10-10-24 Rising Volatility, China Stimulus, & Storms' Economic Surge: What They Mean for Portfolios

All was not hunky-dory in the recent Fed meeting, as the FOMC Meeting minutes reveal a split-decision on lowering rates by 50-bps vs 25-bps. Meanwhile, in the markets, the S&P is having its Best Year Ever since the "turn of the century." The current, rising wedge is both a bullish and bearish sign; CPI numbers will be today's trigger. Volatility in the markets, thanks to uncertainty over presidential election outcome, Israel-Iran war effect on oil prices, etc. The VIX doesn't always tell you everything. We're at the beginning of a Fed-easing campaign; the Hawkish-Dovish Fed has a bipolar problem. A look at the China trade syndrome, and rush of investment in Chinese tech sector: When everyone's on the same side of the boat, better get to the other side. We've become Pavlov's dogs, chasing China. Does China care as much about its stock market as the Fed cares about the US stock market? (no.) Why we avoid BRICS country investments; paying a premium to invest in the US where there is Rule of Law. Lance reviews the Broken Window Theory and the economic impact of hurricanes Helene and Milton. The pulling forward of consumption now will boost economic activity at the expense of an economic void later. SEG-1: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Split-decision SEG-2: The VIX Doesn't Always Tell You Everything SEG-3: The China (Trade) Syndrome SEG-4: Hurricanes & Broken Window Theory Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tales of Cobras, Windows, and Economic Promise" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tales-of-cobras-windows-and-economic-promise/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ "Election Outcome Presents Opportunity For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-outcome-presents-opportunity-for-investors/ "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will CPI Report Trigger a MACD Buy Signal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnIChkDuJnM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally: What Tuesday's Tech Stock Surge Means for Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJZp1muy9zA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Hurricane #BrokenWindowTheory #ChinaInvesting #BRICS #BondMarket #BondRates #BondYields #BondOpportunities #Volatility #2024Election #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #SellSignal #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #FOMCMeetingMinutes #BipolarFed #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #HowardMarks #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing