On The Market

Zillow is seeing “signs of life” emerging in the housing market. Strong demand, days pending hitting pre-pandemic levels, and serious cash flow in specific markets. How long will this last, and what happens when new construction completions fall off a cliff in the near future? Will rents and home prices reverse, going from stable (and even falling) to rising as demand outpaces supply even more? Orphe Divounguy, Zillow Senior Economist, is back to share the most up-to-date housing market data. Orphe brings good news—sales are increasing, demand is surprisingly strong, and a recovery (albeit fragile) for the housing market is underway. Some markets are seeing a drastic increase in sales; others are seeing almost unbelievably strong cash flow (Orphe is talking $1,000/month), so which markets are which? Finally, how long will this last? We keep talking about buyers getting discounts off of list price or serious seller concessions, but are we months or years away from this ending? With multifamily supply about to see a serious dropoff, the demand for housing (and rentals) could get even higher. Orphe breaks it all down! In This Episode We Cover The housing markets currently seeing strong cash flow even at list price (up to $1,000/month cash flow!) Markets with the most home sales and why they’re beating many other major metros Why rent and home prices could “firm” up once this happens in the housing market No escaping this housing supply shortage? The reason why flat/declining population won’t crash housing Sellers: How to price your home to get the highest (and quickest) sale (do not overprice) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 433 - New Data: U.S. Home Prices Are Hitting Their Floor Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Learn More from Orphe’s Team Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-443⁠. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

You won’t believe why mortgage rates are going back up. It’s not because of the war, it’s not because of gas prices, and it’s not because of the Federal Reserve. Something nobody is talking about is playing a much bigger role in mortgage rates than most Americans think. It’s making big corporations richer while the average American continues to struggle to buy a home. What is the hidden factor nobody’s talking about? Today, Dave is getting into it, unpacking not only the real reason why mortgage rates are heading back toward 7%, but the loaded week of housing market news. First, we’ll touch on mortgage rates and the two reasons why they’re shooting back up even after a surprisingly positive inflation report. Then, the historic housing bill that successfully became law and what it really says in the fine print (is Wall Street actually banned?). Finally, why rising student loan delinquencies could mean more renter demand and fewer home sales for millions of Americans. In This Episode We Cover The real reason why mortgage rates are going up even if inflation readings are falling What’s actually in the historic 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act? Wall Street’s “ban” on buying houses and what the fine print says Cracks forming in student loan repayments and how it could trickle down to housing (more renter demand?) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE <a href="h

The first half of the 2026 housing market is over, and now it’s time to answer the question everyone wants to know: What’s next? Will the market slow down even more and bring lower prices for patient buyers, or will a (surprisingly) resilient US economy finally give buyers what they’re looking for? We’re split. We’re disagreeing. And today, we’re giving our updated 2026 housing market predictions. A long, slow, painful housing market could be in store for some, while a “booming” environment could be coming for others—which one will it be for you? We’re breaking it down, based on your exact market, property type, and whether you’re buying, selling, or holding and waiting.  One type of property James is warning you to actively avoid; Kathy is saying certain markets will bring huge benefits to those who buy in them early; and Dave sees bad signs for the American consumer, which could spill even more into the housing market.  Get ahead of the housing market—these are our H2 2026 housing market predictions.  In This Episode We Cover Why an even slower, more painful market could be in store for 2026 sellers  The passive income play that Dave is doubling down on as rentals suffer  Flipping a house? What James warns you to do so you don’t lose money on your sale  The rental markets Kathy is currently eyeing to get deals before prices pop  Sobering signs that American consumers are still far from ready to buy  And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <a href="http

Workers Are Feeling the AI Squeeze: How It Could Define the Next Housing CyclePodcast Description If you ask the average American, AI is taking over, as are the headlines warning that it’s coming for our jobs. Open LinkedIn, and you’ll see stories about chatbots replacing employees, hiring freezes, and departments being downsized. But when you dig into the actual data, it’s murky at best. So, what’s really happening, and how should real estate investors prepare?   On one hand, unemployment remains relatively low, and layoffs aren’t surging across the U.S.—not yet at least. In fact, many economists are still projecting positive job growth in the short term. On the other hand, you have growing concerns among what seems like most American workers. Fear about job displacement. Career uncertainty. The pressure to stay employable.   Then there’s the trickle-down impact on the housing market. Rising unemployment affects the biggest renter demographic in the nation. Do real estate investors need to temper expectations for rental demand and rent growth for the foreseeable future? Does “conservative” investment analysis need to go to another level? We’re breaking it all down, plus much more, on today’s show. In This Episode We Cover What to make of “murky” data surrounding AI’s impact on the U.S. job market  Why Americans are becoming increasingly worried about AI-caused layoffs (despite “positive” forecasting) Two ways that widespread adoption of AI could affect the housing market Why real estate investors should prepare for lower rental demand and rent growth Which <a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/guides/real-estate-marke

We’ve officially reached the halfway point of 2026, and the housing market still feels…stuck.   The economy is in limbo. Home prices haven’t tanked. And we aren’t seeing significant large multifamily distress...not yet at least. Is it just a matter of time before the other shoe finally drops, or is this market more resilient than we expected?   Brian Burke is back to give his pulse check on the 2026 housing market. What has changed? Has anything changed?   We’re breaking down some of the predictions we made earlier in the year, the biggest surprises from the last six months, and how we’re adjusting our expectations for 2027 and beyond.   The truth is, this “boring” market is exactly the kind of environment that has made disciplined real estate investors very wealthy. Residential real estate values are holding steady, and commercial real estate could be set up for a 10-year bull run.   So, is it a better time to buy than the headlines suggest—or will those holding out for a 2008-style housing crash be proven right? In This Episode We Cover Brian Burke’s mid-year pulse check on the 2026 housing market The 10-year commercial real estate bull run that could kick off in 2028 How to create long-term wealth with “smart” portfolio construction Why we haven’t seen significant large multifamily distress (yet) The three “types” of real estate syndication failure (and why they matter) And

We’ve all seen the data. Home prices are falling but remain relatively “flat,” year over year.   There’s just one problem: the data is lying.   We’re in a full-blown buyer’s market now, and what investors are actually paying for homes is much less than most people realize.   Behind the scenes, buyers are negotiating thousands—even tens of thousands—of dollars in seller concessions that never show up in home sales data. Closing costs. Interest rate buydowns. Repair credits. Even cash.   These concessions are quietly driving the real cost of homes much lower than the numbers suggest. In fact, nearly half of all home sales now include some kind of seller concession, and that’s on top of the price drops we’re seeing in many markets.   How much are investors really saving? The amount is often capped based on the deal and the loan. But even these concession limits have workarounds.   If you use this two-pronged strategy for negotiating asking price and concessions, you’ll have a clear path to saving 3%, 5%, or maybe even upward of 10% on your next deal. This is the kind of advantage that can make the numbers work, even in the toughest of markets. In This Episode We Cover Why the median home sale price isn’t what investors are actually paying in 2026 How to negotiate massive discounts on properties in most markets Two ways to get around the seller concession limits for investors The markets with the highest percentage of home sales with seller concessions A “balanced” strategy for scoring a lower purchase price and seller concessions And So Much More! Links from the Show <a href="https://www.fundrise

You’ve seen the headlines. The housing market is stuck. Distress is rising. But if you dig beneath the surface, the actual data tells a different story. The market isn’t in freefall, and in many places, there’s more “stability” than most people think. And small investors are quietly taking the lead.   This week’s stories all point the same way. Inventory is essentially “flat,” up just 0.25% year over year. Luxury supply is rising, but homes floating around the median home price—the kind “mom-and-pop” investors like you and I are buying—remain tight. Meanwhile, the percentage of home sales to investors is climbing, with the dial gradually swinging toward the “small” investor.   And then there’s what’s happening in Washington. On Wednesday, President Trump canceled the signing of the biggest housing bill in decades. For now, we’ll have to wait a little longer until it becomes law. But if (or when) it gets passed, how will it actually impact the housing market? Are its benefits for the average American being overstated, or is this the supply-side reform we’ve been waiting for? In This Episode We Cover Why the 2026 housing market is more “stable” than most investors think Where “small” investors are taking a larger share of recent home sales What comes next after President Trump canceled the signing of the new housing bill How the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act will affect the market (if or when it’s passed) The two types of markets where inventory is either rising up or trending down And So Much More! Links from the Show Baselane: Automate your rental cash flow for a chance to win $10K plus BiggerPockets Pro members get a free upgrade to Baselane Smart. Sign up now Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter<

The peace deal between the U.S. and Iran has been agreed to (at least for now). The Strait of Hormuz, the chokehold on 20% of the world’s oil, is starting to open back up, and trade can, at least temporarily, continue. The question is, will inflation begin to fall if oil flows (more) freely through the Middle East? And if inflation falls, could mortgage rates be right behind them? Today, we’re talking about what could actually happen from here on out. We’ve seen a lot of opinions recently saying this deal could boost the economy and the housing market, or bring mortgage rates back down to earth. The question is, will any of that actually happen? As real estate investors, knowing what’s coming down the pipeline can give you a huge advantage, but believing the wrong narrative can cost you. So today, I’m giving you my honest, data-backed take on what happens next. Will inflation and mortgage rates retreat? When could we begin to see the effects of the open Strait? Will the housing market bounce back as the supply chain heals? And what should a real estate investor be on the lookout for before the changes hit our economy? In This Episode We Cover What really happens to mortgage rates when oil begins to flow and inflationary pressures ease? Why economists are saying we could be “warm for a while” in this economy Does Dave think rates will fall below 6% any time in 2026 (and if not, where will they be)? The two things that could lead us to lower mortgage rates (one is good, one is…not) The real effects the housing market will feel once the Strait is fully opened again And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Esta

The new Federal Reserve Chair is already making news, signaling a major change to rates—and not in the way Americans were hoping for. With inflation up, the Fed has eyed raising, not cutting, the Federal Funds rate, all while changing key language on price stability at its most recent meeting. The question is, will they do it, or is this simply a bluff to stop the market from getting out of control? We’re back to break down this week’s top housing market headlines, from the Fed’s recent meeting to a surprising comeback in a few markets most believed were dead, and the massive HELOC pull that is taking billions more out of the housing market and into owners' hands. First, we’re touching on the Fed. Will they really raise rates by this fall, defying the exact hopes of President Trump, or is this just a bluff to cool an already hot economy? Why is office, of all things, seeing a major comeback, and why are America’s most divisive housing markets leading the charge? Finally, homeowners pull out a massive $47B (with a b) in home equity. Is this a cry for help from struggling homeowners? We’re getting into it all!  In This Episode We Cover The Fed’s latest announcement on inflation, rate movements, and their next moves What investors are doing now before rate hikes make their way back One commercial real estate asset class seeing a surprising comeback Is America’s boom-then-bust market (Austin, Texas) finally seeing its turnaround? $47B in eq

Wall Street is quietly monopolizing the housing market—and we’re not talking about them buying homes. It’s something more far-reaching, something that will affect every investor in every market on every single deal.  Your local HVAC, pest control, drywall, and plumbing companies are seemingly raising prices in tandem, and each year it gets more expensive. Your material costs are jumping, sometimes 100% higher than they were just a few years ago, and every single brand seems to be owned by the same parent company. Now, your real estate agent is telling you that you’re unable to view listings from another brokerage. Slowly, piece by piece, you’re being locked or priced out of the housing market, or you’re paying exorbitant amounts of money just to stay in the game. Why? Two words—corporate consolidation—the final play from Wall Street to make as much money as possible on every single thing you do for your home and real estate portfolio.  There are only a few ways to escape it. Today, I’m explaining how.  In This Episode We Cover The “corporate consolidation” machine gobbling up small businesses and raising prices on everything Why your material costs are rising so much more than the inflation rate The brokerage that’s trying to lock you out of the market unless you work with them How the American housing market became a corporate profit playground Three things you can do today to keep your costs down and stay in the loop on real estate deals And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <a href="https://biggerpock

This is exactly what we’re buying, selling, and trading in Summer 2026. It’s a strange time for real estate—multifamily prices are crashing hard, single-family is staying stable, rents aren’t moving much, mortgage rates are back up—what do you do? Today, we’re sharing exactly what we’re doing with our real estate portfolios to make the most of a market many are too scared to buy (or sell) in. The not-so-obvious news—a couple of us are actively selling rentals. Why? Because deals are getting almost irresistible in one sector of the market. Prices are crashing hard, sellers have almost no negotiating power, and you can pick up profitable, cash-flowing properties for a fraction of what they were worth just a couple of years ago. The best part? Most investors are completely skipping over these deals. For those looking to make money a little quicker, Henry and James are sharing the flip criteria that’s helping them make even more cash with less effort and way less risk in 2026. Want proof? Henry is making $70,000 on a deal he barely had to even sweep out to get ready to sell. If you’re looking for lower-risk, lower-expense returns, this may be exactly what to do this season.  In This Episode We Cover How to take advantage of the multifamily crash without buying 100+ unit properties We’re selling our rentals! Here’s what we’re doing with the money The quick house flip that is making Henry a killer return with a tiny renovation budget How Kathy picked up a massively discounted deal on a medium-sized multifamily Why buying “portfolios” of properties could be the cheat code for scaling at a much better per-unit price And So Muc

Did home prices just hit their floor? New demand data is showing something no one expected—buyers coming back. If the supply-demand balance hits equilibrium, we could see the national housing market begin to settle at prices like these. One thing that could change all that? Mortgage rates—and with a potential peace deal on the table between the U.S. and Iran, we could finally get some relief. A lot of housing market news hit over the past week, and we’re getting into all of it. If you’ve been waiting for the market to thaw, this could be a sign it’s starting. Demand for home purchases is rising, even though news outlets are telling you otherwise. What does that mean for buyers? We could be at the bottom for home prices—and we have proof. Will a peace deal in the Middle East bring mortgages back down to the 6% (or sub-6%) range? It’s looking possible. We’ll get into exactly what could happen if a peace deal is struck soon or if the war drags on longer. The consequences could be massive for the housing market, inflation, and the economy. But one thing you can be sure of? A certain type of real estate is seeing massive pressure to sell at a discount—every investor should be looking at these properties. In This Episode We Cover What happens to mortgage rates if a peace deal with Iran is finally struck? The one type of residential rental property seeing unparalleled discounts (and incentives) Signs that we have hit the floor for national home prices (crash chances are dwindling) A very positive sign for the real estate industry as buyers come back to the market The one thing that could cause rate hikes and spiking interest rates in the near future And So Much More! <stron

The next global recession is a lot closer than many Americans think. We’ve been (fairly) insulated from supply chain shocks stemming from the War in Iran, but within the next few months, things will begin to break. Oil reserves could run dry, energy costs could spike, and a new age of inflation could hit Americans in a way many of us are not prepared for.  In other words: We’re a bit screwed…at least temporarily. The question is, how long do we have?  There’s no one else but J Scott that we’d invite on to answer this question. J, aside from being one of the most principled real estate investors over the last two decades, is a student of the global economy, arguably more up to date on inflation, energy prices, and the effects to come than anyone else we know.  J recently mentioned on a podcast that “we’re screwed”...just using a bit harsher language. Today, we’re asking “why?” and going over the delayed economic shocks that could be hitting us soon, the domino effect of ships being stalled at the Strait of Hormuz, whether or not this will impact the U.S. housing market, and what J is doing to protect himself right now.  In This Episode We Cover Why we may be closer to a global recession than most Americans think What happens when the U.S. depletes its emergency oil reserves? What’s truly causing inflation more than supply-strained commodities How the housing market (home prices) will be affected if we slip into a recession The countdown until the oil crisis begins to hit Americans…hard And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <a href="https

The “engine” of the U.S. economy is starting to crack—and real estate is already feeling the effects. Just last week, we touched on the hidden “recession” affecting many Americans. Today, we’ve got even more data to back up that analysis. Americans are at a breaking point, and the long-term trends are not looking good for spending, GDP, the economy, and real estate. If you feel economic strain, you’re not alone. We just hit a level of low confidence that hasn’t been seen in 70 years. So, how is the economy still growing? How is GDP still rising? Why haven’t we seen a traditional recession with high unemployment, stock market declines, and a pause in consumer spending? It’s not a question of “why not,” but “when will it happen?” If you invest in real estate, this will affect you. Home prices, rent prices, and activity in your local market will change. Dave is sharing the markets where investors are quickly leaving, the others seeing the most money pour in, the property types that still make sense in this market, and what to prepare for so your rentals weather any economic storm.  In This Episode We Cover New economic data showing just how worried the average American is about the economy How consumer confidence problems can quickly seep into the housing market What to do now to start preparing your rentals for a slow season ahead The reasons why the average American is struggling so much in 2026 How is GDP still growing when consumer confidence is so low? What (and where) investors are buying in 2026 (property types, markets, etc.) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <p

Home listing prices have been falling for weeks, and it’s not just sellers who are getting fed up. Real estate agents have finally decided to call it quits, with many reaching their breaking point and leaving the industry altogether. But a glimmer of hope is on the horizon for the market, as one of the biggest housing bills in years just passed the House of Representatives. Could this get us back on the right track? Welcome back to this week’s headlines episode. If you thought the deals couldn’t get any better…well, it’s your lucky day (or weeks). Home listing prices have now fallen consecutively for over a dozen weeks. Buyers aren’t buying what sellers are selling, and the deals are getting sweeter. If you’re a seller, we have some crucial tips your average agent won’t tell you to start a bidding war on your property, even during a slow market. Agents have finally decided to step away from the industry altogether, but a new housing bill could spark some life back into the housing market—this is good news for buyers! Finally, we’re going over the states with the lowest property tax bills—but are any of them worth investing in? In This Episode We Cover Huge changes coming to the housing market? A monumental housing bill that’s making its way to the President’s desk Are these sellers serious? Why listing prices are falling nationwide for weeks on end The great real estate agent exodus (and why good agents are sticking around) The states with the lowest property tax bills (and how to ensure yours won’t jump) James’s undeniable loathing of the Seattle, Washington permitting department And So Much More! Links from the Show <a href="https://www.fundrise.com/bpm

Every recession, crash, and major change in the real estate market has its warning signs. And while most people think these can only be seen in hindsight, we have “stress tests” today that signal corrections, crashes, or rising prices to come. These tests not only test the housing market, but also the economy as a whole, to tell us whether we’re going to spiral down for years or stay afloat. Today, we’re looking at one of the greatest “stress tests” of the housing market—credit. The “canary in the coalmine” of real estate is forced selling. Once this begins, the domino effect can easily get out of control. When sellers can’t pay their bills, and are forced to sell, a race to the bottom is almost inevitable—and there’s one part of the real estate market where this exact scenario is ramping up—fast. In today’s show, we’re detailing the assets and regions most at risk, comparing 2026’s economy to 2008/2009 to see where we stand, going over foreclosure and delinquency numbers, and touching on the newest (concerning) consumer debt numbers quickly starting to rise—will the spillover put the housing market in danger?  In This Episode We Cover Our latest “credit stress” report and who is (and isn’t) paying their mortgages 2008 vs. 2026 housing market stats: foreclosures, delinquencies, and more Forced selling has already begun for one (formerly profitable) type of real estate The corner of the housing market seeing double-digit delinquency rates in 2026 Newest consumer debt numbers and why they should concern many Americans And So Much More! Links from the Show <a href="https://www.fundrise.com/bpmark

More and more Americans are feeling confused about the housing market. Home prices are coming down, and mortgage rates are jumping back up. One day, everyone wants one type of property; the next, it’s being sold at a discount. If you get stuck in the herd mentality, you’ll miss what’s right in front of your eyes—profitable real estate deals 99% of investors are passing over. Don’t believe us? Today, the most active investor we know, James Dainard, is sharing how he’s scoring a 95% projected return real estate deal, found in May 2026 (that’s right!). James does more deals than anyone we know, making him the perfect person to give his take on how to win in this housing market. In James’s view, investors are overlooking many solid real estate deals—and this is where the real money is made. But how do you find opportunities when the market changes every few weeks? James breaks down exactly what he does to find the hidden gems that turn into outsized returns—including one with a huge potential payoff.  In This Episode We Cover How to find real estate deals even in a quickly changing housing market Buy what others ignore: the profitable properties most investors are sleeping on Ask your real estate agent/broker THIS to spot the hidden gems in your market How James turned a sub-par renovation project into a 95% projected return house flip The vendors you need to get in contact with now to be ready to strike And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference Oct

The 2026 recession is here. You feel it. I feel it. GDP is growing, but the cost of living is rising, affordability is at a multi-decade low, and consumer sentiment is at its lowest level in 70 years. The stock market is ripping, but Americans are struggling daily. Economists will tell you it’s not a recession (at least not yet), but according to my recession indicator…we’re there.  Last November, I created a new recession indicator. It wasn’t tied to GDP, asset values, or sentiment. It was tied to the average American struggling to get by. As of last week, this recession indicator threw up a strong yellow flag, signaling that we’ve reached a turning point—and the direction we’re going isn’t giving us much hope. This will affect the housing market and rent prices for real estate investors. I give my full forecast on how this could affect the market, but also share exactly what I’m doing right now to put myself in the best position to weather the storm and, hopefully, pick up discounted deals as they come along.  Well-situated investors can survive this, but those that are already running their portfolios with little wiggle room might be in for a big surprise.  In This Episode We Cover The recession indicator that got triggered just last week (and what it means for the economy) My new definition of “recession” and why we must rethink what a “recession” even is How this new recession could hurt the housing market and investors What I’m doing right now to prepare for the recession and put my portfolio in a strong position A concerning data point about the affordability of average Americans (this includes renters) And So Muc

Just when we thought it was handled, inflation is starting to surge back—and mortgage rates are already adjusting fast. But, for real estate investors, there’s a silver lining. Some markets are seeing rising rents and lower home prices, making it an ideal buying scenario for investors if they can hang on to the property during these high-rate times. It’s been a wild week in the housing market, and we’re unpacking everything in this headline episode.  First, we’ll talk about the new inflation numbers. You probably already know they’re not great, but could they force the Fed to resume raising rates? We have a…lively…discussion about it. Next, investors lose millions of dollars in the newest real estate “scam” run by a trusted community member. This isn’t something new, so we’re sharing the exact steps you should take before ever wiring someone money for a real estate deal. Big buyers gain ground on a new housing bill as an amended version drops language many investors had considered a lock. Finally, we’re going over the cities with the fastest rising (and falling) rent prices in 2026—and which markets are seeing the perfect storm of rising rents and declining home prices.  In This Episode We Cover Inflation surges, but what effect will it have on mortgage rates? The cities that saw the highest rent increases in 2026 (and where rents are falling) The newest passive investing “scam” that’s costing real estate investors millions Big buyers aren’t getting banned? A new update to the latest housing bill The argument for the Fed reversing course and raising rates once again And So Much More! Links from the Show J

New 2026 housing market forecasts have changed…dramatically. A major downgrade for home sales from NAR, a home price forecast revision from Zillow, and a new mortgage rate range from Fannie Mae. The industry is quickly growing much more anxious. At the start of the year, the consensus was for modest price growth, lower mortgage rates, and improved home sale numbers—that’s not where we’re at right now. Between inflation fears resurfacing, interest rates climbing again, and major geopolitical earthquakes, just months into the year, real estate forecasters are changing course. Today, we’re going through all the top forecasts for home prices, mortgage rates, and home sales from Fannie Mae, JP Morgan, NAR, and Zillow.  But what about Dave’s 2026 forecast? How has it held up through wars, oil price spikes, and a changing Federal Reserve? Dave reviews his exact 2026 housing market forecast and whether he would change it now. In This Episode We Cover Updated home sales, home price, and mortgage rate predictions from major players in real estate Zillow’s latest home price downgrade and why we’re inching toward falling home values NAR slashes their home sales forecast significantly, but what do they say it’ll do to prices? Housing crash consensus? What major forecasters and economists are saying about the chances Reviewing Dave’s 2026 housing market forecast and whether he’s changing it in this new economic climate And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE <a href="https://biggerpockets.com/b

One type of investment property is experiencing severe undersupply with a 20-year demographic tailwind on the way. Demand is growing, new supply isn’t even hitting a quarter of the need, and investors are writing off much of this industry as already past its peak. Is this a strategic opportunity to invest in an asset so obvious it’s been overlooked?  Of course, we’re talking about senior living investments.  Jerry Vinci, founder of CCR Growth, growth partners in senior housing, saw firsthand why investing in senior living is so crucial. Jerry watched all four of his grandparents move into senior living and witnessed the chaos, stress, and struggle of navigating such a crucial time in their lives.  Now, Jerry works to help underwrite and optimize senior living facilities, and as an industry insider, he’s seeing a change. Demand is growing…fast. Even the youngest boomers are turning 65 in 2030, and the pipeline of 80+ year olds needing housing is starting to reach a bottleneck. Today, we’re talking about the wave of demand coming (and expected to sustain for two more decades), how investors can get started if they have no experience, the questions to ask before investing in a senior living facility, and why in senior living your market is more crucial than traditional real estate investing.  In This Episode We Cover The “20-year cycle” that could funnel millions more Baby Boomers into senior housing Who should be investing in small senior housing properties (5-10 residents) The different types of senior living investments (from independent living to memory care and more) Ask these questions to any operator you may be investing with The massive supply bottleneck that cannot keep pace with senior living demand And So Much More! Links from the Show <a href="https://ww

The national debt just hit a dangerous new milestone, surpassing GDP—and the last time this happened, we just ended a world war. You already know the U.S. is heavily in debt—most Americans do—but nobody is asking the right question: at what point does this spiral out of control and force something in the economy to break?  Today, Dave is unpacking the next steps and the scenarios that could unfold once our debt reaches a point where our options to solve this become dangerous. And the effects could be massive for real estate investors, unless they begin preparing themselves now. First, we’ll go over how we even got here, what makes up the majority of our national debt, and what we can cut to end this out-of-control spending. Next, the two scenarios, one of which could put real estate investors in a dangerous position. Dave is preparing, starting now, even if the worst effects don’t hit for years.  With no sign of either political party meaningfully lowering the debt, this isn’t a matter of “if” real estate is affected, but when.  In This Episode We Cover The dangerous new milestone our national debt has just hit (can we reverse course?) What real estate investors need to start doing now to protect their future selves Why mortgage rates could “spiral” up as the U.S. looks for a solution to pay off debt  Who’s to blame? Which administrations caused the debt to grow Where 75% of our tax revenue is going (why the debt keeps rising) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the Big

U.S. home prices have officially turned negative. For many months, sellers have resisted adjusting to current market conditions—until now. This could bring short-term pain for flippers and sellers, but overall, it’s a step in the right direction for a housing market that desperately needs prices to soften before it can become unstuck.   We’re back with more headlines from last week, including new data that suggests foreclosures are quietly approaching pre-pandemic levels. Inflation remains high, and affordability continues to be an issue, but how close are we to seeing serious distress?   On the topic of affordability, home builders are no longer being held to the 2021 International Energy Conservation Code, meaning new construction homes could become available at an even more affordable price point in the future. Meanwhile, wages are up. Despite rent growth remaining relatively flat, renters have more breathing room, which is ultimately a good sign for the overall health of the housing market, as well as for investors who want more predictable rental income. In This Episode We Cover Sellers are finally backing down as national home prices turn negative New investing opportunities from rising foreclosures and bank-owned homes Why new construction could become even more affordable in the future Home builders get a big break as energy-efficiency standards are rolled back Why higher wages are a big win for investors, despite stagnant rent prices And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com

We’ve got new data on the Spring housing market, and it’s…well, complicated.   The monthly data shows more of the same: a sluggish housing market with negative home price growth.   But zoom in, and the weekly data tells a different story. Pending sales and mortgage applications are ticking higher, and we’ve just crossed into what could be the strongest buyer’s market we’ve seen in years, with sellers outnumbering buyers in 38 of the 49 largest major metro areas. This can only mean two things: deals are getting better, and investors have more negotiating power than they’ve had in a while.   As for whether a Spring homebuying season is taking shape, it depends on who you ask. Tensions in the Middle East, surging inflation, and housing affordability challenges are keeping many would-be homebuyers in limbo.   But investors who have the means to buy, are actively looking in strong buyer’s markets, and are analyzing deals conservatively are seeing a new window of opportunity.   The question is, how long will that window stay open? In This Episode We Cover Why real estate deals are getting better, despite a sluggish housing market What “positive” weekly data means for the potential of a Spring homebuying season How tensions in the Middle East and rising inflation numbers could affect housing How investors can take advantage as the U.S. flips to a strong buyer’s market What happens to mortgage rates once new Fed chair Kevin Warsh is confirmed And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPocket

Buyers are waiting out the market, mortgage rates are rising again, and the economy seems as unstable as ever. So why are house flippers feeling bullish about investing in 2026? A new report has surfaced showing an overwhelmingly optimistic view of flipping houses, with active flippers registering stronger bullish signals than in previous months.  The question is: what are house flippers seeing in the market that we aren’t? To answer, our resident house flipping expert, James Dainard, is on to share what he’s seeing in his market, the actual profits he’s making on flips in 2026, how he’s saved bad deals and turned them into 90% profit margins (yep), and the things that will kill your returns when flipping a house in 2026. James is still making solid margins on his house flips, and he has strong opinions about why these flippers are feeling so optimistic.  Plus, if you’re thinking of flipping your first house in 2026 or getting back into the game, James shares some critical advice to help you keep your costs low and make a profit even if your flip turns into a flop. In This Episode We Cover Actual profit margins that house flippers are making in 2026 How James turned a deal gone bad into a 90% return, even in a tough market A new survey showing very surprising sentiment among U.S. house flippers What James is doing right now to make higher margins with fewer flipping deals The things that will kill your house flipping profit margins New house flipper? Heed James’ advice before you start And <

Something is brewing at the Federal Reserve, and it’s starting to get ugly.   For many months, President Trump has been pressuring the Fed to lower the federal funds rate and has since named a new Fed chair nominee to take the reins after Jerome Powell's term ends. But what seemed like a straightforward transition has quickly evolved into a nasty political showdown—a “standoff” between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Senate Banking Committee.   The drama could drag out for months, with Powell’s investigation being prolonged and nominee Kevin Warsh’s confirmation being delayed.   But behind all of it, there’s a much more serious issue being threatened:   Fed independence.   The Federal Reserve’s ability to act independently of political influences is crucial for creating monetary policy in the best long-term interest of the country, and it’s being jeopardized.   For investors, this isn’t just political theater—it’s a signal. If markets lose faith in the Fed’s independence, the ripple effect could reshape not just interest rates, mortgage rates, and the housing market, but the entire U.S. economy. And it’s unfolding right now. In This Episode We Cover What happens when the Federal Reserve loses its “independence” Why the current Fed power struggle affects much more than mortgage rates The “battle” that is holding up new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh’s nomination Why the Federal Reserve’s hands are tied when it comes to cutting interest rates Behind the “drama” unfolding between the Senate Banking Committee and the DOJ And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-F

For years, we’ve been promised that a “tsunami” of homes would hit the market as Baby Boomers age, move into senior housing, and pass away. We’ve been waiting…and waiting, but we’re still millions of housing units short. Yet, even without a “silver tsunami,” another trend could push us toward a housing supply glut in the future—new builds. Builder sentiment has dropped to a seven-month low. Homes are sitting empty, huge concessions are being offered, but the buyers are few and far between. Longer absorption periods mean higher holding costs for builders, prompting larger incentives to sell these homes. But, with mortgage rates bouncing back up to the mid-six percent range, who wants to buy? Very few Americans, and that’s the problem. Between Baby Boomers slowly trickling inventory into the housing market and builders creating more supply than (financeable) demand, is this the tipping point where we go from an undersupplied to an oversupplied housing market? In this headline episode, we’re getting into it, plus a “ban” on one of America’s hottest real estate assets.  In This Episode We Cover Is the silver tsunami ever going to hit? Why Baby Boomer homes aren’t reaching the market Where home prices have the highest chance of falling if the Baby Boomer supply hits the market The major opportunity for real estate investors to pick up seriously discounted new-build homes A new real estate asset “ban” that’s affecting over 15 states in the country Will we flip from a housing deficit to oversupply? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPock

This could have profound effects on the housing market, and if you work or invest in real estate, you need to know what's coming next. Energy shocks, high inflation, new job numbers, the worst consumer sentiment in 70 years…it’s all hitting us in a single week, and the housing market is already reacting. After months of affordability gains, mortgage rates jumped back to 6.4% in response to the oil price spike and, by proxy, high inflation readings. The Fed has already made the bulk of its rate cuts, so is there any room left for interest rates to go down? Home sales are already slowing, and consumers are feeling the worst about the economy in 70 years. This will impact the housing market, and it’s not good news for agents, brokers, lenders, or anyone involved in transactions. But for investors, we’re being given yet another opportunity to buy deals…and the discounts could be getting deeper.  The window to act is widening even more. Here's how to position yourself before it closes. In This Episode We Cover New inflation rate readings and why the CPI rose close to 1% in just a month Mortgage rates are stuck: why they can’t fall much more, even with a new Fed chair Latest home sales data that shows how the housing market is already reacting Why more and more investors are getting pessimistic about the housing market Will home prices crash? Here’s what’s holding them stable right now What investors need to do to prepare themselves right now to get better deals And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <a href="https://www.bigger

Could today’s weak housing markets become tomorrow’s winners? One particular real estate demand “cycle” says that it’s more than possible. Everyone has written off real estate markets where inventory has risen, prices have dropped (substantially), and migration has slowed. But what happens when the pendulum swings in the other direction, and these dead markets return to life? ResiClub’s Lance Lambert joins us to get into all things supply, demand, and most importantly—inventory. According to Lance, we’re in the 25th percentile for weak housing markets, and one certain variable could increase our risk significantly, and it’s not getting much better. A “catalyst for risk” could push demand down even more, stunting already suffering housing markets. But there is hope.  Domestic and international migration surged post-pandemic but has come to a standstill in the past few years. When this migration “cycle” restarts, certain states, especially those with the weakest housing markets right now, could benefit. And if mortgage rates lower again, breaking more of the “lock-in effect,” the market could change quickly. But which markets could “swing up” the fastest?  In This Episode We Cover A real “catalyst for risk” that could cause an even weaker housing market  The states that could see the biggest boosts once domestic and international migration return  Investors: This is a sign that you should make an aggressive offer on a property  Good news for interest rates? A “considerable improvement” in this key metric  Why inventory is stabilizing in the hardest hit housing markets  And So Much More! Links from the Show <a href

Property taxes: banned.  There are now more than a dozen states across the country seeking to limit, reduce, or outright eliminate property taxes—and the support behind the efforts is growing. As property taxes explode across the U.S., homeowners are facing an average 30% increase, curbing affordability efforts. As a result, Florida, North Dakota, Indiana, Texas, and other states are considering banning or heavily restricting property taxes. Today, we’re getting into the Great Property Tax Revolt of 2026. There are five types of property tax bills being proposed: assessment limitations, levy caps, homestead exemptions, credits and reductions, and tax swaps. These new property tax proposals could save homeowners thousands of dollars per year, but the side effects on local government budgets could be substantial. If we don’t have property taxes funding local services, what will? We’ll get into all of it and the top states’ proposals for eliminating or limiting property taxes. One often-overlooked state is funding its property tax elimination without any extra cost to homeowners. How will it work? And if primary homeowners get property tax breaks, will investors have to fill in the gaps with higher taxes? This is what could happen next.  In This Episode We Cover Two states that could soon completely eliminate property taxes for primary residences  The downside of lower (or no) property taxes: will other taxes jump as a result? What could happen to property values if your state decides to eliminate property taxes How property tax bans will affect real estate investors (will your tax bill go up or down?) Why property taxes have exploded 30% (and whether new assessments could push them higher)  <a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/states-with-the-highest-and-lowest-property-taxes?utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=description&utm_cam

The housing market is locked up once again before the most important time of the year—the spring homebuying season. With interest rates flying back up to the mid-6% range and inflation anxiety rearing back, Americans are once again stuck. And it’s not just first-time homebuyers; accidental landlords are hitting a new high as homes get even harder to sell. So, is the spring homebuying season… canceled? We’re back with this week’s headlines. First, we’ll start with the new job numbers—a massive increase over a very negative February. This is good news for the economy, but strong headwinds are hitting at the same time—rising mortgage rates, rising gas prices, and reignited inflation risks. It could be enough to throw off the traditionally strong spring homebuying season altogether. Accidental landlords are forming fast as they turn their flips, former primary residences, or inherited homes into rental properties. If you’re thinking about doing this—stop. James has strong cautionary advice for anyone about to become a first-time landlord.  Finally, everyone is talking about data centers—do we invest in them or curb their construction? Here’s why Dave, Kathy, and James are very cautious about them. In This Episode We Cover New jobs report numbers and the strong bounce back from February 2026 Will oil prices flip us back to high inflation? What this means for mortgage rates Real-time trends on homebuyers and what we’re seeing in the market Why James says many people should not become accidental landlords and sell at a loss instead A

Inflation is rising again, and everywhere on social media, we’re hearing people say, “Buy real estate!” Property is supposed to be the ultimate inflation hedge. The problem? Real estate may not save you from the inflation heading our way. In fact, home prices could get worse if things continue this way. But how? For decades, we’ve been told that real estate is the ultimate inflation hedge. It’s tracked rising prices very well and has been one of the most championed “safe” assets to buy. But do real estate prices always follow the path of inflation? What happens if consumer prices rise but renters are paid less, a recession hits, nobody can pay their bills, you can’t pay your mortgage, and home prices fall?  This is a reality that real estate gurus tend not to think through—the other side of inflation. Today, we’re getting into it. Which inflation benefits real estate prices the most? Which of the four possible inflation scenarios could unfold as the world tilts toward uncertainty, and which assets protect your wealth regardless of the inflation rate?  In This Episode We Cover Is real estate really a good hedge against inflation? Most people assume incorrectly  The two types of inflation and how they (oppositely) affect real estate prices  Four future scenarios we could see if inflation rises, falls, or stays the same  What’s causing rising inflation right now? An April 2026 inflation update  The four ways real estate will benefit during a traditionally high-inflation period And So Much More! Links from the Show ⁠⁠Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fu

This could be the best real estate “buy” of 2026. While mortgage rates are climbing back up and everyone is waiting out the housing market—again—one man is going all in: James Dainard. If you’ve listened to On the Market for a while, you know James is never not buying—but what he’s buying changes by the week, or even by the day. Last year, James got burned (a bit) on house flipping and new development, but reassessed his almost unbeatable investing framework and is now saying there’s one particular asset class he’s hungry to acquire—and it’s on serious discount. So today, we’re picking the brain of the man with 1,000+ rental units who’s flipped thousands of homes and knows the market better than any economist, since he’s on the ground buying and selling every single day. James shares the “best buy” of 2026, the one thing you must account for if you’re flipping or doing any renovation project, the single best rental for small investors to start with (and how to find them on-market at discount), and the one high-return deal he’d do as a new real estate investor. This is what’s working in real estate right now in 2026.  In This Episode We Cover The overlooked (and underpriced) properties James is heavily targeting in 2026  How to find on-market, discounted rentals perfect for small investors  The “buyer psychology” changes in the market that flippers must be aware of  One high-return real estate deal new investors should heavily consider in 2026  One cost to add to every renovation project to ensure you stay on budget  And So Much More! Links from the Show ⁠Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise⁠ <a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/

A $3 trillion market is beginning to crack. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has sounded off, saying there are “cockroaches” in the system. Investors are pulling billions of dollars out of the market, and real estate could be affected in a massive way. This is the private credit crisis explained.  When big investors go to buy or build, they don’t always take money from a bank; instead, they get loans from the private credit market—lenders who operate outside of the traditional lending apparatus. But over the past four years, commercial real estate has seen values tank, income drop, and demand shrink for everything from office to multifamily and more. And the people who lend their money to private credit are starting to get nervous. Billions of dollars have already been pulled out of the market, with many investors going on “bank run” style withdrawal sprees. But, this isn’t only a commercial real estate problem—residential real estate could be affected if enough money leaves the systems. So what happens next? Will real estate prices fall even further as a result? Are we on the brink of a credit crisis mirroring the 2008 subprime bubble? We’re breaking it all down in this episode.  In This Episode We Cover Private credit explained: who’s lending the money and what is being leveraged “Cracks” begin to form, and why investors are pulling billions of dollars out of the system Riskier commercial real estate debt that could trigger a “debt spiral” of serious proportions Why residential real estate is not completely safe if commercial real estate starts to fall further The one thing worrying experts the most about this hidden credit crisis And So Much More!

Investors are pulling billions of dollars (yes, billions) out of real estate investments at a record pace as “bank run” style withdrawals return. Blackstone has already seen record withdrawal requests of over $3 billion. Could this be the first domino to fall that could set off a private credit crisis, pulling multifamily prices down even more?  We’re back with this week’s biggest headlines—from mortgage rates rising back to six-month highs to corporate headquarters being converted into housing—there’s almost too much to talk about happening in the housing market. First, mortgage interest rates flip as buyers get pushed back out of the market, but this could lead to even bigger discounts for investors.  A lonely corporate headquarters building gets greenlit for conversion to housing. If this trend continues, we could see relief in housing supply strain. Investors pull a record amount of money from real estate investments—just as commercial real estate needs it most (this will have consequences). Finally, the “millionaire tax” makes its way through one state—and it could kill one type of real estate investing.  In This Episode We Cover Investors go on a bank run—why they’re pulling billions of dollars from investments Mortgage rates boomerang back to around 6.5%, but investor deals could get even better The newest housing inventory opportunity and how to make a CEO’s office your new living room The millionaire tax is kicking profitable investors out of this popular market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE <a href="https://bigg

A “structural shift” is happening in the housing market—one that will permanently change how home prices appreciate. We could be experiencing the last era of steady, rising home prices as we enter into a new reality—a reality without Baby Boomers owning real estate. For years, a “silver tsunami” has been predicted to “crash” the housing market. With Baby Boomers downsizing, aging in place, and passing away, the inevitable wave of inventory was supposed to hit the housing market with fury—but it hasn’t happened, at least not yet. With the average Baby Boomer now in their 70s, surely we should start to see inventory fly on the market…right? Today, we’re getting into when (and if) the silver tsunami will hit, why the end of the Baby Boomer generation could change the home price growth trajectory permanently, and what will unfold in the 2030s (and beyond) that could cause serious headwinds in the housing market. But if it all comes true, investors will have the opportunity of a lifetime to get something many have assumed is gone—cash flow. In This Episode We Cover The “silver tsunami” explained, and why it hasn’t crashed the housing market Inheritance begins to peak—how many heirs will keep vs. sell their parents’ homes? The “structural shift” that could change home price appreciation forever  Just how much of the housing market Baby Boomers own (it’s a LOT) The return of cash flow? Why real estate investors will get another opportunity to buy And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join Bi

A housing price correction “worse than 2008”? That’s the headline of Melody Wright’s widely-cited Newsweek interview, but today, she’s giving her full, honest take on what she really meant. Melody got into the mortgage industry in 2006, riding the subprime wave up until it popped two years later. The lender she worked for went bankrupt in 2012, as Melody witnessed the fallout firsthand. From there, her new job became analyzing housing data to ensure this never happened again. And looking at the data—delinquencies rising, inventory spiking, a quiet “credit crisis” rarely talked about—Melody believes we could be on the verge of another serious correction. Today, we’re getting her detailed opinion on whether we should expect a housing crash, correction, or a slow, stable return to affordability. We talk at length about the rising delinquency rates (much of which is not public) signaling serious trouble for the housing market and borrowers, and the “credit crisis” brewing behind the scenes that could upend the market (especially for investors). This is what Melody Wright really thinks will happen next. In This Episode We Cover Melody’s real opinion on the “Worse Than 2008” claim  Why Melody believes home prices could correct up to 50% in some markets The “credit crisis” brewing that uncovers a very weak homebuyer pool Delayed delinquency? Why more borrowers are beginning to inch closer to losing their homes The white-collar recession that will ha

The next recession is already here. You may not see it, but you definitely feel it. Companies are quietly letting go of dozens or hundreds of workers at a time, interviews are getting harder to land, and those around you who made the most money are suddenly just trying to get by. This is the “white collar recession”—and a new report could prove that it’s about to get much more severe. And what happens when the highest earners, those who buy homes and can get approved for mortgages, suddenly vanish from the housing market? The impacts could be widespread, and a permanent shift in real estate could be on the horizon. Today, we’re unpacking it all—which jobs are most (and least) at risk, what will happen to the housing market as high-income earners lose their salaries (and ability to buy homes), and the markets most reliant on these types of white-collar jobs. But it’s not all bad news. New opportunities could be emerging in select markets as a few major industries see stability, and one type of investment property becomes the most sought-after of all. In This Episode We Cover The “white collar recession” and the jobs most at risk due to AI Why this time it’s different, and a recession may be inevitable  How the housing market will permanently shift as homebuyers lose their income The most stable housing markets with the best employment potential One type of investment property every investor needs to keep an eye on (demand could rise) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE <a href="https://biggerpockets

Could the war in Iran reverse all the interest rate relief we’ve received throughout the past year? With oil shooting up in price, unintended consequences could trickle down to your mortgage rate—and Americans are already feeling the shock. The housing market is re-freezing as buyers (and sellers!) stay on the sidelines as the world feels more and more unstable. What does this mean for your mortgage rate? Some people say this could cause a housing crash; others argue the opposite. What’s really going to happen next? We’re back with a new headline episode, going through the top stories affecting the housing market. First, we’re talking about the Iran war and its effects on mortgage rates and the housing market. Then, the states leading the 'two-speed housing market': some are seeing significant price gains, while much of America's home prices are declining. Do you use an AI calling agent in your real estate business? You need to hear this first. A new lawsuit shows you could land in hot water unless you follow the rules.  In This Episode We Cover Back to rising mortgage rates? Side effects of the Iran war on the U.S. housing market The hottest markets still seeing 4%+ price growth even in 2026 AI agents lead to lawsuit: What you should not do if you’re using AI callers for real estate Why so many Americans are moving from the coast inland to these cities Is the housing market freezing again? Why buyers and sellers are backing off And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/signup?utm_sourc

The housing market is split. Some real estate markets are seeing low inventory, rising prices, and fierce buyer competition. Others are seeing steep price cuts, desperate sellers, underwater owners, and delinquency rates creeping up.  So, which housing markets are the riskiest in the country? Which market has the highest chance of seeing home price growth while the rest of America struggles for air? We’re doing a nationwide deep dive today, looking at the metrics that matter most—home price appreciation, affordability, delinquency rates and owner distress, and underwater mortgage share. Each of these data points will allow you to predict which markets will grow, slow, and struggle over the next year. Plus, Dave is sharing what each region of the country should be paying attention to as an investor, the riskiest markets of 2026, and the number one comeback city no one is expecting. In This Episode We Cover The riskiest housing markets in the U.S. that could see continued price declines Cities seeing a return to “affordability” as buyers get a big break Delinquency rates rising? Areas with these mortgage types see more owners fail to make payments The “comeback” cities that have the greatest home price growth potential  Why “underwater mortgages” aren’t as scary as you think they are (but investors should still be careful) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE <a href="https://biggerpockets.com/bpcon2026

Remember all those homes that were “delisted” in the fall and winter? The homes that sellers took off the market when they couldn’t get the price they wanted? Well, now, the frozen housing market is thawing, and 75,000 “relistings” could boomerang back into the market. With a new wave of inventory, would this be the catalyst for home prices to drop even more? Compass’s Mike Simonsen, friend of the show and all-time inventory expert, is back to give a quite contrarian take on the relisting inventory about to hit the real estate market. With the spring homebuying season about to peak in just a couple of months, former sellers now get a new chance to put their properties up again, in hopes that lower mortgage rates entice buyers. The crash predictors say that this new glut of inventory could cause prices to drop as the buyer’s market becomes even more one-sided. But Mike has a key piece of data that changes the story entirely, one that could be good for the future housing market and actually give transactions a modest boost. Mike says a “new era” of real estate is upon us—and it could last a while. In This Episode We Cover The “relisting” wave of inventory that could hit the housing market this spring Why home prices may not drop even with more properties on the market A “new era” of real estate that makes it even better to buy a home Why housing inventory is falling in states with the biggest home price corrections  No forced selling? The reality that kills the housing crash narrative  And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real

There’s a ticking time bomb for the U.S. housing market that nobody is talking about. It’s the biggest existential threat to home prices and housing demand, and it (arguably) can’t be stopped. The question is, how long do we have until it happens? Today, we’re talking about population: what happens when the U.S. population begins to decline, and the need for housing falls year after year? Deaths are already set to outpace births by 2031, meaning we’re just five short years away from this risky scenario becoming reality. What happens to home prices? Will millions of homes sit empty? Which markets will see their values fall the fastest? Is real estate still safe to invest in? Dave’s giving a masterclass on the population crisis, and how the housing market will be affected. From birth rates to immigration, baby boomers passing away (and passing down their houses), and cities that will face the biggest demographic headwinds, this is what every investor needs to know before 2031.  In This Episode We Cover What happens to the housing market once the population begins to decline? Will our housing shortage flip to a supply glut as demand is forced to fall? The one thing propping up our population and how it’s starting to falter Short, medium, and long-term housing forecasts as population decline increases Lessons from Japan, Germany, and Italy: Where do home prices fall the fastest once populations decline? Markets that will be the safest when the population finally begins to flip And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise <a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/signup?utm_sou

Many of President Trump’s tariffs have been canceled—and the housing market could stand to benefit. Could this be yet another sign that inflation is slowing and that mortgage rates can continue to fall?  This is big news for the housing market, but it’s not even the biggest news of this episode. Today, we’re going over everything you may have missed. From the Supreme Court striking down tariffs in a majority vote to a major housing bill moving forward, to cities seeing the most new corporate headquarters (a serious sign of job growth), we’ve been busy taking stock of the stories affecting investors. We’ll get into how the tariff reversal will affect prices and mortgage rates (this may be great news), the new housing law that could make building, renovating, and financing even easier, Trump’s new “tokenized” real estate investments, and the markets that may see the biggest booms as jobs flood these areas. In This Episode We Cover Tariffs canceled: a win for the housing market as inflation risk reduces? The new housing supply and affordability bill that could pass the Senate soon The cities that are gaining (and losing) corporate headquarters (some are not so obvious) Would you invest in Trump’s “tokenized” real estate investment? The “crypto for real estate” push continues Will tariffs be returned to American citizens who paid them? One Supreme Court justice gives his honest take And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPo

Big economic news dropped last week: labor data, inflation rates, and huge jobs revisions. All of these are already impacting the housing market, but could new numbers cause an even greater shift that could affect your mortgage rate, your rents, and your next deal? Rental property owners, agents, sellers, and buyers: this news affects what you’re doing right now. New labor data beat the odds, with a surprising amount of hirings. But, with many of those hirings concentrated in a few specific fields, investors in markets with this line of work will need to watch carefully. And it wasn’t all good news—the largest jobs number revision in over a decade happened last week. The number of overreported jobs? It changes the picture entirely. A strong labor market could mean stagnant mortgage rates, but inflation data might just come in to save the day. With lower inflation readings, could the Fed get the confidence to cut once again?  Finally, we’ll talk about exactly which types of homes will sell and which will stagnate on the market. One type of property is flying off the proverbial shelf, so if you can build, renovate, or rent it, you could be in luck. For the rest of investors, Dave has some cautious words of wisdom that could save you if this economic trend continues. In This Episode We Cover Off by nearly 1,000,000 jobs: Inside the largest jobs number revision in over a decade  New inflation rate readings and whether we’re trending in the right direction More moves for mortgage rates? Positive data that could tip them a bit lower The one type of housing that has high demand, even as consumer sentiment stays low Why you either feel phenomenal or terrible about the U.S. <str

Rental property financing is becoming much easier. For years, seven and eight-percent rates made it brutal to make deals work. But now, things are changing—for the better. Mortgage rates in the five-percent range? HELOCs with no closing costs? Seller concessions to buy down your interest rate, and a smoother path to affordable properties? It’s all culminating in 2026, and this could be one of the best years in recent memory to get a mortgage for a rental property. Today, we’re talking to Jeff Welgan, who's spent 22 years in the mortgage industry, and is bringing good news. Thought those ARM (adjustable-rate mortgage) loans were left behind in 2008? Safer, cheaper, and more flexible ARM loans are available to investors. With lower rates and longer fixed-rate periods, they could be the perfect option as mortgage rates continue to decline. Jeff also shares how you can get a HELOC with no closing costs, so you don’t have to give up that rock-bottom mortgage rate you secured in 2020. Plus, when to refinance, how low rates could go, and whether you still should buy down your rate in 2026. In This Episode We Cover Jeff’s 2026 mortgage rate prediction and the “range” he thinks rates will stay in Are ARMs back? Why adjustable-rate mortgages are cheaper, safer, and better for investors Should you pay down your interest rate? When Jeff says it is (and isn’t) worth it Why the mortgage industry’s cycle is about to end, and investors must be careful  Got a high mortgage rate? This is when you should think about refinancing And So Much More!</p

This could be the most important shift in the housing market in years. Something truly remarkable just happened that will impact almost every facet of real estate. The “Housing for the 21st Century Act” just passed the House in a landslide vote, with bipartisan support from Democrats and Republicans. But unlike past housing proposals, this one focuses on the thing that could actually fix the housing market for good—supply. This could make building (and renovating) houses cheaper and faster, allow Americans to finance manufactured homes the same way we finance regular properties, expedite the permitting process for some new builds and rehabs, and give your local bank the ability to lend faster and easier than before. In short, this bill has a significant impact not only on everyday homeowners but also on real estate investors. The question is, will this fix the housing supply problem we’ve been plagued with? We’re digging into the six sections of this bill in today’s episode. In This Episode We Cover Why this new bill could be a monumental shift for the housing market  Building just got even better—fewer permits, faster approvals, and more A huge win for affordable housing that could streamline cheaper homes for many Americans Will new supply kill appreciation? Why many investors are dead wrong about this Work with local banks? This new bill could be hugely advantageous for you Investors: do this now! How this bill will affect your investments once passed And So Much More!</p

The “lock-in effect” is finally starting to break, and Americans are moving yet again. But, where are they going? The top cities people are moving to aren’t what you’d expect—in fact, many of them are where prices are actively falling. Is now the time to buy as populations grow and homes remain affordable? Three major housing market shifts are unfolding this week, and we're breaking them all down on this week's headlines episode. First, is the lock-in effect finally over? Before, the housing market was at a standstill, as homeowners with 3% mortgage rates refused even to consider selling. Now, after years of high rates slowly getting better, the tables have turned. Sellers are more willing to let their property go and tap into that huge pile of equity, but will this actually affect inventory?  Then, the 2026 U-Haul Growth Index—where are people moving right now? The top metros and states could surprise you, as many of them have falling home prices. Finally, is housing inventory getting worse? It felt for a while that buyers had their pick, but now, the trend is starting to reverse, and sellers may gain even more control.  In This Episode We Cover U-Haul’s top in-migration cities, metros, and states  The end of the lock-in effect? Why homeowners aren’t staying put to keep their low rate This city's job market is “on fire” and seeing a strong influx of residents Did housing inventory growth already reverse? Why sellers are finally getting fast offers Signs to buy during a correction: cities that are growing but seeing lower home prices  And So Much More! Links from the Show<

A new Fed Chair has been nominated—and he could do what no Fed has done before. Kevin Warsh, the youngest Fed governor appointed, serving during the Great Financial Crisis, is Trump’s new pick, and his decisions could have major impacts on the housing market. But the mainstream media is missing a few key variables, falsely assuming that Warsh will kick off a series of rate cuts that end in lower interest rates. But, in reality, something completely different could happen—something that the Fed has never tried before. Warsh has strong opinions on quantitative easing (money printing) and wants to, in essence, delete some of the money the Fed has created over years of buying bonds and mortgage-backed securities. At the same time, Warsh will most likely push for rate cuts—a challenge given the Fed’s divided members. So, what does this mean for mortgage rates? Could we see rates actually rise due to Warsh’s plans, or could ending quantitative easing boost market confidence and lower long-term mortgage rates? We’re getting into it all, plus what investors should do now regardless of what the Fed’s next moves are. In This Episode We Cover Trump’s new Federal Reserve Chair pick and why Trump is so keen to kick Powell out Higher mortgage rates incoming? What everyone is getting wrong about the Warsh pick The end of money printing: Why the new Fed Chair pick wants to delete dollars off the balance sheet Something the Fed has never done before: Can you lower rates while keeping inflation in check? The one type of real estate that could greatly benefit from the moves Warsh will make An

This type of rental property is seeing “explosive” demand. But, they’re cheaper than many regular rental properties, get 30% more rent, and take less work than vacation rentals. More and more Americans are using them, and where they’re needed most, there’s not much supply. You might have thought it wouldn’t last, but medium-term rentals are becoming the rental property investor’s cash cow—and we have new data to prove it. Jeff Hurst, CEO of Furnished Finder, teamed up with the short-term rental data experts at AirDNA to release a new report on monthly rentals.  This could change everything you’ve thought about the space. Investors are making more money with smaller properties, and demand is growing—fast. Tenants are extending their stays, while paying a 30%-50% premium over traditional rentals, but the cost to furnish is a fraction of what it would be for a short-term rental. But Jeff says there’s a “sweet spot” medium-term rental—and it’s one of the least expensive properties you can buy. Even better, your long-term rental could be the perfect pick.  It might be time to look at medium-term rentals again.  In This Episode We Cover The new report from Furnished Finder and AirDNA showing the massive demand for medium-term rentals How to make 30%-50% more revenue by turning your long-term rental into a monthly stay Is the medium-term rental market oversupplied, like the <a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/guides/the-ultimate-guide-to-short-term-rental-properties?utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=none"

The 18-year real estate cycle calls for a crash in 2026. It correctly predicted the 2008 crash, it was right for decades in a row in the 1800s, and many say it’s the one true oracle for home prices. Funnily enough, it’s been 18 years since 2008, and home prices are starting to peak. But is there enough data to trust in this housing market cycle? Should you be selling your properties just shy of every 18 years to load up on low prices during the next predicted housing crash? Or, is this just a conveniently (somewhat) accurate theory that crash bros use to get maximum clicks? Today, Dave is reviewing the evidence and sharing the cases from economists on whether the 18-year cycle exists. The theory calls for a crash worse than 2008 this year, but is there any evidence to support this claim? You might be surprised, but Dave does agree with parts of this theory.  In This Episode We Cover 2026 housing crash? Why the 18-year real estate cycle says we’re at the end of an era The “phases” of the real estate cycle explained (from bust to boom) Did the cycle end? Why home prices may have already peaked years ago 2008 vs. 2026: What could cause a housing crash to happen this year The (surprisingly) accurate 18-year predictions for decades in a row And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. B