NBA Fantasy Basketball Rankings Best & Worst Case Scenarios for Every Round

Statistical variance can make or break your fantasy basketball draft. Some players deliver steady production every season, while others swing wildly between best- and worst-case outcomes. Josh Lloyd, host of Locked On Fantasy Basketball and lead analyst at Basketball Monster, breaks down which players in each draft round have the narrowest outcome ranges and which ones carry the most risk. From Nikola Jokic’s rock-solid consistency to Victor Wembanyama’s high-ceiling volatility, Lloyd highlights the contrasting profiles you need to weigh on draft day. Mid-rounds feature names like Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Pascal Siakam, while deeper into drafts players such as Mark Williams, Malik Monk, and Stephon Castle show how variance can create either breakout value or fantasy headaches. Get the inside edge on balancing safety and upside in your draft strategy. Whether you’re chasing floor or ceiling, this episode shows you how to target the right mix of players to win your league. Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors! 5-Hour ENERGY Tee up that trip! Enter for a chance to win a dream golf trip for two to any golf tournament* in the USA. Visit 5HEWIN.com for full rules and entry. No purchase necessary. Excludes the Master’s tournament. Ends October 31, 2025. Monarch Money Take control of your finances with Monarch Money. Use code LOCKEDONNBA at monarchmoney.com/lockedonnba for 50% off your first year FanDuel Right now, new customers can bet just FIVE dollars and if your bet wins—you’ll get THREE HUNDRED dollars in bonus bets to use across the app. Download the FanDuel app now by visiting FanDuel.com to get started FANDUEL DISCLAIMER : 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.