About this episode
(7/5/23) Welcome to the second-half of 2023: Q2 earnings season is revving up, as markets' performance divergence from economic indicators creates the question: Who's right, and where to now? What about the Wealth Gap, the Wealth Effect, and Consumer Confidence? Earnings season commences with massive cuts in earnings estimates (so that the beat rate will be high!) What about the Quality of earnings and revenue? Reported earnings since the pandemic are up +500%, while revenue is up only +100%; how is that possible or sustainable? NVDIA's predictions are not supportable: 40X price-to-sales ratio in a market where there are other players (AMD); valuations do not support growth. Apple has 8x price to sales with 25% market share. The story of Lance's Laundry and today's shirt choices. The continuing saga of the Roberts' Real Estate; did increasing home values feed The Great Resignation? Correlation and Causation are not always connected. Spurious Correlations and a look at real Employment/Unemployment vs "The Numbers:" 40-million are not working...and not being counted, either. SEG-1: Q2 Earnings Season Begins SEG-2: Earnings Estimates Decline: What About Quality of Earnings & Revenue? SEG-3: Lance's Shirts & Roberts' Home Sales Saga SEG-4: Spurious Correlations & Real Employment Numbers Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mp6FP4Jx1Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=30s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Will Economic Data Catch Up with Market Sentiment?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1Zl-TPrYtE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Lessons from the Luling Watermelon Thump" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4C0g2xXwOGE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Article Mentioned in Today's Show: "Treasury Yield Curves – Is This Inversion Different?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/treasury-yield-curves-is-this-inversion-different ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Employment #UnEmployment #GreatResignation #HousingMarket #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing