How To Beat NFL Player Props (Episode 433 with Adam Levitan, Mike Leone, Mark Dankenbring)

Adam Levitan, Mike Leone, and Mark Dankenbring discuss how to become a better player props bettor in NFL, how projections can be used to make better bets, why unders are better than overs, and much more. Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code ETR for a first deposit match up to $100. https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run In this episode, we discuss: Are props just projections vs. lines? (2:48) How does volume relate to props? (5:02) Using mean vs. median (6:41) If we can beat them, why do books still offer props? (9:50) Why are unders better than overs? (12:03) Managing your money in sportsbooks (17:36) Explaining why higher volume, lower win rate is better (20:47) Betting openers (25:00) Links mentioned in the episode: Underdog Best Ball Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/etrs-top-300-for-underdogfantasy/ Silva’s Top 150 - https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150/ Dynasty Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/2022-dynasty-rankings/ Want ETR on your team this season? Our 2022 DRAFT KIT has you covered with: Silva’s Top 150 and Tiers for Drafting Continuously Updated Rankings for Every Format Sleepers and Busts Best Ball, Dynasty, and Season-Long Props (Draft Kit Pro) And tons more! All in one place. Subscribe now at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/ Additionally, we have worked out a SPECIAL deal with BETMGM. Sign up for a new account with the link below and they will email you a $100 coupon to use on any ETR product. The coupon is good for one year. SIGN-UP LINK: https://mediaserver.betmgmpartners.com/renderBanner.do?zoneId=1673829 Promotion NOT available in NY, PA, or Ontario After signing up for BetMGM, please follow these four steps: Deposit at least $10 (NO PROMO CODE NEEDED) Place your first wager (you still qualify for MGM’s promotion of a Risk-Free bet up to $1,000) You will receive an email from BetMGM with unique promo code within a few days of making your qualifying bet Head to ETR’s subscription page and use your unique code for $100 off any ETR subscription - Follow ETR on Twitter - https://twitter.com/EstablishTheRun - Follow Adam on Twitter - https://twitter.com/adamlevitan - Follow Evan on Twitter - https://twitter.com/evansilva