About this episode
Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk NFL, CFB & MLB. NFC West Breakdown (0:05 - 7:38) Steve Fezzik rates Rams as undervalued due to injuries in 2023 and elite coach-QB pair (McVay, Stafford). Rams scored just 367 points, but projected to exceed 415.5. He ranks Rams > Niners > Cardinals > Seahawks and critiques Seattle’s overestimated line at 8.5 wins. AFC West: Raiders Hype and Chip Kelly’s Return (8:40 - 12:47) Scott argues Raiders will outperform expectations with Geno Smith at QB and Chip Kelly calling plays. Brock Bowers and Jacobi Meyers' 2023 stats under poor QB play now see potential boost. Fezzik calls them a solid 7-win team, citing Chip's run-heavy offense and late-season schedule. Chargers + Broncos Outlook (14:26 - 17:52) Chargers predicted under due to conservative play style despite defensive strength. Broncos' RJ Harvey (20-1) is seen as an Offensive ROY sleeper with potential 1,000-yard volume workload. Denver expected to open with strong home field edge vs rookie QB-led Tennessee. NFC + AFC South: Buccaneers, Saints, Panthers, Colts (20:56 - 30:02) Baker Mayfield and Tampa Bay touted for 425.5 points and playoff upside. Saints viewed as NFL’s worst team with lowest point total (331.5). Panthers could finish second with healthier defense. CJ Stroud’s growth keeps Texans atop AFC South; Titans with Cam Ward expected to struggle. NFC North Analysis: Lions Dip, Vikings Value (41:15 - 48:53) Lions projected to decline from 15-2 due to tougher schedule. Fezzik prefers Minnesota over 8.5 wins and calls them well-coached with undervalued rookie QB. Bears and Caleb Williams seen as “no football IQ” with no upside. Packers and Lions projected to vie for wildcard spots. AFC North Projections (49:22 - 52:08) Fezzik sees Pittsburgh breaking Tomlin’s no-losing-season streak. Browns mocked as dysfunctional and unbackable. Ravens to soar past 452.5 points due to loss of Tucker and new 3rd-down aggression. Baltimore expected to win division handily over Bengals and Steelers. AFC + NFC East Takes (54:00 - 59:51) Buffalo favored for best record due to light travel and home-heavy schedule. Jets, Dolphins seen as regression candidates. In NFC East, Washington’s 9-4 close-game record is flagged as unsustainable. Giants +7 in Week 1 vs. Commanders considered a top dog bet. Betting Contest Strategy (1:12:13 - 1:14:10) Fezzik discusses approach to new Westgate CFB contest: use late-week line moves, never take stale numbers, and incorporate top cappers like AJ Hoffman. Warns about overvaluing early entries and stresses value of “perfect info”. CFB Futures – Clemson, Penn State, Heisman (1:17:25 - 1:21:22) Clemson praised for returning 80% of roster, Cade Klubnik Heisman potential, and winning the ACC. Penn State seen as top-5 team with NFL defense, Drew Allar breakout season, and Jim Knowles as key coaching hire. Both teams backed for national title contention. MLB Second Half – Astros, Phillies, Red Sox (1:33:35 - 1:36:06) Phillies and Astros identified as best bets post-ASB due to strong pitching and key players returning. Toronto flagged for regression due to inflated record. Brewers noted as most profitable team YTD. Fezzik and Scott favor Red Sox over Blue Jays in wild card chase. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices