About this episode
Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirrow such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19% above 2023 estimates for 2024. Bitcoin hits $100,000 thanks to President-elect Trump's appointment of a crypto-friendly chief at the SEC. As for expectations for next year, what should investors be watching out for? (Is a liquidity crisis near?) The Fed put too much liquidity into the system during Covid; those record levels of liquidity are fueling FOMO. Institutional investors are highly leveraged, which are dependant upon liquidity. The Fed's real manadate is to protect its member banks and prevent them from failing. Liquidity is now leaking. The Big Red Phone to the Fed. What if Trump really cuts government spending? Entitlement vs Mandatory spending. Looking to 2025: Extreme bullishness depends upon a strong economy; where are the risks? SEG-1: Economic Weaknesses are Emerging SEG-2: Anticipating 2025: What Should We Watch For? SEG-3a: Record Levels of Liquidity are Fueling FOMO SEG-3b: The Fed's Main Mandate SEG-4a: What If Trump Really Cuts Government Spending? SEG-4b: Market Bullishness Depends on Strong Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2019-redux-is-another-liquidity-crisis-near/ "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bitcoin Hits $100,000," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Time for a Portfolio Reality Check" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #LiquidityCrisis #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing