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The Circuit

Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg·170 episodes

BusinessTechnology

A podcast about the business and market of semiconductors

Episodes

44 min
Jun 1, 2026Episode 170
Earnings! Marvell, Synopsis, Dell and more thesis time.

n this episode of The Circuit, hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg break down the latest tech earnings and shifting infrastructure narratives driving the AI boom. Recorded slightly late ahead of the Computex frenzy in Taipei, the duo kicks things off with a surprising reading recommendation: Pope Leo XIV’s balanced, 40,000-word encyclical on AI. Shifting to the markets, they analyze Marvell's solid quarter, highlighting how the transition from training to a heterogeneous inference era is shifting Wall Street's focus toward the company's robust optical and throughput networking portfolio rather than just core compute tiles. They also tackle the opacity of electronic design automation licensing to explain why Synopsys saw a 10% stock drop despite a healthy print, noting market anxiety over their massive acquisition of Ansys. Finally, Ben takes a victory lap on his bullish Dell thesis; following a monster guidance report, the hosts discuss how Dell’s deep supply-chain integration, flexible financing terms, and premium enterprise support have made them the OEM of choice for both "neo-clouds" and upcoming on-prem enterprise AI factories. The episode closes with a spirited debate comparing NVIDIA's massive ecosystem value creation to Apple’s App Store "economic miracle," contrasting standardizing growth with Taiwanese ODM concerns over thinning margins and a loss of differentiation.

58 min
May 26, 2026Episode 169
NVIDIA Earnings, Dell Tech World and Storage Shock, Tech IPOs

In this episode of The Circuit, hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive into the latest tectonic shifts across the technology and semiconductor sectors, starting with a deep dive into Nvidia's recent earnings report . They analyze Nvidia's impressive numbers—including $91 billion in revenue guidance and strong gross margins—and contrast that success with the stock's stagnant post-earnings performance, comparing the current market skepticism to Apple’s smartphone growth cycle around 2010 . The duo breaks down Nvidia's new segment reporting structure, debating the strategic implications of blending networking into data center revenue and splitting the segment into hyperscalers and "Neo clouds" . Ben then shares his first-hand observations from Dell Tech World, highlighting emerging enterprise trends like the financial motivations driving a shift back toward on-prem AI infrastructure to curb unsustainable cloud token spend . Finally, they wrap up the episode by examining two major recent IPO filings: Elon Musk's multifaceted SpaceX S1 and the rare, high-growth prospectus of China’s largest memory maker, Chongqing Memory Technologies (CXMT) .

56 min
May 18, 2026Episode 168
Cerebras IPO, Premium Tokens, Neo Clouds, and the Angstrom Era

In this episode of The Circuit, hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive into the rapidly shifting economics and structural changes across the semiconductor and AI industries. From the recent Cerebras IPO to the massive long-term forecast visibility in wafer fabrication equipment, they analyze whether current capital cycles align with the reality of enterprise AI demand. Finally, they debate how the "Angstrom era" and the end of Moore’s law are forcing a complete reinvention of chip manufacturing from scratch.

1 hr 1 min
May 11, 2026Episode 167
ARM, ARM Earning, Agentic CPU Inflections, A World of Constraints

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive deep into the rapidly shifting landscape of semiconductor supply chains and the unexpected "CPU renaissance" driven by agentic AI. The duo explores the "ultimate constraint" currently bottlenecking the industry, breaks down the latest earnings from ARM and AMD, and analyzes why the "Neo Cloud" players might be facing a massive strategic deficit.Key Discussion Points:The Anhydrous Hydrogen Bromine Crisis: Jay reveals the "ultimate shortage" involving a rare gas essential for EUV lithography and memory production, involving a geopolitical tangle of Japanese refining and Israeli raw materials.+4The Death of the CPU-to-GPU Ratio: Why the industry is moving away from simple hardware ratios and toward rack-level topology and workload-specific modeling.+4ARM & AMD’s "Agentic" Surge: Insights into how the need to execute AI-generated code is driving massive demand for high-core-count CPUs, far exceeding previous estimates.+4Optical Networking Timing: A reality check on the "hockey stick" growth for optical interconnects, which is projected to truly inflect around 2028.+1The Neo Cloud Challenge: A critical look at CoreWeave, Nebius, and Iron, focusing on their massive CPU-install-base deficit compared to hyperscalers.+2Breaking News: Late-session discussion on the rumored foundry deal between Intel and Apple.+1

52 min
May 5, 2026Episode 166
Breaking the Memory Wall: Micron’s Strategy for the AI Era

This episode of The Circuit features Jeremy Werner, SVP and GM of Micron’s Core Data Center Business Unit, discussing the transformative impact of AI on the memory and storage industry. Werner explains that the industry has shifted from a traditional cyclical model to a period of sustainable growth, driven by the unique demands of AI training and inference. He highlights the emergence of a "memory wall" in inference, where massive amounts of high-speed memory and storage are required to manage expanding context windows and avoid redundant recomputation. The conversation also covers Micron's efforts to innovate across the memory hierarchy—including HBM4 and ultra-high-capacity SSDs—to solve the data center's critical bottlenecks of power and physical space.

49 min
Apr 27, 2026Episode 165
TPUs Via Cloud Next, Intel Earnings, Foundry Scarcity

In this episode of The Circuit, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive deep into an action-packed week for the semiconductor industry. Ben shares his firsthand insights from Google Next, detailing the launch of the new TPU v5p and v5i(referenced as 8T and 8I) and Google’s strategic shift toward disaggregated training and inference silicon. The duo then pivots to Intel’s surprisingly strong earnings, discussing whether the "CPU resurgence" and foundry improvements signal an end to the company’s existential crisis. Finally, they analyze the "drama" from the TSMC Symposium regarding High-NA EUV adoption and debate the long-term durability of the current semiconductor bull cycle.

52 min
Apr 21, 2026Episode 164
TSMC Earnings, Cerebras S1, Custom Semi Rumors, Apple CEO Change

In this episode of The Circuit, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg analyze a pivotal week in tech, beginning with TSMC’s strong earnings and their strategic decision to ramp up CapEx and N3 production specifically to meet massive AI demand. The duo explores the industry-wide compute deficit impacting firms like Anthropic and the potential IPO of Cerebras, while discussing the fragmenting market for custom ASICs as Google explores design partners like Marvell and MediaTek. Finally, they weigh in on the end of an era at Apple with Tim Cook stepping down; they argue his greatest legacy was preserving the company’s unique culture while handing the reins to John Ternus to lead a new hardware and AI growth cycle.

43 min
Apr 13, 2026Episode 163
More good News for Intel, AI Model Trends, Future of Datacenter

Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg analyze recent developments in the semiconductor industry, AI advancements, and data center innovations, providing insights into market dynamics, strategic moves by Intel, and the future of AI hardware and software.

54 min
Apr 6, 2026Episode 162
MediaTek and the Evolving Custom ASIC Business, More Memory Pain, and More

Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the latest developments in the semiconductor industry, focusing on MediaTek's strategic shift into ASICs, memory shortages, supply chain constraints, and Intel's recent acquisitions. They analyze market dynamics, technological advancements, and future trends shaping the industry.

48 min
Mar 30, 2026Episode 161
Arm 2.0, Memory Freak Out, and AI Models

This episode explores ARM's strategic shift into product manufacturing, the implications for the CPU market, and the evolving landscape of AI and memory technology. Hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg analyze ARM's new CPU launches, market positioning, and the future of AI models like Mythos, providing insights into the industry's next phase.

58 min
Mar 23, 2026Episode 160
EP: 157 GTC! OFC! Micron Earnings (margin city)

Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss Nvidia GTC, AI infrastructure, optical networking, and the future of semiconductor technology. They analyze Nvidia's strategic positioning, product innovations, and industry trends shaping the AI and data center landscape. They also talk OFC/optical trends and Micron earnings.

42 min
Mar 16, 2026Episode 159
Evolving Dynamics of AI Infrastructure, Open Source Agents, Meta's ASIC Roadmap

In this episode of The Circuit, hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg dive into NVIDIA’s strategic positioning within the AI infrastructure stack, colloquially referred to as a "five-layer cake". They dissect NVIDIA’s recent push into open-source models, comparing it to Intel’s historical dominance through Linux optimizations, while questioning the true intent behind NVIDIA’s $26 billion "investment" in open-source R&D. The conversation shifts to the rapidly evolving world of "agentic orchestration," where AI agents collaborate across different models to maximize efficiency and token spend. Finally, the duo explores the broader hardware ecosystem, including Meta’s ambitious six-month silicon cadence and the supply chain "masters" who hold leverage in a world defined by compute constraints.

55 min
Mar 10, 2026Episode 158
Broadcom/Marvell Earnings, Copper to Fiber, and Apple News!

Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg analyze the latest earnings reports from Broadcom and Marvell, discuss the future of AI semiconductors, optical vs copper interconnects, and Apple's strategic moves in affordable devices. They explore industry trends, supply chain dynamics, and technological innovations shaping the semiconductor and consumer electronics markets.

1 hr 1 min
Mar 2, 2026Episode 157
SHOW ME THE MONEY! NVIDIA Earnings, and more from the Week!

In this episode, Ben and Jay discuss a whirlwind week of announcements in the tech industry, focusing on AMD's partnership with Meta, NVIDIA's impressive quarterly performance, and OpenAI's significant funding round. They explore the implications of these developments for the semiconductor market, the rise of AI agents, and the future of SaaS. The conversation highlights the importance of profitability, strategic partnerships, and the evolving competitive landscape in the tech sector.

58 min
Feb 23, 2026Episode 156
Live with GSA, the State of Semis, Key Inflection Points Coming

In this episode of The Circuit, Ben Bajarin, Jay Goldberg, and Paul Karazuba discuss the current state of the semiconductor industry, focusing on the impact of tariffs, supply chain challenges, and the shift from copper to fiber in networking. They explore the inflection points driving demand for AI compute and the potential for mergers and acquisitions in the sector. The conversation highlights the complexities of navigating geopolitical tensions and the evolving landscape of technology and infrastructure.

49 min
Feb 16, 2026Episode 155
Nebius and Neocloud Insights, WFE + Memory Madness, Networking Upside

In this episode, Ben and Jay discuss various topics related to the tech industry, focusing on hyperscalers, cloud computing, and the memory market. They analyze the earnings of Nebius and CoreWeave, the implications of heavy asset businesses, and the dynamics of AI and memory. The conversation also covers the performance of Applied Materials and networking companies like Cisco and Arista, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in these sectors.

46 min
Feb 9, 2026Episode 154
CAPEXXXXXX!!!! The Trillion Dollar Datacenter Race and More

In this episode, Ben and Jay discuss the significant surge in capital expenditure (CapEx) among major tech companies, dubbed 'CapEx Palooza.' They explore investor sentiment and market reactions to these expenditures, the implications of backlogs and demand in the tech sector, and the future of AI and cloud services. The conversation also delves into the dynamics of CapEx spending among hyperscalers, emerging trends in semiconductor mergers and acquisitions, and the impact of rising memory prices on consumer electronics. Additionally, they highlight the strategic acquisition of Silicon Labs by Texas Instruments and the potential of timing technologies in the market. The episode concludes with an announcement about their upcoming live stream.

1 hr
Feb 2, 2026Episode 153
WFE Boom! Insight from the Clouds. Word of the year - constraints

This episode of The Circuit dives into the current "gold rush" of semiconductor earnings, navigating the tension between unprecedented demand and the hard physical constraints of the supply chain. Hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg explore why the current Wafer Fab Equipment (WFE) cycle is structurally different from the past, the internal "compute wars" happening within hyperscalers like Microsoft and Meta, and the surprising volatility in the storage and analog markets.Whether it's the "AI hotel" backlog or the high-stakes memory negotiations at Apple, this discussion provides a deep look at the plumbing behind the AI revolution.

44 min
Jan 26, 2026Episode 152
Intel Earnings, Some Intel Growth Theories, X86 v. Arm in Datacenter

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss Intel's recent earnings report, highlighting the company's strong Q4 performance but disappointing guidance due to wafer capacity constraints. They explore the challenges Intel faces in scaling its foundry operations, the market's reaction to the earnings call, and the strategic decisions being made by Intel's leadership. The conversation also delves into the complexities of advanced packaging and yield issues, as well as the future opportunities for Intel in the semiconductor industry and the importance of customer relations.

54 min
Jan 19, 2026Episode 151
TSMC Q4 25 Earnings, OpenAI Needs more Compute and Monetization

In this episode of The Circuit, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the launch of Ben's new publication, "The Diligent Stack." The duo then performs a deep dive into TSMC’s recent earnings, analyzing the risks of semiconductor cyclicality, the massive CapEx requirements for the future, and the specific bottlenecks in advanced packaging (CoWoS). Later, they shift focus to OpenAI’s partnership with Cerebras and the introduction of ads to fund massive compute needs. Finally, they break down the latest data on GPU pricing, highlighting the significant premiums hyperscalers charge compared to NeoClouds and the difficulty of tracking pricing for Nvidia's new Grace Blackwell chips.

58 min
Jan 12, 2026Episode 150
All the Happenings from CES 2026!

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the highlights from CES 2023, focusing on the significant advancements in robotics, AI infrastructure, and the competitive landscape among major tech companies like NVIDIA, AMD, and Intel. They explore the themes of modularity in data centers, the evolving role of CPUs, and the challenges posed by memory supply constraints. The conversation also touches on the future of autonomous vehicles and the integration of AI in everyday technology, emphasizing the rapid pace of innovation in the tech industry.

52 min
Dec 29, 2025Episode 149
Talking All Things AI with Benedict Evans

In this conversation, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg engage with Benedict Evans to explore the current state of AI development, its historical context, and future predictions. They discuss the potential for an AI bubble, the importance of productization for user adoption, and the varying levels of AI integration across different industries. The conversation also touches on the comparison between Nvidia and Sun Microsystems, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in the AI landscape.

49 min
Dec 22, 2025Episode 148
The State of AI Networking with Austin Lyons

In this episode, Ben Bajarin, Jay Goldberg, and Austin Lyons delve into the evolving landscape of networking, particularly in the context of AI and GPU technologies. They discuss the transition from traditional networking methods to more complex AI-driven networking, the significance of scaling strategies, and the critical role of SerDes in modern data centers. The conversation also touches on the ongoing debate between copper and optical networking solutions, highlighting the challenges and innovations in the field.

42 min
Dec 15, 2025Episode 147
Marvell Analyst Day, Broadcom Earnings, AI Trade Sentiment

This discussion analyzes the evolving landscape of semiconductor networking and custom silicon, anchored by recent updates from Marvell and Broadcom. Ben and Jay review Marvell’s Industry Analyst Day, noting the company’s strategic pivot toward networking and optical interconnects over pure custom logic. They debate the technical and timeline challenges of shifting AI clusters from copper to optical (fiber) cabling, contrasting Google’s proprietary all-optical approach with the broader merchant market. The conversation then moves to Broadcom’s recent earnings, dissecting the market’s negative reaction to CEO Hawk Tan’s low-energy performance, the looming competitive threat of MediaTek at Google, and the complexities of modeling AI revenue. Finally, they close with a year-end review of AI stock performance, highlighting growing capital sensitivity and skepticism regarding the sustainability of current AI infrastructure spending.

56 min
Dec 9, 2025Episode 146
AWS Tranium, Marvell Earnings, Intel EMIB!

In this episode, Ben and Jay discuss a range of topics including Ben's health update, Amazon's recent AWS event focusing on AI compute, the competitive landscape with Nvidia and Google, Marvell's earnings and challenges in custom silicon, networking innovations with DPUs, Marvell's acquisition of Celestial, Nvidia's investment in Synopsys, Intel's resurgence in advanced packaging, and the leadership changes at Apple. The conversation highlights the evolving dynamics in the tech industry, particularly in AI and cloud computing.

46 min
Nov 24, 2025Episode 145
NVIDIA Earnings! Google and Gemini TPUs FTW

In this conversation, Ben Bajarin discusses the recent innovations surrounding NanoBanana and its new feature, Notebook LM, which has significantly impacted the way infographics are created. He highlights the ease with which users can transform data and text into visually appealing infographics, showcasing the power of AI in data visualization.

45 min
Nov 18, 2025Episode 144
AMD Financial Analyst Day, Neoclouds earnings - REITS or Neoclouds?

The conversation explores the dynamics of market competition, particularly focusing on AMD's position and the strategies of hyperscalers. The discussion delves into game theory as a framework for understanding potential future scenarios in the tech industry. They also discuss key neocloud earnings and engage in a conversation on if these companies are REITs or neoclouds.

51 min
Nov 9, 2025Episode 143
Talking Bubbles, ARM and QCOM Earnings, Memory/Storage Cyclicality

This episode argues that today’s AI exuberance fits a familiar pattern: bubbles misallocate capital on the way up but leave behind productive infrastructure that powers the next S-curve. We revisit the “boom-bust-build-out” cycle and apply it to compute and the grid, note why “good enough” AI latency could flip capex behavior, and push back on modeling everything in gigawatts—useful for planning, risky for strategy. On companies: ARM’s quarter was solid, with rising royalties/CSS stickiness and a strongly implied first-party chip effort complemented by the DreamBig memory-controller acquisition to improve AI-era CPU roles. Qualcomm benefits from a higher-ASP Android cycle, nurtures auto/smart-glasses adjacencies, and eyes DC inference. On supply: Elon hedges silicon with foundry allocations while fab-building talk reads as negotiating leverage; memory/storage stay tight with longer contracts and measured adds. Net: optimism about what survives the eventual correction, caution on GW-only thinking, and watchpoints around ARM’s vertical creep, Qualcomm’s DC push, and supply-chain discipline.

53 min
Nov 3, 2025Episode 142
NVIDIA's $300B chart, CAPEX to the MOON FOREVER!

The conversation delves into the competitive landscape of cloud computing, focusing on Nvidia's ambitions and the fragmentation of the market with numerous Neo clouds. Jay Goldberg discusses the implications of this fragmentation for Nvidia and its customers, who are increasingly seeking to develop their own custom silicon.

54 min
Oct 27, 2025Episode 141
Intel Earnings, Anthropic TPUs, Challenges for AWS

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss Intel's recent earnings report, highlighting a sense of stability in the market compared to previous downturns. They explore the demand for CPUs, particularly in the enterprise sector, and the implications of upcoming product launches. The conversation shifts to Intel's foundry developments, where they express optimism about new manufacturing processes and customer engagement. They also analyze the competitive landscape of AI compute infrastructure, particularly focusing on Amazon's challenges with its Tranium chips and the implications of Anthropic's partnership with Google. Finally, they delve into the future of AI agents, discussing the current limitations and potential advancements needed for these technologies to become viable.

51 min
Oct 20, 2025Episode 140
Talking GPU Depreciation, OCP Takeaways

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent industry discussion (confusion?) on GPU depreciation.  Jay Goldberg was also at OCP this week and they disucss takeaways from the networking show related to AI compute and AI datacenter.

48 min
Oct 13, 2025Episode 139
OpenAI + AMD, Intel Tech Touch, QCOM buys Arduino

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent partnership between OpenAI and AMD, exploring its implications for the AI compute landscape. They delve into the competitive dynamics between AMD and NVIDIA, OpenAI's ambitions to become a hyperscaler, and the financial challenges associated with massive AI infrastructure investments. The conversation shifts to Intel's advancements showcased during a tour of their Fab 52, highlighting their competitive edge in semiconductor manufacturing. Finally, they touch on Qualcomm's acquisition of Arduino and its potential impact on the IoT sector.TakeawaysOpenAI's partnership with AMD marks a significant shift in AI compute.AMD is positioning itself as a serious player in AI GPUs.OpenAI's ambition to become a hyperscaler raises questions about funding.The demand for AI compute is concentrated among a few major players.Intel's Fab 52 showcases advanced manufacturing capabilities.Intel's 18A process is competitive but needs to prove itself in products.Qualcomm's acquisition of Arduino aims to strengthen its IoT strategy.The AI infrastructure build-out is unprecedented in scale and cost.There is uncertainty about the long-term demand for AI services.The competitive landscape in cloud computing is rapidly evolving.

47 min
Oct 6, 2025Episode 138
WE DON'T HAVE THE POWER!

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg delve into the evolving landscape of hyperscalers and Neo clouds, discussing their definitions, the significance of power contracts, and the shift from Bitcoin mining to AI infrastructure. They explore the challenges posed by storage constraints in the age of AI, the implications of OpenAI's new app Sora, and Meta's acquisition of Rivos for custom silicon development. The conversation culminates in a reflection on the importance of semiconductor manufacturing and the future of technology.

42 min
Sep 29, 2025Episode 137
Talking Semiconductor Recruiting

In this conversation, Jay Goldberg and Michael Cunningham discuss the evolving landscape of semiconductor recruitment, focusing on macro trends, the impact of AI, and the challenges of reshoring manufacturing. They explore the skills in demand, the dynamics of the job market, and provide valuable advice for both entry-level engineers and senior directors looking to advance their careers. The discussion emphasizes the importance of soft skills, ownership in leadership roles, and the need for companies to adapt to the changing technological landscape.

45 min
Sep 20, 2025Episode 136
INTEL AND NVIDIA!! Meta Connect and Ray Ban Display, Watch Huawei/China

On this week’s episode of The Circuit, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg break down the surprising new partnership between NVIDIA and Intel, including a $5B investment and plans for co-developed CPU–GPU systems for data centers and PCs. They explore what this means for x86 in AI racks, AMD’s competitive position, and why Intel’s silence on Foundry raises big questions. The conversation also touches on Meta’s new Ray-Ban AR glasses—demo fails and all—and Huawei’s unexpected progress in advanced chipmaking. A packed episode full of strategy, irony, and hot takes on the future of semiconductors.

1 hr 3 min
Sep 14, 2025Episode 135
Apple iPhones and Tensor Cores, Synopsis Earnings, Hock's Comments at Goldman

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent Apple iPhone launch event, highlighting the innovations in the iPhone Air and Apple's semiconductor strategy. They delve into Synopsys's disappointing earnings report and the subsequent market reactions, as well as Broadcom's position in the semiconductor landscape. The conversation also covers Nvidia's new CPX system and the implications for the market, concluding with a discussion on the funding of the AI boom and the financial strategies of major players like Oracle and OpenAI.

43 min
Sep 8, 2025Episode 134
Broadcom Earnings, More on ASICS vs. GPUs, Google Selling TPUs?

Ben and Jay unpack why Broadcom’s “fourth customer” (~$10B) custom-ASIC win reset sentiment even after a modest beat/raise, and how that squares with hyperscalers second-sourcing away from NVIDIA in the near term. They frame the true battleground as networking—Ethernet’s ubiquity vs. NVLink’s tight integration—then differentiate GPUs’ performance-per-watt advantages from custom ASIC cost calculus, arguing that “lumpiness” (program outcomes) is not “cyclicality” (inventory swings). They stress TAM realism: it’s easy to total up CapEx, but the ROI numerator (revenue/profit) is still unknowable. Structurally, TSMC remains the default winner, with a plausible Intel Foundry financing path in the wings, while Google looks more likely to “sell capacity” for TPUs than chips. Net: GPUs keep the bulk of spend through 2030 even as select first-party silicon scales, and the market should judge claims against networking choices and workload fit—not headlines.

54 min
Aug 31, 2025Episode 133
NVIDIA Earnings + Ben's Thesis Time and Those Lumpy ASICs

In this conversation, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent earnings reports of Nvidia and Marvell, focusing on the implications for the AI market and the challenges posed by geopolitical factors, particularly regarding China. They analyze Nvidia's growth projections, the complexities of ASICs, and the competitive landscape for AI servers, particularly highlighting Dell's position in the market. The discussion also touches on the nuances of CapEx spending and the importance of clear communication from companies to investors.

47 min
Aug 24, 2025Episode 132
Offical Gov. Stake in Intel, NVIDIA's New Scale Across Fabric, NVIDIA Earnings Preview

In this conversation, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent government investment in Intel, its implications for the semiconductor industry, and the competitive landscape of Nvidia's new technology. They explore the future of Intel, the challenges it faces in securing customers, and the significance of Nvidia's Spectrum XGS Ethernet announcement. The discussion also touches on the state of the analog devices market and anticipates Nvidia's upcoming earnings call, highlighting key areas of interest and potential impacts on the industry.TakeawaysThe U.S. government now owns 10% of Intel, signaling confidence in the company.The investment is part of a broader strategy to support semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S.Intel's future hinges on securing customers and government support.Nvidia's Spectrum XGS Ethernet allows for distributed GPU clusters across locations.The competitive landscape is shifting, with Nvidia targeting Broadcom and Huawei.Analog devices are seeing mixed signals in the market, particularly in automotive.Robotics is an emerging area for analog devices, but still faces challenges.Nvidia's upcoming earnings call is highly anticipated, with expectations of strong demand.The relationship between the U.S. and China is affecting tech investments and sales.The need for a strong board and expertise in manufacturing is crucial for Intel's success.

45 min
Aug 17, 2025Episode 131
NVIDIA/AMD Export Tax Unconstitutional? AMAT Earnings, Talking NeoClouds, Another Week for Intel!

In this conversation, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss various topics related to the semiconductor industry, including the implications of new regulations on companies like AMD and Nvidia, the challenges faced by cloud computing providers, the market dynamics affecting Applied Materials, and the potential government involvement in Intel's future. They explore the complexities of profitability, market competition, and the evolving landscape of technology and regulation.TakeawaysNew regulations on semiconductors may be unconstitutional but are unlikely to be challenged.Profitability concerns overshadow the earnings of cloud computing companies.Demand for GPU compute is high, but electricity constraints limit growth.Applied Materials faces uncertainty due to vague guidance and market dynamics.Government involvement in Intel could complicate the free market.The distinction between ownership and governance is crucial in state-owned enterprises.The future of AI and cloud computing is tied to infrastructure and capacity.Investors are skeptical about the viability of Neo cloud models.The semiconductor industry is navigating a complex regulatory environment.

50 min
Aug 11, 2025Episode 130
AMD Earnings Insights, AI Networking The New (not so new) Hot Segment, GPT 5!

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the latest earnings from AMD, highlighting their strong performance amidst market fluctuations and concerns about competition in the AI space. They delve into the growing importance of AI networking solutions and the recent release of OpenAI's open-source models, including GPT-5, which introduces a more collaborative approach to AI interactions. The conversation also touches on the uncertain future of AI and the challenges faced by Intel, concluding with a reflection on the evolving landscape of technology and its implications for the market.

57 min
Aug 4, 2025Episode 129
Capex to the Moon 2.0! Bubble Debate, and QCOM and Arm Earnings

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the latest earnings reports from major tech companies, exploring themes of market dynamics, investment in AI, and the implications of CapEx spending. They delve into the concept of whether we are in a bubble, the challenges of monetizing AI, and the competitive landscape among tech giants like Google, Meta, and Amazon. The conversation also touches on the potential disruption from Apple in the search market, the role of Nvidia in AI, and the future of companies like Qualcomm and Arm in a rapidly evolving tech environment.

31 min
Jul 28, 2025Episode 128
EP:127 Intel Earnings, Exploring the Possible Scenario of a TSMC Monopoly

The conversation explores the implications of a potential TSMC monopoly in the semiconductor industry, discussing the risks it poses to pricing, innovation, and competition. The speakers emphasize the need for strategic decisions among semiconductor companies and the importance of considering commercial solutions to mitigate the risks associated with a monopoly.

45 min
Jul 21, 2025Episode 127
EP: 126 NVIDIA/AMD Back in China! TSMC Earnings, and Agentic AI Causes Total Infra Upgrade

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent developments in the AI and semiconductor industries, focusing on Nvidia and AMD's approval to sell modified chipsets to China, the political dynamics influencing these decisions, and the competitive landscape with Huawei. They also analyze TSMC's earnings, the need for infrastructure upgrades to support AI agents, and the implications of Synopsys' acquisition of Ansys. The conversation concludes with a look at Marvell's leadership change and its potential impact on the industry.

38 min
Jul 14, 2025Episode 126
What's Going on with RISC-V? Update on Intel, Everything is AI!

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent developments in the RISC-V ecosystem, including Global Foundries' acquisition of MIPS and the implications for the semiconductor industry. They also delve into Intel's challenges with its manufacturing processes and the shifting landscape of AI, highlighting the potential for both growth and caution in the current market dynamics.

43 min
Jul 1, 2025Episode 125
The State of The Japanese Semiconductor Industry

In this conversation, Jay Goldberg and Professor John Metzler discuss the current state and future prospects of the Japanese semiconductor industry, focusing on key players like TSMC and Rapidus. They explore insights from Metzler's recent trips to Japan, the challenges of talent acquisition, and the broader implications for global semiconductor competition. The discussion highlights the unique approaches being taken in Japan, including the integration of AI and photonics, and the importance of a sustainable business model for new ventures in the semiconductor space.

40 min
Jun 23, 2025Episode 124
Marvell ASIC TAM, ASIC Challenges Remain, More Semi 2.0

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent Marvell custom semiconductor event, the challenges faced in the custom chip business, and the evolving role of hyperscalers in chip design. They explore the future of ASICs versus GPUs, the growth trajectory of the semiconductor industry, and the impact of software on compute needs. The conversation also delves into chip design innovations, particularly the rise of chiplets, and the changing economics of semiconductor manufacturing.

37 min
Jun 16, 2025Episode 123
Apple's WWDC, AMD AI Event, Semiconductors 2.0

In this episode, Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg discuss the recent developments in the tech industry, focusing on Apple's WWDC and AMD's product roadmap. They explore Apple's integration of AI into its operating system and the implications for developers, as well as AMD's performance and its competitive stance against Nvidia. The conversation also highlights the importance of networking in AI infrastructure and the evolving business models in the AI space.

30 min
Jun 9, 2025Episode 122
Stop Talking about SAM Please

In this episode, Ben and Jay discuss the latest developments in the semiconductor industry, particularly focusing on Broadcom's earnings and the implications of AI on the market. They explore the growth of the semiconductor segment, the challenges in ASIC development, and the innovations in networking with the introduction of Tomahawk 6. The conversation also highlights the increasing importance of storage solutions in AI applications and anticipates upcoming events in the tech world.

43 min
Jun 2, 2025Episode 121
NVIDIA Earnings, The Future of AI inference, China AI and more

In this conversation, Jay Goldberg and Austin Lyons discuss Nvidia's recent earnings report, the future of AI and inference, and the dynamics of the AI market, including the impact of China on Nvidia's revenue. They explore the differences between consumer and enterprise workloads, the role of financing in AI server sales, and the challenges of realizing ROI from AI investments. The discussion also touches on real-world applications of AI in business and the future of AI integration in consumer products.

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