Will Mortgage Rates Fall Below 6%? Here’s What Could Trigger Low Rates

Mortgage rates have hit a new low for 2025 , hovering around 6.75% , down from their peak of 7.25%. This is serious interest rate relief for homebuyers, real estate investors, and anyone getting a mortgage. But will mortgage rates fall even further in 2025? A new article from HousingWire ’s Logan Mohtashami suggests that even more rate relief could be on the way, but not without a series of caveats. To give our take, we’re bringing you a bonus episode where Dave breaks down Logan’s argument, gives his opinion on the hypotheses, and reveals what would have to happen for rates to drop into the low sixes, maybe even into the five percent range! With bond yields ticking down and recession fears mounting, mortgage rates seem poised to improve compared to the past couple of years. Will we have to see economic pain before rates lower? Could rates go back up, even higher than before, if positive economic news emerges? Dave is breaking down both his own predictions and Logan’s in this bonus episode. In This Episode We Cover: Today’s mortgage rates and why we’re hitting 2025 lows Two factors that influence mortgage rates and where they both stand now The bond yield “spread” and how its improvement could keep rates low What has to happen for rates to fall even more, and why it’s not all good news Could mortgage rates get BELOW six percent in 2025 ? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join BiggerPockets for FREE Let Us Know What You Thought of the Show! Ask Your Question on the BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets YouTube Apply to Be a BiggerPockets Podcast Guest! Do mortgage rates have room to drop lower? Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Sign Up for the BiggerPocket Real Estate Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Mortgage Rates Hit 2025 Low as Recession Fears Rise Read Logan’s Article, “Do mortgage rates have room to drop lower?” Connect with Dave (00:00) Intro (02:05) Why Mortgage Rates Are Falling (03:18) Will Mortgage Rates Fall Further? (05:49) What This Means for Investors (07:02) The Mortgage-Bond "Spread" (10:18) What Will Cause Lower Rates Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-bonus Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices