About this episode
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith get you ready for the CFB 2025 season. šÆ Pittsburgh over 6.5 wins : Pat Narduzziās defensive core, featuring Kyle Lewis and Rasheem Biles, plus RB Des Reidās 1,500+ yards of production, sets the foundation . š Arizona State under 8.5 wins : Losing Cam Scadabooās 2,300+ yards and facing a schedule with Mississippi State, Baylor, and Utah makes sustaining success unlikely . š Oregon under 10.5 wins : QB Dante Mooreās inexperience and just one returning O-line starter threaten offensive stability . š South Carolina under 7.5 wins : Despite elite athletes like Sellers and Dillon Stewart, poor O-line play and defensive losses spell regression . š Miamiās playoff value : Carson Beck thrives in a less demanding ACC, backed by strong protection and weapons . š SMUās high-ceiling schedule : Early matchups vs Baylor and TCU provide resume-building chances despite roadblocks like Clemson . š Louisville as a sleeper : Offensive system continuity and favorable home games against top teams make them a playoff dark horse . š Playoff odds snapshot : LSU (+130), Miami (+175), Ole Miss (+170), and Louisville (3-1) stand out as potential value bets . š¢ Critical stretches : South Carolinaās brutal LSU-Oklahoma-Alabama-Ole Miss-Texas A&M stretch likely defines their season . š§ Coaching & system insights : Dan Lanningās first season without a veteran QB at Oregon raises big offensive questions, while Kenny Dillinghamās Arizona State faces depth challenges . Pittsburghās Path to 7 Wins (0:32ā12:00) ā Griffin and Lonte outline Pittās 7.35 projected wins, highlighting Pat Narduzziās defensive focus and RB Des Reidās Darren Sproles-like dual-threat ability. QB Eli Holsteinās leash may be short with Cole Gonzalez waiting . Arizona Stateās Regression (13:23ā20:13) ā With Cam Scadabooās 24-touchdown production gone, Lonte foresees a major offensive dip. Defensive pass rush remains a huge weakness against pass-heavy Big 12 offenses . Oregonās QB Transition (22:14ā28:22) ā New starter Dante Moore faces Big Ten defenses with only one O-line starter returning. The Ducksā WR group also lacks proven playmakers, raising major concerns . South Carolinaās Harsh Reality (29:45ā38:53) ā Elite athletes like Sellers and Dillon Stewart canāt offset O-line deficiencies (40.1% pressure rate allowed) and defensive attrition from five drafted players . Miamiās Playoff Dark Horse (40:12ā43:05) ā Carson Beck steps into a loaded Miami offense with top-tier O-line support, benefiting from an ACC schedule lacking Clemson . SMUās Resume-Building Schedule (43:05ā44:52) ā Early showdowns with Baylor and TCU could propel SMU into playoff talks despite the challenge of a Clemson road trip . Louisvilleās System Advantage (45:58ā47:29) ā Jeff Brohmās quarterback-friendly system makes Louisville a reliable value pick, with pivotal home games vs Clemson and Miami . SEC Brutality for South Carolina (35:45ā38:53) ā A grueling five-game stretch against LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M is likely to derail the Gamecocksā season . Value in Longshot Playoff Bets (40:12ā47:29) ā Teams like LSU, Miami, SMU, and Louisville emerge as attractive plus-money playoff bets . Promo & Contest (20:14ā49:05) ā The episode ends with details on pregame.comās āBeat Greg Shakerā contest and a 20% promo code for listeners . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices