About this episode
(12/14/23) Throwing caution to the wind, a dovish FOMC takes the bearish stance away from markets; markets are forming a cup-and-handle pattern, suggesting a rally to record-highs; but that does not preclude a 3- to-5% correction. Bond yields are to fall. Out of control tipping; how the Fed trained investors to expect backup; the Fed's pivot to dovishness: What do they know that we do not? The benefits of lower rates vs risk of more inflation; financial conditions are easing. Look for a huge short-cover rally, and then get ready for correction. But first, more record-highs. Bullish vs bearish commentary; a look at the FRED database; the key phrase is "effective rate." Excess liquidity is leaving the system; where will the Fed turn when it needs more money? THe Fed is still doing QT, reducing liquidity. Economic data remains weak; is the Fed attempting to micro-manage the economy to a soft-landing? The Fed really doesn't know what it's doing. SEG-1: FOMC Throwing Caution to the Wind SEG-2: Tip-shaming & How the Fed Trained Investors SEG-3: After the Rally, Get Ready for Corrections SEG-4: Is the Fed Micro-managing the Economy? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njWj-nMpjxs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DSERk7Bn1vI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #CPI #Inflation #BondYield #Markets #Money #Investing