About this episode
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers review NFL Week 6. The guys also discuss a few ideas for NFL Week 7. Quote Analysis & Team Insights: Road Favorites Sweep Scott Seidenberg (0:06 - 0:55) Scott and Fezzik highlight how road favorites dominated, going 8-0 in Week 6. Fezzik mentions how underdogs had been performing well earlier in the season, but randomness shifted the outcomes. He notes, "The Favorites Strike Back," drawing a Star Wars comparison. This segment sets up the theme that betting often feels like a roulette wheel—sometimes favoring underdogs and sometimes dramatically shifting to favorites. Teaser Bets Collapse Steve Fezzik (0:55 - 1:52) Fezzik emphasizes the poor performance of home dog teasers, saying, "28 different permutations of two-team teasers... 0 and 28." This detailed analysis stresses how teaser bets, despite seeming advantageous, suffered a crushing defeat with teams like the Titans failing to cover. He sarcastically refers to it as a complete teaser collapse. Jacksonville Line Shift Scott Seidenberg & Steve Fezzik (1:53 - 3:31) The Bears-Jaguars game saw a dramatic line shift from Jacksonville being a two-point underdog to becoming the favorite. However, Jacksonville lost badly. Fezzik jokes about how the betting line didn’t matter, as the Bears won by 34 points, referencing the movie "Meatballs": "It just doesn’t matter." The key takeaway is that, even with sharp money moving lines, the outcome can be wildly different from predictions. Bears’ Dominance Over Jacksonville Steve Fezzik (4:49 - 5:53) Fezzik points out that while Jacksonville started strong, leading in yardage 90-10, the Bears dominated the rest of the game, resulting in a final score of 35-16. He upgrades Chicago by only a point, reflecting a cautious approach to their victory. Player Performance and Analysis: Drake May’s Growing Pains Scott Seidenberg & Steve Fezzik (6:36 - 7:14) Rookie Drake May went 20 of 33 for 243 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. Despite some "growing pains," his performance was decent, prompting Scott to suggest they may need to "be more positive on the Patriots moving forward." Fezzik, however, points out May's QBR of 31, indicating he needs more data before forming a solid judgment. Kirk Cousins’ Quiet Game Scott Seidenberg (7:59 - 8:48) Despite facing the worst pass defense, Cousins only managed 225 yards and one touchdown. Scott expresses surprise, given his explosive previous week. The Falcons leaned heavily on their run game instead, with 38 carries for 198 yards, showing a shift in strategy that paid off against Carolina. Team Statistics and Insights: Atlanta’s Efficient Offense Scott Seidenberg (7:59 - 8:48) The Falcons scored on their last six drives, with a yards-per-play advantage of 0.8 over Carolina. Their run-heavy approach led to 198 rushing yards and three touchdowns, allowing them to control the game. Pittsburgh vs. Las Vegas Steve Fezzik (8:48 - 9:27) Fezzik describes the Steelers' win over the Raiders as legitimate but overstated. The Steelers won 32-13, though the stats suggest it should have been closer to 20-13. Three turnovers by Las Vegas inflated the score, frustrating Fezzik, who had bet on the Steelers’ season total under. Giants' Stat-Dominant Loss Steve Fezzik & Scott Seidenberg (12:07 - 12:43) The Giants lost to the Bengals in a game where they had an 11-first-down advantage and better overall stats, but a late 47-yard touchdown from Joe Burrow sealed their fate. Scott points out that if not for that fluke run, the Giants seemed like the better team, both defensively and statistically. Washington vs. Baltimore Scott Seidenberg (14:34 - 15:47) Despite Baltimore winning by seven, Scott and Mackenzie never felt the Ravens would lose but also never believed they’d comfortably cover the spread. Baltimore's statistical dominance (28 first downs to 18, 484 total yards to 305) suggests they controlled the game, but Washington kept pace offensively. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices