Investments Unplugged

In this episode of Investments Unplugged, host Kevin Headland is joined by Alex Richard, Senior Portfolio Manager, Multi-Asset Solutions, to discuss Manulife’s newly launched “all-in-one” ETF strategies—against a backdrop where portfolio diversification has reclaimed attention, following a period in which many investors were tempted to chase equity returns. Kevin and Alex describe what makes these portfolios different from traditional “set-it-and-forget-it” asset-allocation ETFs, including: An active, flexible allocation process grounded in regularly updated capital market assumptions; Broader, deeper underlying portfolio diversification (including alternative investments) than many ETFs offer; A robust strategy implementation toolkit that can include select third-party ETFs and futures contracts.  They also share their views on portfolio positioning across equities and fixed income in today’s market environment, as well as what role diversifying exposures (like global infrastructure and global credit) can play in a long-term investment strategy.     Key topics & insights 1. Why defense and diversification are back in focus After an extended run of strong equity performance, it’s tempting for many investors to de-emphasize portfolio defense and to overemphasize return-chasing. The episode reinforces the notion of strategic diversification being essential to long-term portfolio outcomes, especially amid bouts of macro and market volatility. 2. What are Manulife’s new “all-in-one” ETF portfolios? There are three different ETF strategies, each designed to fit a distinct investor risk profile—Manulife Conservative ETF Portfolio, Manulife Balanced ETF Portfolio, and Manulife Growth ETF Portfolio. The target equity/fixed-income portfolio allocations are roughly 60% bonds/40% stocks (conservative), 60% stocks/40% bonds (balanced), and 80% stocks/20% bonds (growth). However, these strategies are designed to go beyond simple equity/fixed-income splits by diversifying across global regions, market caps, investment styles, and degrees of active management. 3. Active at the core, built to adapt, TCR-ready Rather than managing the portfolios to static portfolio targets, the team can deviate from baseline equity/fixed-income allocations and adjust underlying exposures as market conditions warrant. Portfolio decisions are informed by a capital markets assumptions process, conducted quarterly, that covers expected levels of investment risk/return/correlation across 100+ asset classes. “Total-cost reporting (TCR) ready” is positioned as a relevant feature for Canadian advisors and investors focused on total-cost reporting. 4. Broader, deeper portfolio diversifi

Episode overview In this episode of Investments Unplugged, hosts Kevin Headland and Macan Nia continue their timely dialogue around the geopolitical turmoil impacting today’s markets. Now entering its 40th day (at the time of this recording), the ongoing conflict in the Middle East still commands center stage, so Kevin and Macan discuss how it’s feeding through to energy prices, market volatility, and investor behavior. They examine why markets opened 2026 “priced for perfection” (leaving little margin for error), how the current oil price shock compares with 2022’s macro environment (with important differences in inflation and interest-rate starting points), and why recent equity valuation compression—particularly in the technology sector—may be creating select opportunities for investors.     Key topics & insights 1. Oil: the conflict’s key transmission channel “Higher-for-longer” oil price risk: Even if the Middle East conflict resolves, Kevin and Macan suggest that oil prices may remain structurally higher than pre-conflict levels due to supply impairment and perhaps an ongoing geopolitical risk premium. Tracking evolving dynamics: These could include higher shipping insurance rates and even increased transit/toll-like costs tied to safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz—factors that can embed into oil prices beyond an immediate shock. Macroeconomic watchpoints: One of the critical questions still facing economists and investors alike is how higher energy prices might affect global growth rates, the likelihood of a slowdown or recession, and broader inflation levels. 2. Market volatility regime shift (not capitulation) More choppiness in less time: Since the Middle East conflict began, Kevin and Macan have observed a sharp rise in large daily moves by the S&P 500 Index (+/- 1% days), underscoring the reality of a more “headline-driven” market environment. Putting the “fear gauge” in context: While they note the VIX moving up (near ~30 at points), they emphasize that a VIX >30 is historically infrequent and that >40 has typically signaled peak fear levels, seen only in major crisis-type episodes. Markets reacting to ceasefire signals: They describe a “buy-the-dip” tendency where markets rally quickly on any perceived positive news, potentially reflecting underlying market resilience (but also risk if the conflict escalates from here). 3. 2022 comparisons: what’s similar vs. what’s different The main similarity: Today’s geopolitical tensions have pushed oil prices higher, combined with below-trend economic growth and still-sticky overall inflation. A key difference:<

Episode overview In this episode of Investments Unplugged, hosts Macan Nia and Kevin Headland discuss the investment implications of the Middle East conflict that began in the first quarter of 2026. Rather than forecasting geopolitical outcomes, Macan and Kevin focus on how shocks in energy-producing regions can transmit quickly into oil and natural gas prices, consumer costs, inflation expectations, and market volatility.  The discussion is framed around:  The context of today’s macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop Historical lessons from past geopolitical events (“disruptive” vs. “destructive”) Key factors to watch amid the current conflict , particularly the Strait of Hormuz  Practical portfolio considerations, including: Volatility management Deploying cash assets Fixed-income duration Emphasizing quality and diversification o   Key topics & insights 1. Why energy is the fast transmission mechanism Oil & gas move quickly into day-to-day costs: Higher energy prices pressure consumer budgets and can reduce spending elsewhere (they note consumption is ~two-thirds of the U.S. and Canadian economies). Real-time examples of price impacts: They cite U.S. average gasoline prices around $3.60/gal, up ~27% since early March (also noting seasonal “summer blend” effects). Europe’s sensitivity to natural gas: They highlight that gas matters particularly for Europe and can drive equity volatility there. 2. The conflict’s nuance: scale of regional supply + chokepoint risk Middle East production concentration: They estimate roughly ~20% of global oil production comes from the Middle East. Strait of Hormuz as a chokepoint: They emphasize the Strait’s importance, noting ~20% of oil flows through it daily and also referencing natural gas flows. Operational disruption risk vs. outright closure: Even if ships have legal right of passage, they discuss how slower traffic, inspections, and higher insurance costs can still disrupt supply and risk sentiment. 3. Disruptive vs. destructive: what history suggests Most geopolitical shocks are “disruptive”: They describe internal research showing many events historically have short-lived market drawdowns, with returns often positive 3 months and 1 year later. When it can turn “destructive”: They reference the 1973–74 oil shock/Yom Kippur War framework—where sustained high oil contributed to recession—arguing the duration of elevated prices is key. Catalyst vs. cause: They note recessions typically aren’t caused by one

Episode overview In this episode of Investments Unplugged, hosts Kevin Headland and Macan Nia mark International Women’s Day by exploring longevity through the lens of women and financial preparedness. They’re joined by Director, Multi-Asset Solutions Erica Camilleri, who shares thoughts and research on why longevity risk is higher for women, how today’s macroeconomic backdrop (including higher cross-asset correlations and persistent inflation) can amplify retirement risks, and what investors can do—through better planning, appropriate risk-taking, and sound advice—to reduce the odds of outliving their savings.   Key topics for example, poor health can worsen retirement outcomes and vice versa. New tools and frameworks — The “longevity preparedness index” is designed to measure readiness to thrive while aging in retirement and is expected to expand into Canada in coming years. 3. The role of incentives and behaviour change (and why it matters for outcomes) Incentives can drive better habits — The episode highlights research over decades indicating that specific goals outperform vague “do your best” goals and discusses how incentive-based programs can encourage healthier behaviour (and, by extension, better long-term outcomes). 4. Structural inflation is still a long-term retirement risk Inflation has moderated cyclically but remains structurally higher — Even if inflation trends toward central bank targets, the episode argues households are still living with a higher price level and that long-run inflation may settle in the mid-to-high 2% range rather than the pre-pandemic norm. Retirement math is sensitive to small inflation shifts — A modest upward shift in expected inflation (example discussed: +40 bps) can materially raise required savings/asset levels for retirement (example cited: a 30-year-old might need ~19% more assets). 5. Portfolio construction challenges: higher correlations and conce

Hosts Kevin Headland and Macan Nia recently sat down with John Natale, Head of Tax, Retirement • Why successor holder designations can spare families tax and paperwork; • A time sensitive spousal RRSP contribution opportunity after a death; • Cross border (U.S.) TFSA considerations; • Using segregated funds as a liquidity “cash wedge” after death; and • Why the value of financial advice extends far beyond portfolio returns. Take a listen for practical, plain language insights you can bring to client conversations today.

Some industry predictions may seem outlandish—or even impossible. But does that mean they’re not worth considering? Kick off 2026 with Kevin and Macan, as they explore consensus- defying predictions that may sound absurd, but warrant closer examination. Listen in as they examine the logic behind some of industry's boldest predictions, challenging listeners to rethink what’s truly possible. From a potential 50% surge in gold prices to an S&P 500 Index that could endure a bear market and still finish the year up 20%, our hosts break down the rationale, data, and market dynamics behind each scenario—examining the roles of central bank rate cuts, liquidity, momentum and investor behavior, all while underscoring the importance of diversification in an unpredictable market environment. Tune in for a lively start to 2026—and decide for yourself: are these forecasts improbable, or impossible?

Episode 113: 2025 in the rearview—are markets in for another strong year?Hosts:Kevin Headland (Co-chief Investment Strategist)Macan Nia (Co-Chief Investment Strategist)Special guests:Emily Roland (Co-Chief Investment Strategist)Matt Miskin (Co-Chief Investment Strategist)Episode highlights• 2025 in review:• The team discusses the strong performance of markets in 2025, including theTSX’s impressive 24% return despite a challenging economic backdrop in Canada.• Key market drivers:• The role of momentum trading, trend-following strategies, and AI exuberance.• The ongoing influence of the crypto trade.• Discrepancies between Canada’s economic data and TSX performance.• Looking ahead to 2026:• Will the trends of 2025 continue, or is a shift on the horizon?• The importance of sentiment as we enter the new year—are markets priced forperfection?• Why investing in companies is not the same as investing in the broader economy.• Risks and opportunities:• Potential risks for the Canadian economy, especially regarding banks andfinancials.• The importance of being prudent and keeping an eye on domestic economicindicators.• The impact of investor confidence and employment on market flows.• Actionable insight:Information à usage interne - Internal• The team provides practical considerations for investors as they positionportfolios for 2026.• Encouragement to review the team’s full 2026 outlook, available on the ManulifeInvestments website.Additional information• Subscribe on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or your favorite platform to stay up to date.• Listeners are encouraged to rate, share, and reach out with questions or feedback.

The Blue Jays were swinging for the fences, but investors are facing numerous curveballs of their own. In our latest episode of Investments Unplugged, Kevin and Macan step up to the plate to tackle some of the most frequently asked questions from the road: the real impact of the U.S. government shutdown, the rally in gold prices, and what’s really driving bond yields. To add a festive twist, our dynamic hosts also go off- script to share their thoughts on trick-or-treating budgets, Halloween candies, and costume trends. Tune in for recent market developments—and enjoy a few treats along the way.

Episode overviewIn this special episode, hosts and Co-Chief Investment Strategists Kevin Headland and Macan Nia welcome Nathan William Thooft, Chief Investment Officer for Multi Assets and Equities at Manulife Investments. Nate shares his global perspective on markets, asset allocation, and the evolving investment landscape, with insights tailored for Canadian investors.---Key topics & insights1. U.S. economic outlook: resilience amid uncertainty· No imminent recession expected—Nate explains that while recent U.S. labor market data has softened, it’s not likely a signal for an imminent recession. The U.S. economy’s balance between manufacturing and services helps offset sector-specific weaknesses.· Policy uncertainty—Earlier legislative and tariff changes have caused “paralysis” in company decision-making, but clarity is expected to improve economic data in coming months.· New paradigm—The severity of future U.S. recessions may be more muted due to the economy’s diversification.2. Inflation & tariffs: what’s really happening?· Tariff impact delayed—Studies show tariffs typically take up to a year to affect inflation. Many imports are exempt, and companies are absorbing costs, leading to lower-than-expected inflationary effects.· Substitution effect—Companies are shifting imports to countries with lower tariffs, further dampening inflation pressures.  3. Regional equity markets: Europe & Asia· Europe’s outperformance—European equities have surprised with strong returns in 2025. Nate attributes this to a sentiment shift away from the U.S. amid geopolitical uncertainty, but sees it as opportunistic rather than a long-term trend.· Active vs. passive management—Active management is especially valuable in regions like Europe and Asia, where opportunities are less covered.· China’s mixed signals—Despite strong equity performance and policy support, China’s fundamentals (consumer spending, industrial production) remain weak. Nate is cautiously optimistic, citing potential in technology and AI, and improving sentiment.4. Asset allocation: equities vs. fixed income· Modest equity overweight—Manulife portfolios remain overweight equities, reflecting solid fundamentals despite stretched valuations.· Fixed income caution—Less conviction in long-duration fixed income due to changing yield curve dynamics and rising term premiums.· Diversification beyond 60/40—Nate advocates for broader diversification, including alternative assets, to manage risk.5. Private Assets & Alternatives· Democratization of privates—The trend toward making private assets (infrastructure, private credit, real estate) accessible to retail investors is accelerating, as seen in recent industry partnerships.· Role in portfolios—Private assets offer diversification and potential downside protection, especially when traditional fixe

We’re just weeks away from yet another school year—but not before Macan heads out on a last-minute vacation. Will Kevin be forced to deal with a market fallout in his absence? Join our dynamic co-chief investment strategists as they joke about the market’s tendency to correct when Macan is out of office. Listen in as they weigh the balance of risks affecting the global economy and discuss what corporations are saying about today’s market environment. Get the scoop on markets and the economy as summer nears its end. Tune in to this episode of Investments Unplugged for insight before the back-to-school period ramps up.

Summer has officially kicked into high gear, and many of us are looking to wind down and bask in the heat. Yet, headlines continue to pour in—making it important to stay on top of market developments. Join our dynamic Co-Chief Investment Strategists Kevin Headland, CIM, and Macan Nia, CFA, as they weigh in on some of the latest news stories, including U.S. dollar weakness, rate cut prospects amid mounting political pressures, and the broader implications of the U.S. administration’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Looking to stay connected this summer? Tune in to Investments Unplugged for talking points that are surely top of mind for investors. Don’t miss this one.

Warmer days are on the horizon, and while many of us are planning our next vacation spots, others are looking back at the half year and recalibrating their portfolios for what lies ahead. What happened to markets in the first half of the year? What can we expect as we move into the year’s final stretch? Tune in to our new podcast episode as our Co-Chief Investment Strategists Kevin Headland and Macan Nia discuss the opportunities and risks affecting the global economy, including U.S. tariff policy, decelerations in global manufacturing, and the role of corporate earnings as a potential driver of market performance. Will the chaos and unpredictability witnessed during the first six months of 2025 prevail in the months ahead? Listen in to our episode for all this and more. Intended for Investment Professionals, investors should connect with their financial advisor for more information

Is the greenback currently at an inflection point? Listen in as our Capital Markets Strategy Team weighs in on the U.S. administration’s proposed economic and trade initiatives, including the Mar-a-Lago Accord—a modern echo of the 1985 Plaza Accord. Explore the implications of devaluing the U.S. dollar in today’s global economy and learn more about trade deficits and some of the bold ideas from White House chief economist Stephen Miran. Can the U.S. dollar maintain its reserve currency status? Is multilateral cooperation even possible in today’s geopolitical climate? Tune in to our podcast episode for all this and more

The magnitude of the U.S. administration’s “Liberation Day” tariffs surely caught investors off guard. How did markets react to the news? Will U.S. trade policy reshape global trade dynamics? Join our Co-Chief Investment Strategists Kevin Headland and Macan Nia as they discuss the market’s strong reaction to President Trump’s announcement on April 2. Is this a policy play or part of a deeper structural shift? How will upcoming congressional outreach factor into the evolving economic picture? Stay on top of this rapidly evolving situation—don’t miss out on our new podcast episode.

European equities have recently outpaced their U.S. counterparts, setting the stage for a potential resurgence in overseas markets. Is this the start of a significant rotation into European equities? Join our Co-Chief Investment Strategists, Kevin Headland and Macan Nia, as they underscore the current momentum driving European equities and discuss improvements in European manufacturing. Find out how a significant rise in defense spending across various European countries could help stimulate the economy through infrastructure, logistics, and other support service enhancements. Don't miss this insightful discussion—tune in to our latest podcast episode for all this and more!

Rising tensions, evolving trade policies, and potential tariffs have sparked widespread discussions—even going as far as rallying hockey fans on both sides of the Canada-US border. Are these policies merely a negotiation tactic, or do they signal a shift in North American trade dynamics? Join our Co-Chief Investment Strategists, Kevin Headland and Macan Nia, as they explore the latest trade developments and their potential implications for Canadian investors. In an in-depth conversation with Dominique Lapointe, Global Macro Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions Team, we zero in on tariffs and trade disputes and examine their potential impact on Canada’s economy. Tune in to our latest episode for insight on this evolving landscape.

2025 is in full swing! What can we expect from equity and fixed income markets as the year gradually unfolds? Our first podcast episode of 2025 is an absolute must-listen. Hear from our Co-Chief Investment Strategists Kevin Headland and Macan Nia, as they delve into the opportunities and challenges shaping the market landscape this year. Can we expect some volatility up ahead? No matter what’s in store for investors in the coming months, it’s important not to get overly cautious or fearful. Stay the course, and as always, remember to stay invested—especially when there are bumps along the way. Tune in as our experts underscore some of the key developments in 2025. This is one episode of Investments Unplugged you won’t want to miss!

The festive holiday season is upon us and what better time than now to reflect and prepare for the road ahead. Don’t miss out on this unique opportunity to hear from Kevin and Macan as they look to 2025 and share their thoughts on equity and fixed income developments. Will equity fundamentals continue to be a defining theme in the new year? What role will security selection and duration management play in the fixed income space? Tune in to the year’s last episode of Investments Unplugged, as our experts delve into their base case, bull case and bear case scenarios for 2025. This is one episode you just can’t miss. Be sure to tune in! Intended for Investment Professionals, investors should connect with their financial advisor for more information.

Data surprises, recession concerns, shifting U.S. Federal Reserve policy? What if building a resilient portfolio mattered more than predicting future outcomes. This month, our Co-Chief Investment Strategist Kevin Headland had the pleasure of sitting down with Mawer Investment Management’s President and Portfolio Manager Jim Hall to discuss how patience and discipline play a crucial role in navigating volatile markets. Listen in as Jim delves into some of our flagship funds and reminds us to approach investing with a steady hand. As markets fluctuate, a well thought-out, long-term strategy remains the cornerstone of success. Here’s to embracing the journey and mastering The Art of Boring in investing! Be sure to tune in to our podcast episode.

Here we are—100 episodes and 7 years later! This truly is a remarkable milestone for our Investments Unplugged podcast, which has seen roughly 86,000 downloads since the pilot episode aired all those years ago. In this month’s celebratory episode, we get up close and personal with our dynamic hosts and Co-Chief Investment Strategists: Kevin Headland and Macan Nia. Take a trip down memory lane as they reflect on their careers and offer valuable insight to aspiring young investment professionals. Considering a career in markets or investing? Think you could benefit from the lessons they’ve learned over the years? Tune in as Kevin and Macan look through the rearview mirror and commemorate their 100th episode. This is one episode you just can’t miss. Be sure to tune in!

Children are heading back to the classroom for yet another school year. What better time than now to reinforce our portfolios with lessons learned from our early childhood? This month, our Co-Chief Investment Strategists Kevin Headland and Macan Nia address economic concerns, equities and fixed income developments, and the art of managing volatility—all through the lens of some our favourite children’s classics. Get ready to revisit some of your favourite childhood gems and gear up for the final stretch of 2024 with this truly unique perspective on markets. Don’t miss out on this podcast episode.

The dog days of summer are over, and volatility is back with a vengeance. In just a short period of time, we’ve dealt with a messy unwinding of carry trades, shifts in Fed policy, and material developments on the U.S. presidential front. How has this clouded the bigger picture? Don’t miss out on an opportunity to go behind-the-scenes with Sandy Sanders, our Senior Managing Director, and Portfolio Manager of the Manulife U.S. All Cap Equity Fund. In an interactive discussion moderated by our Co-Chief Investment Strategist Macan Nia, Sandy chimes in on everything from the U.S. economy to the ongoing A.I. frenzy, U.S. elections and rotations across market capitalizations. Tune in to our new episode to learn more.

Unruly markets, unpredictable interest rates and a possible resurgence in inflation—are all your income options on the table? In this podcast episode, we sit down with our newly appointed Head of Specialists and former Director of ETFs and Alternatives , Rob Wernic. In this interactive discussion, Rob underscores the need for alternative income investments, outlining the key differences between traditional income solutions and our new Manulife Smart Enhanced Yield ETFs. Tune in to our new episode to learn more.

Are you inundated with stories? One of the most important rules when making investment decisions is to avoid getting caught up in headlines. In this podcast episode, we chat with our very own Senior Portfolio Manager, Fundamental Equity Patrick Blais about the importance of blocking out the noise and making fact-based investment decisions. With an investment process that highlights cash flow as the real driver of economic value, Patrick and his team look to uncover the best ideas at attractive valuations. Tune into our new episode to learn more.

In part two of our happily, ever after series of Investments Unplugged, we continue to compare timeless tales to the current markets. In this conversation, we provide our updated outlook on bonds and discuss the outcome of global central banks starting their easing cycles. Tune into our new episode to learn more.

What comes to mind when we think of fairytales? Fairytales are a means to teach children about opportunities, risks, and how to navigate a complex world. While they usually end happily ever after, the path to get there is usually riddled with challenges. In part one of this two-part series of Investments Unplugged, we look at the economy and equity markets through a fairytale lens. We pay particular attention to how children’s classics are relatable to managing risks and uncovering opportunities in the current investment landscape. Tune into our new episode to learn more.

Strengthen your defence and sharpen your offence with Manulife liquid alternatives. Join us as we unveil our two new alternative fixed-income solutions. Hear from the lead portfolio managers of these strategies Chris Chapman and Roshan Thiru as they outline their investment approaches and delve into the key differentiators that set their teams apart. Tune into our new episode to learn more.

Sticky inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical risks. Now isn’t exactly the time to let your guard down. Tune in to our new podcast episode with special guests Senior Portfolio Manager Eric Menzer, and Senior Managing Director Alex Catterick as they chat about private markets, alternative investments, and the importance of including real assets in your portfolios. Don’t miss out on this special edition of Investments Unplugged.

Recession is a word that gets thrown around often. But what exactly is a recession and how does it impact investors? Join us for an in-depth Q&A session as we weigh in on a topic that’s become front and center for investors. Find out what you can expect in a recession and why you shouldn’t wait for one to prepare your portfolio. For all this and more, tune into our new podcast episode.

Dividend investing is evolving, and so should your approach. Tune in to our new podcast episode to learn about the unique set of challenges faced by dividend investors in today’s environment. Hear from our very own Senior Portfolio Manager Chris Hensen as he weighs in on the shifting landscape and explores the dividend opportunity set through a different lens. Don’t miss out on this special edition of Investments Unplugged.

Make no mistake about it, the economy is dealing with its fair share of challenges. But are there bright spots ahead? In this podcast episode, we sit down with our Global Chief Economist and Strategist Frances Donald, as she weighs in on the macro forces at play in 2024. Will global growth decline? Will central banks respond with rate cuts? For all this and more, tune in to Investments Unplugged.

Episode 89: A look ahead to 2024—addressing your unanswered questions (part 2) After patiently waiting for many months, signs that our fixed income outlook may be coming to fruition emerged at the end of last year. But what can we expect in 2024? In part 2 of our podcast episode, we focus on answering your frequently asked questions on fixed income. Are inflation risks behind us? Where are yields going? Are central banks done with their rate hikes? For all this and more, tune in to our new podcast episode.

With 2024 in full swing, what’s our take on equities and bonds? Rather than sharing our views in our usual way, we’ve adopted a Q&A format to respond to some of the more pressing questions we’ve been getting on the road. Where’s the economy headed? What are some of the main challenges for markets in the new year? To get your questions answered, tune in to our new podcast episode.

Consumer exhaustion is kicking in, yields have come down, and the economy is beginning to show signs of slowing. Since outlining our three-themed bonds outlook, we’re finally getting an indication that it’s coming to fruition. As we get ready to transition to phase 2 (“duration is your friend”), investors could embrace longer duration on expectations that yields will fall further and the economy will continue slowing. Will the headwinds that impacted bonds as yields rose become tailwinds when yields fall? For all this and more, tune in to our new podcast episode.

Episode 87: Under the microscope: looking closely at a potential recession Recession—it’s a word that continues to dominate the minds of investors and economic scientists alike. We hear about it so often, it sometimes seems like our expectations and concerns magnify. Yet, there could be important information that some people don’t see. Let’s focus the lens a little and scrutinize some of the financial details. • What’s a soft or hard landing, and can we expect one or the other? • Why has a potential recession been delayed? • Does the economic data tell us whether a recession is inevitable? • How will the anticipation of a potential recession continue to affect the markets? Zoom in for a better view.

School has started once again. And while students return to their classrooms and books, investors’ minds turn to their portfolios, the economy, and the markets. But there’s so much to learn when it comes to managing your investments. So, what subjects have currently reached the forefront for the Capital Markets Strategy Team? Three key investment themes are at the top of the class right now: • Prepare for near-term equity volatility amidst uncertainty. • Buying bonds is one thing; buying the right bonds is another. • Position your portfolios for tomorrow, not just today. There’s the bell! Let’s listen in.

Many topics waltz across the minds of investors. They twirl through our thoughts and sometimes step on our toes. Two things have been leading us lately: the rise of artificial intelligence (A.I.) and its role in the markets, and the recent surprise Bank of Canada interest rate hike. We won’t dance around the subjects—there are relevant inquiries that we need to address: • Has A.I. played a role in what the S&P 500 Index been experiencing this year? • Are we seeing a replay of the 1990s dot-com bubble? • Why did the recent interest rate increase happen, and will it happen again? • How much of the current economic situation can monetary policy control? • What are the investment implications? Let’s glide gracefully over the investment floor to answer these questions.

Every so often, we find ourselves swimming in a sea of similar-sounding questions about what’s affecting or going to affect the markets. These inquiries come around on a regular basis, but do they hold any water when it comes to our investments? We brave the waves, look at some of these recurring questions, and ask, “As investors, do we care about this?” • U.S. debt ceiling discussions • Sell in May and go away investment strategy • periodic market rallies • seasonal market volumes Let’s dive in and see what’s beneath the surface.

Lightning struck some U.S. and European banks recently, and investors may be feeling like the jolt is still coursing through them. Frances Donald, Global Chief Economist and Strategist at Manulife Investment Management, joins the Capital Markets Strategy team to delve into current bank problems’ effects on the investment world and spark discussion on related topics: • What’s been the historical response to banking volatility? • How do we define financial stability? • Are interest rates likely to go up or down in the near or distant future? • Where does macroeconomics come into play in the investment cycle? • Has our outlook for the coming months changed? The markets may be somewhat charged right now, but stay positive.

Star Trek, 2001: A Space Odyssey, The Terminator, Blade Runner, The Matrix—artificial intelligence (A.I.) has been a recurring science fiction theme for decades. But in fact, A.I. has come to the forefront of many discussions around scientific advances. Robotics, deep-learning models, smart cars, ChatGPT, and so on—where is this technology headed? We look at some of the applications of A.I.: • caring for the elderly by using sympathetic robots • using facial recognition software as the main way to identify you • improving customer experience with personalized algorithms • benefitting from AI—areas that may be worth watching … and more. What we can do with A.I may be nearly unfathomable. Maybe we’ll even create artificially intelligent chocolate chips someday—they’d make one smart cookie.

To bond or not to bond? That is the question. Whether ‘tis nobler in the mind to invest in bonds or guaranteed interest certificates (GICs) preoccupies many investors. Where would William Shakespeare put his money and why? Who knows? But we have reasons for believing bonds may be the better option for today’s investors: • Looking back over past performance of Canadian bonds, they usually outperform GICs. • Historically, the outperformance of Canadian bonds is sizably higher than GICs per year. • Reinvestment risk could give lower returns from GICs. There are more things in bonds and GICs than are dreamt of in your philosophy—let’s discuss them.

A new year has arrived. Many investors are breathing a collective sigh of relief that 2022 is done and are looking for indicators of better investment opportunities and returns in 2023. Financial needles point toward shifting economic conditions, but what types of changes will we see? • What are we looking at to help determine what the coming year may bring? • Will a recession happen? How bad could it be? • Where is inflation going? And what will central banks do in response? • Does it look like market volatility is settling down? • Are equities or fixed income looking more attractive? Gauging the markets isn’t an exact science. But the more we learn, the more likely we’ll recognize the signs.

Cold and flu season struck and early and hard in 2022. It has also been a somewhat sick time in the markets this past year. Could 2023 give investors a chance to start easing the sniffles, coughs, aches, and pains of the volatility we’ve experienced? Let’s use our stethoscopes and thermometers to examine three phases of potential opportunity in bonds moving forward: • the sweet spot—bond yields • duration is your friend—longer-duration and higher-quality fixed-income instruments • take on risk—when markets have fully priced in a recession Hot tea with lemon, a warm blanket, and a good investment strategy—just a few things that can make you feel better about your road to recovery.

This special episode features a discussion with our soon-retiring colleague and friend, Dan Janis, Co-Head of Global Multi-Sector Fixed Income at Manulife Investment Management. We get insights into Danny’s life, career, and team, and what he’s discovered about being a good advisor and sound money manager. • What has Dan learned about managing investments during his professional career? • Is there something Dan wishes he could tell his 10-year-old self, given the opportunity? • Which key skills should an advisor develop? • What’s the best thing advisors can do for their clients? Retirement isn’t the end of the road, it’s the beginning of the open highway.

Episode 77: Eyeing the bond markets Unusually painful performance in fixed-income investments this past year seems to be blurring investors’ vision. We see potential opportunity in current and future economic conditions. Is fixed income worth a second look? Let’s turn our sight to some financial factors related to bonds: • how a recession can affect the fixed-income market • where we are in the current bear market cycle • U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cycle to combat inflation • historical relationship between bonds and equities • yields vs returns … and more. And why are some people eyeballing used cars lately?

For children, school has begun again. For investors, school is never really out. What subjects should you pay attention to? Will the bell ring to end to the unexpected market volatility of 2022? Our resident Capital Markets Strategy instructors have written some relevant topics on their chalkboard. They cover: • rising inflation and interest rates • economic slowdown • earnings being priced into the markets • possibility of a recession • investing over the coming months And in this episode, we introduce a new segment on what’s making recent media headlines. Class is in session.

With in-person interactions once again becoming the norm, this summer, the Capital Markets Strategy team has been criss-crossing the country, meeting with advisors and clients, and speaking at events. We’re truly enjoying the face-to-face interaction and responding to inquiries from people we meet. Wherever we go, some common questions are popping up—questions like: • Has weak market performance already been priced in? • How does the second half of 2022 look when compared to historical downturns? • Will we see a recession, and when? • How do bear markets play out over time? Let’s delve into these and other questions we’ve been getting.

Bear markets aren’t new—15 have happened since 1950—and some have been worse than others. What’s happening with the current economy and market volatility, and when will it change? Previous selloffs and downturns may hold a clue to what we can expect for the rest of 2022. We take a look at: • what we can learn from past bear markets • the chance of a recession • effects of inflation and central bank actions • bond yields and opportunities • options investors may have to rebalance their portfolios. Bears of all sizes appear … but how long do they hang around?

Fixed-income markets have been going down a rocky road so far in 2022. Are we in for a continued rough ride? Or will the dirt path become a smoother highway for bonds in the near future? Roshan Thiru, Head of Canadian Fixed Income at Manulife Investment Management, joins the Capital Markets Strategy team to discuss: • bond activity and yields • what to look for with fixed-income investments • record-high inflation and its effects • maintaining a balanced portfolio … and more. Buckle up.

When camping in the woods, the last thing you want to run into is a bear—but if you do, there are things you can do that can help you live through such an encounter. Similarly, when investors face a bear market or the potential for one, there are ways to help protect yourself from being ravaged by a downturn: • Try to overcome your natural panic and fear; don’t run. • Be familiar with the environment. • Take advantage of opportunities. • Don’t be afraid of what goes bump in the night—if something is meant to harm you, it’ll stalk you silently. We go through these rules in detail—and maybe we’ll enjoy some s’mores back at the campsite later on.