12-11-25 Volatility After the Fed | Before the Bell

Markets bounced sharply after the Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter-point, pushing major indexes back toward all-time highs. As of Wednesday's close, buy signals remain in place, but relative strength is stretched, and a mild pullback is taking shape this morning—led by weakness in the NASDAQ following Oracle's selloff. With all major indexes still within 2% of record levels, investors should remember that when the Fed cuts near market highs, volatility typically rises over the next one to three months. Historically, this pattern produces short-term corrections but tends to resolve with higher prices over the next 10–12 months. Markets remain in a broader consolidation range, and a normal retracement toward the 50-DMA between now and Christmas would set the stage for a stronger year-end rally. Based on current trends, 2025 looks likely to close with gains near 17%—and we are preparing updated valuation and price-target ranges for 2026 in an upcoming article. In today's pre-market brief, we break down: • Why NASDAQ weakness is no surprise • How Fed policy and "QE/Not-QE" shape volatility expectations • What to expect from a consolidation into year-end • Key levels to watch into the seasonal rally window Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/gnorFZc1qM8 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ