About this episode
In this exclusive Outlook 2026 special, David Rosenberg, President of Rosenberg Research, joins Jeremy Szafron to dismantle the "Soft Landing" narrative and expose the massive disconnect between Wall Street pricing and Main Street reality. While the S&P 500 hits record highs, Rosenberg presents forensic data showing that the U.S. economy has already entered a "silent" contraction that is being masked by government hiring and a stock market bubble. THE "NO HIRE" ECONOMY: Rosenberg reveals that beneath the headline payroll numbers, the "hiring rate" has collapsed to cycle lows—a dynamic he calls "No Hire, No Fire." He explains why official government data is masking a real-time contraction of 20,000 jobs per month and why the "AI Lifeline" that kept the economy afloat in 2025 has finally snapped. THE 6TH MEGA BUBBLE: With the Shiller PE ratio hitting 40x, Rosenberg warns we are witnessing the "6th Mega Bubble of the last 100 years." He breaks down why legendary investors like Warren Buffett are sitting on a record $400 billion cash pile and Jamie Dimon is buying Treasuries, signaling that the "Smart Money" has already exited the casino while retail investors go "all in." Recorded December 19 2025 Disclaimer: The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.