideas for NFL Week 7. Quote Analysis & Team Insights: Road Favorites Sweep Scott Seidenberg (0:06 - 0:55) Scott and Fezzik highlight how road favorites dominated, going 8-0 in Week 6. Fezzik mentions how underdogs had been performing well earlier in the season, but randomness shifted the outcomes. He notes, "The Favorites Strike Back," drawing a Star Wars comparison. This segment sets up the theme that betting often feels like a roulette wheel—sometimes favoring underdogs and sometimes dramatically shifting to favorites. Teaser Bets Collapse Steve Fezzik (0:55 - 1:52) Fezzik emphasizes the poor performance of home dog teasers, saying, "28 different permutations of two-team teasers... 0 and 28." This detailed analysis stresses how teaser bets, despite seeming advantageous, suffered a crushing defeat with teams like the Titans failing to cover. He sarcastically refers to it as a complete teaser collapse. Jacksonville Line Shift Scott Seidenberg & Steve Fezzik (1:53 - 3:31) The Bears-Jaguars game saw a dramatic line shift from Jacksonville being a two-point underdog to becoming the favorite. However, Jacksonville lost badly. Fezzik jokes about how the betting line didn’t matter, as the Bears won by 34 points, referencing the movie "Meatballs": "It just doesn’t matter." The key takeaway is that, even with sharp money moving lines, the outcome can be wildly different from predictions. Bears’ Dominance Over Jacksonville Steve Fezzik (4:49 - 5:53) Fezzik points out that while Jacksonville started strong, leading in yardage 90-10, the Bears dominated the rest of the game, resulting in a final score of 35-16. He upgrades Chicago by only a point, reflecting a cautious approach to their victory. Player Performance and Analysis: Drake May’s Growing Pains Scott Seidenberg & Steve Fezzik (6:36 - 7:14) Rookie Drake May went 20 of 33 for 243 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Despite some "growing pains," his performance was decent, prompting Scott to suggest they may need to "be more positive on the Patriots moving forward." Fezzik, however, points out May's QBR of 31, indicating he needs more data before forming a solid judgment. Kirk Cousins’ Quiet Game Scott Seidenberg (7:59 - 8:48) Despite facing the worst pass defense, Cousins only managed 225 yards and one touchdown. Scott expresses surprise, given his explosive previous week. The Falcons leaned heavily on their run game instead, with 38 carries for 198 yards, showing a shift in strategy that paid off against Carolina. Team Statistics and Insights: Atlanta’s Efficient Offense Scott Seidenberg (7:59 - 8:48) The Falcons scored on their last six drives, with a yards-per-play advantage of 0.8 over Carolina. Their run-heavy approach led to 198 rushing yards and three touchdowns, allowing them to control the game. Pittsburgh vs. Las Vegas Steve Fezzik (8:48 - 9:27) Fezzik describes the Steelers' win over the Raiders as legitimate but overstated. The Steelers won 32-13, though the stats suggest it should have been closer to 20-13. Three turnovers by Las Vegas inflated the score, frustrating Fezzik, who had bet on the Steelers’ season total under. Giants' Stat-Dominant Loss Steve Fezzik & Scott Seidenberg (12:07 - 12:43) The Giants lost to the Bengals in a game where they had an 11-first-down advantage and better overall stats, but a late 47-yard touchdown from Joe Burrow sealed their fate. Scott points out that if not for that fluke run, the Giants seemed like the better team, both defensively and statistically. Washington vs. Baltimore Scott Seidenberg (14:34 - 15:47) Despite Baltimore winning by seven, Scott and Mackenzie never felt the Ravens would lose but also never believed they’d comfortably cover the spread. Baltimore's statistical dominance (28 first downs to 18, 484 total yards to 305) suggests they controlled the game, but Washington kept pace offensively. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 15, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik take a look back at NFL Week 6. They also discuss Week 7 and pools in Las Vegas and much more. Quote Analysis: Munaf Manji (0:53-1:51) begins by discussing the NFL Circa Survivor contest, noting that this week, 216 of 221 contestants advanced. He references Doug Peterson's situation and highlights that this week was calmer than earlier weeks of the contest. Steve Fezzik (1:52-2:18) explains that despite a rough week where he went 3-4, he still managed to remain in the top five of the contest standings. He criticizes the impact of line movements, especially in college football, where major line movers lost. Steve Fezzik (3:18-4:20) observes that home underdogs went 0-8 straight up and against the spread, with seven teams losing by double digits. This broke the trend of NFL parity, where home underdogs generally perform well. Player Statistics and Analysis: Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers (4:41-6:08) : Fezzik points out that, despite the Steelers' 19-point win, the game was closer than it appeared. Both teams had similar yardage and first downs (293 to 275 yards). Key stats: Steelers rushed for 183 yards compared to the Raiders’ 57. Steelers' QB Aidan O’Connell threw for 1 TD and 1 interception. Bengals vs Giants (7:08-7:55) : Fezzik expresses frustration over the Giants' late loss, highlighting a missed field goal and a Bengals TD that sealed the game. He recalls that Chase Brown could have knelt down to run the clock but instead ran into the end zone. Team Statistics and Insights: Home Underdogs (3:18-4:20) : Home underdogs went 0-8 against the spread and straight up, making it one of the worst weeks for those betting on underdogs. The games were mostly uncompetitive, with seven of the eight losing by double digits. Pittsburgh Steelers (4:41-6:08) : Despite winning by 19 points, the game was closer statistically. Fezzik mentions the misleading final score due to turnovers and similar yardage from both teams. Denver Broncos (14:17-15:22) : Fezzik upgrades the Chargers by 2 points, despite Denver managing 6 yards per play, while LA averaged 4.7. Fezzik criticizes Denver's performance, noting turnovers and ineffective play. Power Rankings and Key Insights: Steve Fezzik (10:45-11:50) : Fezzik discusses major adjustments in his power rankings. He downgrades the Broncos and Cowboys by 1.5 points due to poor performances, while Detroit gets a modest upgrade despite injuries. He also downgrades Denver for their poor showing. Phony Finals: Pittsburgh vs Las Vegas (4:41-5:08) : This game is highlighted as a misleading final due to the close statistical battle but a wide scoreboard gap. Cincinnati vs Giants (7:08-7:55) : Another phony final mentioned, where Fezzik discusses the disappointing finish for Giants bettors, attributing the loss to strategic errors. Betting Market and Strategy: Public vs Books (3:18-4:20) : The public had a good week with favorites, and the sportsbooks took losses, but Fezzik reminds listeners that the “lights don’t turn off” at the books, indicating the house always finds a way to profit. Circus Swim (25:52-26:45) : Fezzik praises pools in Las Vegas, highlighting Circus Swim and Caesars Palace as standout locations. He reflects on how pools have shifted from relaxing venues to more party-centric environments. Conclusion: The podcast offers a detailed breakdown of NFL Week 6, with Fezzik providing key insights into power rankings, team statistics, and betting strategies. Home underdogs failed to perform, teams like Pittsburgh and Denver underdelivered, and Fezzik emphasizes the importance of getting in early on bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 11, 2024

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL Week 6 player props from a betting perspective. This document covers NFL Week 6 player props and a preview of the Monday Night Football (MNF) game between the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills. The hosts—Munaf Manji, Steve Reider, and Sleepy J—analyze key players, discuss team performance, and share betting insights. Conclusion The conversation wraps up with a focus on the Jets-Bills MNF game, highlighting key injuries and the Jets' coaching change. Munaf and Sleepy see value in betting on the Jets due to the Bills’ struggles and possible absences of key players like James Cook. The hosts expect Brees Hall to be the focal point of the Jets' offense, making his rushing attempts over 12.5 the best bet for the game. Overall, Week 6 offers strong betting opportunities across various games and player props. Key Points 🟠 Player Prop Success : The hosts reflect on their 9-3 record from last week, with a winning prop on Patrick Mahomes’ interception. 🟠 Jets’ Coaching Change : The team discusses the firing of Robert Saleh, with Steve pointing to Nathaniel Hackett as the main issue. 🟠 Brees Hall Best Bet : The hosts agree on Brees Hall over 12.5 rushing attempts due to the Jets' likely focus on the ground game. 🟠 Drake May Over 24.5 Rushing Yards : Steve highlights May's rushing potential against the Texans, citing his college stats and the Texans' vulnerability. 🟠 Kirk Cousins Over 1.5 Passing TDs : Munaf sees Cousins capitalizing on the weak Carolina defense to throw at least two touchdowns. 🟠 Tank Bigsby’s Role : Steve suggests betting on Bigsby’s rushing yards, given his superior efficiency over Travis Etienne. 🟠 Caleb Williams Avoiding Interceptions : Sleepy expects Williams to avoid turnovers against Jacksonville due to their passive secondary. 🟠 Javonte Williams Under 71.5 Yards : The group anticipates Williams struggling against the Chargers' strong defense. 🟠 Jets as a Strong Teaser Option : Both Munaf and Steve recommend the Jets in a teaser due to injuries on the Bills' side and favorable betting trends. 🟠 Player Trends : Zach Ertz over 25.5 receiving yards and Kyle Pitts over 32.5 yards are mentioned as promising prop bets. Summary Opening and Recap : Munaf opens with a recap of their 9-3 performance in Week 5 and introduces co-hosts Steve and Sleepy (0:00). Jets’ Coaching Firing : They discuss Robert Saleh's firing (4:01). Sleepy feels Saleh was treated unfairly (5:00), while Steve blames Hackett for the team’s struggles (6:08). Jets vs. Bills MNF Preview : Sleepy backs the Jets (+2.5), citing the Bills' injuries and struggles against good teams (39:59). Munaf supports teasing the Jets up to +8.5 (41:35). Drake May Over 24.5 Rushing Yards : Steve recommends this bet (10:40), highlighting May’s ability to rush when pressured. Kirk Cousins Over 1.5 Passing TDs : Munaf expects Cousins to exploit Carolina’s poor defense (12:17). Javonte Williams Under 71.5 Yards : Sleepy notes the Chargers' strong defense will limit Williams’ production (16:35). Bigsby Over Etienne : Steve advises betting on Tank Bigsby’s rushing yards (18:28), pointing to his efficiency compared to Travis Etienne. Wide Receiver Props : Calvin Ridley over 43.5 receiving yards is suggested (26:04), as Ridley is a deep-threat against a weak Colts defense. Tight End Props : Zach Ertz and Kyle Pitts over receiving yards are backed as solid prop bets for Week 6 (25:20, 33:04). Best Bet : Brees Hall over 12.5 rushing attempts for MNF is seen as a strong bet due to the Jets’ focus on the run game under new play-caller Todd Downing (47:32). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 10, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 6 betting. The wiseguy roundtable gives out their strongest picks for this weeks card. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 9, 2024

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner are red hot in MLB betting. The guys preview the entire Wednesday MLB Playoff card. They also give out more winning best bets. Introduction: Host (Manaf Manji) : Introduces the podcast (0:09) and explains a scheduling change allowing for discussions on all four MLB playoff series (0:09-0:51). Griffin Warner : Acknowledges a profitable playoff season, reflecting on the regular season's success (0:52-1:08). Discussion Highlights: Orioles vs. Royals (0:27) : Manaf : Mentions Griffin's prediction on the under for the Orioles-Royals series, highlighting a dominant Royals pitching performance that limited the Orioles to three total runs. Griffin : Notes the Royals advanced without any overs, indicating the defensive strength that helped the Royals (1:25-1:26). Impact of Home Field & Umpiring : Griffin : Discusses the significance of home-field advantage, mentioning all series being tied 1-1. He emphasizes the challenge for teams with no extra-innings games played thus far, noting the importance of "last at bats" and competent umpires (2:55-4:06). Umpiring is critical, with Griffin noting that umpires are calling more strikes than usual, making it harder to score runs. Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (Game 3 Prediction) : Pitcher Analysis : Detroit's pitching strategy, led by Bo Brisky, is likely to challenge the Guardians, who rely on Alex Cobb, who hasn’t pitched in a postseason game since 2013 (4:54-9:48). Griffin : Suggests the Tigers have an advantage with AJ Hinch's managerial experience and bullpen depth. Manaf : Underscores Cobb's long gap between playoff appearances and suggests that the Tigers' ability to string hits together could carry them through. Phillies vs. Mets (Game 4 Prediction) : Mets Confidence : The Mets lead the series 2-1, and Griffin discusses their momentum and superior bullpen despite flaws (12:36-14:51). Player Performance : Manaf highlights the strong recent performances of Mets' pitcher Jose Quintana and Phillies' Ranger Suarez during the regular season. Quintana’s solid 7-inning shutout against the Phillies is noted (14:52-17:25). Both predict a low-scoring game, favoring the under in the first five innings. Yankees vs. Royals (Game 3 Prediction) : Griffin : Expresses skepticism about the Yankees’ ability to win on the road, emphasizing the importance of playoff baseball strategies like aggressive baserunning (stealing bases) and capitalizing on every opportunity (17:26-22:16). Manaf : Points out the underwhelming postseason performance of Aaron Judge, particularly his high strikeout rate (21:02-22:15). Both lean toward betting on the Royals and another under bet due to the tight defense and pitchers' performance. Dodgers vs. Padres (Game 4 Prediction) : Griffin : Stresses the significance of the Dodgers’ struggling pitching rotation, with Landon Knack stepping in due to key injuries (26:36-31:26). He expects a high-scoring game but predicts that the Padres’ strong bullpen will help them close the series. Manaf : Agrees, predicting early runs and suggesting a first five innings bet on the over as the best strategy. Betting Advice and Best Bets: Griffin’s Best Bet : Tigers to win at home, citing a mismatch between Cobb's long layoff and the Tigers’ efficient bullpen management (32:06-32:55). Manaf’s Best Bet : Under four runs in the first five innings of the Phillies-Mets game, betting on solid starting pitching from Quintana and Suarez (32:55-34:37). Conclusion: The episode ends with a reflection on the successful season, with Griffin and Manaf thanking their listeners and promoting a pregame.com discount (34:37-36:19). Both express optimism for continued success in predicting playoff outcomes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 9, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk College Football Week 7 betting. The guys preview this weeks biggest games and give out best bets. The "Need for Screens College Football Podcast" with hosts Griffin Warner and Big East Ben provides an in-depth preview of Week 7 in college football, covering notable games, best bets, and insightful analysis. The episode starts with motivational football fundamentals and a review of Alabama's shocking loss to Vanderbilt, a historic win for the Commodores. Griffin and Ben reflect on how this signals a potential downfall of SEC powerhouses like Alabama and Georgia, while Vanderbilt shows signs of improvement. Big East Ben highlights Alabama’s defeat as an SEC shakeup, criticizing Tennessee and Missouri's recent performances and suggesting the Big Ten could benefit from the SEC’s decline in the 12-team playoff format. Moving into game analysis, the hosts discuss several key matchups, starting with Washington vs. Iowa , where Ben favors Iowa due to Washington’s road struggles, while Griffin takes the under 41 points, predicting a low-scoring game. The Red River Showdown between Texas and Oklahoma receives significant attention. Despite Texas being favored by 14.5 points, both hosts predict a tighter game based on historical trends, with Ben picking Oklahoma to cover and Griffin leaning toward the under. They discuss past Red River games, emphasizing how unpredictable the rivalry can be. Next, the hosts break down Penn State vs. USC , both agreeing the offenses are overrated. Ben takes the under 50 points, expecting Penn State’s defense to control the game. Similarly, both expect Ohio State vs. Oregon to be high-scoring, with Griffin betting on over 53.5 points and Ben confident in Ohio State’s ability to cover the 3.5-point spread, calling them the best team in the country. In another critical matchup, Ole Miss vs. LSU , the conversation centers on the challenge of winning in Baton Rouge during a night game. Both hosts pick LSU to cover as three-point underdogs, citing Ole Miss's recent struggles and the intensity of Tiger Stadium's atmosphere. Best bets for Week 7 conclude the episode. Ben’s best bet is UCLA +5.5 against Minnesota, pointing out UCLA’s tough schedule and improving form. Griffin’s best bet is LSU +3 , favoring the Tigers’ home-field advantage. They wrap up with light banter about hostile college sports venues, teasing a future discussion on the topic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 8, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest cards for the Black Desert Championship and Open De France. -Going over top 5 odds favs for Black Desert, -3 matchups, -1 t20, -2 outrights, -Sleeper, FRP, -Scoring prediction, -Best bet for Black Desert, -Open De France matchup, outright, and best bet. Will Doctor kicks off the podcast by reviewing the Sanderson Farms Championship and Dunhill Links Championship, followed by his predictions for the upcoming Black Desert Championship. Key Player Highlights: Kevin Yu: Secured his first PGA Tour win after a clutch 15-foot birdie putt in regulation. He climbed to 60th in the FedExCup standings. His stellar junior and college career at Arizona State laid the foundation for this victory. Keith Mitchell: Disappointed after missing out on a playoff due to poor driving and a three-putt on the 72nd hole. Mitchell admitted, “I only hit one fairway,” reflecting his back-nine struggles. Will Doctor points out that Mitchell’s driving accuracy will be less of an issue at the wide-open Black Desert course, but his putting remains a concern. Bo Hosler: Known for strong putting, Hosler lost the Sanderson Farms playoff, and his attempts to manipulate relief rulings raised eyebrows. Will criticizes Hosler for "trying to get an unfair drop," casting doubt on his ability to close out tournaments, especially since he's yet to secure a professional win. Event and Course Insights: The Black Desert Championship returns the PGA Tour to Utah for the first time in 60 years. The course has wide fairways and few hazards, likely leading to a birdie-fest. Will predicts a winning score of 29-under-par and emphasizes that driving accuracy won't be crucial this week. Picks and Predictions: Outright Picks: Lucas Glover (40:1): Despite a tough 2024 season, Glover’s recent form and improved putting make him a strong contender. Will believes his ball-striking prowess and past success set him up for a solid performance. Michael Thorbjornsen (40:1): Thorbjornsen’s ball-striking and ability to excel in birdie-heavy tournaments make him another strong pick. Top 20 Pick: Patton Kizzire: Known for thriving in birdie-fests, Kizzire’s consistent form makes him a solid choice for a top-20 finish at +240 odds. Matchups: Ryan Fox over Steven Yeager: Fox’s strong recent form and consistent play give him an edge. K.H. Lee over Justin Suh: Will favors Lee’s experience in shootouts, while Suh’s ball-striking has been subpar this season. Vince Whaley over Matt McCarty: Whaley’s recent improvement in approach play and McCarty’s struggles transitioning to the PGA Tour lead Will to back Whaley. Best Bet and Final Scoring Prediction: Best Bet: Lucas Glover to finish in the top 10 at +450 odds. Winning Score Prediction: 29-under-par due to the course’s forgiving nature and birdie opportunities. Will Doctor wraps up with his thoughts on the Open de France , giving an outright pick of Victor Perez to win at 28:1 and backing Justin Rose over Matthew Pavan in a head-to-head matchup. Follow Doc on X @drmedia59 for the latest on the world of golf. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 8, 2024

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the MLB Division Series and provide BEST BETS! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 8, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 5 recap. The guys also look ahead to NFL Week 6 Steve Fezzik (0:48-3:36) highlights the recent uptick in scoring after a slow start to the season. He notes that, contrary to expectations, the kickoff rule changes haven’t led to more scoring, but Week 5 saw more offensive touchdowns. Fezzik suggests that this increase could be tied to offenses adjusting to defenses, which initially had the upper hand. RJ Bell (1:15-5:38) agrees, positing that early-season defensive strategies caught offenses off guard, but Week 5’s spike may indicate a shift as offenses find ways to counter. Fezzik believes betting the over on total points may now be profitable. Field Goal Trends and Red Zone Efficiency: Scott Seidenberg (7:47-8:47) observes a significant increase in long field goals. Through five weeks, 11 teams are averaging two or more field goals per game, up from just five teams last season. This rise points to field goal kickers becoming more important, even as teams continue to go for it on fourth down. The group also discusses San Francisco’s red zone struggles . Despite leading the NFL in red zone plays, the 49ers rank 22nd in red zone efficiency (EPA), a sharp decline from last year’s top spot (18:49-20:23). This inefficiency is a concern, especially for a team expected to compete for championships. Key Team and Player Performances: Kirk Cousins (6:15-7:47) draws attention for his steady performances. Fezzik views him as a borderline top-10 quarterback, but RJ argues that Cousins’ play this season ranks even higher. The group compares him to more volatile quarterbacks like Kyler Murray, noting that consistency is key. The New York Jets (13:40-14:20) come under scrutiny for their disappointing 2-3 start. Seidenberg points out that despite high hopes with Aaron Rodgers, the offense has stagnated, scoring the same amount of points as last season under Zach Wilson. However, the Jets' defense ranks second in the NFL, giving them a glimmer of hope for a playoff push. Betting Insights and Power Ratings: Fezzik suggests that power ratings need drastic adjustments after Week 5 (3:36-5:38). Teams like Washington, initially viewed as weak, have outperformed, while Cleveland has underwhelmed. Washington’s dominant win over Cleveland forces a reassessment of both teams’ strengths. The group also discusses how to handle quarterback unpredictability in betting. Fezzik suggests quarterbacks who significantly outperform expectations should bump the team's rating, but warns that quarterback volatility makes it tough to rely on any one metric. Phony Final Scores: Fezzik highlights "phony final scores" where the stats don’t align with the result (34:00-34:24). For instance, despite being outgained in yardage, Pittsburgh nearly defeated Dallas through turnovers and grit. Such games can mislead bettors relying on the final score rather than underlying metrics. Chiefs’ Dominance and Week 5 Scoring Spike: The podcast emphasizes the Kansas City Chiefs’ dominance (17:10-19:49), noting that they’ve played the fewest defensive snaps while trailing this season (48 plays), reflecting their ability to control games. In comparison, San Francisco is second with 49 plays while trailing. This speaks to both teams' dominance in holding leads. Finally, Week 5’s scoring surge (15:10-16:18) is noted, with an average of 50 points per game, nearly six points above expectations. While Fezzik sees this as unsustainable, the group agrees that it reflects a shift in offensive effectiveness. Conclusion: The podcast provides in-depth insights into NFL Week 5, from evolving scoring trends to team evaluations and betting strategies. With a focus on key performances, player analysis, and statistical breakdowns, the hosts guide listeners on how to adjust their betting strategies moving forward, particularly as teams like Washington and Kansas City emerge as key players this season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 8, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 5 reactions. Fezz talks Vegas breakfast spots and much more. The Week 5 Fezzik Focus Podcast provides in-depth analysis of NFL games, betting contests, and team/player performances. Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik engage in a discussion on Fezzik’s results and key observations from Week 5. Contest Updates (0:02 - 5:04) Fezzik, a two-time Super Contest winner, reflects on his 2-5 record in the 2024 Circa Invitational , contrasting it with a 12-4 record for his clients. He explains that betting variance plays a big role, with numbers differing between contests and client picks. Despite his struggles, Fezzik remains in the top five but admits that improving from a 50% win rate will be challenging. Fezzik: “People were like how in the world did you go two and five in the contest but you went 12 and four for your clients?” (2:10) Survivor Pools and Betting Trends (5:04 - 8:55) Fezzik dives into Week 5 Survivor Pool eliminations , focusing on the unexpected losses by the heavily favored Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers . He points out how underdogs have consistently upset favorites this season. Fezzik: “There’s just something about this season where five and a half to six-point favorites are falling flat.” (6:21) Phony Finals and Game Breakdowns (8:56 - 12:39) Fezzik shares insights on misleading final scores: Buffalo vs. Houston : Though the scoreboard appeared close, Houston dominated in yards per play and total yardage. Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville : Fezzik is baffled that the game was tied late, given Jacksonville’s statistical dominance. He criticizes Deshaun Watson harshly, suggesting that Cleveland should bench him in favor of Jameis Winston . Fezzik: “It’s time to relegate him... that dude is not getting it done.” (9:55) Quarterback Rankings and Player Evaluations (13:50 - 16:26) Fezzik ranks Jaden Daniels as the 15th-best quarterback this season and expects him to rise into the top 10. He expresses disappointment in Deshaun Watson , ranking him 32nd and labeling him as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Fezzik: “I have him 32nd, four and a half points worse than an average quarterback.” (15:05) Power Ratings and Team Updates (17:05 - 20:05) Fezzik discusses teams that saw the most significant movement in his power ratings : Cleveland drops three points due to Watson’s struggles. Carolina drops one point, with Fezzik suggesting their defense is among the worst in the league. Fezzik: “I make Cleveland four and a half worse than an average team.” (17:17) He also addresses the Cincinnati Bengals , noting their defensive woes, though he keeps their power rating unchanged due to Joe Burrow’s strong offense. NFL Parity and Final Thoughts (20:05 - 23:05) Fezzik highlights the parity in the NFL, explaining that no team has been dominant. He considers Kansas City the best team but notes that the gap between the top seven teams is minimal. Fezzik: “The best team in the league is Kansas City, and they’re just barely...” (20:05) Conclusion and Vegas Tips (25:17 - 27:38) Fezzik concludes with Las Vegas recommendations , encouraging visitors to explore downtown as construction for the upcoming F1 race disrupts the Strip. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 4, 2024

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL Week 5 player props. The guys also preview Monday Night Football Saints at Chiefs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 3, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 5 from a betting perspective. Dave Essler also provides a best bet. NFL Week 5 Picks and Analysis The podcast opens with RJ Bell providing a quick promotional offer for 7- and 30-day access packages, highlighting the current hot streaks of various handicappers like Greg Shaker and A.J. Hoffman (00:11-02:25). Steve Fezzik then joins in, sharing his overall season stats, noting a recent down week but still being up +57 units for the year (02:25-02:30). The conversation transitions into analysis of recent NFL trends, with a key focus on load management in the NFL, a concept borrowed from the NBA. Fezzik notes that teams are increasingly conservative with player injuries, using the example of Justin Herbert, suggesting players are being rested for the long haul rather than pushed to play during regular-season games (05:08-06:34). The core of the podcast features the team’s "best bets" for Week 5. Fezzik’s five-weight pick is the New Orleans Saints (+5.5) against the Kansas City Chiefs for Monday Night Football. His reasoning revolves around yards per play (YPP), highlighting that while Kansas City has had success in close games, they’re not playing like a 4-0 team. He anticipates value in betting against Kansas City due to their perceived lack of urgency (07:09-08:17). Fezzik also predicts that Kansas City is overvalued, emphasizing that they will not have the urgency to maintain their hot start (08:17-08:50). RJ Bell concurs, discussing the Chiefs' success rate compared to EPA (Expected Points Added), underscoring Kansas City’s reliance on big plays rather than consistent performance. He highlights Green Bay’s reliance on big plays, comparing it to Kansas City's ability to convert key moments into victories, despite overall middling success (13:14-16:04). Further analysis dives into Patrick Mahomes' performance. Scott Seidenberg notes that Mahomes has thrown seven turnover-worthy passes, second only to Jalen Hurts, and this hasn't been a typical start for the MVP quarterback (17:48-18:10). Fezzik agrees that Mahomes isn’t playing well, making poor decisions, though he’s optimistic Mahomes will adjust as the season progresses (18:55-19:45). Fezzik's four-weight pick involves betting on the Rams against Green Bay, citing their tendency to rely on big plays as unsustainable. He and Bell predict a regression for Green Bay's offense, suggesting their early-season success is not built to last (24:13-29:09). The podcast also covers the intricacies of the betting market. Fezzik discusses how Rams wide receivers are decimated by injuries, downgrading their home-field advantage in Los Angeles, where 60% of the crowd is expected to support Green Bay. This leads to skepticism about the Rams' chances, despite their defensive struggles (31:26-36:00). Scott Seidenberg closes with an interesting stat about Patrick Mahomes, noting that when he's more than a field-goal favorite, he's only 38-43-3 against the spread (18:25-18:35), underscoring why betting on the underdog Saints is a value play. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 2, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football betting for Week 6. Ben and Griffin are hot with best bets as usual. Overview: Griffin Warner and Big East Ben analyze key games for Week 6 of the college football season. They break down each matchup, offering betting insights and discussing player and team performances. Their analysis is geared toward bettors looking for an edge, with emphasis on game totals, spreads, and player stats. Key Quotes and Analysis: (0:06 - 0:31, Unnamed Speaker) Offense play fast. Defense swarm. Swarm and tackle. The opening motivational quote emphasizes the importance of out-hustling opponents. This sets the tone for a competitive mindset, reflecting the analysis that follows, where hustle and execution are key. Griffin Warner (0:32 - 0:55) Griffin welcomes listeners to the podcast, sharing enthusiasm for their recent betting success. Warner’s excitement about their “green-hot” performance sets the stage for the podcast's betting focus, encouraging listeners to follow their picks for Week 6. Team and Player Insights: UNLV vs. Syracuse Analysis (3:30 - 5:17) Big East Ben notes that UNLV is having a strong season, particularly after replacing their former quarterback with Haj Malik Williams, who has led the team to a 4-0 record against the spread. Key stats include: UNLV is 20th in rushing offense. Syracuse ranks 3rd in passing yards per game, with Kyle McCord leading their aerial attack. Ben points out Syracuse’s weak rush defense, ranked 94th, as a vulnerability. UNLV’s ability to get to the quarterback (10th in sack percentage) is also highlighted as crucial to containing Syracuse’s passing game. Ben confidently picks UNLV to cover the spread (-6.5). Missouri vs. Texas A&M Analysis (6:11 - 7:38) Missouri is praised for their balance on offense and defense, ranking in the top 20 for both, while Texas A&M’s struggles in quarterback play are noted. Despite Texas A&M's rushing offense, which accounts for 60% of their plays, they are only 45th in yards per rush. Missouri’s stout rush defense gives Ben confidence in his pick of Missouri +2, while Warner leans toward under 48.5, expecting a low-scoring affair. Betting Strategy and Predictions: Ole Miss vs. South Carolina Analysis (8:48 - 9:37) Both teams are analyzed in terms of their offensive styles—Ole Miss relies heavily on quarterback Jackson Dart, while South Carolina prefers a ground game approach. Ole Miss’s elite rush defense, allowing only 1.5 yards per play, contrasts sharply with South Carolina’s run-heavy offense. Despite this, Ben picks the under (53.5), believing both teams' strengths cancel each other out. Miami vs. Cal Analysis (16:38 - 18:28) Miami’s high-powered offense, ranking 4th nationally, is a key talking point. In contrast, Cal’s offense is weak, averaging only 20 points per game. Ben expects Miami’s offense to exploit Cal’s defensive weakness, particularly against the pass. He confidently picks Miami (-10.5), predicting a runaway victory. Final Best Bets: UNLV (-6.5) - Ben’s confidence in UNLV’s playoff push and improved quarterback play leads him to choose them over Syracuse. Washington (-2.5) - Both Warner and Ben agree that Washington, playing at home and with a strong tailgate scene, has the edge against Michigan, despite Michigan's solid form. Miami/Cal Over (55) - Warner anticipates a high-scoring game, especially given Miami’s explosive offense. Conclusion: The podcast provides an in-depth breakdown of key games, offering both statistical analysis and betting recommendations. The speakers back their picks with detailed insights into team and player performance, emphasizing specific matchups like UNLV’s rushing attack against Syracuse’s weak defense and Missouri’s strong rushing defense versus Texas A&M’s struggling offense. Their track record of successful bets adds credibility to their predictions, making this a valuable resource for college football bettors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 2, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Sanderson Farms Championship. -Discussing top five favorites at CC of Jackson -3 matchups -2 t10 -2 outrights -Sleeper -FRP, lineup, scoring -Best Bet Introduction and Overview Will Doctor introduces the Golf Preview Podcast with an energetic focus on the Sanderson Farms Championship , Alfred Dunhill Links Championship , and the Corn Fairy Tour Championship . This episode centers on providing expert picks and betting insights for the Sanderson Farms Championship held at the Country Club of Jackson . Tournament Breakdown Sanderson Farms Championship Overview Will reflects on the recent Presidents Cup , where Team USA won 18.5 to 11.5, with some controversy involving Tom Kim . He then dives into player analysis for the Sanderson Farms Championship , assessing top players, their odds, and recent performances. Player Analysis Keith Mitchell At 25-to-1 odds , Mitchell is questioned as a favorite due to missing the cut all four times at Jackson. Despite two recent top-12 finishes, his season has been underwhelming. Will advises against betting on him. Seamus Power Power is also 25-to-1 but fares slightly better due to his global experience. However, poor iron play in recent events diminishes his chances, making him a risky pick. Maverick McNeely Listed at 28-to-1 , McNeely’s inconsistency and poor recent performances make him a risky choice. Will believes his odds should be higher. Mackenzie Hughes Despite winning this tournament two years ago, Hughes’ poor performance at the Presidents Cup makes Will pass on him at 28-to-1 odds, citing fatigue and inconsistent form. Nick Dunlop At 30-to-1 , Dunlop is a promising young player with strong birdie conversion rates. Will sees potential in Dunlop but acknowledges the risks due to his inexperience. Key Matchups and Predictions Nick Dunlop vs. Eric Cole Will picks Dunlop over Cole at -140 odds, noting Cole’s poor driving and iron play compared to Dunlop’s consistency. Henrik Norlander vs. Chandler Phillips Norlander, with three top-four finishes at Jackson, is favored due to his course familiarity. Will backs Norlander at even money . Rico Hoey vs. Sam Stevens Hoey is favored at -105 over Stevens, given Hoey’s sharp iron play and Stevens’ struggles throughout the 2024 season. Outright Picks Patrick Fishburne At 35-to-1 , Fishburne’s strong putting and consistent fairway play make him one of Will’s top picks for an outright win. His recent form has been impressive. Grayson Sig Priced at 90-to-1 , Sig’s familiarity with Jackson and solid recent performances position him as a good value pick for an outright win. Best Bet and Final Thoughts Mack Meisner Will’s best bet is Mack Meisner to finish in the top 20 at +220 odds . Despite a missed cut at Napa, Meisner’s comfort on Bermuda greens and solid iron play make him a great pick. Conclusion Will concludes with final thoughts on the Sanderson Farms Championship, offering listeners sharp picks and teasing future episodes covering the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and the Corn Fairy Tour Championship . For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 1, 2024

Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL week 4 recap. They also discuss what to expect in NFL Week 5 betting. Misleading Results (Atlanta vs. New Orleans) Steve Fezzik discusses how the Atlanta-New Orleans game had fluky results due to two unusual touchdowns. He argues that New Orleans should have won easily despite the final score. (1:23 - 2:14) Jets' Offensive Woes Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik analyze the Jets’ offensive struggles, with Aaron Rodgers visibly frustrated over miscommunication with receivers. They criticize coach Robert Salah for poor adjustments during the game. (5:02 - 6:09) Justin Fields' Performance Justin Fields of Pittsburgh had one of his best games with over 300 passing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns, but despite this, his team still lost. Fezzik kept Pittsburgh’s rating unchanged. (23:45 - 23:59) Minnesota Vikings Upgrade The Vikings saw a five-point upgrade after their strong performance in Week 4. Sam Darnold's three-touchdown game solidified his position in MVP talks. (9:48 - 11:10) Betting Insights (Week 5) Steve Fezzik provides betting strategies for Week 5, noting the Chiefs' and Vikings' favorable odds, particularly with Kansas City benefiting from an easier remaining schedule. (37:00 - 37:04) Kansas City Chiefs Analysis The Chiefs have faced the fourth hardest schedule so far but are well-positioned for future success, given their easier upcoming games. (33:50 - 34:19) Survivor Contest Strategies Fezzik discusses strategies for NFL Survivor pools, explaining how to make strategic plays for the upcoming weeks. (56:00 - 56:28) Strength of Schedule The Kansas City Chiefs and Falcons are noted for having the easiest remaining schedules, setting them up for strong performances in the rest of the season. (33:09 - 33:11) Team Injuries and Future Matchups Fezzik warns that teams like the Buccaneers and Eagles, despite performing well, may face injury concerns moving forward. (23:01 - 23:08) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oct 1, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 4 rankings and much more. Week 5 is on the horizon and Fezzik talks teams to look at. Analysis of Key Quotes Munaf Manji (0:07 - 1:01): He highlights quarterback struggles, focusing on Miami's lack of depth behind Tua Tagovailoa. Analysis: Miami’s failure to secure a competent backup QB has hurt them, reinforcing betting against their future wins. Steve Fezzik (1:02 - 1:15): Predicts Miami will finish 6-11, betting under on season wins. Analysis: With no quarterback stability, the Dolphins face a difficult road ahead, making this an attractive bet. Munaf Manji (2:28 - 3:22): Miami's weak backup QB situation is discussed. Analysis: The team’s reliance on Skylar Thompson or Tyler Huntley hinders its chances for success, impacting their season outlook. Player Statistics and Analysis Miami Dolphins: Struggling due to poor quarterback play, despite strong offensive weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. Fezzik ranks them 30th, only ahead of Carolina and New England. Minnesota Vikings: Fezzik boosts Minnesota to 7th place after three straight victories. Led by star player Justin Jefferson, their 28-0 win over Green Bay solidified their rise. Baltimore Ravens: Tied for first in Fezzik’s rankings, alongside Kansas City and San Francisco. Despite a 2-2 record, their impressive offensive balance earns them top contender status. Washington Commanders: Jaden Daniels’ performance has propelled Washington in Fezzik’s rankings, now a playoff contender after starting the season at -2.5 in power rankings. Cincinnati Bengals: Cincinnati bounces back, now rated +1.5 after a poor start to the season. Team Insights and Betting Implications Phony Final Scores: Fezzik explains that the Jets should have won their Week 4 game but were victims of poor execution. Atlanta also had two fluke touchdowns, yet failed to cover, making them teams to bet cautiously on. Kansas City Chiefs: Reliable as always, the Chiefs delivered despite fluctuating betting lines. Fezzik points out how early teasers benefited those who got better odds. Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots: A critical matchup between two of the league’s worst teams. Fezzik has them at 30th and 31st in his power rankings, noting the importance of Miami's QB situation. Betting Strategies and Contest Fezzik’s Contest Performance: Fezzik is 19-9 in his contest, tied for first place after four weeks. He discusses the nuances of contest strategy, stressing attention to detail. Season Wins Over Futures: Fezzik advises bettors to focus on season win totals rather than futures like Super Bowl bets, noting that season win bets offer more consistency. Conclusion The podcast emphasizes the importance of quarterback depth, as seen with the Miami Dolphins. Minnesota and Baltimore continue to rise, while Washington surprises with its solid performances. Fezzik’s strategic focus on season wins over risky futures provides bettors with actionable advice for Week 5 and beyond. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 30, 2024

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the Mets/Braves DoubleHeader to determine the NL Wild Card and give out BEST BETS for the Postseason games coming up. Quotes and Analysis Josh Towers (0:32 - 2:50): Quote : "The best players in any sport are able to take a step back and see it for what it's worth." Analysis : Towers highlights the importance of composure and strategic thinking, a quality he attributes to elite athletes. He emphasizes how game management can determine success, as seen in the Mets' comeback against the Braves. Quote : "Every pitch that we saw was just up over the middle of the plate and out over." Analysis : This observation by Towers critiques the Braves' bullpen's poor performance in the late innings, noting that missed locations led to several critical hits by Mets players, like Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo. Scott Sidenberg (4:10 - 4:29): Quote : "The win probability was just off the charts." Analysis : Sidenberg references how dramatic the game’s comeback was for the Mets, framing it as one of the wildest matches, especially given the Braves' earlier dominance in the game. Player Statistics & Analysis Francisco Lindor : Lindor was pivotal in the Mets' victory, hitting a critical home run in the 9th inning, reflecting his recent hot streak at the plate. Josh Towers praises Lindor for his ability to handle key situations, like making contact on a first-pitch curveball that led to his game-winning hit. Brandon Nimmo : Nimmo, after falling behind 0-2 in his at-bat, capitalized on a poorly placed fastball to deliver a home run, showcasing his poise under pressure. Braves' bullpen : The Braves bullpen struggled in crucial moments, with Josh Towers pointing out that missed pitches over the plate allowed the Mets' hitters to dominate. Phil Matan and Edwin Diaz were particularly shaky, contributing to the Braves' collapse. Team Statistics & Insights Mets Performance : The Mets demonstrated resilience by overcoming a 3-0 deficit late in the game. Lindor and Nimmo's homers, combined with strategic bullpen moves, highlight their capability to handle high-pressure situations. Their performance solidified their chance at securing a postseason spot. Braves Breakdown : Despite Swellenbach pitching seven shutout innings, the Braves' bullpen collapsed late in the game. Towers critiques how the Braves mismanaged their relief pitching, especially by continuing to pitch to Lindor when a strategic walk could have been considered. Postseason Implications : Scott and Josh discuss the postseason scenarios. If the Mets win Game 2, they will face the Padres. A loss sends them to face the Brewers. Josh argues the Mets should prefer Milwaukee over San Diego, noting the Padres' offensive strength despite their struggles. Speaker and Timestamps Scott Sidenberg (0:00 - 0:31): Introduces the podcast and sets the stage for the Mets-Braves doubleheader analysis. Josh Towers (0:32 - 2:50): Breaks down the Mets' thrilling comeback and critiques the Braves' bullpen. Timestamp: "The bullpen for the Braves just absolutely collapses" Scott Sidenberg (4:10 - 4:29): Discusses the win probability and Braves' decisions. Josh Towers (5:14 - 5:19): Analyzes the potential outcomes of the Mets' win in Game 2 and critiques their postseason strategy. Conclusion The podcast delves into the exciting, high-stakes Game 1 between the Mets and Braves, focusing on key player performances, bullpen collapses, and strategic mistakes. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo stood out for the Mets, while the Braves' bullpen's inefficiency cost them the game. Towers and Sidenberg also explore postseason scenarios, favoring the Mets against the Brewers rather than the Padres due to perceived matchup advantages. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 28, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for Saturday morning four-ball picks at the Presidents Cup! For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedai59 In this episode of the Golf Preview Podcast on Pregame's Network, host Will Docter delves into Friday's disappointing results during the 15th Presidents Cup, providing in-depth analysis, player statistics, and insights into team performances. Below is a breakdown of the key moments: Friday’s Recap & Player Analysis: [Will Docter] (0:39 - 13:30) Will discusses the complete turnaround from Thursday’s domination by Team USA to Friday’s losses in the foursome sessions. Below are detailed match analyses: Match 6: Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im vs. Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele Matsuyama and Im stunned Cantlay and Schauffele with seven consecutive birdies , finishing 7 and 6. The Japanese-Korean duo, ranked low in strokes gained on Day 1, were in top five by the end of Friday. Key Quote: "Seven straight birdies is flat-out impressive stuff in any format" (0:47). Analysis : Matsuyama and Im displayed exceptional form, outperforming Cantlay and Schauffele in every aspect, particularly in putting. Match 7: Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith vs. Sahith Theegala and Collin Morikawa Pendrith continued his solid performance, paired with Scott who had a fantastic day on the greens. Theegala struggled, having the second-worst day on the course . Analysis : Theegala’s weak putting, combined with Morikawa’s subpar form, left them outmatched despite Morikawa’s solid ball striking. Match 8: Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Jason Day vs. Max Homa and Brian Harman Homa had a strong day with his driving, but Harman’s poor showing left the pair vulnerable. Team USA Analysis : Homa and Harman couldn’t recover, losing 1-up in a closely contested match. Day and Bezuidenhout capitalized on their putting despite not playing their best. Match 9: Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes vs. Wyndham Clark and Tony Finau The Canadians made seven birdies, ending the match on 13, while Clark and Finau could not make their putts. Key Stat : Both Finau and Clark had negative strokes gained with their irons. Analysis : The home crowd support for Conners and Hughes gave them a needed boost as Team USA faltered. Match 10: Si Woo Kim and Byeong Hun An vs. Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley Si Woo Kim excelled with birdies on 12, 13, and 15, and a clutch par putt to close the match. Scheffler admitted that Henley rolled the ball well but couldn’t capitalize on his chances. Analysis : Si Woo’s ability to thrive in high-pressure situations made the difference, showcasing his incredible match-play abilities. Saturday Picks & Predictions: [Will Docter] (13:30 - 17:00) Match 11: Scottie Scheffler and Collin Morikawa vs. Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith Favorite : Scheffler and Morikawa (-205). Prediction : Despite Morikawa’s shaky putting, Will leans toward Team USA based on Scheffler’s solid ball striking and world number one ranking. Match 12: Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele vs. Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes Underdog : Conners and Hughes (+141). Prediction : Will favors the Canadians, citing their recent form and Finau’s ongoing struggles with the greens. Match 13: Si Woo Kim and Tom Kim vs. Keegan Bradley and Wyndham Clark Favorite : Si Woo and Tom Kim (-117). Prediction : Will is confident in the chemistry between the Kims, emphasizing Si Woo’s clutch performance on Friday. Match 14: Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im Even Money : Will predicts the Internationals will continue their momentum, doubting Cantlay and Burns’ ability to perform under pressure. Closing Remarks: [Will Docter] (17:00 - End) Will concludes by discussing his plan for Saturday's afternoon session, hinting at potential picks for Sunday singles based on Saturday’s results. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 27, 2024

Munaf Manji, SleepyJ and Steve Reider talk NFL player Props for Sunday. The guys also preview two MNF games and offer up a best bet prop. Introduction Munaf Manji (0:12 - 0:51) opens the discussion for Week 4 NFL player props, focusing on key positions: quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end. He is joined by Steve Reeder and SleepyJ . Quarterback Props SleepyJ (4:01 - 4:51) kicks off by suggesting a prop for Justin Fields to go over 40.5 rushing yards. He highlights the Colts' weak rushing defense, pointing to past games against Malik Willis and Joe Mixon. Steve Reeder (5:42 - 8:05) suggests fading Jordan Love , citing his injury concerns and the tough defense he'll face. Steve predicts that Love won’t be at full strength and is up against a Vikings defense that recently limited opponents like CJ Stroud. Munaf Manji (8:55 - 10:30) focuses on Kyler Murray , suggesting over 1.5 passing touchdowns against the Washington Commanders. He notes how the Commanders’ defense has allowed two passing touchdowns per game to every opponent so far this season. Running Back Props SleepyJ (10:50 - 12:09) proposes a prop for Choba Hubbard to score a touchdown at even money, emphasizing his heavy volume of touches (26) in the previous game. Hubbard's matchup against a vulnerable Bengals defense makes him a solid pick. Steve Reeder (13:05 - 14:52) backs Bijan Robinson over 69.5 rushing yards, despite concerns over his shoulder injury. He praises the Falcons’ improved offense and highlights their upcoming matchup against a Saints defense that has struggled against elite running backs like Saquon Barkley. Munaf Manji (14:53 - 16:39) suggests Aaron Jones over 21.5 receiving yards against the Packers. Jones has been a consistent performer in the passing game and could shine again against his former team. Wide Receiver Props SleepyJ (17:34 - 18:51) recommends Kyron Williams over 16.5 receiving yards. Williams is becoming more involved in the Rams' passing game due to injuries to other key players. Steve Reeder (19:54 - 21:44) focuses on Josh Downs over 34 receiving yards. Reeder highlights his strong connection with quarterback Anthony Richardson, believing that the Colts will rely on Downs more heavily in the passing game. Munaf Manji (23:59 - 24:55) suggests Dalton Kincaid over 37.5 receiving yards, citing the Ravens' vulnerability against tight ends this season. Tight End Props SleepyJ (24:56 - 27:17) backs Travis Kelsey over 4.5 catches, noting that he will likely bounce back after a disappointing start to the season. Kelsey has consistently performed well against the Chargers, making this a solid play. Steve Reeder (28:32 - 29:58) takes an under prop for Kyle Pitts under 36.5 receiving yards, arguing that Pitts has not been a major part of the Falcons' offense this season. Monday Night Football Preview Munaf Manji (34:57 - 36:17) begins by previewing the Titans vs Dolphins game. With quarterback concerns for Miami and a struggling Titans offense, he and the co-hosts suggest a low-scoring game. Steve Reeder (38:32 - 40:09) believes the game will be dominated by conservative play, focusing on limiting turnovers and relying on the ground game. SleepyJ (36:18 - 38:27) leans toward the Titans but admits the game could go either way due to Miami’s unpredictability. The second Monday Night Football game between the Seahawks and Lions is discussed next. Steve Reeder (41:46 - 43:20) backs the Lions, despite the market moving against them, citing their stronger overall team and home-field advantage. Munaf Manji (43:21 - 45:01) agrees with Steve but highlights the injuries to the Lions’ offensive line and key players like Sam Laporta. Best Bet The group concludes with their best player prop: Jackson Smith-Njigba over 48.5 receiving yards. Munaf points out that slot receivers have consistently performed well against the Lions this season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 27, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest picks for the Friday foursomes matches for Day 2 at the Presidents Cup! For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 The Golf Preview Podcast hosted by Will Docter offers detailed insights into the latest PGA Tour events, specifically focusing on the President's Cup matches. Here's a comprehensive summary of key moments and expert analysis from the podcast: Introduction (0:15 - 0:28) Will Docter welcomes listeners, expressing his enthusiasm for the upcoming PGA Tour picks, particularly focusing on the President’s Cup matches. Day One Recap and Analysis (0:36 - 14:40) The podcast dives into the dominant performance by the USA team during the first day of four-ball matches, where they swept all five matches. This sweep marks the first such occurrence in the President’s Cup since 1994. Match 1: Xander Schauffele and Tony Finau vs. Jason Day and Byung-Hun Ahn Outcome : Schauffele and Finau won. Key Points : Despite losing the lead midway, the American duo managed a brilliant comeback, securing their victory. Docter highlights their role as favorites with a betting line of -180. Match 2: Collin Morikawa and Sahith Tagala vs. Adam Scott and Min Woo Lee Outcome : Morikawa and Tagala won by one stroke. Key Points : Morikawa carried the team, making significant birdies, while Tagala sealed the match with a clutch birdie on the 18th. Match 3: Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley vs. Sungjae Im and Tom Kim Outcome : Scheffler and Henley won. Key Points : Sungjae Im’s inability to make any birdies was detrimental to his team. Tom Kim was the only bright spot for the international team, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the American duo. Match 4: Wyndham Clark and Keegan Bradley vs. Taylor Pendrith and Christiaan Bezuidenhout Outcome : Clark and Bradley won by one. Key Points : Bezuidenhout’s struggles on the greens were a major factor, with Docter critical of his performance. Clark’s early birdies and Bradley’s clutch putt on 18 secured the win. Match 5: Patrick Cantlay and Sam Burns vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Corey Conners Outcome : Cantlay and Burns won by two strokes. Key Points : Cantlay’s dominance in team play and Burns' contributions with key birdies sealed the victory. Matsuyama and Conners struggled to sink putts, leading to their defeat. Day Two Match Preview (14:40 - 32:45) Will provides a breakdown of Friday’s alternate shot matchups, offering betting advice and in-depth player analysis. Match 6: Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im Analysis : Docter favors Cantlay and Schauffele (-145), citing Cantlay’s outstanding form and Schauffele’s recent clutch play. Sungjae Im’s poor showing on Thursday is highlighted as a concern, making this a lopsided match. Match 7: Collin Morikawa and Sahith Tagala vs. Adam Scott and Taylor Pendrith Analysis : With Morikawa carrying the team and Tagala making key birdies, Docter sees the Americans as favorites (-140). Pendrith’s strong day-one performance is noted, but Scott’s lackluster play could be a factor. Match 8: Max Homa and Brian Harman vs. Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Jason Day Analysis : Docter criticizes international captain Mike Weir for sending Bezuidenhout back out despite his struggles. Homa and Harman (-105) are the favored duo. Match 9: Wyndham Clark and Tony Finau vs. Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes Analysis : Clark’s flawless play and Finau’s pivotal birdies make the American team (-115) a strong contender. Docter questions Weir’s decision-making in waiting until match four to send Conners and Hughes out. Match 10: Scottie Scheffler and Russell Henley vs. Si Woo Kim and Byung-Hun Ahn Analysis : Scheffler and Henley (-195) are heavily favored. Docter believes Weir made a critical error by not pairing Tom Kim with Si Woo Kim, missing an opportunity to challenge Scheffler. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 26, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg give out NFL Week 4 Picks. The guys deep dive into some of the leagues best and worst teams. Dave Essler also chimes in with his Week 4 best bet. Introduction (RJ Bell: 0:16 - 1:38) The podcast opens with RJ Bell commending the insights shared, specifically Steve Fezzik convincing him to back a game he was initially unsure about. The team then dives into a promotion for "Weekender" packages for sports betting enthusiasts, offering access to picks across multiple sports for $10, down from the usual $89. Analysis and Key Team Trends Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (Steve Fezzik: 13:24 - 16:59) Fezzik's top pick for Week 4 is the Jacksonville Jaguars at +6.5 against the Buffalo Bills. He critiques the significant shift in odds after Jacksonville’s poor performance on Monday Night Football. Fezzik believes the line overreacts to recency bias, citing how Jacksonville’s spread moved from +4.5 last week to +6.5 against a Bills team that is only a few points better than Houston. He argues that the number is too generous and sees value in backing the Jaguars. Quote (Steve Fezzik: 14:57 - 15:12) : “It's the situational spot...you got a three and Buffalo team that just played Monday night...and you got a Baltimore team 1-2 needing the game like blood.” Ravens vs. Bills (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:30) Fezzik also notes an interesting trend where big dogs (teams receiving more than 5 points) are performing well this season, covering the spread at 14-2. On the flip side, small dogs (teams receiving 5 points or less) are 11-19-1. Fezzik highlights that his power ratings show no team being significantly better than others this year, with only a 5-point spread between the top and bottom teams in the league. Player Insights and Statistics Trevor Lawrence (Scott Seidenberg: 21:03 - 21:23) Scott Seidenberg notes Trevor Lawrence's struggles, pointing out his 0-8 record straight up in his last eight games. However, Seidenberg finds value in the Jaguars’ ability to cover the spread as a significant underdog, referencing a historical trend of teams who lose by 30 or more points and then cover as dogs the following week. Quote (Scott Seidenberg: 21:06) : "I do think there's value baked into this line...I think that the public saw Jacksonville get absolutely destroyed, but they’re better than that.” Team and Player Statistics Favorite Trends RJ Bell provides macro trends on favorites this season, noting that favorites have gone 20-5-1, but larger underdogs (over 5 points) are outperforming smaller ones. This discrepancy highlights the unpredictable nature of NFL betting so far this season. Power Rankings Insights (Steve Fezzik: 6:10 - 6:44) Fezzik reveals that his NFL power rankings are tighter than ever. No team is rated more than 5 points higher than an average team, with New England being the worst team at -5.5 points. This compressed ranking suggests no elite team dominance, making the NFL season more competitive. Conclusion The podcast emphasizes sharp betting strategies, advocating for value picks based on contrarian analysis. Fezzik’s insights into power rankings show a very balanced NFL season, while historical betting trends favor significant underdogs. The group urges caution, particularly with betting favorites, and encourages listeners to look beyond recency bias. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 25, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for all five Thursday Fourball matches for the Presidents Cup. Follow Doc on X @drmedia59 for more on the world of golf Introduction and Overview In the podcast's introduction, Will Doctor sets the stage by bringing his sharpest predictions for the PGA Tour event, the Presidents Cup (0:15–0:42). His energy and focus immediately engage listeners, promising a detailed breakdown of Thursday’s Fourball matches. The matchups feature top golfers from both the USA and international teams, with Doctor providing his take on the betting odds and insights. Match 1: Xander Schauffele & Tony Finau vs. Jason Day & Byung-hun Ahn (0:42–14:57) Doctor starts with the first match, where Schauffele and Finau are favorites at -180 on DraftKings. He questions U.S. captain Jim Furyk's decision to split Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay, who have a strong history together, but he supports the flexibility of pairing Schauffele with Finau. Despite Finau’s driving accuracy issues earlier in the season, Doctor believes Finau has improved and will excel on the greens at Royal Montreal. For the opposition, Jason Day's recent struggles—finishing 33rd at the BMW Championship and failing to qualify for the Tour Championship—are highlighted. Doctor is not confident in Day's current form, pointing out his ongoing issues with driving accuracy. Ben Onn, too, has limited success in the Presidents Cup, which makes Doctor strongly favor Schauffele and Finau. Statistical Insight : Day has underperformed in the Presidents Cup, and his driving accuracy has been problematic in 7 of his last 11 events. Schauffele and Finau, on the other hand, are in good form with Finau showing late-season improvement. Prediction : Schauffele & Finau to win. Match 2: Collin Morikawa & Sahith Theegala vs. Adam Scott & Min Woo Lee (14:57–24:30) Morikawa and Theegala are slight favorites at -135. Doctor praises Theegala’s performance in the 2024 FedEx Cup and Morikawa’s solo second place at the Tour Championship. Morikawa’s consistency, with 8 top-ten finishes in 2024, makes him one of the top players in the world. Doctor, however, acknowledges Adam Scott’s determination to improve his Presidents Cup record, which currently stands at a disappointing 18-25-6. Statistical Insight : Despite Scott’s veteran status, his poor Presidents Cup record weighs heavily, while Morikawa’s consistent high-level play positions him as a key player. Theegala’s form in recent events further strengthens their chances. Prediction : Morikawa & Theegala to win. Match 3: Scottie Scheffler & Russell Henley vs. Sungjae Im & Tom Kim (24:30–32:00) Scheffler and Henley are -142 favorites. Doctor supports Furyk’s decision to pair Henley with Scheffler, noting Henley’s stellar driving accuracy (5th on the PGA Tour) and top performances in major events. On the other hand, Tom Kim's form is questioned, as his recent performances have been underwhelming, finishing 52nd in the FedEx Cup standings. Statistical Insight : Scheffler, ranked number one in the world, paired with Henley’s accuracy, makes them formidable. Conversely, Tom Kim’s struggles this season raise doubts about his ability to perform at Royal Montreal. Prediction : Scheffler & Henley to win. Match 4: Wyndham Clark & Keegan Bradley vs. Taylor Pendrith & Christiaan Bezuidenhout (32:00–38:30) Clark and Bradley are favored at -112. Doctor criticizes Mike Weir’s decision to pair Pendrith with Bezuidenhout, citing Bezuidenhout’s poor form in recent tournaments. He points to Bezuidenhout’s struggles with his driver and short game, which make the pairing less competitive against the sharp form of Clark and Bradley. Statistical Insight : Bezuidenhout’s loss of shots in four consecutive starts is a red flag. Clark and Bradley’s more consistent recent performances make them the stronger pairing. Prediction : Clark & Bradley to win. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 25, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college football week 5 betting. Griffin and Ben are ready to cash some best bets this week. They cover this weeks biggest games and more. Opening Thoughts (0:06 - 0:31) Speaker 3 delivers a motivational message emphasizing teamwork and tenacity: "Outblock them, outtackle them, outhit them, outhustle them...Leave no doubt tonight." This quote sets the tone for the podcast, signaling a focus on outworking the opponent in both football and sports betting, where preparation and focus are key. Best Bets Review (0:52 - 2:40) Griffin Warner and Big East Ben recap their Week 4 bets, reflecting on losses like Maryland failing to cover against Villanova. They inject humor, with Warner making a light jab about AI: "Ben looks very intelligent today, and we’re going to bring you some intelligent picks." Big East Ben humorously criticizes Maryland for losing focus in the second half, referencing their past basketball glory led by Juan Dixon and Steve Blake. This serves as a reminder that discipline and consistency are crucial, both in sports and betting. Game 1: Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State (3:47 - 7:03) Kansas State is favored by five points against Oklahoma State, a game influenced by Kansas State’s performance in Provo, where BYU scored multiple touchdowns via special teams and defense. Ollie Gordon 's struggles are highlighted as Ben points out that a player with Heisman potential has been disappointing: "He has been garbage. I don't know why... Some journalist tweeted out he had syphilis." Though debunked, this illustrates how rumors can swirl around underperforming players, impacting perception. Game 2: Louisville vs. Notre Dame (7:03 - 8:16) Notre Dame is a six-point favorite, facing a Louisville team led by a quarterback with 830 passing yards in three games. Ben anticipates a high-scoring game due to Louisville’s offensive firepower and recommends betting the over (46.5 points). Warner notes that Notre Dame 's earlier loss to Northern Illinois was a “black mark,” yet he believes they will recover, laying the six points on Notre Dame . Game 3: Georgia vs. Alabama (8:55 - 10:43) Georgia is a 2.5-point favorite over Alabama in what’s described as a potential “game of the season.” Ben anticipates a tight contest between two elite quarterbacks and suggests betting the over, predicting a high-scoring game. Warner, however, picks Alabama as a home underdog: "It’s scary to be against Georgia, but... I think Alabama passes that test." Game 4: Illinois vs. Penn State (10:45 - 12:45) Illinois is an 18-point underdog against Penn State , a team coming off a bye. Despite this, Ben backs Illinois, referencing Penn State’s mediocre record against the spread in whiteout games: "Penn State is 8-7 historically... 4-2 under James Franklin." Warner agrees, suggesting the game could stay low-scoring and backing the under (47.5 points). Game 5: Arizona vs. Utah (12:45 - 15:23) Utah is favored by 11.5 points against Arizona . Ben is wary of Arizona’s poor form, specifically their loss to Kansas State, but believes they can stay within the number. Both Ben and Warner recommend betting the under (48.5 points), highlighting Utah’s defense and the challenges Arizona will face playing at high altitude. Best Bets and Conclusion (17:40 - 19:32) Ben’s Best Bet is Kansas State minus five, taking aim at Oklahoma State, a team he describes as "broken." He calls for the end of Mike Gundy’s reign: "Chop off that mullet Mike Gundy. You are done this year." Warner sticks with Alabama plus 2.5, pointing out that the new 12-team playoff format reduces the need for undefeated seasons, making road games more manageable. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 25, 2024

Will Doctor delivers the sharpest prop card for the 15th Presidents Cup at Royal Montreal Golf Club (Blue Course). Stay tuned for Doc's Presidents Cup daily picks throughout the tournament. You can find him on X @drmedia59 In this episode of the Golf Preview Podcast, Will Docter provides an in-depth preview of the 2024 Presidents' Cup, offering analysis on team compositions, key players, and betting tips for the tournament at Royal Montreal. Overview (0:16 - 22:05) The Presidents' Cup is a biennial event where the U.S. competes against an international team (excluding Europe). The tournament features 30 matches over four days: five on Thursday and Friday, eight on Saturday, and twelve singles matches on Sunday. Historically, the U.S. has dominated the competition, winning every Cup since 2003. Docter doesn’t expect that to change this year due to the talent disparity between the teams. U.S. Team: The U.S. team is missing Bryson DeChambeau but remains strong with elite players like Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele , both boasting impressive Presidents’ Cup records. Schauffele, who has a 6-3-0 record in the Presidents' Cup, is one of Docter’s top picks for the tournament, especially given the course’s emphasis on accuracy. Tony Finau is another player Docter highlights, noting his solid ball-striking and improved putting. International Team: The international squad, led by Mike Weir , faces a significant challenge without LIV players like Cam Smith and Joaquin Niemann . Key returners include Sungjae Im , Si Woo Kim , and Hideki Matsuyama , but Docter questions whether they can carry the team. He also emphasizes the importance of Canada’s Corey Conners and Taylor Pendrith performing well after their disappointing 0-4-0 records in 2022. LIV Golf Controversy: Docter criticizes the LIV Golf format, calling it a "joke" and blaming it for excluding top international talent from this year’s event. LIV players were not allowed to compete in the Presidents’ Cup, despite being eligible for other events like the Ryder Cup. Betting Insights: Docter provides several betting recommendations, starting with Team USA to win at -250. He offers three prop bets: Xander Schauffele to be the Top USA Point Scorer at +450, citing his flexibility in pairings and strong Presidents' Cup record. Tony Finau as the Top USA Captain’s Pick at +650, emphasizing his ball-striking and respectable team event history. Sahith Theegala to finish as the Top USA Rookie at +250, praising his recent form and energy, which will be crucial in a high-stakes team event. On the international side, Docter passes on many categories but backs Si Woo Kim as the Top International Captain’s Pick at +350. He notes Si Woo’s strong ball-striking, recent form, and history of excelling in team formats. Key Quotes and Stats: "The United States has won every Presidents' Cup since 2003, and I don’t think that changes this week." Docter establishes that the U.S. remains the heavy favorite, particularly with the absence of key international players. "Xander Schauffele has a 6-3-0 record in two Presidents' Cups." Schauffele’s experience and versatility make him a strong bet for top U.S. scorer, especially given the challenging setup of Royal Montreal. "Si Woo Kim’s ball-striking has been phenomenal over his last two events." Docter’s confidence in Si Woo stems from his recent finishes and history of delivering in big moments, making him a standout pick for top international captain's choice. Time Stamps: Introduction and overview (0:16 - 0:29) Presidents’ Cup format breakdown (0:39 - 22:05) Team analysis and key players (various segments within 0:39 - 22:05) LIV Golf controversy and implications (15:00 - 17:00) Betting recommendations (22:05 - 40:00) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 24, 2024

RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 3 recap and more. The Week 3 NFL recap dives into key team performances, player highlights, and betting strategies. The podcast, hosted by RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg, and Mackenzie Rivers, opens with a breakdown of Monday Night Football, highlighting the Buffalo Bills’ dominance over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Buffalo’s strong defense and offensive firepower stood out, while Jacksonville’s early-season struggles raised concerns. A key focus was the Cincinnati Bengals’ disappointing start. Fezzik and Bell discussed how the Bengals, with a soft schedule, have underperformed, leading to a downgrade in their power rating. Their upcoming game against Carolina will be critical for their season trajectory. Meanwhile, Washington earned praise for exceeding expectations, showing solid defensive play and warranting an upgrade in their power rating. Fezzik shared insights into betting on in-season win totals, explaining how calculating win shares based on the likelihood of winning each game helps bettors identify value. This strategy is particularly useful early in the season, when teams' strengths and weaknesses are still being revealed. The San Francisco 49ers were also a major topic of discussion, given their injury struggles. Despite losing key offensive players like Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers remain competitive. Fezzik and Bell agreed that the team should not be significantly downgraded, thanks to quarterback Brock Purdy’s solid performance. A broader conversation on the NFL’s growing trend of aggressive fourth-down calls sparked debate. Bell and Fezzik noted that while going for it on fourth down used to be innovative, defenses have now adjusted, and this strategy is less effective. Betting trends also emerged as a central theme. Fezzik highlighted the fact that teams exceeding the ATS margin by 50 or more points in the first three weeks often struggle to cover the spread in Week 4. This applies to both the Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings, two teams that have dominated early but face tougher competition ahead. Bettors should be cautious of inflated lines following such performances. The Los Angeles Rams earned credit for their gutsy comeback against the injury-depleted 49ers. McVay’s coaching prowess kept the Rams competitive despite numerous setbacks, warranting a slight power rating upgrade. On the other hand, the Dallas Cowboys’ defensive struggles were dissected. Two consecutive weeks of being overpowered by strong rushing attacks from Alvin Kamara and Derrick Henry have led to a significant downgrade in their power rating. Bettors should be wary of trusting Dallas until they can shore up their run defense. As the discussion shifted to the Minnesota Vikings, the panel emphasized that their early success and dominance have inflated betting lines. While the Vikings have impressed through Week 3, history suggests they may struggle to cover the spread in Week 4, particularly against stronger opponents like the Green Bay Packers. In summary, Week 3 of the NFL season provided a mix of surprises and disappointments, with some teams like Buffalo and Washington outperforming expectations, while others like Cincinnati and Dallas are struggling. The panel shared key insights for bettors, stressing the importance of in-season win totals, ATS trends, and cautious evaluation of inflated lines. Looking ahead to Week 4, teams like Minnesota and Buffalo may face challenges, while Washington continues to rise. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 24, 2024

Steve Fezzik and Munaf Manji discuss NFL Week 3 and Week 4. Fezz gives out his top 3 girls in the influencer sports industry and more. In this episode of "Fezzik's Focus," Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik dive deep into the aftermath of NFL Week 3 and look ahead to Week 4. The episode covers key takeaways from the week’s games, strategic mistakes by teams, survivor pool eliminations, and betting advice for the upcoming games. Notably, Steve Fezzik, a renowned betting expert, offers valuable insights into team performances, coaching decisions, and the intricacies of survivor pools, all while showcasing his unique personality and analytical style. Conclusion This episode highlights the unpredictable nature of NFL betting and the challenges bettors face navigating the season’s twists and turns. Steve Fezzik emphasizes how even slight errors in coaching decisions can dramatically affect game outcomes, citing teams like the Eagles and Cowboys. Week 3 saw surprising defeats of favored teams in survivor pools, with many bettors caught off guard by the performance of heavy favorites like the Bengals and Bucs. Fezzik's advice is to stay nimble and act on breaking news to make profitable wagers, particularly as injuries continue to impact team strategies. Key Points 🏈 NFL Survivor Drama : Week 3 caused major upsets in survivor pools as several favored teams, like the Bengals and Bucs, lost unexpectedly. 🧠 Coaching Decisions Matter : Fezzik discussed several questionable coaching calls, such as the Eagles’ decision to go for it on fourth down rather than kicking a field goal. These moments can swing game results and betting outcomes. 🎯 Power Ratings Adjustments : Based on performances in Week 3, teams like the Packers and Jets received upgrades, while teams like the Cowboys saw their ratings drop. Fezzik uses these adjustments to inform his betting strategies moving forward. 🚑 Injuries Impacting Bets : Teams like the 49ers and Eagles suffered significant injuries that could alter their betting odds in future games. Fezzik cautions bettors to keep a close eye on injury reports. 📉 Fading Teams : Fezzik identified the Cowboys and Ravens as teams that bettors should fade in the coming weeks due to declining performances. 💡 Betting Strategy : Fezzik advises bettors to act quickly on breaking news and line movements to gain an edge, especially when key players are ruled out. 💼 Expert Advice : Fezzik’s winning strategy hinges on predicting line movements and acting early, instead of waiting until game day to place bets. 🍽️ Las Vegas Recommendations : For those visiting Las Vegas, Fezzik recommends top shows like O at the Bellagio, as well as dining at high-end restaurants such as SW Steakhouse at the Wynn. 💵 Sports Betting and Ethics : Fezzik stresses the importance of betting based on current odds rather than boasting about favorable bets already in pocket. He criticizes media personalities for discussing past bets that no longer provide value to listeners. 🎲 Fezzik’s Record : Despite a tough recent weekend, Fezzik remains confident in his long-term betting success, boasting a record of 32-8 over the last three weekends. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 23, 2024

Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg go over the importance of the final week of the MLB regular season as the Postseason picture shapes up! In this episode, Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers dive into the thrilling final week of the 2024 MLB season. They discuss the playoff picture, team performances, and individual player highlights as the season nears its end. Major topics include the Yankees' playoff push, the Orioles' collapse, the AL Wild Card battle, and the potential for two pitchers to win the Triple Crown. The Yankees , who are just a win away from clinching the AL East, are discussed with personal insights from Towers. He recalls how players' mindsets shift during this crucial week. While the Yankees prepare for postseason success, the Orioles have dramatically fallen, dropping to the bottom of key offensive and pitching metrics since August 21st, making Scott’s under 90.5 wins bet on them likely to hit. A key focus is the Wild Card race , particularly between the Royals and Tigers . Detroit has been on fire since mid-August, tying Kansas City for the second and third Wild Card spots. In contrast, the Royals have collapsed with a seven-game losing streak, jeopardizing their playoff chances. Meanwhile, the Houston Astros have already secured their spot in the postseason, with Towers praising their ability to handle pressure. Towers and Seidenberg also discuss the potential historic achievement of Tariq Skubal (Tigers) and Chris Sale (Red Sox), who are close to becoming the fourth pair of pitchers in MLB history to both win the Triple Crown in the same season. Skubal leads the AL with 17 wins, 221 strikeouts, and a 2.48 ERA, while Sale dominates the NL. Betting odds and predictions are key parts of the episode. Scott breaks down playoff scenarios, noting the Tigers' -370 odds to make the playoffs, with the Royals at -155. The Mariners are extreme long shots at +1200. Discussion moves to possible World Series matchups, with a Yankees-Dodgers series being the dream scenario, given the star power and history between these teams. Towers also expresses confidence in the Padres , seeing them as strong contenders for the National League title. Meanwhile, Scott shares his betting success this season, highlighting a 55.8% win rate over 369 bets. Key Points: Yankees are one win away from clinching the AL East. Orioles’ collapse since August 21 has dropped them in major metrics. The Tigers are tied with the Royals for the final Wild Card spot. Kansas City faces a potential playoff disaster after seven straight losses. The Astros have already secured their division title. Tariq Skubal and Chris Sale are close to winning the Triple Crown in pitching. Betting odds show the Tigers favored to make the playoffs, with the Mariners as long shots. A potential Yankees-Dodgers World Series is predicted, promising a blockbuster matchup. The Padres are dark horses in the NL playoff race. Scott has achieved a 55.8% win rate in betting over 369 bets this MLB season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 20, 2024

Munaf Manji, Steve Reider and SleepyJ are coming off a monster NFL Week 2 podcast. The guys give out the best props for NFL Week 3 betting. The guys also preview Monday Night Football. NFL Week 3 Player Props + MNF Preview Recap In the latest podcast, Munaf Manji , Steve Reider , and SleepyJ discussed Week 3 NFL player props and Monday Night Football (MNF) previews. Coming off a strong 10-2 record in Week 2, they provided insights into key players, stats, and betting angles for Week 3, with a special focus on quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. Key Quotes and Analysis: (0:18) – Munaf opened the podcast by introducing Week 3 matchups, highlighting the New England Patriots vs. New York Jets and discussing upcoming player props . (2:00) – Reflecting on Week 2, Munaf noted, "We did not hit our player prop best bet for Monday Night Football," but remained optimistic for Week 3. (4:03) – Steve Reider expressed concern for the Baltimore Ravens , who started 0-2. "They could easily go 0-3," he warned, highlighting the team’s fourth-quarter collapses and offensive line struggles. (9:47) – SleepyJ discussed the Bryce Young benching, stating, “This can only be a good thing for Bryce,” due to Carolina's weak offensive line and lack of offensive weapons. (15:13) – SleepyJ recommended Gardner Minchu over 217.5 passing yards , citing the Carolina defense’s poor performance. (27:15) – SleepyJ’s wide receiver pick was Rasheed Shaheed over 48.5 receiving yards , labeling him the Saints’ top deep threat, especially against the weak Eagles’ defense. Conclusion: The Week 3 discussion centered around leveraging matchups against weaker defenses. The team discussed several players who could exceed their expected yardage, such as Gardner Minchu , Jerome Ford , and Rasheed Shaheed . Additionally, they explored the potential outcomes for Monday Night Football , with a focus on the Buffalo Bills being the favorites at -5.5 but recognizing the Jacksonville Jaguars as a solid underdog bet. Key Points: 🏈 10-2 Record : The team had a strong Week 2, going 10-2 on player props, setting the tone for Week 3. 🏈 Gardner Minchu Over 217.5 Passing Yards : Minchu’s high completion rate and Carolina's weak defense make this a strong pick. 🏈 Baltimore Ravens : Steve warned that an 0-3 start was possible due to poor offensive performance. 🏈 Bryce Young Benched : SleepyJ supported the benching due to Carolina’s offensive struggles. 🏈 Kyler Murray Over 30.5 Rushing Yards : Steve expected Murray to capitalize on Detroit’s weak defense against mobile quarterbacks. 🏈 Jerome Ford Over 49.5 Rushing Yards : SleepyJ saw Ford thriving against the Giants' poor rush defense. 🏈 Rasheed Shaheed Over 48.5 Receiving Yards : Shaheed’s deep-threat ability makes him a strong pick against the Eagles. 🏈 Brock Bowers Over 44.5 Receiving Yards : As a top target, Bowers was expected to have a big game. 🏈 Buffalo Bills -5.5 : While Buffalo was favored, Jacksonville’s desperation could make them a good underdog pick at +5.5. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 19, 2024

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Week 3 betting. The guys are coming off a great Week 2 podcast. Best bets always from Dave Essler and the Vegas wiseguy roundtable. In this Dream Podcast episode, RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers, and Scott Seidenberg break down their top NFL Week 3 betting picks. Their analysis covers player performances, team stats, and betting strategies, all aimed at helping you make informed decisions for the weekend. Tennessee Titans (-1.5) - Fezzik's Best Bet (05:17) Fezzik’s top pick is the Tennessee Titans, as he believes they’re undervalued after two misleading losses. With Jordan Love unlikely to play for Green Bay, Fezzik has full confidence in Tennessee, noting their superior stats and ability to rebound against the Packers. Titans First Half Bet - Scott Seidenberg (11:55) Scott’s favorite bet is the Titans in the first half (-125), pointing out QB Will Levis' strong first-half performance. Levis is 8-3 ATS in first halves, making this a solid wager. New York Giants - RJ Bell (14:58) RJ believes the Giants will put up a strong fight as they seek to avoid an 0-3 start. He stresses the pressure on head coach Brian Daboll, expecting the Giants to be highly motivated and capable of covering. Indianapolis Colts (-1) - Scott Seidenberg (26:37) Scott loves the Colts this week, pointing to their explosive offense, which averages 6.68 yards per play, compared to Chicago’s historically poor 2.97. With Caleb Williams struggling, the Colts are a strong favorite to cover. Arizona Cardinals (+3) - Uncle Dave Essler (43:46) Uncle Dave backs Arizona, highlighting Kyler Murray’s mobility and Arizona’s impressive defense. Goff’s inconsistency under pressure makes the Cardinals a great underdog pick against the Lions. Conclusion This week’s podcast delivers top NFL Week 3 bets, with the experts favoring teams like the Titans and Colts while taking advantage of underdogs like the Giants and Cardinals. Their deep analysis provides key insights for bettors looking to maximize value. Summary Tennessee Titans (-1.5): Best bet due to Love’s likely absence and Titans’ solid recent performance. Titans First Half : Seidenberg expects Levis’ first-half success to lead, betting on the Titans' first-half Moneyline. Giants : RJ Bell believes in the Giants’ desperation for a win, considering Dayball's job security a motivational factor. Colts (-1): Scott predicts an easy win for the Colts due to Chicago's weak offense and low yardage production. Panthers (+7): Mackenzie prefers Andy Dalton over Bryce Young, seeing opportunities for the Panthers’ offense to cover. Cardinals (+3): Uncle Dave backs Arizona as a reliable underdog, praising Murray’s mobility and Arizona's defensive capabilities. Betting Trends : The Giants' historical trends support RJ’s bet, as underdogs continue to cover in these situations. Field Goals : RJ mentions the significant rise in successful field goals across games, a factor in close matchups. Panthers Offense : Dalton’s ability to unlock Carolina’s passing game is a key factor in covering against the Saints. Team Injuries : Packers’ defensive injuries provide even more confidence for the Titans pick. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 18, 2024

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2024 BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth. -Discussing top six on odds board -4 matchups -1 t10 -3 outrights -Sleeper, First Round Pick -Scoring prediction -Best bet The BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth is a highlight of the DP World Tour, with top players battling for PGA Tour cards. Rory McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood, and Matteo Manassero headline the field, with McIlroy entering as a favorite after a strong showing at the Irish Open. Key Players and Predictions Rory McIlroy (02:34) Rory McIlroy is in great form after nearly winning the Irish Open. He has consistently finished in the top 10 at Wentworth, including a win in 2014. At +625 , McIlroy is a strong pick to win, and his iron play makes him a top contender. Tommy Fleetwood (04:52) Tommy Fleetwood struggles to close at Wentworth. His inability to put together four solid rounds and poor putting form make him a risky pick this week. McIlroy over Fleetwood at -130 is a smart bet. Shane Lowry (06:17) Shane Lowry, a past champion, has shown inconsistency in his iron play. Despite finishing 12th at the Irish Open, he’s not in top form, making him a risky pick for an outright win. Matteo Manassero (08:05) Manassero, the 2013 BMW PGA Champion, is in excellent form with five top-10 finishes this season. At 40-1 , he is a great value pick, especially as he fights for a PGA Tour card. Billy Horschel (09:45) Horschel’s form has been erratic, particularly with his putting. Despite winning at Wentworth in 2021, his recent struggles make him a long shot at 22-1 . Matchups and Bets Rory McIlroy vs. Tommy Fleetwood : McIlroy at -130 is a solid bet based on current form and track record. Matthew Pavan vs. Tom McKibben : Pavan, priced at even money , has the edge given McKibben’s struggles. Romain Langasque vs. Jorge Campillo : Langasque at -110 is favored with his consistent form over Campillo. Sleeper Pick Sepp Straka to top 10 at +320 is a great sleeper pick. Straka finished 10th at Wentworth last year and has shown improvement in his iron and putting game recently. Best Bet Matteo Manassero to top 20 at +175 is the best bet of the tournament. With his recent form and past success at Wentworth, he is poised for a strong finish. Conclusion The BMW PGA Championship promises excitement, with McIlroy as the favorite. Dark horses like Manassero and Straka offer great value. Keep an eye on matchups like McIlroy over Fleetwood, and make sure to back Manassero for a top-20 finish. Summary Rory McIlroy at +625 is the favorite. Tommy Fleetwood struggles to close, making him a risky pick. Shane Lowry is inconsistent with his irons. Matteo Manassero at 40-1 is a great value pick. Billy Horschel has struggled recently. Bet on McIlroy over Fleetwood at -130 . Romain Langasque is a solid bet over Campillo. Sleeper: Sepp Straka to top 10 at +320 . Best bet: Matteo Manassero to top 20 at +175 . Winning score prediction: 17 under par . Follow Doc on X @drmedia59 for the latest on the world of golf! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 17, 2024

Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk College Football Week 4 betting. The guys also give out best bets. Breakdown of Quotes and Players College Football Week 4 Preview: Best Bets and Insights Week 4 of college football brings excitement as major matchups unfold. Griffin Warner and Big East Ben provide insights on teams, players, and betting strategies in their latest podcast. Key games like Illinois vs Nebraska, USC vs Michigan, and Tennessee vs Oklahoma are analyzed in-depth. Top Picks and Key Moments Nebraska Hype (05:45) Nebraska’s quarterback, Dylan Riola, is compared to Patrick Mahomes, but Big East Ben is skeptical. After a dominant win over Colorado, the hype seems overblown, especially against Illinois' strong defense. Illinois at Nebraska (07:05) Illinois is an 8.5-point underdog, but Ben likes their defensive strength and quarterback play. Griffin sees this as a low-scoring affair, suggesting the under 43 points bet. Michigan vs USC (09:45) Michigan’s QB Alex Orji takes center stage, but USC’s offensive prowess may be too much. Both agree on the under 46.5 bet, expecting defenses to shine in this one. Utah at Oklahoma State (13:30) Cam Rising returns for Utah, and Ben backs Utah -2.5, pointing to their consistency. Oklahoma State’s shaky performance makes Utah a solid pick. Best Bets Illinois +8.5 vs Nebraska : Strong defense and value play. Under 46.5 Michigan vs USC : Expect defensive struggles. Utah -2.5 vs Oklahoma State : Reliable team with quarterback advantage. Conclusion Week 4 offers value plays with underdogs like Illinois and low totals in games such as Michigan vs USC. Utah’s consistency also makes them a good road favorite, setting up an exciting weekend for college football fans and bettors. Key Points 🏈 Illinois Defense : Illinois has the tools to challenge Nebraska’s offense, making them a strong pick at +8.5. 🎯 PAC-12 Restructuring : The new PAC-12 lineup may breathe life into the dying conference. 🔥 Nebraska Hype : Despite early season excitement, Nebraska’s potential is overhyped. ❄️ Michigan’s Struggles : Michigan faces a make-or-break game, especially with a new QB in Alex Orji. 💪 Clemson Skepticism : Despite high spreads, Clemson’s overconfidence could cost them against NC State. 📉 Utah on the Rise : With Cam Rising back, Utah is a good bet to win against Oklahoma State. 💥 Tennessee Power : The Volunteers are one of the most impressive teams this season, and they’re ready to prove it against Oklahoma. 💰 Value Picks : NC State and Illinois offer potential upsets or closer-than-expected games, providing value for bettors. 🔒 Under Picks : Games like Michigan vs USC and Tennessee vs Oklahoma suggest lower scoring affairs, making under bets appealing. Summary Illinois vs Nebraska : Expect Illinois to cover the spread at +8.5 due to their strong defense. PAC-12's New Teams : The PAC-12's future hinges on incoming schools like Boise State, with legal battles still ongoing. Nebraska Hype : Early season hype around Nebraska’s QB Dylan Riola might be unwarranted. Michigan's Quarterback Switch : Michigan is gambling on a new quarterback, but the offense might not gel fast enough. Clemson vs NC State : NC State has the potential to cover as a 20.5-point underdog. Utah at Oklahoma State : With Cam Rising back, Utah is a strong road favorite at -2.5. Tennessee vs Oklahoma : Tennessee’s offensive power makes them favorites, but expect a low-scoring game. Best Bets : Utah (-2.5) and Illinois (+8.5) are the top betting picks of the week. Under Picks : Michigan vs USC and Tennessee vs Oklahoma are likely to stay under the projected point totals. Coaching Decisions : Some teams, like Clemson, are paying for poor transfer portal decisions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 17, 2024

RJ bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers discuss NFL Week 2 recap. The discuss what you need to know for NFL week 3 early in the week. Summary: NFL Weeks 2 & 3 Recap (Speaker: RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik) (01:17) Pittsburgh Steelers : The Steelers' defense, led by T.J. Watt, dominated through turnovers and pressure. Fezzik upgraded Pittsburgh after initially betting under 8.5 wins. Defense remains key as they won despite being outgained by Denver. (03:19) Quarterback Play : RJ discussed the declining quality of NFL quarterbacks compared to the era of Brady and Rodgers. Only Mahomes consistently delivers, while Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence have struggled, especially with third-down conversions. (10:25) Baltimore Ravens : Despite leading the league in yards per play (6.0), turnovers and poor late-game execution plagued the Ravens. Lamar Jackson's offensive line issues contributed to his inconsistency, and Fezzik downgraded them by half a point. (22:34) Denver Broncos : Although Denver outgained opponents, they failed to win due to turnovers and poor execution. Russell Wilson's flashes of brilliance weren't enough, as Fezzik pointed out their yardage success was misleading. (05:08) Philadelphia Eagles : Sirianni's decision to throw on 3rd-and-3 with 1:46 remaining in Week 2 cost the Eagles the game. Fezzik criticized the decision, calling it "a fireable offense," as Atlanta capitalized to win. (59:28) San Francisco 49ers : Brock Purdy’s Week 3 was a rollercoaster. Despite strong stats (319 yards), late-game fumbles and interceptions cost the 49ers. Fezzik questioned Purdy’s ability to handle pressure. (16:44) Kansas City Chiefs : Mahomes pulled off a critical 4th-and-16 conversion, leading to another clutch win. Fezzik emphasized Mahomes’ unmatched ability to capitalize on mistakes, setting him apart as the best quarterback. (47:08) Carolina Panthers : Carolina’s reliance on analytics failed as they converted only 25% of 4th-down attempts in Week 3. Fezzik criticized their aggressive play-calling, pointing out their offense isn't equipped to execute such plays. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 17, 2024

Munaf Manji and Steve Fezzik talk NFL Week 2 aftermath. Fezzik and Munaf also do a quick reaction to NFL Week 3 and talk Vegas steak locations. NFL Week 2 Recap: Phony Final Scores, Betting Tips, and Quick Reactions to Week 3 In this episode of Fezzik's Focus , Steve Fezzik and Munaf Manji provide an in-depth analysis of the key games from Week 2, focusing on misleading final scores, the impact of player injuries, and power rankings adjustments. They also offer their quick reactions to Week 3 and some recommendations for the best steak spots in Las Vegas. Phony Final Scores (02:34) Fezzik identifies several "phony" final scores where the scoreboard didn’t reflect the true game dynamics. For instance, the Las Vegas Raiders’ upset win over the Baltimore Ravens is considered misleading. The Ravens dominated in yards per play but collapsed late in the game, a recurring issue for Baltimore. Similarly, Detroit outgained Tampa Bay in yardage but struggled in the red zone, leading to a deceptive loss. Impact of Injuries (14:47) Injuries played a huge role in Week 2, particularly for the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers. The Rams were decimated, losing key offensive players like Cooper Kupp, leading to a three-point downgrade in Fezzik’s power ratings. Fezzik also points out that Bryce Young was benched in Carolina, giving the Panthers a two-point upgrade with veteran Andy Dalton starting. Betting Strategies (07:54) Fezzik emphasizes the importance of betting early to get the best lines. Using the Denver vs. Pittsburgh game as an example, he explains how the line moved from +3.5 to +2.5, showing that missing the best number can turn a winning bet into a losing one. Week 3 Reactions (18:16) Fezzik and Munaf agree that due to injuries on both teams, the best bet for the San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams game is the under . Both teams are struggling with offensive injuries, making it likely that scoring will be low. Steakhouse Recommendations (19:29) For those visiting Las Vegas, Fezzik recommends several steakhouse options. Ellis Island is his go-to for budget dining, while SW Steakhouse at the Wynn is a top choice for high-end dining with a great view. Key Quotes: Steve Fezzik (02:34): "Raiders got whomped on in the stats... Ravens collapsing in the fourth quarter, nothing new there." Munaf Manji (14:04): "Bryce Young has shown nothing so far. This is a two-point upgrade with Dalton starting." Steve Fezzik (18:16): "With all these injuries, the bet to make is the under for the 49ers-Rams game." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices