Palisades Gold Radio

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Dr. Nomi Prins to the show. Dr. Nomi Prins is Founder of Prinsights Global and Substack. The discussion opens with a broad assessment of global economic headwinds, including the ongoing blockage of the Strait of Hormuz and rising bond yields. Dr. Prins explains that even a hypothetical resolution to the strait crisis would not immediately ease supply backlogs, keeping oil prices elevated and contributing to persistent inflation. She notes a significant dislocation between struggling economic confidence and stock markets reaching all-time highs, fueled by large asset funds and cash waiting on the sidelines. The conversation shifts to the beneficiaries of supply disruptions, where Dr. Prins sees value in oil producers outside the Middle East, such as those in Colombia, which can bypass the strait. She then highlights uranium as a critical, underappreciated story, emphasizing that nuclear energy’s role in powering data centers and AI creates surging demand against a backdrop of severely constrained supply, with new mines taking up to 18 years to develop. This supply deficit, she argues, makes current uranium prices appear very low. Addressing inflation and central bank policy, Dr. Prins anticipates that while short-term rates will likely remain unchanged, the Federal Reserve may increase long-term bond purchases, effectively reawakening quantitative easing to manage debt servicing costs. She believes this will not significantly stimulate the broader economy but that real growth will come from hard assets and commodities like copper and silver, which are essential for electrification and in structural deficit. On gold, she remains bullish, citing its stability and the fact that central banks now hold it as their top reserve currency, viewing it as a long-term diversifier. She maintains a year-end gold price target of $6,000. The interview concludes with Dr. Prins pointing to significant investment opportunities in junior mining, particularly in copper, uranium, and rare earth elements, for investors who can look past current geopolitical volatility. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:41 – Global Economy Headwinds 00:01:08 – Strait of Hormuz Disruptions 00:03:20 – Oil Price Outlook 00:06:30 – Oil Producer Opportunities 00:09:43 – Uranium Energy Security 00:13:00 – Commodity Supply Shortages 00:18:28 – Fuel Shortages 00:20:40 – Inflation and QE Outlook 00:26:46 – Gold Market Stability 00:31:33 – Mining Sector Investments 00:35:00 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/nomiprins Website: https://nomiprins.com Substack: https://prinsights.substack.com Dr. Nomi Prins as a Wall Street i

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Chris Vermeulen to the show. Chris Vermeulen is Founder & Chief Investment Officer, The Technical Traders. Vermeulen begins by analyzing the current equity market, noting that while stocks are grinding higher, the rally is not broad-based but concentrated in tech, small caps, and micro caps, which he sees as a sign of underlying weakness. He suggests the market may be entering a euphoric, parabolic phase, potentially triggered by upcoming IPOs like SpaceX, but warns this could end in a sharp correction and a major market top. Using Fibonacci extensions, he projects significant upside for the NASDAQ but remains cautious about the rally’s sustainability. Shifting to commodities, Vermeulen explains his preference for stable, trending assets over volatile, headline-driven ones like oil, which he avoids due to geopolitical noise. He expresses similar concerns about the agricultural sector, seeing it as a crowded trade where heavy public interest and high volume may indicate distribution rather than further upside. His most detailed analysis focuses on precious metals, where he forecasts a substantial near-term pullback for gold and silver. His Fibonacci analysis points to a potential drop in gold to $3,600 and a 46% decline in silver from current levels, which he views as a painful reset for latecomers before the next major bull cycle begins. He views gold miners as the same correlated trade, warning against over-concentration. Vermulen advocates for his “asset revesting” strategy, rotating capital into assets in confirmed uptrends and stepping aside when trends weaken. He emphasizes discipline, risk management, and avoiding emotional attachment to assets like physical gold, which he notes costs money to hold and can underperform for years. His focus remains on equities for now, waiting for a clearer entry point in precious metals after an anticipated sell-off. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:52 – Market Opportunities Radar 00:02:20 – Equities Current Trends 00:02:41 – Rally Breadth Concerns 00:04:00 – Index Selection Discussion 00:06:25 – Fibonacci Technical Analysis 00:11:20 – Bubble and Melt-Up Debate 00:12:30 – Oil Market Disruptions 00:17:10 – Agricultural Commodities View 00:22:31 – Gold Price Predictions 00:28:27 – Silver Miners Analysis 00:35:59 – Copper & Chris’s Approach 00:37:20 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://thetechnicaltraders.com/ X: https://x.com/TheTechTraders Chris Vermeulen is the Founder & Chief Investment Officer of The Technical Traders and the visionary mind behind Asset Revesting. In his book Asset Revesting – How to Exclusively Hold Assets Rising in Value, Profit During Bear Markets, and Cont

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Adrian Day to the show. Adrian Day is CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management & Manager of EuroPacific Gold Fund. Day sees the recent weakness in oil as a potential buying opportunity, particularly if a peace deal triggers a further short-term drop. He argues that beyond temporary disruptions, the underlying supply picture is bullish because oil has been chronically underinvested for years. With US shale production peaking and no clear new major source of global supply to meet consistent demand growth, he views a sustained move above $150 per barrel as a plausible base case. He is waiting for exaggerated drops in oil stocks to build positions, favoring companies with strong balance sheets. Broadening the discussion to the wider commodity complex, Day notes that resource stocks are near 100-year lows relative to the equity market. He identifies a long-term cycle shift where foreign markets are beginning to outperform the US after 15 years of underperformance, a trend he expects to continue for years. This rotation out of large-cap US tech into international value creates opportunities in deeply undervalued markets like the UK, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Regarding precious metals, Day believes gold and gold stocks currently offer the best risk/reward. Central bank and institutional buying remains price-agnostic and robust, driven by a strategic desire to diversify away from the dollar. While short-term interest rate narratives have held back some buyers, he argues that an eventual peace deal would allow rate cuts, which is very positive for gold. Valuations across royalty companies and mid-tier producers are historically attractive on free cash flow metrics. He advises clients with existing large allocations to hold firm, while those new to the sector should consider building substantial positions. Overall, Day sees gold as the best commodity to own now, even as other hard assets may eventually begin to outperform within the broader cycle. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:43 – Oil Supply Disruption Analysis 00:02:51 – Oil Price Projections Scenarios 00:11:05 – Oil Producers Valuations Review 00:15:47 – Fertilizer and Commodity Disruptions 00:21:45 – Gold and Silver Stocks Outlook 00:23:00 – Foreign Markets Outperformance Trends 00:30:30 – Gold Risk Versus Reward 00:39:00 – Gold Miners Valuations Discussed 00:47:40 – Silver Market Analysis Today 00:49:30 – Commodity Super Cycle Thesis 00:55:00 – Coal and Supply Security 00:57:30 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://adrianday.com/ Adrian Day is considered a pioneer in promoting the benefits of global investing in the United Kingdom. A native of London, after graduating with honors from the London School of Economics, Mr. Day spent many years as a fina

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Gary Savage to the show. Gary Savage is Retired Entrepreneur, Investor, and President of Smart Money Tracker Premium. Gary Savage opened the discussion by assessing the current stock market, noting that while it may be entering a final parabolic bubble phase, particularly in semiconductors, warning signs like a diverging banking index and Hindenburg Omens suggest increasing danger. He cautioned that chasing these final gains risks a severe crash. The conversation then shifted to precious metals, where Savage believes gold and silver bottomed in March and are now in the advancing phase of a new intermediate cycle, albeit with frustrating, erratic momentum. He explained that the recent correction, rather than a continued parabolic surge, has returned the market to a “wall of worry” phase. This development, while slower, is healthier for the secular bull market, potentially extending it for several more years and allowing for much higher ultimate price targets, such as $15,000 gold, compared to a shorter, more volatile parabolic blow-off. He advised that buying physical metal is sound at any time for long-term holders, but warned that trading is difficult in the current volatile consolidation, which can easily shake out leveraged positions. Regarding miners, he expects them to rise with gold but believes physical silver may ultimately outperform mining ETFs due to the absence of company-specific risks. On energy, Savage suggested waiting for a potential peace deal in the Middle East to drive oil prices back down to test the upper $60s breakout level before considering a long position, as he anticipates a larger commodity bull cycle will eventually push oil above its all-time high. He linked this outlook to a broader inflationary cycle, predicting the Fed will eventually cut rates and print money, exacerbating inflation and fueling hard assets. He concluded by noting his Smart Money Tracker service is currently closed to new subscribers, as he only opens access near market bottoms. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:50 – Stock Market Bubble Concerns 00:02:22 – Equity Market Breadth Issues 00:03:48 – Precious Metals Cycle Outlook 00:05:57 – Gold Silver Correction Analysis 00:12:20 – Wall of Worry Phase 00:14:20 – Gold Patterns & Conflict 00:19:43 – Buying Physical Metals Advice 00:23:07 – Gold Miners and Leverage 00:28:19 – Oil Market Opportunity 00:31:32 – Inflation Cycle Outlook 00:33:58 – Smart Money Tracker Update Guest Links: X: https:/x.com/garysavage1 Blog: https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgiNs7g

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Art Berman to the show. Art Berman is known as the energy realist and he paints a dire picture of the global energy situation, describing the Strait of Hormuz disruption as an unprecedented crisis with no historical precedent. He likens the world economy to a human losing 20% of its blood supply daily, explaining that while the West hasn’t felt immediate effects due to drawing on oil inventories, these savings will soon run out, and the lag will hit hard. Discussing supply numbers, Berman clarifies that roughly 15 to 20 million barrels per day of crude and refined products normally flow through the strait, but the effective loss is reduced to around 10 million barrels by bypass pipelines, still a catastrophic bleed-out. Berman outlines scenarios, starting with an unrealistic best case where everything resolves by June 1st, yet logistical hurdles like de-mining, insurance, and tanker queues mean oil wouldn’t flow until late 2026 at the earliest, leaving the world with no supply replenishment for months. His base case is that the Strait of Hormuz never returns to normal flows, as Iran has no incentive to relinquish the immense geopolitical leverage it now holds. He emphasizes that the U.S. is not truly energy independent, importing 6.5 million barrels of heavy crude daily because domestic light oil cannot substitute for the diesel and jet fuel the economy requires. Production restarts would be fraught with technical problems, and investor confidence in the region is permanently shattered. Berman stresses the irreversible nature of these events, comparing them to personal betrayals or missed opportunities—stabilization may occur, but the world will never return to 2025 economic norms. He notes that credible analysts predict global oil storage could hit operational limits by late July, with price spikes to $150-$160 possible before demand destruction tempers them. He highlights the unprecedented rate of supply loss, 99 times faster than any previous oil shock. Despite the bleakness, Berman finds hope in the crisis forcing necessary behavioral changes and a reevaluation of humanity’s planetary footprint. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:49 – Strait of Hormuz Disruption Significance 00:03:59 – Inventory Drawdown Effects 00:11:01 – Missing Barrel Estimates 00:16:44 – Best Case Recovery Scenario 00:27:37 – Base Case Permanent Blockade 00:28:39 – United States Energy Impact 00:32:33 – Crude Oil Quality Differences 00:45:12 – Long Term Geopolitical Outlook 01:05:40 – Storage Inventory Limits 01:25:29 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://artberman.com X: https://x.com/aeberman12 Art Berman isn’t your run-of-the-mill energy consultant; he’s a full-blown di

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Simon Hunt to the show. Simon is a consultant on the global economy, China, and the copper industry. The discussion opens with the ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and its profound implications for global energy supplies. Hunt explains that Saudi Arabia is attempting to broker a new regional architecture involving China, Russia, Pakistan, and Turkey, partly in response to Iran’s demonstrated military capabilities. He assesses only a fifty percent chance of success, warning that even if a ceasefire is reached, reopening the strait to normal traffic could take months, and oil stockpiles in Asia, Europe, and America may be exhausted by mid-July. This supply crunch, he argues, makes a global recession nearly certain by year-end, deepening significantly in the following year. The conversation shifts to China’s strategic positioning. Hunt notes that China anticipated American geopolitical moves and has diversified its energy sources through pipelines from Russia and Kazakhstan, alongside massive domestic coal and renewable capacity. This allows China to withstand the Hormuz closure indefinitely, unlike Western nations. The discussion then turns to the evolving global monetary order, where Hunt describes a BRICS-led effort to create a multipolar system anchored in physical gold. He details China’s construction of Shanghai Gold Exchange vaults in Saudi Arabia and Hong Kong, enabling trade settlement in non-G7 currencies convertible to gold. While he sees gold prices reaching double-digit thousands in five years, he cautions that America is unlikely to revalue its gold reserves and warns of potential government confiscation during crises. On commodities, Hunt challenges the prevailing supercycle narrative, calling it premature. He predicts that a deep recession will cause physical demand to collapse, outweighing current supply constraints. He specifically highlights copper, noting that NVIDIA’s shift to photonics could eliminate copper from data centers by 2028, undermining a key demand thesis. Strategic stockpiling of critical minerals by governments will eventually follow, but processing capacity remains a bottleneck controlled by China. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:00 – Middle East Conflict Origins 00:03:46 – New Gulf Security Architecture 00:06:05 – Oil Supply Disruption Impacts 00:08:06 – Straits of Hormuz Reopening 00:08:37 – China Trump Trade Dynamics 00:12:25 – Oil Prices Futures Disparity 00:14:14 – Fertilizer and Food Crisis 00:16:10 – BRICS Monetary System Shift 00:22:51 – Bond Yields and Instability 00:25:02 – Recession Outlook and Assets 00:30:40 – Commodity Supercycle Analysis 00:33:00 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: E-Mail: mailto:[email protected] Website: <a href="https://simon-hunt.co

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Mining Stock Monkey to the show. The discussion centers on navigating the current commodity cycle with a disciplined, downside-protection-first approach. He emphasizes that while structural tailwinds like electrification, AI infrastructure, and global poverty reduction support a broad commodities bull market, selectivity is critical. He starts by identifying historically cheap commodities—where low prices eventually cure low prices by curbing supply and boosting demand—and then evaluates individual companies on their risk-reward profiles. Nickel tops his list, but he exclusively seeks high-grade nickel-sulfide deposits, avoiding laterite projects due to severe environmental and human rights concerns in Indonesia. Potash also appears cheap, with BHP’s delayed and over-budget Jansen mine potentially discouraging new supply; he notes producers like Nutrien and Mosaic, though he favors royalty exposure through Altius Minerals. In oil and gas, equities are undervalued at spot prices, but the futures curve points to a sharp decline, making him cautious. He prioritizes protecting against large losses, explaining that avoiding a 75% drop is far more valuable than chasing outsized gains. On precious metals, he views the gold bull market as mature after a decade-long run, yet acknowledges that endless money printing and the weaponization of the dollar could drive prices infinitely higher. He is reducing exposure to riskier gold miners and favors royalty companies like Royal Gold, citing its superior margins, built-in growth, relative undervaluation, and potential S&P 500 inclusion as key downside protections. Silver, however, raises concerns: a parabolic chart pattern and the fact that over a billion rural Asians hold silver as savings could trigger massive selling if they cash in on recent price spikes, potentially flooding the market. He also briefly notes that thermal coal’s chart resembles a classic bottoming pattern worth investigating. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:06 – Commodities Bull Market Outlook 00:03:40 – Identifying Cheap Commodities 00:06:37 – Attractive Commodities Nickel Oil 00:08:08 – Oil Equities and Supply Risks 00:09:50 – Downside Protection Strategy 00:16:03 – Potash Market Analysis 00:21:44 – Nickel Sulphide Deposits 00:25:40 – Gold Markets Currently 00:30:52 – Miners & Risk/Reward 00:36:12 – Finding Value In Miners 00:42:07 – Junior Explorers & Developers 00:47:05 – Silver Market Thoughts 00:53:57 – Thermal Coal 00:54:48 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/@MiningStockMonkey Website: https://miningstockmonkey.com/products/vip X: <a href="https://x.com/mini

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Michael Oliver to the show. Michael Oliver is Momentum Structural Analysis MSA. Oliver argues that a major government bond crisis is quietly underway, driven by unsustainable debt levels in the US and other developed nations. He contends that the T-bond market is on the verge of breaking down to new price lows, an event largely ignored by mainstream financial media but one that could trigger a panic. This looming crisis, he believes, will force central banks into aggressive money printing to defend government bonds, which in turn will act as rocket fuel for gold and silver. Oliver explains that gold’s long-term rise is not due to transient geopolitical uncertainty but rather the ongoing degradation of fiat currencies through relentless monetary expansion. He sees the stock market as bloated and in the process of forming a major top, similar to the dot-com and mortgage crisis peaks. When equities eventually falter, capital will flee into hard assets, propelling precious metals into a vertical, “wet bar of soap” phase where everyone scrambles to buy. Silver, which recently broke out of a 50-year price range, is poised for dramatic gains. Oliver projects a move to $300–$500 per ounce, representing hundreds of percent in returns, vastly outpacing gold. He also highlights precious metals miners as an especially attractive opportunity, noting their historically low valuations relative to gold and their potential to double rapidly once they break out on a relative performance basis. Beyond precious metals, Oliver sees a broader commodity supercycle emerging, with oil, grains, and base metals all in technical positions to advance significantly. He advises a long-term, non-leveraged approach to the commodity complex as an asset class shift unfolds. Overall, Oliver’s momentum-based analysis points to an imminent, explosive revaluation of hard assets, urging investors to position themselves before the government bond crisis becomes front-page news. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:41 – Gold and Fiat Money Dynamics 00:03:09 – Government Bond Crisis Warning 00:03:43 – T-Bond Technical Analysis 00:08:46 – Structural Bond Market Trends 00:20:02 – Gold Bull Market Cadence 00:32:37 – Silver Price Forecast 00:37:36 – Silver Outperformance Potential 00:41:16 – Precious Metals Miners Outlook 00:46:48 – Selecting Individual Miners 00:50:23 – Broader Commodity Opportunities 00:54:42 – Closing and Resources Guest Links: Website: http://www.olivermsa.com/ X: https://twitter.com/Oliver_MSA Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/y2roa7p5 Email: mailto:mich

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Doomberg to the show. Doomberg is Head Writer For The Doomberg Team and Creator of the Doomberg Substack. The podcast explores the current geopolitical and energy landscape, focusing on the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and potential global power dynamics. Discussing the current energy market disruptions, Doomberg suggests that while the Strait of Hormuz closure is significant, the market has been surprisingly stable. He estimates the potential oil supply disruption at around 8 million barrels per day, significantly lower than some analysts’ predictions. The sophisticated oil markets have absorbed these challenges, with China potentially playing a crucial role by releasing strategic reserves and managing supply. The conversation delves into a potential grand geopolitical bargain that might be discussed in the upcoming meeting between Trump and Xi in Beijing. Doomberg speculates about a potential realignment of global interests, including a settlement of the Ukraine conflict on terms favorable to Russia, ceding Taiwan to China’s sphere of influence, and dividing Middle Eastern and Arctic territories among major powers. Regarding the US dollar and global economic shifts, Doomberg argues that we’re moving towards a multipolar or potentially Chinese-dominated unipolar world. He sees the sanctions against Russia after Crimea as the beginning of a new world order, with China and Russia challenging US global dominance. The discussion highlights the United States’ significant natural gas advantage, with the country producing 110 billion cubic feet per day and poised to become a major LNG exporter. Doomberg emphasizes the potential for North American energy dominance, particularly through clean and abundant natural gas. Looking forward, Doomberg suggests a potential multipolar world with the US focusing on its Western Hemisphere, China gaining prominence, and Russia finding its place. He remains cautiously optimistic about a potential diplomatic resolution to current global tensions, while acknowledging the complexity of geopolitical negotiations. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:38 – Oil Supply Disruption Assessment 00:03:54 – China’s Oil Stockpiling Role 00:05:02 – Oil Price Mechanics Explained 00:10:24 – Supply Shortage Estimates 00:12:52 – Strait Reopening Impact 00:15:20 – Trump-Xi Meeting Significance 00:17:54 – Grand Bargain Outlines 00:22:45 – US Western Hemisphere Focus 00:26:30 – Fading Oil Spike Strategy 00:31:03 – Fertilizers and Commodity Impacts 00:34:53 – Helium Just-In-Time 00:36:16 – OPEC & the Petrodollar 00:39:20 – Geopolitical Shifts and Gold 00:46:46 – Unipolarity Outcomes 00:53:46 – Euro Hydrocarbon Resources 00:56:37 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Substack: https://

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Luke Gromen to the show. Luke Gromen is President and Founder of Forest For The Trees. Luke explores unprecedented global economic and geopolitical shifts, focusing on massive commodity supply disruptions and transforming monetary systems. He highlights several critical trends: the largest commodity supply flow disruption in history, unprecedented levels of globalization, sovereign debt, and market valuations. He argues that current global tensions, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, could trigger significant economic challenges. The potential closure of strategic maritime routes could lead to dramatic supply chain breakdowns, potentially causing localized famines and massive economic disruptions. Gromen suggests that while the US dollar will remain widely used, it will no longer be the primary wealth storage mechanism. China is strategically positioning itself by establishing yuan-gold settlement systems and offshore clearing banks, effectively creating a multi-currency framework with gold as the pivotal settlement asset. Geographically, Gromen sees varied outcomes for different regions. He believes the United States has geographical advantages but warns against urban living during this transition. Europe appears most vulnerable, while Asian countries like China, Japan, and South Korea are potentially well-positioned to benefit from these shifts, particularly given their engineering capabilities and demographic dynamics. Regarding commodities, Gromen anticipates a generational trend favoring strategic metals like copper, silver, nickel, rare earths, and uranium. He predicts that future commodity trades will increasingly require value-for-value exchanges, moving away from paper-based transactions. The underlying theme is a fundamental restructuring of global economic systems, driven by supply chain fragilities, geopolitical tensions, and the need for more resilient, productivity-focused economic models. Gromen suggests this transition will likely involve significant inflation and economic recalibration, with gold playing a central role in the emerging monetary landscape. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:44 – Unprecedented Energy Disruption 00:02:48 – Globalization and Debt Levels 00:05:00 – Equity Valuations Warning 00:07:20 – Market Pricing Liquidity 00:09:01 – Supply Chain Breakdowns 00:10:28 – Disruption Lag Effects 00:12:15 – Oil Policy Miscalculations 00:15:27 – Geopolitical Trade-offs 00:21:50 – Hubris vs Strategy 00:28:33 – China’s Strategic Benefits 00:33:56 – Monetary Order Shift 00:39:52 – Gold’s Reserve Role 00:45:06 – Future Debasement & Gold 00:49:46 – Regional Economic Outlooks 00:56:10 – Commodity Generational Trends 01:00:12 – New section Guest Links: X: https://x.c

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Colonel Douglas Macgregor to the show. Mr. Macgregor is a retired U.S. Army Colonel and a decorated combat veteran. In this in-depth discussion, Macgregor provides a critical analysis of the current geopolitical situation, focusing on the ongoing conflict in the Persian Gulf and its profound global economic implications. Macgregor argues that the current war has created a catastrophic disruption in global maritime trade, with commercial ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz down by over 90%. This disruption is causing severe economic challenges, including potential famines, skyrocketing energy prices, and significant supply chain disruptions. He predicts oil prices could reach $150-$200 per barrel, which would have devastating economic consequences. The colonel is particularly critical of the U.S. approach to the conflict, suggesting that the war is primarily driven by Israeli interests rather than vital U.S. strategic objectives. He believes the strategic initiative has passed to Iran, which can absorb more punishment and endure more economic pain than the United States. Macgregor emphasizes the critical importance of resource sovereignty, arguing that countries must now focus on securing their own critical mineral supplies, refining capabilities, and energy infrastructure. He sees this conflict as a transformative moment that will fundamentally reshape global economic and geopolitical relationships, potentially accelerating the de-dollarization process and China’s economic rise. The discussion highlights the urgent need for a diplomatic solution to stop the conflict, warning that continued military operations will only exacerbate global economic challenges. Macgregor suggests that the world needs to move towards a new approach of international cooperation, focusing on practical economic survival rather than military confrontation. Ultimately, Macgregor believes the current crisis will force nations to rethink their economic strategies, prioritize resource security, and develop more resilient and self-sufficient economic models. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:40 – Iran Campaign Prediction Review 00:00:40 – Iran War Phases Clarified 00:03:02 – Strait of Hormuz Closure 00:03:44 – Global Economic Catastrophe Warning 00:04:41 – Resource Sovereignty Essential Now 00:06:53 – Markets Manipulation and Warfare 00:09:00 – Revolution in Warfare 00:10:33 – Concealing War Strategic Disaster 00:13:00 – Trump’s Strategic Dilemma 00:16:43 – Commodity Investments Shift 00:20:26 – Gold Reserves De-Dollarization Trends 00:24:00 – War Duration and Oil Disruptions 00:30:10 – China & Oil Refining 00:36:43 – Western Reindustrialization 00:40:30 – US Reorganization Critical Minerals 00:44:20 – Reindustrialization and Direction 00:46:04 – Strategic Metal Concerns 00:49:35 – C

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Grant Williams to the show. Grant Williams is Financial Advisor, Portfolio & Strategy Advisor, and a Co-Founder of Real Vision. In this wide-ranging discussion, Williams explores the potential transformation of the global monetary system, highlighting significant shifts in geopolitical and economic dynamics. He argues that the world is experiencing a fundamental reordering of monetary power, with the US dollar’s global dominance potentially eroding due to factors like sanctions, increasing government debt, and diminishing international trust. Williams suggests that gold could emerge as a critical stabilizing asset during this transition, potentially serving as a temporary anchor for a new monetary system. He emphasizes that countries are increasingly losing confidence in the US dollar, with many gradually reducing their dollar reserves and turning to alternative assets like gold. This trend isn’t necessarily a deliberate choice, but a natural response to systemic uncertainties. The conversation delves into the concept of a “fourth turning” – a generational framework that suggests periodic massive societal transformations. Williams sees the current global environment as consistent with this model, characterized by significant economic and geopolitical upheaval. He believes we’re transitioning from an era of virtual financial abstractions to a world focused on tangible assets and real value. Regarding investment strategies, Williams recommends a patient approach to commodities. He suggests focusing on essential resources like oil, copper, and other critical minerals, noting that we’re likely entering a long-term commodity bull market. He advises investors to conduct thorough research, understand commodity dynamics, and be prepared for a potentially slower, more deliberate investment landscape. Williams also cautions against complacency, arguing that the era of guaranteed government bailouts and easy monetary policies may be ending. He encourages investors to re-examine their assumptions, be open to new perspectives, and recognize that historical investment strategies might not work in this emerging economic environment. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:02 – Monetary Order Shifts 00:05:25 – Commodity Disruptions Impact 00:10:45 – Bailout Trust Erosion 00:13:49 – Gold Performance Analysis 00:16:31 – Global Reserve Changes 00:22:00 – Gold Standard Revival 00:24:10 – Geopolitical Considerations 00:27:00 – Gold & Fiat Printing 00:29:31 – Fourth Turning Cycles 00:35:45 – Commodity Investment Strategies 00:42:00 – Patience in Bull Cycles 00:44:10 – Commodities Outperformance 00:48:33 – North America Resource Risks 00:52:56 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://grant-williams.com

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Don Durrett to the show. Don Durrett is Author, Investor, and Founder of Goldstockdata.com. In this comprehensive interview, Durrett provides deep insights into the current economic landscape and his perspective on gold and silver investments. Durrett argues that the global economic system is fundamentally unsustainable, characterized by what he calls “voodoo economics” and modern monetary theory’s approach of continuous money printing. He believes the United States is trapped in a “doom loop” of increasing debt and economic challenges, which creates a compelling case for precious metals investments. Drawing from his two decades of investing experience, Durrett explains his investment philosophy using a pyramid approach. He recommends building a foundation with physical metals, then progressively adding ETFs, major mining companies, mid-tier producers, and finally high-risk exploration stocks. His current portfolio contains 165 stocks, with an expectation of generating a seven to ten-fold return. Durrett is particularly bullish on gold, projecting prices potentially reaching $7,000 and expecting the current bull market to continue through 2028. He anticipates a “fair trade” scenario where gold’s value crosses the S&P 500’s value, indicating a significant market transformation. His investment strategy focuses on finding stocks with exceptional leverage and potential, particularly those that could provide 20x returns at higher metal prices. Regarding the current market, Durrett sees significant opportunities in precious metals miners, especially those with potential for substantial growth. He’s not overly concerned with current production costs, instead focusing on a company’s potential valuation at higher gold and silver prices. He believes many investors and Wall Street are underestimating the potential of gold and silver mining companies. Through his website Goldstockdata.com, Durrett aims to provide investors with comprehensive data and educational resources to help them make informed investment decisions in the precious metals sector. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:41 – Market Overview & Bull Case 00:03:29 – Economic History and Voodoo Economics 00:08:37 – MMT Origins and Doom Loop 00:11:32 – Current Correction Buy Opportunity 00:12:54 – Geopolitical War Impacts Analysis 00:25:45 – Fear Trade and Gold Targets 00:31:18 – Miners & Bull Markets 00:37:04 – Investment Approaches 00:41:44 – Pain Point and Diversification 00:48:35 – Royalty Companies Evaluation 00:51:23 – Goldstockdata.com Overview Guest Links: X: https://x.com/DonDurrett Website: https://www.goldstockdata.com Substack: https:

Your host, Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Dr. Mark Thornton to the show. Dr. Mark Thornton is Economist and Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute. This discussion centers on global economic disruptions, particularly in commodity markets and energy sectors, stemming from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Dr. Thornton highlights the significant impact of potential oil and gas supply disruptions, estimating that 15-20% of global supply might be affected. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:05 – Global Economy Uncertainty 00:04:10 – Middle East Disruption Impact 00:04:57 – Stock Market vs Oil Discrepancy 00:06:52 – Supply Chain Byproducts Effects 00:11:13 – Oil Cutoff Long-term Consequences 00:14:33 – Global Pain Points Analysis 00:22:38 – Reshoring vs Free Trade 00:31:26 – Natural Gas Opportunities North America 00:39:08 – Unleashing US Resource Potential 00:43:43 – Petrodollar System Cracks 00:50:25 – Gold Settlement Currency Role 00:56:03 – Gold & Fiat Currencies 01:02:42 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://mises.org X: https://x.com/DrMarkThornton E-Mail: mailto:[email protected] YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=mark+thornton+minor+issues Book-Hayek: https://mises.org/library/book/hayek-21st-century-essays-political-economy Dr. Mark Thornton is a Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute and formerly held the Peterson-Luddy Chair in Austrian Economics. He hosts the podcasts Minor Issues and Unanimity and is Book Review Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics. His books include The Economics of Prohibition, Tariffs, Blockades, and Inflation, The Bastiat Collection, and The Skyscraper Curse. He has served on multiple editorial boards, taught economics at several universities, and worked as Assistant Superintendent of Banking and adviser to Alabama Governor Fob James. He holds degrees from St. Bonaventure University and Auburn University and has debated the “War on Drugs” at the Oxford Union. Dr. Thornton has been featured in major outlets such as The Economist, Forbes, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and USA Today, along with numerous international and regional newspapers. His commentary appears regularly on the Mises Institute’s platforms and on programs such as Boom-Bust, the Tom Woods Show, and the Scott Horton Show.

Stijn Schmitz welcomes backBob Moriarty back to the show. Bob is an author, the founder of 321 Gold, and a former marine fighter pilot. In this wide-ranging interview, Moriarty provides a critical geopolitical analysis of the current tensions in the Middle East, particularly focusing on the conflict involving Iran, Israel, and the United States. Moriarty argues that the conflict with Iran has been planned for 40 years and is fundamentally a voluntary war driven by Israel’s strategic interests. He emphasizes that Iran does not have a nuclear weapons program and that the current situation represents an extremely dangerous geopolitical moment. The disruption of the Strait of Hormuz has significant global implications, potentially affecting oil supplies, fertilizer distribution, and global trade. The discussion extensively covers the economic ramifications of these geopolitical tensions. Moriarty predicts severe consequences, including potential food shortages, fuel scarcity, and disruptions in medical supply chains. He suggests that the world is transitioning from a debt-based economic system to a resource-based system, with countries like China and Russia strategically positioning themselves. A key theme of the conversation is the role of gold in the global financial system. Moriarty views physical gold and silver as insurance policies against financial chaos and believes the world will inevitably return to a gold standard out of necessity. He points out that the United States is already exporting non-monetary gold as a means of international settlement. Moriarty is highly critical of current leadership in the United States and Israel, arguing that there are no “adults in the room” capable of finding a rational solution to the ongoing conflicts. He warns that if the current situation continues unresolved, the world could face catastrophic economic and humanitarian consequences. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:55 – Geopolitical Chessboard Analysis 00:04:33 – Iran’s Fight for Survival 00:09:30 – Israel and Iran Vulnerabilities 00:14:30 – Petrodollar and Middle East Peace 00:18:46 – Companies with Benefits? 00:21:21 – Strait of Hormuz Blockade 00:23:20 – The Role of Gold 00:28:35 – Hyperinflation Scenario 00:33:35 – Hidden US Casualties Revealed 00:36:32 – Oil, Inflation, & Efficency 00:39:21 – Fertilizer and Supply Disruptions 00:44:05 – Curent Political Leadership 00:50:09 – Gold as Financial Insurance 00:53:35 – Fuel Bail-Outs 00:54:30 – 321 Gold & Books Guest Links: Website: http://www.321gold.com Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Robert-Moriarty/e/B01A9I4TJU?ref=sr_ntt_srch_lnk_3&qid=1599932580&sr=8-3

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University, to discuss global economic trends, monetary policy, and the emerging commodity super cycle. The professor’s outlook suggests a complex economic landscape with potential for significant disruption, driven by monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, and structural changes in global trade and commodity markets. Hanke emphasizes the critical importance of money supply as a key indicator of economic activity and inflation, noting that the United States is currently experiencing an accelerating money supply that will make controlling inflation challenging. The discussion highlights several significant global economic dynamics, particularly focusing on commodity markets and geopolitical tensions. Hanke argues that the world is entering a commodity super cycle characterized by underinvestment, supply chain disruptions, and precautionary inventory building. The ongoing conflict in the Gulf region and disruptions to global trade have further complicated commodity markets, with potential oil prices ranging from $100 to $350 per barrel depending on supply constraints. Geopolitically, Hanke suggests that Russia and China are emerging as significant winners in this environment, while the United States has potentially weakened its global position through its actions. He dismisses concerns about de-dollarization, arguing that the US dollar remains the dominant global currency with limited realistic alternatives. On inflation, Hanke predicts continued upward pressure due to monetary policy loosening, commercial bank lending growth, and federal reserve actions. He emphasizes that inflation is fundamentally a monetary phenomenon, driven by increases in money supply rather than isolated economic events. Regarding commodities, Hanke identifies several sectors poised for growth, including critical materials like lithium and vanadium. He recommends investors be “long everything” in the commodity space, noting significant price increases in various exotic commodities. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:52 – Key Economic Metrics 00:02:00 – US Money Supply Acceleration 00:03:58 – China’s Inflation Challenges 00:04:56 – Commodity Supply Disruptions 00:05:30 – US Tariffs and Sanctions 00:07:13 – Iran War and Strait Closure 00:11:55 – Iranian Economy 00:12:45 – Oil Price Scenarios 00:13:10 – Commodity Super Cycle Thesis 00:17:00 – Oil Supply Impacts 00:20:44 – Market Complacency on Risks 00:24:06 – Winners and Losers Analysis 00:25:12 – China’s Economy 00:27:55 – De-Dollarization Myths 00:30:36 – Gold’s Geopolitical Role 00:33:15 – Supply Shocks & Infrastructure 00:37:20 – Inflation and Money Supply 00:41:40 – Treasury Demand & Inflation 00:46:40 – Bank Lending & Money Supply 00:48:28 – Commodity Picks &

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Rory Johnston to the show. Rory Johnston is Commodity Market Research who specializes in oil and gas. This episode delves into the complex dynamics of the current oil market crisis stemming from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, exploring the profound implications for global energy supply and geopolitical tensions. Johnston provides a detailed analysis of the current oil market situation, highlighting that approximately 20 million barrels of oil per day typically transit through the Strait of Hormuz, with about 13 million barrels currently disrupted. Despite this massive supply shock, oil prices remain surprisingly low, which Johnston attributes to several factors, including market resilience, slow-moving commodity markets, and complex geopolitical negotiations. The discussion reveals the potential devastating consequences of prolonged strait closure, particularly for developing countries. While advanced economies might absorb price increases, many regions in the global south could experience complete fuel shortages, causing significant economic and humanitarian challenges. Johnston predicts that if the situation continues, demand destruction will become inevitable, potentially forcing prices to astronomical levels. Interestingly, the conversation also explores the nuanced motivations of key players like the United States, Iran, and Israel. Johnston suggests that Iran potentially benefits from prolonging the conflict, while the United States appears increasingly desperate to reach a resolution. He believes the crisis will likely conclude with Iran gaining some recognized control over the Strait of Hormuz. Johnston’s base case scenario anticipates the strait potentially reopening by mid-May, but warns that the market will require months to rebalance. The cumulative oil supply loss could reach over 1.2 billion barrels, fundamentally altering the global oil market’s dynamics. He emphasizes that what was previously an oversupplied market will likely transform into a tighter, potentially higher-priced environment. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:48 – Strait of Hormuz Basics 00:01:55 – Supply Rerouting Efforts 00:02:57 – Total Supply Losses 00:06:09 – Replacing Lost Production 00:08:46 – Demand Destruction Scenario 00:11:15 – Price Reaction Analysis 00:19:23 – Trump’s Market Interventions 00:23:43 – US Treasury Intervention? 00:25:24 – Regional Shortage Timelines 00:30:41 – Global South Impacts 00:32:20 – War Incentives Discussion 00:41:40 – Iran, Trump, & Israel 00:46:11 – Base Case Outlook 00:51:56 – Refinery Fire Concerns 00:55:54 – Wrap Up Guest Links: Substack: https://www.commoditycontext.com/ X: https://x.com/Rory_Johnsto

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back legendary investor and speculator Rick Rule to the show. Rick discusses the current commodity landscape, with a particular focus on energy, geopolitical tensions, and investment opportunities. He provides insights into the oil market, highlighting significant supply challenges and potential disruptions. He notes that global underinvestment in sustaining capital, particularly in the energy sector, could lead to substantial price increases in the coming years. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has further complicated the energy market, with potential long-term implications for global supply chains. Regarding commodities, Rule discusses opportunities in helium, fertilizers, and precious metals. He emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking in commodity investments, particularly in the agricultural sector, where demographic shifts will continue to drive demand. On gold, Rule presents a compelling case for holding the metal as a savings instrument, arguing that not holding gold is “irresponsible.” He views gold as a critical asset that maintains purchasing power and provides liquidity during economic uncertainties. Rule provides nuanced perspectives on investment strategies, particularly in natural resource sectors. He highlights the potential in junior mining exploration, noting that while the sector as a whole destroys capital, the top 10% of companies can generate significant value. His approach emphasizes thorough research, patience, and a willingness to hold investments through volatile periods. The discussion also touches on geopolitical risks and investment opportunities in less-explored markets. Rule suggests that Western investors often overestimate political risks in unfamiliar regions and underestimate risks in seemingly stable markets like the US and Canada. Throughout the conversation, Rule demonstrates his characteristic blend of macroeconomic insight, speculative wisdom, and pragmatic investment philosophy. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:00 – Oil Supply Disruptions 00:02:54 – War Impact on Prices 00:04:22 – If War Ends Scenario 00:05:18 – Long-term Underinvestment 00:06:20 – Historical Oil Parallels 00:08:20 – Oil Equities Valuation 00:09:54 – Producer Opportunities Overview 00:17:03 – Other Commodities Disrupted 00:22:58 – Fertilizers and Potash 00:28:50 – Gold’s Portfolio Role 00:33:00 – Gold & Emerg. Selling 00:35:20 – Silver and Miners 00:38:20 – Hated Places 00:40:49 – Precious Metals Miners 00:44:00 – Junior Explorers Value 00:47:10 – Developers 00:49:10 – Wrap Up & Conference Guest Links: X: https://x.com/@realrickrule Website: https://ruleinvestmentmedia.com YouTube:

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Colonel Douglas Macgregor to the show. Douglas is a retired U.S. Army Colonel & Decorated Combat Veteran. In a comprehensive analysis, Macgregor provides a dire assessment of the current geopolitical and economic landscape, focusing on the potential escalation of conflict in the Middle East and its global implications. Macgregor warns of a severe global crisis emerging from ongoing tensions, particularly highlighting the devastating impact on the global energy and fertilizer markets. He explains that approximately 15-20 million barrels of oil have been removed from the market, and 35% of global fertilizer production has been disrupted. This disruption could lead to widespread food shortages, potential famines in the global south, and significant economic challenges for countries worldwide. The discussion centers on the potential for a massive air and missile campaign against Iran, which Macgregor believes could be catastrophically counterproductive. He argues that Iran has substantially rebuilt its military capabilities, with an estimated 45-50,000 drones and 15-20,000 ballistic and cruise missiles, supported by improved air defense systems from China and Russia. Macgregor critically examines the motivations behind the potential conflict, suggesting it stems from Israeli demands and pressure from what he calls the “Zionist billionaire class.” He emphasizes the potential economic consequences, including a possible global recession or depression, disruptions in shipping, and severe energy shortages. The conversation also delves into broader economic implications, including the potential death of the petrodollar, resource nationalism, and the importance of hard assets like gold and silver. Macgregor strongly advises investors to prepare for challenging times by investing in tangible assets and maintaining cash reserves. Ultimately, he calls for rational leadership to prevent a potential humanitarian disaster, warning that the current trajectory could lead to significant global instability and economic upheaval. Macgregor’s analysis presents a stark and sobering view of the current geopolitical and economic landscape. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:38 – Welcoming Colonel McGregor 00:01:02 – Iran War Ceasefire Analysis 00:01:53 – Global Energy Complex Crisis 00:02:36 – Fertilizer Shortage Famine Risk 00:04:35 – Diesel Supply Europe Challenges 00:07:09 – Petrodollar System Collapse 00:09:16 – Trump Israel Iran Demands 00:13:00 – Iranian Defense Blockade Issues 00:15:08 – Upcoming Air Missile Campaign 00:20:09 – Infrastructure Destruction Escalation 00:22:01 – Global Recession Depression Warnings 00:25:13 – Gold Silver Investment Urgency 00:27:49 – Oil Market Reality Discrepancy 00:34:53 – Resource Nationalism Sovereignty Path 00:45:26 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:<

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Dr. Stephen Leeb to the show. Dr. Stephen is Author and Founder of Leeb Capital Management. In this wide-ranging discussion, Leeb provides a comprehensive analysis of the global economic landscape, focusing on commodities, geopolitics, and the potential role of gold in reshaping the international monetary system. Leeb argues that the world is at a critical juncture, with natural gas and gold emerging as key strategic assets. He highlights the United States’ unexpected advantage in liquefied natural gas (LNG) and suggests that cooperation, rather than conflict, is the path forward for global economic stability. The conversation then delves into the declining status of the US dollar and the potential for a gold-backed monetary system, with China and Russia playing significant roles in this potential transition. Stephen emphasizes the critical shortage of fundamental commodities, particularly copper and silver, and the need for sustainable energy solutions. Leeb warns that a shortage of any major critical commodity could lead to severe economic consequences, underlining the importance of international cooperation in resource management. A central theme of the conversation is the potential for gold to serve as a unifying monetary force. Leeb views gold as more than just a commodity, describing it almost as a spiritual bridge between beauty and materiality. He suggests that countries adopting a gold standard have historically performed exceptionally well, and that gold could be instrumental in creating a more cooperative global economic system. Leeb is particularly critical of current geopolitical tensions, especially between the United States, China, and Russia. He advocates for a collaborative approach, arguing that cooperation is the key to addressing global challenges in resource scarcity, technological innovation, and economic development. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:50 – Iran War Economic Impact 00:01:22 – LNG US Strategic Advantage 00:03:41 – Petrodollar System Origins 00:04:45 – Natural Gas Byproducts Value 00:08:47 – End of Petrodollar Era 00:11:21 – Europe’s Economic Crossroads 00:13:41 – Global Cooperation Imperative 00:18:07 – Gold Monetary System Role 00:21:03 – Oil Price Discrepancies Explained 00:24:50 – Market Manipulation Concerns 00:25:52 – China’s Gold Wealth Strategy 00:50:11 – Commodity Supercycle Potential 00:52:04 – Sustainability and Resource Scarcity 00:64:81 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://tti.kartra.com/page/AboutTTI Substack: https://drstephenleebphd.substack.com/ Website: https://www.stephenleeb.com/</a

Stijn Schmitz welcomes David Skarica to the show. David Skarica is Contrarian Investor and the Founder of Profit From Pessimism. In this wide-ranging discussion, Skarica offers insights into current market dynamics, focusing on gold, commodities, and investment strategies. Skarica views the current gold market as part of a long-term macro trend that began in 1999, with potentially another four to six years of growth ahead. He attributes this potential to global debt levels, which have reached unprecedented heights. Central bank buying and potential retail investor interest are additional factors supporting gold’s trajectory. While gold has already seen significant appreciation, Skarica believes we are only in the first or second stage of its bull market in terms of pricing. Regarding mining stocks, Skarica is particularly interested in smaller miners near production or with strong cash flow potential. He sees opportunities in junior mining companies that can potentially increase their market capitalization significantly. His investment approach focuses on finding undervalued companies with asymmetric risk-reward profiles, preferring to make concentrated bets on a handful of carefully selected investments. Stijn also explores energy markets, with Skarica noting potential opportunities in oil, natural gas, and even renewable energy sectors. He suggests that the ongoing geopolitical tensions and increased energy demands from technological developments like AI could support higher energy prices and create investment opportunities. Skarica’s investment philosophy emphasizes contrarian thinking, patience, and seeking value in overlooked or undervalued assets. He warns against over-concentration in any single investment and recommends diversification across sectors and careful position sizing. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:42 – Market Volatility Overview 00:01:49 – Precious Metals Bull Market 00:03:54 – Opportunities in Miners 00:07:48 – Gold as Ultimate Hedge 00:08:47 – Central Bank Buying 00:11:13 – Debasement and Debt 00:16:22 – Bull Cycle Analysis 00:20:29 – Gold Majors Valuation 00:24:14 – Junior Miners Strategy 00:33:54 – Oil Energy Outlook 00:43:13 – LNG Natural Gas Plays 00:50:42 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/DavidSkarica Website: https://profitfrompessimism.com YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/@profitpess David Skarica had an interest in financial markets at an early age. At the age of 16, he read the small booklet “The Plague of the Black Debt”, by James Dale Davidson, which was given to him by his uncle. David was always a sports

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Josef Schachter to the show. Josef is Founder of Schachter Asset Management Inc. The discussion centers on the significant disruptions in the global oil and gas market caused by recent geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. Schachter provides a comprehensive analysis of the current energy landscape, highlighting the potential long-term implications of supply constraints and infrastructure damage. According to Schachter, the conflict has already removed approximately 14 to 16 million barrels of oil from daily production, with strategic petroleum reserves and shadow fleet inventories currently offsetting the supply shock. He anticipates that if the war continues, oil prices could reach $80-$90 per barrel by year-end, with potential risks of prices climbing to $150-$180, which could trigger significant demand destruction. They discuss the broader implications for the energy sector, with Schachter emphasizing that the current environment presents attractive opportunities for investors. He recommends focusing on companies with large reserve life indices, low operating costs, and attractive valuations. Specifically, he highlights Canadian energy companies in natural gas and oil sands sectors as promising investments. Schachter notes that the energy landscape has fundamentally changed since March 1st, with companies now needing to focus on growth strategies. He believes the sector is still in early stages, comparing it to being on the fourth hole of a golf course, with significant potential for future development. Companies with strong balance sheets and the ability to capitalize on higher commodity prices will be best positioned. The conversation also touches on potential demand impacts, with Schachter suggesting that prices above $150-$180 per barrel could trigger severe economic consequences, potentially leading to demand reduction that would stabilize prices. He recommends investors carefully evaluate energy companies, looking at metrics like finding and development costs, operating efficiency, and management’s equity stake. Ultimately, Schachter believes the energy sector offers significant long-term investment potential, particularly for those willing to be patient and strategic in their approach. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:05 – Long-Term Conflict Implications 00:04:04 – Geopolitical Risks and Escalation 00:05:09 – Oil Price Dynamics Forecast 00:08:18 – Futures Curve Analysis 00:10:18 – Supply Shortage Timeline 00:11:24 – Energy Sector Investments 00:13:19 – Infrastructure Damage Assessment 00:16:35 – US Geopolitical Oil Strategy 00:18:14 – Historical Price Parallels 00:21:29 – Stock Valuation Opportunities 00:25:13 – Iran War Possibilities 00:29:20 – Attractive Oil Gas Picks 00:32:38 – Canadian Oil & Gas 00:35:41 – Oil & Gas Producers 00:40:32 – Assessing Companies<

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Lobo Tiggre to the show. Lobo Tiggre is the founder of the Independent Speculator. The discussion explores the current state of commodities markets, with a particular focus on precious metals, energy, and geopolitical dynamics. Tiggre provides a nuanced perspective on the gold market, emphasizing that despite recent volatility, the long-term outlook remains positive. He argues that gold trading around $4,500-$4,700 is still a strong position, and the current correction should be viewed with perspective. The fundamental drivers for gold remain intact, including de-dollarization trends and global economic uncertainties. Regarding silver and platinum group metals, Tiggre believes they will not be left behind in the broader precious metals rally. He notes that silver is particularly volatile and can present unique buying opportunities during market corrections. For uranium and copper, he maintains a strongly bullish long-term outlook, viewing them as critical energy metals with structural supply constraints. The conversation delves into the geopolitical landscape, with Tiggre discussing how current global tensions are accelerating trends like de-dollarization and creating potential opportunities in various commodity markets. He emphasizes the importance of disciplined investing, advocating for a “buy low, sell high” approach and maintaining cash reserves to capitalize on market corrections. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:05 – Market Volatility Discussion 00:04:14 – Gold Bull Market Fundamentals 00:06:59 – War’s Impact on Gold 00:09:30 – US Dollar Reserve Status 00:12:37 – Oil Market Complacency 00:20:14 – Disrupted Commodities Overview 00:21:16 – Silver Supply and Demand 00:27:02 – Gold Miners Risk Reward 00:32:45 – Copper Long-Term Outlook 00:38:32 – Nickel and Coal Thesis 00:41:09 – Uranium Investment Opportunities 00:45:59 – Wrap Up Guest Links: Website: https://independentspeculator.com X: https://x.com/duediligenceguy Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/louis.james.965580/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lobotiggre/ Lobo Tiggre, aka Louis James, is the founder and CEO of Louis James LLC, and the principal analyst and editor of IndependentSpeculator.com. He researched and recommended speculative opportunities in Casey Research publications from 2004 to 2018, writing under the name “Louis James.” While with Casey Research, he learned the ins and outs of resource speculation from the legendary speculator Doug Casey. Although frequently mist

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back John Feneck to the show. John is CEO of the Feneck Consulting Group. In this in-depth discussion, Feneck shares insights into critical minerals, defense metals, and investment opportunities across various sectors. John is particularly bullish on tungsten, highlighting that China currently produces about 81% of the world’s tungsten supply, creating significant potential for Western mining companies. Feneck specifically recommends two companies as promising tungsten-focused investments. He notes the critical mineral space is receiving substantial government attention, with the US dedicating $112 billion to support critical mineral development. The geopolitical landscape, particularly tensions with China and ongoing conflicts, further underscore the importance of diversifying mineral supply chains. In the silver market, Feneck maintains an optimistic outlook. He currently holds an 18% portfolio position in silver and suggests the metal has significant upside potential. Regarding gold, Feneck believes there’s still substantial room for growth. Major banks like JP Morgan, Bank of America, and Goldman Sachs are maintaining forecasts between $5,500 and $6,000, indicating continued confidence in the sector. The discussion also touches on broader market dynamics, including potential sector rotation away from technology and AI stocks. Feneck emphasizes the importance of understanding market volatility and being prepared for potential short-term pullbacks. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:00 – Defense Metals Outlook 00:03:05 – Tungsten Stock Picks 00:06:42 – Tungsten Supply Pricing 00:09:00 – Silver Defense Applications 00:10:30 – Portfolio Performance Highlights 00:12:55 – Silver Premium Dynamics 00:15:00 – Silver Miners Opportunities 00:19:06 – War Black Swan Impact 00:20:31 – Oil Energy Investments 00:22:10 – Oil Related Products 00:23:36 – Rare Earth Elements 00:25:23 – Gold Bull Market Views 00:29:03 – Miner Valuations 00:32:08 – Upcoming Conferences Details 00:34:00 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/feneckconsult YouTube: https://youtube.com/feneckcommoditiesreport LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/feneckcommoditiesreport E-Mail: mailto:[email protected] Website/Newsletter: https://www.feneckconsulting.com/ Conference: https://topshelf-partners.com John Feneck’s upc

Stijn Schmitz welcomes a new guest to the show David Woo. David is a Macro Analyst and Former Wall Street strategist. In this wide-ranging interview, Woo provides insights into the current geopolitical and economic landscape, focusing on the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and its potential implications for global markets. Woo argues that the current war represents the first proxy conflict between the United States and China, with Iran playing a strategic role. He suggests that the conflict’s outcome could significantly impact global dynamics, particularly concerning oil trade and maritime control. Specifically, he highlights the potential for China to resist US control of the Strait of Hormuz, drawing parallels to historical conflicts like Japan’s attack on Pearl Harbor. Regarding gold, Woo offers a nuanced perspective. He explains that gold’s recent performance has been more closely correlated with stock market movements, driven largely by retail investor behavior rather than traditional fundamental drivers like inflation or de-dollarization. While he remains long-term bullish on gold, he believes the metal’s short-term performance is more tied to broader market sentiment. On oil markets, Woo is fundamentally bearish, citing massive global production increases from non-OPEC producers like Ghana, Venezuela, Brazil, and the United States. He anticipates oil prices will eventually collapse, particularly once the current conflict resolves. He also sees potential opportunities in defense-related sectors, believing increased military spending is likely in the conflict’s aftermath. Woo’s analysis extends to broader geopolitical trends, including the potential reshaping of global economic relationships. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:40 – Guest Introduction and Welcome 00:03:30 – Gold’s Correlation with Stocks 00:06:38 – Retail Investors Driving Gold 00:10:54 – De-dollarization and Inflation Trends 00:13:00 – China’s Gold Buying Impact 00:15:17 – Energy Outlook 00:19:22 – Iran Off-Ramp? 00:21:56 – War Outcomes and Military Spending 00:23:00 – Conflict Outcomes 00:25:00 – Hormuz in Dire Straits? 00:27:15 – Proxy War with China 00:30:30 – Petrodollar System Status 00:32:57 – Oil Futures Curve Analysis 00:34:22 – Oil Demand 00:37:30 – Short-Term Approach 00:38:33 – Rare Earth Metals 00:41:00 – His Book and Gold Guest Links: Website: https://davidwoounbound.com X: https://x.com/Davidwoounbound YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DavidWooUnbound Formerly Head of Global Interest Rates and former senior Wall Street strategist, David built his reputation by challe

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Trader Ferg to the show. Trader Ferg is a Full-time Trader & Author of the Trader Ferg Substack. In this wide-ranging discussion, Trader Ferg shares his insights on several critical commodity markets and geopolitical developments, focusing primarily on coal and corn as compelling investment opportunities. Regarding coal, Trader Ferg argues that the conflict in the Red Sea and disruptions to LNG infrastructure have created a structural shift that will drive thermal coal prices higher. He highlights the significant damage to LNG trains and the resulting long-term supply constraints, particularly for European energy markets. With European gas storage at historic lows and alternative supply routes limited, coal becomes an increasingly attractive alternative. Ferg expects thermal coal prices to potentially reach the low $200 per ton range, driven by Asian cooling demands and European energy needs. For corn, Trader Ferg sees significant potential due to fertilizer supply disruptions caused by conflicts in the Red Sea. The timing coincides with critical planting seasons, which could create acute shortages and price volatility. He prefers playing corn through options, citing the attractive volatility and low cost of entry compared to traditional equity plays. The conversation also explores broader macroeconomic trends, including the potential for gold to re-emerge as a settlement currency between nations. Ferg believes we’re witnessing an acceleration of de-dollarization, with countries like Russia exploring gold-based settlement mechanisms with Asian trading partners. On precious metals, Ferg remains bullish, viewing the current pullback as a temporary setback in a longer-term bull market. He anticipates continued inflationary pressures and potential monetary expansion will ultimately support gold and other commodity prices. Throughout the discussion, Trader Ferg emphasizes his investment philosophy of identifying underappreciated, cyclical commodities with structural tailwinds and asymmetric potential for significant price appreciation. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:33 – Welcoming Guest Furgerskullen 00:01:05 – Spotlight on Coal Opportunities 00:02:03 – LNG Supply Disruptions Analysis 00:04:49 – Europe’s Russian Gas Ban 00:09:57 – Thermal Coal Demand Revival 00:17:15 – Fertilizer Shortages Hit Grains 00:23:12 – Precious Metals Bull Market 00:30:31 – Gold as Settlement Currency 00:32:50 – Platinum Group Elements Update 00:38:30 – Oil Market Dynamics Discussion 00:45:16 – Helium Export Vulnerabilities 00:48:40 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Substack: https://traderferg.substack.com/ X: https://x.com/trader_ferg Trader Ferg is a Ful

Stijn Schmitz your host welcomes Gary Wagnar to the show. Gary Wagnar is Executive Producer of TheGoldForecast.com. In this detailed discussion about gold markets, Wagnar provides a comprehensive technical analysis of current gold trading conditions, highlighting significant market movements and potential future trajectories. Currently, gold is experiencing notable volatility, with prices dropping below $5,000 per ounce. Gary emphasizes the importance of the 50-day moving average as a critical technical indicator, noting that breaking below this level suggests a potential pivot from a bullish to a bearish market trend. He attributes the recent price decline primarily to the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain current interest rates, which has dampened gold’s performance. Despite the short-term bearish outlook, Wagnar remains cautiously optimistic about gold’s long-term prospects. He points out that gold has still gained 16% over the past year, which is a significant performance compared to other commodities. The ongoing geopolitical conflicts and potential inflationary pressures from rising oil prices could provide future support for gold prices. Wagnar also discusses his technical analysis approach, particularly his preference for Japanese candlestick charting, which he believes offers superior visual insights into price movements compared to traditional Western bar charts. He uses Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential support and resistance points, currently suggesting that gold could find support around $4,677 if the current downward trend continues. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:45 – Market Volatility Overview 00:01:00 – Compelling Trading Setups 00:01:07 – Gold Technical Breakdown 00:01:43 – Geopolitical Conflict Impacts 00:02:40 – Federal Reserve Influence 00:04:51 – Gold Yearly Performance 00:05:30 – Miners Disparity Analysis 00:10:06 – Bull Market Cycle Position 00:10:15 – Candlestick Chart Techniques 00:27:19 – Long-Term Bull Outlook 00:33:39 – Oil Spike Inflation 00:37:23 – Silver Market Leverage 00:45:44 – Guest Service Details 00:53:36 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://thegoldforecast.com X: https://x.com/TheGoldForecast Gary S. Wagner is the executive producer of TheGoldForecast.com – a daily video newsletter covering precious metals. He has been a technical market analyst for over 35 years. Since 2010 he has been a regular analyst for Kitco News, where he authors daily commentary “Hawaii 6-O”. He has written for Stocks & Commodities Magazine, Futures Magazine, Street, and Barons. He has been a speaker for many financial seminars like Dow Jones Financial Symposium or

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Jeffrey Christian to the show. Jeff is the Managing Partner of the CPM Group. In this comprehensive discussion, Christian provides nuanced insights into the current state of precious metals, global economics, and geopolitical dynamics. Regarding gold, Christian argues that the market is in a long-term secular upward trend, with the current bull market potentially 60-70% through its cycle. He emphasizes that gold serves as a financial asset, a safe haven, and a portfolio diversifier. While acknowledging concerns about global deficits and debt, Christian suggests these issues are not as catastrophic as some analysts claim, pointing out that economic systems have historically adapted to significant financial challenges. The discussion explores broader economic trends, including de-globalization, reduced international trade, and potential decoupling of the world economy from the United States. Christian highlights the complex dynamics of central bank and sovereign wealth fund gold purchases, noting a critical distinction between monetary reserve acquisitions and investment-driven purchases. On silver and other precious metals, Christian describes a more specialized and volatile market compared to gold. He provides detailed insights into market dynamics, including arbitrage opportunities, industrial demand, and regional variations in trading. The conversation also delves into geopolitical risks, particularly the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and its potential implications for oil markets and global trade. Christian warns of potential economic disruptions, suggesting that a combination of factors could lead to a recession, including challenges in private equity, technology sectors, and international trade relationships. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:52 – Gold Long-Term Cycle 00:04:26 – Bull Market Drivers 00:07:46 – De-globalization Effects 00:11:32 – Middle East Conflict 00:15:14 – Gold’s Safe Haven Role 00:20:33 – Retail Investor Participation 00:23:10 – Miners & Gold Disparity 00:24:47 – Silver Market Dynamics 00:28:32 – East Vs. West Prices 00:33:10 – Precious Metals Outlook 00:37:54 – Global Energy Crisis 00:42:08 – Dire Straits 00:43:54 – Supply Chain Concerns 00:48:13 – Recession Precious Metals 00:53:15 – Recession Risk & Liquidity 00:54:14 – CPM Group Overview Guest Links: X: https://x.com/CPMGroupLLC Website: https://www.cpmgroup.com/ Questions E-Mail: mailto:[email protected] YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/CPMGroup/videos Jeffrey Christian is the Managing Partner o

Stijn Schmitz welcomes David Hunter to the show. David Hunter is Chief Macro Strategist with Contrarian Macro Advisors. David provides a comprehensive macro outlook that anticipates a significant market transformation in the coming years. He believes the current market is in the late stages of a 43-year secular bull market, with a potential melt-up phase that could see the S&P 500 reaching 9,500 by mid-year or Labor Day. However, he warns of an impending “bust” that could result in an 80% market decline, potentially worse than the 2008-2009 financial crisis. Hunter’s analysis suggests a complex economic landscape where initial deflationary pressures will give way to potentially hyperinflationary conditions by the early 2030s. He anticipates central banks will be slow to respond to the economic downturn, potentially requiring up to 20 trillion in quantitative easing to stabilize the system. The federal balance sheet could expand from the current 6.5 trillion to as much as 30 trillion. Regarding asset classes, Hunter recommends a strategic approach to capital preservation. He believes the current investment mantra of “time in the market” will be insufficient and investors should consider carefully timing their exit from markets. He expects significant opportunities in commodities and industrial sectors, with potential dramatic price increases in oil, copper, and precious metals. For gold specifically, Hunter forecasts a potential rise to $6,800 this year and potentially $20,000 by the early 2030s. He views gold as a potential hedge against the massive economic restructuring he anticipates. His outlook extends to a potential systemic financial reset between 2033-2035, which he describes as the end of an 80-90 year economic supercycle. Hunter emphasizes that while the coming economic transformation will be challenging, it will also create new investment opportunities, particularly in industrial and commodity sectors. He advises investors to remain flexible and prepared for significant market disruptions. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:45 – Market Volatility Overview 00:02:52 – Melt-Up Scenario Explained 00:05:03 – Interest Rates Outlook 00:08:10 – Inflation and Money Supply 00:10:26 – Bust Phase Predictions 00:11:35 – Asset Performance Melt-Up 00:13:33 – Post-Melt-Up Recession 00:20:37 – Middle East Conflict Impact 00:24:20 – Oil Price Forecasts 00:27:10 – Investment Strategy Advice 00:38:03 – Gold and Commodities Future 00:42:50 – Gold During the Bust 00:44:06 – US Dollar and Gold Role 00:51:01 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/DaveHcontrarian David is Chief Macro Strategist with Contrarian Macro Advisors. He is an investment professional with 25 years of investment management experienc

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Martin Armstrong to the show. Martin Armstrong is CEO & Chairman of Armstrong Economics Ltd. In this wide-ranging interview, Armstrong provides deep insights into global geopolitical and economic dynamics, focusing on current international tensions, monetary systems, and future economic trends. Armstrong argues that the current geopolitical landscape is far more complex than many analysts understand, particularly regarding conflicts in the Middle East and potential global tensions. He emphasizes that the neoconservative movement has significantly influenced US foreign policy, often without fully comprehending the long-term consequences of their actions. He specifically critiques interventions in Iraq, Iran, and other regions, suggesting that these actions frequently create more instability than they resolve. Regarding the global monetary system, Armstrong believes significant changes are coming. He suggests that gold is increasingly being viewed as a neutral asset by countries like China, who are accumulating it as a hedge against potential conflicts. While he doesn’t anticipate a traditional gold standard, he sees gold playing a crucial role in international trade settlements, potentially rising to $10,000 by 2032. Armstrong is particularly critical of current government debt strategies, predicting a potential sovereign debt crisis. He argues that governments historically default through various mechanisms, including war, currency devaluation, or simply refusing to honor previous debt. The United States’ reserve currency status, he explains, stems not just from government policy but from its robust consumer economy and deep financial markets. Looking forward, Armstrong sees continued geopolitical uncertainty, rising oil prices, and potential conflicts, particularly involving Russia and China. He warns that sanctions and current diplomatic strategies are counterproductive and that true global peace requires economic integration rather than isolation. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:05 – Decade-Long Economic Trends 00:02:29 – Neocon Endless Wars 00:03:42 – Sovereign Debt Crisis 00:04:17 – Gold’s Rise Factors 00:04:53 – Forecasting Model History 00:08:51 – Pre-War Capital Flows 00:09:57 – Middle East Religious Risks 00:21:00 – Short-Term Oil Outlook 00:22:57 – Gold’s Geopolitical Role 00:30:46 – US Dollar Future 00:37:28 – Sovereign Default Mechanics 00:44:25 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://armstrongeconomics.com X: https://x.com/strongeconomics Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/martin.armstrong.167 Amazon Book: <a href="https://tinyurl.c

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Douglas MacGregor to the show. Douglas is a retired U.S. Army Colonel and Decorated Combat Veteran. In this in-depth discussion, MacGregor provides a critical analysis of the current geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly focusing on the conflict involving Iran, Israel, and the United States. MacGregor argues that the current military strategy against Iran is fundamentally flawed, with no clear purpose or achievable end state. He suggests that the United States and Israel are attempting to destabilize Iran, but this approach is unlikely to succeed. The colonel emphasizes that Iran’s primary goal is simply to survive, while the U.S. would need to completely conquer the nation – an impossible task given Iran’s size and resilience. The conversation delves into the broader economic implications of the conflict, particularly its impact on global oil markets and supply chains. MacGregor predicts significant economic disruption, with oil prices potentially exceeding $100 per barrel and widespread increases in commodity prices. He highlights the critical importance of resource sovereignty, emphasizing the need for nations to control their fuel, food, fertilizer, and defense supply chains. A key theme of the discussion is the potential acceleration of de-dollarization and the emergence of a new global financial system. MacGregor suggests that the United States and Israel are essentially “fighting against the future” by resisting these inevitable economic shifts. He points to the growing influence of BRICS nations and the increasing interest in alternative currency systems, potentially backed by gold or a basket of precious metals. MacGregor concludes with a stark warning about the destructive nature of current geopolitical strategies, arguing that these “pointless wars” are counterproductive and potentially catastrophic. He calls for more measured, strategic approaches to international relations and economic development, emphasizing the need for stability, long-term planning, and cooperation between governments and private sectors. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:56 – Middle East Assessment 00:01:32 – Strategic Goals Discussion 00:02:55 – Oil Dependency Impacts 00:04:52 – Global Economic Shutdown 00:07:28 – Logistics and Escalation 00:09:01 – Lack of Planning 00:11:32 – Israel’s Internal Problems 00:13:00 – Oil Markets Analysis 00:16:16 – Conflict Motivations Explored 00:20:05 – Emerging Alliances Support 00:26:27 – Reshoring Supply Chains 00:39:12 – Gold Currency Future 00:42:04 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://douglasmacgregor.com X: https://x.com/DougAMacgregor YouTube: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@do