About this episode
Are betting markets more accurate than polls? What kind of chaos would a second Trump term bring? And is U.S. democracy really in danger, or just “sputtering on”? (Part two of a two-part series .) SOURCES: Eric Posner , professor of law at the University of Chicago Law School. Koleman Strumpf , professor of economics at Wake Forest University. RESOURCES: " A Trump Dictatorship Won’t Happen ," by Eric Posner ( Project Syndicate, 2023). The Demagogue's Playbook: The Battle for American Democracy from the Founders to Trump , by Eric Posner (2020). " The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective ," by Paul W. Rhode and Koleman Strumpf ( The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Gambling, 2013). " Manipulating Political Stock Markets: A Field Experiment and a Century of Observational Data ," by Paul W. Rhode and Koleman S. Strumpf (Working Paper, 2007). " Historical Presidential Betting Markets ," by Paul W. Rhode and Koleman S. Strumpf ( Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004). EXTRAS: " Has the U.S. Presidency Become a Dictatorship? (Update) ," by Freakonomics Radio (2024). “ Does the President Matter as Much as You Think? ” by Freakonomics Radio (2020). " How Much Does the President Really Matter? " by Freakonomics Radio (2010). Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.