Have We Already Gone Through a Recession that Didn't Register? (5/18/23)

(5/18/23) Markets rallied to top of their trading range, thanks to better-than-expected results from Target and anticipated from Walmart. The AI Revolution is driving markets upwards with just a few stocks; the impact of AI on Jobs and profit margins still to be seen; there is real potential for productivity increases. Is it real, or is it AI? Which jobs are at risk, and where will new jobs be created? Target & WalMart wins: What recession? Excluding inflation, stocks are down, and there are still recession warnings from Home Depot and Target. Have we already gone through a recession that didn't register? Inflation masks the data. Market expectations vs History: Rate cuts expected in first half of 2024; Fed Funds futures remain bullish; market performance will be very dependent upon jobs. SEG-1: Markets Lifted to Top of Trading Range SEG-2: Speculating on the AI Revolution SEG-3: How Inflation Masks the Data SEG-4: Market Expectations vs History Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-PJcFnut-Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Debt Ceiling Debate: Will We Really Default?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNboprBa9xg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Headwinds To Lower Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/headwinds-to-lower-bond-yields "The AI Revolution. A Repeat Of History." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-ai-revolution-a-repeat-of-history/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Recession #RetailSales #Target #HomeDepot #Walmart #ArtificialIntelligence #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing