About this episode
Munaf Manji, Mackenzie Rivers and Dave Essler talk NFL contest podcast. On this Week 11 NFL Contest Podcast, Munaf Manji hosts McKenzie Rivers and Uncle Dave Essler as they recap Circa Survivor results, ATS contest performance, and dive into their picks. Survivor dropped from 1,769 to 1,000 entries after heavy eliminations on the Panthers and Bills, with implied value at $18,718. McKenzie leads off with his best bet: Giants–Packers over 43.5, arguing historically fired-coach games trend over, especially when the interim coach is offensive-minded, and noting Jameis Winston’s volatility driving fireworks and overs. He views the market wrongly dragging the total down. Munaf agrees on Green Bay offensive urgency and New York’s defensive issues, leaning Giants +7. Dave pushes back, preferring the under due to forecasted rain and wind in New York, expecting Green Bay to run and limit pace. The group embraces the value in hearing both sides. Dave’s pick is Chargers over Jaguars, citing Jacksonville’s inconsistency, Trevor Lawrence’s regression, lack of trust from teammates, run-game issues, key injuries, and a deflating blown lead to Houston. Munaf agrees, noting the offensive injuries and mental state of Jacksonville. McKenzie calls both teams fraudulent and wants to fade the winner later. Munaf’s pick is Bills -5.5 vs Buccaneers, a bounce-back spot after a nasty Miami loss, with Buffalo’s run game through James Cook and Tampa’s cluster injuries at WR/RB. Dave agrees, citing weather favoring Buffalo’s ground game, Mayfield’s inexperience in those conditions, and adjusted scores suggesting Buffalo didn’t play as poorly as the box score indicated. Survivor talk: Dave likes Vikings over Bears, noting Chicago’s inflated record from weak opponents, poor defense, and Minnesota’s home edge. Munaf thinks the Cowboys or Chargers are viable if available. McKenzie says his and Dan’s survivor entry still alive and prefers Patriots as the top play, Ravens as second choice. They close with shoutouts to Sleepy Jay, pregame promotions, and plans for next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices