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Moving Markets

Julius Baer·Hosted by Jan Bopp, Bernadette Anderko, Roman Canziani and Helen Freer·1000 episodes

BusinessInvestingNewsDaily market briefingsInvestment analysisRotating expertsWeekly deep dives10-20 minFinance professionals

Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for importan...

Why listen

Moving Markets gives you a compact, professional read on global markets from Julius Baer's research and investment teams. Most episodes are quick daily briefings with rotating hosts such as Jan Bopp, Bernadette Anderko, Roman Canziani, and Helen Freer, while The View Beyond episodes slow down for deeper conversations on themes like AI, currencies, energy, China, and geopolitics. It is a good fit for investors and finance-curious listeners who want market context without committing to an hour-long show.

Episodes

20 min
Jun 4, 2026
From record highs to a reality check – Julius Baer Group CIO Yves Bonzon on markets

The S P 500 snapped its nine-day winning streak yesterday, as renewed tensions in the Middle East dented risk sentiment, and momentum in the AI-driven rally eased. At the same time, bond yields pushed higher on the back of resilient labour market data, reigniting concerns that inflation pressures may persist. In today’s episode, our Group CIO Yves Bonzon shares his latest perspectives on the market backdrop, while Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, explains why he expects oil prices to trend lower from here.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product Investment Content (05:42) - Latest market perspectives: Yves Bonzon, Group CIO (14:15) - An update on oil: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics Next Generation Research (19:13) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

15 min
Jun 3, 2026
Who will be the next trillion-dollar tech giant?

AI fever is fuelling a fresh wave of market excitement, with soaring valuations and high-profile endorsements pointing to the next potential trillion-dollar tech company. With major players doubling down on artificial intelligence, investor confidence remains resilient despite rising eurozone inflation and mounting expectations of another ECB rate hike. Meanwhile, Afonso Borges from our Fixed Income Research team makes the case for UK gilts amid shifting bond dynamics, while Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research, explores the broadening strength in emerging market equities and explains why it’s not only about tech.(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:25) - Fixed income update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (10:12) - Emerging market equities: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (14:13) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
Jun 2, 2026
Geopolitics push oil higher while AI momentum powers US markets

Markets were mixed yesterday, with Middle East tensions driving a sharp rise in oil and weighing on sentiment. European equities edged lower, while all three major US indices reached fresh highs, supported by strong momentum in AI-linked names. Macro data showed a divided backdrop — resilient manufacturing in Asia, slowing growth and rising cost pressures in the Eurozone, modest but improving trends in Switzerland, and solid momentum in the US. Today, we were joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who provided a deep-dive into cybersecurity, highlighting the sector’s remarkable rebound and why it is becoming increasingly mission critical, even more so in the age of AI.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:58) - What's behind the cybersecurity rebound?: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation (10:17) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
Jun 1, 2026
Markets boosted by AI as they shrug off the lack of a deal

US equity indices closed the week at new record highs, topping off a winning month as tech stocks once again provided the momentum. Despite no agreement emerging between the US and Iran, and indeed continued strikes over the weekend, many of Asia’s key indices also saw gains this morning with the Kospi and Nikkei 225 soaring to new heights. It’s therefore timely that Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins the podcast today to discuss his thoughts on whether US equities are now overbought; why a previous laggard sub-sector might now help drive the IT sector even higher, and whether mega IPOs have historically lived up to their hype.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (01:20) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (11:00) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

19 min
May 30, 2026
The View Beyond: Waiting for the gold rally to resume

After a period of relative calm, gold has re-emerged as a focal point for investors amid geopolitics, shifting central bank strategies, and evolving global demand. How should investors interpret gold’s recent volatility, and what does the outlook hold as we move through 2026?In this episode of Julius Baer’s Moving Markets:The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, and Chris Irwin, Head of FX and Precious Metals Trading Asia at Julius Baer, to discuss the drivers behind gold’s remarkable run, the impact of central bank activity, and the changing dynamics of investment demand. The conversation covers gold’s behaviour during recent global shocks, the significance of central bank buying (and selling), the evolving role of ETFs, and the influence of Asian and Indian markets. The episode concludes with an outlook for gold through the remainder of 2026, highlighting both the structural and cyclical forces at play.(00:00) - Introduction (01:21) - Lessons from recent events (03:08) - The role of geopolitics in gold’s long-term performance (04:15) - Central bank buying (06:16) - A multipolar world and central bank strategies (07:10) - Investment demand and the shifting role of ETFs (09:15) - US monetary policy (10:45) - Trading trends in the US and China (12:51) - China’s investment flows and retail participation (13:44) - India’s import tax hike and its impact on gold demand (15:57) - Outlook for gold in 2026 (18:28) - Closing remarks and legal information Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
May 29, 2026
US equities at all-time highs, while oil plunges in May

US equities surged to record highs on optimism over a potential US–Iran ceasefire extension, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all closing at all-time highs yesterday. Oil prices fell sharply and are on track for their steepest monthly decline since March 2020. US economic data was mixed, pointing to slowing growth and increasing pressure on household finances. Technology remained the primary market driver, with strong gains in AI and tech stocks contrasting with weak momentum in Bitcoin. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, highlights gold being at critical levels, the continued attractiveness of the AUD, and persistently low FX volatility.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:11) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (09:49) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
May 28, 2026
Oil swings and AI soars: US markets hit new highs

Oil prices are swinging on every twist in the Middle East, while AI continues to dominate global markets. Europe’s stocks are under pressure from high energy costs, but in the US, AI momentum is driving major indices to fresh record highs. In today’s episode, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, dives into copper, and why electrification is set to shape markets for years to come.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:12) - Copper market update: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:29) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

9 min
May 27, 2026
More chip makers join the USD 1 trillion market-cap club

Global equities extended their record rally as momentum in technology shares accelerated and geopolitical tensions eased. Micron and SK Hynix have joined the USD 1 trillion market-capitalisation club, fuelled by surging demand for AI chips. This milestone underscores the growing dominance of semiconductor companies in global markets, with ripple effects from Seoul to Silicon Valley. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he expects this momentum to continue and shares compelling statistics on IPO returns ahead of the landmark SpaceX listing.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:47) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:33) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

13 min
May 26, 2026
AI rally meets weak consumers, and healthcare innovation

Despite US consumer confidence falling to a record low, the S&P 500 extended gains last week, driven by semiconductors, as AI enthusiasm remains strong and crowded. Global equities also advanced, led by Europe and Japan. Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Fed Chair, while Governor Waller emphasised inflation risks. Middle East tensions remain volatile, with shifting ceasefire prospects, US military action, and moves in oil, gold, and bonds. This week, focus turns to US PCE inflation, growth data, and key geopolitical meetings in Asia. Damian Ng, Next Generation Research, talks about why the recent outbreak of the Ebola virus demonstrates the need to invest in health system innovation, as well as covering key investment trends in healthcare.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (05:48) - Why Ebola demonstrates the need to invest in health system innovation: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (12:05) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

16 min
May 23, 2026
The View Beyond: From petrodollars to a new world order?

The petrodollar system has long been a cornerstone of global finance, underpinning the US dollar’s dominance for decades. But as energy markets shift, and talk of de-dollarisation grows louder, is this system now fading? And what could that mean for the future global order?In this episode of The View Beyond, Jan Bopp is joined by Julius Baer’s currency strategist, David Meier, and Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro and Next Generation Research, to explore the origins and evolution of the petrodollar system, the impact of the US shale oil revolution, and the practical realities of de-dollarisation. The discussion covers the shifting correlation between oil prices and the US dollar, the significance of Saudi Arabia’s move to accept multiple currencies, and why the US dollar’s dominance remains largely unchallenged despite headlines. The episode also examines the scale of non-dollar oil trade, the role of sanctions, and the structural factors underpinning reserve currency status.(00:00) - Introduction (00:53) - What is the petrodollar system and why has it mattered? (02:44) - Geopolitics and the petrodollar narrative (03:40) - Has the petrodollar system ended or evolved? (04:33) - The US shale oil revolution (05:02) - Oil prices and the US dollar (08:00) - Saudi Arabia and the rise of multi-currency oil trade (09:02) - Sanctions and non-dollar oil markets (09:59) - De-dollarisation or diversification - what’s really happening? (11:52) - Why less oil in dollars doesn’t weaken the dollar (13:46) - What could truly challenge the US dollar’s dominance? (15:33) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

12 min
May 22, 2026
Markets steady despite weak data and geopolitical crosscurrents

Markets remained choppy as weak PMI data across Europe and the UK signalled slowing growth, while US data painted a mixed but still resilient picture. Oil prices were volatile amid shifting headlines around Iran, underlining ongoing geopolitical sensitivity. Equities in both Europe and the US ended modestly higher despite intraday swings, with pockets of strength in sectors like satellites and quantum computing following fresh investment momentum. Overnight, softer inflation in Japan supported Asian markets, while US yields edged lower and the dollar held firm. Today, we were joined by Bence Boldvai from our FX & Precious Metals team, who shared insights on key themes this week, including USD/JPY dynamics and his take on metals.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

14 min
May 21, 2026
Stocks rally as oil prices and bond yields retreat on peace hopes and AI boost

European and US stock markets rallied yesterday after President Trump hinted that the US administration is in the final stages of an agreement to end the war with Iran. The 10-year US Treasury shaved 9 basis points off the previous session’s yield. Asian markets were further boosted overnight by an impressive set of results from NVIDIA. Warnings did come in from the Fed though, in the form of the minutes of its last meeting, which revealed a heightened level of disagreement about where rates should go next and a majority of participants highlighting that rates will need to rise if inflation runs persistently above 2%. Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, Norbert Rücker, joins today’s podcast to discuss not only the outlook for oil and energy prices, but also to explain why he is so constructive on the theme of Clean Energy. Tune in to find out more.(00:00) - Introduction: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (00:49) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (08:11) - (Clean) energy update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (13:33) - Closing remarks: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

15 min
May 20, 2026
Bond sell-off rattles markets ahead of Nvidia earnings

US markets dipped amid rising long-term bond yields, with the 30-year Treasury hitting the highest level in almost two decades fuelled by inflation fears and potential Fed tightening. Geopolitical tensions and key upcoming catalysts, including Nvidia’s earnings and FOMC minutes, keep investors on edge. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains what is behind the recent surge in bond yields and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, discusses the implications for equity markets and outlines his key message for the second half of the year.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:49) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:13) - Fixed income strategy update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:23) - Equity strategy outlook: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (14:14) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
May 19, 2026
Markets caught between peace hopes and rising tensions

Global equities are caught between hopes for a peace deal and rising Middle East tensions, with Brent fluctuating around USD 100 per barrel. In the US, strong market breadth contrasts with weakness in technology stocks, weighing on major equity indices. Japan and Switzerland posted stronger-than-expected Q1 growth, highlighting resilience despite geopolitical tensions and high oil prices. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses India’s decision to double import duties on gold and silver.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:07) - The impact of India's new gold tariffs: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:16) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
May 18, 2026
Yields surge, oil climbs: is a market reality check coming?

Global markets are kicking off the week on the back foot as government bond yields surge to multi-year highs, reigniting concerns about stagflation. Oil prices climbed another 2% overnight, with no quick resolution in sight for the ongoing Middle East tensions. In today’s episode, we’re joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares his outlook on whether US 10-year Treasury yields could reach the 5% mark. He also explains why the rally in semiconductor stocks may be due for a pause – and why that might actually be a good thing.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (01:01) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:08) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (10:59) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

28 min
May 16, 2026
The View Beyond: The AI story behind US equity highs

Despite geopolitical tensions, US equity markets have reached record highs, with artificial intelligence at the heart of this surge. What is driving these historic moves? How are investors positioning themselves to both capture the opportunities and manage the risks? In this episode of The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research at Julius Baer, and Manuel Villegas, Co-Manager of the Julius Baer Next Generation Equity Fund. They explore the rapid development of AI, the unprecedented growth in data centre infrastructure, and the evolving dynamics of the global value chain. The discussion covers the shift from AI training to inference, the critical role of memory and hardware, bottlenecks in data centre buildout, and the implications of rising capital expenditure by hyperscalers. Their conversation also examines the international nature of the AI value chain, the impact of regulatory and supply constraints, and the outlook for investors as monetisation accelerates across the sector.(00:00) - Introduction (00:56) - AI's impact on the tech landscape (03:56) - Hardware vs. software (05:22) - Capturing the AI infrastructure super cycle (09:01) - Data centre bottlenecks and constraints (10:43) - Inflationary pressures (13:27) - The politics of data centre construction (14:52) - Hyperscaler earnings (18:16) - How AI investments are translating into tangible revenues (19:49) - Performance, positioning, and valuation (20:53) - Winners, sector rotation, and the importance of Asia's supply chain (23:16) - The global nature of the AI value chain (24:22) - Scenarios for cloud computing and AI (24:56) - View on sub sectors for remainder of 2026 (27:11) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
May 15, 2026
US–China progress lifts markets, but rate concerns temper tech optimism

Markets were driven by headlines from the Trump–Xi summit in Beijing, where progress on trade and a surprise easing of US chip export restrictions to major Chinese tech firms lifted sentiment, particularly in technology. European equities closed higher and US indices reached fresh record highs, supported by strong earnings from Cisco, although gains in Asia faded as rising Treasury yields and renewed rate hike expectations weighed on sentiment. Corporate news was mixed, while Crypto-related stocks rallied following regulatory progress. Commodities showed divergence, with oil edging higher and metals softer. Overnight, Asian equities declined broadly, led by a sharp sell-off in South Korea. In today’s show, we are joined by Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, who shares insights on the British pound, precious metals, and ongoing volatility.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:41) - FX & Metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:57) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

17 min
May 13, 2026
Risk-off mood deepens as inflation and oil jolt markets

Markets showed a broad risk-off tone on Tuesday, with equities weaker and bond yields moving higher. Oil prices surged as hopes for a US–Iran deal faded, stoking inflation concerns after stronger-than-expected US inflation data. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains the implications for bond markets and shares his view on UK gilts amid ongoing political turmoil. And Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategist, explains why he likes the Communications sector and highlights areas of strength and weakness within European equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:52) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:52) - Fixed income strategy update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:59) - Equity strategy rating changes: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (15:59) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
May 12, 2026
US tech rally continues while Europe lags and oil climbs

European markets were weighed down by declines in the luxury sector yesterday, as concerns over weakening global demand dampened sentiment. In contrast, major US indices reached fresh record highs, led by strong gains in the technology sector. Meanwhile, oil prices are climbing again this morning amid signs that the Middle East ceasefire may be unravelling. Today, we are joined by Dr. Damien Ng from Next Generation Research, who will share his insights on the hantavirus outbreak and the role genomics and digital health tools are playing.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:21) - Genomics & digital health tools tackling the Hantavirus: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (10:41) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
May 11, 2026
US equities up for six weeks in a row

Strong earnings and resilient jobs data are prompting markets to rule out rate cuts this year. Semiconductor stocks continue to lead gains across the US and Asia, with South Korea and Japan hitting new highs, supported by AI investment. Inflation pressures reflected in China’s data release, rising oil prices amid a fragile Middle East ceasefire, and broader geopolitical risks remain in focus ahead of a busy week of data and events, including inflation releases from the US, Germany and Japan, the Trump–Xi meeting, the King’s Speech in the UK, and Kevin Warsh taking over the leadership at the Fed. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, outlines the relative weakness in oil and oil and gas stocks, the growing vulnerability of the US dollar, and why a pullback in semiconductor stocks may be healthy.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:51) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:17) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (11:07) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

25 min
May 9, 2026
The View Beyond: Reading between China’s headline indices

Global equity markets have performed strongly, led by the AI-driven rally across the US, Japan, and Korea, while China’s headline indices have lagged in comparison. Yet beneath the surface, performance has been more nuanced, with parts of the market showing stronger momentum than index-level data suggests.In this episode, Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management. They discuss why China’s markets have underperformed on the surface, whether traditional benchmarks are capturing the right parts of the economy, and how the AI and semiconductor cycle is shaping market performance. They also explore US-China relations, the outlook for the renminbi, dynamics in the property market, and the impact of oil prices and geopolitics on broader market conditions.(00:28) - China versus global markets and the underperformance question (01:54) - Are investors looking at the wrong indices (05:25) - AI cycle dynamics and China’s role in the semiconductor rally (08:18) - US-China relations and the geopolitical backdrop (13:25) - Renminbi outlook and China’s global positioning (16:30) - Property market rebound or false dawn (20:00) - Impact of oil prices and market implications

11 min
May 8, 2026
Risk‑off mood returns as oil rebounds and uncertainty lingers

Markets remained on edge as ongoing uncertainty around a potential US–Iran agreement drove a clear risk‑off tone. European equities moved broadly lower, while US indices pulled back after briefly touching record highs, weighed down by weakness in technology and semiconductors. Oil prices proved volatile but ultimately rebounded, with both Brent and WTI holding elevated levels, while gold edged higher. In fixed income, US yields ticked up as investors reassessed inflation risks linked to energy markets. Central banks painted a mixed picture, with Norway surprising to the upside on rates, while Sweden held steady. In Asia, markets were mostly weaker, though South Korea’s strong outperformance continued. Today we were joined by Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, who shared the latest insights on currencies and metals, discussing gold, the ongoing US dollar weakness, and the yen intervention.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:01) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:53) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

12 min
May 7, 2026
Hints of a deal send stocks soaring

Hopes grew yesterday that the US and Iran might be able to seal a deal to end the conflict, with a memorandum of understanding apparently having been sent by the US to Iran. The oil price dropped and with it so did bond yields. Meanwhile, global stock markets continued to rally and were given a further boost by artificial intelligence firms and yet more good news from earnings calls. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, joins the podcast to explain why he believes that the Strait of Hormuz may lose its strategic importance in the future, as shifts in the oil market that have developed throughout this crisis might well prove to be lasting. Tune in to find out more.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:45) - Energy market update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (11:18) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

12 min
May 6, 2026
Semiconductors power markets to new all-time highs

Semiconductor stocks, from Intel to Samsung Electronics, are pushing US and Asian equities to new all‑time highs. Strong earnings from Anheuser‑Busch and Unicredit also lifted European markets. US services activity slowed in April, while inflation pressures stayed elevated. UK yields surged on inflation and fiscal concerns, Swiss data showed higher headline but subdued core inflation, and PMIs in China and India pointed to resilience. The JPY continues to strengthen after last week’s lows, likely reflecting FX intervention. Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research, notes while European earnings are rising, the momentum is weaker than in the US where all sectors are showing earnings growth.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:41) - Earnings season update: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (11:37) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
May 5, 2026
‘Risk-off’ returns and big tech at a crossroads

After several days of solid gains, markets paused yesterday as risk aversion returned, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and a sharp rise in oil prices. European equities bore the brunt of the sell-off, while major US indices also closed lower. In today’s episode, we’re joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, to unpack the outlook for hyperscalers following last week’s earnings, and what it means for the road ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:33) - Hyperscaler capex and revenues: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:37) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

9 min
May 4, 2026
All-time highs and US naval escorts

Geopolitics continues to dominate as investors weigh mixed Middle East messages. Trump has signalled his openness to Iran talks while also warning of renewed conflict and saying the US will begin guiding ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Global equities are rallying on AI optimism and strong tech earnings, even as central banks stay cautious amid uneven growth and sticky inflation. A pivotal week of earnings and data lies ahead. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, discusses a potential topping process in oil and why technicals suggest the correction in US equities may be ending.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:55) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:07) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:46) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

16 min
May 2, 2026
The View Beyond: How can structured products help navigate current markets?

With geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility top of mind, investors are seeking tools to help navigate an increasingly complex landscape. How can structured products add value to portfolios in this environment?In this episode of Julius Baer’s Moving Markets: The View Beyond podcast, Helen Freer is joined by Yves Klenk, Head of Client Coverage and Advisory, and Maximiliano Ranieri, Head of Structured Products Solutions Sales Geneva, to discuss the role of structured products in portfolios today. The conversation covers the current macroeconomic backdrop, the scenarios where structured products can complement traditional investments, and the four main categories of structured products. The discussion also addresses the significance of volatility with structured products, the key risks to consider, as well as which solutions are resonating in particular with investors right now.Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

18 min
Apr 30, 2026
Fed divided, AI earnings diverging, oil ever higher

The US Federal Reserve remains on hold but is the most divided since 1992. Kevin Warsh advanced in a key Senate vote to become the new chairman of the Fed next month. The ascent of the oil price continues amid reports of another military escalation. Major US technology firms reaffirmed heavy AI investment in their earnings releases, but results differed sharply across the companies reporting yesterday: Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation, talks about the UAE’s decision to leave OPEC amid tectonic shifts in the oil market and our outlook for oil as storage is declining. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, notes that geopolitics are not derailing the earnings season.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:18) - Oil/OPEC: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (12:05) - Q1 earnings season update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (17:14) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 29, 2026
Markets eye Big Tech earnings & final Powell rate call

Oil prices surged above USD 110 on supply concerns stemming from the stalled Iran war and news of an extended blockade of Iran. The rally was capped by historic news that the UAE will exit OPEC. In equities, AI-driven gains faltered amid questions about OpenAI’s growth prospects. With mega-cap technology firms Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft set to report earnings today, attention will also turn to the Federal Reserve’s policy decision at Jerome Powell’s final meeting as Chair, setting the stage for a pivotal rest of the week. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why he does not expect much from the Fed at this point and why tomorrow’s ECB meeting will be more interesting for markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (05:55) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
Apr 28, 2026
Cautious markets, rising oil and the next phase of AI

Markets started the week on a cautious note as geopolitics, central bank meetings and rising oil prices kept risk appetite in check. European equities slipped, while US indices hovered near record highs, supported by big tech, despite a pause in the semiconductor rally. AI remained firmly in focus after OpenAI signalled a shift in its relationship with Microsoft. Outside of tech, energy markets drew attention as Shell announced a major acquisition to boost long‑term production. Bond yields edged higher in the US, as investors positioned ahead of the Fed, while commodities stayed volatile and Asian markets were mixed following the Bank of Japan’s decision to keep rates unchanged. Today we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, for a discussion on AI, hyperscalers and the capex wave.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:55) - AI, hyperscalers & the capex wave: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation (10:31) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 27, 2026
Risk back on? Earnings, central banks, and the next leg higher

Markets have kicked off the week on a strong note, with Asian - particularly tech - stocks rallying amid renewed diplomatic efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and an exceptionally robust earnings season. The days ahead will be pivotal, with major central banks delivering key monetary policy decisions and several members of the “Magnificent 7” set to report earnings. In this episode, we’re joined by Markus Wachter from Technical Analysis, who shares why he believes both equity markets and gold still have room to run.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:49) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis (09:35) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

32 min
Apr 25, 2026
The View Beyond: Private infrastructure - Resilience & growth amidst volatility

In an environment marked by higher inflation, geopolitical uncertainty and increased market volatility, private infrastructure is regaining focus as a resilient allocation.In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, William Fong, Head of Alternatives Specialists Asia & Middle East at Julius Baer, speaks with Daniel McCormack, Head of Research at Macquarie Asset Management's Client Solutions Group, about the shifting global macro landscape and how private infrastructure can play a vital dual role in portfolios - providing resilience through inflation linkage and essential services, while positioning investors for long‑term growth driven by digitalisation, AI‑led data demand, the energy transition and evolving supply chains.(00:00) - Introduction (01:16) - The shifting global macro landscape (03:37) - Why private infrastructure matters in an age of volatility (04:45) - Infrastructure sub-sectors that look promising (06:40) - Macquarie's infrastructure origins (09:21) - Opportunities in debt investment (11:05) - Inflation-hedging properties of infrastructure (13:15) - Private vs public infrastructure (14:59) - Opportunities in the transport sector (17:22) - The inflationary impact of shifting supply chain dynamics (18:48) - Digitalisation, AI and data (20:23) - Is AI in a bubble? (23:29) - The growing energy demand (26:04) - Rising power prices and inflation (27:43) - Is it too late to get into infrastructure? (31:38) - Closing

12 min
Apr 24, 2026
Diverging data and higher oil price keep markets cautious

Global markets sent mixed signals as US data pointed to surprising resilience, while the eurozone slipped back into contraction. Rising energy prices remain a key concern, driving inflation pressures and weighing on confidence. Equity markets reflected this caution yesterday, with US tech stocks pulling back as several software names underperformed after reporting earnings. Meanwhile, signs of Swiss National Bank FX intervention are emerging, while oil prices continue to climb and gold has moved lower. Asia‑Pacific markets were mostly weaker, with Japan the notable exception following firmer inflation data ahead of next week’s Bank of Japan meeting. Joining our show today is Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, with the latest insights on currencies and metals.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:18) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (11:36) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 23, 2026
Fragile ceasefire extension sees global rally peter out

New record highs were set in the US trading session on Wednesday as markets embraced the ceasefire extension and more strong Q1 earnings. But despite Asian markets rallying at the open, they failed to hold onto their gains as investors’ focus returned to the fact that the Strait of Hormuz effectively remains closed for business. As EU leaders meet to discuss how to address the energy price shock, Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, explains why he believes that Europe’s energy resilience is overlooked – not only is the continent exiting the heating season but drivers are increasingly refuelling their cars with electricity rather than petrol. Tune in to find out more!(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:25) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:13) - Energy market update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (09:32) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

17 min
Apr 22, 2026
Trump extends ceasefire unilaterally

Geopolitical tensions and a late ceasefire extension kept markets on edge. Equities were lower in Tuesday’s trading session as stocks ended near session lows. Strong nominal US retail sales and upbeat earnings clashed with fading optimism. Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Strategist, shares his takeaways from Fed Chair-to-be Kevin Warsh’s Senate hearing and the implications for bond markets. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, also joins the show to provide an update on the ongoing earnings season and outline what investors should be watching in the weeks ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:52) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:38) - Fixed income strategy update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (12:38) - Reporting season update - bank earnings: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:48) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
Apr 21, 2026
Geopolitics weigh on markets as Middle East tensions rise again

After a brief bout of optimism on Friday, concerns over a potential escalation between the US and Iran swiftly re-emerged yesterday. Oil prices climbed by around 5%, while equity markets came under pressure. Europe’s broad indices fell by roughly 0.8%, and all major U.S. indices closed slightly lower, with the Nasdaq snapping a 14-session winning streak. In today’s episode, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his insights on silver.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (01:05) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:58) - What we learned from the World Silver Survey: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:34) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

9 min
Apr 18, 2026
The View Beyond: When earnings meet geopolitics

The first quarter of 2026 has presented investors with complex and worsening financial conditions, volatile oil prices, and heightened geopolitical tensions. Q1 earnings are already being reported, and so far, the indications have been promising. What are the expectations for the rest of the season? And what should investors be watching out for?In this episode of The View Beyond Podcast, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research at Julius Baer, to preview the first-quarter earnings season and explore how markets are dealing with the ongoing uncertainty. They examine the resilience of equity markets, the concentration of earnings growth in big tech and commodity sectors, and the early signals from major banks. The conversation includes expectations for European markets, the critical importance of forward guidance this time around, and thoughts on how investors might navigate the current environment.(00:00) - Introduction (01:04) - Market backdrop ahead of Q1 earnings (02:00) - Consensus expectations for Q1 (02:59) - Early results and the performance of big banks (04:08) - European earnings outlook (05:08) - What investors should focus on now (05:59) - Assessing equity markets amid geopolitical uncertainty (07:20) - Investment views in the current environment (08:24) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 17, 2026
Nasdaq on its best winning streak since 2009

Wall Street ended modestly higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs following a twelfth consecutive advance. US markets reacted positively to the announcement of a 10‑day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel. Earnings also provided support, led by banks and semiconductor companies, while luxury remained the weak spot this week. Notably, shares of Charles Schwab and Netflix both fell sharply yesterday after releasing their results. US economic data was mixed, with industrial production declining but survey indicators staying firm. In Europe, inflation surprised to the upside and Germany cut its growth forecast for the year. Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX Sales Switzerland, talks about why the US dollar may be trading lower despite unresolved tensions between the US and Iran.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:19) - FX & metals update: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (09:31) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

13 min
Apr 16, 2026
Bullish signs of a peace deal send stocks soaring

President Trump indicated that Tehran wants to make a deal yesterday and officials from Pakistan signalled that new talks are planned. Meanwhile, it seems as if Israel and Lebanon might also be poised to have ceasefire discussions. US and Asia stock markets have reacted very positively with several indices surging to new all-time highs. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, joins the podcast to unravel the complicated nuances of different fuel prices and explain why he believes that oil prices might now be past their peak. (00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:18) - Energy market update: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (12:45) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 15, 2026
Stocks closing in on record highs

Investors grapple with rising stagflation fears amid slowing growth and persistent inflation, yet optimism over renewed US-Iran peace talks has fuelled a broad equity rally, pushing major markets close to record highs. Banks are reporting booming trading revenues even as they sounded a note of caution about the ripple effect of higher oil prices. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, discusses how major central banks may respond to the repercussions of the war and whether credit markets can benefit from the equity rebound.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:08) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (09:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

11 min
Apr 14, 2026
Markets bounce back as deal hopes resurface

After an early sell-off, equities rebounded during the trading session following President Trump’s comments that further negotiations with Iran - and a potential deal - remain within reach in the coming days. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 moved back into positive territory for the year, while oil prices slipped below USD 100 per barrel once again. In today’s episode, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his outlook on cybersecurity and explains why we remain constructive on the theme going forward.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Cybersecurity in focus: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:41) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

9 min
Apr 13, 2026
From ceasefire relief to risk‑off reality

Last week’s market rally was driven by ceasefire optimism and a sharp drop in oil prices, lifting equities despite growing signs of economic strain and energy‑led inflation pressures, although US core inflation in March (excluding energy) remained contained. Over the weekend, geopolitical risks moved back to centre stage as failed US–Iran talks and an effective embargo on Iranian oil pushed energy prices higher, shifting markets into a cautious risk‑off stance. The earnings season begins in earnest today, with results set to test whether corporate profits can withstand rising costs and heightened uncertainty. Notable companies reporting today include LVMH and Goldman Sachs. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, highlights an improvement in market breadth in US equities, and explains why semiconductor stocks are in favour.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:41) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:39) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:52) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

28 min
Apr 10, 2026
The View Beyond: What the fragile Middle East truce means for China

The US and Iran have agreed to a two‑week ceasefire in the Middle East conflict, but the deal continues to look fragile. Markets have reacted swiftly, with crude oil prices falling sharply while gold and equity markets rebounded. However, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, keeping energy supply risks firmly in focus. In this complex backdrop, how attractive is the current market risk‑reward, and how might the geopolitical landscape evolve from here?Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management, to assess the implications for global markets and China. They discuss whether investors should chase the recent rebound or stay defensive, the outlook for oil, gold, and the US dollar, and why China’s equity market has shown relative resilience. The conversation also covers China’s economic momentum, sector preferences, and the role of defensive, value, and high‑dividend stocks -- particularly Chinese banks -- in navigating ongoing geopolitical and macro uncertainty.This episode was recorded on 9 April, 2026.(00:00) - A fragile ceasefire and the market rebound (02:00) - Assessing the market risk-reward, geopolitical landscape (04:44) - Has the USD/gold long-term trend changed? (09:22) - How vulnerable is China to high oil prices? (14:58) - Green shoots in China’s economy – signal or seasonal? (19:05) - China’s consumption sector – staples vs discretionary (24:02) - Views on Chinese banks

10 min
Apr 10, 2026
Ceasefire hopes lift markets as eyes turn to US inflation

Equity markets are trading higher amid renewed optimism that the ceasefire will hold, reinforced by Israel’s signal that it is ready to enter direct negotiations with Lebanon. Meanwhile, oil prices continue to rebound following Wednesday’s sharp losses. Investors’ focus now turns to today’s US CPI data for March. In this episode, we are joined by Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX Sales Switzerland, who shares his perspective on what lies ahead for the US dollar.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:45) - FX & metals update: Thomas Caflisch, Head of FX/PM Solutions (10:00) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 9, 2026
Global equity rally falters after disagreements on ceasefire terms

The last 24 hours were a game of two halves for equity markets – Europe and the US rallied as they celebrated the Middle East ceasefire and crude oil ended Wednesday 16% lower. But then the cracks in the terms of the ceasefire appeared – Israel attacked Lebanon, which Iran said breached the agreement, and Iran claimed that it has the right to enrich uranium, which the US says it does not. And so, oil rose again and Asian equity markets fell. Our Head of Next Generation Research, Carsten Menke, joins the podcast today to unravel the reaction of commodity markets to the ongoing situation. He explains how the ceasefire fits into a pattern in which extreme price spikes trigger both behavioural and political responses, and that markets respond in a monochrome fashion. Tune in to find out more about the possible shades of grey that need consideration.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:38) - Reaction of commodities to ceasefire: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (10:08) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

14 min
Apr 8, 2026
US and Iran agree 2-week ceasefire that will open Strait of Hormuz

Oil fell the most in nearly six years, while stocks surged after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire just hours before a Trump-imposed deadline, giving markets a brief respite from Middle East–driven turbulence. Asian equity markets jumped, Treasuries rallied, the US dollar weakened, and precious metals advanced. Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Strategist, discusses the implications for bond markets, while Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, joins the show to outline what to expect from the upcoming earnings season.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:02) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (09:55) - Earnings season preview: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (13:24) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 7, 2026
Markets on edge as oil, inflation, and AI drive a fragile mood

Equity gains on Monday were modest and fragile. Risk appetite is fading as investors focus on President Trump’s deadline, rising oil prices, and Middle East tensions. Strong US payrolls on Friday contrast with weaker services employment and rising input costs on Monday, leaving uncertainty over whether inflation pressures will persist. Technology remains a key theme: strong AI demand supported Samsung and Broadcom, while potential IPOs from SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI point to rising competition for a limited pool of capital. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research, comments on developments in energy markets ahead of President Trump’s deadline.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:55) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Energy: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research (10:01) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

10 min
Apr 4, 2026
The View Beyond: The continued resilience of emerging market equities

Despite a significant selloff following the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East, global emerging market equities have demonstrated a surprising degree of resilience. What explains this contained drawdown, and how should investors differentiate across regions even as volatility persists?(00:00) - Introduction (01:11) - Current resilience of emerging markets (01:59) - Earnings revisions and relative performance (03:18) - Market sensitivity and the nature of the drawdown (04:23) - Energy costs and financial conditions (06:16) - Monetary policy impact and US dollar outlook (07:00) - AI as a growth driver in emerging markets (07:30) - Outlook for EM equities (09:14) - Closing remarks and legal information In this episode of Julius Baer’s Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by Nenad Dinic, Emerging Market Strategist at Julius Baer, to examine the recent performance of emerging market equities in the wake of geopolitical shocks. They discuss why the fundamental story for the asset class remains robust, the importance of distinguishing between net energy importers and exporters, and how factors such as a weakening US dollar and the AI-driven CapEx cycle are shaping the outlook. The conversation also addresses the implications of regional dispersion, the role of earnings revisions, and why patient investors may find compelling opportunities amid ongoing uncertainty.

10 min
Apr 2, 2026
Tensions rise, markets shift after Trump dashes hopes of a quick resolution

In his highly anticipated address to the nation, President Trump dashed hopes of a swift resolution to the conflict with Iran, announcing that the US would ‘hit Iran very hard’ in the coming weeks. Markets reacted immediately: stocks reversed earlier gains, government bond yields rose, and oil prices and the US dollar moved sharply higher on the news. In this episode, we are joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, who shares his insights on the increasingly concerning developments in the aluminium market - and what these dynamics could mean for the market in the weeks ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Aluminium: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:46) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

17 min
Apr 1, 2026
Equity markets finish a turbulent March with a solid rebound

Global markets showed signs of recovery yesterday after a highly volatile March, with European equities stabilising and US indices staging an impressive rally. However, persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on sentiment, fuelling higher energy prices and pushing Eurozone inflation above the ECB’s target. Asian markets opened April on a strong footing, led by a sharp surge in Japanese and South Korean equities. Today we’re joined by Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, to explore the latest developments in corporate credit markets and explain the headlines in private credit. We also welcome Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, who discusses how equity markets are reacting to the ongoing geopolitical situation and offers a deep dive into emerging market equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:13) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (11:26) - Equity market update: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research (16:24) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.