10-2-25 Who Needs the BLS? Shutdown Silences Jobs Report

The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market 👉 Don't forget to like, subscribe, and share for more financial education and investing insights. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Miran Says Rates Are Too High: Politics Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/miran-says-rates-are-too-high-politics-or-reality/ "Kimonos For Bitcoin: 150 Year Old Company Goes Crypto" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kimonos-for-bitcoin-150-year-old-company-goes-crypto/ "Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises" by Charles P. Kindleberger "RSI (Relative Strength Index): Timing The Next Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/rsi-relative-strength-index-timing-the-next-correction/ "Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/slowdown-signals-are-leading-indicators-flashing-red/ "Markets Detached From Economic Fundamentals" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/markets-detached-from-economic-fundamentals/ -------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXFBE2eso9A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hit All-Time Highs: October Tailwinds Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ItZKs7kgaEU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Government Shutdown Begins: What It Means for Markets & Investors " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GsT9A54aNrs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Finance #GovernmentShutdown #Economy #InvestorRisks #MarketVolatility #AI #AIConstruntion #BLS #JobsReport #GovernmentShutdown #StockMarket #Economy #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money