About this episode
HAVE YOU SUBSCRIBED TO "Before the Bell?" https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFmyKJKseEMQp1d14AjvMUw (2/16/23) Buyers are consistently moving into the markets, and there are two ways this can go: Trade sideways, or price declines. The Citibank Surprise Index indicates optimism may weaken; that anticipated recession is not being picked up in economic data...yet. Markets remain in rising trendline; a corrective process is needed. The Economic Conundrum: Good numbers vs Fed desire to quell economic growth leading to more inflation; there is concern this time economy is severely leveraged, and impact of rate hikes on debt service. Still to be seen is impact of higher corporate tax (15%) on earnings. Markets continue to open weak but finish strong. How much remaining economic octane is hold-over from pandemic stimulus? M-2 is still a high percentage of GDP. What if Recession is delayed until 2024 as a result of the lag-effect? Why should the Fed consider lowering interest rates if the economy is doing so well? The odds of increasing Quantitative Tightening are going up. Why does the Fed need a recession? The Fed needs consumers to stop spending. Raquel Welch passes away at 82; Markets and Investor convictions: Markets are not paying attention to the Fed or economic data. The FOMO, YOLO Risk-on appetite continues, right or wrong--it is what it is. What if markets continue upwards and are then hit with downturn--possibility of 30% loss. SEG-1: Buyers Continue to Move Into Markets SEG-2: Economic Conundrum: Good Economic Numbers vs. Fed Desire to Quell Economy SEG-3: What if Recession is Delayed Until 2024? SEG-4: Raquel Welch & Investor Convictions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bUizW6SCn0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Watch for the Lag-effect of Interest Rates" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVzMd8cHEPs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "No End to Fed Rate Hikes in Sight" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3I6xtV7j-0U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s --------- Register for the next Lunch & Learn on Raising Money Smart Kids (2/23/23): https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/8516736369321/WN_u6P-EAklT0iIgAXc1ChgrA -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Janet Yellen Should Focus On HOPE" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/janet-yellen-should-focus-on-hope ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EconomicConundrum #Recession #RetailSales #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #CPI #RisingValuations #DecliningEarnings #Markets #Money #Investing