Fearing the Fade: Starting Pitcher Regression Candidates

Eno, Trevor, and DVR discuss a lengthy absence of Pablo López following a Grade 2 teres major strain, and wonder if Chase Burns' arrival in Cincinnati might come earlier than expected with Hunter Greene's return to the IL. Plus, they dig into the regression cases of several starting pitchers -- including the always puzzling Andrew Abbott, Kris Bubic, Casey Mize, and several others. Rundown 0:42 Pablo Lopez: Out 8-12 Weeks 6:18 An Opportunity for David Festa 8:03 Hunter Greene Goes Back on the IL 11:50 Another Attempt to Understand Andrew Abbott's Success 19:29 2025 ERA v. Rest-of-Season Projections (OOPSY/ppERA) 25:43 Nathan Eovaldi's Tendency to Lose Velocity In Season 32:10 The Best Version of Casey Mize We've Seen? 41:02 Tyler Mahle's Low K% Will Become a Problem 44:14 Should You Worry About Jacob deGrom's Last Two Starts? 48:30 Checking In on the Drag on the Baseball 54:58 How Would Dynamic Daily Park Factors Impact Your Game Plan? Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.social Follow DVR on Bluesky: @dvr.bsky.social Follow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.social e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFe Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Hosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno Sarris With: Trevor May Producer: Brian Smith Executive Producer: Derek VanRiper Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.