Will Commercial Real Estate be the Next to Fall?( 3/27/23)

(3/27/23) In the aftermath of the bank fail and bailout fiasco, the Fed's QT is essentially being negated by bond buys; despite that, markets are setting a rising trend. Gold buyers read real interest rates; stock buyers read earnings estimates. While the Fed continues to focus on inflation, markets are pricing-in a 110-bp rate cut by Summer's end. 15-years after Bear-Stearns, the component missing for full financial crisis is a lack of faith in the system. It's all about stability, but risk remains of breaking something this year. The fallacy of the Fed's Bank Stress Tests; a simple explanation of what went wrong at SVB; the next area of risk will be in commercial real estate. Multi-family real estate also at risk because of origins of construction loans; too much supply, not enough demand. The use of buy-now, pay-later schemes; why Millennials and Gen-Z cannot save: Instant gratification vs delayed gratification. SEG-1: While Fed Focuses on Inflation, Markets Price-in 110-bp rate cut by summer SEG-2: The Missing Component for Full Financial Crisis SEG-3: After the Banks, the Next Area of Risk SEG-4: Financial Habits of Millennials & Gen-Z Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNMgUcqGS-s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Markets Continue to Establish Higher Bottoms," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NESVV0o89Rg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuiwiJLZ3oP_26MezKj1bhsu&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show is here: "Why SVB Failure is Not Likely a One-off Event" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HhFuxky6gIw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Recession Indicators Say The Fed Broke Something" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recession-indicators-says-the-fed-will-break-something/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #SiliconValleyBank #Bailout #RateHike #CommercialRealEstate #MarketRisk #Markets #Money #Investing