UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Payrolls without precision'

US August employment data is due. Falling survey response rates, rising complexity, and less funding for data collection have caused data quality to deteriorate. A range of indicators signal a weaker labor market, without causing middle-income US consumers to weaken much. Federal Reserve Chair Powell’s data dependency focus means a rogue number might deter a US rate cut, but markets assume the narrative of economic weakness takes priority.